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Tag: Qatar 2022 World Cup

  • Manchester City’s World Cup Call-Ups Could Give Arsenal Edge In Title Race

    Manchester City’s World Cup Call-Ups Could Give Arsenal Edge In Title Race

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    Arsenal are top of the Premier League at Christmas.

    Although the World Cup break means far fewer games would’ve been played by that point than in other seasons, being top at Christmas is often seen as a good omen for a team’s title chances.

    However, fourteen teams have failed to win the Premier League since 1992 after being top at Christmas, including Arsenal in 2002 and 2007.

    This season though, Arsenal go into the World Cup break with a five-point lead over Manchester City in second place.

    And while that break could hurt Arsenal’s momentum, the World Cup itself could hurt Manchester City.

    With most of the World Cup squads already announced, Manchester City have the most call-ups of any side in the Premier League.

    Sixteen players from Manchester City have been called up for the 2022 Qatar World Cup, compared to just ten from Arsenal.

    Predicting who will win the World Cup is no easy task, but City’s players generally play for countries that are likely to go far in the tournament.

    Based on OPTA’s odds of winning the World Cup, Manchester City have 15 players who play for countries with a more than 5% chance of winning the tournament, including five players from England and three from Portugal.

    All these call-ups might have already affected Manchester City, with some pundits suggesting that City’s players had their minds on Qatar during their loss to Brentford at the weekend.

    Arsenal on the other hand have just six players from teams with a more than 5% chance of winning the World Cup, including Gabriel Jesus and Gabriel Martinelli from favorites Brazil.

    They also have one player from a team with between 1% and 5% chance of winning (Switzerland’s Granit Xhaka), and three players from teams with a less than 1% chance of winning.

    This means Arsenal’s players are less likely to be fatigued when the Premier League returns after Christmas, and that head coach Mikel Arteta will have more first team players to work with during Arsenal’s training camp in Dubai.

    Manchester United’s team is in a similar situation as their cross-city rivals. United have 14 players at the World Cup, including twelve from teams likely to go far in the tournament.

    Newcastle United on the other hand have just five players at the World Cup. Eddie Howe’s side have got off to a great start this season, but often sides outside the so-called “Big Six” have less squad depth and start to fall away later in the campaign as fatigue and injuries take their toll. The World Cup break could give Newcastle United a chance to refresh themselves so that they don’t suffer as badly from fatigue as the season goes on.

    Liverpool also have relatively few players at the World Cup. Their seven call-ups are the fewest of any of the “big-six” sides. Having so few players at the World Cup could help Jurgen Klopp turn his side’s fortunes around in the second half of the season.

    Every team in the Premier League has at least two players at Qatar 2022, but for many sides, this World Cup will provide a much-needed chance to recover from a tight Premier League schedule, so that they are ready to go again at the end of December.

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    Steve Price, Senior Contributor

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  • Content Creation Trends We’ll See At Qatar 2022 World Cup

    Content Creation Trends We’ll See At Qatar 2022 World Cup

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    Soccer fans are counting down the days until the Qatar 2022 FIFA World Cup. But off the pitch, content creators are busy preparing to flood social media with statistics, highlights, and graphics showing every aspect of the tournament. It’s not just Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe trying to win in Qatar; brands and sponsors will also be competing to have a successful World Cup.

    But while it provides a huge commercial opportunity, the 2022 World Cup has its unique challenges for brands looking to engage their customers. There is a need to be associated with the World Cup, while in some markets trying to avoid association with the hosts. There is a need to appeal to non-soccer fans, tuning in for the first time in four years rather than following a team every week. And there is a need to keep fans engaged once their team gets knocked out.

    Paul Every from Stats Perform says one way to keep casual fans engaged is through storytelling. Stats Perform has been using artificial intelligence to gather historical data from every World Cup since 1966. This allows them to work out statistics like the expected goals for that year’s final when England beat Germany, or how the Netherlands’ “Total Football” side of the 1970s compares to teams of today.

    From this data, Every says they’ve discovered some interesting trends, such as how the number of passes is increasing from world cup to world cup, the number of shots is decreasing, and shots are generally coming from closer to the goal.

    The use of artificial intelligence has made it easier to gather data and generate statistics. The data revolution in soccer might not be observable week-in-week-out, but the difference compared to past world cups is night-and-day due to the four-year gap between tournaments. Some metrics like expected goals were not really known a few tournaments ago, but are now commonplace.

    New metrics like line-breaking passes and pressures that lead to a turnover in possession or lead to a chance created will be seen more at Qatar 2022. Paul Every says that managers like Jurgen Klopp and Pep Guardiola have helped bring ideas like pressing to Premier League fans, but now it can be quantified more and used to create narratives.

    He also says the changes in the way fans consume content mean that speed is of the essence, especially with so many content creators all competing for eyeballs. “Snackable” content is a must, and programs that can use data to create graphics in seconds mean that content will be coming out almost live.

    More and more fans these days follow players rather than teams. This could be content creators’ secret weapon to keep fans engaged should their country get knocked out early. The ability to use AI to compare Lionel Messi to past greats like Diego Maradona, for example, makes it even easier to create narratives around the superstars of today.

    Gamification of soccer content, from fantasy World Cup games to competitions like OPTA Million, where fans predict where each team will finish, will also be used by brands to keep fans engaged.

    Everyone has their own predictions about who will win the World Cup. Stats Perform have built their own prediction engine, using OPTA’s artificial intelligence technology, to work out live how the odds of winning the World Cup change with every goal, from the very first group-stage game until Harry Kane’s winning penalty for England in the final.

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    Steve Price, Senior Contributor

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