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Tag: Dow Jones Industrial Average

  • A double downgrade of one of our stocks reflects our caution. Why we're hanging in, for now

    A double downgrade of one of our stocks reflects our caution. Why we're hanging in, for now

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings point to a grim season

    CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings point to a grim season

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    (L-R) Brian Moynihan, Chairman and CEO of Bank of America; Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase; and Jane Fraser, CEO of Citigroup; testify during a Senate Banking Committee hearing at the Hart Senate Office Building on December 06, 2023 in Washington, DC.

    Win Mcnamee | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Banks kick off earnings
    Four of Wall Street’s Big Banks reported earnings Friday.
    JPMorgan Chase started the season with lower fourth-quarter profit as it paid a $2.9 billion fee linked to the rescue of some regional banks last year. Citigroup reported a $1.8 billion quarterly loss, while also announcing that it would slash 10% of its workforce. Bank of America’s fourth-quarter net income fell more than 50% from a year ago, while Wells Fargo reported higher quarterly earnings but warned about lower interest income this year.  

    Positive inflation signal?
    An unexpected decline in wholesale prices indicated inflation could be declining for good. The Labor Department’s producer price index fell 0.1% in December, as opposed to a 0.1% rise seen by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. PPI data measures inflation from the producer or manufacturer’s perspective.

    Markets rose for the week  
    The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average shed over 100 points on Friday but rose 0.3% for the week. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed the day nearly flat, while also ending higher for the week. Markets digested the start of the earnings season and an unexpected decline in producer prices. In Asia, China stocks erased losses from earlier in the session after the country’s central bank left its medium-term policy loans rate unchanged, while Taiwan stocks gained after election.

    China skeptic wins Taiwan elections
    Taiwan’s Lai Ching-te won the island’s presidential election on Saturday. This was the Democratic Progressive Party’s third straight win. Lai, who is seen as a strong China skeptic, won by more than 40% of the popular vote. He said he was “determined to safeguard Taiwan from threats and intimidation from China.” Beijing dismissed his victory.

    [PRO] Goldman Sachs picks unloved stocks
    Goldman Sachs said Europe’s utilities sector may not have had much action in the last three years, but there could be a potential shift waiting to happen. The investment bank names which European stocks, that have lagged the broader market by nearly 20%, are worthy plays in the industry in 2024.

    The bottom line

    Fourth-quarter earnings have officially begun with four of Wall Street’s top six banks reporting rather bleak results.

    JPMorgan Chase, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, paid a sizeable fee linked to the government seizures associated with regional banking crisis last March, which impacted its earnings.

    CEO Jamie Dimon said: “the U.S. economy continues to be resilient, with consumers still spending, and markets currently expect a soft landing.”

    But he added that deficit spending and supply chain adjustments “may lead inflation to be stickier and rates to be higher than markets expect.”

    Citigroup was also hit by last year’s regional banking crisis but focus was mostly on CEO Jane Fraser’s massive overhaul plan aimed at lifting sentiment around the bank’s financial health and also its stock price.

    The third largest U.S. bank by assets said it will slash about 20,000 jobs over the “medium term,” but did not make it immediately clear on the exact duration. Citigroup has lagged its Wall Street peers since the 2008 financial crisis and remains the lowest valued among the top six banks.

    Outlook from Wall Street’s biggest lenders was cautious against the backdrop of markets pricing in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as early as March. Lower rates hurt the net interest income generated by banks.

    Separately, data showing a decline in wholesale prices came as a positive surprise. It came a day after prices consumers pay for goods and services rose 0.3% in December and were up 3.4% on the year. Still remaining much above the Fed’s 2% target for the year.

    “What inflation risks remain in the U.S. economy clearly cannot be sourced to any upward pressure in producers’ costs,” said Kurt Rankin, senior economist at PNC.

    “Whether surveying from producers’ intermediate or final demand perspective, there is little to no pricing pressure headed into the U.S. economy from the supply side entering 2024.”

    During Asia hours, Taiwan’s election results stole the show. Voters in the island chose the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, or DPP for a third straight presidential term, handing victory to China-skeptic Lai Ching-te.

    Lai, who won by more than 40% of the popular vote, said he was “determined to safeguard Taiwan from threats and intimidation from China.” 

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings signal downbeat quarter

    CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings signal downbeat quarter

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    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., on Monday, June 27, 2022.

    Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Banks kick off earnings
    Four of Wall Street’s Big Banks reported earnings Friday.
    JPMorgan Chase kicked things off with lower fourth-quarter profit as it paid a $2.9 billion fee linked to the government’s take over of some regional banks last year. Citigroup reported a $1.8 billion quarterly loss, while also announcing that it would slash 10% of its workforce. Bank of America’s fourth quarter net income fell more than 50% from a year ago, while Wells Fargo reported higher quarterly earnings but warned about lower interest income this year.  

    Positive inflation signal?
    An unexpected decline in wholesale prices indicated inflation could be declining for good. The Labor Department’s producer price index fell 0.1% in December, as opposed to a 0.1% rise seen by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. PPI data measures inflation from the producer or manufacturer’s perspective.

    Markets rose for the week  
    The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average shed over 100 points on Friday but closed 0.3% higher for the week. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed the day nearly flat, while also ending higher for the week. Markets digested the start of the earnings season and an unexpected decline in producer prices. European stocks ended higher, but shares of British luxury firm Burberry fell 7% after a profit warning.  

    China skeptic wins Taiwan elections
    Taiwan’s Lai Ching-te won the island’s presidential election on Saturday. This was the Democratic Progressive Party’s third straight win. Lai, who is seen as a strong China skeptic, won by more than 40% of the popular vote. He said he was “determined to safeguard Taiwan from threats and intimidation from China.” Beijing dismissed his victory.

    [PRO] Buffett’s view on airlines                                                                                                       
    Wall Street legend Warren Buffett will most likely never add airline stocks to his portfolio again. The “Oracle of Omaha” has been swift in unloading $4 billion worth of airline stocks in the pandemic and recently with disappointing profit forecast, more aircraft groundings and midair emergencies, he will not give such stocks a chance again.

    The bottom line

    Fourth-quarter earnings have officially begun with four of Wall Street’s top six banks reporting rather bleak results.

    JPMorgan Chase, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, paid a sizeable fee linked to the government seizures associated with regional banking crisis last March, which impacted its earnings.

    CEO Jamie Dimon said: “the U.S. economy continues to be resilient, with consumers still spending, and markets currently expect a soft landing.”

    But he added that deficit spending and supply chain adjustments “may lead inflation to be stickier and rates to be higher than markets expect.”

    Citigroup was also hit by last year’s regional banking crisis but focus was mostly on CEO Jane Fraser’s massive overhaul plan aimed at lifting sentiment around the bank’s financial health and also its stock price.

    The third largest U.S. bank by assets said it will slash about 20,000 jobs over the “medium term,” but did not make it immediately clear on the exact duration. Citigroup has lagged its Wall Street peers since the 2008 financial crisis and remains the lowest valued among the top six banks.

    Outlook from Wall Street’s biggest lenders was cautious against the backdrop of markets pricing in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as early as March. Lower rates hurt the net interest income generated by banks.

    Separately, data showing a decline in wholesale prices came as a positive surprise. It came a day after prices consumers pay for goods and services rose 0.3% in December and were up 3.4% on the year. Still remaining much above the Fed’s 2% target for the year.

    “What inflation risks remain in the U.S. economy clearly cannot be sourced to any upward pressure in producers’ costs,” said Kurt Rankin, senior economist at PNC.

    “Whether surveying from producers’ intermediate or final demand perspective, there is little to no pricing pressure headed into the U.S. economy from the supply side entering 2024.”

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  • Wall Street is getting Wells Fargo all wrong after earnings. Here's the level we'd be buyers

    Wall Street is getting Wells Fargo all wrong after earnings. Here's the level we'd be buyers

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Can't shake off stubborn inflation

    CNBC Daily Open: Can't shake off stubborn inflation

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    A customer shops for milk at a grocery store on December 12, 2023 in San Anselmo, California. 

    Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Price pressures persist
    An inflation report for December showed U.S. consumer prices
    increased more than expected. CPI rose 0.3% in December, according to the Labor Department data, slightly more than expectations of a 0.2% rise. On an annual basis, CPI was up 3.4% year on year, also above a 3.2% rise predicted by economists polled by Dow Jones. The increase in prices was mainly driven by higher shelter costs. 

    Flat stocks
    U.S. stocks ended Thursday right around the flatline as the slightly hotter-than-expected inflation data kept any big moves at bay. Stocks in Asia fell as China’s annual exports dropped, but Japan’s Nikkei 225 bucked the trend to extend its record rally.

    Big China export drop
    Data from China showed annual exports falling for the first time in seven years in 2023. The country, however, saw higher-than-expected shipments in December. China exports fell 4.6% last year, its first annual drop since 2016, as demand for China made goods weakened amid a global economic slowdown.

    Bitcoin ETFs go!  
    Bitcoin exchange traded fund made its debut on U.S. exchanges on Thursday, tracking wild swings in the prices of the volatile cryptocurrency. There were about 11 ETFs that began trading after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved the recent rule change, including the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and the iShares Bitcoin Trust which saw tens millions of shares exchange hands.

    [PRO] Goldman Sachs’ favorite Asian tech stocks
    Goldman Sachs highlights its top opportunities in the Asian tech hardware industry, on improving cyclical recovery, higher demand for artificial intelligence among other factors. Stocks favored include Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and many more.  

    The bottom line

    Thursday was a historic day for cryptocurrencies but the broader theme for markets was the slightly hotter-than-expected inflation reading.

    Wall Street’s major indexes ended flat, with the Nasdaq Composite settling at 14,970.19, the Dow Jones Industrial Average eking out a 0.04% gain and the S&P 500 inching 0.07% lower.

    Following the the 3.4% annual rise, the road to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target could be steeper than what many market participants and economists expected.

    It also shines the light on the gap between the Fed’s communique and market expectations for rate cuts, which are seen as early as March this year according to the CME FedWatch tool.

    “The ‘higher for longer’ party has received one more bullet in its banderole,” said Giuseppe Sette, president of AI-based market research firm Toggle AI said.

    “For the entire history of the Fed, rates have always been kept considerably above inflation in any scenario short of a recession. This CPI print pushes the first rate cut further away, possibly not even in 2024.”

    But bitcoin ETF trading quickly became an event that would give market players a reason to be excited about.

    This allowed regular investors to get a slice of the cryptocurrency pie and spurred hopes that bigger Wall Street institutional traders may also jump into the boat.

    Bitcoin, the world’s oldest and most popular cryptocurrency, had a volatile session on Thursday. The cryptocurrency jumped above $49,000, hitting its highest since December 2021 but that rally fizzled out by the end of the day.

    Bitcoin ETF also mirrored the choppy moves in the cryptocurrency.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: That sticky inflation

    CNBC Daily Open: That sticky inflation

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    Consumers shop for groceries at a retail chain store in Rosemead, California, on December 12, 2023. 

    Frederic J. Brown | AFP | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Price pressures persist
    An inflation report for December showed consumer prices
    increased more than expected. CPI rose 0.3% in December, according to the Labor Department data, slightly more than expectations of a 0.2% rise. On an annual basis, CPI was up 3.4% year on year, also above a 3.2% rise predicted by economists polled by Dow Jones. The increase in prices was mainly driven by higher shelter costs. 

    Flat stocks
    U.S. stocks ended Thursday right around the flatline as the slightly hotter-than-expected inflation data kept any big moves at bay. Europe’s Stoxx 600 ended lower for the third straight day, with shares of Marks & Spencer falling to the bottom of the index after the British retailer flagged “near-term” challenges.

    Bitcoin ETFs go!  
    Bitcoin exchange traded fund made its debut on U.S. exchanges on Thursday, tracking wild swings in the prices of the volatile cryptocurrency. There were about 11 ETFs that began trading after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved the recent rule change, including the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and the iShares Bitcoin Trust which saw tens millions of shares exchange hands.

    Tech layoffs   
    Investors on Thursday also witnessed a series of layoffs across technology companies. In a bet to focus on its “biggest product priorities,” Google parent Alphabet laid off several hundred employees. Discord, a popular messaging service used by gamers, also confirmed it will be slashing 17% of its workforce that tallies to about 170 jobs, while Amazon’s Audible division said it will cut about 5% of its broader workforce.

    [PRO] Impact of the new bitcoin ETF
    Analysts are already starting to predict what could happen next now that the long-awaited bitcoin ETFs have begun trading on U.S. exchanges. Hopes grow that the move could bring in the likes of old school institutional traders that have been on the sidelines.  

    The bottom line

    Thursday was a historic day for cryptocurrencies but the broader theme for markets was the slightly hotter-than-expected inflation reading.

    Wall Street’s major indexes ended flat, with the Nasdaq Composite settling at 14,970.19, the Dow Jones Industrial Average eking out a 0.04% gain and the S&P 500 inching 0.07% lower.

    Following the the 3.4% annual rise, the road to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target could be steeper than what many market participants and economists expected.

    It also shines the light on the gap between the Fed’s communique and market expectations for rate cuts, which are seen as early as March this year according to the CME FedWatch tool.

    “The ‘higher for longer’ party has received one more bullet in its banderole,” said Giuseppe Sette, president of AI-based market research firm Toggle AI said.

    “For the entire history of the Fed, rates have always been kept considerably above inflation in any scenario short of a recession. This CPI print pushes the first rate cut further away, possibly not even in 2024.”

    But bitcoin ETF trading quickly became an event that would give market players a reason to be excited about.

    This allowed regular investors to get a slice of the cryptocurrency pie and spurred hopes that bigger Wall Street institutional traders may also jump into the boat.

    Bitcoin, the world’s oldest and most popular cryptocurrency, had a volatile session on Thursday. The cryptocurrency jumped above $49,000, hitting its highest since December 2021 but that rally fizzled out by the end of the day.

    Bitcoin ETF also mirrored the choppy moves in the cryptocurrency.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: The long-awaited bitcoin stamp of approval

    CNBC Daily Open: The long-awaited bitcoin stamp of approval

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    Representations of cryptocurrency Bitcoin are placed on a PC motherboard in this illustration taken June 16, 2023. 

    Dado Ruvic | Reuters

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    SEC approves
    A highly anticipated and controversial decision finally arrived Wednesday, with the Securities and Exchange Commission
    allowing the creation of bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the U.S. that will give regular investors access to the world’s oldest and most popular cryptocurrency. The first funds are set to start trading on Thursday. The price of bitcoin, however, shed about 2%.

    Wall Street ends higher
    U.S. stocks ended Wednesday’s trading session higher as investors awaited the start of earnings season later in the week and also inflation data. Jump in shares of Intuitive Surgical and Lennar boosted markets. In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 index breached the 35,000 mark for the first time since February 1990.

    China woos investors 
    China has now vowed to make foreign investments easier, as was reported by state media. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng met with global financial executives Wednesday at a time China’s tensions with the U.S. and worries about its economic growth have kept investors wary of putting money into the country.

    Inflation report awaited  
    December inflation data, set to be released on Thursday, could very well challenge the market’s perception of how soon the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates and by how much. Consumer prices would’ve likely edged higher last month, with expectations by Dow Jones pointing to a 0.2% rise in the final month of 2023, and 3.2% increase for the full year.  

    [PRO] Tesla versus BYD
    Tesla has been an investor favorite but a sizable Chinese rival in BYD could give Wall Street’s EV darling a run for its money. The Pros will dissect whether investors should stick with Tesla or buy into the up-and-coming BYD.

    The bottom line

    Bitcoin just received its biggest stamp of approval, giving crypto bros their most powerful bragging rights yet.

    The decision by the SEC to approve the creation and trading of bitcoin ETFs will allow for better adoption of the world’s oldest cryptocurrency by mainstream finance.

    Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, that holds about $29 billion of the cryptocurrency, will likely be converted into an ETF following the decision, while big Wall Street’s BlackRock and Fidelity will also enter the playing field.

    “Today’s news is possibly Bitcoin’s biggest since its launch but the approval of spot ETFs shouldn’t be viewed in isolation, given the timing of the upcoming halving in April which cuts the BTC supply and historically kickstarts the new bull market. Both these events combined could well send Bitcoin to $100,000 in 2024,” said Antoni Trenchev, co-founder and managing partner of the digital asset firm Nexo.

    Trenchev also noted that “there is a temptation to say the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs is a buy-the-rumour, sell-the-news event.”

    The decision comes a day after an official SEC social media account falsely said bitcoin ETF trading had been approved. The SEC confirmed that the account had been compromised.

    U.S. stocks also eked out gains Wednesday, with the S&P 500 closing 0.57% higher, while the Dow Jones industrial Average added 0.45%. The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.75%.

    Later in the day, investors will also shift focus towards consumer price data which is expected to show inflation edged higher in the last month of 2023.

    This could potentially bring into question whether markets are getting ahead of themselves in anticipating rate cuts by the Fed. There still remains a wide gap between what the U.S. central bank has indicated in terms loosening its monetary policy and what the market is expecting.

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  • U.S. stocks little changed in cautious trading ahead of inflation report, bank earnings

    U.S. stocks little changed in cautious trading ahead of inflation report, bank earnings

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    U.S. stock indexes were edging higher on Wednesday with technology stocks looking to extend gains ahead of the December inflation report, which is expected to shed more direct light on when the Federal Reserve could dial back its two-year-long effort to tighten monetary policy and cool the economy.

    How are stock indexes trading

    • The S&P 500
      SPX
      rose 8 points, or 0.2%, to 4,764

    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
      DJIA
      was up 38 points, or 0.1%, to 37,562

    • The Nasdaq Composite
      COMP
      gained 43 points, or 0.3%, to 14,901.

    On Tuesday, the Dow industrials fell 0.4%, to 37,525, while the S&P 500 declined 0.2%, to 4,757, and the Nasdaq Composite gained less than 0.1%, to 14,858.

    What’s driving markets

    Inflation and its impact on bond markets and the Federal Reserve’s monetary-policy trajectory are the primary focus for markets this week as investors remain on hold ahead of Thursday’s December inflation reading and high-profile corporate earnings reports on Friday, when some of the big banks will kick off the fourth-quarter 2023 earnings season.

    The S&P 500 sits less than 0.7% shy of its record high of 4796.6 touched a little over two years ago, after rallying strongly in the last few months primarily on hopes that easing inflation will allow the Fed to lower interest rates sooner and faster than the markets previously anticipated.

    The yield on the 10-year Treasury
    BX:TMUBMUSD10Y,
    the benchmark for borrowing costs, has fallen from 5% in October to 4.014% on Wednesday.

    But for this bullish narrative to play out, inflation must be seen continuing to fall back to the central bank’s 2% target. That’s why great importance is therefore being placed on the consumer-price index for December, which will be published at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Thursday.

    See: These traders bet on surprise blip higher in key December inflation reading

    Economists forecast that annual headline CPI inflation inched up to 3.2% last month from 3.1% in November. The core reading, which strips out more volatile items like food and energy, is expected to fall from 4% to 3.8%.

    Adam Phillips, director of portfolio strategy at EP Wealth Advisors, said the CPI report may give investors enough confidence that the disinflation is likely to continue, even if the price levels are “still a very long way from anything that is considered healthy.”

    However, he cautioned that the economy has “certain factors” that are beyond the Fed’s control, such as the volatility in supply chains and growing geopolitical risks, as well as a potential resurgence in inflation, he told MarketWatch via phone on Wednesday.

    “[E]quities have remained broadly range-bound since just before Christmas, with little to push them in either direction,” said Jim Reid, strategist at Deutsche Bank.

    “That might change soon, since we’ve got the U.S. CPI print tomorrow, and then the start of earnings season on Friday, but for now at least, there’s been few headlines for investors to latch onto, just a bit of indigestion after over exuberance before New Year left markets with a little bit of an extended hangover,” Reid added.

    In U.S. economic data, the wholesale inventories declined 0.2% in November, in line with Wall Street expectations, as manufacturers continue to juggle with a fragile economy, according to the Commerce Department.

    New York Fed President John Williams will speak in White Plains, N.Y., at 3:15 p.m. Eastern time.

    Companies in focus

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  • Stock market news today: US futures muted in countdown to inflation data

    Stock market news today: US futures muted in countdown to inflation data

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    US stock futures traded cautiously mixed on Wednesday, with tech stocks reaching for gains as investors waited for fresh inflation data and absorbed a dramatic turn in events in spot bitcoin ETFs.

    Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) futures were down 0.1%, while benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) futures hovered just above the flatline. Nasdaq 100 (^NDX) futures rose about 0.2%, after tech stocks eked out the sole win among the major indexes the previous day.

    Stock investors are likely treading carefully ahead of Thursday’s US consumer inflation reading for December, watched for signs of further cooling that could prompt the Federal Reserve to pivot on policy. Recent days have seen worries rise that the market is pricing in too many interest-rate cuts in 2024, as once-rampant confidence for an early cut fades.

    Meanwhile, bitcoin (BTC-USD) steadied to trade above $45,000 after a tweet from the SEC’s X account sparked swings in the leading cryptocurrency. The regulator blamed a hack for the false post announcing it had approved spot bitcoin ETFs. The decision on whether the likes of BlackRock and Ark Invest can start offering the funds is due this week, with some expecting it Wednesday.

    Also in focus is the coming start of fourth-quarter earnings cycle, led Friday by Wall Street banking heavyweights such as JPMorgan Chase (JPM). The season will be critical for stocks, after their rough start to 2024.

    Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices.

    Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance

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  • CNBC Daily Open: An unpleasant surprise for crypto bros

    CNBC Daily Open: An unpleasant surprise for crypto bros

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    Omar Marques | Lightrocket | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Bitcoin slides after false ETF approval post
    Bitcoin slid Tuesday after the Securities and Exchange Commission‘s social media account — which was compromised — sent a false social media post stating the regulatory agency had approved a long-awaited bitcoin exchange-traded fund. Immediately after the first post, the world’s largest cryptocurrency jumped to as high as $47,901 to its highest level since March 2022, but later traded lower by 3%.

    Markets retreat
    Wall Street’s benchmark S&P 500 index ended with small declines on Tuesday, closing 0.15% lower, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.42%. The Nasdaq Composite, however, inched 0.09% higher by close as it bounced off a 0.9% slide from earlier in the session. Shares of tech stocks continued to rise and stave off bigger declines. Asia stocks bucked that trend, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 index blowing past 33-year highs after jumping more than 2%, as health tech and consumer services stocks rose. 

    Is China’s consumption story over?
    China’s consumer sentiment may finally start to improve from here, after last year’s uneven recovery as the economy struggled to rebound from the pandemic doldrums. Goldman Sachs says that while a slowdown is somewhat inevitable, it still expects services consumption to show more resilience than goods.

    HPE to buy Juniper Networks  
    Hewlett Packard Enterprise will buy Juniper Networks for about $14 billion in an all-cash deal, the company confirmed. That works out to about $40 per share — Juniper shares jumped 22% to close at $37.05 after the news. The acquisition will bolster HPE’s existing networking business — which was the company’s top-performing segment — and speed up growth, the company said.

    [PRO] AI-related plays
    Bank of America picked its “key AI suppliers,” naming its top stock picks with significant upside potential at a time when artificial intelligence is all the rage.

    The bottom line

    Bitcoin is arguably the world’s most popular cryptocurrency and has had a dramatic run-up in gains last year. Most of it was fueled by hype around a bitcoin exchange-traded fund that sparked a jump of about 60% in the cryptocurrency over the last three months.

    A false social media post about the approval of such an ETF by the SEC was the last thing eager crypto bros were hoping for.

    Market participants were anticipating an update from the regulatory authority as soon as Wednesday as it would mark the deadline for the SEC to approve or deny the application.

    But bitcoin quickly sold off after the SEC said its X account had been compromised, confirming that it had not approved the Ark 21 Shares spot bitcoin ETF application, among others.

    In early Asia hours, social media X said it had completed a preliminary probe into the compromised account of the SEC, noting that it was not due to any breach of X’s systems, but rather due to a “third party” and “unidentified individual.”

    “The sell-off is showing a rattled market,” said Michael Rinko, research analyst at Delphi Digital. “This kind of high-volume boomerang event probably spooked some people and led to people taking some risk off the table but the initial market reaction is encouraging.”

    It is, however, still widely expected to be approved by the SEC but some investors believe that considering bitcoin’s spectacular rally, it could also mean the day one effect of an approval may just turn out to be a sell-the-news event.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: A crypto bro’s false dream

    CNBC Daily Open: A crypto bro’s false dream

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    A neon sign indicates that Bitcoin is accepted inside the venue of the Paralelni Polis project, an organization combining art, social sciences and modern technology, in Prague, Czech Republic, on Friday, Jan. 5, 2024.

    Milan Jaros | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Bitcoin slides after false ETF approval post
    Bitcoin slid Tuesday after the Securities and Exchange Commission‘s social media account — which was compromised — sent a false social media post stating the regulatory agency had approved a long-awaited bitcoin exchange-traded fund. Immediately after the first post, the world’s largest cryptocurrency jumped to as high as $47,901 to its highest level since March 2022, but later traded lower by 3%.

    Markets retreat
    Wall Street’s benchmark S&P 500 index ended with small declines on Tuesday, closing 0.15% lower, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.42%. The Nasdaq Composite, however, inched 0.09% higher by close as it bounced off a 0.9% slide from earlier in the session. Shares of tech stocks continued to rise and stave off bigger declines. Europe’s Stoxx 600 also ended 0.17% lower as most its main sectors fell along with other regional bourses.

    Worst decade of growth
    The World Bank has forecast the global economy will likely grow 2.4% in 2024. That’s lower than the 2.6% recorded in 2023, and will be the third year in a row where growth slows, according to the organization’s “Global Economic Prospects” report. Sluggish global trade and tight financial conditions will hit developing economies the hardest, the World Bank says.

    HPE to buy Juniper Networks  
    Hewlett Packard Enterprise will buy Juniper Networks for about $14 billion in an all-cash deal, the company confirmed. That works out to about $40 per share — Juniper shares jumped 22% to close at $37.05 after the news. The acquisition will bolster HPE’s existing networking business — which was the company’s top-performing segment — and speed up growth, the company said.

    [PRO] What Wall Street expects this earnings season
    Big banks including Citigroup, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo will be kicking off earnings season later this week. Investors will be looking for hints of what such companies expect for the new year, while analysts expect a “negative catalyst.”

    The bottom line

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  • Wall Street is mixed on Wells Fargo ahead of Friday's earnings. Here are the details

    Wall Street is mixed on Wells Fargo ahead of Friday's earnings. Here are the details

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  • Boeing’s financials won’t be hurt by latest 737 Max issues, analysts say. The company’s size is one reason.

    Boeing’s financials won’t be hurt by latest 737 Max issues, analysts say. The company’s size is one reason.

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    Alaska Airlines, United Airlines and Turkish Airlines have all grounded their Boeing 737 Max 9 airplanes after part of one such jet tore away during an Alaska Airlines flight on Friday. But despite the potential safety risks for travelers and further damage to Boeing’s
    BA,
    -8.03%

    reputation, some Wall Street analysts, for now, have downplayed the financial impact for the jet maker.

    In part, they pointed to the company’s status as one of two major players in aircraft production — the other being Airbus
    EADSY,
    +3.52%
    .
    They also cited a tighter supply of available aircraft and limited near-term impact, at least while investigators try to figure out the cause of the incident.

    Those airlines and others took the action over the weekend after a panel on a jet blew out about 10 minutes into Alaska Airlines Flight 1282 at an altitude of about 16,000 feet.

    No one died in the incident. But the Federal Aviation Administration ordered the temporary grounding of certain Boeing 737 Max 9 aircraft. The order covered 171 planes.

    Shares of Boeing fell 8.2% as the stock weighed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA.

    Still, some Wall Street analysts on Monday said to buy the stock anyway. They said the latest difficulties with the aircraft — which follow the 2019 grounding of Max jets by many nations following two fatal crashes — were unlikely to have a big near-term financial impact.

    BofA analysts, in a research note dated Sunday, said that “at this point in time, due to the duopoly nature of the industry, we do not see this impacting orders for any of the 737 MAX variants. However, if the hits to the program do keep coming … at some point, the flying public may lose confidence in the 737 MAX which could ultimately impact sales.”

    The analysts said it wasn’t clear yet whether the blowout on Friday was due to an assembly mistake at Boeing, an improper installation from fuselage maker Spirit AeroSystems or oversight issues elsewhere. But they noted that the aircraft was relatively new, having been delivered on Oct. 31. And they said that “some scrutiny must be saved for regulators as well, as the FAA is ultimately responsible for certificating these aircraft before delivery.”

    Spirit AeroSystems’ stock
    SPR,
    -11.13%

    was down 11%.

    Analysts at William Blair also said they didn’t expect a big hit to Boeing’s financials.

    “While the Alaska Airlines door plug accident was terrifying, we do not believe that it will have a major financial impact, unless another incident occurs after the aircraft returns to service,” they said in a note on Monday.

    Analysts there estimated that over the past two months, the Max 9 made up less than one-fifth of Boeing’s total deliveries. They said those deliveries would only be “modestly impacted over the first quarter as it could take some time to determine the cause.”

    Of the 23 analyst ratings on Boeing’s stock tracked by FactSet, 18 are buy ratings or the equivalent.

    Read more: How Boeing’s latest 737 Max problem is hurting the Dow

    However, Morgan Stanley analyst Ravi Shanker said the 737 Max 9 issues will likely disrupt first-quarter results for United Airlines
    UAL,
    +2.78%

    and Alaska Air
    ALK,
    -0.21%
    .

    “This will hopefully be a situation resolved in days/weeks rather than months, but it will also serve as a reminder of how fragile airline capacity can be despite the overhang of capacity,” Shanker said in a Monday research note.

    United Airlines’ stock rose 2.4% on Monday, while Alaska Air’s dipped by 0.3%.

    Along with United Airlines, Alaska Airlines and Turkish Airlines, Copa Airlines and Aeromexico grounded about 40 Boeing 737 Max 9 planes, according to reports.

    According to Deutsche Bank analysts, the affected fleet accounts for 16.1% of Alaska Airlines flights and 6.6% of United flights, although United has more 737 Max 9 aircraft than Alaska.

    Other airlines with the plane in their fleet include Jet Airways of India with one plane, Jin Air of Korea with three, KLM Royal Dutch Airlines
    KLMR,

    with five and Korean Air Lines
    003490,
    -1.52%

    with nine, according to Planespotter.net.

    European regulators also grounded the 737 Max 9 for inspection.

    Some major airlines do not have any 737 Max 9s in their fleets, including American Airlines
    AAL,
    +7.21%
    ,
    Southwest Airlines
    LUV,
    -0.10%

    and Air Canada
    AC,
    +3.42%
    ,
    according to reports.

    Also read: Shares in Boeing slump, supplier Spirit AeroSystems tanks, after panel blows out

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  • Wall Street analysts defend this Big Tech name but express caution on banks

    Wall Street analysts defend this Big Tech name but express caution on banks

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  • CNBC Daily Open: December jobs data is startlingly strong

    CNBC Daily Open: December jobs data is startlingly strong

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    A ‘now hiring’ sign is displayed in a retail store in Manhattan on January 05, 2024 in New York City. 

    Spencer Platt | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Hot jobs market
    The
    U.S. labor market added 216,000 jobs in December. That’s much more than the 170,000 expected by economists surveyed by Dow Jones, and the downwardly revised 173,000 jobs added in November. The unemployment rate held steady at 3.7%, defying estimates of a 10-basis-point rise. Meanwhile, average hourly earnings rose 4.1% from a year earlier, higher than the 3.9% forecast.

    Losing week
    U.S. stocks inched up slightly Friday, but couldn’t reverse a weekly decline. Treasury yields ticked up for the second day, with the 10-year yield closing at 4.051%. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index retreated 0.27%. Retail stocks fell 1.1%, leading sector losses, after data showed German retail sales fell 2.5% for the month, much more than estimates of a 0.1% slide.

    Grounded airplanes
    The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration has ordered a temporary grounding of the Boeing 737 Max 9 aircraft, which means airlines won’t be able to use those particular Boeing models for flying. The directive comes after a piece of the aircraft blew out in the middle of an Alaska Airlines flight, leaving a gaping hole on the side of the plane.

    Potential Apple lawsuit
    Apple just can’t catch a break. Fresh off a downgrade to its shares by Barclays and Piper Sandler, the technology giant is potentially facing an antitrust lawsuit by the U.S. Department of Justice, according to a report from The New York Times. The lawsuit could target how the Apple Watch works exclusively with the iPhone, as well as the company’s iMessage service, which excludes non-Apple devices.

    [PRO] Numbers to watch
    The U.S. consumer price index report comes out Thursday this week, and will be the major catalyst for markets as investors assess if the U.S. Federal Reserve is edging closer to its goal of keeping inflation at 2%. But don’t neglect Friday, which is jam-packed with earnings reports from big banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Bank of America.

    The bottom line

    The headline number on the U.S. jobs report’s undeniably startling — 216,000 new jobs in December, compared with an expected 170,000. The unemployment rate defied forecasts for it to fall, while average hourly earnings were higher than estimates too.

    The data suggests the U.S. labor market’s still running hot despite the 11 interest-rate hikes implemented by the Federal Reserve.

    But the numbers aren’t so drastic that rate hikes could be back on the table. Look more closely and you’ll find pockets of weakness in the report.

    The headline number, expectation-busting as it is, probably won’t persuade the Fed to resume hiking.

    “While the Dow Jones estimate is for a nonfarm payrolls gain of 170,000, Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial, said the acceptable range is really something like 100,000-250,000,” CNBC’s Jeff Cox noted.

    Consider also how October and November’s jobs numbers were downwardly revised, which point to a weaker-than-expected labor market last quarter. And when viewed on an annual basis, 2023 saw job growth of 2.7 million, dramatically lower than 2022’s addition of 4.8 million jobs.

    The theme of growth continuing — but slowing — was also seen in December’s ISM services index, which measures business activity, such as price and inventory levels. The reading came in at 50.6%, indicating growth in the service sector, but that’s nearly two percentage points below expectations as well as November’s reading.

    That’s probably why stocks managed to eke out small gains Friday, despite the shock of the headline jobs number.

    The S&P 500 added 0.18%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up 0.07% and the Nasdaq Composite ticked up 0.09%.

    But those marginal increases couldn’t prevent major indexes from registering their first negative week in 10. For the week, the S&P fell 1.52%, the Dow lost 0.59% and the Nasdaq slumped 3.25%, its biggest decline since September.

    Investors hoping for a positive catalyst for markets will be keeping their fingers crossed, hoping December’s consumer price index report comes in cooler than expected.

    — CNBC’s Jeff Cox contributed to this report.

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  • The 2023 U.S. economy, in a dozen charts

    The 2023 U.S. economy, in a dozen charts

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    A pedestrian holds an umbrella as they walk along a street in the rain in Times Square, New York, on Sept. 26, 2023.

    Ed Jones | AFP | Getty Images

    The state of the U.S. economy may be a chief concern among Americans, but 2023 wound up as a pretty good year for the macroenvironment.

    Spending remained high, markets posted big gains and the Federal Reserve’s battle against inflation showed signs of cooling — without freezing. Then there’s the almost logic-defying resilience of the job market.

    The U.S. labor market ended the year strong, creating more than 200,000 jobs in December, according to figures released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. While previous job creation estimates for October and November were revised downward by a combined 75,000, the unemployment rate remained at a low 3.7%, and December marked the 36th consecutive month of job creation for the U.S. economy.

    In total, the U.S. created nearly 2.7 million jobs in 2023, when seasonally adjusted. That figure came despite concerns that the Federal Reserve’s ongoing fight against inflation through interest rate hikes might cool the labor market and put a chill on consumer spending.

    Neither of those concerns came to fruition, however. In fact, consumer spending remained robust throughout the year, with monthly advanced retail sales staying above the $600 million mark for most of 2023, proving that despite many economic headwinds, U.S. consumers could not be deterred.

    Here are nine other charts that show how the economy rounded out 2023.

    Inflation, wages and spending

    U.S. consumers were in a mood to spend, particularly on experiences: 2023 was officially the year that travel rebounded, with the Thanksgiving holiday period breaking U.S. records. Nearly 150 million passengers were screened by the Transportation Security Administration across U.S. airports in November and December.

    Americans spent on entertainment, too. With major hits such as “Barbie,” “Oppenheimer” and Taylor Swift’s The Eras Tour concert film, the U.S. box office came back in a big way last year from its Covid-19 pandemic lows.

    Markets

    Interest rates and housing

    After its historic rate increases in 2022, the Federal Reserve tempered its war on inflation and only raised rates at four of its eight meetings in 2023. While the central bank’s target range for interest rates is the highest it has been since 2006, recent comments from Chair Jerome Powell have Fed watchers optimistic that rate cuts may be coming in 2024.

    There were some trouble areas for consumers, however. Mortgage rates continue to be high. The average 30-year fixed rate in October was nearly triple what it was at the end of 2020 — although rates came down significantly by the end of the year — and existing home sales remain low, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. Until more housing inventory comes online, those issues are likely to persist into 2024.

    Don’t miss these stories from CNBC PRO:

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  • Dow lands second-highest close ever as stocks build on eight-week winning streak

    Dow lands second-highest close ever as stocks build on eight-week winning streak

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    U.S. stocks closed higher Tuesday, building on a streak of eight straight weekly gains as the final, holiday-shortened week of 2023 got under way.

    What happened

    On Friday, stocks finished a choppy pre-holiday trading session mostly higher, with the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq each scoring an eighth straight weekly gain. The S&P 500 finished 0.9% away from its record close of 4,796.56, set on Jan. 3, 2022.

    Read:…

    Master your money.

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    Access from any device. Anywhere. Anytime.


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  • 'Santa Claus' rally time for stock market? Why investors should dial back their expectations for this seasonal year-end gift.

    'Santa Claus' rally time for stock market? Why investors should dial back their expectations for this seasonal year-end gift.

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    Almost as predictable as the big jolly man himself, many on Wall Street are eagerly waiting for the so-called Santa Claus rally to further fuel stock-market gains that have already put investors in a holiday mood.

    As defined by the Stock Trader’s Almanac, the Santa Claus rally refers to the stock market’s tendency to rise during the last five trading days of the current calendar year and the first two trading sessions of the new year. Friday marks the start of the period, which will run through Wednesday, January 3 this time around. 

    If recent history holds, then stocks are set to have a good run in the next six trading days as Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street almost every year. Since 1950, the Santa rally has boosted the S&P 500
    SPX
    by an average of 1.3% over the seven trading-day range. The benchmark large-cap index closed higher 78% of the Santa Claus trading window in the past 75 years, and gained during that time for the past seven years, according to Dow Jones Market Data. 

    This time, though, the stock market has already been in a party mood even ahead of Christmas, with some market watchers, including Yardeni Research’s Ed Yardeni thinking the Santa rally has come “ahead of schedule.” 

    U.S. stocks are sitting on hefty gains at the close of a rollercoaster year. The S&P 500 jumped 4.3% in December, just 0.7% shy of its record set nearly two years ago amid growing optimism that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates as early as the first half of 2024, a fervor that policymakers attempted to rein in since last week’s FOMC meeting. 

    Opinion: Santa Claus is coming to town and bringing presents for your stock portfolio

    But a relentless rally in the run-up to the official Santa rally indicates some of Santa’s largesse may have already been delivered, said Pete A. Biebel, senior vice president and senior investment strategist at Benjamin F. Edwards. 

    “I do think that the market is a little bit extended, so our expectations for this traditional Santa rally period should be dialed back a bit,” Biebel told MarketWatch on Friday. 

    Biebel points to the midweek dip on Wednesday which made the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA
    down 475.92 points, or 1.3%, for its biggest one-day percentage decline since October. The blue-chip index ended a streak of five straight record finishes as a strong year-end rally briefly lost momentum, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

    While there wasn’t any clear fundamental trigger for the selloff, some Wall Street analysts think a surge in trading of zero-day to expiry options (0DTE) should be blamed for the pullback. Others said the derivatives that have exploded in popularity this year were just one piece of the puzzle, as overbought technical conditions and low year-end trading volumes also were cited as likely factors. 

    The “air pocket” for stocks on Wednesday was an omen or a red flag that the markets have that potential for steep drawdowns, Biebel said. “It doesn’t mean it has to happen, but it’s a warning that the market is not as rosy as it seems — there is potential trouble below the surface.” 

    See: Chasing the Santa rally? Look out below!

    However, some analysts suggest investors not to bet against the seasonal momentum, especially during the bull market with a strong uptrend which took the three indexes off their October lows, said Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial. 

    “Stocks are overbought, but the market can stay overbought for longer than most people expect, especially at this stage of a bull market,” Turnquist told MarketWatch via phone. 

    Meanwhile, stock-market returns during this time frame have historically correlated closely to returns in January and the subsequent year. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has generated an average forward annual return of 10.4% when Santa comes to town. That is well above the return when Santa doesn’t show up, which is only around 4%, according to data compiled by LPL Financial. 

    “There’s the potential [for a Santa rally] but we’ll likely see a little bit of a hangover as well as a reset in January or February from these overbought conditions,” he added. 

    Time will tell if investors receive the seasonal presents that history promises in 2023, or if an overly extended rally will let the Grinch steal Christmas. After all, Santa rally is more of a “curiosity” than a phenomenon, said Biebel. 

    U.S. stocks were edging higher on Friday, with three major indexes on pace for their eighth consecutive positive week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has risen 0.4%, while the S&P 500 was up 0.9% and the Nasdaq Composite
    COMP
    has jumped 1.3% this week, according to FactSet data.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Worst day in months for markets as FedEx slumps

    CNBC Daily Open: Worst day in months for markets as FedEx slumps

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    Parcels are seen in a street nearby UPS and FedEx trucks in a street of the Manhattan borough in New York City on December 4, 2023. 

    Charly Triballeau | AFP | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Worst day in months
    U.S. markets fell Wednesday, with all major indexes snapping their winning streaks in one of their worst trading sessions in months. Still, U.S. Treasury yields continued to dip. Asia-Pacific markets lost ground Thursday, following Wall Street lower. South Korea’s Kospi Index slipped 0.77% even as the country’s producer prices rose at their slowest pace in four months.

    Citi shutters another unit
    Citigroup is closing its global distressed-debt group, CNBC has learned from people with direct knowledge of the move. That closure follows last week’s announcement that the bank’s shuttering its municipal-bond trading operations. CEO Jane Fraser is in the process of restructuring Citigroup, exiting businesses with poor returns to help the bank hit its performance targets.

    Clock’s ticking on watch ban
    Apple has failed in its bid to delay a ban on sales of Apple Watch, according to an International Trade Commission filing. That means only a White House intervention will let Apple continue selling its watches in the U.S. Joe Kiani, CEO of Masimo — the company involved in the intellectual property dispute with Apple — told CNBC on Monday that Apple had not reached out to settle.

    Tesla’s the “it” stock
    Out of all securities on the U.S. market, Tesla’s on pace to attract the most amount of individual investor dollars in 2023, according to data from Vanda Research. That means inflows into the stock will surpass the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, which tracks the largest index in the world. To put Tesla’s popularity in perspective, it wasn’t even among the top 20 stocks retail investors bought before 2019.

    [PRO] Diversify your portfolio
    The upcoming year presents several challenges to investors. A recession might hit the U.S. economy, geopolitical risks might escalate and inflation might rebound. CNBC Pro spoke to three investment experts to find out how to create a diversified portfolio that can hedge against volatility in 2024.

    The bottom line

    FedEx‘s performance is often seen as a bellwether for the general economy. When businesses ship fewer parcels, it tends to indicate a slowdown in economic activity.

    So, when FedEx issued a worse-than-expected forecast for its current fiscal year, and reported disappointing second-quarter results, it wasn’t solely a warning for investors in the company. FedEx, whose stock sank 12.05%, may also signal trouble for the broader market, according to Wolfe Research.

    ″[W]hile volatile at times, the correlation between FDX and the S&P has been a solid one,” Wolfe Research managing director Rob Ginsberg wrote on Monday. “Now, it probably won’t derail the year-end melt-up, but given the multitude of overbought conditions and stretched indicators, a market pricing in perfection just got a bit of troubling news.”

    And markets indeed had a bad day. The S&P 500 tumbled 1.47%, the most it’s lost in one session since September. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.27% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 1.5% — both indexes snapped their nine-day winning streaks in their worst day since October.

    That disappointing showing, however, doesn’t necessarily mean the start of a prolonged slide for markets. Treasury yields are still dipping, which tends to boost stocks. There were also pockets of strength amid the sell-off yesterday. Alphabet, for instance, gained 1.24% and touched a new 52-week high during the session. Consumer confidence in December also picked up, according to the Conference Board.

    Keith Buchanan, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments, said market losses were “more technical than fundamental,” meaning it was more the breakneck pace at which stocks had been rallying that posed a risk, rather than their intrinsic value.

    “Markets were becoming overbought, and a pullback like this is natural given those conditions,” Buchanan said.

    As any recipient of a FedEx package knows, a delayed delivery isn’t the end of the world; you just have to move past the hiccup. The same goes for markets.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Markets see worst day in months on FedEx slump

    CNBC Daily Open: Markets see worst day in months on FedEx slump

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    A FedEx truck and cars commute on Highway 101 during heavy rain in San Francisco Bay Area of California, United States on December 20, 2023.

    Tayfun Coskun | Anadolu | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Worst day in months
    U.S. markets fell Wednesday, with all major indexes snapping their winning streaks in one of their worst trading sessions in months. Still, U.S. Treasury yields continued to dip. Europe’s Stoxx 600 climbed 0.19%, while the U.K.’s FTSE 100 jumped 1.02% to hit a three-month high on positive inflation news.

    UK inflation’s looking OK
    U.K. inflation slid to 3.9% in November, the lowest annual reading since September 2021. That figure’s lower than the 4.4% economists had expected, and the 4.6% reading in October. Moreover, prices actually fell 0.2% for the month, compared with estimates of a 0.1% rise. Core consumer price index was also lower than expected, prompting a sharp fall in U.K. 10-year gilt yield.

    Citi shutters another unit
    Citigroup is closing its global distressed-debt group, CNBC has learned from people with direct knowledge of the move. That closure follows last week’s announcement that the bank’s shuttering its municipal-bond trading operations. CEO Jane Fraser is in the process of restructuring Citigroup, exiting businesses with poor returns to help the bank hit its performance targets.

    Tesla’s the “it” stock
    Out of all securities on the U.S. market, Tesla’s on pace to attract the most amount of individual investor dollars in 2023, according to data from Vanda Research. That means inflows into the stock will surpass the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, which tracks the largest index in the world. To put Tesla’s popularity in perspective, it wasn’t even among the top 20 stocks retail investors bought before 2019.

    [PRO] Due for a breather
    Despite the massive rally in markets last week — and, indeed, since November — several strategists are cautioning their clients to be defensive, especially when it comes to the new year. The “rally is ripe for a breather,” wrote one Wall Street strategist, because earnings might falter in 2024.

    The bottom line

    FedEx‘s performance is often seen as a bellwether for the general economy. When businesses ship fewer parcels, it tends to indicate a slowdown in economic activity.

    So, when FedEx issued a worse-than-expected forecast for its current fiscal year, and reported disappointing second-quarter results, it wasn’t solely a warning for investors in the company. FedEx, whose stock sank 12.05%, may also signal trouble for the broader market, according to Wolfe Research.

    ″[W]hile volatile at times, the correlation between FDX and the S&P has been a solid one,” Wolfe Research managing director Rob Ginsberg wrote on Monday.

    “Now, it probably won’t derail the year-end melt-up, but given the multitude of overbought conditions and stretched indicators, a market pricing in perfection just got a bit of troubling news.”

    And markets indeed had a bad day. The S&P 500 tumbled 1.47%, the most it’s lost in one session since September. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.27% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 1.5% — both indexes snapped their nine-day winning streaks in their worst day since October.

    That disappointing showing, however, doesn’t necessarily mean the start of a prolonged slide for markets. Treasury yields are still dipping, which tends to boost stocks. There were also pockets of strength amid the sell-off yesterday. Alphabet, for instance, gained 1.24% and touched a new 52-week high during the session. Consumer confidence in December also picked up, according to the Conference Board.

    Keith Buchanan, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments, said market losses were “more technical than fundamental,” meaning it was more the breakneck pace at which stocks had been rallying that posed a risk, rather than the their intrinsic value.

    “Markets were becoming overbought, and a pullback like this is natural given those conditions,” Buchanan said.

    As any recipient of a FedEx package knows, a delayed delivery isn’t the end of the world; you just have to move past the hiccup. The same goes for markets.

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