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  • West after Wagner rebellion: Talk softly and help Ukraine carry a bigger stick

    West after Wagner rebellion: Talk softly and help Ukraine carry a bigger stick

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    As the United States and its European allies work to make sense of last weekend’s chaos in the Kremlin, they’re urging Kyiv to seize a “window” of opportunity that could help its counteroffensive push through Russian positions.

    The forming response: Transatlantic allies are hoping, largely by keeping silent, to de-escalate the immediate political crisis while quietly pushing Ukraine to strike a devastating blow against Russia on the battlefield. It’s best to hit an enemy while it’s down, and Kyiv would be hard-pressed to find a more wounded Russia, militarily and politically, than it is right now. 

    In public, American and European leaders stressed that they are preparing for any outcome, as it still remained unclear where the mercenary rebellion would ultimately lead. Wagner Group chief Yevgeny Prigozhin, who led the revolt, resurfaced on Monday, claiming he had merely wanted to protest, not topple the Russian government — while simultaneously insisting his paramilitary force would remain operational. 

    “It’s still too early to reach a definitive conclusion about where this is going,” U.S. President Joe Biden said Monday afternoon. “The overall outcome of this remains to be seen.” 

    For the moment, European officials see no greater threat to the Continent even as they watch for signs that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s two-decade hold on power might be slipping. 

    Western allies attribute the relative calm to how they managed Prigozhin’s 24-hour tantrum. 

    During the fighting, senior Biden administration figures and their European counterparts agreed on calls that they should remain “silent” and “neutral” about the mutiny, said three U.S. and European officials, who like others were granted anonymity to discuss fast-moving and sensitive deliberations.

    In Monday’s meeting of top EU diplomats in Luxembourg, officials from multiple countries acted with a little-to-see-here attitude. No one wanted to give the Kremlin an opening to claim Washington and its friends were behind the Wagner Group’s targeting of senior Russian military officials. 

    “We made clear that we were not involved. We had nothing to do with it,” Biden said from the White House Monday, relaying the transatlantic message. However, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov signaled on Monday that his regime would still look into the potential involvement of Western spies in the rebellion.

    The broader question is how, or even if, the unprecedented moment could reverse Ukraine’s fortunes as its counteroffensive stalls.

    The U.S. and some European nations have urged Ukraine for weeks to move faster and harder on the front lines. The criticism is that Kyiv has acted too cautiously, waiting for perfect weather conditions and other factors to align before striking Russia’s dug-in fortifications. 

    Now, with Moscow’s political and military weaknesses laid bare, there’s a “window” for Ukraine to push through the first defensive positions, a U.S. official said. Others in the U.S. and Europe assess that Russian troops might lay down their arms if Ukraine gets the upper hand while command and control problems from the Kremlin persist.

    British Secretary of State for Defence Ben Wallace | Sean Gallup/Getty Images

    “Russia does not appear to have the uncommitted ground forces needed to counter the multiple threats it is now facing from Ukraine, which extend over 200 kilometers [124 miles] from Bakhmut to the eastern bank of the Dnipro River,” U.K. Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said in the House of Commons Monday.

    Ukrainian officials say there’s no purposeful delay on their part. Russia’s air power, minefields and bad weather have impeded Kyiv’s advances, they insist, conceding that they do wish they could move faster. 

    “We’re still moving forward in different parts of the front line,” Yuri Sak, an adviser to Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov, said in an interview.

    “Earlier it was not possible to assess the solidity of the Russian defenses,” Sak added. “Only now that we are doing active probing operations, we get a better picture. The obtained information will be factored into the next stages of our offensive operations.”

    Analysts have long warned that, despite the training Ukrainian forces have received from Western militaries, it was unlikely that they would fight just like a NATO force. Kyiv is still operating with a strategy of attrition despite recent drills on combined-arms operations, maneuver warfare and longer-range precision fires.

    During Monday’s gathering of top EU diplomats, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said now was the time to pump more artillery systems and missiles into Kyiv’s arsenal, place more sanctions on Russia and speed up the training of Ukrainian pilots on advanced fighter jets. 

    “Together, all these steps will allow the liberation of all Ukrainian territories,” he asserted.

    In the meantime, European officials will keep an eye on Russia as they consider NATO’s own security. 

    “I think that nobody has yet understood what is going on in Russia — frankly I have a feeling also that the leadership in Moscow has no clue what is going on in their own country,” quipped Latvia’s Foreign Minister and President-elect Edgars Rinkēvičs in a phone interview on Monday afternoon. 

    “We are prepared, as we always would be, for a range of scenarios,” U.K. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak told reporters Monday.

    NATO allies will continue to watch for whether Russia starts to crumble or if the autocrat atop the Kremlin can hold his nation together with spit and tape. 

    “The question is how Putin will now react to his public humiliation. His reaction — to save his face and reestablish his authority — may well be a further crackdown on any domestic dissent and an intensified war effort in Ukraine,” said a Central European defense official. The official added that there’s no belief Putin will reach for a nuclear option during the greatest threat to his rule in two decades.

    In the meantime, an Eastern European senior diplomat said, “we will increase monitoring, possibly our national vigilance and intelligence efforts. Additional border protection measures might be feasible. We need more allied forces in place.”

    Alexander Ward reported from Washington. Lili Bayer reported from Brussels. Suzanne Lynch reported from Luxembourg. Cristina Gallardo reported from London. 

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    Alexander Ward, Lili Bayer, Suzanne Lynch and Cristina Gallardo

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  • Putin in crisis as Wagner chief Prigozhin declares war on Russian military leadership

    Putin in crisis as Wagner chief Prigozhin declares war on Russian military leadership

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    Vladimir Putin is facing a major military crisis after Russian mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigozhin declared war on Moscow’s own defense ministry, claiming Kremlin officials had killed thousands of his soldiers.

    In a statement issued Friday night, the FSB security agency said it had “legally and reasonably begun criminal proceedings” against the Wagner Group warlord “for the organization of armed insurrection.”

    The feud between Prigozhin and Russia’s ministry of defense has been building for months but now appears to have boiled over.

    According to Russian state media, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said that Putin is aware of the rapidly unfolding situation and that “all necessary measures are being taken.”

    “Prigozhin’s statements and actions are actually the calls for the beginning of an armed civil conflict on the territory of Russia and are a ‘stab in the back’ for Russian servicemen,” officials added.

    The move comes after Prigozhin accused Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu of having hidden “colossal” failings on the battlefield from Putin, claiming that 2,000 Wagner men were killed as a result of strikes ordered by the Russian Ministry of Defense.

    In response to Prigozhin’s allegations, Moscow issued a strong denial and a procession of generals have lined up to urge Wagner fighters to stand down.

    In one video appeal, Lieutenant General Vladimir Alekseev, first deputy chief of the general staff of the armed forces, said that Prigozhin does not have the authority to give orders. “This is a state coup,” he insisted, “come to your senses!”

    Meanwhile, the Deputy Commander of Russian forces in Ukraine, Sergei Surovikin — known as “General Armageddon” — urged Wagner to hold its positions and not to turn on its own allies. “Stop the columns, return them to the points of permanent deployment,” he pleaded.

    Rolling the dice

    Earlier Friday, the Wagner Group founder questioned Moscow’s rationale for launching its invasion of Ukraine, saying that “the Armed Forces of Ukraine were not going to attack Russia with NATO,” and that “the war was needed for a bunch of scumbags to triumph and show how strong of an army they are.”

    In a bombastic video statement he called the Russian military leadership “evil” and vowed to march for “justice,” threatening anyone who stood in his way.

    Speaking to POLITICO, Colonel Philip Ingram, a former British military intelligence officer and ex-NATO planner, said that it was “too early to tell” if a coup was underway. “Clearly Moscow is worried and has activated a defense plan — Prigozhin is trying to push something focused on Shoigu, but it could be many things.”

    According to Ian Garner, a Russia expert and author of a new book on the fallout of the war in Ukraine, the Wagner chief has overplayed his hand. “Prigozhin has rolled the dice, and now the state is going to do away with him for good,” he said.

    “I suspect Prigozhin’s chances of launching a successful coup are slim. The state can offer everything he does — money, freedom, prestige — without him. Why would the Wagner fighters side with Prigozhin in a battle to the death?” Garner said.

    Friday night’s chaos also amounts to a death knell for the Wagner Group, which has been active not just in Ukraine but also in Africa, according to one analyst.

    “Whatever this is, it is definitely the dismantling of Wagner,” said Tatiana Stanovaya, a political analyst and founder of the R-Politik consultancy firm, on her Telegram channel.

    “This is the end of Prigozhin and the end of Wagner. An important moment: many within the elite will hold it against Putin that things have come this far and that the president did not react sooner. That’s why this entire story is also a blow to Putin.”

    Meanwhile, the Kremlin published a pre-recorded video of President Putin in honor of Youth Day.

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    Gabriel Gavin and Tim Ross

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  • Wagner rebels career toward showdown with Putin as they push to Moscow

    Wagner rebels career toward showdown with Putin as they push to Moscow

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    Mercenaries from the Wagner Group of embittered warlord Yevgeny Prigozhin — some of them speeding along a highway to Moscow — on Saturday looked set for imminent clashes with troops loyal to President Vladimir Putin, who warned the rebellion risked pushing Russia into a civil war.

    Furious over the Kremlin’s bungled invasion of Ukraine, Prigozhin seized key strategic footholds in southern Russian on Saturday — most significantly the major city of Rostov-on-Don — while an unclear number of his forces were making a dash up the main highway to the capital. Russian government forces also appeared to shell the southern city of Voronezh on Saturday in an attempt to combat the Wagner insurrection, which is snowballing into one of the gravest threats to Putin’s 25-year rule.

    It is far from clear how close Wagner’s troops are to Moscow but the governor of Lipetsk, some 400 kilometers south of the capital, has reported the mercenary convoy passing through, and authorities there said they were carving ditches in the road with diggers to slow Prigozhin’s men. Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin warned “a counter-terrorist operation has been declared in Moscow. The situation is complicated,” and added that Monday would not be a regular working day, telling people to avoid traveling round the city.

    Footage posted online of the roadblocks supposed to slow Wagner looked hastily improvized, with a light military presence, mainly composed of civilian vehicles. Jay Truesdale, a former American diplomat who served in both Russia and Ukraine, said Moscow was ill-equipped to cope with a major insurgency. “I’m not surprised Russia hasn’t been able to deal with the growing threat because the best members of its armed forces are deployed, or have been killed,” he told POLITICO.

    In a sign that fears of full-blown internal conflict are not far-fetched, Chechen strongman and Putin loyalist Ramzan Kadyrov vowed to throw his fighters behind the president and take on Prigozhin’s renegade troops in Rostov. “The rebellion must be crushed, and if this requires harsh measures, then we are ready!” he said.

    Images of shelling in Voronezh, some 500 kilometers south of Moscow, could not immediately be verified, but the governor, Alexander Gusev, confirmed fighting there. “The Russian armed forces are carrying out required operational and combat measures on the territory of the Voronezh Region as part of a counter-terror operation,” he said.

    Early on Saturday, Prigozhin claimed to have taken control of Rostov — a crucial command center for the Kremlin’s war in Ukraine, with a population of more than 1 million — without a fight. In response, Putin lashed out at Prigozhin’s “treason” and vowed to “neutralize” the threat posed by his renegade mercenary army.

    In a five-and-a-half-minute address to the nation, the president denounced this mutiny as “a stab in the back of our nation and our people.” Without naming Prigozhin, he said: “We are dealing with treason.”

    The Russian president said the insurrection was “exactly the kind of blow that was dealt to Russia in 1917, when the country fought the First World War, but victory was stolen from her. Intrigues, squabbles, politicking behind the backs of the army and the people turned into the greatest shock: the destruction of the army and the collapse of the state, the loss of vast territories. In the end — the tragedy of the civil war.”

    The insurrection dramatically escalates the stakes in Moscow’s 16-month-old war on Ukraine, and creates a significant headache for Putin, just as Ukrainian forces are looking for opportunities to push through Russian defensive lines in a long-awaited counteroffensive.

    Most significant challenge

    Britain’s ministry of defense also cast Prigozhin’s mutiny “as the most significant challenge to the Russian state in recent times.”

    In a new audio message released by Prigozhin on Saturday, he insisted his men had Russia’s best interests at heart. “When it comes to accusations of betrayal, the president is deeply mistaken. We are patriots … None of us will turn ourselves in because we don’t want to live a life of corruption, deceit and bureaucracy,” he said. “We are patriots and those who oppose us today are on the side of the scum.”

    In a statement on Saturday morning, the U.K. government indicated Prigozhin’s forces were moving through territory around Voronezh, roughly 500 kilometers south of Moscow and around 500 kilometers north of Rostov “almost certainly aiming to get to Moscow.” Russian authorities said they had closed the main highway running from Moscow to the south in a bid to block any advances by Prigozhin’s mutineers.

    In both Voronezh and Rostov, the authorities have called on people to stay at home, while Patriarch Kirill, the head of Russia’s Orthodox Church, called on Russians to pray for Putin. 

    “With very limited evidence of fighting between Wagner and Russian security forces, some have likely remained passive, acquiescing to Wagner,” the statement by the U.K. defense ministry said. “Over the coming hours, the loyalty of Russia’s security forces, and especially the Russian National Guard, will be key to how the crisis plays out.”

    Admitting the situation remains “difficult” in Rostov, a palpably angry Putin called on Wagner’s forces to desert their commander. “I call on those who are being dragged into this crime not to make the fatal and tragic, inimitable mistake, to make the only right choice — to stop participating in criminal actions,” he said.

    Putin’s chef

    Nicknamed “Putin’s chef” — because he came to prominence by running catering services for the Russian government — Prigozhin has become one of the most prominent faces of Russia’s war against Ukraine, but has become an increasingly virulent critic of Moscow’s military command, which he repeatedly accuses of incompetence and of providing insufficient resources to his frontline troops. A notoriously brutal and unpredictable figure, Prigozhin has drawn many of his forces from jails.

    Overnight, Prigozhin said in a series of short voice messages posted to social media that he was leading a “march of justice” and not a military coup, and suggested that 25,000 of his men were en route to Moscow to oust Russia’s military leadership — and were ready to die for the cause.

    “We are at the staff headquarters, it’s 7:30 in the morning,” Prigozhin said in a video statement posted in his Telegram channel. “Military objects in Rostov are under control, including the aerodrome.”

    According to reports and social media, Wagner forces met little resistance as they traveled the short distance from the Ukrainian border to the city, the operational center for Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. The thrust transformed Prigozhin’s increasingly furious tirades of the past 24 hours against the Kremlin into stark action that exposed the vulnerability of the Russian rear.

    “The chief of staff ran away as soon as he found out that we were approaching the building,” said Prigozhin, referring to Chief of the General Staff of Russian Armed Forces Valery Gerasimov, who was reported to have been in the area recently.

    Prigozhin said the staff headquarters in Rostov was working normally. “Everything we did and took control over was so that offensive aviation does not strike us, but strikes the Ukrainians,” he said. The 1:43-minute video statement was shot in the corner of a rain-soaked courtyard as armed troops milled around in the background.

    The big question now is how much support Prigozhin could possibly command. Wagner’s recruitment posters were already being taken down in several cities. Andrei Kolesnikov, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for Peace, tweeted Prigozhin was unlikely to win support among Russia’s key power players.

    “The indifference of the man of the masses on which Putin’s regime rests will not turn against him. But an indifferent person will not defend him either. Much depends on the loyalty of the siloviki and the elites in general. But they don’t like Prigozhin, he’s dangerous to them.”

    Prigozhin takes control

    Meanwhile, an unverified video purported to show Prigozhin taking control of military installations in Rostov, where he held tense talks with Deputy Defense Minister Yunus-bek Yevkurov. The Wagner chief appeared to threaten to blockade the city and march on Moscow if his demands were not met.

    According to military bloggers and to Prigozhin himself, Wagner troops had overnight shot down one Russian Mi-35 helicopter. Videos posted on social media overnight had shown choppers hovering over Rostov.

    Prominent Russian pro-war blogger Igor Girkin also posted clips showing long columns of military vehicles, which he said belonged to Wagner forces, snaking through the Voronezh region.

    Appealing directly to the Russian army and people, Prigozhin said the Kremlin had lied to them over the toll of the war. A huge amount of territory has been lost, he said. Three to four times as many men were being killed than was reported to the top; and losses — killed, missing, wounded and unable to fight due to a lack of ammunition or leadership — reached 1,000 on some days, he said.

    Russia’s FSB spy service has opened a criminal investigation for organizing an armed insurrection, and according to state media, counterterrorism operations have been launched in Moscow, the surrounding region and Voronezh oblast, which lies around halfway along the 1,100-kilometer road from Rostov to the Russian capital.

    This story is developing.

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    Douglas Busvine , Gabriel Gavin and Zoya Sheftalovich

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  • Russia boosts dolphin patrols to protect Crimea naval base

    Russia boosts dolphin patrols to protect Crimea naval base

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    The Russian Navy is increasing the number of trained dolphins it uses to protect its main military base in the Black Sea, according to intelligence reports.

    The animals are guarding the entry to the port of Sevastopol, in Russian-occupied Crimea, and are likely intended to “counter enemy divers,” British military intelligence said Friday.

    In recent weeks, “imagery shows a near doubling of floating mammal pens in the harbor which highly likely contain bottle-nosed dolphins,” the report says.

    Trained animals have been used for decades by the military or intelligence agencies to carry out specific missions. A Beluga whale which has made several appearances off the Scandinavian coast in recent years is for instance believed to be a spy trained by the Russian army.

    Russia’s Black Sea fleet has been targeted by several drone attacks since the start of the Kremlin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

    In April, Russian ships stationed in Sevastopol were hit by an attack carried out with “three unmanned high-speed boats,” and a fuel depot in the same city was hit by a drone strike a few days later — prompting Moscow to announce a tightening of security measures at the Sevastopol naval base last month.

    Ukraine has been accused by Russia of being responsible for these attacks, but has avoided taking responsibility for them.

    Russia illegally annexed the Crimean peninsula in 2014.

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  • We should monitor all Russians living in the West, Czech leader says

    We should monitor all Russians living in the West, Czech leader says

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    Czech President Petr Pavel says Russian citizens living abroad should be put under “strict surveillance” by intelligence services in their host countries.

    “All Russians living in Western countries should be monitored much more than in the past because they are citizens of a nation that leads an aggressive war,” Pavel said in an interview with Radio Free Europe released Thursday.

    “I can be sorry for these people, but at the same time when we look back, when the Second World War started, all the Japanese population living in the United States were under a strict monitoring regime as well,” said the Czech president. “That’s simply a cost of war.”

    Asked what he implied by “monitoring,” Pavel said he meant “being under the scrutiny of the security services.”

    During World War II, about 120,000 people of Japanese descent — most of whom were American citizens, and half of them children — were forcibly put in internment camps following the December 1941 Pearl Harbor attack by Japanese forces. The camps were surrounded by barbed wire and guarded by U.S. soldiers. Then-President Ronald Reagan formally apologized over the camps back in 1988.

    U.S. President Joe Biden said in February it was “one of the most shameful periods in American history.”

    Russian citizens have fled their country by the hundreds of thousands since the start of the Kremlin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 — including to avoid being drafted into the Russian army. According to Statista, there were about 6.6 million Russians living in Europe and Northern America in 2020.

    The pro-Western Czech president, who has been a vocal supporter of Ukraine amid Russia’s invasion, used to be a NATO general — a highly unusual background for a European leader.

    He was elected in January, after running as an independent, defeating former Prime Minister Andrej Babiš with 58 percent of the vote.

    Pavel’s position is largely ceremonial but, as the Czech head of state, he can still exert influence on the direction of the country, as previous Czech leaders have done in the past.

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    Nicolas Camut

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  • Defiant Ukraine says dam carnage won’t stop counteroffensive

    Defiant Ukraine says dam carnage won’t stop counteroffensive

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    KYIV — Ukrainian officials insist the destruction of the Nova Kakhovka dam, which unleashed massive flooding in the Kherson region, won’t stand in the way of Kyiv’s counteroffensive.

    “Ukraine is equipped with all the necessary watercraft and pontoon bridge crossings for crossing water obstacles,” the Strategic Communications Center of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (Stratcom) said in a statement on Tuesday. “Ukraine is ready to restore and rebuild the territories liberated from Russian aggression.”

    Western leaders, including NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and EU High Representative Josep Borrell, among others, have blamed Moscow for blowing up the dam, which is located in an area of Ukraine occupied by Russian forces. Kyiv argues that the Kremlin was seeking to flood the areas around it to make them less accessible to Ukrainian tanks and personnel in a counteroffensive.

    Ukraine has been warning that Russia would seek to destroy the dam since last October, when Kyiv launched its surprise counteroffensive and regained swathes of territory from Moscow’s forces.

    Russia, after initially claiming the dam had burst of its own accord on Tuesday, subsequently blamed Ukraine’s forces for bombing it. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov claimed Kyiv had sabotaged the dam, which supplied water to the Russian-occupied Crimean peninsula, to deprive it of water.

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy rejected this argument, saying in a video address to the Bucharest Nine Summit on Tuesday: “Russia has been controlling the dam and the entire Kakhovka HPP for more than a year. It is physically impossible to blow it up somehow from the outside, by shelling. It was mined by the Russian occupiers. And they blew it up.”

    Meanwhile, last week, a Russian government decree suspended requirements to investigate incidents at energy infrastructure in occupied Ukraine.

    On Monday, a day before the dam was blown up, the Kremlin claimed Russia had prevented Ukraine’s counteroffensive. Kyiv dismissed that idea, stating instead that its forces had succeeded in retaking some territory around Bakhmut, the town in Donbas that Russia’s forces claimed to have full control over.

    In the early hours of Tuesday morning, Russia responded with another barrage of airstrikes aimed mostly at Kyiv; Ukraine shot all 35 missiles down.

    Gabriel Gavin contributed reporting.

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    Veronika Melkozerova

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  • Russians shooting at rescuers in flooded areas, Zelenskyy says

    Russians shooting at rescuers in flooded areas, Zelenskyy says

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    Paul Ronzheimer is the deputy editor-in-chief of BILD and a senior journalist reporting for Axel Springer, the parent company of POLITICO.

    KYIV — Russian forces are shooting at Ukrainian rescuers attempting to reach those trapped in flood-struck areas of occupied Kherson after the destruction of the Nova Kakhovka dam, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in an exclusive interview.

    “As soon as our helpers try to rescue them, they are shot at,” Zelenskyy said, referring to efforts to reach residents of towns on the Russian-occupied bank of the Dnipro River, which has been inundated with floodwater after blasts partially destroyed the dam on Tuesday. The floodwaters threaten 80 settlements on both the Ukrainian-held and Russian-occupied sides of the river, according to Kyiv.

    “People, animals have died,” Zelenskyy said. “From the roofs of the flooded houses, people see drowned people floating by. You can see that on the other side. It’s very hard to get people out of the occupied part of Kherson region. When our forces try to get them out, they are shot at by occupiers from a distance.”

    He added: “We won’t be able to see all the consequences for a few days, when the water has trickled down a bit.”

    After initially denying that the dam had been blown up, Russia blamed Kyiv for the disaster. The dam bridges the Dnipro River, holding back as much as 18 cubic kilometers of water, and was a vital source of water to the Crimean peninsula, which Russia illegally annexed in 2014.

    Ukraine says the Kremlin is behind the destruction of the dam, as part of a desperate bid to hold back Kyiv’s expected counteroffensive.

    “They understand very well that they will lose this battle,” Zelenskyy told Axel Springer, POLITICO’s parent company. “They are dragging out the liberation of our territories.”

    Pointing to the fact that the dam has been under Russian forces’ control since the very beginning of the full-scale invasion in February 2022, Zelenskyy said the Kremlin was to blame.

    “This is happening on occupied territory,” Zelenskyy said, adding that he had long warned his Western allies of the probability the Russians would attempt to destroy the dam.

    “Everyone said: ‘The risk is high that the dam will be blown up if the adversary senses that we will come upon these territories to liberate them,’” the Ukrainian president said. The Russians “are afraid that we will start the counteroffensive in this direction and they want to make it difficult to liberate our areas. They didn’t think twice about flooding their occupied territories as well. I don’t see any other reasons.”

    Zelenskyy also took aim at international humanitarian organizations, which he said were missing in action when it came to rescue efforts on the ground.

    “They are not there,” he said. While Ukraine has appealed for help, “we haven’t received any response. I am shocked.”

    Paul Ronzheimer reported from Kyiv.

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    Paul Ronzheimer and Zoya Sheftalovich

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  • Anti-war Russians face dilemma with Sunday’s mass Navalny protests

    Anti-war Russians face dilemma with Sunday’s mass Navalny protests

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    What to gift the man who is barred from receiving anything, and also is Vladimir Putin’s biggest political foe?

    How about a mass demonstration?

    That’s what supporters of Alexei Navalny are ginning up for the jailed Russian opposition leader’s 47th birthday on Sunday.

    From exile, they are calling Russians to action, both inside and outside the country.

    “Let’s show him on his birthday that he has not been forgotten,” Georgy Alburov, who works for Navalny’s Anti-Corruption Foundation (FBK), said in a YouTube video posted in mid-May. “Wherever you are, whichever country, go out to support Navalny.”

    Sunday marks the third birthday that Navalny will spend in prison since he was arrested after recovering from a poison attack, which his team says was carried out on Russian President Putin’s direct orders.

    “Putin wants Navalny to feel alone. Moreover, he wants every single one of us to feel that way,” Lyubov Sobol, another Navalny associate, said in the video calling for protests. 

    The Navalny team is counting on Russian exiles spread around the globe to participate in the protests. Demonstrations have been announced in dozens of countries, from Australia to Brazil to Japan. 

    ‘The real heroes’

    But Russians still in the country are given special status in the call to protest.

    “Those who come out in protest [in Russia] are the real heroes,” another political activist, Ruslan Shaveddinov, said in the video.

    The demonstration drive is designed to be a unifying moment, but it has exposed divisions among those Russians who have stayed in Russia and those who have left. And it has hit a nerve among some of Navalny’s staunchest supporters.   

    At stake is the question: Who has the right to ask Russians to take to the streets to protest their government, and is it worth the risk they run? 

    Some 2500 supporters of Russian opposition politician Alexei Navalny marched in Berlin earlier this year | Omer Messinger/Getty Images

    Since Navalny’s jailing, his supporters still in Russia have been living on a knife edge.

    A Russian court decision in June 2021 labeling his movement as “extremist” has led to his network of campaign offices being dissolved. His allies have fled, gone underground, or been locked up. Any day now, Lilia Chanysheva, a former regional coordinator of Navalny’s team, is expected to be sentenced to 12 years in prison on extremism charges. 

    The pressure on Navalny himself shows no sign of abating, either, now that he has been transferred to a maximum-security prison in Melekhovo, a town some 250 kilometers east of Moscow. New criminal charges are constantly being lodged against him, including for extremism and most recently terrorism, which could see his sentence of 11 and a half years extended by decades. 

    His team members say he is being harassed in jail and being denied food and access to medical care. The only way to save him, they argue, is to keep him in the public eye.  

    Irritating logic

    Admitting the risk of prosecution for Russians inside the country, they have promised to provide legal and financial aid to those who are detained on Sunday. 

    But that has sparked further irritation, with some pointing out that in today’s Russia, any link to Navalny is toxic. Critics question the logic that to help one man, supporters must expose themselves to jail sentences; they accuse Navalny’s team-in-exile of being detached from the reality on the ground.

    “[In Russia,] anyone who stages even a one-man picket can be slapped with criminal charges,” Alexei Vorsin, a former Navalny coordinator in Khabarovsk, wrote on Telegram on May 29. Vorsin has fled the country after being charged with extremism.

    Vladimir Pastukhov, a Russian analyst based in London, drew a parallel with Bloody Sunday in 1905, when Father Gapon famously led a march of peaceful protesters right into the path of the Winter Palace’s guards’ bullets.

    ​​”It’s a question of responsibility [that Navalny has] toward his congregation, and the right to use it as cannon fodder against the Kremlin,” Pastukhov said in a YouTube video broadcast of “Khodorkovsky Live.” 

    Activists in Russia have been issued with pre-emptive warnings by the authorities not to act on the June 4 protest call, and several are already facing charges of organizing an unsanctioned event, for simply sharing information on the protest online.

    Nonetheless, there are those like Moscow opposition politician Elvira Vikhareva, who has gone as far as publicly announcing her intention to take to the street.

    Alexei Navalny embraces his wife Yulia in this photograph taken from a TV screen during a live broadcast of a court hearing in 2022 | Alexander Nemenov/AFP via Getty Images

    “I am convinced that politically motivated murders, the persecution of dissidents, and assassination attempts will continue as long as we allow these scoundrels to continue making a fool out of people,” she said in a post on Telegram.

    In a written comment to POLITICO, Vikhareva, who in March said traces of poison had been found in her blood, specified that she thought it was “up to every individual to decide” which risks they were prepared to take. 

    ‘Monstrous ambivalence’

    Faced with public backlash over the potential dangers, Navalny’s team has partially backtracked or at least softened its message. It recently released a second video saying there were other, less risky, ways of showing Navalny “that he is not alone.”

    Leonid Volkov, one of Navalny’s closest allies, recently listed a number of such “in-between options” during a breakfast radio show hosted by the Russian journalist Alexander Plushev. They included putting up flyers at building entrances, “talking to acquaintances on social media,” or chalking Navalny a birthday message in a public place.

    But Volkov defended his team’s overall strategy, saying that there was a demand for protest, and that excluding Russia from a worldwide demonstration would be “strange.”

    Dmitry Oreshkin, a political analyst based in Riga, told POLITICO that even a high turnout in Russia, which he thought unlikely, would not impact the Kremlin’s current course.

    “This type of regime does not listen to street protests, and easily suppresses them,” Oreshkin said. 

    And yet, he argued, the alternative is for Russians “to sit at home and do nothing,” normalizing their government’s politics of repression and war.

    “That is the monstrous ambivalence facing Russians today.” 

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  • Top Russian official says British politicians now a legitimate military target

    Top Russian official says British politicians now a legitimate military target

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    LONDON — British politicians are now a legitimate military target for Moscow, a senior Russian official said, after the U.K.’s Foreign Secretary James Cleverly argued Ukraine has the right to use force within Russian borders.

    Speaking in Estonia Tuesday, Cleverly said Ukraine “has a right” to project force “beyond its own borders” as part of its self-defense, following a series of drone strikes that hit Moscow’s wealthiest neighborhoods. The U.K. minister argued that Kyiv striking inside Russia would “undermine” the Kremlin’s ability to continue its war in Ukraine, which has officially denied responsibility for the attack.

    Dmitry Medvedev, former Russian president and deputy chair of the Russian Security Council, hit back on Wednesday arguing that the U.K. is “de facto leading an undeclared war against Russia” by supplying Ukraine with military aid and specialists.

    “That being the case, any of its public officials (either military, or civil, who facilitate the war) can be considered as a legitimate military target,” he wrote on Twitter.

    Medvedev, who regularly makes blunt remarks about the war in Ukraine and has called for the killing of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, warned: “The goofy officials of the U.K., our eternal enemy, should remember that within the framework of the universally accepted international law which regulates modern warfare, including the Hague and Geneva Conventions with their additional protocols, their state can also be qualified as being at war.”

    Cleverly’s remarks meanwhile appear to be at odds with the U.S.’ position. White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said at a briefing Tuesday that the U.S. was still gathering information on the reports of drones striking in Moscow.

    “We do not support attacks inside of Russia. That’s it. Period,” she said.

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    Cristina Gallardo

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  • Pro-Ukraine Russian soldiers storm border region, claim ‘liberation’ of villages

    Pro-Ukraine Russian soldiers storm border region, claim ‘liberation’ of villages

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    KYIV — Two Russian military groups reportedly fighting on Kyiv’s side of the war in Ukraine — Legion of Free Russia and Russian Volunteer Corps — said they entered Russia’s Belgorod region on Monday and overran villages.

    “The Legion and the RVC completely liberated Kozinka village, Belgorod Oblast. Forward units have entered Graivoron. Moving on. Russia will be free!” the Legion tweeted.

    The Russian groups claimed the liberation of at least two villages — Kozinka, and Gora-Podol — in the region bordering Ukraine.

    Local Russian Telegram channels and media reported heavy fighting in several villages next to the border, including Graivoron, a town where a Russian military base is located.

    “Ukrainian Armed Forces saboteurs group entered the territory of the Graivoronsk district. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation together with the Border Service, the Russian Guard, and the FSB [intelligence service] are taking the necessary measures to eliminate the enemy,” Belgorod Governor Viacheslav Gladkov said in a statement.

    He later added on his Telegram channel that a “counter-terrorist operation” had been launched by the Russian authorities, including ID checks and “the suspension of the activities of industries that use ‘explosive, radioactive, chemically and biologically hazardous substances.’”

    The Ukrainian Military Intelligence Department claimed that both military groups consist only of Russian citizens and aim to create a demilitarized zone on the border with Ukraine.

    “Yes, today the Russian Volunteer Corps and the Legion of Freedom of Russia, consisting of citizens of the Russian Federation, launched an operation to liberate these territories of the Belgorod region from the so-called Putin regime and push back the enemy in order to create a certain security zone to protect the Ukrainian civilian population,” Andriy Yusov, Ukraine’s military intelligence representative, told Ukrainian public broadcaster Suspilne.

    Legion of Free Russia on Monday morning published a video statement on its Telegram channel, claiming the soldiers storming Belgorod are Russians who want to liberate Russia from Putin. “Stay at home, do not resist, and do not be afraid: We are not your enemies. Unlike Putin’s zombies, we do not touch civilians and do not use them for our purposes. Freedom is near.”

    On Tuesday, Gladkov said drones had been shot down “over Belgorod and the Belgorod region” by local air defense, without any casualties.

    This article has been updated.

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    Veronika Melkozerova

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  • Send for Agent BoJo! Boris Johnson dispatched to Texas to shore up Republican support for Ukraine

    Send for Agent BoJo! Boris Johnson dispatched to Texas to shore up Republican support for Ukraine

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    DALLAS — Britain might have fallen out of love with Boris Johnson. But Ukraine’s allies in the U.S. reckon the charismatic ex-prime minister is still the perfect messenger to shore up support for the war in wavering Republican heartlands.

    Pro-Ukraine think tankers on Monday brought Johnson to a private lunch in Dallas, Texas, to meet two dozen of the state’s leading conservative figures, including politicians, donors and captains of industry.

    The message Johnson was there to deliver was simple: America must stay the course in Ukraine.

    “I just urge you all to stick with it,” Johnson told those seated in the grand, wood-panelled dining room in downtown Dallas, where POLITICO was also in attendance. “It will pay off massively in the long run.”

    The former U.K. prime minister flew to Texas as a growing number of conservative lawmakers, candidates and activists have started to question the size of the U.S. support package for Ukraine as it attempts to fight back against the invasion launched by Russian President Vladimir Putin in February 2022.

    Political tensions over the war are expected to rise further as the 2024 U.S. election draws nearer.

    The two most high-profile potential candidates for the Republican nomination — former President Donald Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis — have both voiced skepticism about America’s unwavering support for Ukraine. Trump has pledged to cut a “deal” to “end that war in one day,” while DeSantis dismissed it as a “territorial dispute” which does not involve America’s “vital national interests — though later partially backtracked.

    But Johnson told Texan Republicans on Monday: “You are backing the right horse. Ukraine is going to win. They are going to defeat Putin.”

    The lunch was not the first time Johnson has lobbied U.S. lawmakers on Ukraine’s behalf. He visited Washington in January, where he publicly urged the U.S. administration to give Ukraine fighter jets, and privately met Republican lawmakers on the same trip.

    Following that visit, the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) — a bipartisan, Ukraine-supporting think tank based in Washington — decided to enlist Johnson’s support for a broader mission.

    The group wanted him to take his energetic, pro-conservative case for the war out of metropolitan D.C. and deep into Republican territory.

    “We wanted to make that case outside of Washington — where we all live in a bubble — and to really take it to the heartland, to places like Texas, to get more support for Ukraine, and make the case to people who are skeptical about that support,” said Alina Polyakova, CEPA’s chief executive.

    “In many ways Dallas and Texas are the center of the Republican debate,” she added. 

    Texas will be a key battleground in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. Trump held his first presidential rally in the Lone Star State in March, while DeSantis and former Governor of South Carolina Nikki Haley have also been courting votes in Texas. 

    Johnson is “very much seen as the architect of the Western policy” on Ukraine, Polyakova said, adding that “because Trump had nice things to say about him when he was the president,” it also gives Johnson “a lot of credibility as well with the base of the Republican Party.” 

    As well as the private lunch with Republicans in Dallas on Monday, Johnson also met with former U.S. President George W. Bush, who lives in the city with his wife Laura. Johnson is due to meet Texas Governor Greg Abbott in Austin on Tuesday.

    Unusually, the former U.K. prime minister, who raked in almost £5 million from speaking fees in the first six months after leaving office, was not paid for Monday’s lunchtime speaking engagement. However, he did arrange the Dallas trip as a stopover en route to the SCALE Global Summit in Las Vegas, a fintech conference where he will be paid an expected six-figure sum for a scheduled speech. 

    Man on a mission

    Johnson has kept Ukraine at the top of his public agenda since being forced to resign as PM last July over a string of personal scandals, including his attendance at COVID-19 lockdown-busting parties at his Downing Street home and office.

    In power, Johnson had forged a strong personal bond with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and played a leading role in early Western efforts to arm Ukraine. His allies even mooted the idea of him becoming a formal envoy to Ukraine following his abrupt Downing Street exit, though the idea never came to fruition.

    That hasn’t stopped Johnson continuing his personal lobbying push, however. He visited the Ukrainian capital Kyiv in January 2023 — despite no longer being a frontline politician — and has continued to speak in support on multiple occasions.

    At the Dallas lunch on Monday, Johnson insisted Western backing for Ukraine need not be indefinite, telling those present he had “every hope that the Ukrainians will be able to deliver a very substantial counterpunch this summer,” and that he believed there was “a prospect of a complete Russian military collapse.”

    And addressing concerns in Republican quarters that the U.S. should be focusing its attention on China rather than on a land war in Eastern Europe, Johnson said victory for Putin would be “terrible in its ramifications for south-east Asia, for the South China Sea, for all the areas of potential conflict between the great powers in the decades to come.”

    By contrast, he added, Western solidarity on Ukraine had already sent a clear message to China.

    “From Beijing’s point of view, they’re looking at this and they’re thinking this has massively increased the strategic ambiguity and the risk surrounding a venture against Taiwan,” Johnson said.

    One businessman present pressed Johnson on corruption in Ukraine, which he said he had heard was “really bad again.”

    But the former prime minister insisted the $50 billion spending package agreed by President Biden would prove “value for money.” The U.S. is getting a “huge, huge boost for global security for a relatively small outlay,” he said.     

    And Johnson being Johnson, he couldn’t resist a swipe at his old rival Emmanuel Macron, whom he has reportedly referred to in private as “Putin’s lickspittle.”

    “I think it was my French friend and colleague Emmanuel Macron who said ‘Putin must not be humiliated,’” Johnson told the lunch party, adopting a faux French accent to gently mock the president.

    “I think it takes an awful lot to humiliate Vladimir Putin, frankly,” Johnson went on. “I don’t think it’s our job to worry about Vladimir Putin’s ego, or his political prospects, or developments in his career.”

    Whether Johnson retains the populist credentials to win over the most ardent Trump supporters Stateside remains to be seen, however.

    In an interview with Nigel Farage on GB News last month, Trump said that while Johnson was a “wonderful guy” and “a friend of mine,” he had been disappointed by his time in office.

    Johnson had gone “a bit on the liberal side,” Trump noted sadly. “Probably in a negative way.”

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    Annabelle Dickson

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  • Ukraine says it still has toe-hold in Bakhmut despite Putin’s ‘liberation’ claim

    Ukraine says it still has toe-hold in Bakhmut despite Putin’s ‘liberation’ claim

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    KYIV — Ukraine said its forces still control a small part of Bakhmut despite Russian President Vladimir Putin on Sunday hailing the “liberation” of the embattled eastern Ukrainian city by Russian forces.

    Asked on Sunday if Russians had taken Bakhmut, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy responded “I think no,” at a press conference at the G7 meeting in Hiroshima, Japan.

    Russia’s Wagner mercenary force on Saturday claimed the capture of the industrial city in the Donbas region, which has been at the center of some of the fiercest fighting in Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

    Putin on Sunday congratulated the Wagner paramilitary group and the Russian army “on the completion of the operation to liberate” Bakhmut, according to a statement on the Kremlin’s website.

    But Ukrainian officials said several buildings in the southwestern part of the city remain under Kyiv’s control.

    “It is a small area that remained under our control, but Bakhmut fulfilled its key task. We managed to hold the enemy — for more than nine months — and inflicted colossal losses on the Kremlin’s most important strike force, Wagner mercenaries,” Serhiy Cherevatyi, spokesman for Ukraine’s eastern command, told POLITICO on Sunday.

    There was some confusion about Zelenskyy’s remarks in Japan, but his spokesman Sergii Nykyforov clarified that the president had denied that Moscow had full control over Bakhmut.

    While speaking to reporters at the G7 summit on Sunday, Zelenskyy was asked: “Is Bakhmut still in Ukraine’s hands? Russians say they’ve taken Bakhmut.” Zelenskyy responded: “I think no. But you have to understand they destroyed everything. There’s nothing left. It is a tragedy.”

    “For today Bakhmut is only in our hearts. There’s nothing in that place. Just a lot of dead Russians,” Zelenskyy said.

    Later in Hiroshima, Zelenskyy specified that Bakhmut has not been fully captured by Russian forces. “We’re fighting still, and holding defense thanks to our warriors,” he said. 

    Cherevatyi, the eastern command spokesman, said Ukrainian forces are making gains around Bakhmut. “The situation is hard, but it is under control. As we are attacking the enemy on southern and northern flanks around the town,” he said.

    “During the last 24 hours, we managed to advance 200 meters on average from the southern and northern flanks,” Cherevatyi said.

    He said the main goal of the Ukrainian army in Bakhmut was to destroy Wagner mercenaries, a private Kremlin-linked paramilitary group financed by Russian oligarch Yevgeny Prigozhin. “They showed themselves as the most combat-ready and effective force of the Russian army. And now they are almost destroyed,” Cherevatyi said.

    On Saturday, Prigozhin had said in a video posted on Telegram that Bakhmut came under complete Russian control around midday Saturday.

    Earlier this month, Wagner commanders accused Moscow of artificially creating shell shortages for the mercenary force and causing mass casualties. Wagner accused the Kremlin of being jealous of the group’s successes on the front lines, particularly after defense ministry units were forced to retreat from Kharkiv and Kherson during Ukraine’s September 2022 counteroffensive.

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    Veronika Melkozerova

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  • Wagner Group to withdraw from Bakhmut in another blow to Putin

    Wagner Group to withdraw from Bakhmut in another blow to Putin

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    Wagner Group to withdraw from Bakhmut in another blow to Putin – CBS News


    Watch CBS News



    In a blow to Russian President Vladimir Putin, the head of the Wagner military group announced his forces will withdraw from Bakhmut due to a lack of supplies from the Russian army. This comes after an alleged drone attack on the Kremlin, which Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Russia would respond to with “concrete actions.” Charlie D’Agata reports.

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  • Russia claims U.S. planned alleged drone attack on Kremlin as Ukraine’s civilians suffer the retaliation

    Russia claims U.S. planned alleged drone attack on Kremlin as Ukraine’s civilians suffer the retaliation

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    Dnipro, Ukraine — Russia attacked several Ukrainian cities with explosive drones overnight, though Ukraine said Thursday that it had managed to shoot most of them down. Russia called the attack payback for what it claims was an alleged attempt by Ukraine to attack the Kremlin in Moscow using drones on Wednesday.

    The Kremlin claimed the attack was an attempt by Ukraine to assassinate President Vladimir Putin and, on Thursday morning, Russia’s government accused the U.S. of planning it.

    President Volodymyr Zelenskyy denied any Ukrainian role in an attack on the Kremlin, insisting that his country’s forces were acting only to defend Ukraine’s sovereign territory — though there has been evidence over the last week that they’re also stepping up attacks, using drones, on Russian infrastructure, both in occupied territory and across the border inside Russia.


    Russian oil depot hit as Ukraine attacks Russian supply lines

    01:21

    Russia quickly vowed to retaliate for the alleged double drone strike, calling it a “planned terrorist act.” The Kremlin said both drones were shot down before they struck Putin’s official residence, but it has offered no evidence to back up its claims.

    U.S. officials have been working to confirm the origins of the alleged drone attack, but a State Department spokesperson said Wednesday that he would “take anything coming from the Kremlin and the Russian Federation with a shaker of salt.”

    In Moscow, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov on Thursday dismissed the pleas of ignorance from both Ukraine and the U.S. as “ridiculous.”

    “We know very well that decisions on such actions and such terrorist attacks are made not in Kyiv, but in Washington,” he said, claiming that Ukraine was “doing what it is told to do” by the U.S. and alleging that Ukraine’s military objectives “are not determined by Kyiv, but they are determined in Washington, and then these goals are brought to Kyiv so that Kyiv fulfils them.”

    “Washington must clearly understand that we know it,” Peskov said.


    Russia accuses Ukraine of trying to assassinate Putin with drone

    03:59

    Ukraine accused Russia of staging the whole thing, and Zelenksyy placed the blame firmly at the feet of Putin himself.

    “It’s all really simple — Russia has no victories,” Zelenskyy said. “He [Putin] can’t further motivate his society, he can’t send his soldiers into death anymore, and he can’t motivate his country anymore… now he needs to find any possibility to motivate them.”

    Russia unleashed its own wave of drones on Ukraine in retaliation for the alleged drone attack. Ukrainian officials said the country’s air defense systems destroyed 18 of 24 of the unmanned aerial vehicles, including all of those headed for the capital Kyiv. It was the third time the capital had been targeted in four days.

    TOPSHOT-UKRAINE-RUSSIA-CONFLICT-WAR
    A wounded child is helped by police officers at a supermarket following a Russian strike in the southern Ukrainian city of Kherson, May 3, 2023, amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

    DINA PLETENCHUK/AFP/Getty


    The southern Ukrainian city of Kherson, which was occupied by Russian forces until they were pushed out in November last year, bore the brunt of Moscow’s payback. Officials said Russian shelling killed 21 civilians and wounded dozens more, hitting a supermarket, train crossing and civilian homes.

    In an ominous sign of more trouble ahead, a curfew was declared for Kherson city, to last through the weekend.

    Some voices in Moscow have started calling for the direct targeting of Zelenskyy himself. One general said Kyiv had “crossed another red line,” predicting a strike on Ukraine’s presidential palace in retaliation.

    Vyacheslav Volodin, speaker of the Russian Parliament, said in a message posted Wednesday on the Telegram messaging app that there could “be no negotiations with the Zelenskyy regime.”

    “We will demand the use of weapons capable of stopping and destroying the Kyiv terrorist regime,” he said.

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  • Wagner chief to Moscow: Swap in Chechens in Bakhmut

    Wagner chief to Moscow: Swap in Chechens in Bakhmut

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    Chechen units should relieve the Wagner forces in the battle for the fiercely contested Ukrainian city of Bakhmut, the head of the Russian paramilitary group urged Moscow on Saturday.

    Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin called for the Akhmat battalion, led by Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, to take over the Bakhmut positions by midnight on May 10, in a letter to Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu dated Saturday and posted on Telegram.

    Prigozhin has threatened to pull the mercenary force out of Bakhmut amid a striking breakdown in relations between the Russian government and the paramilitary group. In a statement published Friday, Wagner commanders said Russian defense ministry units were supposed to back up the Wagner group’s flanks, but were struggling to do so.

    The commanders accused the Kremlin of artificially creating supply shortages and mass casualties. Prigozhin himself posted a video ranting from the front lines about fallen fighters.

    Kadyrov had offered to take over the position on Friday, according to AFP. Prigozhin replied on Saturday, saying the Akhmat battalion would “no doubt” take Bakhmut.

    Also on Saturday, the Ukrainian military confirmed that it had shot down a hypersonic Russian missile over Kyiv earlier in the week — the first time Ukraine has been known to intercept one of Moscow’s most sophisticated weapons.

    The Russian missile was downed using the newly acquired Patriot missile defense system, after Ukraine received the long-sought, American-made defense batteries from the U.S., Germany and the Netherlands.

    “Yes, we shot down the ‘unique’ Kinzhal,” Air Force Commander Mykola Oleshchuk said on Telegram, referring to a Kh-47 missile, which flies at 10 times the speed of sound. “It happened during the night time attack on May 4 in the skies of the Kyiv region.”

    Separately, a well-known Russian nationalist writer was injured in a car bombing, Russian state-owned outlet TASS reported. Zakhar Prilepin was wounded in the blast in the Russian city of Nizhny Novgorod, according to the report.

    Meanwhile, Switzerland’s parliament approved a request from Kyiv for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to address the Swiss assembly, Reuters reported. The invitation, announced late Friday, comes amid pressure on Switzerland’s government to end a ban of exports of Swiss weapons to conflict zones such as Ukraine.

    This article has been updated.

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    Sarah Wheaton

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  • Russia hits Ukraine with huge barrage of Iranian-made drones

    Russia hits Ukraine with huge barrage of Iranian-made drones

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    Russia hammered Ukraine with a new barrage of missiles and drones in the early hours of Monday morning, as Moscow gears up to celebrate victory over the Nazis in World War II.

    In the Kyiv region, Ukrainian air defense shot down 35 Iranian-made Shahed drones, according to Ukraine’s air force. But the debris damaged several buildings and injured civilians. Russian bombers also fired at least eight cruise missiles at the Odesa region, leaving food warehouses destroyed.

    Russia celebrates the Soviet triumph over Hitler on May 9 annually, and President Vladimir Putin has used the holiday to boost his strongman image during his decades in power.

    But this year’s celebrations will be somewhat muted, with Putin canceling parades in Russia’s Kursk and Belgorod regions, which border Ukraine, and in Russian-occupied Crimea, citing security concerns. Moscow is now in the second year of its full-scale war on Ukraine and there’s no sign of imminent victory, while even the Kremlin is no longer completely safe after last week’s drone attack.

    Ukraine said all the drones were shot down, but falling debris still caused destruction. At least five people were injured, reported Sergiy Popko, head of Kyiv region’s military administration. Several cars were destroyed, and residential buildings, a diesel reservoir and a gas pipe were damaged.   

    Ukraine’s southern Odesa region also came under fire. The Ukrainian army reported that Russia fired at least eight cruise missiles at the region.

    “X-22 type missiles hit the warehouse of one of the food enterprises and the recreational zone on the Black Sea coast,” the Ukrainian military said. “Emergency services work at the scene. Three people, all workers of the warehouse, got minor injuries. One person is missing,” Yuriy Kruk, head of Odesa district military administration, reported.

    On the eve of Russia’s V-Day, the strikes come as the Kremlin struggles to break a stalemate in Bakhmut, which it has spent months attacking. Russian mercenary boss Yevgeny Prigozhin has veered wildly in recent days, first threatening to pull his forces out of Bakhmut over a row with the Kremlin’s top military officials — then announcing his troops would remain on the battlefield.

    Ukraine’s top priority is to hold Bakhmut through May 9 — and embarrass Putin in the process.

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    Veronika Melkozerova

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  • Reality of war rains on Russia’s Victory Day parade

    Reality of war rains on Russia’s Victory Day parade

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    Press play to listen to this article

    Voiced by artificial intelligence.

    Moscow took 12 hours to respond after an explosion lit up the dome of the Kremlin complex last Wednesday.

    According to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s spokesperson Dmitry Peskov, the security services needed time to investigate the incident. 

    But the Kremlin’s spin doctors worked extra hours too, no doubt. 

    On the eve of Victory Day — which traditionally celebrates the Soviet triumph over Nazi Germany, but which has become emblematic of Russia’s current war against Ukraine — the Kremlin’s line at home is that the country is battling an enemy as powerful as it is evil. 

    That narrative is meant to account for the absence of success on the battlefront after 14 months of fighting, while offering Russians a sense of security that for them life will continue as usual.

    But a series of mysterious incidents  — including Wednesday’s early-morning blast — is revealing cracks in Russia’s facade of strength. The cancellation of some of the Victory Day festivities is another sign that appearances are beginning to slip. 

    The Kremlin eventually described the 2 a.m. incursion of two drones onto the heavily protected Moscow compound as an assassination attempt on President Putin by the “Kyiv regime.” That was in a statement Wednesday afternoon, which also claimed the right to respond “where and when it sees fit.” Putin wasn’t in the complex at the time. A day later, Moscow added the U.S. to its accusation of blame for the blast.

    “We know very well that decisions about such actions, such terrorist attacks, are not made in Kyiv, but in Washington,” Peskov said on Thursday.

    Both Kyiv and Washington vehemently deny any involvement.

    Playing it down

    Wednesday’s drone attack was the latest in a number of unexplained incidents on Russian soil in recent months, including a car bomb attack on an ultranationalist writer on Saturday — the third targeting of pro-war figures since the start of the invasion, resulting in two deaths. There also have been a number of crashed drones, the derailing of freight trains, and at least two fires at fuel depots in Crimea.

    In all those cases, the Kremlin downplayed the news or kept its distance.

    The Kremlin is one of the best-protected sites in Russia, and it has been widely assumed that piercing its air defenses was next to impossible | Kirill Kudryavtsev/AFP via Getty Images

    So the fact that this time, it chose to publish an official statement and pointed the finger at the U.S., its main enemy, suggests the Kremlin wants people to take note. But to what effect?

    Predictably, the Kremlin’s main mouthpieces have clamored for revenge. Former Russian president and current head of the Security Council, Dmitry Medvedev, has called for the “physical elimination” of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. 

    “Maybe now things will start for real?” wrote Margarita Simonyan, chief editor of Russian state-controlled broadcaster RT.

    But other than the usual jingoistic saber-rattling, Russia’s main evening news programs did not air the scenes of the drone explosion.

    And still, more questions than answers remain.

    The Kremlin is one of the best-protected sites in Russia, and it has been widely assumed that piercing its air defenses was next to impossible. Moreover, it is well-known that Putin spends most of his time at other locations. 

    That has fed speculation that the drone attack was in fact a false-flag operation staged by one of Russia’s own security services.

    Possible motives could be an internal power struggle — as much as the security services are seen as a monolith, they are in fact infamously divided — or an attempt to dissuade the West from further weapons deliveries to Ukraine, since the arms would supposedly be used in strikes on Russian territory.

    Symbolic space

    But an attack on the heart of power carries a large symbolic, if not physical, price. It was in the domed Kremlin Senate that Putin staged the historic meeting with his security advisers that preceded the February 2022 launch of his full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Its symbolism is undeniable. 

    Regardless of who is behind the incursion, it is less likely to produce a rally-around-the flag effect than raise eyebrows over the Kremlin’s own defense system.

    As yet, the most important military parade, in Moscow — broadcast live on Russian state television — is still on | Olga Maltseva/AFP via Getty Images

    Comparisons are being made to when the 19-year-old German Mathias Rust landed a Cessna plane near the Kremlin during the Cold War. The fact that he managed to fly across the border unchallenged was a stark humiliation for Mikhail Gorbachev. Heads rolled among his defense staff as a result. 

    The timing of last week’s incident does not help either, coming right before the country puts on its usual display of military prowess for Victory Day on May 9. 

    Even before Wednesday’s strike, the situation was tense. Avoiding the use of the word “war,” which has been banned, dozens of Russian cities have canceled their military parades in order to not “provoke the adversary.” The Immortal Regiment, a hugely popular procession of people carrying photos of their relatives who fought in World War II, has been called off. Some places have even nixed their fireworks shows. 

    On the one hand, such changes to an important national holiday could drive home the message that Russians are at war with, as the Kremlin puts it, “terrorists.” But the knife cuts both directions. 

    “In the current context, the cancellation of the parades will be taken as yet another sign that things are going very badly,” Abbas Gallyamov, a former Kremlin speechwriter turned analyst, told the Echo Moskvy outlet. 

    While avoiding mass gatherings in cities close to Russia’s border with Ukraine might seem like a logical precaution, that is less obvious for those thousands of kilometers away in Siberia. 

    Red Square speech

    Some wonder aloud whether certain cities might simply lack the military equipment for a parade. Or whether they might wish to stop people taking to the streets holding photos of their relatives who have died in Ukraine, thereby providing a visual of Russia’s wartime death toll.

    As yet, the most important military parade, in Moscow — broadcast live on Russian state television — is still on. But the tension in the capital is palpable. 

    Red Square has been shut to the public for two weeks and streets have been barricaded. 

    Following Wednesday’s incident, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin immediately banned the use of drones, and dozens of other regions have since followed suit. Days in advance, Muscovites were already experiencing problems with their GPS signals. 

    Much will hinge on Putin. His yearly Victory Day speech on Red Square is one of the few moments when his whereabouts are known in advance. 

    After Wednesday’s security breach, some question whether he might reconsider. 

    But the optics of his absence would not be good, and chances are slim that the Kremlin would risk the psychological fallout.

    And yet, the question of whether it is safe enough for the president to come out in public in central Moscow speaks louder than the sound of 10,000 men marching on Red Square.

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    POLITICO Staff

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  • Downbeat Putin slams West at low-key Victory Day parade in Russia

    Downbeat Putin slams West at low-key Victory Day parade in Russia

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    Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday delivered a morose speech in Moscow’s Red Square that lasted barely 10 minutes, during which he doubled down on his justification for the Kremlin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

    “A real war has once again been unleashed on our motherland,” he said in the speech during annual celebrations marking Russia’s World War II victory. “Western elites talk about their exceptionalism, dividing people and provoking bloody conflicts, sowing hatred, Russophobia and aggressive nationalism, destroying traditional family values.”

    For nearly eight decades, Moscow’s annual Victory Day parade has been not just a memorial to the 27 million Soviet citizens who died fighting Nazi Germany in World War II, but also a carefully curated show of Russia’s strength.

    This year, however, May 9 celebrations across the country were canceled or cut short, and the usual procession of uniformed troops and heavy weaponry in the capital appeared a shadow of what it was before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

    In previous years, a host of foreign dignitaries have traveled to Moscow for the festivities. But this time, only the leaders of seven other former Soviet republics made the journey — representing Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Belarus and Armenia.

    While the increasingly isolated Putin pledged that his troops would ultimately succeed in Ukraine, the military hardware on show suggested its armed forces are scraping the barrel for equipment.

    Instead of a long line of advanced battle tanks rumbling through the streets toward the Kremlin as in previous years, the procession was led by one single, Soviet-era T-34 tank — the kind used in action against the Nazis on the Eastern Front.

    Aside from a few dozen armored personnel carriers, heavy tactical vehicles used by Chechen forces and long-range anti-aircraft systems, the bulk of Russia’s once-feared arsenal was nowhere to be seen — likely in action in eastern Ukraine. Or lying wrecked on the battlefield.

    “There was lots of hardware that looks tank-adjacent, but isn’t officially a tank,” one Moscow resident watching the parade told POLITICO on condition of anonymity, given strict laws targeting anyone accused of discrediting the armed forces.

    Across the border, a barrage of Russian rockets rained down on Kyiv overnight, with air defenses repelling an estimated 15 missiles. Ukraine commemorated the end of World War II the day before, on May 8, aligning with Western Europe for the first time.

    Meanwhile, the part of Russia’s celebrations organizers say honors those who fell in the fight against fascism almost 80 years ago — the march of the so-called Immortal Regiment, where Russians hold pictures of their loved ones who died — was canceled.

    In a country where hundreds of thousands of young men are fighting Putin’s bloody war, talk of casualties is becoming more sensitive day to day.

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    Gabriel Gavin

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  • Russia hunts for spies and traitors — at home

    Russia hunts for spies and traitors — at home

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    If there were a silver lining in her son being convicted of high treason, it was that Yelena Gordon would have a rare chance to see him. 

    But when she tried to enter the courtroom, she was told it was already full. But those packed in weren’t press or his supporters, since the hearing was closed.

    “I recognized just one face there, the rest were all strangers,” she later recounted, exasperated, outside the Moscow City Court. “I felt like I had woken up in a Kafka novel.”

    Eventually, after copious cajoling, Gordon was able to stand beside Vladimir Kara-Murza, a glass wall between her and her son, as the sentence was delivered. 

    Kara-Murza was handed 25 years in prison, a sky-high figure previously reserved for major homicide cases, and the highest sentence for an opposition politician to date.

    The bulk — 18 years — was given on account of treason, for speeches he gave last year in the United States, Finland and Portugal.

    For a man who had lobbied the West for anti-Russia sanctions such as on the Magnitsky Act against human rights abusers — long before Russia invaded Ukraine — those speeches were wholly unremarkable.

    But the prosecution cast Kara-Murza’s words as an existential threat to Russia’s safety. 

    “This is the enemy and he should be punished,” prosecutor Boris Loktionov stated during the trial, according to Kara-Murza’s lawyer.

    The judge, whose own name features on the Magnitsky list as a human rights abuser, agreed. And so did Russia’s Foreign Ministry, saying: “Traitors and betrayers, hailed by the West, will get what they deserve.”

    Redefining the enemy

    Since Russia invaded Ukraine, hundreds of Russians have received fines or jail sentences of several years under new military censorship laws.

    But never before has the nuclear charge of treason been used to convict someone for public statements containing publicly available information. 

    A screen set up in a hall at Moscow City Court shows the verdict in the case against Vladimir Kara-Murza | Kirill Kudryavtsev/AFP via Getty Images

    The verdict came a day after an appeal hearing at the same court for Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich who, in a move unseen since the end of the Cold War, is being charged with spying “for the American side.”

    Taken together, the two cases set a historic precedent for modern Russia, broadening and formalizing its hunt for internal enemies.

    “The state, the [Kremlin], has decided to sharply expand the ‘list of targets’ for charges of treason and espionage,” Andrei Soldatov, an expert in Russia’s security services, told POLITICO. 

    Up until now, the worst the foreign press corps feared was having their accreditation revoked by Russia’s Foreign Ministry. This is now changing.

    For Kremlin critics, the gloves have of course been off for far longer — before his jailing, Kara-Murza survived two poisonings. He had been a close ally of Boris Nemtsov, who was murdered in 2015 within sight of the Kremlin. 

    But such reprisals were reserved for only a handful of prominent dissidents, and enacted by anonymous hitmen and undercover agents.

    After Putin last week signed into law extending the punishment for treason from 20 years to life, anyone could be eliminated from public life with the stamp of legitimacy from a judge in robes.

    “Broach the topic of political repression over a coffee with a foreigner, and that could already be considered treason,” Oleg Orlov, chair of the disbanded rights group Memorial, said outside the courthouse. 

    Like many, he saw a parallel with Soviet times, when tens of thousands of “enemies of the state” were accused of spying for foreign governments and sent to far-flung labor camps or simply executed, and foreigners were by definition suspect.

    Treason as catch-all

    Instead of the usual Investigative Committee, treason cases fall under the remit of Russia’s Federal Security Service, the FSB, making them uniquely secretive.

    In court, hearings are held behind closed doors — sheltered from the public and press — and defense lawyers are all but gagged.

    But they used to be relatively rare: Between 2009 and 2013, a total of 25 people were tried for espionage or treason, according to Russian court statistics. After the annexation of Crimea in 2014, that number fluctuated from a handful to a maximum of 17. 

    Former defense journalist Ivan Safronov in court, April 2022 | Kirill Kudryavtsev/AFP via Getty Images

    Involving academics, Crimean Tatars and military accused of passing on sensitive information to foreign parties, they generally drew little attention.

    The jailing of Ivan Safronov — a former defense journalist accused of sharing state secrets with a Czech acquaintance — formed an important exception in 2020. It triggered a massive outcry among his peers and cast a spotlight on the treason law. Apparently, even sharing information gleaned from public sources could result in a conviction.

    Combined with an amendment introduced after anti-Kremlin protests in 2012 that labeled any help to a “foreign organization which aimed to undermine Russian security” as treason, it turned the law into a powder keg. 

    In February 2022, that was set alight. 

    Angered by the war but too afraid to protest publicly, some Russians sought to support Ukraine in less visible ways such as through donations to aid organizations. 

    The response was swift: Only three days after Putin announced his special military operation, Russia’s General Prosecutor’s Office warned it would check “every case of financial or other help” for signs of treason. 

    Thousands of Russians were plunged into a legal abyss. “I transferred 100 rubles to a Ukrainian NGO. Is this the end?” read a Q&A card shared on social media by the legal aid group Pervy Otdel. 

    “The current situation is such that this [treason] article will likely be applied more broadly,” warned Senator Andrei Klimov, head of the defense committee of the Federation Council, Russia’s upper house of parliament.

    Inventing traitors

    Last summer, the law was revised once more to define defectors as traitors as well. 

    Ivan Pavlov, who oversees Pervy Otdel from exile after being forced to flee Russia for defending Safronov, estimates some 70 treason cases have already been launched since the start of the war — twice the maximum in pre-war years. And the tempo seems to be picking up.

    Regional media headlines reporting arrests for treason are becoming almost commonplace. Sometimes they include high-octane video footage of FSB teams storming people’s homes and securing supposed confessions on camera. 

    Yet from what can be gleaned about the cases from media leaks, their evidence is shaky.

    Instead of the usual Investigative Committee, treason cases fall under the remit of Russia’s Federal Security Service, the FSB, making them uniquely secretive | Kirill Kudryavtsev/AFP via Getty Images

    In December last year, 21-year-old Savely Frolov became the first to be charged with conspiring to defect. Among the reported incriminating evidence is that he attempted to cross into neighboring Georgia with a pair of camouflage trousers in the trunk of his car. 

    In early April this year, a married couple was arrested in the industrial city of Nizhny Tagil for supposedly collaborating with Ukrainian intelligence. The two worked at a nearby defense plant, but acquaintances cited by independent Russian media Holod deny they had access to secret information. 

    “It is a reaction to the war: There’s a demand from up top for traitors. And if they can’t find real ones, they’ll make them up, invent them,” said Pavlov. 

    Although official statistics are only published with a two-year lag time, he has little doubt a flood of guilty verdicts is coming.

    “The first and last time a treason suspect was acquitted in Russia was in 1999.”

    No sign of slowing

    If precedent is anything to go by, Gershkovich will likely eventually be subject to a prisoner swap. 

    That is what happened with Brittney Griner, a U.S. basketball star jailed for drug smuggling when she entered Russia carrying hashish vape cartridges.

    And it is also what happened with the last foreign journalist detained, in 1986 when the American Nicholas Daniloff was supposedly caught “red-handed” spying, like Gershkovich.

    Back then, several others were released with him — among them Yury Orlov, a human rights activist sentenced to 12 years in a labor camp for “anti-Soviet activity.” 

    Some now harbor hope that a deal involving Gershkovich could also help Kara-Murza, who is well-known in Washington circles and suffers from severe health problems.

    For ordinary Russians, any glimmers of hope that the traitor push will slow down are even less tangible.

    Those POLITICO spoke to say a Soviet-era mass campaign against traitors is unlikely, if only because the Kremlin has a fine line to walk: arrest too many traitors and it risks shattering the image that Russians unanimously support the war. 

    Some harbor hope that a deal involving Gershkovich could also help Kara-Murza, who is well-known in Washington circles | Maxim Shipenkov/EPA-EFE

    And in the era of modern technology, there are easier ways to convey a message to a large audience. “If Stalin had had a television channel, there would’ve likely not been a need for mass repression,” reflected Pavlov. 

    Yet the repressive state apparatus does seem to have a momentum of its own, as those involved in investigating and prosecuting treason and espionage cases are rewarded with bonuses and promotions. 

    In a first, the treason case against Kara-Murza was led by the Investigative Committee, opening the door for the FSB to massively increase its work capacity by offloading work on others, says Soldatov.

    “If the FSB can’t handle it, the Investigative Committee will jump in.”

    In the public sphere, patriotic officials at all levels are clamoring for an even harder line, going so far as to volunteer the names of apparently unpatriotic political rivals and celebrities to be investigated.

    There have been calls for “traitors” to be stripped of their citizenship and to reintroduce the death penalty.

    And in a telling sign, Kara-Murza’s veteran lawyer Vadim Prokhorov has fled Russia, fearing he might be targeted next. 

    Аs Orlov, the dissident who was part of the 1986 swap and who went on to become an early critic of Putin, wrote in the early days of Putin’s reign in 2004: “Russia is flying back in time.” 

    Nearly two decades on, the question in Moscow nowadays is a simple one: how far back? 

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    POLITICO Staff

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  • Zelenskyy in The Hague: It’s Putin we really want to see here

    Zelenskyy in The Hague: It’s Putin we really want to see here

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    Russia’s President Vladimir Putin should be tried in The Hague for war crimes, Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy said during a surprise visit to the Netherlands.

    “We all want to see a different Vladimir here in The Hague,” Zelenskyy said. “The one who deserves to be sentenced for these criminal actions right here, in the capital of international law.”

    The Ukrainian president spoke in The Hague, where he traveled unexpectedly Thursday. He is expected to meet Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte and Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo later in the day.

    In March, the Hague-based International Criminal Court (ICC) issued an international arrest warrant against Putin over the forced deportation of Ukrainian children to Russia following the Kremlin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

    Moscow has previously said it did not recognize the court’s authority, but the warrant means that the ICC’s 123 member countries are required to arrest Putin if he ever sets foot on their territory, and transfer him to The Hague.

    The warrant’s existence has already caused a stir in South Africa, where the Russian president could attend the next BRICS summit in August.

    Last week, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa said the country should leave the ICC — but his office backtracked a few hours later, stressing South Africa remained part of the court.

    In spite of numerous reports that Russian forces have committed war crimes in Ukraine — including a recent U.N. investigation which said that Russia’s forced deportation of Ukrainian children amounted to a war crime — the Kremlin has denied it committed any crimes.

    In his speech Thursday, Zelenskyy said Russian forces had committed more than 6,000 war crimes in April alone, killing 207 Ukrainian civilians.

    The Ukrainian president renewed his call to create a Nüremberg-style, “full-fledged” tribunal to prosecute the crime of aggression and deliver “a full justice” — and lasting peace.

    “The sustainability of peace arises from the complete justice towards the aggressor,” Zelenskyy said.

    Speaking shortly before Zelenskyy, Dutch Foreign Minister Wopke Hoekstra said the Netherlands was “ready and willing” to host that court, as well as registers of the damages caused by Russia’s invasion, echoing similar statements he made in December.

    “Illegal wars cannot be unpunished,” Hoekstra said. “We will do everything in our power to ensure that Russia is held to account.”

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    Nicolas Camut

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