Hype around Solana and XRP ETFs appears to have cooled, with inflows tapering to $93.3 million and $61.6 million as traders reassess the market.
Even as crypto prices dipped following renewed US-China tariff tensions, investors poured $3.17 billion into digital asset funds last week. The week closed quietly with just $159 million in outflows on Friday. With this, 2025’s year-to-date inflows have climbed to $48.7 billion, already exceeding last year’s record total.
Digital asset exchange-traded products (ETPs) saw explosive trading last week, as they registered a record $53 billion in weekly volume. This figure is nearly double 2025’s average pace. Friday’s $15.3 billion turnover marked the highest single-day figure ever recorded. Following the tariff-driven market drop, total assets under management declined 7% from the previous week’s peak to $242 billion.
Altcoin Flows Stay Resilient
Investors poured $2.67 billion into Bitcoin over the past week, which pushed cumulative 2025 inflows to $30.2 billion. Though strong, that figure remains short of 2024’s $41.7 billion benchmark, according to the latest edition of CoinShares’ Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report. Friday’s market sell-off generated record trading volumes of $10.4 billion; however, the actual daily net flow was modest, standing at just $0.39 million.
Meanwhile, Ethereum attracted $338 million in inflows last week but faced significant $172 million outflows on Friday, which was the largest among all digital assets. This indicates that investors viewed it as particularly exposed during the correction. Meanwhile, enthusiasm around the upcoming US ETFs for Solana and XRP appears to be waning, as inflows eased to $93.3 million and $61.6 million, respectively.
Investment flows into altcoin-based products were modest but steady. For instance, Chainlink pulled in $3.2 million while Sui recorded $2.3 million in inflows. Cardano and Litecoin added smaller amounts, receiving $0.8 million and $0.2 million. Multi-asset products, on the other hand, deviated from the broader positive sentiment, registering significant outflows of more than $35 million for the period.
In regional terms, the United States overwhelmingly dominated inflows, drawing more than $3 billion in fresh investments. Switzerland came next with $132 million, followed by Germany at $53.5 million and Australia at $9.9 million. Canada posted smaller inflows of $3.8 million. Meanwhile, Sweden led outflows with $22 million, while Brazil and Hong Kong reported declines of $10.1 million and $9.3 million each.
Market Still on Shaky Ground
Financial markets were rattled overnight after tensions between the US and China escalated unexpectedly. The sell-off began when President Trump accused China of “holding the world captive” through sweeping export restrictions on rare earth elements. Investors quickly fled risk assets, which pushed the Nasdaq down 3.5% and the S&P 500 down 2.7%.
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Bitcoin wasn’t spared either, as it briefly collapsed to $102K before recovering to $115K amid a record $19 billion in liquidations. According to QCP Capital, with global liquidity tightening and policy risks soaring, “market positioning remains defensive across risk assets heading into the new week.”
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My name is Godspower Owie, and I was born and brought up in Edo State, Nigeria. I grew up with my three siblings who have always been my idols and mentors, helping me to grow and understand the way of life.
My parents are literally the backbone of my story. They’ve always supported me in good and bad times and never for once left my side whenever I feel lost in this world. Honestly, having such amazing parents makes you feel safe and secure, and I won’t trade them for anything else in this world.
I was exposed to the cryptocurrency world 3 years ago and got so interested in knowing so much about it. It all started when a friend of mine invested in a crypto asset, which he yielded massive gains from his investments.
When I confronted him about cryptocurrency he explained his journey so far in the field. It was impressive getting to know about his consistency and dedication in the space despite the risks involved, and these are the major reasons why I got so interested in cryptocurrency.
Trust me, I’ve had my share of experience with the ups and downs in the market but I never for once lost the passion to grow in the field. This is because I believe growth leads to excellence and that’s my goal in the field. And today, I am an employee of Bitcoinnist and NewsBTC news outlets.
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XRP is showing signs of a powerful bullish resurgence as both price action and momentum indicators move in perfect harmony. Recent analysis reveals that the price and Relative Strength Index (RSI) are trending upward together, a strong signal of renewed investor confidence and sustained buying pressure. With this alignment fueling optimism, XRP is orchestrating a steady climb toward the key $4 level.
XRP’s Strength Amplifies With Unified Uptrend
EGRAG CRYPTO, in a recent update, revealed that XRP is showing strong bullish signs when viewed from a macro perspective, as both the price and the RSI are trending upward. This coordinated movement between price and momentum indicators suggests that the broader market sentiment around XRP is shifting decisively in favor of the bulls.
According to the update, XRP’s price trend is maintaining a steady upward trajectory with a slope of around 7, signaling consistent accumulation and market strength. This rise reflects a solid foundation of buyer support, indicating that the asset could be gearing up for a potential breakout. The persistence of this trend highlights that XRP’s bullish momentum is not merely short-lived but part of a developing long-term move.
On the other hand, the RSI is climbing with an even steeper slope of about 9 to 10, confirming that momentum continues to build strongly. This synchronization between price and RSI movement adds further credibility to the bullish narrative, as it shows no sign of divergence that might warn of a reversal.
Macro Outlook: XRP Displays Clear Upward Momentum
EGRAG CRYPTO highlighted that the synchronized upward movement of both XRP’s price and the RSI confirms a strong bullish trend. According to the analysis, the consistent upward momentum reflects sustained buying activity, suggesting that XRP remains well-positioned for further gains.
Furthermore, EGRAG CRYPTO pointed out that there is no divergence between the price and RSI, a factor that adds credibility to the ongoing uptrend. When both indicators move in unison, it signals that the market’s momentum is genuine and not showing signs of exhaustion. The lack of divergence suggests that the current rally is healthy and likely to continue without an immediate risk of reversal.
In conclusion, the analyst described the overall setup as highly bullish for XRP. The continued harmony between price action and RSI suggests that upward momentum could persist, paving the way for a significant move higher. A decisive close above the $4 mark, he noted, would represent a key milestone for XRP’s long-term outlook, symbolizing a potential step closer to what the community refers to as “Valhalla.”
XRP whale selling has averaged about $50 million a day over 30 days, signaling sustained large-holder exits.
Large holders of Ripple’s native XRP token have been selling about $50 million worth of it every day.
The constant outflows from the whale wallets come at a delicate moment for the token, which is having trouble staying above the $3 support zone because of rising retail pessimism and mixed technical signals.
Whale Activity Weighs on Sentiment as Retail Fear Deepens
Analyst JA Maartunn shared data on X today showing that whale flow for XRP has averaged about $50 million per day over the last 30 days, indicating consistent selling activity from large holders.
This trend coincides with an uptick in retail fear and uncertainty, highlighted in a Santiment report on October 8, which found that XRP’s “bullish-to-bearish sentiment ratio” had dropped to its lowest level since April, when U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs shook the crypto market.
The world’s fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market has seen its price slip by nearly 7% over the past week and 4.7% in the last month, according to CoinGecko data. It is currently trading around $2.82, down about 22% from its July all-time high of $3.65, although it still boasts a 435% gain year-to-date. The asset has only moved between $2.78 and $2.84 in the last 24 hours, which means it is in a short-term consolidation phase.
Even though wealthy investors keep selling, technical analysts like EGRAG Crypto are still positive because both the price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are going up.
In an October 10 post on X, the XRP enthusiast described the chart setup as “highly bullish,” projecting that a close above $4 could trigger the next leg upward. However, other observers have warned that the Ripple token could fall even more sharply if the $3 support level, which is seen as very important, doesn’t hold.
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Retail FUD vs. Long-Term Fundamentals
Even though short-term sentiment among market participants may lean negative, historical data show that retail fear often comes just before big XRP price rises.
Santiment’s past studies show that similar dips caused by fear have usually marked local bottoms. Furthermore, XRP’s fundamental backdrop is still constructive, with Ripple’s DeFi footprint continuing to grow, supported by rising XRP activity on the Flare network, where total value locked jumped 28% in September following the launch of its FAssets interoperability protocol.
As such, market analysts have argued that if whale offloading subsides and $3 remains intact, the token could resume its broader uptrend toward the $4 to $4.50 resistance zones, as projected in recent Elliott Wave analyses.
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Crypto expert BarriC has shared a bold view about the future of the XRP price. He believes that it could rise to $1,000 or even higher if it reaches full global use by banks and financial institutions. BarriC says the world has never seen what happens when a digital asset is used on a massive scale by traditional finance. According to him, this level of use could set XRP apart from all other cryptocurrencies.
XRP Price Poised For Historic Gains Amid Global Bank Adoption
BarriC predicts that the XRP price has the potential to reach record-breaking levels once banks and financial firms worldwide begin to adopt the cryptocurrency on a daily basis. If banks move money through XRP on a daily, weekly, and monthly basis, the amount of value flowing through the network could be substantial. BarriC believes this could be in the range of millions, billions, or even trillions of dollars over time.
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He explains that no other cryptocurrency has reached this level of real-world use before, which makes XRP’s case very different from past market cycles. BarriC says that when global financial institutions begin using XRP for regular transactions, it will no longer behave like most digital assets. It could then become a key part of how money moves worldwide, and such growth could naturally lead to XRP prices that surpass what the market has seen before.
BarriC’s analysis suggests that the real turning point could come from trust and utility in XRP. As more institutions rely on the network for fast and inexpensive transfers, confidence in the asset is likely to grow significantly. The demand would likely reduce selling pressure and increase the token’s value over time, which, according to BarriC, is when XRP could start to climb toward its predicted $1,000 mark.
XRP Breaking The Traditional Cycle And Entering Uncharted Territory
BarriC also believes that XRP will eventually diverge from Bitcoin’s typical four-year market cycle. He says XRP could move in its own direction once banks widely use it. In his view, the cryptocurrency would no longer need to follow Bitcoin’s ups and downs because it would have its own strong use case. This independence could allow the price to move much higher and stay stable even when other coins face downturns.
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He describes this possible phase as “uncharted territory” for XRP, as it would be the first time a cryptocurrency reaches that level of adoption and the network becomes a significant part of the global payment system. BarriC expects that once this shift happens, XRP could rise far beyond previous highs, possibly reaching $100, $1,000, or more.
The overall analysis by BarriC paints a very hopeful picture for the XRP price. The digital asset may become one of the most valuable cryptocurrencies on the market if the $ 1,000 price prediction comes to fruition.
Fear, uncertainty and doubt around Ripple’s cross-border payments token has increased, according to blockchain analytics.
XRP is seeing its “highest level of retail FUD” since US President Donald Trump announced trade tariffs six months ago, reported blockchain analytics firm Santiment using a bullish-to-bearish sentiment ratio on Tuesday.
Trump’s global tariff bombshell in April triggered a massive 20% XRP price drop to below $1.80 within days in line with a broader crypto market sell-off.
However, it is not all bad news. There have been more bearish comments than bullish for two of the past three days, it stated before adding that this is “generally a promising buy signal” because markets move opposite to small trader expectations.
😮 XRP is seeing it’s highest level of retail FUD since Trump’s tariffs were announced 6 months ago. There have been more bearish comments than bullish for 2 of the past 3 days, which is generally a promising buy signal. Markets move opposite to small trader expectations. pic.twitter.com/flO7jjlo9m
The negative sentiment arises as XRP has failed to perform, while others in its vicinity, such as Bitcoin, Ether, and BNB, have reached new all-time highs or come close to previous ones. Additionally, BNB flipped XRP in terms of market capitalization this week.
“Nothing to do with FUD, but just pure reality with XRP value accrual that is literally zero and doesn’t benefit holders at all,” said one respondent.
Historical sentiment analysis shows extreme retail FUD often precedes XRP rallies, as seen in July’s run-up to an all-time high of $3.65. However, the token has tanked more than 21% since then and has failed to break resistance above $3 multiple times since mid-August.
In reality, things are looking very bullish for Ripple and XRP, with legal and regulatory clarity expected to arrive in 2025 and an expansion of partnerships and integrations within the global TradFi ecosystem.
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The Ripple DeFi ecosystem has also gone through recent expansion, as reported by CryptoPotato.
The CEO of agricultural investment firm Teucrium, Sal Gilbertie, said XRP was “a coin that will have the most utility out there,” and XRP has “a true use case.”
🗣️When the CEO of Teucrium says $XRP has real utility and calls it the coin with the most use case…
Nevertheless, retail traders and investors remain unconvinced, as the asset has fallen 3.8% on the day to $2.87 at the time of writing.
XRP touched $3.10 late last week, but resistance proved too strong again, causing the retreat. The asset has traded sideways since its surge in mid-July but is up 38% since the beginning of the year and a whopping 440% since the same time last year.
Chart guru Peter Brandt painted a gloomier picture, identifying a “classic descending triangle” developing, adding that there is a danger of a fall to $2.22 if XRP closes below $2.68.
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They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that’s not just a metaphor, it’s a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.
Christian’s journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).
Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling – right up his alley!
So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he’s one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).
Think Christian’s all work and no play? Not a chance! When he’s not at his computer, you’ll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.
Speaking of chill, Christian’s got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.
Here’s the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day – and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.
Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors – and bosses – he deeply respects.
So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.
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A slew of cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds may be set to launch any day now, according to Bloomberg Intelligence Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas.
Balchunas said Monday on X that the approval of pending ETF applications tied to assets such as Cardano, Litecoin, Solana, and XRP was now “100%” guaranteed following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s launch of generic listing standards for cryptocurrency-based ETFs.
Balchunas’ remarks came after the SEC requested that issuers withdraw 19b-4 filings related to their ETF applications.
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The 19b-4 is a filing submitted by exchanges, such as the Nasdaq and NYSE, on behalf of issuers outlining a rule change required to list a new ETF. The filing has typically been required for spot cryptocurrency ETF approvals, but it also came with a statutory approval window of 240 days.
According to Balchunas, 19b-4 filings and the “clock” that came with them are no longer necessary for spot cryptocurrency ETF applications thanks to the new generic listing standards. Now only S-1 registration filings are required, he said. S-1 filings submitted by issuers do not come with such deadlines.
“The baby could come any day,” Balchunas said. “Be ready.”
Before the recent shift in the cryptocurrency ETF applications process, the deadline for an SEC decision on ETF applications tied to Litecoin, Solana, and XRP was already concentrated in October.
Of all the pending spot cryptocurrency ETF applications, Balchunas suggested on Monday that Solana-linked products may be the first to be approved. He highlighted that registration statements linked to the products have already undergone four amendments, which typically signals high SEC engagement and progress.
Bitwise investment chief Matt Hougansaid last month that the launch of Solana ETFs would usher in “Solana season.” He cited a convergence of inflows into the products and demand from digital asset treasury companies that are stacking the asset. He said the combination was what sparked Bitcoin’s run from $40,000 in January 2024 to a record of nearly $125,000. He also said it is what has caused Ethereum to rally since April.
An alarming pattern of XRP whale activity has been noted, posing several questions about the sustainability of the cryptocurrency’s growth. Among the multiple questions currently being asked, one is more demanding of an immediate response: Is an XRP whale sell-off on its way?
XRP Supply Surges Across Major Exchanges
In an October 3rd post on the social media platform X, market analyst CryptoOnchain highlighted a recent shift in the behavior of XRP’s largest holders, the whales.
The online pundit’s report was based on the Exchange Supply Ratio indicator, which tracks the proportion of XRP tokens on exchanges relative to its total circulating supply.
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This metric can be used to derive insights on potential selling pressure for a crypto asset (XRP, in this case), seeing as higher values would suggest increased availability of tokens on the exchange for sale.
Source: @CryptoOnchain on X
According to CryptoOnchain, there has been a spike in XRP supply across major exchanges, suggesting that whales might be positioning for a significant sell-off. The data shared reflects the increase in selling pressure across these exchanges, including Bithumb, Bitget, Bitfinex, and Binance, putting the XRP price at an increased risk of a sharp correction.
XRP Displays Bearish Divergence As Sellers Dominate Futures Market
In a separate post made on the CryptoQuant platform, CryptoOnchain also revealed a budding negative divergence across the XRP futures market.
The relevant indicator here is the Taker Buy Sell Ratio metric, which monitors the balance between aggressive buy and sell orders in the futures market. This metric is typically used to assess whether buyers or sellers are dominating the market in the short term.
The analyst noted that while the price of XRP has been mostly around $3 after its recent rise, the ‘Taker Ratio’ across exchanges has fallen to its lowest level since November 2024. Interestingly, data from Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, further supports this bearish signal, as patterns similar to those seen on other exchanges have also been surfacing.
CryptoOnchain explained that this situation could either mean that the market participants are booking profits or anticipating a price decline in the near future. However, the spike in XRP supply across major crypto exchanges, alongside the clear dominance of sellers in the perpetual futures market, strongly suggests the imminence of a price correction.
It is therefore advisable to watch the psychological $3 level closely before market decisions are made. As of this writing, XRP is hovering around the $3 mark, reflecting a nearly 2% decline in the past 24 hours.
The price of XRP on the daily timeframe | Source: XRPUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
The XRP price is positioned at a pivotal level that will determine the next trend to play out from here. This was highlighted by crypto analyst, The Alchemist Trader, in a TradingView post that shared notable insights into the current price action of the cryptocurrency. The crypto analyst also explained that there are technical points that will determine the next move, and depending on how bears and bulls perform, there could either be a lot of gains or major losses.
The Three Key Points To Watch
With the XRP price already showing a lot of weakness, The Alchemist Trader explains that the altcoin is now consolidating near the value area low of its local trading range. This sits around the $2.8 level that the price has been moving around over the last few weeks.
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The price trading at this value area low also shows that there are a lot of sellers in the market pushing down the price. It had previously pushed the price back toward a critical support level at $2.7, and this has set the stage for either the next bounce or decline. This is because this level holds a lot of liquidity, meaning it is an equal opportunity point for both bears and bulls.
Given this trend, the crypto analyst has outlined three key technical points that investors should watch for the XRP price. The first of these is the possibility of the XRP price making consecutive lower highs and pushing it toward the value area low, a bearish signal.
Next on the list is that a breakdown from there could push the price toward the Point of Control (POC), as well as the 0.618 Fibonacci and VWAP confluence. Then, last but not least, is the fact that the liquidity at the current levels could mean that there is a sharp wick before the price begins to reverse.
Source: TradingView
How The XRP Price Could Play Out From Here
As mentioned above, one of the first things to watch out for is the test of the value area low. From here, if the XRP price were to break down, then it would signal that the decline would deepen from here. It would push the target toward the Point of Control (POC) and deeper support levels. Reaching these levels would mean a possible 25% decline toward $2.33.
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However, in the event that this support holds firmly, then the analyst sees the XRP price bouncing back into its trading range. The price could wick down first, but this would end in an eventual stabilization and continuation. In this case, the target is placed at $3.5, possibly setting the price on a campaign for new all-time highs.
Ripple is taking another bold step toward mainstream finance by extending the reach of its Interledger Protocol into the SWIFT network, regarded as the backbone of global payments. By enabling interoperability between two of the most influential payment ecosystems, Ripple is positioning XRP as a key player in the future of international money movement.
Could XRP Become A Standard For Settlement?
The strategy for mainstream adoption of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) and its native asset, XRP, is intricately linked to the Interledger Protocol (ILP). As highlighted by researcher SMQKE on X, Ripple’s approach is to become an essential part of the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) network, providing an interoperable layer that seamlessly bridges the old and new financial worlds.
This Interledger Protocol is designed to synchronize separate ledgers without forming a new one, while acting as a connective tissue across financial systems. In many ways, it mirrors SWIFT’s own structure, where the successful processing of a payment message creates binding obligations to pay between nodes and intermediaries.
However, ILP is Ripple’s core strategy for mainstream adoption of the XRP Ledger. By making ILP fully compatible with SWIFT, Ripple ensures that both XRP and its technology can plug into the world’s most dominant payment network.
What’s important about this move is the fact that Ripple itself is now often described as evolving into the Interledger Protocol initiative. Ripple understood that the world would never standardize on a single ledger, which is why it built ILP to enable interoperability to bridge across multiple systems.
Meanwhile, this approach is reinforced through the ISO 20022 adoption to ensure that the entire transaction is secure, seamless, and scalable, offering a superior settlement experience that coexists with the bank’s existing messaging connectivity across the global financial infrastructure. “The strategy is clear: one protocol (ILP), unlimited networks, and seamless XRP movement,” SMQKE noted.
The Promise Of Financial Freedom With XRP
As the crypto landscape expands, XRP has been hailed as an asset that could offer financial breakthroughs. The sentiment expressed by Traveler2236 points to a profound vision of global financial inclusion and the end of economic inequality enforced by legacy systems. His core claim is that there will come a day when XRP will unleash dreams beyond imagination.
Also, there will be no denials because of a credit score, and no more doors closed because your income doesn’t match some arbitrary outcome. Traveler2236’s statement is not merely a prediction, but a declaration of certainty, bordering on a personal epiphany. “This isn’t a dream anymore, it’s happening right now,” the expert stated.
The phrase “Uptober” has gained popularity in the crypto market, as October has historically delivered gains in the past. For the XRP price, however, the picture looks very different. A closer look at its history shows a mix of big wins and painful losses, making October far less predictable.
Removing the extreme years shows that the data points to flat or negative results, which means investors counting on an explosive rally may end up disappointed. Although the last quarter of the year has brought substantial gains in some cases, the overall record remains inconsistent, suggesting that “Uptober” may be more of a myth than a promise for XRP holders.
Historical Data Challenges The “Uptober” Hype For XRP Price
Every October, the crypto community hopes that coins will rise, and while Bitcoin sometimes lives up to this expectation, XRP’s history tells a different story. Data from CryptoRank shows that XRP has experienced some notable fluctuations in October over the last decade. In 2013, the token soared by more than 94%. In 2014, it jumped 130%. In 2020, it even delivered an explosive rally of nearly 179% in just one month.
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Source: CryptoRank
But these massive rallies are rare. In many other years, the results were disappointing. For example, the XRP price suffered double-digit losses in October of 2018 and 2021. In other years, gains were delivered only in tiny amounts, far below what traders had hoped for. Stripping away the highs and lows makes the overall trend clear. The median October return for XRP is actually a slight loss of 1.79%, and the average return is even worse at -4.58%.
This data suggests that October is far more likely to bring disappointment than explosive growth for XRP holders.While the idea of “Uptober” may sound exciting, the history of XRP shows its performance in October is scattered, unpredictable, and often hostile.
Q4 Patterns Show Risk Of Relying On Seasonal Myths
Some traders argue that even if October is not always a great month, the XRP price usually performs well in the final quarter of the year. Indeed, the last quarter has sometimes delivered big rallies, and the average Q4 return for XRP is nearly 88%. But these results are heavily skewed by a few extraordinary years. When the numbers are balanced, the median return for Q4 is actually a loss of 4.32%.
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The negative median Q4 return shows that the perception of Q4 strength is not as reliable as many believe. The standout rallies do not represent the typical outcome. Instead, most years end up modest or even negative. The pattern points to risk, not certainty, for those who assume every Q4 will bring green candles.
Past data proves that while extraordinary runs are possible, they are rare, and the more common result is far less exciting. XRP could still surprise to the upside, but history warns against treating October as a guaranteed month of gains. Believing the hype without considering the risks may leave investors unprepared for disappointment.
Top crypto commentator CryptoinsightUK argues that market consensus has misread the setup for XRP and altcoins, contending that sentiment, liquidity positioning, and cross-asset relationships point to an imminent phase in which XRP could outperform even a resurgent ETH.
In his latest Weekly Insight (Week 161, Sept. 27, 2025), the analyst opens with a blunt reset of stance: “I am bullish.” He acknowledges the psychological toll of recent chop and public pushback—“I am getting pushback from all sides for staying bullish… But I also do not really care”—yet he frames the current drawdown as the kind of fear-laced inflection that historically precedes a trend resumption higher.
Why Is Everyone Wrong About XRP?
The note situates the call against a noisy backdrop. He cites well-followed traders who either called a top or de-risked into weakness, and the victory laps of dominance-maxi voices after a bounce in Bitcoin dominance. The riposte is data-driven: sentiment gauges near “fear” readings of 40 or below, a zone that has repeatedly coincided with local lows or pre-reversal conditions. While he concedes that “we could see a slight further correction,” the weight of evidence, he argues, skews to upside.
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A key pillar is liquidity mapping. On Bitcoin, he highlights sizeable resting liquidity around $106,000—a pool that has persisted since mid-July and remains uncollected despite spot advances as high as $123,000. “I would expect this 106k area of liquidity to be taken, maybe even down to 104k with a wick,” he writes, emphasizing that a tag into that zone would not invalidate the higher-timeframe bull structure.
Bitcoin liquidity | Source: @CryptoinsightUK
Crucially, he says, the “largest amount of liquidity ever” sits above price, implying that if a major top were in, “market makers… would [not] allow that much liquidity to remain untouched.” By contrast, lower-side liquidity down around $70,000 is drying up, suggesting reduced gravitational pull to the downside as stale longs and shorts have been flushed or realized.
That skew, he says, is even more pronounced across majors and large-cap alts. On daily time frames for ETH, Cardano, XRP, and SUI, “significant liquidity” has rebuilt above spot, while “minor” pockets remain below—an asymmetry that makes precise dip-buy levels hard to pre-declare yet keeps the “ultimate outcome” biased to a leg higher.
The timing cue rests on two oscillators that often mark rotation windows: ETH is now as oversold on the 4-hour as it was at the exact cycle bottom around $1,400—a setup not seen again during its run toward $5,000—while Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has reached overbought on the 4-hour. “The last three times this happened, it marked either a local high, the exact high, or came just before a larger drawdown in Bitcoin Dominance,” he notes.
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On the weekly, he expects the structural outcome to be an acceleration lower in dominance later in the cycle, and he leaves open whether that moment is now. The mosaic—ETH deeply oversold, BTC.D heavily overbought, liquidity stacked above alts—supports his conclusion that “very soon it is likely to be the altcoin show.”
Bitcoin dominance | Source: @CryptoinsightUK
Within that rotation, XRP vs. ETH is his sharpest edge. On the 4-hour XRP/ETH chart, he sees a local bottom structure—“a series of lows, higher lows, and higher highs”—with a trigger level at 0.00071 ETH per XRP: “We are looking for closes above the 0.00071 level, and the larger the timeframe of the close above that level, the greater the likelihood of reversal.”
XRP vs. ETH | Source: @CryptoinsightUK
On the weekly XRP/ETH, he sketches two Elliott-wave roadmaps: a conservative five-wave path back to the prior highs against ETH, and a higher-beta alternative that starts from the candle structure shift and implies “exponential growth” in relative terms this cycle. The combined thesis is explicit: “ETH looks poised to perform well… [and] XRP looks ready to outperform ETH on top of that. Use your imagination for what could happen if those two things play out together.”
The cryptocurrency market remains in disarray following widespread declines, yet the XRP price continues to attract the attention of analysts who maintain an optimistic outlook. One expert noted that XRP has just printed a rare and bullish setup, with multiple chart indicators aligning in support of upward momentum.
XRP Price Forms Rare Multi-Layered Bullish Setup
According to crypto market expert Bobby A, XRP is in a rare market position, consolidating above key historical levels while preparing for a move that could lead to new all-time highs. He noted that different indicators are aligning in support of a possible uptrend.
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In a chart shared on X social media, Bobby explained that XRP’s market capitalization has been holding above its 2018 peak for more than 300 days, an uncommon show of strength amid the recent downturn. This long consolidation above a major resistance-turned support level suggests a massive build-up of energy before the next leg higher. He argues that this base formation signals a potentially explosive move to the upside, with the next market cap targets identified at $173 billion and a peak around $727 billion.
On the price front, Bobby reveals that XRP has been forming a multi-month bullish flag pattern on its charts. He labels the critical support zones as “Base Camp 1” around $1.9 and “Base Camp 2” at $2.89—both of which have been successfully defended. He further highlighted that the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also positioning itself for one final push toward overbought territory, often a precursor to a sharp upward move. Based on his projections, XRP’s take profit zones sit between $5 and $13, levels that would mark fresh all-time highs.
Bobby’s analysis highlights that XRP’s indicators are “firing on all cylinders,” with momentum across higher timeframes aligning for a potentially powerful surge. He further pointed out that Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), currently at 58.7%, is set to retrace toward the mid-to-low 40% zone soon. Such a move would enable altcoins like XRP to capturea larger market share, thereby reinforcing the likelihood of a bullish breakout. The analyst described this rare alignment as a generational setup that occurs only a few times in a decade.
Bearish Divergence Sparks Short-Term XRP Sell-Off
While XRP appears to be resisting the present market downturn, not all analysts share an immediate bullish sentiment. Crypto expert JD has warned about a Bearish Divergence forming on XRP’s weekly chart—a signal that has now played out as expected.
XRP currently trading at $2.77. Chart: TradingView
As shown in the chart, while XRP’s price made higher highs, the RSI indicator printed lower highs, creating a textbook Bearish Divergence pattern. This divergence has already led to a sharp 27% correction from the $3.37 take profit level that JD had previously identified. According to him, many market participants are now questioning why XRP has been under pressure despite broader optimism.
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JD argues that the Bearish Divergence was the clearest warning signal, and those who ignored it are now witnessing its full effect. He cautions that while XRP may still avoid a deeper breakdown into the “grey box” supply zone, the short-term trajectory remains bearish until momentum resets.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Financial advisors seeking to diversify client portfolios with cryptocurrencies—without stepping away from traditional equities—may soon have a new vehicle to do so.
On September 26, asset manager Cyber Hornet submitted filings to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for three crypto-linked exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Each fund is designed to blend exposure to the S&P 500 Index with Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP.
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According to the filing, each fund will allocate 75% of its portfolio to companies within the S&P 500. The remaining 25% will be dedicated to its respective digital asset or its associated futures market.
Cyber Hornet has proposed the ticker symbols EEE for Ethereum, SSS for Solana, and XXX for XRP. Each fund will carry a 0.95% management fee.
Market observers said the Cyber Hornet funds aim to give investors a middle ground between the resilience of large-cap US equities and the growth potential of digital assets.
They believe this structure helps investors capture crypto’s upside while staying anchored in traditional markets. This approach reflects a growing recognition of digital currencies as viable portfolio components, not speculative outliers.
Cyber Hornet’s move builds on its earlier success with a Bitcoin 75/25 fund, which delivered a 39% return in 2024. The crypto ETF ranked among Morningstar’s top performers in the Large-Blend category.
That success may help justify expanding the strategy to other tokens like ETH, SOL, and XRP. Notably, investor interest in diversified crypto exposure has grown substantially over the past year, reinforcing the case for broader adoption.
Demand for XRP on the CME derivatives exchange continues to rise, providing a bullish outlook for the altcoin. This comes ahead of the potential approval of the XRP ETFs, which could further spark institutional demand for XRP.
CME XRP Futures Hit New Milestone
In an X post, the CME group announced that it has hit its four-month milestone for XRP futures, with a notional trading volume of $18.3 billion, 6 billion XRP traded, and 397,000 contracts traded. This again highlights the demand for the altcoin, with the derivatives exchange previously stating that the altcoin’s futures products have shown demand from both institutional and retail participants.
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Notably, the CME XRP futures crossed $1 billion in open interest (OI) last month, with the altcoin becoming the fastest-ever contract to do so, having hit the mark in just three months.
Amid the demand for the altcoin on the derivatives exchange, CME has announced plans to launch options trading on the XRP futures on October 13.
This is expected to further boost the demand on the CME exchange, which is a positive for the altcoin. This new milestone for XRP futures comes just ahead of the potential launch of XRP ETFs under the 33 Act, which will also elevate institutional interest in the altcoin. Fund issuers are expected to file amendments for their respective funds as soon as the end of this week.
This comes amid the SEC’s approval of the generic listing standards, which could enable these XRP ETFs to launch earlier. If that doesn’t happen, the focus will shift to Grayscale’s October 18 deadline, which is the first final deadline among all seven XRP filings. The commission could approve these funds simultaneously, just as it did with the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.
Massive Demand Expected For The ETFs
It is worth mentioning that market expert Nate Geraci had previously alluded to the success of the CME XRP futures as one of the reasons he believes people are underestimating the demand the spot XRP ETFs may record. He also noted at the time that there was already over $800 million in futures-based XRP ETFs.
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In another X post, Geraci doubled down on his statement that people are “severely” underestimating the investor demand for the spot XRP ETFs. He noted how a similar thing happened with the spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which have so far exceeded expectations.
Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg also has high expectations for the XRP ETFs, predicting that they could record up to $5 billion in inflows in their first month. He also believes that they could outperform the Ethereum ETFs in the process.
At the time of writing, the altcoin price is trading at around $2.75, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
XRP trading at $2.76 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com
Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
The crypto market has long moved in the shadow of Bitcoin, because for years, its rallies and sharp drops have pulled nearly every other digital asset such as XRP with it. However, according to Versan Aljarrah, co-founder of Black Swan Capitalist, the XRP token could break away from this cycle. According to him, XRP is on a different mission, one that goes beyond speculation and closer to real-world use. That role is why he says it will not mirror Bitcoin’s path, and why a decoupling is now on the horizon.
Versan Aljarrah Reveals XRP’s Institutional Role Sets It Apart From Bitcoin
Aljarrah stresses that XRP does not follow Bitcoin’s “digital gold” story. While Bitcoin serves as a store of value, XRP serves a very different purpose. In the X post, the expert refers to the cryptocurrency as a bridge asset for banks and financial institutions.
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In today’s financial world, cross-border payments can often be slow, expensive, and risky because of foreign-exchange issues. XRP addresses these problems by cutting out multiple intermediaries. According to Aljarrah, this practical utility places XRP closer to the daily operations of global finance, rather than the speculative trading behavior that defines Bitcoin.
Rather than acting like a typical cryptocurrency, XRP is evolving into core financial infrastructure. That transformation, according to Aljarrah, could move XRP far beyond a purely speculative asset and position it as part of the underlying system that connects currencies and payment networks worldwide.
Why Regulatory Clarity And Adoption Drive XRP Toward Decoupling
For years, one of the biggest obstacles facing XRP was legal uncertainty. Ripple Labs, the company associated with XRP, was embroiled in a lawsuit with the SEC. But that cloud has now lifted. Court rulings have made it clear that XRP sales on public exchanges are not securities transactions, and with the appeals dropped, the case is now closed.
With the court issue resolved, attention is shifting to growth, as developers are now adding new tools for institutions to the XRP ecosystem, including automated market making, stablecoin support, and updated token standards.
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Banks, fintech companies, and payment providers are starting to test and integrate with XRP. At the same time, the XRP Ledger is growing stronger. Ripple has also launched RLUSD, a stablecoin, and is working on obtaining banking licenses worldwide. All these steps point toward a token that evolves into financial infrastructure rather than remaining a speculative play.
Aljarrah notes that these changes mean XRP will no longer move like Bitcoin. Its price will not only depend on market speculation but also on its usage, the strength of regulations, and the growing demand for instant settlement. For these reasons, he believes decoupling is certain. Over time, XRP will carve its own path as adoption spreads and its role in finance becomes more central.
First Ledger, a decentralized exchange on the XRPL, drew a sharp comparison this week when it said 401(k) and XRP are “basically the same thing” in their aim to grow long-term value.
According to letters sent to the Securities and Exchange Commission, nine lawmakers — including House committee chairs French Hill and Ann Wagner — urged SEC Chair Paul Atkins to act on an executive order from US President Donald Trump that would make it easier for retirement plans to hold crypto. The move would touch roughly 90 million Americans who use 401(k) accounts.
Lawmakers Push For 401(k) Access
Based on reports, the push is aimed at loosening specific investor rules so retirement plans can include alternative assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP.
If plans get access, even very small allocations could add big sums to markets. A one percent to two percent allocation across the $12 trillion 401(k) market has been put forward as a reasonable scenario. That math translates to roughly $120 billion to $240 billion flowing into crypto assets.
To give that scale: Bitcoin exchange-traded funds drew $57 billion since January 2024. Over the same period, Bitcoin’s price is reported to have climbed from $45,000 to $124,457, and the global crypto market has grown from $1.65 trillion to more than $4.17 trillion.
Reports also point out that public retirement systems are starting to add crypto exposure — for example, the State of Michigan Retirement System has increased holdings in Bitcoin and Ethereum trusts. Analysts say such moves make the 401(k) debate more than theoretical.
Retirement Allocation
Based on an analysis cited in August, if global retirement funds managing about $50 trillion allocated 1% — roughly $500 billion — to XRP, a simple linear estimate could place the price near $12.
With wider multiplier effects, projections mentioned range from $17 to $34. For context, another analysis estimates a 2% allocation to Bitcoin could lift its price to about $175,000 and push Bitcoin’s market cap near $3.4 trillion.
Retirement Funds Could Add Billions
Market commentators argue that retirement money would likely flow into ETFs rather than raw coin purchases. Paul Barron has suggested that 401(k) capital would first head into crypto ETFs, and others have said that ETF access for XRP could be transformational.
That view rests on the idea that ETFs are familiar, regulated wrappers which many plans use already. First Ledger’s comparison frames XRP as a tool for long-term value transfer, likening the token’s role in cross-border settlement to the steady goal of retirement savings.
In a new video titled “Why Aren’t Institutions Adopting XRP Massively?,” Jake Claver, founder and CEO of Digital Ascension Group, argues that the absence of headline-grabbing institutional flows into XRP has less to do with the asset’s technical fitness and more to do with regulatory, operational and coordination realities that govern how large financial entities deploy new market infrastructure.
Claver frames the paradox succinctly: XRP’s performance characteristics are, in his view, tailor-made for modern payments, yet banks remain publicly cautious. “XRP could solve banks biggest problems… it’s faster, it’s cheaper, and it’s a lot more reliable than Swift,” he says, before posing the central question: “Why aren’t they adopting it yet?” His answer is not that institutions are uninterested, but that their playbook prizes legal certainty, timing and stealthy execution over visible, price-moving buys.
Why Wall Street Hasn’t Gone All-In On XRP (Yet)
A core pillar of his thesis is that institutions, when they do build positions, typically do so through execution algorithms and off-exchange channels designed to minimize market impact. “They’re using T-W and VWAP strategies,” he says, referring to time-weighted and volume-weighted average price execution. In practice, he adds, that means mandates along the lines of “‘I’ve got $100 million. I want to buy XRP… I’ll just average into the market over a month, two months, 6 months.’” The point, according to Claver, is to accumulate size “without causing those big price spikes,” often by relying on algorithmic execution, OTC desks or dark pools rather than simply sweeping public order books. Retail investors, he notes, rarely see this flow because it is engineered not to be seen.
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Regulation is the second pillar. Claver contends that global institutions cannot anchor a “trillion dollar payment infrastructure on uncertain legal foundations or tax foundations.” He points to the July 13, 2023 ruling in the SEC’s case against Ripple, saying Judge Analisa Torres “stated that XRP in and of itself is not a security,” and argues that the combination of court developments and a changing US regulatory posture has begun to thaw institutional reluctance. “We’re seeing the transition from apprehensions… to okay, maybe this stuff will actually work,” he says, while also cautioning that lingering case milestones and appellate formalities still matter for the largest issuers and product sponsors.
Claver repeatedly emphasizes that institutions are relatively indifferent to the exact price level at which they obtain exposure if they are convinced of the strategic direction. “They’re perfectly happy to be buying XRP at $100, $1,000, or even $10,000 because they know that it’s going to be going higher,” he claims, drawing an analogy to Bitcoin, where “institutions didn’t start buying and aggregating Bitcoin till it was $30,000, $40,000, $50,000,” and noting that “MicroStrategy at $72,000 per Bitcoin is their average buy.” The contention, controversial as it may be, is that sophisticated buyers optimize for timing, liquidity and coordination, not for nailing the bottom tick.
In the near term, he argues, episodic price spikes tied to headlines remain “speculative,” precisely because retail “doesn’t have the capital” or the “coordination to maintain the level of volume that would be needed for high prices.” Sustained re-rating, in his telling, requires institutional catalysts: regulatory green lights, product launches and real-world usage. “We need catalysts. We need real-world adoption and a crisis, I think a liquidity crisis, for them to actually pull this into vogue,” he says, describing a potential “supply shock” in XRP as the kind of event that could force rapid repricing.
What To Watch In The Coming Months
Claver also sketches a backdrop of what he characterizes as accelerating but largely “behind the scenes” integration work. He cites “almost 300 partnerships globally for Ripple,” references bank proofs-of-concept and pilots that have surfaced “over the years,” and points to CBDC and stablecoin experimentation involving jurisdictions such as Palau, Bhutan, Montenegro, Georgia and Colombia. He argues that this long tail of trials is consistent with how critical financial plumbing is typically upgraded: slowly, cautiously and only after extensive testing. “They’re not just going to do that on a whim,” he says. “They have to be very thorough.”
On the product side, Claver highlight that many of the futures ETFs have already gotten through, and references a “listing… from the DTCC on the [spot] XRP ETF for Canary Capital,” which he characterizes as “normally the step right before the S-1s would be approved.” He frames late-2025 as a plausible window for approvals, adding, “we are seeing concrete institutional interest and accelerating the adoption of this asset,” though he acknowledges much of it is not yet apparent in headline price action.
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Another throughline is the institutional decision-making cadence. Claver portrays the present as a “final preparation phase before full-bore adoption,” where regulatory clarity is “emerging,” technical infrastructure is “proven,” and “strategic partnerships are in place,” with the “remaining variable” being “coordinated activation across multiple institutions simultaneously.” He even suggests broader payment-system migrations—such as adoption of global messaging standards—create the preconditions for real-time settlement layers, a category where he situates XRP’s potential role.
Retail Vs. Institutions
Claver’s take on supply dynamics challenges a popular community narrative that retail holdings could meaningfully impede institutional entry. He argues that retail’s slice of circulating XRP is small in system terms: “they might hold, I don’t know, 2 billion, 3 billion XRP of the available supply… around, you know, 52 billion.” The implication, he says, is that institutions are unlikely to be “worried about retail competition,” because they can “acquire it later on through private markets or private sales” at higher prices if necessary. “There’s really enough supply for everybody here,” he maintains, adding that institutions “aren’t going to care if retail makes a bunch of money in this transition.”
Throughout, Claver counsels retail viewers to recognize the structural nature of what he believes is taking shape. “You’re investing in infrastructure,” he says, framing digital assets like XRP as bearer instruments that let the public “own the infrastructure and the backend” of a prospective payments transition “before it’s actually deployed.” He concedes that this view runs counter to strands of crypto ideology—“decentralized, against the man, down with the banks”—but makes a pragmatic case: “I personally would rather just stack my pennies next to the institutions’ dollars and ride their coattails.”
The video ends with a characteristic disclaimer—“None of this is financial advice”—alongside a reiteration of his conviction: “All my eggs are in this basket,” Claver says, arguing that institutional adoption of blockchain settlement rails represents “one of the largest infrastructure transitions in financial history.” In Claver’s telling, the question isn’t whether institutions will adopt technologies that solve for speed, cost and reliability, but when they will flip from preparation to activation—and how quickly the market will reprice once that coordination point arrives.
According to posts and market watchers, a return by a well-known developer has reignited talk that XRP could move higher.
Harry Harald — a web developer followed closely inside the XRP community — posted about XRP over the weekend in his first message since May.
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The post prompted immediate reaction from other big voices, and some in the space now say a move to $4 is possible. XRP opened the week lower, slipping to $2.77 before recovering to about $2.82 at press time. It had been trading around $3 yesterday before sellers pushed prices down.
Community Voices Drive Momentum
Alex Cobb and other influencers amplified Harald’s remark, which helped spark fresh optimism among traders. Based on social posts, Cobb suggested that $4 could be the next stop on a rebound.
From the current quote of $2.86, that would mean roughly a 42% rise, a gain that would push XRP above its long-held ceiling. That ceiling has been more than symbolic: XRP has not traded above $3.80 since 2018.
Technical Indicators Point To Recovery
Several chart analysts have flagged signals that they say back the bullish case. Ali Martinez reported a TD Sequential buy on the four-hour chart, an indicator some traders use to time entries after a string of lower closes.
XRP market cap currently at $171 billion. Chart: TradingView
Supporters point to historical backtests showing about 60–70% accuracy on higher timeframes, and that three out of four two-week buy signals since 2022 were followed by major rallies.
Traders also note that XRP has broken a downtrend after bottoming at $2.65 on September 1, and that it is holding above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 50-day moving average — both seen as bullish by many.
Price Action And Key Levels
XRP has been stuck near $3 for weeks, first stalling in July and failing to break out since. The token remains below a swing high of $3.65 established two months ago, a drop of about 25% from that peak.
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Yes the lawsuit excuse has run its course for any further lack of XRP adoption or flat price action. https://t.co/Gl2U8Z7Ui9
Beyond charts, legal and regulatory developments are feeding the story. Reports have disclosed that Ripple initially put a $125 million fine into escrow after Judge Torres issued her final judgment.
@FilanLaw Have the $125Mil in escrowed funds from @Ripple for the Fines imposed by the Judge in the case with the SEC been settled to the Treasury?
The SEC agreed earlier this year to reduce the penalty to $50 million in a settlement, but the judge rejected requests to cut the original $125 million order.
Both parties later withdrew appeals in the US Second Circuit in August, and the exact status of the escrowed funds has not been widely explained.
Meanwhile, speculation that SEC approval for an XRP ETF could come next month has added another layer of bullish expectation, with some supporters saying billions might flow in if an ETF wins the regulator’s nod.
Featured image from Unlock Media, chart from TradingView
