Shares of GameStop Corp. surged Thursday, after the consumer electronics retailer named Ryan Cohen as it president and chief executive officer, effective immediately.
The move, which wasn’t unexpected, comes a few months after the company fired then-CEO Matthew Furlong, and elected activist investor Ryan Cohen as executive chairman. At that time, Cohen said in a tweet, “Not for long.”
Cohen will relinquish his role as executive chairman when he is appointed chairman.
GameStop’s stock GME shot up 9.9% in premarket trading, putting it on track to open at a three-week high.
Cohen, who previously founded and was CEO Chewy Inc. CHWY, -0.06%,
is the manager of RC Ventures, which in June disclosed a 36.85 million-share, or 12.1% stake in GameStop.
“In connection with his appointment, Mr. Cohen will assume the role of principal executive officer from Mark H. Robinson effective immediately and his responsibilities will include the oversight of all other executive officers, including Mr. Robinson,” the company said in a statement.
The company said Cohen will not receive any compensation for his roles as president, CEO and chairman, and will “continue to engage in various business activities and pursuits outside of the company.”
GameStop’s stock, which was one of the original “meme” stocks, has tumbled 37.2% over the past 12 months, while the S&P 500 index GME, +2.21%
has gained 14.9%.
ASOS said that fourth-quarter revenue slipped but cost-savings measures supported the group’s profitability, while earnings are expected to come in at the bottom end of its guidance.
The online fashion retailer said on Tuesday that revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 3 fell 12%, while revenue for the year dropped 10%.
The company said the fall was in line with the guidance given a weak performance in July and August amid a deterioration in the U.K. clothing market.
Despite the fall in sales, the fourth quarter is anticipated to be profitable. The company reported that around 300 million pounds ($366.3 million) of profit improvement and cost savings have now been realised, in line with the annual guidance.
Adjusted gross margin–which strips out exceptional and other one-off items– for the second half of fiscal 2023 rose by around 150 basis points, missing the guidance of above 200 basis points.
The company added that earnings before interest and taxes for the second half is anticipated to come in at the bottom of the guided range of GBP40 million to GBP60 million, with free cash inflow in second half now expected to be around GBP60 million.
Citi has released a list of 20 large-cap growth stocks that it says present opportunities in the event of a pullback.
“Our call since early summer has been to hold Growth and look to buy on pullbacks,” Citi analyst Scott Chronert said in a note released Monday, adding that Citi has had a tactical preference for cyclicals. “However, on the heels of the strong Cyclicals surge during June and July, and our upwardly revised S&P 500 target of 4600, the messaging has been to buy on pullbacks more broadly,” he wrote.
Citi also notes that the Russell 1000 Growth Index RLG
has sold off more than 6% from its mid-July high, although two-thirds of the stocks in the index are down 10% or more, with one-third down more than 20%. “This sets up for interesting intermediate to long-term stock selection opportunities,” Chronert said.
The analyst acknowledged that there is still a risk of economic softening ahead, if not a recession. “Yet, the argument that Growth stocks can show fundamental resilience during periods of broader economic weakening is a theme that we have considered for several years now,” he said.
Set against this backdrop, the analyst firm has compiled a tech-heavy list of 20 stocks that have a buy rating from Citi, have at least 75% of market cap assigned to growth, according to Russell, and have experienced a decline of 10% or more from year-to-date highs since March 31. Other common characteristics of the stocks include consensus estimates of free cash flow per share above March 31 levels and free cash flow per share within or above market-implied five-year-forward estimates.
Shares of Apple, which recently launched its iPhone 15, are down 5.5% in the last three months. Shares of chip maker NVIDIA are up 2.8% over the same period, while Lockheed Martin is down 8.9% and DraftKings is up 8.6%. Las Vegas Sands is down 21.8% and Chipotle is down 8.8%, while Netflix is down 7.8%.
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The grocery-delivery app Instacart on Monday priced its IPO at $30 a share, at the upper end of its expected range, raising $660 million with a fully-diluted valuation of around $10 billion after backing away from a stock-market debut last year.
The company said it plans to begin trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market on Tuesday under the ticker symbol “CART.” It will offer 22 million shares in the IPO. On Friday, Instacart had said it expected to price the offering at between $28 and $30 a share.
Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan are acting as lead book-running managers for the offering. Instacart said it also granted the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an extra 3.3 million shares at the IPO price. The offering is expected to close on Thursday.
The debut would come amid what appears to be a thaw in the IPO market, following a year of concerns about inflation and the broader economy. But the public debut of chip designerArm Holdings ARM, -4.53%
last week made big waves. The digital-marketing platform Klaviyo is set to debut this week as well.
Instacart’s valuation in 2021 stood at $39 billion. Last year, as pandemic-era digital demand fizzled, the company cut its valuation multiple times, but raised it this year, according to The Information.
Instacart, in its IPO filing, said the way people shop for groceries is undergoing a “massive digital transformation.” Evercore analysts have said the company controls around a fifth of the U.S. online grocery-delivery market.
H&M shares slumped Friday as the Swedish retail chain missed expectations for sales growth in a quarter in which it said it focused on profitability.
H&M stock HM.B, -5.62%
dropped 4% in early action, though it has rallied 47% this year.
In a brief statement, H&M said fiscal third-quarter sales in local currencies was “flattish,” missing analyst estimates for 5% sales growth. It said its goal of reaching a 10% operating margin next year “is going in the right direction” and that profitability and inventory levels have been priortized in the quarter.
Analysts at RBC said weather may have dampened sales, but that it also has become more expensive this season — for instance, pricing 10% below average in the U.K., versus 20% traditionally. Its publicly traded rivals — Inditex ITX, +0.58%,
the Primark unit of Associated British Foods ABF, +0.24%
and Next NXT, +0.64%
— have each reported stronger sales growth.
The broader tone in European markets was positive, except for tech stocks, with ASM International ASM, -5.44%
shares losing 5% and ASML Holding ASML, -2.51%
down 2%.
The French CAC 40 FR:PX1
led the major regional indexes with a 1.3% rise, as the U.K. FTSE 100 UK:UKX
and German DAX DX:DAX
also rose. Better-than-expected Chinese retail sales figures helped Paris-listed luxury plays.
Zara Owner Inditex on Wednesday reported first-half sales which beat market forecasts, thanks to a strong performance both online and in stores.
The Spanish fashion giant, which also owns Bershka, Massimo Dutti and Pull&Bear, said that net profit for the six months ended July 31 surged to 2.51 billion euros($2.70 billion), from EUR1.79 billion last year.
Sales came to EUR16.85 billion, topping the EUR14.85 billion it reported for the same period a year earlier. Analysts had forecast first-half sales of EUR16.68 billion, according to a poll of estimates compiled by FactSet.
Earnings before interest and taxes climbed to EUR3.16 billion in the first half from EUR2.43 billion, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased to EUR4.66 billion from EUR4.03 billion.
The operating margin increased to 18.8% from 16.4%, while the gross margin was up at 58.2% Inditex said.
For the year, Inditex continues to expect a stable gross margin plus or minus 50 basis points.
Inditex’s results come as the company seeks to maintain its edge over rivals in a challenging business environment. On Tuesday, Primark owner AB Foods upped its forecast for 2023 and said its sugar and clothing-retail divisions should be even more profitable next year despite an arduous macroeconomic backdrop. Stockholm-based H&M Hennes & Mauritz is set to report sales on Friday.
Usually, the announcement of a CEO change at a struggling company brings optimism and maybe even a stock pop. Not for
Walgreens Boots Alliance
Its shares have tumbled since Rosalind Brewer announced on Sept. 1 that she was stepping down. That could present a buying opportunity if the company makes the “right” choice…
Shares of GameStop Corp. rose in extended trading Wednesday after the videogame retailer and original meme stock reported second-quarter results that beat expectations, lifted by international sales gains and what the company described as “a significant software release.”
The company — which over the past few months has made some big leadership changes — reported a net loss of $2.8 million, or 1 cent a share, compared with $108.7 million, or 36 cents a share, in the same quarter last year. Revenue crept higher to $1.16 billion,…
After nearly two years of concerns about a recession, growing optimism about the economy is starting to filter down into Wall Street’s expectations for individual companies’ quarterly results, with analysts growing more upbeat about corporate profit in the months ahead
While expectations for those quarterly results usually trend lower as earnings season arrives, analysts over the past two months have actually nudged their profit forecasts higher for the first time in two years, according to a FactSet report released Friday….
Shares of investment giant Blackstone Inc. and vacation-home rental platform Airbnb Inc. rallied after hours on Friday after both won the nod to join the S&P 500 index SPX
later this month.
The announcement, from S&P Dow Jones Indices, said that the change would take hold before the start of trading on Monday, Sept. 18. The move, among others announced Friday, will “ensure each index is more representative of its market-capitalization range,” according to a release.
Airbnb ABNB, +0.87%
currently has a market value of $83.98 billion, and its shares are up 64.7% so far this year. Blackstone BX, -1.77%,
currently worth $129.29 billion, has seen its stock rise 43.6% year-to-date.
Shares of Airbnb and Blackstone were up 5.7% and 4.8%, respectively, after hours on Friday.
Blackstone and Airbnb will replace Lincoln National Corp. LNC, +2.14%
and Newell Brands Inc. NWL, +1.23%
in the index, S&P Dow Jones Indices said on Friday. In the process, Lincoln and Newell will join the S&P SmallCap 600.
“We’ve established an unparalleled global platform of leading business lines, offering over 70 distinct investment strategies,” Chief Executive Stephen Schwarzman told analysts. “We believe our clients view us as the gold standard in alternative asset management.”
Meanwhile, Airbnb last month said that travelers were seeking longer stays and bigger properties in pricier areas, as the rebound in travel endures despite a tidal wave of inflation last year. The company’s second-quarter results and third-quarter sales forecast topped Wall Street’s estimates.
Meanwhile, S&P 500 member Deere & Co. DE, +1.94%
will replace Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. WBA, -7.43%
in the S&P 100, S&P Dow Jones Indices said on Friday. That change also takes hold on Sept. 18. S&P Dow Jones Indices said Walgreens “is no longer representative of the megacap market space” but will stay in the S&P 500.
Shares of Deere fell 0.2% after hours. Walgreens stock was up 0.4%.
stock plunged on Wednesday as investors kicked around a bevy of bad news. The shoe and sportswear retailer missed expectations for second-quarter sales, slashed its full-year outlook again, and paused its dividend.
The majority of second-quarter earnings season is over, with a handful of major technology and retail names left to report this week. Economists will be focused on any news from an annual gathering of monetary policy thinkers and practitioners in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
The thing that will make companies lower prices is if consumers stop complaining about paying more for the things they need and want, and actually start refusing to buy them.
As the U.S. corporate earnings-reporting season progresses, with earnings from major retailers Walmart Inc. WMT, +0.59%,
Target Corp. TGT, +0.10%
and Home Depot Inc. HD, +0.52%
on tap next week, investors can get a ground-floor view of how consumer demand may have been hurt, or not, by higher prices, and what the companies plan to do, or not do, about it.
This dynamic of how consumers adjust their spending habits when prices change is referred to by economists as the price elasticity of demand.
“ For companies to cut prices, ‘you have to have the consumer go on strike, and they’re not there yet.’”
— Jamie Cox, Harris Financial Group
Those who trust companies will choose to ratchet down prices on their own, or at least not raise them because the rise in input costs has been slowing, haven’t been listening to what the many companies have told analysts on their post-earnings-report conference calls.
Kraft Heinz Co. KHC, +0.47%
acknowledged after its second-quarter report that its relatively higher prices have hurt demand, but not by enough for the food and condiments company to consider cutting prices.
Colgate-Palmolive Co. CL, +0.81%
said it will continue to raise prices, even as inflation slows and selling volume declines, as the consumer-products company continues to be laser focused on boosting margins and profits.
And while PepsiCo Inc. PEP, +0.16%
was worried that elasticities would increase, given how its lower-income customers were being particularly pressured by inflation, the beverage and snack giant reported strong results as it witnessed “better elasticities” in most of the markets in which it operated.
“Obviously, there is still carryover pricing, and I don’t think we’ll do anything different than our normal cycles on pricing in the balance of the year,” PepsiCo Chief Financial Officer Hugh Johnston told analysts, according to an AlphaSense transcript.
Basically, as MarketWatch has reported, so-called greedflation is alive and well.
Jamie Cox, managing partner for Harris Financial Group, said as long as the job market stays strong, as it is now, corporate greed will continue to pay off.
“If something is more expensive, and you have a job, you’ll complain about it, but you won’t substitute it for something cheaper,” Cox said. For companies to cut prices, “you have to have the consumer go on strike, and they’re not there yet,” Cox added.
“ ‘At some point, people are going to say, “All right — enough.” ’ ”
— Paul Nolte, Murphy & Sylvest Wealth Management
The reason elasticity is so important in the current environment is that, as long as consumers continue to pay the higher prices companies are charging, inflation will remain stubbornly high, making it, in turn, more likely that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates or, at the very least, not lower them.
But the longer interest rates stay high enough to crimp economic growth, the more likely the stock market will reverse lower as recession fears rise.
“At some point, people are going to say, ‘All right — enough,’ ” said Paul Nolte, senior wealth manager and market strategist at Murphy & Sylvest Wealth Management. “But we just haven’t seen that yet.”
What is elasticity?
Economists use the term “price elasticity of demand” to refer to the way in which consumers adjust their spending habits when prices change.
“Elasticity tries to measure how much more producers will want to produce if prices rise, and how much more consumers will want to buy if prices fall,” explained Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica.
Elasticity often depends on the type of product a company sells.
For example, consumer-discretionary-goods companies that sell products and services that people want will often experience greater price elasticity than consumer-staples companies that sell things that people need, such as groceries and prescription drugs.
But even for needs, consumers often still have a choice, as less expensive generic, or private-label, alternatives may be available.
Andre Schulten, chief financial officer of consumer-staples maker Procter & Gamble Co. PG, +0.58%,
which recently beat earnings expectations as it continued to raise prices, telling analysts that, while there was “some trading into private label,” the overall market share of private-label products was unchanged for the year.
As Harris Financial’s Cox said, consumers may be complaining about higher prices, but they aren’t yet desperate enough to stop buying.
The Federal Reserve’s latest Beige Book economic survey stated that business contacts in some districts had observed a “reluctance” to raise prices as consumers appeared to have grown more sensitive to prices, but other districts reported “solid demand” allowed companies to maintain prices and profitability.
That’s likely why companies and analysts have become less concerned about price elasticity. Based on a FactSet analysis, mentions of the word “elasticity” in press releases and conference calls of S&P 500 companies SPX
increased as inflation and interest rates started surging in early 2022 through the end of the year.
Mentions of the word elasticity in earnings press releases and conference-call transcripts of S&P 500 companies.
FactSet
As the chart shows, “elasticity” popped up in more than 55% of earnings releases and conference calls in mid-2022, but with the second-quarter 2023 earnings-reporting season more than half over, mentions had dropped to about 20%.
Perhaps that will pick up, as retailers, especially those catering to lower-income customers — recall the PepsiCo comment — assess the demand impact of continued price increases.
Meanwhile, the branded-foods company Conagra Brands Inc. CAG, +0.71%,
whose wide-ranging food brands including Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Hunt’s, Orville Redenbacher’s and Slim Jim, were starting to see the emergence of a different dynamic.
Chief Executive Sean Connolly said consumers were shifting behavior in some categories as prices remained high. Rather than trade down to lower-priced alternatives, he noticed some consumers buying fewer items overall, “more of a hunkering down than a trading down.”
That’s exactly the kind of consumer behavior that is needed, if companies are to stop feeding into the greedflation phenomenon and to start pulling back on prices.
The second-quarter earnings season so far is showing that one trend that featured in the first quarter has not gone away.
“Greedflation,” or the practice of companies raising prices to protect their profit margins, is alive and well, based on the number of companies that have so far acknowledged raising prices yet again, even as inflation readings have come down and as some acknowledge that their input costs are falling.
At the same time, companies continue to emphasize on earnings calls that their customers are showing signs they are weary of higher prices and are shopping more frequently at more stores, while spending less per trip.
“Across industries, we’ve seen the same story over and over the last two years,” said Liz Zelnick, director of economic security and corporate power at Accountable.US, a liberal-leaning consumer-advocacy group.
“CEOs claim outside forces made them gouge consumers, then turn around and give themselves raises and boast of record profits and billions in new investor handouts,” she said, referring to the billions of stock buybacks and dividend payouts the same companies have made.
On a call with analysts, Chief Executive Jon Moeller signaled more price increases to come, which he attributed to the company’s innovation pipeline, which is creating must-have products.
“If you look back historically, pricing has been a positive contributor to our top-line growth for something like 48 out of the 51 last quarters and again as we strengthen our innovation program even further, that will provide opportunities to continue to benefit from modest pricing,” said Moeller, according to a FactSet transcript.
The company blew past earnings estimates with adjusted per-share earnings of $1.37, ahead of the $1.32 FactSet consensus, and sales of $20.6 billion, versus the $20 billion FactSet consensus.
Gross margin increased 380 basis points from a year ago, driven by 340 basis points of pricing benefit and 290 basis points of productivity savings.
Coca-Cola Co. KO, -1.51%
also swept past estimates and raised guidance after the drinks and snacks giant increased prices by 10%. The company’s adjusted operating margin rose to 31.6% from 30.6% a year ago.
Conagra Brands Inc. CAG, -0.62%
raised prices by up to 17%, which Chief Executive Sean Connolly described as “inflation-justified.” The parent of brands such as Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Hunt’s, Orville Redenbacher’s and Slim Jim also reported that its customers are buying less food to stretch their budgets.
“[W]hile we did lose share in the quarter, as price gaps have stayed wider for longer than we would have liked, we are managing the business for the long term and still generated mid-single-digit top-line growth within the range of what we expected,” Chief Executive Miguel Patricio said.
The company, parent to brands including Kraft Mac and Cheese, Heinz Ketchup, Jell-O and Lunchables, indicated on the post-earnings conference call with analysts that rather than increasing discounting, or just cutting prices, it will remain focused on protecting margins, which has been allowing it to accelerate investment in the business, particularly in marketing, research and development and technology.
Besides, as Chief Financial Officer Andre Maciel said, the gaps between Kraft’s prices and those of competitors are not getting worse. “If anything, they are slightly getting better,” Maciel said, according to an AlphaSense transcript.
Considering the market-share losses and with inflation coming down, “do you think you took too much price, given you said you took price ahead of competitors, and they have not followed?” UBS analyst Cody Ross asked on the conference call.
CEO Miguel Patricio’s answer was simple: “No.”
“I mean, we had very high inflation. And we are leaders in the vast majority of categories where we play. And it’s our role as leader to try to compensate … this inflation with price increases,” Patricio said. “So I would do everything again. I mean we can always go back on price if we think we have to or when we have to. But we had to lead price increases.”
All of that leaves families to foot the bill for higher food prices, said Accountable.US’s Zelnick.
The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund XLP
has gained 1.2% in the year to date, while the SPDR S&P Retail ETF XRT
has gained 10.3%. The S&P 500 XRT
has gained 17%.
The second-quarter earnings season so far is showing that one trend that featured in the first quarter has not gone away.
“Greedflation,” or the practice of companies raising prices to protect their profit margins, is alive and well, based on the number of companies that have so far acknowledged raising prices yet again, even as inflation readings have come down and as some acknowledge that their input costs are falling.
At the same time, companies continue to emphasize on earnings calls that their customers are showing signs they are weary of higher prices and are shopping more frequently at more stores, while spending less per trip.
“Across industries, we’ve seen the same story over and over the last two years,” said Liz Zelnick, director of economic security and corporate power at Accountable.US, a liberal-leaning consumer-advocacy group.
“CEOs claim outside forces made them gouge consumers, then turn around and give themselves raises and boast of record profits and billions in new investor handouts,” she said, referring to the billions of stock buybacks and dividend payouts the same companies have made.
On a call with analysts, Chief Executive Jon Moeller signaled more price increases to come, which he attributed to the company’s innovation pipeline, which is creating must-have products.
“If you look back historically, pricing has been a positive contributor to our top-line growth for something like 48 out of the 51 last quarters and again as we strengthen our innovation program even further, that will provide opportunities to continue to benefit from modest pricing,” said Moeller, according to a FactSet transcript.
The company blew past earnings estimates with adjusted per-share earnings of $1.37, ahead of the $1.32 FactSet consensus, and sales of $20.6 billion, versus the $20 billion FactSet consensus.
Gross margin increased 380 basis points from a year ago, driven by 340 basis points of pricing benefit and 290 basis points of productivity savings.
Coca-Cola Co. KO, -0.49%
also swept past estimates and raised guidance after the drinks and snacks giant increased prices by 10%. The company’s adjusted operating margin rose to 31.6% from 30.6% a year ago.
Conagra Brands Inc. CAG, -0.75%
raised prices by up to 17%, which Chief Executive Sean Connolly described as “inflation-justified.” The parent of brands such as Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Hunt’s, Orville Redenbacher’s and Slim Jim also reported that its customers are buying less food to stretch their budgets.
“[W]hile we did lose share in the quarter, as price gaps have stayed wider for longer than we would have liked, we are managing the business for the long term and still generated mid-single-digit top-line growth within the range of what we expected,” Chief Executive Miguel Patricio said.
The company, parent to brands including Kraft Mac and Cheese, Heinz Ketchup, Jell-O and Lunchables, indicated on the post-earnings conference call with analysts that rather than increasing discounting, or just cutting prices, it will remain focused on protecting margins, which has been allowing it to accelerate investment in the business, particularly in marketing, research and development and technology.
Besides, as Chief Financial Officer Andre Maciel said, the gaps between Kraft’s prices and those of competitors are not getting worse. “If anything, they are slightly getting better,” Maciel said, according to an AlphaSense transcript.
Considering the market-share losses and with inflation coming down, “do you think you took too much price, given you said you took price ahead of competitors, and they have not followed?” UBS analyst Cody Ross asked on the conference call.
CEO Miguel Patricio’s answer was simple: “No.”
“I mean, we had very high inflation. And we are leaders in the vast majority of categories where we play. And it’s our role as leader to try to compensate … this inflation with price increases,” Patricio said. “So I would do everything again. I mean we can always go back on price if we think we have to or when we have to. But we had to lead price increases.”
All of that leaves families to foot the bill for higher food prices, said Accountable.US’s Zelnick.
The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund XLP
has gained 1.2% in the year to date, while the SPDR S&P Retail ETF XRT
has gained 10.3%. The S&P 500 XRT
has gained 17%.
The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index is due for release Tuesday, which outside of inflationary periods (i.e., now), tends to be one of the more important economic indicators for financial markets, given its record as a bellwether.
ISM manufacturing data during the current rate-hike cycle (in red) has lagged other periods.
Even compared to other rate-hike cycles, the ISM manufacturing series has been one of the worst in history, points out Jason Daw, head of North America rates strategy at RBC Dominion Securities. Daw makes the case that the U.S. economy overall is not very strong for this period of the cycle, and the manufacturing data, not just ISM but also industrial production, has been particularly feeble.
But the call of the day comes from JPMorgan’s economic team. They note that while global manufacturing stalled in the first half, the non-manufacturing components rose at a 3.2% annualized rate, allowing the global economy to grow at an above trend 2.7% rate.
The team led by Bruce Kasman say that the typical channels through which weak manufacturing would bring down the broader economy haven’t materialized. “A major channel by which weakness in goods sectors broadens out is through depressing corporate income and pricing power. While our start-of-year outlook anticipated elevated wage gains to pressure corporate profits, the surprising strength in [first-half] global GDP was accompanied by upside surprises to inflation,” they say. In turn, there have been solid gains in both labor income and profits, and while margins have come off their peaks, they are well above pre-pandemic levels.
Business hiring, they add, is the ultimate signal of confidence, and employment growth has continued even though expectations have soured.
Now, say the JPMorgan team, the stage is set for a goods sector recovery. Labor income, when adjusted for inflation, is rising, while finished goods inflation is falling sharply.
Also, business capital spending continues to expand, particularly in emerging economies outside of China. And importantly, inventories are swinging from a drag to a lift. In the first half, the step down in the pace of stock building depressed global industrial production by 3.4 percentage points.
“Even if the pace of stockbuilding was only to level off, the impulse to global industry would be material. Add to that a potential desire to align the pace to firming demand growth and the boost could generate a jump in factory output in the coming months,” they say.
Finally, they note, the tech spending decline after the 2020 to 2021 surge looks to be ending, and global motor vehicle production is picking up as supply-chain bottlenecks ease.
The markets
After an okay finish for the S&P 500 SPX, -0.29%
to a strong July, U.S. stock futures ES00, -0.36%
NQ00, -0.42%
were a bit lower as the seasonally weak month of August commenced. Gold futures GC00, -1.28%
were trading below $2,000 an ounce. The dollar DXY, +0.42%
rose.
The ISM report is due out at 10 a.m. Eastern, when the job openings and construction spending reports also come out. Monthly auto sales also will be released throughout the day.
The inflation-adjusted equity premium is looking pretty bleak. That’s calculated by taking the expected return to the S&P 500 and subtracting 10-year TIPS yields. “While admittedly this graphic is skewed by the few megacaps trading at huge multiples, it’s sobering nonetheless,” says Michael Ashton, better known as the Inflation Guy.
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Listen to the Best New Ideas in Money podcast with MarketWatch financial columnist James Rogers and economist Stephanie Kelton.
I’ve lived in the city for the last four decades, but I’ve mostly been renting. My priorities are a three-bedroom apartment with easy access to grocery stores and the subway in a nice, quiet neighborhood.
But housing prices are insane in New York City. I want a house, but my partner is looking at a co-op. And for my price range of $700,000, the best options I can find are co-ops.
I plan to buy the home and live in it, and am not looking to rent it out in the foreseeable future. The home is for my family of four.
So my question is this: Is a co-op a good idea?
New York Native
‘The Big Move’ is a MarketWatch column looking at the ins and outs of real estate, from navigating the search for a new home to applying for a mortgage.
Do you have a question about buying or selling a home? Do you want to know where your next move should be? Email Aarthi Swaminathan at TheBigMove@marketwatch.com.
Dear New Yorker,
For those unfamiliar with what a co-op is, it’s short for housing cooperative. A cooperative is a legal group that owns one or more residential buildings, and the residents are members of it. The cooperative can comprise apartments, but it can also be made up of single-family homes. Residents who purchase a co-op unit don’t own the unit itself and have a share in the common areas. Instead, they’re purchasing a share of the overall property, and that share gives them the right to live in a specific unit.
When you look for homes, you may find that co-operative apartments are cheaper than comparable condominium units in the same city, or than single-family homes. And with the median home price in Manhattan being $1.2 million, according to Douglas Elliman, a co-op apartment for $700,000, if you find one, may sound like a good deal.
But, as you already know, for a three-bedroom, you’ll be quickly priced out of Manhattan. The real-estate brokerage said that a three-bedroom co-op apartment on the island would run about $2.23 million. And only 12% of co-op sales were three-bedroom apartments, versus 38% for one-bedrooms.
You will find deals further out. In Queens, Douglas Elliman said, the median price of a condo unit was about $720,000 in the second quarter of this year, and a co-op apartment cost roughly $310,000.
But there are drawbacks that you should consider, if you haven’t already.
First of all, you don’t technically own your co-op apartment as you would own an apartment in a condominium. Co-ops also charge you fees, which can run $4,000 a month, as Streeteasy observes, depending on the size of the unit, and so on. Applying for co-op ownership can be a painful process. Renting them out (if you can do that at all) will be hard, since the renter will have to go through the co-op board.
Selling is similarly tough, as the prospective buyer needs to be approved by the board. A board can require that a buyer put a lot of money up front, as Curbed explains. Ultimately, you may end up with less equity over time as experts say co-ops don’t typically appreciate at the same pace as condominium units or single-family houses or town houses.
Co-ops are also very “secretive,” as the Guardian put it, with little transparency into how boards make their decisions about potential buyers and renters. According to data from the New York City Department of Housing Preservation and Development, there were 3.6 million housing units as of 2021, out of which 832,000 were in a condominium or a co-op.
That being said, co-ops aren’t all that bad.
The important thing to remember is if you’re just looking for an affordable place to live with your family, the numbers may very well make sense.
Co-op apartments are priced lower than units in condominiums, as already mentioned, so you’re still able to find good options with easy access to the subway and other urban amenities. You can stop dealing with rent hikes from your landlord and have a property to call your own. And, ultimately, you also live in a building with many long-term tenants versus living among neighbors who change every year. There can also be a greater sense of community in a co-op vs. a condominium as co-op residents may tend to change less frequently.
So you have to weigh the pros and cons. If you’re looking for a more affordable entry into New York City real estate, and have the stomach to navigate the co-op process, then, by all means, apply for that apartment your wife liked.
Bottom line: Just be sure you won’t want to move in a couple of years from now because you likely won’t be able to rent it out for long, if at all.
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Ocado Group said Monday that it has reached an agreement to settle all litigation with Norwegian peer AutoStore over e-commerce patent claims.
The online grocer and retail-technology specialist said AutoStore will pay Ocado 200 million pounds ($257.1 million) in 24 monthly installments starting this month.
The settlement includes a cross-licence of certain patents between the two companies, whereby they both have freedom to access and use technology covered by each other’s pre-2020 patents.
The agreement gives access to part of each company’s patent portfolio for both of them to use or develop their own products, Ocado said.
The settlement ends a three-year row that started in 2020, when AutoStore filed a claim for patent infringement against Ocado regarding e-commerce tech.
Write to Christian Moess Laursen at christian.moess@wsj.com
