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Tag: Cryptocurrency Markets

  • Could bitcoin and gold be haven buys as debt-ceiling fears mount? Here’s what recent trading patterns suggest.

    Could bitcoin and gold be haven buys as debt-ceiling fears mount? Here’s what recent trading patterns suggest.

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    Welcome back to Distributed Ledger. This is Frances Yue, reporter at MarketWatch.

    Fears are brewing in financial markets that the U.S. lawmakers won’t be able to reach an agreement to raise the country’s debt limit by X date, or the date that the U.S. government is unable to meet its debt obligations.  

    Analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co.
    JPM,
    +0.94%

    on Wednesday said they see the odds of debt ceiling negotiators failing to reach a deal by early June at “around 25% and rising.” 

    Concerns around a technical default of U.S. government debt have contributed to volatility across financial markets, sending Treasury bills maturing in the first eight days of June above 6%. Yields on such bills briefly topped 7% on Thursday. 

    As investors search for havens from such tumult, gold and bitcoin are often cited as potential refuges. 

    Still, gold futures have been retreating since the most-active contract reached its second-highest settlement on record on May 4. 

    Bitcoin, which rallied almost 60% so far this year, have also posted lackluster performance for the past few weeks, down 5.8% over the past month. 

    Are gold and bitcoin effective hedges against a technical default of U.S. government debt? Why are we not seeing a rally as the X date approaches? I caught up with several analysts to ask their views.

    Find me on Twitter at @FrancesYue_ to share any thoughts on crypto, gold, or this newsletter.  

    Is gold the haven?


    FactSet

    “Generally speaking, gold thrives when there are periods of uncertainty,” said Rhona O’Connell, analyst at StoneX Group. “But if you take that uncertainty too far, then we get to stages where people are sitting on their hands and not really doing very much and that’s what’s happened here.”

    Gold futures for June delivery 
    GC00,
    +0.09%

    GCM23,
    +0.09%

     on Thursday declined by $20.90, or 1.1%, to $1,943.70 per ounce on Comex, with prices for the most-active contract posting their lowest finish since March 21, according to FactSet data.

    As gold futures price retreat to below $2,000, “I suppose it’s arguable that the bulls might be a bit disappointed,” said O’Connell.  But there’s “bound to be a retreat” with gold’s price premium building over the past few weeks, according to O’Connell. 

    “The fact that gold hasn’t managed to climb any higher given the potential seriousness of the economic consequences should no agreement be reached before the June deadline reflects a prevailing view that ultimately the markets believe some middle ground can be found in time,” Rupert Rowling, analyst at Kinesis Money, wrote in a recent note.

    Still, gold’s price stays elevated at levels that were not seen many times in history.

    What about bitcoin?

    Considering the rally bitcoin had so far this year, it’s “not crazy to see a little bit of pullback, according to Steven Lubka, a managing director at Swan Bitcoin. 

    Bitcoin gained almost 60% so far this year while still down over 60% from its all-time high in 2021.

    Still, if the U.S. ends up defaulting on its debt, and “everyone freaks out, bitcoin could do very well in that scenario,” Lubka said, citing bitcoin’s limited supply, decentralized and non-sovereign properties.

    However, not everyone agrees. There is not enough evidence to support the claim that bitcoin could serve as a hedge against the debt ceiling tumult, according to Lapo Guadagnuolo, director at S&P Global Ratings. 

    “We can’t make that argument because we don’t see that in the data,” Guadagnuolo said. 

    A rising dollar

    The recent strength of the U.S. dollar have also weighed on bitcoin and gold.

    On Thursday, the ICE U.S. Dollar Index
    DXY,
    -0.02%
    ,
     which measures the currency’s strength against a basket of six major rivals, climbed above 104 to its highest level since March 17, according to Dow Jones market data.

    Although a technical default of U.S. government debt could hurt the dollar’s reputation in the long term, it might have little bearing on the immediate reaction, which would resemble a knee-jerk move higher, as my colleague Joseph Adinolfi elaborated here

    As gold is mostly denominated in U.S. dollar and bitcoin’s main trading pairs are dollar-denominated stablecoins, a strong dollar could weigh on both assets. 

    Still, the debt ceiling debacle in the long term could strengthen the narrative around bitcoin and gold, as “the governance of the worlds fiat system comes into question,” according to Greg Magadini, director of derivatives at Amberdata.

    Crypto in a snap

    Bitcoin lost 2.8% in the past week and was trading at around $26,360 on Thursday, according to CoinDesk data. Ether declined 0.9% in the same period to around $1,805

    Biggest Gainers

    Price

    %7-day return

    marumaruNFT

    $0.26

    201%

    Render

    $2.70

    19.5%

    Kava

    $1.10

    14.3%

    TRON

    $0.08

    10.6%

    Huobi

    $3.12

    8.4%

    Source: CoinGecko

    Biggest Decliners

    Price

    %7-day return

    GMX

    $52.68

    -14.6%

    Sui

    $0.99

    -13.3%

    Fantom

    $0.33

    -10.1%

    Stacks

    $0.59

    -9.7%

    Optimism

    $1.62

    -9.7%

    Source: CoinGecko

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  • What the really rich are doing with their money right now: Goldman Sachs

    What the really rich are doing with their money right now: Goldman Sachs

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    When it comes to investing, some people don’t think in terms of thousands of dollars, tens of thousands, or even millions.

    They think in hundreds of millions, or even billions. They have so much money they actually set up a private company, known as a “family office,” to manage all the loot.

    And now Goldman Sachs, one of the bankers to the…

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  • Coinbase asks federal court to force SEC to respond to its crypto-regulation petition

    Coinbase asks federal court to force SEC to respond to its crypto-regulation petition

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    Popular crypto exchange Coinbase
    COIN,
    -7.27%

    late Monday asked a federal court to force the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to respond yes or no to its petition from July 2022 to make formal rules around digital-asset regulation.

    Coinbase’s petition requested that the “Commission propose and adopt rules to govern the regulation of securities that are offered and traded via digitally native methods, including potential rules to identify which digital assets are securities.”

    In March, Coinbase was hit with a Wells notice from the SEC, identifying potential violations of securities laws that might spur it to take legal action. The notice came after nine months of back-and-forth between the SEC and Coinbase, CEO Brian Armstrong said in March.

    Coinbase was expected to respond to the notice by the end of April, but Monday’s filing reveals that Coinbase believes the SEC’s approach doesn’t provide enough regulatory guidance for crypto companies in the U.S. to operate.

    “The SEC at a minimum must set forth how those inapt and inapposite requirements are to be adapted to digital assets. But the SEC has refused to do even that,” the filing says. “It has not conducted any rulemaking to provide the regulatory clarity and process that companies need to determine which digital asset products and services to register and how to make the registration that the SEC now demands.”

    Coinbase shares slid more than 7% on Monday but are up 55% year to date. Still, the stock is down nearly 60% over the past 12 months. In comparison, the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.09%

    is up nearly 8% in 2023 and has declined almost 4% over the past year.

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  • Coinbase, Newmont, Tilray, Hexo, Virgin Orbit, and More Stock Market Movers

    Coinbase, Newmont, Tilray, Hexo, Virgin Orbit, and More Stock Market Movers

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  • Bitcoin tops $30,000 for first time in 10 months, as some tout crypto as ‘safe haven’

    Bitcoin tops $30,000 for first time in 10 months, as some tout crypto as ‘safe haven’

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    Bitcoin rallied Monday to its highest level in 10 months, as some industry proponents touted the asset as a potential “safe haven,” like gold, as recession fears return to the forefront, and after fears rose last month about potential instability in the banking system.   

    The world’s largest cryptocurrency topped $30,000 Monday night for the first since June 10, 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data, peaking at $30,321 before pulling back. Bitcoin
    BTCUSD,
    +3.20%

    has surged 81% year to date, though is still down over 57% from an all-time high in November 2021. Ethereum
    ETHUSD,
    +1.68%

    also rallied Monday, and was closing in on the $2,000 level for the first time since last August.

    “With the bank crisis, I think that the leading feature of bitcoin has changed from speculative tech to safety. A lot more like gold,” said David Tawil, president and co-founder at ProChain Capital. Some investors may have started to view the asset as a haven from the banking turmoil and a recession, instead of a speculative asset, Tawil said.

    Still, bitcoin has been often trading in tandem with other risky assets, such as stocks, for the past few years.

    “I also believe there will be an influx of liquidity from Asia, especially Asian tech companies who had accounts with Silicon Valley Bank who are now looking for places to put their money,” according to Stefan Rust, founder of Truflation.

    The rally on Monday may be partially driven by “the growing influence on the crypto market led by Hong Kong,” while U.S. regulators increase their oversight over the industry, according to Rachel Lin, co-founder and chief-executive at Synfutures.

    Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan said Sunday in a blog post that while crypto markets have been highly volatile, it’s the “right time” to push the adoption of Web3, or the so-called third generation of the internet, in the region. 

    Bitcoin had been attempting to break the $30,000 level, a psychological level, for three weeks, Rust noted.  

    Stocks were mixed Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.30%

    up 0.3% and the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.10%

    up 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -0.03%

    dipped 0.1%.

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  • Dow, S&P 500 clinch 4-day win streak, energy stocks jump on oil production cuts

    Dow, S&P 500 clinch 4-day win streak, energy stocks jump on oil production cuts

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    The Dow and S&P 500 both closed higher on Monday to kick off April with a 4th straight session of gains, after a group of major global oil nations on Sunday announced surprise production cuts. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.98%

    climbed about 326 points, or 1% on Monday, to end near 33,600, according to preliminary FactSet data. The S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    +0.37%

    gained 0.4%, while its energy component outperformed with a 4.9% climb. The Nasdaq Composite Index
    COMP,
    -0.27%

    shed 0.3%. Investors piled into energy stocks after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies said Sunday they would in May cut production by more than 1 million barrels a day in an effort to support oil-market stability, including with Saudi Arabia slashing its output by 500,000 barrels a day. May WTI oil future contract
    CLK23,
    +6.44%

    climbed more than 6% to trade above $80 a barrel, the biggest daily gain in more than a year. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund
    XLE,
    +4.53%

    rose 4.6%. The 2-year Treasury yield
    TMUBMUSD02Y,
    3.969%

    slumped below 4%, while the 10-year Treasury
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.417%

    rate fell to 3.43%, as traders anticipated that higher oil prices could potentially act as a wretch in the Federal Reserve’s plans to bring inflation down to its 2% annual target.

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  • Coinbase stock sinks 16% after crypto exchange discloses SEC warning

    Coinbase stock sinks 16% after crypto exchange discloses SEC warning

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    Shares of Coinbase Global Inc. dropped 15.8% in the extended session Wednesday after the crypto exchange disclosed a warning from regulators that it may have broken securities laws.

    Coinbase
    COIN,
    -8.16%

    said it received a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission, which could lead to formal charges.

    “We asked the SEC for reasonable crypto rules for Americans. We got legal threats instead,” Coinbase said in a blog post detailing the action. “Rest assured, Coinbase products and services continue to operate as usual — today’s news does not require any changes to our current products or services.”

    Based on discussions with the SEC, Coinbase said that the potential charges relate to the company’s spot market, its staking service Coinbase Earn, Coinbase Prime and Coinbase Wallet.

    The crypto exchange said it asked the regulators to detail which assets in its platforms the SEC believes may be securities, but the SEC declined to do so. Coinbase called it a “cursory investigation.”

    SEC representatives declined to comment Wednesday.

    The company said that the investigation is “still at a very early stage,” and that it has turned in documents and provided two witnesses for testimony, “one on the basic aspects of our staking services and one on the basic operation of our trading platform.”

    Coinbase has said that its staking services are not securities.

    Regulators have doubled down on efforts to increase oversight of the crypto industry, shutting down crypto exchange Kraken’s staking program in February and issuing a Wells notice to warn stablecoin issuer Paxos.

    Staking allows users to earn rewards by using their existing holdings of tokens to verify transactions.

    Shares of Coinbase ended the regular trading day down 8.2%.

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  • SEC charges Tron founder Justin Sun with fraud, Lindsay Lohan with illegally touting crypto securities

    SEC charges Tron founder Justin Sun with fraud, Lindsay Lohan with illegally touting crypto securities

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    The nation’s top security regulator announced charges against Justin Sun, founder of the crypto platform Tron, alleging that he sold unregistered crypto securities and fraudulently manipulated the secondary market for Tronix
    TRXUSD,
    +4.54%
    ,
    the platform’s native token.

    The Securities and Exchange Commission unveiled the charges against Sun and eight celebrities whom it alleges illegally touted Tronix and another token BitTorrent, including actress Lindsay Lohan, social media personality Jake Paul, porn star Kendra Lust, and musicians Lil Yachty, Austin Mahone, Soulja Boy, Ne-Yo and Akon.

    With the exception of Soulja Boy and Mahone, the six other celebrities settled with the SEC, agreeing to pay a total of $400,000 in disgorgement, interest and penalties, without admitting or denying the regulator’s findings.

    The SEC’s complaint alleges Sun orchestrated a plan to sell Tronix tokens and another crypto security BitTorrent
    BTTUSD,

    without registering with the SEC and directing his company’s employees to conduct wash trades in these securities to “create the artificial appearance of legitimate investor interest and keep TRX’s price afloat.”

    “This case demonstrates again the high risk investors face when crypto asset securities are offered and sold without proper disclosure,” said SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, in a statement, adding that Sun “generated millions in illegal proceeds at the expense of investors.”

    Sun, a Chinese national who received a graduate degree from the University of Pennsylvania and, according to the SEC, is believed to be living in Singapore or Hong Kong. He currently serves as the Permanent Representative of Grenada to the World Trade Organization.

    The SEC alleges that he misrepresented the truth about about the celebrity touting campaign, saying that celebrities that promote TRON were required to disclose that fact, their social media posts did not in fact disclose these payments.

    Sun began promoting the Tron ecosystem in 2017, with the publication of a white paper that advertised the purported advantages of Tron relative to the bitcoin
    BTCUSD,
    +1.26%

    and ethereum
    ETHUSD,
    +1.15%

    blockchains.

    In 2018, Sun acquired BitTorrent Inc., a peer-to-peer file sharing protocol and incorporated it into the Tron blockchain ecosystem, with the goal of building a decentralized content distribution platform.

    Sun made headlines in 2019 when he bid $4.5 million at a charity auction to have lunch with billionaire cryptocurrency skeptic Warren Buffett, which he then postponed. The dinner ultimately took place in January of 2020, with the proceeds going to benefit the San-Francisco based Glide Foundation.

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  • Crypto-friendly Signature Bank shut down by regulators after collapses of SVB, Silvergate

    Crypto-friendly Signature Bank shut down by regulators after collapses of SVB, Silvergate

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    State authorities closed New York-based Signature Bank
    SBNY,
    -22.87%

    on Sunday, after Silicon Valley Bank was shut down by regulators on Friday in the biggest bank failure since the 2008 financial crisis.

    All depositors of Signature Bank will be made whole, according to a joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve and FDIC.

    Also see: Silicon Valley Bank depositors will get ‘all of their money,’ regulators say

    Signature Bank has been popular among crypto companies, especially after crypto-friendly Silvergate Bank
    SI,
    -11.27%

    said last Wednesday it would close its operations.

    Signature Bank provides deposit services for its clients’ digital assets, but does not invest in, does not trade, does not hold on its own balance sheet nor provide custody of digital assets, and does not lend against or make loans collateralized by such assets, the company said.

    The Federal Reserve on Sunday also announced a new emergency loan program to bolster the capacity of the banking system.

    U.S. equity markets traded higher Sunday afternoon, with the Dow futures
    YM00,
    +1.00%

    up 0.5%, and the S&P 500
    ES00,
    +1.40%

    futures up 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq 100
    NQ00,
    +1.37%

    rose 0.9%, according to FactSet data.

    Major cryptocurrencies rallied Sunday. Bitcoin
    BTCUSD,
    +3.54%

    surged 6.4% in the past 24 hours to around $21,842 and ether
    ETHUSD,
    +2.36%

    gained 7% to $1,576, according to CoinDesk data.

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  • Silvergate Capital stock tanks as company plans to wind down its crypto-friendly bank

    Silvergate Capital stock tanks as company plans to wind down its crypto-friendly bank

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    Silvergate Capital Corp.
    SI,
    -5.76%

    shares plunged more than 30% in after-hours trading Wednesday after the company said it intended to wind down operations and voluntarily liquidate its subsidiary Silvergate Bank, a crypto-friendly lender.

    The stock’s plunge would take it to a record low if losses hold through regular trading Thursday.

    The La Jolla, Calif.-based lender made the announcement after it said last week in a regulatory filing that it was at risk of “being less than well-capitalized,” and discontinued its crypto-payments network.

    As one of the few crypto-friendly banks, the liquidation of Silvergate Bank points to uncertainty in the future relationships between crypto companies and banks, who play an essential role in the conversion of fiat currencies into crypto.

    Read: Crypto traders may lean toward stablecoins after Silvergate ceases crypto payments network 

    Silvergate Bank’s liquidation plan includes full repayment of all deposits, according to a statement Wednesday.

    The company is considering the best way to resolve claims and preserve the residual value of its assets, Silvergate Capital said. All of the company’s other deposit-related services remain operational, it said.

    Silvergate also said it hired Centerview Partners as financial adviser and Cravath, Swaine & Moore LLP as legal adviser.

    Several crypto companies, such as Coinbase Global Inc.
    COIN,
    +1.81%
    ,
     Galaxy Digital, Paxos and Circle, said last week that they would cease some or all payment transactions with Silvergate Bank.

    Representatives at Silvergate didn’t immediately respond to a request seeking comment.

    Signature Bank
    SBNY,
    -1.47%
    ,
    another crypto-friendly lender, saw its shares slide 3.7% in after-hours trading Wednesday.

    Major cryptocurrencies were steady Wednesday. Bitcoin
    BTCUSD,
    -1.30%

    lost 0.3% to around $21,981, while ether
    ETHUSD,
    -1.12%

    gained 0.2% to about $1,550, according to CoindDesk data.

    Read: Here’s the real challenge facing Silvergate and other ‘crypto banks,’ says this short seller 

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  • Genesis, Winklevoss twins’ Gemini crypto venture charged by SEC with selling unregistered securities

    Genesis, Winklevoss twins’ Gemini crypto venture charged by SEC with selling unregistered securities

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    U.S. securities regulators on Thursday charged Genesis Global Capital and crypto exchange Gemini Trust Co. with offering and selling of unregistered securities to retail investors, bypassing disclosures and other requirements aimed at protecting market participants.

    Genesis and Gemini raised billions of dollars’ worth of crypto assets from hundreds of thousands of investors through unregistered offers, using a crypto asset-lending program called Gemini Earn, the Securities and Exchange Commission said.

    The complaint seeks the return of any “ill-gotten gains” plus interest, and any civil penalties, the SEC said.

    The SEC is also investigating whether other securities-law violations were committed and whether there are other companies or people relating to the alleged misconduct.

    Twins Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss are the founders of Gemini. The crypto exchange was sued late last year by investors alleging that the company sold interest-bearing accounts without registering them as securities, also through the Gemini Earn program.

    Also read: Gemini’s Cameron Winklevoss accuses crypto exec Barry Silbert of ‘bad faith’ stalling over frozen funds

    The Winklevoss twins were early champions of cryptocurrencies, using the money and fame they won in legal wrangling with Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    +2.87%

    and Meta’s founder Mark Zuckerberg over their role in creating the social-media giant to launch Gemini.

    According to the SEC complaint, the Gemini Earn agreement between Genesis, part of a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, and Gemini started in December 2020.

    Gemini customers, including U.S. retail investors, were to have an opportunity to loan their crypto assets to Genesis in exchange for Genesis’ promise to pay a high interest rate.

    Gemini deducted agent fees that were as high as 4.29%, the SEC alleges.

    “Genesis then exercised its discretion in how to use investors’ crypto assets to generate revenue and pay interest to Gemini Earn investors,” the SEC said.

    By November, however, Genesis announced it would not allow the Gemini Earn investors to withdraw their crypto assets because of a liquidity crunch following volatility in the crypto market after FTX’s bankruptcy filing, the SEC said.

    At the time, Genesis held about $900 million in investor assets from 340,000 Gemini Earn investors, the SEC said. Gemini ended the Gemini Earn program earlier this month.

    “As of today, the Gemini Earn retail investors have still not been able to withdraw their crypto assets,” the SEC said in a statement.

    “We allege that Genesis and Gemini offered unregistered securities to the public, bypassing disclosure requirements designed to protect investors,” SEC Chair Gary Gensler said in a statement.

    The charges “build on previous actions to make clear to the marketplace and the investing public that crypto-lending platforms and other intermediaries need to comply with our time-tested securities laws,” Gensler said.

    The SEC’s complaint was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York.

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  • 5 things not to buy in 2023

    5 things not to buy in 2023

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    It’s been a year of contradictions.

    The recession drum beats on, interest rates are rising, and the stock market has taken a tumble, and yet retail sales have risen 6.5% in the last 12 months, trailing a 7.1% increase in the cost of living.

    There are other reasons people should consider cutting back on spending in 2023. The personal saving rate — meaning personal saving as a percentage of disposable income, or the share of income left after paying taxes and spending money — hit 2.4% in the third quarter from 3.4% in the prior quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said.

    There are signs that people are pulling back on certain expenditures.

    That is the lowest level since the Great Recession and the eighth-lowest quarterly rate on record (since 1947). Adjusted for inflation, savings are down 88% from their 2020 peak and 61% lower than before the pandemic, according to government data. The personal saving rate hit 2.4% in November vs. 2.2% in October. 

    Are people buying stocks during a bearish market, and/or have they run out of their pandemic-era savings? Whatever the reasons, more judicious investing and spending decisions seem to be the most prudent approach — especially given the uncertain economic outlook for 2023.

    There are signs that people are already pulling back on certain expenditures. Although retail sales are up on the year, they did decline 0.6% month-on-month in November to mark their biggest decline in almost a year, largely because of weak car sales.

    About those new cars: New-vehicle total sales for 2022 are projected to reach 13,687,000 units, down 8.4% on the year, according to a joint forecast from J.D. Power and LMC Automotive. MarketWatch reporter Philip van Doorn explains all the reasons why you may wish to skip buying a new car in 2023, in addition to their rising prices.

    So what else should you save your money on in 2023? MarketWatch writers give their verdict below.

    SPACs

    During the pandemic, people loved to buy special purpose acquisitions companies, known as SPACs. In 2021, 613 SPACs listed on U.S. stock exchanges through initial public offerings, according to SPAC Insider. The year before, there were 248 SPAC IPOs. There had never been more than 100 of these before in a single year. There were SPACs associated with Donald Trump and Serena Williams. There were so many, that one was called Just Another Acquisition Corp. 

    SPACs exist as a means to take private companies public, and theoretically give these shell companies a faster and less regulatory burdensome means to access public capital. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission warned investors last April that so-called advantages of the SPAC process, such as reduced legal liability, may not prove to be so solid if tested in court.

    The SPACs raised money even though they had no commercial operations or business, and tried to use the cash to buy something that did exist. But investors who bought SPACs that merged with private companies since 2015 have suffered losses of 37%, on average, a year after the merger, according to a recent study.  The SPAC and New Issue ETF 
    SPCX,
    +0.37%

    has slipped 12% this year. The frenzy for SPACs has predictably gone bust. But if you see one, just stay away from it.

    — Nathan Vardi

    Crypto 

    There are two main reasons not to invest in cryptocurrency in 2023, and neither has to do with the precipitous drop in value for most of the major coins in the last year, including but not limited to bitcoin
    BTCUSD,
    -1.11%
    ,
    ethereum
    ETHE,
    -2.71%

    and tether
    USDTUSD,
    -0.02%
    .
    Investors have long been conditioned to buy the dip and find value where others fear to tread, and then make money on the upswing. 

    Crypto is different because there’s no correlation to long-held market theories, and buying it amounts more to speculation than to investing. That might seem semantic, but if you look at financial planning holistically, then you treat investing as an exercise in risk tolerance — and crypto is all risk. 

    Which leads to the other main reason to avoid crypto in the next year: If you do buy it, there’s really no safe way to store it. There’s no federal insurance covering exchange failures and little cyber-theft protection for individuals. That leaves you on your own, which is not a good place to be with your money.

    — Beth Pinsker

    Meta Quest headsets

    On the consumer front, if you’re really into virtual reality, there is nothing wrong with jumping on the new Meta Quest two and Meta Quest Pro headsets that were introduced in 2022 by Meta Platforms Inc. 
    META,
    -0.78%
    .

    The problem is that you might feel like you bought a BlackBerry
    BB,
    -3.42%

    phone in early 2007. Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    -1.40%

    is expected to finally show off what engineers at the Silicon Valley giant have been cooking up in a years-long project to jump into augmented and virtual reality, and consumers are expected to at least get a glimpse at Apple’s attempt this year, if not a chance to buy whatever the company produces. 

    The headsets don’t come cheap: Meta said earlier this year it was raising the price of Meta Quest 2 headsets by $100 to $399.99 (128GB) and $499.99 (256GB). The iPhone’s introduction 15 years ago changed the way people look at smartphones, and Apple’s expected jump into this field in 2023 could leave anyone who spent their money on a Meta Quest headset wishing for a new reality.

    — Jeremy Owens

    Meme stocks 

    Struggling companies with business models that appear to some to be dying and/or struggling do not generally perform well in the stock market. But during the pandemic these companies often had stocks that soared. What drove them was social media sentiment, driven on platforms like Reddit, by a swarm of retail investors. 

    There was video game retailer GameStop
    GME,
    -7.42%
    ,
    movie theater chain AMC
    AMC,
    -8.43%
    ,
    and smartphone dinosaur Blackberry. AMC recently announced the sale of another $110 million in stock, adding to a total that has already exceeded $2 billion since the theater chain got swept up into meme-stock madness. CEO Adam Aron wrote on Twitter that the move put the company “in a much stronger cash position.”

    GameStop recently reported its seventh consecutive quarterly loss and reiterated its goal of returning to profitability in the near term, but analysts have signaled that many challenges lie ahead. During the company’s recent third-quarter conference call, Chief Executive Officer Matt Furlong said that GameStop would be open to exploring acquisitions of a strategic asset or complimentary business if they were available “in the right price range.”

    Buying meme companies like this worked for some in a booming stock market fueled by ultra-low interest rates. But we are now in a bear market with interest rates that are elevated. Corporate fundamentals are back in vogue. So are quaint investment ideas like cashflow. More likely than not, the days of buying meme stocks are over.

    — Nathan Vardi

    Tesla cars

    In recent years, Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -8.25%

    has stood alone as the best option for electric vehicles, while other manufacturers struggled to get production running. But in 2023, there should be many more types of electric cars available, at prices that are expected to trend downward as the year goes along. Teslas range in price from $46,990 for the Tesla Model 3 to $138,880 for the Tesla Model X Plaid. 

    With major manufacturers such as General Motors Co.
    GM,
    -0.73%
    ,
    Ford Motor Co.
    FORD,
    -2.68%
    ,
    Toyota Corp. and Volkswagen
    VOW,
    -0.77%

    VLKAF,
    -1.15%

    jumping into the fray, and young Tesla wannabes like Rivian Automotive Inc.
    RIVN,
    -7.11%
    ,
    Lucid Group Inc.
    LCID,
    -7.24%

    and FIsker Inc.
    FSR,
    -6.19%

     expected to start producing cars, consumers will have many more options for EVs. 

    Meanwhile, Tesla has done little to update the Model 3 since it was introduced in 2017, and has increased prices at a level that Chief Executive Elon Musk has admitted is “embarrassing” for a company that claimed to have a goal of mass-market pricing for EVs. 

    The average price of a new EV is $64,249, while a new gas car is $48,281, according to​​ Liz Najman, a climate scientist and communications and research manager at Recurrent Auto, an EV research and analytics firm focused on the used-vehicle market. After years of not having much choice beyond Tesla for EVs, 2023 appears to be the year that changes.

    — Jeremy Owens

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  • Caroline Ellison, associate of Sam Bankman-Fried, says she’s ‘truly sorry’ for stealing billions of FTX customer money

    Caroline Ellison, associate of Sam Bankman-Fried, says she’s ‘truly sorry’ for stealing billions of FTX customer money

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    Caroline Ellison has apologized for stealing billions in customer deposits at crypto exchange platform FTX to make bets at Alameda Research, the hedge fund she ran.

    ‘I am truly sorry for what I did.’


    — Caroline Ellison, former head of Alameda Research

    Ellison made her comments in front of a judge in New York federal court, as she pleaded guilty to helping Sam Bankman-Fried make away with billions in customer funds while misleading investors and lenders and playing down the risk of their crypto trading platform.

    ‘I knew that it was wrong.’


    — Ellison

    Along with Ellison, Zixiao “Gary” Wang, a former FTX chief technology office and co-founder, 29, pleaded guilty Monday this week during separate hearings.

    Federal authorities and regulators are making the case that Wang wrote software code, at Bankman-Fried’s behest, to create backdoors into FTX’s systems that allowed Ellison’s Alameda access to customer money and prop up FTX’s own token, FTT.

    The pair each potentially face decades in prison sentences if convicted after pleading guilty to charges that included wire fraud, securities and commodities fraud in exchange for leniency.

    Both have agreed to cooperate with authorities to lay the groundwork for Bankman-Fried’s own case as the alleged brains behind of one of the biggest crypto frauds in recent memory.

    On Thursday, Bankman-Fried was released from custody on a $250 million bond, following his first appearance in a U.S., court on fraud charges.

    FTX filed for bankruptcy on Nov. 11 when Bankman-Fried was ousted from the company he co-founded in 2019.

    The collapse of FTX was, perhaps, hastened by its competitor, Binance, who announced it was unloading $500 million in FTT tokens in November due to “recent revelations that have come to light” about the company’s books. That triggered mass redemptions by depositors, which FTX couldn’t meet.

    Ellison is a Stanford University graduate who grew up in the suburbs of Boston, the daughter of two MIT economists, according to the Wall Street Journal. After graduation, she worked at quantitative trading firm Jane Street, where she met fellow trader Bankman-Fried. She was rumored to be in a relationship with Bankman-Fried, who is an MIT grad, according to reports.

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  • FTX co-founder Gary Wang, ex-Alameda CEO Caroline Ellison plead guilty to federal charges

    FTX co-founder Gary Wang, ex-Alameda CEO Caroline Ellison plead guilty to federal charges

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    On the same day that that the Bahamas extradited FTX co-founder and former CEO Sam Bankman-Fried to the U.S. to face criminal charges, two former executives at FTX and Alameda Research pleaded guilty Wednesday to federal fraud charges.

    Caroline Ellison, 28, the former chief executive of Alameda Research — the crypto trading company founded by Bankman-Fried — and Zixiao (Gary) Wang, 29, co-founder of crypto platform FTX and its former chief technology officer, were charged for their roles in contributing to the crypto platform’s collapse.

    The pair each faced decades-long prison sentences if convicted, and pleaded guilty to charges that included wire fraud, securities fraud and commodities fraud in exchange for leniency. In a video Wednesday night, U.S. Attorney Damian Williams of the Southern District of New York said both were cooperating in the continuing investigation into FTX and Bankman-Fried.

    Williams added that Bankman-Fried, 30, was in FBI custody and will appear in court in “as soon as possible,” and suggested more charges in the FTX case could be forthcoming.

    “If you participated in misconduct at FTX or Alameda, now is the time to get ahead of it,” Williams said. “We are moving quickly and our patience is not eternal. … and we are far from done.”

    In a parallel action, the Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday also charged Ellison and Wang “for their roles in a multiyear scheme to defraud equity investors in FTX.”

    According to the SEC complaint, Ellison helped manipulate the price of FTX-issued crypto token FTT, which served as collateral for undisclosed loans from FTX customers’ assets to Alameda. In addition, the SEC alleges Bankman-Fried misled customers by falsely claiming FTX was a safe trading platform with strict risk-mitigation measures.

    The SEC claims Wang created software code to allow Alameda to divert FTX customers’ funds, and that Ellison used those funds for Alameda’s trading activity.

    “As part of their deception, we allege that Caroline Ellison and Sam Bankman-Fried schemed to manipulate the price of FTT, an exchange crypto security token that was integral to FTX, to prop up the value of their house of cards,” SEC Chair Gary Gensler said in a statement. “We further allege that Ms. Ellison and Mr. Wang played an active role in a scheme to misuse FTX customer assets to prop up Alameda and to post collateral for margin trading. When FTT and the rest of the house of cards collapsed, Mr. Bankman-Fried, Ms. Ellison, and Mr. Wang left investors holding the bag. Until crypto platforms comply with time-tested securities laws, risks to investors will persist. It remains a priority of the SEC to use all of our available tools to bring the industry into compliance.”

    Bankman-Fried was arrested in the Bahamas last week after he was indicted by U.S. federal prosecutors, who allege he played a key role in the collapse of FTX, diverting billions of dollars of customer assets and defrauding investors, customers and lenders.

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  • FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried extradited to U.S. to face criminal charges

    FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried extradited to U.S. to face criminal charges

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    NASSAU, Bahamas — Bahamian authorities said Wednesday that former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried has been extradited to the United States, where he faces criminal charges related to the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange.

    Bahamas’s attorney general’s office said that Bankman-Fried would be leaving for the United States later Wednesday, noting he had waived his right to challenge the extradition.

    Reporters on the scene witnessed Bankman-Fried leaving a Magistrate Court in Nassau in a dark SUV earlier Wednesday. The vehicle was later seen arriving at a private airfield by Nassau’s airport, from which he is expected to be flown to the United States. He is due to land in New York and will likely appear in front of a U.S. judge on Thursday.

    “The Bahamas has determined that the provisional arrest, and subsequent written consent by (Bankman-Fried) to be extradited without formal extradition proceedings satisfies the requirements of the (extradition treaty between the U.S. and the Bahamas) and our nation’s Extradition Act,” said Bahamian Attorney General Ryan Pinder, in a statement.

    Bahamian authorities arrested Bankman-Fried last week at the request of the U.S. government. U.S. prosecutors allege he played a central role in the rapid collapse of FTX and hid its problems from the public and investors. The Securities and Exchange Commission said Bankman-Fried illegally used investors’ money to buy real estate on behalf of himself and his family.

    The 30-year-old could potentially spend the rest of his life in jail.

    Bankman-Fried was denied bail Friday after a Bahamian judge ruled that he posed a flight risk. The founder and former CEO of FTX, once worth tens of billions of dollars on paper, had been held in the Bahamas’ Fox Hill prison, which has been has been cited by human rights activists as having poor sanitation and as being infested with rats and insects.

    Once he’s back in the U.S., Bankman-Fried’s attorney will be able to request that he be released on bail.

    Bankman-Fried was one of the world’s wealthiest people on paper, with an estimated net worth of $32 billion. He was a prominent personality in Washington, donating millions of dollars toward mostly left-leaning political causes and Democratic political campaigns. FTX grew to become the second-largest cryptocurrency exchange in the world.

    He has said that he did not “knowingly” misuse customers’ funds, and said he believes his millions of angry customers will eventually be made whole.

    At a congressional hearing last week, the new FTX CEO John Ray III, who is tasked with taking the company through bankruptcy, bluntly disputed those assertions: “We will never get all these assets back,” Ray said.

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  • FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried is arrested in Bahamas, charges pending in U.S.

    FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried is arrested in Bahamas, charges pending in U.S.

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    Sam Bankman-Fried, founder of the cryptocurrency exchange FTX, which faced a colossal collapse this year, was arrested in the Bahamas on Monday, and is facing criminal charges in the United States, according to a Bahamian official.

    The Attorney General of the Bahamas, through spokesman Latrae Rahming, posted a statement on Twitter detailing the arrest. Bankman-Fried, commonly known as SBF, lives in the Bahamas, where the cryptocurrency exchange was also based.

    “SBF’s arrest followed receipt of formal notification from the United States that it has filed criminal charges against SBF and is likely to request his extradition,” the statement reads.

    The U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York later tweeted that his office had filed a sealed indictment, which led to the arrest.

    “We expect to move to unseal the indictment in the morning and will have more to say at that time,” Damian Williams said in a tweet from the office’s official Twitter account.

    The Securities and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department are investigating the company, and the New York Times reported last week that Manhattan-based federal prosecutors are investigating whether Bankman-Fried steered prices of cryptocurrencies TerraUSD and Luna to benefit FTX and his Alameda hedge fund. The former chief executive of FTX was expected to testify remotely in front of a House Financial Services Committee panel on Tuesday.

    FTX, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges in the world, filed for bankruptcy protection in November, and Bankman-Fried resigned as CEO. The new CEO of FTX, John J. Ray III, is expected to testify in front of members of Congress on Tuesday, and in prepared remarks released Monday, he said that Bankman-Fried’s management of FTX was an “utter failure” that lacked any level of financial control.

    MarketWatch staff writer Robert Schroeder contributed to this article.

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  • Feds said to investigate FTX’s SBF over possible crypto price manipulation, while senators want his testimony

    Feds said to investigate FTX’s SBF over possible crypto price manipulation, while senators want his testimony

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    FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried is being investigated by federal prosecutors over whether he manipulated prices of two cryptocurrencies to benefit his companies, according to a new report, and has also been ordered to testify before a Senate committee about the collapse of his crypto platform.

    The New York Times reported Wednesday night that Manhattan-based federal prosecutors are investigating whether Bankman-Fried steered prices of TerraUSD and Luna to benefit FTX and his Alameda hedge fund. Terra and Luna saw more than $50 billion in market value wiped out when they collapsed in May. That contributed to a wider crypto crash, and eventually the implosion of FTX.

    The Times reported the probe is in its early stages, and is part of a wider investigation into FTX’s collapse and the potential misappropriation of billions of dollars of customers’ funds, which are now missing. Additionally, the Times confirmed a November Bloomberg report that FTX was also being investigated for potentially violating U.S. money-laundering laws months before FTX’s collapse.

    FTX, once one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges, collapsed and filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in November after running into liquidity issues. Bankman-Fried resigned as CEO, and saw his personal fortune of about $23 billion all but evaporate. About $8 billion remains missing from FTX’s balance sheet; Bankman-Fried said in a Bloomberg interview the funds were “misaccounted,”

    Also see: As FTX collapse spurs calls for tighter rules, ‘we’re already suited up’ on crypto, SEC chief Gensler says

    Separately, the Senate Banking Committee late Wednesday ordered Bankman-Fried to testify about the collapse of FTX on Dec. 14, and said it is prepared to issue a subpoena if he does not voluntarily agree to comply by the end of the day Thursday.

    “FTX’s collapse has caused real financial harm to consumers, and effects have spilled over into other parts of the crypto industry. The American people need answers about Sam Bankman-Fried’s misconduct at FTX,” Sens. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, and Pat Toomey, R-Pa., said in a statement. 

    “You must answer for the failure of both entities that was caused, at least in part, by the clear misuse of client funds and wiped out billions of dollars owed to over a million creditors,” the senators said in a letter to Bankman-Fried.

    On Tuesday, Binance Chief Executive Changpeng Zhao called Bankman-Fried a “master manipulator” and “one of the greatest fraudsters in history.”

    Read more: Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says it’s ‘baffling’ that Sam Bankman-Fried isn’t in custody

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  • Interactive: Here are the politicians who received money from FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried

    Interactive: Here are the politicians who received money from FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried

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    Sam Bankman-Fried opened up his wallet to Washington in a big way during the 2022 election cycle, donating about $40 million publicly.

    So which politicians got money from the founder and former CEO of collapsed cryptocurrency exchange FTX?

    MarketWatch has compiled an interactive list below of the candidates and committees who received funds from Bankman-Fried based on the latest disclosures to the Federal Election Commission.

    Overall, he gave almost all of the $40 million to Democratic politicians or groups, and just over $200,000 to Republicans, according to the disclosures.

    In a wide-ranging interview at the New York Times Dealbook Summit last week, Bankman-Fried said donations were made to candidates who voiced support for pandemic prevention. 

    At least two Democratic senators received over $20,000 each from Bankman-Fried through joint political action committees tied to their candidacies. Those are Michigan’s Debbie Stabenow and New Hampshire’s Maggie Hassan. New York Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand got at least $10,000. Gillibrand is the co-sponsor of a crypto bill that would have the Commodity Futures Trading Commission oversee bitcoin, ether and most other digital assets and give a secondary regulatory role to the Securities and Exchange Commission.

    In the wake of FTX’s collapse, politicians have been saying they will donate or have donated the money that they received from SBF to charities or other groups, or they’re giving it back.

    Gillibrand spokesman Evan Lukaske said the senator donated her funds to Ariva Inc., a Bronx-based nonprofit that offers free financial counseling. Stabenow, whose own bill empowering the CFTC to regulate crypto was backed by Bankman-Fried, plans to donate the contributions to a local charity. A representative for Sen. Hassan did not respond to requests for comment.

    Related: ‘Bedazzled by money’: Democratic ties to Sam Bankman-Fried under scrutiny after FTX collapse

    While 50 Democratic House and Senate candidates received donations, only eight Republican Senate candidates received money from the former CEO.

    SBF — known for being a Democratic megadonor — has claimed he made contributions that don’t show up in FEC disclosures. He told video blogger Tiffany Fong that he donated as much to Republicans as he did to Democrats, but the GOP donations were “dark-money” contributions, making his claim difficult to verify. Such secret contributions, allowed by the Supreme Court’s 2010 Citizens United ruling, wouldn’t show up in the FEC disclosures used to compile MarketWatch’s list.

    Another FTX exec, Ryan Salame, became known as a Republican megadonor earlier this year, with a MarketWatch analysis in October finding that he publicly gave about $17 million to GOP groups.

    Use our interactive below to search through donations as reported to the FEC.

    Donations also filtered into committees associated with Bankman-Fried himself — Guarding Against Pandemics and GMI PAC.

    MarketWatch’s Victor Reklaitis contributed to this story.

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  • Bill Ackman says he sees why FTX victims want Sam Bankman-Fried to ‘suffer’ severe consequences ‘including jail time’

    Bill Ackman says he sees why FTX victims want Sam Bankman-Fried to ‘suffer’ severe consequences ‘including jail time’

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    Hedge-fund titan Bill Ackman appears to be walking back comments he made via Twitter last week about Sam Bankman-Fried that some interpreted as implicit support for the 30-something who presided over one of the most epic bankruptcies in financial markets in recent memory.

    Last week, Ackman tweeted that Bankman-Fried’s statements made during a widely watched interview, streamed to New York from the crypto founder’s location in the Bahamas, was “believable.”

    “Many have interpreted my tweet to mean that I am defending SBF or somehow supporting him. Nothing could be further from the truth,” Ackman wrote Saturday, referring to Bankman-Fried by his initials SBF.

    Ackman went on to describe the implosion of Bankman-Fried’s crypto exchange FTX, and some of its associated businesses, as “at a minimum, the most egregious, large-scale case of business gross negligence that I have observed in my career.”

    Check out: The Sam Bankman-Fried roadshow rolls on: 10 crazy things the FTX founder has just said

    Ackman, who is the chief executive of Pershing Square Capital, a prominent investor in traditional markets, and an advocate of crypto, last week, tweeted this message following the widely watched interview of Bankman-Fried at the New York Times Dealbook Summit:

    “Call me crazy, but I think SBF is telling the truth.”

    Ackman has been chastised by some for seemingly offering verbal succor to a person who some have accused of, at the least, an epic mismanagement of client assets.

    Speaking against the wishes of his lawyers, Bankman-Fried on Wednesday, during the Dealbook interview, admitted to making mistakes but said that he never intended to mingle client funds with those of the firm to make leveraged bets on crypto via hedge fund Alameda Research, which he founded before he started FTX.

    “I didn’t know exactly what was going on,” Bankman said at the time.

    At least one response to Ackman’s Saturday tweet, questioned whether the hedge funder might be responding to blowback from his own clients.

    It isn’t the first time that Ackman has cast Bankman-Fried’s actions in a positive light. As the implosion of FTX was unfolding, Ackman said, in a now-deleted tweet, that he’d never before seen a CEO take responsibility as the crypto exchange operator did and that he wanted to give him “credit” for his actions. “It reflects well on him and the possibility of a more favorable outcome” for FTX, he wrote.

    On Saturday, one Twitter user asked Ackman if had any ties to Bankman-Fried, which the investor bluntly said he doesn’t.

    Bankman-Fried had been viewed as a financial darling inside and outside the crypto industry until his empire collapsed on Nov. 11 and it was revealed that affiliated hedge fund Alameda lost billions in FTX client money in leveraged crypto bets.

    John Ray, the new chief executive of FTX, in a filing to the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware, described the state of the crypto platform “as a complete failure of corporate controls and such a complete absence of trustworthy financial information.” 

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  • Crypto lender BlockFi is suing Sam Bankman-Fried over his shares in Robinhood: report

    Crypto lender BlockFi is suing Sam Bankman-Fried over his shares in Robinhood: report

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    Just hours after filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in New Jersey on Monday, cryptocurrency lender BlockFi filed a lawsuit against a holding company by FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried over his shares in trading platform Robinhood, the Financial Times reported.

    The suit was filed against Bankman-Fried’s vehicle Emergent Fidelity Technologies, of whom BlockFi is seeking to recover unpaid collateral.

    The filing – also lodged in New Jersey – says BlockFi entered into a pledge agreement with Emergent on Nov. 9 stating that an unnamed borrower was obliged to pledge “certain shares of common stock” and has breached the agreement by failing to comply with its payment obligations.

    The Financial Times reports the collateral in question is Bankman-Fried’s 7.6% stake in Robinhood which he bought earlier this year.

    “Emergent has defaulted on its obligations under the pledge agreement and failed to satisfy its obligations thereunder despite written notice of default and acceleration,” the lawsuit filing says.

    The lawsuit also named London-based brokerage ED&F Man Capital Markets for refusing to “transfer the collateral” to BlockFi.

    “This is a highly complex matter,” a spokesperson for ED&F Man Capital Markets told MarketWatch in an emailed statement.

    “We cannot comment on matters that are subject to legal proceedings but will of course comply with any direction given by the judge,” they added.

    On Monday, BlockFi, who was once valued at $3 billion, filed for bankruptcy protection after becoming the latest company to be pushed over the edge from the collapse of crypto exchange FTX.

    See also: BlockFi’s big creditors include an indenture trustee firm, FTX and the SEC

    The lawsuit is the latest headache for Bankman-Fried, who is already the subject of a number of investigations in the U.S. and the Bahamas – where FTX was based. The downfall of FTX has triggered a chain reaction of crypto-casualties including crypto financial-services firm Genesis.

    FTX collapse to be focus of Senate hearing Thursday — here’s what to watch for

    BlockFi and representatives of Bankman-Fried did not immediately respond to MarketWatch’s request for comment.

    See also: Bitcoin prices under pressure as cracks spread across crypto industry

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