U.S. stock indexes were edging higher on Wednesday with technology stocks looking to extend gains ahead of the December inflation report, which is expected to shed more direct light on when the Federal Reserve could dial back its two-year-long effort to tighten monetary policy and cool the economy.

How are stock indexes trading

  • The S&P 500
    SPX
    rose 8 points, or 0.2%, to 4,764

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA
    was up 38 points, or 0.1%, to 37,562

  • The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP
    gained 43 points, or 0.3%, to 14,901.

On Tuesday, the Dow industrials fell 0.4%, to 37,525, while the S&P 500 declined 0.2%, to 4,757, and the Nasdaq Composite gained less than 0.1%, to 14,858.

What’s driving markets

Inflation and its impact on bond markets and the Federal Reserve’s monetary-policy trajectory are the primary focus for markets this week as investors remain on hold ahead of Thursday’s December inflation reading and high-profile corporate earnings reports on Friday, when some of the big banks will kick off the fourth-quarter 2023 earnings season.

The S&P 500 sits less than 0.7% shy of its record high of 4796.6 touched a little over two years ago, after rallying strongly in the last few months primarily on hopes that easing inflation will allow the Fed to lower interest rates sooner and faster than the markets previously anticipated.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury
BX:TMUBMUSD10Y,
the benchmark for borrowing costs, has fallen from 5% in October to 4.014% on Wednesday.

But for this bullish narrative to play out, inflation must be seen continuing to fall back to the central bank’s 2% target. That’s why great importance is therefore being placed on the consumer-price index for December, which will be published at 8:30 a.m. Eastern on Thursday.

See: These traders bet on surprise blip higher in key December inflation reading

Economists forecast that annual headline CPI inflation inched up to 3.2% last month from 3.1% in November. The core reading, which strips out more volatile items like food and energy, is expected to fall from 4% to 3.8%.

Adam Phillips, director of portfolio strategy at EP Wealth Advisors, said the CPI report may give investors enough confidence that the disinflation is likely to continue, even if the price levels are “still a very long way from anything that is considered healthy.”

However, he cautioned that the economy has “certain factors” that are beyond the Fed’s control, such as the volatility in supply chains and growing geopolitical risks, as well as a potential resurgence in inflation, he told MarketWatch via phone on Wednesday.

“[E]quities have remained broadly range-bound since just before Christmas, with little to push them in either direction,” said Jim Reid, strategist at Deutsche Bank.

“That might change soon, since we’ve got the U.S. CPI print tomorrow, and then the start of earnings season on Friday, but for now at least, there’s been few headlines for investors to latch onto, just a bit of indigestion after over exuberance before New Year left markets with a little bit of an extended hangover,” Reid added.

In U.S. economic data, the wholesale inventories declined 0.2% in November, in line with Wall Street expectations, as manufacturers continue to juggle with a fragile economy, according to the Commerce Department.

New York Fed President John Williams will speak in White Plains, N.Y., at 3:15 p.m. Eastern time.

Companies in focus

Source link

You May Also Like

Anti-corruption candidate Bernardo Arévalo wins Guatemala’s presidential election | CNN

CNN  —  Anti-corruption candidate Bernardo Arévalo, from the progressive Movimiento Semilla party,…

Ban on electronic skill games in Virginia reinstated by state Supreme Court

A ban on electronic skill games in Virgnia went back into effect…

10 people hurt in mass shooting in Florida: Police

A mass shooting in a Florida city has left 10 people wounded,…

U.S. Economic Calendar – MarketWatch

The median forecasts in this calendar come from surveys of economists conducted…