In a letter today, the American Bankers Association said it was puzzled by a National Credit Union Administration proposal to remove the requirement that credit union advertisements state that their deposit products are insured, noting that banks must do so.
The NCUA recently proposed to streamline its rules governing credit union advertisements and notice of insured status. Among the changes, the proposal would remove the requirement to include an official statement of insurance in credit union ads, although the requirement would remain in effect at locations where deposits are usually received.
ABA noted that the FDIC recently updated its signage rules to make clear what is and is not insured across digital and traditional banking spaces. It urged the NCUA to align its proposal with the FDIC signage rules to avoid consumer confusion.
“Aligning NCUA’s approach with FDIC’s calibrated framework would minimize divergence across digital and traditional channels where consumers routinely encounter bank and credit union messages,” ABA said.
ABA also suggested the NCUA adopt several “guardrails” if it decides to remove the advertising requirement, such as coordinating with the FDIC on insured‑status communication principles and offering optional best‑practice models for voluntary insured‑status cues.
DriveWealth will integrate Kalshi’s regulated prediction markets into its brokerage-as-a-service platform, enabling fintechs to offer event contracts alongside stocks and ETFs.
Kalshi, which processes over $100 billion in annualized volume, is expanding distribution through DriveWealth’s brokerage infrastructure.
As prediction markets move into the financial mainstream, event contracts are emerging as a new tradable asset class that could follow the adoption path of options and crypto.
Digital trading and brokerage company DriveWealth is teaming up with prediction market platform Kalshi in a move to capitalize on the growing interest in events contracts. The New Jersey-based company plans to integrate Kalshi’s event contracts into its brokerage platform.
The integration allows clients using DriveWealth’s brokerage-as-a-service platform to offer event-driven markets alongside more traditional equities, ETFs, and other traditional asset classes within the same interface.
Kalshi allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events such as elections, economic indicators, weather, sports, and more in a fully regulated environment. Because it offers investment opportunities based on highly publicized events such as sporting and political events, Kalshi brings an approachable new asset class that has quickly become mainstream. Kalshi currently attracts over $100 billion in annualized volume.
Rather than operating purely as a standalone trading venue, Kalshi has increasingly positioned itself as infrastructure for fintech platforms seeking to add regulated event contracts to their product mix. “DriveWealth’s global reach and embedded brokerage infrastructure make them an ideal partner to Kalshi,” said Kalshi Co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour. “Our goal is to provide leading fintech platforms with more access to regulated prediction markets.”
The new integration also places DriveWealth in the footsteps of Robinhood, which began integrating Kalshi’s prediction market platform into its investing app in August of last year. Other investment platforms leveraging Kalshi include WeBull and PrizePicks.
Offering an increasingly popular asset class like prediction markets enables DriveWealth clients to attract new users while deepening engagement with existing investors who may currently trade on external platforms. For end users, consolidating multiple investment opportunities within a single platform simplifies portfolio tracking and performance monitoring across markets. For DriveWealth clients, the addition modernizes their product offering while strengthening customer retention and growth.
As prediction markets gain regulatory clarity and mainstream traction, DriveWealth sees the Kalshi integration as a way to future-proof its brokerage infrastructure. “Our integration with Kalshi strengthens our ability to deliver cutting-edge market opportunities to our partners,” said DriveWealth CEO Naureen Hassan. “DriveWealth was built to power the future of global investing through scalable, API-driven technology, and Kalshi’s forward-thinking approach to market design makes for a natural fit. Together, we’re uniquely positioned to equip our partners with the latest financial innovations and next-generation market access for their clients.”
Overall, prediction markets are on a major growth trajectory this year. Prediction markets have evolved from niche academic tools and offshore betting platforms into regulated investing tools with growing institutional backing.
As retail investors increasingly seek alternative ways to grow their funds, prediction markets create a new category of tradable risk exposure. If distribution partnerships like those with Robinhood and DriveWealth continue to scale, event contracts could follow a trajectory similar to options or crypto that were once fringe, but are now embedded into modern product stacks.
Affordability used to sound like a budgeting challenge. Today, for many, it has transformed into a survival math problem where the cost of basic needs outpaces what’s coming in. We’ve all seen the social media chatter about grocery prices; a normal trip for eggs, milk, and bread is now treated like a luxury experience.
A 2025 poll from the Wall Street Journal and NORC at the University of Chicago found that the share of people who believe they have a good chance of improving their standard of living fell to 25%, a record low since 1987. With the cost of childcare, healthcare, and rent rising faster than earnings, many aren’t just feeling “pressure”—they are in survival mode.
What is a Deficit Budget?
A deficit budget occurs when your essential monthly costs are higher than the total money coming in from work and benefits.
If you find yourself in this situation, the first step is a stability check. Identify your absolute basics: housing, utilities, and food. Temporarily set aside non-essentials like dining out, new clothing, or even aggressive debt payments.
Ask yourself: If I paused everything else, would my income still cover my household bills?
When the “math doesn’t math,” many fill the gap with credit cards, overdrafts, or Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) services. While these work in the short term, they increase pressure as balances grow, leading to missed rent or utility shutoffs. Personal discipline alone cannot bridge a systemic gap. This is where smarter cost-sharing and community support shift from being a backup plan to a primary financial strategy.
4 Strategies to Bridge the Affordability Gap
1. Leverage Community Cost-Sharing
Splitting costs is a powerful money move. Pick one essentials category this month and tackle it as a group.
Start a Grocery Group: Form a circle of 3–6 people to buy staples like rice, flour, and oil in bulk.
The Rotation Method: Rotate one weekly meal night among the group. This ensures everyone eats well while significantly reducing individual spending and labor.
2. Maximize Government Assistance Programs
Help exists, but it is often underused because the process feels daunting.
3. Tackle Utility Inflation Early
With electricity and gas prices surging, don’t wait for a “Past Due” notice to seek help.
4. Use AI-Driven Financial Insights
Knowledge is power. Use WiseOne™, your AI-driven financial wellness assistant, to automatically categorize your spending. WiseOne can help you identify “hidden” leaks in your budget and confirm which expenses are truly essential versus those that can be paused while you regain stability.
Creating Real-World Relief Together
Affording the essentials is not a solo battle, and it should not be treated like one. The current economic system asks households to absorb rising costs in isolation, but that model isn’t sustainable.
The most practical response is a mix of smart planning, accessing the benefits you qualify for, and sharing costs where you can. An intentional shift toward community cooperation and financial transparency can create the real-world relief we all need.
Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) CEO Douglas Herrington sold 6,835 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction dated Monday, February 23rd. The shares were sold at an average price of $205.82, for a total value of $1,406,779.70. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 522,361 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $107,512,341.02. The trade was a 1.29% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through the SEC website.
Amazon.com Stock Performance
AMZN opened at $210.64 on Thursday. The business’s 50-day simple moving average is $227.38 and its 200 day simple moving average is $227.93. Amazon.com, Inc. has a 52-week low of $161.38 and a 52-week high of $258.60. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, a quick ratio of 0.88 and a current ratio of 1.05. The firm has a market capitalization of $2.26 trillion, a PE ratio of 29.38, a PEG ratio of 1.34 and a beta of 1.37.
Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN – Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, February 5th. The e-commerce giant reported $1.95 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $1.97 by ($0.02). The company had revenue of $213.39 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $211.02 billion. Amazon.com had a return on equity of 21.87% and a net margin of 10.83%.The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 13.6% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same period last year, the firm earned $1.86 EPS. As a group, sell-side analysts expect that Amazon.com, Inc. will post 6.31 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Key Amazon.com News
Here are the key news stories impacting Amazon.com this week:
Positive Sentiment: Analysts say AWS capacity expansion could drive upside: Bank of America and other analysts argue AWS is aggressively adding capacity (estimated ~15 GW by 2027), which could boost revenue and justify AWS growth expectations. Amazon’s AWS expansion could drive potential revenue upside
Positive Sentiment: BofA and other firms reiterate bullish ratings: BofA kept a Buy and $275 target citing AWS capacity advantages; Wells Fargo reiterated Overweight — analyst support tempers downside from the recent pullback. Is Amazon underestimated? Analyst note
Positive Sentiment: Concrete capacity buildouts: Amazon pledged a $12B Louisiana data‑center investment to support AI/cloud demand — tangible capacity increases that underpin AWS revenue growth and justify part of the broader capex narrative. Amazon pledges $12B for Louisiana data centers
Neutral Sentiment: Leadership/AGI research change: The head of Amazon’s AGI lab is leaving — watch for follow-up on leadership and research continuity; impact on near-term revenue is unclear. Head of Amazon’s AGI lab is leaving
Neutral Sentiment: Short-term market tailwinds: cooperation news in the AI ecosystem (e.g., Anthropic excursions) has helped software/cloud names rally, giving AMZN some momentum independent of fundamentals. Anthropic extends enterprise olive branch
Negative Sentiment: Investor anxiety over massive AI capex: Ongoing debate about Amazon’s ~ $200B AI/data‑center capex plan is pressuring the stock — questions on timing of returns and FCF impact continue to weigh on valuation. 200B AI spending debate
Negative Sentiment: Insider sales: multiple senior execs (including filings from CEO Andy Jassy and others) disclosed sizable stock sales last week — a near‑term negative sentiment signal that can amplify downward pressure. Jassy Form 4 filing
Negative Sentiment: Regulatory/legal risks rising: California seeks an injunction over alleged merchant‑bullying on pricing, Italy banned an Amazon unit from processing staff data, and Spain flagged delays in compliance — potential fines, restrictions or compliance costs add uncertainty. California seeks injunctionItaly privacy banSpain antitrust note
Negative Sentiment: Rising short interest and market positioning: reported increases in short positions and sector rotation into Energy/Utilities amplify volatility risk for AMZN if sentiment sours further.
Institutional Investors Weigh In On Amazon.com
Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the company. Norges Bank bought a new stake in Amazon.com during the 4th quarter worth $32,868,735,000. J. Stern & Co. LLP grew its holdings in shares of Amazon.com by 20,598.0% during the fourth quarter. J. Stern & Co. LLP now owns 87,982,814 shares of the e-commerce giant’s stock worth $20,308,193,000 after purchasing an additional 87,557,736 shares during the last quarter. Nuveen LLC bought a new stake in shares of Amazon.com during the first quarter worth about $11,674,091,000. Cardano Risk Management B.V. increased its stake in shares of Amazon.com by 879.4% in the fourth quarter. Cardano Risk Management B.V. now owns 27,862,400 shares of the e-commerce giant’s stock valued at $6,431,199,000 after buying an additional 25,017,588 shares during the period. Finally, Vanguard Group Inc. raised its holdings in Amazon.com by 2.1% in the 2nd quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 849,721,601 shares of the e-commerce giant’s stock valued at $186,420,422,000 after buying an additional 17,447,045 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 72.20% of the company’s stock.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth
Several research analysts have recently weighed in on AMZN shares. Zacks Research lowered shares of Amazon.com from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Thursday, January 1st. Royal Bank Of Canada reissued an “outperform” rating and set a $300.00 price target on shares of Amazon.com in a research report on Friday, February 6th. Citizens Jmp raised their price objective on Amazon.com from $300.00 to $315.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a research report on Monday, February 2nd. Jefferies Financial Group reissued a “buy” rating on shares of Amazon.com in a report on Monday, February 2nd. Finally, Weiss Ratings restated a “buy (b)” rating on shares of Amazon.com in a research note on Monday, December 29th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fifty-three have issued a Buy rating and four have issued a Hold rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $287.29.
Amazon.com, Inc is a diversified technology and retail company best known for its e-commerce marketplace and broad portfolio of consumer and enterprise services. Founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994 and headquartered in Seattle, Washington, the company launched as an online bookseller and expanded into a global retail platform that sells products directly to consumers and provides a marketplace for third-party sellers. Over time Amazon has grown beyond retail into areas including cloud computing, digital media, devices and logistics.
Key businesses and offerings include Amazon’s online marketplace and fulfillment services, the Amazon Prime membership program (which bundles expedited shipping with streaming and other benefits), Amazon Web Services (AWS) which supplies on-demand cloud computing and storage to businesses and public-sector customers, and a range of content and advertising services such as Prime Video and Amazon Advertising.
See Also
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The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency today released a proposed rule to implement the Genius Act, including how it would handle the law’s prohibition on paying interest or yield on payment stablecoins.
The Genius Act was passed by Congress last year and established a framework for the OCC and other federal agencies to regulate payment stablecoins. The 376-page proposed rule would set standards and requirements related to stablecoin activities, custody and risk management, among other things. For example, the OCC is proposing a floor of $5 million on the minimum capital requirement for de novo stablecoin issuers.
The regulations would apply to payment stablecoin issuers and foreign payment stablecoin issuers under the OCC’s jurisdiction, as well as certain custody activities conducted by OCC-supervised entities, according to the agency. Issues related to the Bank Secrecy Act, anti-money laundering and Office of Foreign Asset Control sanctions will be addressed in a separate rulemaking in coordination with the Treasury Department.
As for the law’s prohibition on payment of interest, the American Bankers Association and others have raised concerns that the ban could be bypassed when exchanges or other affiliates offer yield or rewards to stablecoin holders. The rule states that the OCC understands that issuers could attempt to bypass the ban through arrangements with third parties. As a result, it will presume a stablecoin issuer is paying interest or yield if two conditions are met:
The stablecoin issuer has a contract, agreement or other arrangement with an affiliate or a related third party to pay interest or yield to the affiliate or related third party.
The affiliate or related third party has a contract, agreement or other arrangement to pay interest or yield to a holder of any payment stablecoin issued by the permitted stablecoin issuer solely in connection with the holding, use or retention of such payment stablecoin.
“Other arrangements that are not captured by the presumption may also violate the statutory prohibition or constitute an evasion thereof,” the rule states. “The OCC would assess those arrangements on a case-by-case basis but does not believe that it is necessary to include other arrangements within the rebuttable presumption at this time.”
“The OCC has given thoughtful consideration to a proposed regulatory framework in which the stablecoin industry can flourish in a safe and sound manner,” Comptroller of the Currency Jonathan Gould said. “We welcome feedback on the proposal to inform a final rule that is effective, practical and reflects broad industry perspective.”
Comments on the rule are due 60 days after publication in the Federal Register.
If you missed out on FinovateEurope earlier this month, you don’t have to feel left out any longer. The 22 demo videos are now live (and free to watch!) on the Finovate website and on Finovate’s YouTube channel.
Each seven-minute video offers a fast and efficient way to catch up on the latest new launches in fintech. We’ve highlighted the three Best of Show-winning demos below to get you started.
For more coverage of on-stage content at FinovateEurope, check out our post-show analysis. And if you don’t want to miss out on the live action next time around, be sure to register for FinovateSpring, taking place on May 5 through 7 in San Diego, California. We’ll see you there!
Out of the 1,900 ATM jackpotting incidents reported since 2000, more than 700 occurred last year alone, resulting in roughly $20 million in losses, the FBI said in a new alert.
Criminals are deploying ATM jackpotting malware, including the Ploutus family malware, to infect ATMs and force them to dispense cash, the FBI said. Ploutus attacks the ATM itself rather than customer accounts, enabling fast cash-out operations that can occur in minutes and are often difficult to detect until after the money is withdrawn.
The alert lists several indicators that an ATM has been compromised with malware. It also encourages financial institutions to take steps to enhance both the physical security and hardware security of ATMs, such as installing threat sensors that alert personnel to suspicious activity and enabling hard drive encryption.
The agency encourages financial institutions that have identified suspicious activity to contact their local FBI field office, and to report the activity to the FBI Internet Crime Complaint Center. Each report should include the date, time, location, type of activity, number of people, and type of equipment used for the activity, the name of the submitting company or organization, and a designated point of contact.
Strengthening Families & Communities LLC grew its stake in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) by 3,196.9% in the third quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund owned 52,256 shares of the e-commerce giant’s stock after acquiring an additional 50,671 shares during the quarter. Amazon.com comprises approximately 2.5% of Strengthening Families & Communities LLC’s investment portfolio, making the stock its 4th biggest position. Strengthening Families & Communities LLC’s holdings in Amazon.com were worth $11,411,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.
Other institutional investors have also modified their holdings of the company. Cornerstone Advisors Asset Management LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Amazon.com in the third quarter valued at about $286,000. Elm Partners Management LLC purchased a new position in Amazon.com during the third quarter worth about $1,591,000. Cornerstone Planning Group LLC boosted its holdings in Amazon.com by 15.2% in the 3rd quarter. Cornerstone Planning Group LLC now owns 14,152 shares of the e-commerce giant’s stock valued at $3,154,000 after purchasing an additional 1,867 shares during the last quarter. Droms Strauss Advisors Inc. MO ADV boosted its holdings in Amazon.com by 3.9% in the 3rd quarter. Droms Strauss Advisors Inc. MO ADV now owns 2,426 shares of the e-commerce giant’s stock valued at $533,000 after purchasing an additional 92 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Physician Wealth Advisors Inc. grew its stake in shares of Amazon.com by 11.5% in the 3rd quarter. Physician Wealth Advisors Inc. now owns 15,715 shares of the e-commerce giant’s stock valued at $3,450,000 after buying an additional 1,617 shares during the period. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 72.20% of the company’s stock.
Amazon.com Stock Up 1.6%
Amazon.com stock opened at $208.56 on Wednesday. The firm has a market capitalization of $2.24 trillion, a P/E ratio of 29.09, a P/E/G ratio of 1.31 and a beta of 1.37. The company has a current ratio of 1.05, a quick ratio of 0.88 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16. Amazon.com, Inc. has a twelve month low of $161.38 and a twelve month high of $258.60. The stock’s fifty day simple moving average is $227.59 and its 200-day simple moving average is $228.06.
Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN – Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Thursday, February 5th. The e-commerce giant reported $1.95 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.97 by ($0.02). Amazon.com had a net margin of 10.83% and a return on equity of 21.87%. The company had revenue of $213.39 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $211.02 billion. During the same quarter last year, the business posted $1.86 earnings per share. The company’s revenue for the quarter was up 13.6% on a year-over-year basis. As a group, equities analysts expect that Amazon.com, Inc. will post 6.31 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Amazon.com News Roundup
Here are the key news stories impacting Amazon.com this week:
Positive Sentiment: Amazon announced a major infrastructure push: a $12 billion data‑center buildout in northwest Louisiana to support AI and cloud demand — this is concrete capacity for AWS, strengthens the company’s AI/service revenue runway and supports longer‑term AWS growth. Amazon plans $12 billion data center buildout in Louisiana
Positive Sentiment: Sector tailwinds: a tech-led market rally and reports of cooperation between Anthropic and software vendors boosted software/cloud stocks, helping AWS-exposed names like Amazon. This provides short‑term market momentum for AMZN. Anthropic Extends Enterprise Olive Branch, Lifts Software Stocks
Neutral Sentiment: Leadership and research changes: David Luan, head of Amazon’s AGI lab, is leaving after under two years — a development to monitor for AGI program continuity but not yet a clear hit to near‑term revenue. Head of Amazon’s AGI lab is leaving the company
Negative Sentiment: Insider selling: multiple senior executives (including CEO Andy Jassy and other senior officers) disclosed sizable share sales last week — a negative sentiment signal that can add pressure to the stock even if sales are routine. Jassy Form 4 filing
Negative Sentiment: Regulatory/legal headwinds: California asked a court to enjoin alleged merchant‑bullying on prices, and Italy’s privacy regulator banned an Amazon unit from processing staff personal data — potential fines, restrictions or adverse rulings could increase costs and uncertainty. California seeks injunctionItaly privacy ban
Negative Sentiment: AI capex debate persists: investor unease about Amazon’s roughly $200 billion AI/data‑center capex plan continues to weigh on valuation (questions on timing of returns and free‑cash‑flow impact). Several recent articles argue the spending spooked the market and is the principal reason for the February drawdown. A $200 Billion AI Bet Is Either Amazon’s Masterstroke or Its Biggest Mistake
Wall Street Analyst Weigh In
Several analysts have recently commented on the stock. Loop Capital lifted their price target on shares of Amazon.com from $300.00 to $360.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research report on Tuesday, November 18th. Truist Financial cut their target price on Amazon.com from $290.00 to $280.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Friday, February 6th. Piper Sandler reaffirmed an “overweight” rating and issued a $260.00 price target (down from $300.00) on shares of Amazon.com in a research note on Friday, February 6th. Wedbush cut their price objective on Amazon.com from $340.00 to $300.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a research report on Friday, February 6th. Finally, UBS Group set a $311.00 target price on shares of Amazon.com in a research report on Tuesday, February 3rd. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fifty-three have issued a Buy rating and four have assigned a Hold rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $287.29.
In related news, VP Shelley Reynolds sold 2,695 shares of Amazon.com stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, February 23rd. The shares were sold at an average price of $205.90, for a total value of $554,900.50. Following the completion of the transaction, the vice president owned 119,780 shares in the company, valued at $24,662,702. The trade was a 2.20% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this hyperlink. Also, CEO Douglas J. Herrington sold 6,835 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, February 23rd. The stock was sold at an average price of $205.82, for a total transaction of $1,406,779.70. Following the transaction, the chief executive officer owned 522,361 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $107,512,341.02. This trade represents a 1.29% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. In the last ninety days, insiders have sold 73,186 shares of company stock worth $15,067,539. Corporate insiders own 10.80% of the company’s stock.
Amazon.com, Inc is a diversified technology and retail company best known for its e-commerce marketplace and broad portfolio of consumer and enterprise services. Founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994 and headquartered in Seattle, Washington, the company launched as an online bookseller and expanded into a global retail platform that sells products directly to consumers and provides a marketplace for third-party sellers. Over time Amazon has grown beyond retail into areas including cloud computing, digital media, devices and logistics.
Key businesses and offerings include Amazon’s online marketplace and fulfillment services, the Amazon Prime membership program (which bundles expedited shipping with streaming and other benefits), Amazon Web Services (AWS) which supplies on-demand cloud computing and storage to businesses and public-sector customers, and a range of content and advertising services such as Prime Video and Amazon Advertising.
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In this post we provide a measure of “global” r* using data on short- and long-term yields and inflation for several countries with the approach developed in “Global Trends in Interest Rates” (Del Negro, Giannone, Giannoni, and Tambalotti). After declining significantly from the 1990s to before the COVID-19 pandemic, global r* has risen but remains well below its pre-1990s level. These conclusions are based on an econometric model called “trendy VAR” that extracts common trends across a multitude of variables. Specifically, the common trend in real rates across all the countries in the sample is what we call global r*. The post is based on the discussion of an insightful paper by Lukasz Rachel on the drivers of r* presented at the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity Fall 2025 conference.
Is There a Global R*? Cross-Country Convergence in R*
The chart below plots estimates of r* using macroeconomic data for the eighteen developed countries included in the Jordà-Schularick-Taylor Macrohistory database. It shows that before the 1980s there is a lot of dispersion in r* across countries. But after the late 1980s this dispersion disappears all of a sudden, arguably as a result of financial market integration. Therefore, after the late 1980s, we can actually talk of a global r*, since the trends in real rates are one and the same across advanced countries. The important implication of this finding, which was first documented in “Global Trends in Interest Rates,” is that both the decline in r* from the 1990s to before COVID and the post-COVID rise that is evident from the chart are global phenomena.
The Decline, and Recent Rise, in the Global (and U.S.) R*
The dashed black line in the chart below shows the posterior median of global r* with the shaded areas showing the 68 and 95 percent posterior coverage intervals. The dotted black line shows the posterior median of U.S. r*. According to the model, global r* fell from about 3 percent in the early 1990s to below 0 percent after the financial crisis. It continued declining in the 2010s and then rose by about 1 percentage point after COVID. By and large, the U.S. r* has tracked global r* since the late 1980s, except that it declined comparatively more in the aftermath of the financial crisis. By 2024, the end of the sample, the median posterior estimates of both global and U.S. r* are around 0.5 percent (more precisely, 0.31 and 0.46). This figure is broadly consistent with “the GDP-weighted average of estimates of r-star for … Canada, the Euro Area, the United Kingdom, and the United States,” according to a recent presentation by New York Fed President and CEO John C. Williams, although the U.S. r* point estimate is a bit below current estimates of U.S. r* from the well-known Laubach-Williams and Holston-Laubach-Williams models, which are about 1 percent. However, the large posterior coverage intervals shown in the chart are there to remind us that extracting trend from cycle is a difficult task, and that one should take point estimates with more than a grain of salt. The 68 percent posterior coverage intervals for both global and U.S. r* range from about -0.5 to above 1 percent, while the 95 percent intervals range from about -1.5 to above 2 percent.
Even if the level of r* is very uncertain, the model is able to detect changes in r* over time with greater statistical confidence. The first row of the table below reports the decline in global and U.S. r* from 1990 to 2019, by our calculations. The median estimate of the decline is about 3.5 percentage points for both the world and the U.S. Although the width of the 95 percent posterior coverage intervals (in parentheses) indicate that the exact magnitude of the decline is uncertain, there is no question statistically that such a decline in r* has taken place from the 1990s to before COVID: the posterior probability that the change is less than zero is greater than 97.5 percent, as indicated by the three stars next to each number.
Both the table and the charts above also point to a statistically significant rise in both global and U.S. r* in the post-COVID period: of about 0.8 percentage point for the global r* and a little more than 1 percentage point for the U.S. r*. It is important to remark that the magnitude of the increase is smaller than that of the pre-COVID decline, hence r* remains well below what it was in the 1990s. To the extent that one believes the model’s message of a post-COVID increase in r*, it begs the question of what is driving it. Since the increase is not just a U.S. phenomenon but global—the first chart in the post shows that r* rose in pretty much all developed countries—its drivers better be global as well. Purely country-specific explanations for the increase in r* may not be the whole story.
In previous research, some of us have argued that an increase in the global convenience yield—that is, the convenience for safety and liquidity that applies to all advanced economies’ government bonds—is an important driver of the pre-COVID decline in r*. In other words, investors’ appetite for safety (and liquidity) drove government bond yields across advanced economies down between 1990 and 2019. To what extent did a sudden decline in the convenience yield between 2019 and 2024 drive r* up?
The bottom panel of the table above decomposes changes in r* into a component attributable to the convenience yield (“cy”) and a component attributable to other drivers (“Other”). The table shows that indeed the increase in the convenience yield explains about one-third of the decline in r* both for the U.S. and the world between 1990 and 2019. The decline in the convenience yield for government bonds also explains one-third to one-half of the post-COVID rise in r*, although it is not precisely estimated. This decline, which in the U.S. is reflected in a compression of corporate bond spreads, reflects the fact that for a variety of reasons, possibly including the surge in government debt across advanced economies, the appeal of government bonds in the U.S. and around the world in terms of safety and liquidity has declined. At the same time, the table shows that this decline is clearly not the entire story: the change in the remainder is larger and statistically more significant than the change in “cy.”
If not the convenience yield, what explains the post-COVID rise in r*? Two plausible candidates are: a forthcoming artificial-intelligence-driven uptick in productivity growth and future surges in debt-to-GDP, possibly driven by a perceived unwillingness on the part of governments in advanced economies to raise taxes to deal with the demographic transition, and/or by higher expected military spending. Rachel’s Brookings paper considers these scenarios and shows that both factors might well be driving the rise in r*, although the abruptness of the rise is harder to rationalize in the model.
In sum, we find that r* has risen by about 1 percentage point in the U.S. and in advanced economies after COVID, and that about one-third of the change may be due to a decline in the convenience yield for government bonds. The r* estimates discussed in this post, and the replication code, are available on this GitHub page. We hope to update these estimates as new data becomes available.
Marco Del Negro is an economic research advisor in the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Research and Statistics Group.
Elena Elbarmi is a research analyst in the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Research and Statistics Group.
Michael Pham is a research analyst in the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Research and Statistics Group.
How to cite this post: Marco Del Negro, Elena Elbarmi, and Michael Pham, “The Post‑Pandemic Global R*,” Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics, February 25, 2026, https://doi.org/10.59576/lse.20260225 BibTeX: View |
@article{
Del NegroElbarmiPham2026,
author={Del Negro, Marco and Elbarmi, Elena and Pham, Michael},
title={The Post‑Pandemic Global R*},
journal={Liberty Street Economics},
note={Liberty Street Economics Blog},
number={February 25},
year={2026},
url={https://doi.org/10.59576/lse.20260225}
}
Disclaimer The views expressed in this post are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System. Any errors or omissions are the responsibility of the author(s).
Walmart, GameStop, GigaCloud Technology, Pattern Group, OLB Group, WM Technology, and PSQ are the seven Ecommerce stocks to watch today, according to MarketBeat’s stock screener tool. Ecommerce stocks are shares of companies whose primary business is selling goods or enabling transactions online—this includes pure‑play retailers, marketplace platforms, payments processors, logistics providers and software vendors that support online commerce. For investors, these stocks are typically valued on metrics like online sales growth, customer acquisition and platform monetization, and carry sector-specific risks such as intense competition, technology disruption and regulatory or supply‑chain challenges. These companies had the highest dollar trading volume of any Ecommerce stocks within the last several days.
Walmart (WMT)
Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, other units, and eCommerce worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam’s Club. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores under Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands; membership-only warehouse clubs; ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, PhonePe and other sites; and mobile commerce applications.
GameStop Corp., a specialty retailer, provides games and entertainment products through its stores and ecommerce platforms in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Europe. The company sells new and pre-owned gaming platforms; accessories, such as controllers, gaming headsets, and virtual reality products; new and pre-owned gaming software; and in-game digital currency, digital downloadable content, and full-game downloads.
GigaCloud Technology Inc. provides end-to-end B2B ecommerce solutions for large parcel merchandise in the United States and internationally. The company offers GigaCloud Marketplace integrates product discovery to payments to logistics tools into one easy-to-use platform. Its marketplace connects manufacturers primarily in Asia with resellers in the United States, Asia, and Europe to execute cross-border transactions across furniture, home appliance, fitness equipment, and other large parcel categories.
At Pattern, we are on a mission to help brands accelerate profitable growth on global ecommerce marketplaces. Today, our proprietary technology and on-demand experts operate across more than 60 marketplaces to increase product sales to consumers in more than 100 countries. Utilizing more than 46 trillion data points and sophisticated machine learning and artificial intelligence (“AI”) models, we strive to optimize and automate key levers of ecommerce growth, including advertising, content creation and management, pricing, forecasting and customer service.
The OLB Group, Inc. is a diversified fintech e-commerce merchant services provider and Bitcoin crypto mining enterprise. The Company’s eCommerce platform delivers e-commerce services for a digital commerce solution to over 10,500 merchants in all 50 states. The Company’s wholly owned subsidiary, DMINT, Inc, is engaged in the mining of Bitcoin utilizing low carbon natural gas with over 1,000 application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC)-based S19j Pro 96T mining computers.
WM Technology, Inc. provides ecommerce and compliance software solutions to retailers and brands in cannabis market in the United States and internationally. The company offers Weedmaps marketplace that allows cannabis users to search for and browse cannabis products from retailers and brands, and reserve products from local retailers; and education and learning information to help newer consumers learn about the types of products to purchase.
PSQ Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an online marketplace through advertising and eCommerce in the United States. It operates through two segments, Marketplace and Brands segments. The PSQ platform is accessible through its mobile application and website. The company also sells diapers and wipes to mothers online under the EveryLife brand name.
Understanding how short- and long-term assets are priced is one of the fundamental questions in finance. The term structure of risk premia allows us to perform net present value calculations, test asset pricing models, and potentially explain the sources of many cross-sectional asset pricing anomalies. In this post, I construct a forward-looking estimate of the term structure of risk premia in the corporate bond market following Jankauskas (2024). The U.S. corporate bond market is an ideal laboratory for studying the relationship between risk premia and maturity because of its large size (standing at roughly $16 trillion as of the end of 2024) and because the maturities are well defined (in contrast to equities).
Extracting Risk Premia from Yields
The forward-looking nature of yields, combined with the rich literature on expected default probabilities (Campbell, Hilscher, and Szilagyi [2008]; Feldhütter and Schaefer [2018]), allows us to extract expected returns without relying on historical price information. This feature provides powerful empirical advantages because in short historical samples realized returns may be driven by a few recessionary periods (for example, the Global Financial Crisis), structural shifts in the risk-free rate, or time-variation in risk premia, thereby biasing estimates of short- and long-duration returns.
The key input in the risk premium calculations is the expected default loss component. The corporate bond yield is composed of three main parts, as depicted in the figure below: the maturity matched risk-free rate, expected default losses, and a risk premium. The latter two components constitute credit spreads, which are directly observable in the data. The expected default component is estimated using a structural model of default following Feldhütter and Schaefer (2018), along with historical data on loss given default. The advantage of using a structural model to construct expected losses is that it provides ex-ante time-varying measures of risk premia for a wide range of maturities and firms. The resulting time-series and cross-sectional patterns can shed light on how investors price different types of risk.
Note: The figure depicts the decomposition of corporate bond yields into three main components: the maturity-matched risk-free rate, expected losses of default, and a risk premium.
Duration Varies Substantially Across Corporate Bonds
Corporate bonds display substantial variation in duration, ranging from just a few years to over fifteen years, as shown in the chart below. This duration dispersion is useful because it allows for the construction of duration-based bond portfolios that diversify idiosyncratic risk and isolate the effects of duration. I form these portfolios as of June each year and keep their composition fixed for a year. The average duration of such portfolios is reported in the table. The shortest-duration portfolios have an average duration of only one to two years, whereas the longest-duration decile has an average duration closer to fourteen years. These values serve as reference points when referring to short- and long-duration risk premia in the subsequent analysis.
Distribution of Bond-Month Observations Across Maturity and Duration
Sources: TRACE; author’s calculations. Notes: The chart presents the distribution of the data sample (2002-20) monthly observations by duration and maturity. The duration is measured using the standard Macaulay duration commonly used in the corporate bond literature. Bonds with maturities less than one year or above thirty years are excluded. The dark red bars are where the two histograms overlap.
Average Duration in Duration Deciles
Low
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
High
High-Low
1.3
2.4
3.4
4.2
5.1
6.0
7.1
8.8
11.5
14.1
12.7
Sources: TRACE; authors’ calculations. Notes: The table reports the average durations of corporate bonds in the data sample (2002-20) sorted each June into duration deciles. Bonds with maturities less than one year or above thirty years are excluded.
The Slope of the Risk Premia Term Structure
The next chart presents the decomposition of yields into the risk premium, credit loss, and risk-free rate components across the different duration portfolios. The average term structure of yields is upward-sloping, with most of the slope concentrated between portfolios 1 and 5 and driven primarily by the upward slope of the risk-free rate (depicted in gold). In contrast, the credit spreads, that is, the sum of the blue and red areas, are somewhat hump-shaped.
My analysis decomposes the credit spreads using a structural default model. The main finding is that the term structure of the risk premium is upward sloping (depicted in blue). Since the average risk-free rate term structure also has a positive slope, the total expected returns are strongly upward-sloping, yielding a term premium of roughly 3.4 percent. Most of this term premium is driven by the slope of the risk-free rate (2.1 percent), but a substantial part comes from the slope of the risk premia (1.3 percent). Importantly, the contribution of the risk premium is economically meaningful: it constitutes up to 20 percent of long-term bond yields, and up to 30 percent of total expected returns (the sum of the risk-free rate and the risk premium). The positive risk premia slope is consistent with classical habit and long-run risk models, which link asset maturity to higher risk exposure.
Risk-Free Rate and Risk Premium Term Structures Are Both Upward Sloping
Source: Author’s calculations. Notes: The chart presents the average yields, credit spreads, and decomposition of credit spreads into the risk premia and credit losses components by duration decile based on the structural default model of Feldhütter and Schaefer (2018).
The absolute size of risk premia falls well within a reasonable economic magnitude. Short-term bonds, with durations of one to two years, carry a premium close to 0 percent. This modest short-term risk premium indicates that investors do not treat corporate bonds strikingly differently from short-term government bonds, despite corporate bonds’ substantial heterogeneity. At longer horizons, the risk premium is much more substantial: it peaks at around 1.8 percent at intermediate horizons (four to six years) and levels off at approximately 1.5 percent for the longest duration portfolios (twelve years and more). This nonlinear effect is largely driven by the fact that most long-term bonds are issued by the safest issuers.
At first glance, the risk premia may appear small, especially if one compares them with the equity term structure estimates of 10-20 percent reported in Weber (2018). Part of the difference arises because the bond returns are net of the maturity-matched risk-free rate. In addition, the equity risk premium arguably reflects compensation for upside risks, to which bonds have limited exposure.
Conclusion
In this post, I quantify the shape of the forward-looking term structure in the U.S. corporate bond market. Overall, the evidence from the market highlights that risk premia, while modest in absolute size, play a meaningful role in shaping the term structure of returns. The upward-sloping profile of both the risk-free rate and the risk premium generates a sizeable term premium, with the latter accounting for a nontrivial share of long-term yields. These findings suggest that the corporate bond market provides a good laboratory for studying how investors are rewarded with different types of risk, offering valuable insights into both asset pricing theory and practical portfolio allocation.
Tomas Jankauskas is a financial research economist in the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Research and Statistics Group.
How to cite this post: Tomas Jankauskas, “Estimating the Term Structure of Corporate Bond Risk Premia,” Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics, February 24, 2026, https://doi.org/10.59576/lse.20260224 BibTeX: View |
@article{
Jankauskas2026,
author={Jankauskas, Tomas},
title={Estimating the Term Structure of Corporate Bond Risk Premia},
journal={Liberty Street Economics},
note={Liberty Street Economics Blog},
number={February 24},
year={2026},
url={https://doi.org/10.59576/lse.20260224}
}
Disclaimer The views expressed in this post are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System. Any errors or omissions are the responsibility of the author(s).
As National Bank of Indianapolis zooms past its 32nd anniversary, its boardroom still reflects the community roots that inspired its founding — paired with continual adaptation to a changing banking landscape.“We started in December 1993,” says CEO Mark Bruin. “For many years Indianapolis essentially had three banks, and within a few years, all were acquired by out-of-state institutions. We needed a locally owned bank.”
This article is from the January-February 2025 edition of ABA Banking Journal Directors Briefing. Find out more.
That commitment remains embedded in board composition. “All directors must live in the state of Indiana, preferably in central Indiana. We want evidence that they’re committed to the community,” Bruin says.
The 11-member board balances what Bruin calls the “corporate side” — executives from larger companies — with an “entrepreneurial wing.” It skews younger and more professionally active than the typical bank board. “We want people in the business world who are dealing with current issues,” he said.
The board has been both “strategic and selective” in adding three directors in the last three years. When the bank sought technology expertise, it recruited a director with experience managing and financing healthcare companies. After Bruin’s predecessor passed away, the bank filled what he called a gap in core banking experience with a CPA partner and a former chair of a competing bank.
Chemistry matters as much as credentials. “We have more people interested in being on our board than we have spots,” Bruin says. “We’re selective, and we really demand that they be collegial. We value consensus-building — and when we have difficult issues, that it’s done in a respectful, professional way.”
Chairman Greg Maurer says that dynamic is anchored in a clear division of responsibilities and mutual trust at the top. “My partnership with Mark is built on trust, clarity, and candor,” Maurer says. “He runs the bank; we ensure he has the support, resources, and accountability to do that effectively. We challenge each other, but always constructively and always in the service of the bank’s long-term mission.”
Since inception, the bank has separated the chair and CEO roles. “We always felt like the chair of the board ought to be independent,” Bruin explains. “If you concentrate the two, do you lose some level of independence of the board?”
Maurer sees that structural independence as essential to strong governance. “Independence gives a board the freedom to ask hard questions,” he says. “Constructive conflict isn’t a problem; it’s a tool. It’s how you avoid blind spots and make sure the decisions we ultimately align on are the right ones.”
For new directors, the biggest challenge is often learning how banking differs from other industries. “A bank’s balance sheet is sort of opposite of most companies,” Bruin notes. “And then there’s the many different types of competitors that don’t have a bank branch across the street — PayPal is the example I always use.”
To accelerate onboarding, the bank encourages new directors to sit in on other committee meetings, meet senior leaders one-on-one, leverage American Bankers Association resources and attend conferences and webinars.
Faced with mounting time demands on directors, the board recently cut its meeting schedule in half. “We had 10 meetings a year forever,” Bruin says. “This year we’ve reduced that to five. If you talked about something 30 days ago, it’s easier to pick the conversation back up. At 90 days, context starts to fade.”
To make each session count, the board revamped its agenda format and raised expectations for preparation. “Our books were reaching 800-plus pages,” Bruin says. “We’re taking a more aggressive approach to pare that back.”
Engagement remains the constant. “We’re a very engaged, active, collegial board who wants to do right by shareholders, employees, and the community,” Bruin says. “If a prospective director doesn’t check those boxes, they’re not going to be a director. We would not settle.”
What is the state of community banking in the US today? How are community banks evolving and transforming at a time of both potential opportunity and unprecedented challenge and competition?
Success stories about how community banks across the country are taking advantage of new technologies like generative AI and embedded finance will be a major part of the conversation later this year at FinovateSpring, May 5 through May 7, in San Diego.
With that in mind, today we’re taking a look at the findings from the 2025 CSBS Annual Survey of Community Banks that was unveiled at the Community Banking Research Conference last fall.
Rising competition from within and without the community
The competitive challenge from nonbanks remains a major concern for community banks throughout the US. Especially in areas such as payment services and wealth management, these fintech competitors have effectively leveraged enabling technologies like AI and embedded finance to create digital platforms able to attract customers, especially younger customers who are digitally native and have fewer ties to the traditional banking system. Nonbanks without a physical presence, for example, produced a 7% year-over-year change in competitiveness in payment services, according to the community bankers surveyed.
That said, nonbanks still trail other community banks as the biggest competition in seven out of nine product and service categories. Community banks identified local regional banks as their main competitors in payment services and nonbanks as their primary rivals in wealth management and retirement services.
The battle over deposits continues to be a significant challenge for most banks and financial institutions, and community banks are no different. While transaction deposit levels have stabilized in recent years, competition from nonbank institutions has grown, especially among those nonbanks that are out-of-market. This has compelled community bankers to adjust their pricing strategies based on local market rates; the survey noted that the number of community bankers that said that they “always” responded to rate changes increased by more than 38% to represent a quarter of all survey participants.
Fraud and financial crime remain paramount concerns
In terms of internal risks, community bankers cited cybercrime as a top issue by far all others. Both credit and debit card fraud are the most common types of fraud reported in terms of dollar losses, with check fraud, identity theft, and account takeover also among the chief challenges. The survey noted that these financial crimes—card fraud, check fraud, and identity theft with account takeover—represent the lion’s share of both total fraud cases and dollar losses.
To this point, the community bankers surveyed indicated that they were putting resources to work combatting fraud and financial crime. After safety and soundness practices, money laundering and consumer protection standards maintenance accounted for the second and third largest commitments of total compliance expenses.
“We continue to put more resources into cybersecurity and technology risk,” one respondent noted, “which has grown rapidly as part of our cost structure. We’ve invested heavily in systems and processes and added staff to review outputs to protect customers and prevent fraud. Fraud is not yet a large loss item for us, but it could be.”
E-signatures and remote deposit over AI and BaaS
For all the talk of AI and stablecoins, the technologies that are moving the needle for many community banks are more pedestrian and practical than one might imagine. Technologies viewed as “extremely” or “very” important included such solutions as e-signature, remote deposit capture (RDC), and integrated loan processing systems. At the bottom of the list of priorities? Interactive teller machines (ITMs) and fintech partnerships for Banking-as-Service were deemed “not at all important” by more than 50% and nearly 40% of respondents, respectively.
Asked to look forward over the next five years, the responses from the community bankers are similarly grounded. The top response by far, with more than 75% of respondents in agreement, was that the expansion of mobile banking services will be the most promising opportunity for their bank in the next half decade. Fully integrated loan processing systems came in second at just over 61% with cloud-based core systems at more than 53%. AI? As a tool for enhancing customer interactions, AI technology earned less than half the number of respondents. Partnerships with fintechs? For digital transformation, about a third. For BaaS, about a fifth.
What do community bankers want from fintechs?
The 2025 CSBS Annual Survey is a rich source of information and insight into the thinking of community bankers in the US right now. For fintechs looking to work with these institutions, either as partners or vendors, the survey offers a number of takeaways that can help make those connections fruitful for both fintechs and community banks.
Boosting deposit growth—Fintechs can support community banks in boosting deposit growth by offering tools such as personalized savings plans and competitive interest rate management solutions. Enhanced customer engagement platforms that heavily incentivize deposit loyalty can also be valuable. Fintechs can also provide community banks with analytics to help them identify and respond to deposit trends.
Scalable loan management technology—Making the process of loan origination, underwriting, and servicing easier for community banks is key to helping them win against competition in key financing areas such as small business, agriculture, and commercial real estate. This is also where AI-powered solutions can have a dramatically positive impact. Streamlining processes, improving applicant review, and enhancing the customer experience in lending overall are areas where fintechs have a significant track record of success and can greatly benefit community banks.
Operational efficiency and compliance—It is true for most businesses and community banks are no exception. Enabling technologies are making manual tasks increasingly unnecessary, as automation and agentic AI transform legacy workflows into smooth operational processes free of human error. These technologies are also making it easier for institutions—including community banks—to be more aware of their regulatory responsibilities and to be better able to act quickly and completely to ensure compliance. Fintechs specializing in compliance management tools and services can be key allies for community banks at a time of significant regulatory change and uncertainty.
Spreedly is partnering with Paysafe to integrate Paysafe’s merchant acquiring capabilities into its global payments orchestration platform.
The partnership gives merchants more flexibility by combining Paysafe’s gateway and acquiring tools with Spreedly’s open payments architecture.
The move will help modernize payment stacks with a modular approach.
Open payments platform Spreedly is partnering with payments processing fintech Paysafe, integrating Paysafe’s merchant acquirer capabilities into its own global payments orchestration platform.
Paysafe will process credit card and debit card payments for Spreedly’s online merchant clients doing business across Europe, North America, and other geographies. Under the agreement, Paysafe is processing card payments for multiple online trading brokers and financial services companies and plans to onboard additional merchants launching before the end of 2026.
From Paysafe’s perspective, the partnership expands the reach of its gateway technology into Spreedly’s global orchestration layer, particularly among online trading brokers and financial services companies operating across multiple markets. “With the Paysafe Gateway, a trusted solution for card payments among forex and financial trading brokers and a wide range of other industries, we look forward to strengthening Spreedly’s Open Payment Platform and streamlining payments for its merchant users and their customers,” said Paysafe Chief Revenue Officer Rob Gatto.
This integration is meaningful for merchants operating across borders, as payments complexity continues to grow with gateway fragmentation and regulatory changes. Combining Paysafe’s tools into Spreedly’s offering brings a modular, open payments stack that allows merchants to adapt without rebuilding their infrastructure.
Spreedly’s Open Payment Platform is a payment orchestration stack that offers merchants more than 140 gateway connections to more than 40 payment methods. Integrating the Paysafe Gateway allows Spreedly to process online card payments for merchants and their customers.
For Spreedly, adding Paysafe reinforces the company’s broader strategy of giving merchants more choice and flexibility across payment providers and geographies without locking them into a single acquirer or gateway. “At Spreedly, we believe open payments drive better outcomes for merchants. Bringing Paysafe onto our Open Payments Platform expands optionality for our customers and reinforces our mission to provide a flexible, future-ready infrastructure for global commerce,” said Spreedly Partner Strategy Director Michael Rokos.
Founded in 1996, UK-based Paysafe has 30 years of experience providing online payments tools for forex and financial trading brokers, as well as merchants in iGaming, ecommerce, travel, and hospitality. The company connects businesses and consumers across 260 payment types in over 48 currencies around the world. Paysafe processes an annualized volume of $152 billion in transactions and is publicly listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker PSFE with a market capitalization of $350 million.
Spreedly was founded in 2007 to help merchants build their payments stack on a single platform. The company’s payment orchestration stack processes over $60 billion in gross merchandise value on behalf of more than 400 customers across 100+ countries. Spreedly also offers fraud prevention, payment optimization tools, and more. Among the company’s clients are BMW, CLEAR, HBO Max, Hopper, Lemonade, Getty, Warner, The New York Times, and others.
American Axle & Manufacturing (NYSE:DCH – Get Free Report) is one of 31 publicly-traded companies in the “Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories” industry, but how does it weigh in compared to its rivals? We will compare American Axle & Manufacturing to related companies based on the strength of its earnings, dividends, analyst recommendations, valuation, institutional ownership, risk and profitability.
Profitability
This table compares American Axle & Manufacturing and its rivals’ net margins, return on equity and return on assets.
Net Margins
Return on Equity
Return on Assets
American Axle & Manufacturing
-0.34%
10.00%
1.17%
American Axle & Manufacturing Competitors
-561.48%
-11.41%
-7.16%
Analyst Ratings
This is a summary of current ratings and target prices for American Axle & Manufacturing and its rivals, as reported by MarketBeat.
Sell Ratings
Hold Ratings
Buy Ratings
Strong Buy Ratings
Rating Score
American Axle & Manufacturing
2
0
3
0
2.20
American Axle & Manufacturing Competitors
177
672
519
3
2.25
American Axle & Manufacturing presently has a consensus price target of $12.45, indicating a potential upside of 78.37%. As a group, “Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories” companies have a potential downside of 0.53%. Given American Axle & Manufacturing’s higher probable upside, research analysts plainly believe American Axle & Manufacturing is more favorable than its rivals.
Institutional & Insider Ownership
91.4% of American Axle & Manufacturing shares are held by institutional investors. Comparatively, 47.8% of shares of all “Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories” companies are held by institutional investors. 3.7% of American Axle & Manufacturing shares are held by company insiders. Comparatively, 13.1% of shares of all “Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories” companies are held by company insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that endowments, large money managers and hedge funds believe a stock will outperform the market over the long term.
Valuation and Earnings
This table compares American Axle & Manufacturing and its rivals gross revenue, earnings per share (EPS) and valuation.
Gross Revenue
Net Income
Price/Earnings Ratio
American Axle & Manufacturing
$5.84 billion
-$19.70 million
-38.78
American Axle & Manufacturing Competitors
$1.47 billion
-$2.71 million
-11.60
American Axle & Manufacturing has higher revenue, but lower earnings than its rivals. American Axle & Manufacturing is trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio than its rivals, indicating that it is currently more affordable than other companies in its industry.
Risk and Volatility
American Axle & Manufacturing has a beta of 1.6, suggesting that its stock price is 60% more volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, American Axle & Manufacturing’s rivals have a beta of 1.85, suggesting that their average stock price is 85% more volatile than the S&P 500.
Summary
American Axle & Manufacturing beats its rivals on 7 of the 13 factors compared.
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. is a leading supplier of driveline and drivetrain systems, modules and components for the light vehicle market world wide. It manufactures Driveline and Metal Forming technologies to support electric, hybrid and internal combustion vehicles. It’s the primary supplier of driveline components to its major customers include General Motors, Stellantis and Ford. It also sells various products to Ford & Stellantis from Metal Forming segment. It has the 2 operating segments. Driveline segment comprises front & rear axles, driveshafts, differential assemblies, clutch modules, balance shaft systems, disconnecting driveline technology, and electric & hybrid driveline products and systems for light trucks, SUVs, crossover vehicles, passenger cars and commercial vehicles. Metal Forming segment comprises axle & transmission shafts, ring and pinion gears, differential gears & assemblies, connecting rods and variable valve timing products for OEM and Tier 1 automotive suppliers.
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The Office of Foreign Assets Control announced the following sanctions action in the last two weeks.
Enforcement Action
OFAC announces $1.72 million settlement with IMG Academy: OFAC announced a $1,720,000 settlement with IMG Academy, LLC for 89 apparent violations of U.S. counternarcotics sanctions, after the school entered yearly tuition agreements and processed payments from Specially Designated Nationals (SDNs) tied to a Mexico‑based drug cartel between 2019 and 2025. OFAC assessed the conduct as non‑egregious and not voluntarily disclosed, resulting in the agreed settlement amount. Read more.
Russia-related Sanctions
Update to OFAC’s SDN List: OFAC has updated the entry for Limited Liability Company Investment Consultant Elbrus Capital, revising its listed name and address. The entity—previously recorded at Nab. Presnenskaya D. 10, Floor 27, KOM. 11V, Moscow 123112, Russia—now appears as Limited Liability Company Investment Consultant Elbrus Capital (a.k.a. Capella Capital Limited Liability Company) with an updated address at 3/10 Elektricheskiy pereulok, building 1, office 1N/6, Presnenskiy District, Moscow 123557, Russia. All associated identifiers, including its tax ID, registration number, and secondary‑sanctions risk under Executive Order 14024, remain unchanged.
Foreign Terrorist Organization Sanctions
OFAC sanctions CJNG-linked timeshare fraud network: On Feb. 19, OFAC sanctioned a timeshare fraud network led by the OFAC-designated Cartel de Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG), targeting Kovay Gardens—a Mexican timeshare resort—along with five individuals and 17 companies tied to the scheme. Many of the sanctioned actors operate in or near Puerto Vallarta, a CJNG stronghold, where the network has defrauded vulnerable older Americans of significant savings. Read more.
Additionally, OFAC issued Counter Terrorism General License 34, which temporarily authorizes limited wind‑down transactions involving Kovay Gardens until March 21, 2026, while maintaining all blocking requirements.
OFAC targets key Hizballah revenue and procurement networks: On Feb. 10, OFAC sanctioned Lebanon-based gold exchange company Jood SARL, which operates under Hizballah’s U.S.-designated Al-Qard Al-Hassan and helps convert the group’s gold reserves into liquid funds. OFAC also designated an international procurement and shipping network run by Hizballah financiers across the region, including Iran, aimed at sustaining the group’s financing and operations. Treasury emphasized that these actions are part of ongoing efforts to cut Hizballah off from the global financial system and counter its destabilizing activities in the Middle East. Read more.
Sudan-related Sanctions
OFAC sanctions RSF commanders for atrocities in El‑Fasher: On Feb. 19, OFAC sanctioned three commanders of Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces (RSF) for leading the group’s 18‑month siege and eventual capture of El‑Fasher in Sudan, where RSF fighters carried out a brutal campaign of ethnic killings, torture, starvation, and violence. These sanctions come amid extensive evidence that, since Sudan’s civil war began in April 2023, the RSF and allied militias have committed widespread atrocities amounting to war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide. Read more.
Venezuela-related Sanctions
OFAC expands authorizations for Venezuela’s energy sector: In mid‑February, OFAC issued General License 49 and General License 50 authorizing negotiations of contingent contracts and certain oil and gas sector transactions in Venezuela. Days later, OFAC released amended General License 50A, refining permitted oil and gas activities for specified entities, and published two new FAQs (1236 and 1237) to provide additional guidance on updated Venezuela authorizations.
Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ:DUOL – Get Free Report) insider Natalie Glance sold 3,545 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, February 18th. The shares were sold at an average price of $113.51, for a total value of $402,392.95. Following the completion of the transaction, the insider owned 115,380 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $13,096,783.80. This trade represents a 2.98% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through the SEC website.
Natalie Glance also recently made the following trade(s):
On Tuesday, February 17th, Natalie Glance sold 1,741 shares of Duolingo stock. The stock was sold at an average price of $110.06, for a total transaction of $191,614.46.
Duolingo Trading Up 1.6%
Shares of DUOL stock opened at $112.94 on Friday. The company has a quick ratio of 2.82, a current ratio of 2.82 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07. The firm has a market cap of $5.22 billion, a P/E ratio of 14.31, a PEG ratio of 0.60 and a beta of 0.86. The company has a 50 day moving average of $152.08 and a 200-day moving average of $232.39. Duolingo, Inc. has a 12-month low of $107.16 and a 12-month high of $544.93.
Duolingo News Summary
Here are the key news stories impacting Duolingo this week:
Institutional Investors Weigh In On Duolingo
Institutional investors and hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of the company. Baillie Gifford & Co. increased its holdings in Duolingo by 71.9% during the 4th quarter. Baillie Gifford & Co. now owns 4,861,445 shares of the company’s stock worth $853,184,000 after acquiring an additional 2,033,611 shares during the period. Dragoneer Investment Group LLC grew its position in shares of Duolingo by 324.4% during the 3rd quarter. Dragoneer Investment Group LLC now owns 1,580,787 shares of the company’s stock valued at $508,760,000 after purchasing an additional 1,208,346 shares in the last quarter. State of Michigan Retirement System grew its position in shares of Duolingo by 5,800.0% during the 4th quarter. State of Michigan Retirement System now owns 560,500 shares of the company’s stock valued at $98,368,000 after purchasing an additional 551,000 shares in the last quarter. FIL Ltd increased its holdings in shares of Duolingo by 1,715,575.9% in the fourth quarter. FIL Ltd now owns 497,546 shares of the company’s stock worth $87,319,000 after purchasing an additional 497,517 shares during the period. Finally, Norges Bank purchased a new stake in shares of Duolingo in the fourth quarter worth $86,159,000. 91.59% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth
Several research analysts have recently weighed in on the company. Scotiabank cut their price target on Duolingo from $600.00 to $300.00 and set a “sector outperform” rating for the company in a research note on Thursday, November 6th. Wells Fargo & Company dropped their price objective on shares of Duolingo from $185.00 to $160.00 and set an “underweight” rating on the stock in a report on Thursday, January 8th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut their target price on shares of Duolingo from $300.00 to $200.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a research report on Tuesday, January 20th. UBS Group set a $245.00 target price on shares of Duolingo in a research note on Monday, January 5th. Finally, Truist Financial set a $245.00 price target on shares of Duolingo in a research report on Thursday, January 15th. Eleven analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, eleven have issued a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the stock has an average rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $292.37.
Duolingo, Inc (NASDAQ:DUOL) is a technology-driven education company that operates a widely used language-learning platform. Founded in 2011 by Luis von Ahn and Severin Hacker, Duolingo offers a freemium service featuring bite-sized lessons, gamified exercises and adaptive learning algorithms. The company’s core product is its mobile and web application, which supports instruction in more than 40 languages, ranging from widely spoken tongues such as English and Spanish to lesser-taught options including Irish and Swahili.
In addition to its flagship language courses, Duolingo has expanded its product suite to include the Duolingo English Test, an on-demand, computer-based English proficiency exam designed for academic and professional admissions.
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Envestnet Asset Management Inc. lessened its stake in shares of Abercrombie & Fitch Company (NYSE:ANF – Free Report) by 11.7% in the 3rd quarter, HoldingsChannel.com reports. The fund owned 79,973 shares of the apparel retailer’s stock after selling 10,574 shares during the period. Envestnet Asset Management Inc.’s holdings in Abercrombie & Fitch were worth $6,842,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.
Several other institutional investors and hedge funds have also recently modified their holdings of the stock. AQR Capital Management LLC grew its stake in Abercrombie & Fitch by 1.1% in the second quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC now owns 1,978,142 shares of the apparel retailer’s stock worth $163,889,000 after purchasing an additional 22,215 shares in the last quarter. Valeo Financial Advisors LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Abercrombie & Fitch by 10,469.4% in the 2nd quarter. Valeo Financial Advisors LLC now owns 993,101 shares of the apparel retailer’s stock worth $82,278,000 after buying an additional 983,705 shares during the period. American Century Companies Inc. grew its position in shares of Abercrombie & Fitch by 3.3% during the 2nd quarter. American Century Companies Inc. now owns 833,702 shares of the apparel retailer’s stock worth $69,072,000 after buying an additional 26,722 shares in the last quarter. Brandywine Global Investment Management LLC purchased a new position in shares of Abercrombie & Fitch during the second quarter valued at $61,643,000. Finally, Norges Bank bought a new stake in shares of Abercrombie & Fitch in the second quarter valued at about $61,584,000.
Analysts Set New Price Targets
Several brokerages have issued reports on ANF. Jefferies Financial Group reiterated a “buy” rating and set a $145.00 target price on shares of Abercrombie & Fitch in a report on Monday, January 5th. Wall Street Zen lowered shares of Abercrombie & Fitch from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Sunday, February 15th. Barclays boosted their price objective on shares of Abercrombie & Fitch from $94.00 to $115.00 and gave the stock an “equal weight” rating in a research note on Tuesday, January 6th. BTIG Research reaffirmed a “buy” rating on shares of Abercrombie & Fitch in a research report on Tuesday, January 13th. Finally, The Goldman Sachs Group initiated coverage on shares of Abercrombie & Fitch in a report on Thursday, December 11th. They issued a “buy” rating and a $120.00 target price for the company. Seven equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and five have given a Hold rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat, the stock has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $124.60.
In other Abercrombie & Fitch news, CEO Fran Horowitz sold 103,200 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, January 22nd. The stock was sold at an average price of $98.53, for a total value of $10,168,296.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer directly owned 605,303 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $59,640,504.59. The trade was a 14.57% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this link. Insiders sold 350,000 shares of company stock worth $34,661,358 in the last three months. 2.29% of the stock is currently owned by company insiders.
Abercrombie & Fitch Stock Up 0.3%
Shares of NYSE ANF opened at $96.18 on Friday. The firm has a market cap of $4.41 billion, a P/E ratio of 9.22 and a beta of 1.19. Abercrombie & Fitch Company has a 52 week low of $65.40 and a 52 week high of $133.11. The business’s 50 day moving average price is $108.56 and its 200 day moving average price is $93.65.
Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF – Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Wednesday, November 26th. The apparel retailer reported $2.36 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $2.14 by $0.22. The company had revenue of $1.29 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $1.28 billion. Abercrombie & Fitch had a net margin of 10.07% and a return on equity of 38.01%. The firm’s quarterly revenue was up 6.8% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the previous year, the firm posted $2.50 earnings per share. As a group, research analysts expect that Abercrombie & Fitch Company will post 10.62 earnings per share for the current year.
Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE: ANF) is an American specialty retailer that designs, markets and sells casual apparel and accessories for men, women and children. Founded in 1892 by David T. Abercrombie and Ezra Fitch, the company evolved from an outdoor gear outfitter to a global lifestyle brand renowned for its relaxed, preppy aesthetic. Its product assortment includes tops, bottoms, outerwear, intimates, swimwear, fragrances and personal care items.
The company operates under multiple brand names, including Abercrombie & Fitch, Abercrombie Kids, Hollister and Gilly Hicks, each targeting distinct consumer segments from teens to young adults.
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This week’s edition of Finovate Global focuses on fintech developments in countries located in and around East Africa.
Digital banking secures investment in Zambia
Zambian digital banking platform Lupiya has raised $11.25 million in Series A funding. The round—nearly two years in the making—was led by IDF Capital’s Alitheia IDF Fund, and featured participation from INOKS Capital and KfW DEG, a German development finance institution. Lupiya will use the capital to bolster the digital bank’s technology infrastructure, grow its product range, and enter southern and east African markets beyond Zambia’s borders.
Founded by Evelyn Chilomo Kaingu (CEO) and Muchu Kaingu (CTO) in 2016, Lupiya serves unbanked and underbanked communities in Zambia with credit products and digital payment services via its Lupiya Pay offering. The company has partnered with Mastercard to access payment rails to enable digital transactions and is part of the card network’s financial inclusion strategy. Previous investors in the firm include Enygma Ventures, which contributed $1 million to the company’s coffers. Lupiya has opened an additional funding round this year—alongside its Series A—dedicated to scaling its lending business, enhancing its embedded finance offerings, and bringing Lupiya Pay to new markets.
Lupiya was one of the first companies to earn approval from the Security Exchange Commission in Zambia to offer investments through peer-to-peer lending. Launching this service in-country in 2022, Lupiya expanded operations to Tanzania the following year. Lupiya offers personal loans including collateral-backed loans and salary advances, as well as business financing, invoice discounting, and agriloans. Customers can use Lupiya to send and receive funds via mobile money, P2P, or bank accounts.
According to the World Bank, Zambia’s financial inclusion rate has improved significantly in recent years, climbing from 59.3% in 2015 to 69.4% in 2020. Regional disparities are significant, however, with Lusaka Province, home to the capital city, Lusaka, having a financial inclusion rate of more than 87%, with more rural areas having inclusion rates of approximately 40%. The landlocked country shares borders with the Democratic Republic of Congo, Angola, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Malawi, and Tanzania.
Ethiopia goes live with instant payments
Instant payments are sweeping the globe—and now businesses, communities, and banks throughout Ethiopia will be able to leverage the technology to provide centralized automated reconciliation, new card and e-wallet services, and more.
In partnership with the National Bank of Ethiopia, the country’s national switch EthSwitch has launched Ethiopia’s National Instant Payment System. Powered by BPC’s SmartVista platform, the system was officially introduced in December 2025, and now connects 32 banks, 12 MFIs, three PSOs, and three PIIs. The unveiling of EthioPay-IPS will enable EthSwitch to offer banks and other financial institutions modern payment rails capable of delivering faster and more economical payment transactions. These include account-to-account and wallet-to-wallet transfers, payments with interoperable QR codes, as well as requests-to-pay and alias-based payments that allow users to transfer funds using a simple identifier.
BPC’s SmartVista suite is a modular payment processing solution for banks, financial institutions, payment service providers, and fintechs. The technology combines banking, commerce, and mobility platforms to facilitate digital banking, payment processing, ATM and switching, fraud management, financial inclusion, and more. Founded in 1996 and headquartered in Switzerland, BPC has more than 500 customers across 140 countries.
Established in 2011, EthSwitch is a share company owned by Ethiopia’s private and public banks, as well as the National Bank of Ethiopia, MFIs, PIIs, and PSOs. The organization has a mandate to support the modernization of Ethiopia’s payment system and to enhance financial inclusion throughout the country. This includes EthSwitch’s 2016 initiative to enable the interoperability of ATMs and POS terminals operated by the nation’s banks.
“Our goal is to provide simple, affordable, secure, and efficient digital payment infrastructure to every retail payment provider and through them, to every Ethiopian,” EthSwitch Chief Portfolio Officer Abeneazer Wondwossen said. “With SmartVista, we have built an interoperable nationwide ecosystem for instant payments that is locally governed, future-ready, and open to innovation. This launch is a point of pride for Ethiopia and a milestone for our financial sector.”
Kayko Raises $1.2 million to help SMEs in Rwanda
Kayko, which offers a small business financial management platform for companies in Rwanda, has secured $1.2 million in seed funding. Participating in the investment were Burrow Capital, the Luxembourg Development Agency, and Hanga Ignite by BRD and develoPPP Ventures. The company, founded in 2021 by brothers Crepin and Kevin Kayisire, will use the capital to fortify its infrastructure, expand its data capabilities, and build credit scoring and lending tools based on real transaction data.
Kayko serves more than 8,500 Rwandan SMEs with bookkeeping, inventory, and tax support. The fintech helps boost SME access to credit in a country in which many businesses have incomplete or informal financial records that make it difficult to secure financing or to scale operations. For these and other small businesses, Kayko provides a point-of-sale and business management system that helps them process sales, track expenses, and accept payments, while turning everyday business activity into structured financial data for analysis and insights.
Kayko’s funding news coincides with the Kigali-based fintech securing an Electronic Money Issuer (EMI) license from the National Bank of Rwanda (NBR). “With this license, we move from planning to execution,” Crepin Kayisire said in a statement on the company’s LinkedIn page. “We can now operate regulated payments, merchant wallets, and data-driven financial services that improve access to financing for small businesses.”
Here is our look at fintech innovation around the world.
Sub-Saharan Africa
South African crypto platform Luno introduced crypto and tokenized stock bundle.
Blockchain infrastructure provider Binance and African mobile network operator Africell announced a collaboration to boost blockchain education and digital asset literacy across Africa.
Ethiopia’s national switch, EthSwitch, launched the country’s National Instant Payment System, in partnership with the National Bank of Ethiopia and powered by BPC’s SmartVista platform.
Central and Eastern Europe
The Bank of Lithuania supplemented the electronic money institution (EMI) license for TransferGo Lithuania, enabling the fintech to expand beyond money transfers and payment account services.
Open banking solutions provider Salt Edge and financial management platform NoCFO teamed up to bring Pay by Bank to SMEs in Germany and Finland.
Uruguayan fintech dLocal partnered with online English-language platform Open English to introduce a new payment method, Bre-B, for students in Colombia
Visainked a deal to acquire Argentinian payment companies Prisma Medios de Pago and Newpay from private equity firm Advent International.
Peru’s Banco de la Microempresa selectedTemenos SaaS to modernize its core banking infrastructure.
Saying that existing capital rules have discouraged bank participation in mortgage lending, the American Bankers Association and seven other associations today offered proposed reforms to help reverse that trend.
Earlier this week, Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman announced the Fed would soon issue proposals to change the regulatory capital framework in ways that incentivize banks to originate and service mortgages. ABA and the other associations made several recommendations for reforms in a joint letter to Bowman and other banking regulators.
“Excessive capital requirements that are misaligned with empirically derived risk assessments can negatively affect the cost of and access to credit,” the groups said.
Recognizing that changes are currently under review, the associations urged the agencies to issue a proposal expeditiously. Among their recommendations:
Risk weights for mortgage loans can and should more accurately reflect real-world credit performance and avoid unnecessary “gold-plating” or other measures that might make homeownership less attainable for first-time or low- to moderate-wealth borrowers.
Capital charges and limits or deductions from capital tied to mortgage servicing rights, or MSRs, should be empirically justified and appropriately calibrated.
The capital framework should promote the continued availability of warehouse lines of credit and other short-term funding that support mortgage origination, servicing and liquidity for MSRs.
Regulators should recognize that mortgage insurance and proven credit risk transfer mechanisms, including both cash-market and insurance-based executions, can play a critical role in reducing the risk and severity of losses for regulated entities in instances of default, while preserving and enhancing credit options for homeowners.
The banking agencies and federal housing regulators should take a comprehensive view of the mortgage credit ecosystem, align capital frameworks, and avoid regulatory inconsistencies that could distort the market, reduce competition or inappropriately migrate risks, particularly from private capital to taxpayers.