Tag: xrp

XRP is holding firm on the weekly time frame despite the latest market-wide drawdown, according to an Elliott Wave roadmap shared by crypto technician Hov (@HovWaves).

On Hov’s Bitstamp-based 1W chart, the current candle sits near $2.22 with three days and several hours left to close, and the structure remains nested inside a higher-time-frame impulse that he counts as wave iii completed, wave iv in progress, and a prospective wave v aiming materially higher.

Is The XRP Bottom In?

The key reference band for pullbacks is defined by Fibonacci retracements measured from the latest vertical advance. Hov plots the 0.236 retracement at $2.094, the 0.382 at $1.548, the 0.5 at $1.213, and the 0.618 at $0.950.

The price has broken down to the 0.236 neighborhood, probing a turquoise demand box that overlaps the 0.382 ($1.548) on the lower edge. That zone also contains the October 10 liquidity event wick he highlights around $1.58. In his accompanying note, Hov stresses that the last rise from that low has only formed three waves to date, leaving room for “one more small low on the micro before it’s all said and done,” while adding, “I don’t think it takes out the 1.58 low” and that, because of the wick, “we’re likely to see a truncation on this move.”

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The upside map hinges on two resistance landmarks. First is a boxed supply region overhead that caps out just below a labeled swing marker at “0 (3.41159),” effectively framing $3.41 as the final pivot from the prior leg. More important for confirmation, Hov marks “HTF close above $2.94 is the key.” That $2.94 weekly close is his validation level that would reassert the impulsive trend and unlock a measured extension to his first target.

That target is explicit on the chart: the next leg’s objective aligns with the −0.236 extension printed at $5.558. A curved projection path from the current area arcs through the retracement box and then accelerates vertically toward the target, annotated with a circled “V” at the terminal portion of the move and a higher-degree “3” on the scale, consistent with an impulse termination at or near the extension.

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Context from the left side of the chart shows how structurally important the base has been. A broad turquoise accumulation band anchored around the $0.43 handle (labeled “1 (0.43128)”) held price throughout 2023–2024, preceding the breakout that staged the current impulse.

Above that, a second, higher turquoise band spans the 2021 reaction zone and now acts as the battleground for the present consolidation beneath $3.41. A visible-range profile overlay inside the consolidation rectangle shows the heaviest traded activity toward the left ridge of the range, underscoring why weekly closes above $2.94 would be decisive.

Hov’s bottom line on X mirrors the chart. “XRP holding up exceptionally well on this market wide sell off,” he wrote, noting the coin remains “still up 40% off our level (threaded).” While he allows for a final marginal low—without undercutting $1.58—his roadmap retains a “first target” near $5.5, with the caveat that a “HTF close above $2.94 is the key.”

At press time, XRP traded at $2.18.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP’s latest downswing has dragged price into a cluster of long-term volume and mean-reversion levels, with one prominent market technician flagging Korea as the epicenter of near-term spot selling.

XRP Faces Crucial Support

In charts shared over the past 24 hours, trader Dom (@traderview2) said XRP has “reached the 12M rVWAP for the first time this year,” adding that it “really isn’t a level we want to be trading under for awhile.” He warned that if bulls lose that 12-month rolling VWAP, “we are looking at the range low of $2 as the next area of interest,” whereas a swift recovery would require “$2.50 [to] regain to get out of danger area.”

Dom also pointed to order-book composition: “Spot orderbooks are skewed towards bids right now which is positive, but snapping the local low will likely send us back to $2 where the rest of the bids sit.”

Dom’s VWAP-suite chart places spot price pressing directly into the 12-month rolling VWAP ribbon after failing to sustain above the prior distribution shelf, a configuration that often separates trending from mean-reverting phases. Testing this line for the first time this year is notable because multi-month rVWAPs act as dynamic fair-value proxies; sustained closes below them historically coincide with further probing of high-volume nodes beneath.

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Korea Dictates The XRP Price Move Once Again

The geographic concentration of selling has amplified the risk of a deeper tag of that range. Dom said the bulk of the spot pressure was exchange-specific: “They do NOT look happy over there in Korean… 84% of all the spot sell pressure over the last 2 days has came from Upbit.”

A cumulative volume delta (CVD) breakdown by exchange corroborates the outsized role of the Korean venue, with Upbit’s CVD line deeply negative while Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, Kraken and Bitstamp hover comparatively flat near the zero line. In practical terms, that mix indicates real-coin distribution flowed predominantly through the KRW corridor even as other USD- and USDT-based venues showed less aggressive net selling.

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A separate high-timeframe chart from IncomeSharks frames the downside magnet with simple clarity. The analyst posted a daily XRP/USD view with a broad demand zone centered just under $2.00 and commented: “XRP — If you missed it under $2 you’ll probably have a chance to bid it again.”

The chart highlights how the late-summer impulse failed to retake overhead resistance and how subsequent lower highs left a clean air pocket toward the December–March value area that begins around the psychologically dense $2.00 handle. The analyst expects a retracement as low as $1.80-$1.70 if the psychological important $2 mark doesn’t hold.

At press time, XRP traded at $2.21.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Credible Crypto, a widely followed market technician with 479,900 followers on X, turned decisively upbeat on XRP in an October 15 video, arguing that the token’s high-time-frame structure “still looks absolutely freaking fantastic” despite “the most devastating and most significant liquidation event in the history of crypto.” He framed last Friday’s cross-market crash—“around 10 times more than the FTX collapse”—as a bottom-forming anomaly and said XRP’s key support held on closing bases, keeping his double-digit price outlook intact.

XRP Targets Double-Digits

The analyst’s core claim is straightforward: the violent wick to fresh lows across many venues did not invalidate XRP’s high-time-frame uptrend. He points to a monthly demand band at roughly $2.00–$2.40, noting that even after the flash-liquidity cascade “we did not get any 4-hourly closes below $2.30,” and that the deeper prints to $1.17 on some exchanges were byproducts of forced liquidations rather than organic selling.

“Ultimately on the high time frames once again it looks fantastic,” he said, adding that XRP’s prior five-wave advance began at ~$0.49; as long as price holds above the origin of that impulse, he views the recent selloff as a mid-cycle correction, not a cycle top. In his words: “This is not the end of the bull run for XRP… we have much higher to go.”

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He lays out clear tactical markers. On the USD pair, the first meaningful supply band sits around $2.70–$3.11; acceptance above that region would suggest the next impulse has begun. On relative pairs, he highlights a now-familiar horizontal he calls “Gandalf’s grave” on XRP/BTC—a prior multi-touch resistance that recently flipped to support and was respected on hourly closes even during the crash.

The path forward, in his telling, splits into two equally plausible tracks. In the first, Bitcoin runs hot toward $130–$150k in a parabolic extension while XRP chops sideways; that rotational dynamic would push XRP/BTC lower toward a deeper, high-time-frame demand zone even as XRP/USD holds a higher base above ~$1.90–$2.30.

In the second, XRP stabilizes here and rips sooner, with XRP/BTC launching directly and “the minimum move… a 50% move up against Bitcoin,” which would place XRP/USD at new all-time highs. He cautions that a drift lower on XRP/BTC would be a feature, not a bug: “If you’re not fully loaded on XRP, that is when you should get fully loaded,” he said.

Crucially, Credible Crypto ties the XRP roadmap to Ethereum’s next leg. He argues ETH showed “one of the cleanest impulsive movements” in years—a full five-wave advance from ~$2,000 to ~$4,700—then sketched two scenarios.

In scenario one (the more aggressive), that $2,000–$4,700 move is wave one of a much larger sequence to $10,000+, with the current drawdown constituting wave two before a $5k–$6k expansion leg.

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In scenario two (less aggressive), ETH is missing a final wave-five push to new highs just above $5k, and then would undergo a broader, deeper wave-two correction. He even provides a hard invalidation for scenario two: if ETH fell to ~$2,700–$2,800, the overlap with wave-one territory would scrap it, implicitly favoring scenario one. Either way, he says, “sub-$2,000 Ethereum is likely gone for the rest of the cycle.”

Why does this matter for XRP? Because if ETH makes a clean run to and through $5k first, XRP/ETH likely bleeds into a deeper green demand band before reversing—timing that would map to XRP/USD basing while the ETH leg completes. He sees that as constructive signal, not weakness: a final dip in XRP/ETH toward higher-time-frame demand would “tell us when we may be seeing good risk-reward opportunity for long trades on XRPUSD,” and the longer the base, “the greater the expansion.”

Credible Crypto’s playbook for confirmation is explicit. On XRP/USD, watch for an impulsive five-wave thrust off the lows and for clean acceptance above $2.70–$3.11. On XRP/BTC, either a swift reversal from the “Gandalf’s grave” retest or a controlled bleed into a deeper, pre-identified demand block that would time a stronger USD-denominated breakout later. On XRP/ETH, a drift to the green demand area would likely coincide with ETH’s final push past $5k, after which he expects the cross to reverse hard in XRP’s favor.

At press time, XRP traded at $2.42.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com