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Tag: Dividends

  • Trump Plans Financial Restrictions on Late, Overbudget Defense Contractors, Sources Say

    By Joey Roulette and Mike Stone

    WASHINGTON, ‌Dec ​16 (Reuters) – The Trump administration ‌is planning an executive order that would limit dividends, ​buybacks and executive pay for defense contractors that are over-budget and delayed, ‍according to three sources ​briefed on the order.

    President Donald Trump and the Pentagon have ​been complaining ⁠about the expensive, slow-moving and entrenched nature of the defense industry, promising dramatic changes that would make the production of war equipment more nimble.

    Industry groups have been on high alert about the closely held ‌proposal, which is tied to a Treasury Department initiative, two of ​the sources ‌said.

    Reuters could not determine ‍exactly ⁠how the order would compel defense firms to enact any restrictions. The sources said the language of the order could still change.

    Online political news service Punchbowl was the first to report the potential for financial restrictions on defense firms.

    The White House did not immediately return a request for ​comment.

    U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth unveiled sweeping changes in November to how the Pentagon purchases weapons, allowing the military to more rapidly acquire technology amid growing global threats, in accordance with an executive order signed by Trump in April.

    The Pentagon restructuring will have direct authority over major weapons programs to eliminate bureaucracy. The acquisition chain will run directly from program managers to these portfolio executives to military service branch acquisition ​leaders, with no intermediate approval layers.

    The November reforms target what Pentagon officials call “unacceptably slow” procurement, which they blame on fragmented accountability and misaligned incentives that have hampered the military’s ability to ​field new technology quickly.

    (Reporting by Joey Roulette and Mike Stone; Editing by Chris Reese)

    Copyright 2025 Thomson Reuters.

    Reuters

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  • Trump promises to send $2,000 tariff dividend checks ‘probably the middle of next year, a little bit later than that’ | Fortune

    President Donald Trump promised on Monday that his administration will begin issuing $2,000 “tariff dividend” checks to Americans around the middle of 2026, the most specific timetable he has offered yet on a proposal that can’t seem to find a home within a campaign-esque promise, economic argument and political provocation.

    “We’re going to be issuing dividends later on, somewhere prior to … probably the middle of next year, a little bit later than that,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office, according to Axios. The payments, he said, would go to “individuals of moderate income, middle income.”

    The commitment marks an escalation from Trump’s earlier, vaguer assertions that tariffs are generating enough money to fund direct payments to American households. But turning the idea into actual checks is far more complicated than his easy-going rhetoric suggests.

    Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent made that clear over the weekend, saying on Fox News that the administration “needs legislation” to distribute any such dividend. 

    “We will see,” he added. Bessent also implied that the structure could take forms other than a check — for instance, a tax rebate — signaling uncertainty inside the administration about what Trump’s proposal even is.

    The math is another obstacle. A $2,000-per-person dividend, even if limited to Americans with low or middle incomes, would cost well over the $200 billion that Trump’s tariffs have brought in. If the checks resembled the COVID-era stimulus structure — which went to adults and children alike— the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates the price tag could reach $600 billion. That would mean that Trump’s tariffs would be a net $400 billion negative for the U.S. in 2026, based on current projections. 

    And the future of that revenue is itself uncertain. The Supreme Court is expected to rule within months on whether Trump exceeded his authority when he imposed sweeping tariffs by invoking national emergency powers. So far, both conservative and liberal supreme court justices have seemed skeptical of his arguments. If the Court rules against him, the administration may have to somehow refund billions in collected duties to importers, which would be the opposite of Trump’s promised “dividend.” Trump argues the stakes are existential, claiming a loss could cost the U.S. $3 trillion in refunds and lost investment.

    The White House did not immediately respond to Fortune’s request for comment.

    Still, Trump continues to present tariffs as an all-purpose economic engine: a way to protect U.S. factories, pressure foreign governments, strengthen the federal budget, and now, finance what he has described as a populist windfall. Trump and the Republican party broadly have been focused on winning voters’ favor back on “affordability” ever since Democrats’ swept elections earlier this month. The President even said on Friday that he would roll back tariffs on beef, coffee, tropical fruits and commodities, even as he continues to insist that tariffs don’t raise prices. 

    “Affordability is a lie when used by the Dems. It is a complete CON JOB,” he wrote Friday on Truth Social. 

    Eva Roytburg

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  • Texas State Judge Won’t Block Kenvue From Paying Dividend, Company Lawyer Says

    WILMINGTON, DEL. (Reuters) -A Texas state judge won’t block Kenvue from paying its scheduled November 26 shareholder dividend, rejecting a request by Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, a Kenvue lawyer told Reuters on Friday.

    (Reporting by Tom Hals in Wilmington, Delaware, Editing by Franklin Paul)

    Copyright 2025 Thomson Reuters.

    Reuters

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  • Meet the Suspicious 8: Dividends Over 6% With Plenty of Problems

    Meet the Suspicious 8: Dividends Over 6% With Plenty of Problems

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: November 3, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: November 3, 2024 – MoneySense

    Amazon earnings highlights

    Share prices were up 5% in after-hours trading on Thursday after the strong earnings beat.

    • Amazon (AMZN/NASDAQ): Earnings per share of $1.43 (versus $0.14 predicted) and revenues of $134.4 billion (versus $131.5 billion predicted).

    Amazon Web Services (AWS) remains the golden goose, even though very few of Amazon’s retail customers know it exists. Revenues climbed 19% during the quarter, and totalled $27.4 billion. Amazon’s advertising revenues were another highlighted area of the report, as they were up 19%. Overall operating profits grew 56% year over year to $17.4 billion, mostly credited to the 27,000 jobs cut by the company since 2022.

    Founder, executive chairman and former president and CEO of Amazon, Jeff Bezos was in the headlines this week in his role as owner of the Washington Post. He refused to allow the Post’s editorial team to print their endorsement of Kamala Harris for president, and it was met with widespread outrage from Post readers. As of Tuesday, more than 250,000 subscriptions were cancelled as a result. 

    Source: The Sporting News

    Fortunately for Bezos, he purchased the Washington Post (one of the world’s premier news brands) for “chump change”—$250 million (roughly a mere 1.2% of his net worth). So, if he drives it into the ground, I don’t think he’ll shed tears.

    No doubt co-founder and CEO of Tesla, Elon Musk, is making similar calculations with his luxury purchase two years ago of Twitter (which he rebranded as X). Critics say he has turned the social platform into an echo chamber for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. What are the billions for, if a person can’t even enjoy themselves by buying a little media, am I right? (That’s sarcasm.)

    So far we’ve yet to see analysis to show Bezos’ editorial decision affecting Amazon’s share price or revenue numbers. Apparently Republicans buy Amazon Prime, too.

    Canada’s best dividend stocks

    Microsoft, Meta and Google: Predictably incredible earnings

    While not having quite as large a market cap as Nvidia and Apple, other mega tech stocks in the U.S. are no slouches. For example, Microsoft is also as valuable as the entirety of Canada’s stock exchanges at $3.2 trillion. Alphabet and Meta clock in at $2.1 trillion and $1.5 trillion respectively. (All figures in this section are in U.S. dollars.)

    Other Big Tech stock news highlights

    Here’s what these companies announced this week.

    • Alphabet (GOOGL/NASDAQ): Earnings per share came in at $2.12 (versus $1.51 predicted) on revenues of $88.27 billion (versus $86.30 billion predicted).
    • Microsoft (MSFT/NASDAQ): Earnings per share of $3.30 (versus $3.10 predicted), and revenues of $65.59 billion (versus $64.51 predicted).
    • Meta (META/NASDAQ): Earnings per share coming in at $6.03 (versus $5.25 predicted) and revenues of $40.59 billion (versus $40.29 predicted).

    All three companies crushed earning estimates across the board. However, shareholders’ reactions to these earnings beats were still muted. Meta shares were down 2.5% in after-hours trading on Wednesday, and it was a similar situation for Microsoft. Alphabet fared better as its shares were up 3%.

    It’s hard to put these numbers into the massive context into which they belong, because the world has never seen anything like these companies before. Here are highlights from the earnings calls. (Scroll the chart left to right with your fingers or press shift, as you use scroll wheel on your mouse to read.)

    Kyle Prevost

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: October 27, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: October 27, 2024 – MoneySense

    Despite these setbacks, CPKC posted an income gain of 7% year over year. The four categories that made the most impact were grain, energy, plastics and chemicals, and they grew revenues by 11%. CPKC says the shipment of wheat to Mexico from the Canadian and American Prairies over the past 12 months was exactly the type of “synergy win” that it was hoping for when the former Canadian Pacific acquired Kansas City Southern back in 2021. This railway remains the only one to span Canada, the United States and Mexico.

    CNR CEO Tracy Robinson commented on the railway’s operational challenges. “Our scheduled operating plan demonstrated its resilience in the third quarter, allowing us to adapt our operations to challenges posed by wildfires and prolonged labor issues,” she said. “Our operations recovered quickly and the railroad is running well. As we close 2024, we will continue to focus on recovering volumes, growth, and ensuring our resources are aligned to demand.”

    CNR’s revenues were up 3% year over year; however, increased expenses meant the company’s operating ratio rose 1.1% to 63.1% (indicating that expenses are growing as a share of revenue). The railway announced it was  raising its quarterly dividend from $0.79 to $0.845. This raise of nearly 7% is right in line with CNR’s mission to conservatively raise its dividend payouts each year.

    For more information on these railroads, check out my article on Canadian railway stocks at MillionDollarJourney.ca.

    Canada’s best dividend stocks

    Rough day for Rogers 

    Thursday’s revenue miss left some Rogers shareholders shaking their heads. 

    Rogers earnings highlights

    Here’s what the large mobile company reported this week:

    • Rogers Communications (RCI/TSX): Earnings per share of $1.42 (versus $1.34 predicted) and revenues of $5.13 billion (versus $5.17 predicted).

    While solid earnings numbers did take away some of the sting, Rogers’ share price was down 3% on Thursday. Lower-than-expected numbers for new wireless customers were at the root of low revenue growth. The oligopolistic Canadian wireless market remains uncharacteristically competitive as Rogers, Telus and Bell all continue to fight for market share. That competition is hurting profit margins for all three telecommunications giants at the moment. (Unlike in past years, when the three telcos all enjoyed charging some of the highest wireless plan fees in the world.)

    One highlight for Rogers was its sports revenue vertical, which was up 11% from last quarter. Rogers has really doubled down on its sports media strategy over the last few years and now owns a controlling share of the: 

    • Toronto Blue Jays in the Major League Baseball league (MLB)
    • Toronto Maple Leafs in the National Hockey League (NHL)
    • Toronto Raptors in the National Basketball Association (NBA)
    • Toronto FC in Major League Soccer (MLS)
    • Toronto Argonauts in the Canadian Football League (CFL)
    • SportsNet, a major Canadian sports network
    • Toronto’s Rogers Centre and Scotiabank Arena venues
    • Naming rights of sports venues in Edmonton, Toronto and Vancouver
    • National NHL media rights in Canada
    • Local media rights to the NHL’s Vancouver Canucks, Calgary Flames and Edmonton Oilers
    • Partial local media rights to the Maple Leafs and Raptors
    • Several minor-league franchises and esports (gaming) teams

    Despite owning all those household-name sports assets, it’s worth noting that Rogers’ wireless and cable divisions were responsible for close to 90% of revenues, with sports and media making up the rest.

    Kyle Prevost

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: October 20, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: October 20, 2024 – MoneySense

    Netflix shows a steady stream of profits

    Netflix (NFLX/NASDAQ) shareholders were happy on Thursday, as they saw share prices rise 5% in after-hours trading on the back of another excellent earnings announcement. (All figures in U.S. dollars.) Earnings per share came in at $5.40 (versus $5.12 predicted) and revenues were $9.83 billion (versus $9.77 billion predicted).

    Paid memberships also topped expectations, at 282.7 million, compared to the 282.15 million predicted by analysts. Netflix chalked up the increase in viewers to new hit shows such as The Perfect Couple, Nobody Wants This and Tokyo Swindlers, as well as new seasons of favourites Emily in Paris and Cobra Kai. Looking ahead to the next quarter, Netflix is banking on the new season of Squid Game and its foray into the world of live sports. Two National Football League (NFL) games and a massively anticipated boxing bout between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson represent new attractions for the streaming giant.

    Photo courtesy of United Airlines

    United Airlines shares take to the sky

    Tuesday was a massive earnings day for United Airlines (UAL/NASDAQ) as earnings per share came in at $3.33, well outpacing the $3.17 that analysts were predicting. (All figures in U.S. dollars.) Revenues were $14.84 billion (versus $14.78 billion predicted). Shares were up more than 13% on the outperformance and the news that the airline was starting a $1.5-billion share buyback program.

    Corporate revenue was up more than 13% year over year, while basic economy seat sales clocked an even more impressive 20% increase. Last week, the company announced new international routes headed to Mongolia, Senegal, Spain, Greenland and more.

    The best online brokers in Canada

    The inflation dragon has been slain

    It doesn’t seem that long ago that annualized inflation rates were topping 8%, and there appeared to be no end in sight. Well, the end has arrived. Statistics Canada announced this week that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) annualized inflation rate for September had dropped all the way down to 1.6%. That’s substantially lower than the Bank of Canada’s 2% target.

    Led by deflation in clothing and footwear, as well as transportation, the downward trend appears to be widespread. Gasoline was also down 10.7% from this time last year.

    List of items contributing to decrease in CPI, September 2024

    Source: Statistics Canada

    Of course, increased shelter costs remain the major concern for many Canadians. Rent increases were up 8.2% year-over-year; while that’s down from August’s figure of 8.9%, it’s still a bitter pill to swallow for many.

    Kyle Prevost

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  • We’re raising our Morgan Stanley price target after a post-earnings stock surge to record highs

    We’re raising our Morgan Stanley price target after a post-earnings stock surge to record highs

    Bing Guan | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Morgan Stanley shares soared to all-time highs Wednesday after third-quarter beats on the bank’s top and bottom lines, with strength seen across the board.

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: October 13, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: October 13, 2024 – MoneySense

    Canadian Natural Resources doubles down on Canada

    For a decade now, big acquisitions by Canadian oil-and-gas producers have mostly been met with distaste by investors. So we’ll take it as a heartening sign how well the markets received Canadian Natural Resources’ (CNQ/TSX) decision to buy the Alberta upstream assets of Chevron Corp. (CVX/NYSE) for USD$6.5 billion in cash. CNQ stock rose 3.7% Monday in the wake of the announcement. Chevron was up 0.7% on a day when oil prices increased.

    The assets in question comprise a 20% stake in the Athabasca Oil Sands Project, along with 70% of the Kaybob Duvernay shale play. That should add 122,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day to Canadian Natural Resource’s 2025 output, the company said. It also announced a 7% bump to its quarterly dividend, to 56.25 Canadian cents a share, beginning in January.

    Chevron explained the asset sale in terms of freeing up cash for U.S. shale acquisitions as well as targeted positions abroad, such as in Kazakhstan, which it considers to hold better long-term profit potential.

    Canada’s best dividend stocks

    Nvidia moves up to number 2 in market cap

    Reports of the death of the Magnificent 7 tech stocks’ decade-long run are greatly exaggerated, Nvidia (NVDA/Nasdaq) seemed to say this week as its shares rose past $130. (All figures in U.S. dollars.) That pushed its market capitalization ahead of Microsoft Corp. to $3.19 trillion. That leaves only Apple, with a market cap of $3.4 trillion, worth more than the AI-focused chip-maker.

    Nvidia’s stock is up 26% in the past month, compared to a 6% advance for the S&P 500. Nvidia has grown tenfold in just two years. The price movement this week appeared to come from a positive report from Super Micro Computer, a provider of advanced server products and services. It found that sales of its liquid cooling products, deployed alongside Nvidia’s graphics processing units (GPUs), would be even stronger than expected this quarter. Analyst estimates of Nvidia’s adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) for the three-month period ended this month is $21.9 billion.

    The best online brokers in Canada

    Pepsi earnings leave a sour taste

    Posting its second straight disappointing set of quarterly results on Tuesday, beverage-and-snack maker PepsiCo lowered its full-year guidance for organic revenue unrelated to acquisitions. 

    Results were hampered by recalls of the company’s Quaker Foods products, related to potential salmonella contamination. PepsiCo also experienced weak demand in the U.S. and business disruptions in some overseas markets, such as the Middle East. Pepsi’s North American beverage volumes fell 3% year-over-year, mostly due to declines in energy drink sales. Meanwhile, its Frito-Lay division suffered a 1.5% decline.

    “After outperforming packaged food categories in previous years, salty and savory snacks have underperformed year-to-date,” executives said in a prepared statement. Overall, PepsiCo revised its 2024 sales growth outlook from the previous 4% to low single digits.

    Michael McCullough

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: October 6, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: October 6, 2024 – MoneySense

    Some experts speculate the real sticking point in negotiations isn’t about wages but protection from automation. The ILA refused to allow its members to work on automated vessels docking at U.S. ports. As a result, American ports are getting more and more inefficient, ranking not only behind ports in China, but also Colombo, Sri Lanka. (The Container Port Performance Index is put together annually by The World Bank and S&P Global Market Intelligence.)

    For reference, the highest-rated port in Canada is Halifax, listed at 108th in the world. Halifax’s port efficiency was well behind not only Sri Lanka, but also economic powerhouses like Tripoli, Lebanon. To give further Canadian context, Montreal is 348th, and Vancouver is 356th, which is just ahead of Benghazi, Libya.

    Something tells me that negotiating for USD$300,000-per-year dockworkers is not going to help these North American efficiency numbers. The higher salaries get, the more attractive automation strategies will quickly become. Clearly there will be an eventual reckoning. In the meantime, for at least one more important presidential news cycle, dockworkers will be able to extract large wage gains as they hold the broader economy hostage.

    Why utilities aren’t “boring”—any more

    As income-oriented Canadian investors start to grow less enamoured of high-interest savings accounts and guaranteed investment certificates (GICs), the dividend yields of dependable North American utility stocks should begin to look more attractive. Given how quickly interest rates are likely to fall, it’s clear that there is a stampede of investors heading for the stocks of utility companies. 

    The iShares U.S. Utilities ETF (IDU/NYSE) is up more than 30% year to date, and the iShares S&P/TSX Capped Utilities Index ETF (XUT/TSX) is up about 15% year to date. (Check out MoneySense’s ETF screener for Canadian investors.)

    Most of the time utilities (especially those in sectors regulated by federal and local governments) are perceived as “boring.” Sure, the profits are dependable, but if the government is going to determine how much is paid for electricity or natural gas, then a company’s profit margins are tough to change. The dividend income is dependable. But that’s really the whole sales job in a nutshell.

    Lately, however, due to AI’s electricity needs and possible AI-fuelled efficiency increases, utilities have been getting some glowing press. Falling interest rates mean that annual interest costs will drop (utilities often have to borrow a lot of money to complete big projects). Meanwhile, Canadian investors looking for safe cash flow are pouring in. Utility stocks make up about 4% of the S&P/TSX Composite Index. The largest utility companies—such as Fortis, Emera, Hydro-One and Brookfield Infrastructure—are some of Canada’s largest companies.

    Some of the same income-oriented investors who like utility stocks may also be interested in two new exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that J.P. Morgan Asset Management Canada just launched. The JPMorgan US Equity Premium Income Active ETF (JEPI/TSX) and the JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income Active ETF (JEPQ) use options strategies to “juice” the income already provided by higher-dividend-yielding stocks. 

    Kyle Prevost

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: September 29, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: September 29, 2024 – MoneySense

    The Chinese government commands the economy to grow

    Many people like to sort countries’ economies as either communist, socialist, capitalist or free markets. But these days, every country has some version of a mixed economy. The practical implementation of fiscal and monetary policy is becoming increasingly more grey than our old black-and-white economics textbooks would have us believe. Yet, even within the grey, China’s approach for its economic system is uniquely difficult to define.

    Back in 1962, when asked about building a socialist market economy, future China leader Deng Xiaoping famously said, “It doesn’t matter whether the cat is black or white, so long as it catches mice.”

    Well, the current China leaders have let the fiscal and monetary cats out of the bag, and they’re hoping those cats are hungry.

    We wrote about China’s housing problems about a year ago, warning about rising deflation fears. These issues seem to have gotten worse, and the biggest news in world markets this week was that China’s government decided enough was enough. And in a “command” economy (which is probably the most accurate way to describe its approach), the government has a very high degree of control over economic levers. Consequently, markets reacted swiftly and positively to this news. 

    Here are the highlights of the multi-pronged fiscal and monetary stimulus that the Chinese government has decided to implement:

    • Banks cut the amount of cash they need in reserve (this is known as the reservation requirement ratio) by 0.50%. This will incentivize banks to lend more money (basically “creating” 1 trillion yuan, USD$142 billion).
    • The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Governor Pan Gongsheng said another cut may come later in 2024.
    • Interest rates for mortgages and minimum down payments on homes were cut.
    • A USD$71 billion fund was created for buying Chinese stocks.

    That last point is pretty interesting to me. Here you have a supposedly communist government essentially creating a big pot of money to spend within a free stock market. The fund is to directly purchase stocks, as well as providing cash to Chinese companies to execute stock buybacks. Good luck defining that action in traditional economic terms. 

    The idea is to give investors and consumers faith that they should go out there and buy or invest in China’s expanding economy. Clearly something major had to be done to jolt Chinese consumers out of their malaise.

    Source: FinancialTimes.com

    Early reports are speculating that the Chinese gross domestic product (GDP) could fail to rise by less than the 5% target set by the government. If so, we’re about to see what happens when the commander(s) behind a command economy decide that the GDP will rise no matter what.

    Kyle Prevost

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  • Invesco AAA CLO Floating Rate Note ETF (ICLO) to Issue Dividend of $0.16 on  September 27th

    Invesco AAA CLO Floating Rate Note ETF (ICLO) to Issue Dividend of $0.16 on September 27th

    Invesco AAA CLO Floating Rate Note ETF (BATS:ICLOGet Free Report) declared a dividend on Friday, September 20th, NASDAQ reports. Shareholders of record on Monday, September 23rd will be given a dividend of 0.1614 per share on Friday, September 27th. The ex-dividend date is Monday, September 23rd. This is an increase from Invesco AAA CLO Floating Rate Note ETF’s previous dividend of $0.15.

    Invesco AAA CLO Floating Rate Note ETF Stock Performance

    ICLO stock traded up $0.02 during mid-day trading on Friday, reaching $25.77. 67,338 shares of the company traded hands. The company has a fifty day simple moving average of $25.68 and a 200 day simple moving average of $25.67.

    About Invesco AAA CLO Floating Rate Note ETF

    (Get Free Report)

    The Invesco Aaa Clo Floating Rate Note ETF (ICLO) is an exchange-traded fund that mostly invests in investment grade fixed income. The fund is actively managed to invest in USD-denominated floating rate CLOs that are rated AAA or equivalent. ICLO was launched on Dec 9, 2022 and is managed by Invesco.

    Read More

    Dividend History for Invesco AAA CLO Floating Rate Note ETF (BATS:ICLO)

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    ABMN Staff

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: September 22, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: September 22, 2024 – MoneySense

    U.S. Fed cuts rates for the first time in four years

    The U.S. dollar remains the most important currency in the world, and the American economy is arguably the most important financial system as well. Consequently, when the U.S. Federal Reserve makes a big announcement, it creates an economic wave that ripples everywhere. That’s why Wednesday’s decision to cut the key overnight borrowing rate by 0.50% is a very big deal.

    Many speculated the U.S. Fed would begin cutting rates this week, but it was generally thought it would go with a 0.25% drop to begin an interest rate-cut cycle. The 50 basis points cut lowers the federal funds rate range 4.75% to 5%.

    Source: CNBC

    The U.S. Fed announced in a statement: “The Committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%, and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance.”

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said, “We’re trying to achieve a situation where we restore price stability without the kind of painful increase in unemployment that has come sometimes with this inflation. That’s what we’re trying to do, and I think you could take today’s action as a sign of our strong commitment to achieve that goal.”

    Immediately after the news of the U.S.’s first interest rate cuts in four years, major stock market indices responded with a brief jump on Wednesday. But they ended the day nearly flat. That seemed to be a bit of a delayed reaction from investors, as the Bulls returned Thursday with Nasdaq soaring 2.5% and the Dow leaping 1.3% to pass 42,000 for the first time ever.

    Notably, former U.S. President Donald J. Trump continued to criticize the monetary decisions made by the U.S. Federal Reserve. This despite centuries of financial wisdom telling us that politicians getting involved in short-term monetary policy is a bad idea. (See: Turkey – Erdoğan, Tayyip.) At bitcoin bar PubKey on Wednesday, Trump said, “The economy would be very bad, or they’re playing politics.”

    The larger-than-expected rate cut left some commentators questioning if this action would spook the markets. But, if the U.S. Fed manages to thread the needle and cut rates without a recession, it could be a good thing. The historical precedents are very positive for shareholders. 

    Source: EdwardJones.ca

    This large rate cut helps ease pressures on emerging markets that borrowed in U.S. dollars. And, it takes some of the pressure off other central banks around the world that didn’t want to see their currencies devalued too much relative to the mighty USD.

    Kyle Prevost

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: September 15, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: September 15, 2024 – MoneySense

    Trump’s down, Oracle’s up

    Tuesday’s earnings call was the best day that Oracle shareholders have seen in a while. 

    Oracle earnings highlights

    All figures in U.S. currency in this section.

    • Oracle (ORCL/NYSE): Earnings per share came in at $1.39 (versus $1.32 predicted), and revenues of $13.31 billion (versus $13.23 billion predicted). 

    Share prices rose more than 13% after the tech giant showed profits that were up nearly 20% from last year. Revenues across the company’s cloud services division continue to increase. And CEO Safra Catz said, “I will say that demand is still outstripping supply. But I can live with that.”

    Founder Larry Ellison (who recently passed Mark Zuckerberg to become the second richest person in the world) excitedly predicted that Oracle would one day operate more than 2,000 data centres, which is up from the 162 today. The current project that he highlighted is a massive data centre that will use three modular nuclear reactors to produce the needed gigawatts of electricity.

    In other U.S. stock market news, Trump Media and Technology Group (DJT/NASDAQ) investors face a big decision this week. The stock plummeted from highs of $66 per share on March 27, to $16.56 after the debate on Wednesday. Don’t say we didn’t warn you

    That’s not the worst news for DJT investors though. Next week, a potentially crippling event occurs: the entity that owns 57% of the shares can sell the stock for the first time. If it were to sell all its shares (in order to get as much money as possible out of a business venture that loses millions of dollars every month), the share price would tank. 

    What is the “entity”? It’s actually a question of who not what: Donald Trump. 

    Even at reduced share price levels, Trump’s slice of Truth Social is worth about $1.9 billion. It’s not like he needs money for pressing issues or anything like that…

    Dell and Palantir kick American Airlines and Etsy out of the S&P 500

    In other big events to look forward to, September 23 will see major U.S. market indices experience a reweighting. Given that trillions of dollars are now passively invested into indice-based index funds, whether your company is a member of a specific index or not can make a big difference in its share price. That said, these indice moves are largely anticipated by the market, so a lot of the value movement has already been priced in.

    Kyle Prevost

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: September 8, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: September 8, 2024 – MoneySense

    Macklem says we could see a soft landing

    For the third straight month, the Bank of Canada (BoC) decided to cut interest rates. The quarter-point cut takes the Bank’s key interest rate down to 4.25%.

    The news that’s perhaps bigger than the widely anticipated rate cut was how aggressive BoC governor Tiff Macklem sounded in his prepared remarks. Macklem stated, “If we need to take a bigger step, we’re prepared to take a bigger step.” That sentence will be focused on by financial markets looking to price in larger potential cuts in the months to come. As of Thursday, financial markets were predicting a 93% probability that October would see another 0.25% rate cut. Several economists believe interest rates would fall to around 3% by next summer.

    While describing a potential soft landing to the bumpy pandemic-fuelled inflation flight we’ve been on, Macklem stated, “The runway’s in sight, but we have not landed it yet.” It appears that the real debate is no longer if the BoC should cut interest rates, but instead, how quickly it should cut them, and whether a 0.50% cut may be in the cards sooner rather than later.

    With unemployment rates increasing, it follows that the inflation rate of labour-intensive services should continue to fall. Lower variable-rate mortgage interest payments will automatically have a deflationary impact on shelter costs across Canada as well.

    You can read our article about the best low-risk investments in Canada at Milliondollarjourney.com if lowered interest rates have you thinking about adjusting your portfolio.

    Will Couche-Tard go global?

    Last week we wrote about the Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD/TSX) proposed buyout of 7-Eleven parent company Seven & i Holdings Co. If the buyout goes through, ATD would go from being Canada’s 14th-largest company to being in the running for third-largest company. That’s a big if: on Friday morning, just hours before we went to press, Seven & i said it is rejecting ATD’s $38.5-billion cash bid on the grounds it was not in the best interests of shareholders and was likely to face major anti-trust challenges in the U.S. (All figures in this section are in U.S. dollars.)

    It’s interesting to note that 7-Eleven has been much better at running convenience stores in Japan (where it has a 38% profit margin) versus outside of Japan (where it has a 4% margin). That’s partly due to the fact that locations outside of Japan sell a large amount of low-margin gasoline. Couche-Tard, however, has been able to unlock margins in the 8% range in similar gasoline-dominated locations, indicating substantial room for growth. With 7-Eleven’s overall returns falling far behind its Japanese benchmark index over the last eight years, there is clearly a business case to be made to current shareholders.

    The political dimensions to the acquisition are much harder to quantify than the business case. While Japan did change its laws to become more foreign-acquisition-friendly in 2023, it still classifies companies as “core,” “non-core” and “protected,” under the Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Act. Logically, it seems that a convenience-store company would fit the textbook definition of “non-core.” However, Seven & i Holdings has asked the government to change the classification of its corporation to “core” or “protected.” That would effectively kill any wholesale acquisition opportunities.

    There is also an American legal aspect to the deal. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) would have to rule on whether ATD’s resulting U.S. market share of 13% would be too dominant. Barry Schwartz, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at Baskin Wealth Management, speculated that the most likely outcome might be a sale of 7-Eleven’s overseas assets to ATD, with the company holding on to its Japan-based assets.

    Kyle Prevost

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: September 1, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: September 1, 2024 – MoneySense

    Couche-Tard takes aim at Slurpee King

    Because I grew up in near Winnipeg, the Slurpee Capital of the World, I thought I knew everything the 7-Eleven universe had to offer. Then, I visited Japan and Thailand last year. I realized that I hadn’t seen anything yet. (All figures in U.S. dollars in this section.)

    In much of Thailand and Japan (among other places in Asia), the convenience store is a daily touchstone stop. In Tokyo, there are more than 3,000 7-Eleven stores, a large part of the country’s 56,000-plus convenience store locations. While 7-Eleven was a big part of my childhood, it pales in comparison to the role it plays within many Asian communities. 

    So, it quickly caught my attention when Canadian corporate darling Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD/TSX) announced it was making a friendly takeover bid for Tokyo-based Seven & I Holdings Co (SVNDY/NIKKEI). The possible deal is historic for many reasons.

    1. The acquisition of Seven & I Holdings Co is the largest-ever Japanese target of a foreign buyer. 
    2. It’s the first test of new 2023 takeover rules by Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), designed to make foreign acquisitions more welcoming and Japanese companies more internationally competitive. 
    3. It would likely top Enbridge’s $28 billion acquisition of Spectra Energy Corp back in 2016, to become Canada’s largest-ever corporate takeover.
    4. It would combine Couche-Tarde’s convenience store empire of 16,700 stores in 31 countries, with 7-Eleven’s 85,800 stores in 19 countries.
    5. By combining ATD’s and 7-Eleven’s U.S. market share, Couche-Tard would control more than 12% of the U.S. convenience store market, with the closest competitor being Casey’s General Stores at only 1.7%.
    6. It’s a massive bite to take for ATD, currently valued at about $56 billion, since 7-Eleven is currently worth about $38 billion.
    7. The potential acquisition is so large that many analysts believe ATD would have to raise $18 billion in new equity to complete the deal. That would be the biggest stock offering in Canada by a wide margin. It would also be in addition to the $2 billion in cash on hand ATD has, and its ability to borrow about $20 billion. There’s speculation that Canadian pension plans would be a key source of capital in order to get a deal done.

    Neither company disclosed the precise terms of the deal, but Couche-Tard described the offer as “friendly, non-binding.” That’s a key differentiator from a “hostile takeover.” (A hostile takeover is when a company tries to purchase more than half of another company’s shares on the free market against the wishes of the targeted company’s management, thus taking over operational control.)

    This move is not totally out of the blue for ATD, as the company has taken big acquisitional swings before. The Quebec-based operator has a long history of successfully integrating new acquisitions. Its attempt three years ago to purchase French grocery chain Carrefour for $25 billion was scuttled at the last minute by the French Finance Minister citing food security issues. Similar protectionist governmental instincts could prevent this massive deal from getting done. 

    That said, Couche-Tard has been circling (Circle K-ing?) 7-Eleven for over two years now. Perhaps it believes it has what it takes to navigate the new Japanese corporate legal waters and get the deal done.

    While there will likely be some nervous customers of 7-Eleven (nobody wants to see change at their favourite corner store), Seven & I Holdings’ shareholders must be happy. Shares were up 22% upon announcement of the proposed acquisition.

    1900 vs. 2023 stock markets

    It’s always worth keeping the long run in mind when thinking about trends and market forces. When we consider just what an incredible run the U.S. stock market has achieved over the last few years, it’s important to remember that it’s unlikely to continue that outperformance forevermore.

    Kyle Prevost

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  • UBS loves this high-flying sector that’s up 10% in the quarter. Here’s how to play it

    UBS loves this high-flying sector that’s up 10% in the quarter. Here’s how to play it

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  • Making sense of the markets this week: August 25, 2024 – MoneySense

    Making sense of the markets this week: August 25, 2024 – MoneySense

    On Tuesday, Statistics Canada stated that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measured inflation of 2.5% for July. That’s down from 2.7% in June, and is the lowest inflation rate recorded since 2021.

    Deceleration in headline inflation led by shelter component , 12-month % change

    CPI basket items June 2024 July 2024
    All-items Consumer Price Index 2.7% 2.5%
    Food 2.8% 2.7%
    Shelter 6.2% 5.7%
    Household operations, furnishings and equipment -0.9% -0.1%
    Clothing and footwear -3.1% -2.7%
    Transportation 2% 2%
    Health and personal care 3.0% 2.9%
    Recreation, education and reading 0.6% -0.2%
    Alcoholic beverages, tobacco products and recreational cannabis 3.1% 2.7%
    Source: Statistics Canada

    In fact, if you take shelter out of the equation, we’re getting close to zero inflation. And that’s significant for two reasons:

    1. The shelter-inflation rate (primarily a measurement of rent and mortgage expenses) did come down substantially between June and July.
    2. As the Bank of Canada (BoC) cuts interest rates, the inflation component of the CPI will inevitably go down as Canadians will have access to mortgages with lower rates.

    Notably, passenger vehicle prices were down 1.4% in July. Clothing and footwear was also down by 2.7%. Food and gas were up by 2.7% and 1.9% respectively. British Columbia and New Brunswick had the highest inflation rate growth, while Manitoba and Saksatchewan had the lowest.

    It’s pretty clear there’s no longer an overall inflation crisis in Canada. It’s now simply a home affordability issue at this point. Economists were widely predicting that this continuing trend of a downward inflation rate would clear the way for continued interest-rate cuts in the coming months. Money markets are now predicting a 0.25% cut minimum on September 4, with a 4% probability that the cut will be 0.50%. Looking further down the road, those same markets are predicting there is a 76% chance we will see a 2% decrease by October of 2025. 

    I hope you locked in those guaranteed investment certificates (GICs) or bonds when you could still snag those high rates Check out MoneySense’s list of the best GIC rates in Canada, and my article on low-risk investments over at MillionDollarJourney.com.

    A bullseye for Target

    Target Corporation posted a big earnings beat on Wednesday and shareholders saw its shares increase in value by 11.20%. The Minneapolis-based discount retailer is the seventh-largest in the U.S.

    Retail earnings highlights

    All numbers are in U.S. dollars.

    • Target (TGT/NYSE): Earnings per share of $2.57 (versus $2.18 predicted). Revenue of $25.45 billion (versus $25.21 billion estimate).
    • Lowe’s Companies (LOW/NYSE): Earnings per share of $4.10 (versus $3.97 predicted), and revenues of $23.59 billion (versus $23.91 billion predicted).

    Same-store sales for Target grew 3% last quarter, after five straight quarters of declining sales. More purchases of discretionary items like clothing were responsible for the positive reversal to the declining sales trend.

    Target’s COO Michael Fiddelke had a very cautious tone, though. “While we’ve been pleased with our performance so far this year, our view of the consumer remains largely the same. The range of possibilities and the macroeconomic backdrop in consumer data and in our business remains unusually high.” And Target CEO Brian Cornell cited price reductions and a value-seeking consumer as reasons for increased foot traffic in the quarter.

    It was very much a mediocre earnings report for Lowes, though, as it beat earnings expectations decisively but cut its full-year forecast. Shares were down by about 1% on Tuesday after the earnings announcement. 

    Lowe’s CEO Marvin Ellison said consumers were waiting for cuts in interest rates before taking on large home improvement projects. Because 90% of Lowes’ customers are homeowners (as opposed to contractors), they are particularly sensitive to movements in interest rates, he shared. Same-store sales were down 5.1% year over year.

    Kyle Prevost

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  • Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) to Issue $0.40 Quarterly Dividend

    Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) to Issue $0.40 Quarterly Dividend

    Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCOGet Free Report) declared a quarterly dividend on Wednesday, August 14th, Zacks reports. Stockholders of record on Wednesday, October 2nd will be paid a dividend of 0.40 per share by the network equipment provider on Wednesday, October 23rd. This represents a $1.60 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 3.30%. The ex-dividend date is Wednesday, October 2nd.

    Cisco Systems has raised its dividend payment by an average of 2.7% per year over the last three years and has raised its dividend annually for the last 13 consecutive years. Cisco Systems has a payout ratio of 45.2% indicating that its dividend is sufficiently covered by earnings. Equities analysts expect Cisco Systems to earn $2.90 per share next year, which means the company should continue to be able to cover its $1.60 annual dividend with an expected future payout ratio of 55.2%.

    Cisco Systems Stock Up 6.8 %

    Shares of CSCO stock opened at $48.53 on Friday. The stock’s 50-day simple moving average is $46.67 and its 200-day simple moving average is $47.93. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, a quick ratio of 0.82 and a current ratio of 0.89. The firm has a market capitalization of $195.52 billion, a PE ratio of 16.34, a P/E/G ratio of 2.97 and a beta of 0.85. Cisco Systems has a fifty-two week low of $44.50 and a fifty-two week high of $58.19.

    Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCOGet Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, August 14th. The network equipment provider reported $0.87 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.85 by $0.02. The business had revenue of $13.64 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $13.53 billion. Cisco Systems had a return on equity of 30.82% and a net margin of 21.88%. The company’s revenue was down 10.3% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the prior year, the company earned $1.01 earnings per share. Equities analysts expect that Cisco Systems will post 3.14 earnings per share for the current year.

    Analyst Ratings Changes

    Several analysts recently commented on the company. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft raised their target price on Cisco Systems from $52.00 to $53.00 and gave the stock a “hold” rating in a report on Thursday. StockNews.com lowered Cisco Systems from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Thursday, May 23rd. Piper Sandler reiterated a “neutral” rating and set a $52.00 price target on shares of Cisco Systems in a research report on Thursday. JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased their price target on Cisco Systems from $53.00 to $55.00 and gave the stock a “hold” rating in a research report on Thursday, August 8th. Despite investors’ hopes for a rebound in Networking Equipment demand to boost Cisco’s fourth-quarter 2024 performance, the anticipation is tempered by limited indications of a significant recovery in demand. Finally, Oppenheimer increased their price target on Cisco Systems from $54.00 to $58.00 and gave the stock an “outperform” rating in a research report on Thursday, May 16th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, fourteen have issued a hold rating and eight have assigned a buy rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock currently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $56.70.

    View Our Latest Research Report on Cisco Systems

    Insiders Place Their Bets

    In other Cisco Systems news, SVP Maria Victoria Wong sold 762 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Thursday, June 13th. The stock was sold at an average price of $45.42, for a total transaction of $34,610.04. Following the completion of the sale, the senior vice president now owns 51,788 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $2,352,210.96. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through this hyperlink. In other news, SVP Maria Victoria Wong sold 762 shares of Cisco Systems stock in a transaction on Thursday, June 13th. The stock was sold at an average price of $45.42, for a total value of $34,610.04. Following the completion of the sale, the senior vice president now directly owns 51,788 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $2,352,210.96. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available at this link. Also, CEO Charles Robbins sold 26,331 shares of Cisco Systems stock in a transaction on Wednesday, May 29th. The shares were sold at an average price of $46.10, for a total value of $1,213,859.10. Following the completion of the sale, the chief executive officer now directly owns 725,363 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $33,439,234.30. The disclosure for this sale can be found here. Insiders sold a total of 33,090 shares of company stock valued at $1,522,231 over the last quarter. 0.02% of the stock is owned by insiders.

    About Cisco Systems

    (Get Free Report)

    Cisco Systems, Inc designs, manufactures, and sells Internet Protocol based networking and other products related to the communications and information technology industry in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China. The company also offers switching portfolio encompasses campus switching as well as data center switching; enterprise routing portfolio interconnects public and private wireline and mobile networks, delivering highly secure, and reliable connectivity to campus, data center and branch networks; wireless products include wireless access points and controllers; and compute portfolio including the cisco unified computing system, hyperflex, and software management capabilities, which combine computing, networking, and storage infrastructure management and virtualization.

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    ABMN Staff

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