ReportWire

Tag: Citigroup Inc

  • Wall Street CEOs say proposed banking rules will hurt small businesses, low-income Americans

    Wall Street CEOs say proposed banking rules will hurt small businesses, low-income Americans

    [ad_1]

    (L-R) Brian Moynihan, Chairman and CEO of Bank of America; Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase; and Jane Fraser, CEO of Citigroup; testify during a Senate Banking Committee hearing at the Hart Senate Office Building on December 06, 2023 in Washington, DC.

    Win Mcnamee | Getty Images

    Wall Street CEOs on Wednesday pushed back against proposed regulations aimed at raising the levels of capital they’ll need to hold against future risks.

    In prepared remarks and responses to lawmakers’ questions during an annual Senate oversight hearing, the CEOs of eight banks sought to raise alarms over the impact of the changes. In July, U.S. regulators unveiled a sweeping set of higher standards governing banks known as the Basel 3 endgame.  

    “The rule would have predictable and harmful outcomes to the economy, markets, business of all sizes and American households,” JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon told lawmakers.

    If unchanged, the regulations would raise capital requirements on the largest banks by about 25%, Dimon claimed.

    The heads of America’s largest banks, including JPMorgan, Bank of America and Goldman Sachs are seeking to dull the impact of the new rules, which would affect all U.S. banks with at least $100 billion in assets and take until 2028 to be fully phased in. Raising the cost of capital would likely hurt the industry’s profitability and growth prospects.

    It would also likely help non-bank players including Apollo and Blackstone, which have gained market share in areas banks have receded from because of stricter regulations, including loans for mergers, buyouts and highly indebted corporations.

    While all the major banks can comply with the rules as currently constructed, it wouldn’t be without losers and winners, the CEOs testified.

    Those who could be unintentionally harmed by the regulations includes small business owners, mortgage customers, pensions and other investors, as well as rural and low-income customers, according to Dimon and the other executives.

    “Mortgages and small business loans will be more expensive and harder to access, particularly for low- to moderate-income borrowers,” Dimon said. “Savings for retirement or college will yield lower returns as costs rise for asset managers, money-market funds and pension funds.”

    With the rise in the cost of capital, government infrastructure projects will be more expensive to finance, making new hospitals, bridges and roads even costlier, Dimon added. Corporate clients will need to pay more to hedge the price of commodities, resulting in higher consumer costs, he said.

    The changes would “increase the cost of borrowing for farmers in rural communities,” Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser said. “It could impact them in terms of their mortgages, it could impact their credit cards. It could also importantly impact their cost of any borrowing that they do.”

    Finally, the CEOs warned that by heightening oversight on banks, regulators would push yet more financial activity to non-bank players — sometimes referred to as shadow banks — leaving regulators blind to those risks.

    The tone of lawmakers’ questioning during the three-hour hearing mostly hewed to partisan lines, with Democrats more skeptical of the executives and Republicans inquiring about potential harms to everyday Americans.

    Sen. Sherrod Brown, an Ohio Democrat, opened the event by lambasting banks’ lobbying efforts against the Basel 3 endgame.

    “You’re going to say that cracking down on Wall Street is going to hurt working families, you’re really going to claim that?” Brown said. “The economic devastation of 2008 is what hurt working families, the uncertainty and the turmoil from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank hurt working families.”

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Banks re-positioning for monster move, suggests KBW CEO Tom Michaud

    Banks re-positioning for monster move, suggests KBW CEO Tom Michaud

    [ad_1]

    Share

    Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, joins ‘Fast Money’ to talk tomorrow’s bank CEO hearing, the fintech space, the possibility of a breakout in the space and much more.

    03:30

    Tue, Dec 5 20236:01 PM EST

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • CNBC Daily Open: Rate cuts might not be in the cards despite cooling inflation

    CNBC Daily Open: Rate cuts might not be in the cards despite cooling inflation

    [ad_1]

    The Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve building during a renovation in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, Oct. 24, 2023.

    Valerie Plesch | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Downbeat Asian markets
    U.S. stocks ticked up Wednesday as another report showed inflation’s cooling. Despite that, Treasury yields rose. Asia-Pacific markets, however, fell Thursday. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dropped 1.26%, dragged down by Xpeng’s 3.83% decline after the Chinese electric vehicle company reported disappointing earnings results.

    ‘Planet Earth is big enough’
    U.S. President Joe Biden met Chinese President Xi Jinping yesterday on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation conference. Both leaders agreed to resume high-level military communications. As part of the agreement, senior U.S. military commanders will engage with their Chinese counterparts. As Xi said in his opening remarks, “Planet Earth is big enough for the two countries to succeed.”

    Emptying Citi
    Citigroup will start laying off workers as part of CEO Jane Fraser’s corporate overall, CNBC has learned. Citi employees who will be let go will be informed starting Wednesday U.S. time, and the process will continue until early next week, according to people with knowledge of the situation. It seems no one will be spared: chiefs of staff, managing directors and lower-level employees will all be affected.

    Microsoft’s own AI chip
    At its Ignite conference in Seattle, Microsoft announced two custom chips. The first, its Maia 100 artificial intelligence chip, could compete with Nvidia’s AI chips. The second, a Cobalt 100 Arm chip, is designed to tackle general computing tasks and could supplant Intel processors. But Microsoft is planning to use its chips internally, and doesn’t intend to let other companies buy those chips.

    [PRO] Magnificent One
    Shares of the Magnificent Seven stocks — Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla — have surged this year, propelling the S&P 500 higher. They’ve also drawn criticism that their prices are too high, based on their price-to-earnings ratio. But there’s an exception: Morgan Stanley thinks one of them is “pretty inexpensive relative to free cash flow growth or earnings growth.”

    The bottom line

    After a very encouraging consumer price index reading on Tuesday, we have more evidence that inflation’s truly cooling.

    Wholesale prices in October, as measured by the producer price index, fell 0.5% for the month against the expected 0.1% increase. That’s the biggest decline in more than three years. When producer prices fall, it takes a while for those lower prices to seep into the general consumer economy, so it’s plausible we’ll see CPI continue dropping in the months ahead.

    Major U.S. indexes rose — slightly — on that encouraging news. The S&P 500 increased 0.16% and the Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.07%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.47% for its fourth consecutive winning session.

    The stock market rally over the past two days, it seems, was fueled by investors’ expectations that lower inflation readings will prompt the Federal Reserve to cut rates sooner rather than later. Investors think there’s a 29.6% chance the Fed will slash rates by a full percentage point by the end of next year, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

    But that flurry of cuts is two times as aggressive as the timeline the Fed itself penciled in two months ago, noted CNBC’s Jeff Cox. And that, to put it mildly, “may be at least a tad optimistic,” Cox wrote.

    Investor optimism, ironically, may be counterproductive as well. Expectations of a rate cut forced down Treasury yields Tuesday (though they rose again yesterday). Treasury yields tend to serve as the benchmark for loans and other assets, so when they drop, financial conditions loosen — exactly what the Fed doesn’t want to see.

    “Financial conditions have eased considerably as markets project the end of Fed rate hikes, perhaps not the perfect underpinning for a Fed that professes to keeping rates higher for longer,” said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial.

    Indeed, “this is at least the 7th time in this cycle that markets [anticipate] … a potential dovish pivot,” wrote Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen. (Spoiler alert: Investors have, without exception, been disappointed the previous times as the Fed refused to budge.)

    In short: While it’s undeniable inflation’s dropping, there’s no guarantee rates will fall in tandem. It might be better to be pleasantly surprised than to be disappointed.

    — CNBC’s Jeff Cox contributed to this report.

    [ad_2]
    Source link

  • Citigroup begins layoffs as part of CEO Jane Fraser’s corporate overhaul

    Citigroup begins layoffs as part of CEO Jane Fraser’s corporate overhaul

    [ad_1]

    Jane Fraser, CEO of Citigroup Inc., during an interview for an episode of “The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations” at the Economic Club of Washington in Washington, D.C., March 22, 2023.

    Valerie Plesch | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Citigroup will soon begin layoffs in CEO Jane Fraser‘s corporate overhaul, CNBC has learned.

    Employees affected by the cuts will be informed starting Wednesday, with new dismissals announced daily through early next week, according to people with knowledge of the situation.

    The move tracks with a timeline set by Fraser in a Sept. 13 memo. She announced five new divisions whose heads report directly to her, resulting in the departure of a handful of senior executives. The next phase of disruption will be “communicated and implemented by the end of November,” and “final changes” will be done by the end of March 2024, Fraser said at the time.

    Fraser is under pressure to improve Citigroup, which has been mired in a stock slump as headcount and expenses have ballooned in recent years. The CEO, who took over in March 2021, is at a pivotal moment as she faces deep investor skepticism that the bank can hit performance targets she outlined last year.

    Employees who have lost their roles may be able to apply for other positions, and Citigroup will offer severance pay where eligible, the bank’s human resources chief told workers last month.  

    The full extent of job cuts are still being determined, but managers and consultants working on the project — known internally by its code name, “Project Bora Bora” — have discussed dismissals of at least 10% of workers in several businesses, CNBC reported last week.

    Workers have flocked to internal chat platforms with questions about the impending cuts, according to the people, who declined to be identified speaking about personnel matters.

    A Citigroup spokeswoman declined to comment Wednesday beyond the statement it offered to CNBC previously:

    “We’ve acknowledged the actions we’re taking to reorganize the firm involve some difficult, consequential decisions, but they’re the right steps to align our structure to our strategy and deliver the plan we shared at our 2022 Investor Day.”

    This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • CNBC Daily Open: Markets are on a hot streak

    CNBC Daily Open: Markets are on a hot streak

    [ad_1]

    The Nasdaq MarketSite in New York, June 9, 2023.

    Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Big streak  
    The 
    Nasdaq Composite recorded its longest winning streak since January, closing out Monday with gains of 0.3%. Stocks in the U.S. built on the positive momentum from last week, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.18% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing 0.1% higher. The tech-heavy index rose for seven straight days, while the Dow and S&P 500 rose for six straight days for the first time since July and June, respectively. In Asia, South Korean stocks fell 3%, leading losses, while investors also assessed trade data from China and a rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

    Deep job cuts
    Citigroup‘s 240,000 employees were on edge as fears grow around CEO Jane Fraser‘s massive corporate overhaul to cut costs that would result in an undisclosed number of layoffs. “We’ll be saying goodbye to some very talented and hard-working colleagues,” she said in a memo in September. Now, the reorganization, which is referred internally by its code name, “Project Bora Bora,” could see job cuts of at least 10% in several major businesses, according to people with knowledge of the process.  

    AI arms race heats up
    During its first in-person event on Monday, Microsoft-backed OpenAI announced its latest and most powerful GPT-4 Turbo artificial intelligence model yet. It also unveiled a new option that will allow users make custom versions of its viral ChatGPT chatbot and is cutting prices on the fees that companies and developers pay to run the software.

    China imports surprise
    China’s imports unexpectedly rose in October from a year ago, but exports recorded a worse-than-expected drop. Data showed imports rose by 3% in U.S. dollar terms for the month, above a Reuters’ forecast for a 4.8% drop. Exports fell 6.4% last month in U.S. dollar terms, worse than an expected 3.3% drop.

    [PRO] Growth stocks that are set for bigger leaps
    Higher-for-longer interest rates are bad for growth stocks but, investor hopes were reignited after the U.S. Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged for the second consecutive meeting. This led stocks to bounce back last week and for those eager to get back into such growth names, CNBC Pro screened for stocks you should look at.  

    The bottom line

    Markets started the week on a high note as major averages closed out Monday’s session with some big winning streaks.

    The Nasdaq rose for the seventh straight day, its longest winning streak since January, while the Dow and S&P 500 gained for six straight days for the first time since July and June, respectively.

    Wall Street indexes had strong momentum following their best week of 2023, propelled by a soft monthly jobs report that drove bond yields lower, boosting equities.

    “The stock market has had a strong start to November, and the move seems deserved in light of what we’re seeing in most, though admittedly not all, of our sentiment indicators,” wrote Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets.

    “Generally, our view over the last month or so has been that if the surge in yields stopped soon, US equities could escape without incurring too much additional damage,” she added.

    Shifting focus to the fast-paced AI arms race, viral ChatGPT chatbot owner OpenAI announced its most powerful GPT-4 Turbo artificial intelligence model yet to stay ahead of rivals like Anthropic, Google and Meta.

    GPT-4 Turbo now provides answers with context up to April 2023, accepts more input and supports text-to-speech. Which means you can narrate and summarize an entire book, without having to lift a finger.

    [ad_2]
    Source link

  • CNBC Daily Open: Markets extend winning streaks

    CNBC Daily Open: Markets extend winning streaks

    [ad_1]

    NEW YORK, NEW YORK – MARCH 05: A view of the skyline with The Trump Tower and Federal Hall on Wall Street in Downtown Manhattan on March 05, 2021 in New York City. (Photo by Roy Rochlin/Getty Images)

    Roy Rochlin | Getty Images Entertainment | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Big streak  
    The 
    Nasdaq Composite recorded its longest winning streak since January, closing out Monday with gains of 0.3%. Stocks in the U.S. built on the positive momentum from last week, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.18% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing 0.1% higher. The tech-heavy index rose for seven straight days, while the Dow and S&P 500 rose for six straight days for the first time since July and June, respectively.  European markets closed lower on Monday, with the Stoxx 600 index down 0.2%.

    Deep job cuts
    Citigroup‘s 240,000 employees were on edge as fears grow around CEO Jane Fraser‘s massive corporate overhaul to cut costs that would result in an undisclosed number of layoffs. “We’ll be saying goodbye to some very talented and hard-working colleagues,” she said in a memo in September. Now, the reorganization, which is referred internally by its code name, “Project Bora Bora,” could see job cuts of at least 10% in several major businesses, according to people with knowledge of the process.  

    AI arms race heats up
    During its first in-person event on Monday, Microsoft-backed OpenAI announced its latest and most powerful GPT-4 Turbo artificial intelligence model yet. It also unveiled a new option that will allow users make custom versions of its viral ChatGPT chatbot and is cutting prices on the fees that companies and developers pay to run the software.

    Intensive diplomacy
    The U.S. Treasury Department announced Monday that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will host her Chinese counterpart, Vice Premier He Lifeng, just ahead of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum next week, for “intensive diplomacy.” The meetings will be held in San Francisco on Nov. 9-10 and is part of a broader push between American and Chinese officials to make progress on specific issues. This arrives ahead of an expected meeting between President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of APEC.

    [PRO] Leaders of the market comeback
    Stocks have kicked off November on a positive note, with the major averages coming off their best weeks of the year. Now, CNBC Pro deep dives into which winning names investors should look at that could be poised to lead any rally in the coming week. These include stocks in the S&P 500 that are up 10% or more off of their 52-week lows and have gained 10% or more in the past month.

    The bottom line

    Markets started the week on a high note as major averages closed out Monday’s session with some big winning streaks.

    The Nasdaq rose for the seventh straight day, its longest winning streak since January, while the Dow and S&P 500 gained for six straight days for the first time since July and June, respectively.

    Wall Street indexes had strong momentum following their best week of 2023, propelled by a soft monthly jobs report that drove bond yields lower, boosting equities.

    “The stock market has had a strong start to November, and the move seems deserved in light of what we’re seeing in most, though admittedly not all, of our sentiment indicators,” wrote Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets.

    “Generally, our view over the last month or so has been that if the surge in yields stopped soon, US equities could escape without incurring too much additional damage,” she added.

    Shifting focus to the fast-paced AI arms race, viral ChatGPT chatbot owner OpenAI announced its most powerful GPT-4 Turbo artificial intelligence model yet to stay ahead of rivals like Anthropic, Google and Meta.

    GPT-4 Turbo now provides answers with context up to April 2023, accepts more input and supports text-to-speech. Which means you can narrate and summarize an entire book, without having to lift a finger.

    [ad_2]
    Source link

  • Citigroup considers deep job cuts for CEO Jane Fraser’s overhaul, called ‘Project Bora Bora’

    Citigroup considers deep job cuts for CEO Jane Fraser’s overhaul, called ‘Project Bora Bora’

    [ad_1]

    When Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser announced in September that her sweeping corporate overhaul would result in an undisclosed number of layoffs, a jolt of fear ran through many of the bank’s 240,000 souls.

    “We’ll be saying goodbye to some very talented and hard-working colleagues,” she warned in a memo.

    Employees’ concerns are justified. Managers and consultants working on Fraser’s reorganization — known internally by its code name, “Project Bora Bora” — have discussed job cuts of at least 10% in several major businesses, according to people with knowledge of the process. The talks are early and numbers may shift in coming weeks.

    Fraser is under mounting pressure to fix Citigroup, a global bank so difficult to manage that its challenges consumed three predecessors dating back to 2007. Already a laggard in every metric that matters to investors, the bank has fallen further behind rivals since Fraser took over in early 2021. It trades at a price-to-tangible book value ratio of 0.49, less than half the average of U.S. peers and one-third the valuation of top performers including JPMorgan Chase.

    “The only thing she can do at this point is a really substantial headcount reduction,” James Shanahan, an Edward Jones analyst, said in an interview. “She needs to do something big, and I think there’s a good chance it’ll be bigger and more painful for Citi employees than they expect.”

    Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

    hide content

    Citigroup’s stock has been mired in a slump under CEO Jane Fraser.

    If Fraser decides to part with 10% or more of her workforce, it would be one of Wall Street’s deepest rounds of dismissals in years.

    Burdened by regulatory demands that hastened the retirement of her predecessor Mike Corbat, Citigroup’s expenses and headcount have ballooned under Fraser. While competitors have been cutting jobs this year, Citigroup’s staff levels remained at 240,000. That leaves Citigroup with the biggest workforce of any American bank except the larger and far more profitable JPMorgan.

    An update on Fraser’s plan and its financial impact will come in January along with fourth-quarter earnings.

    Nagging doubts

    The stakes are high for America’s third-largest bank by assets. That’s because, after decades of stock underperformance, missed targets and shifting goal posts, Fraser is taking steps analysts have long called for. Failure could mean renewed calls to unlock value by taking even more drastic actions like dismantling the company.

    Fraser has vowed to boost Citigroup’s returns to at least 11% in the next few years, a critical goal that would help the bank’s stock recover. To get close, Citigroup needs to increase revenue, use its balance sheet more efficiently and cut costs. But revenue growth may be hard to achieve as the U.S. economy slows, leaving expense cuts the biggest lever to pull, according to analysts.

    “Not one investor I’ve spoken to thinks they’ll get to that return target in ’25 or ’26,” analyst Mike Mayo of Wells Fargo said in an interview. “If they can’t generate returns above their cost of capital, which is typically around 10%, they have no right to stay in business.”

    Fraser put Titi Cole, Citigroup’s head of legacy franchises, in charge of the reorganization, according to sources. Cole joined Citigroup in 2020 and is a veteran of Wells Fargo and Bank of America, institutions that have wrestled with expenses and headcount in the past.

    Boston Consulting Group has a key role as well. The consultants have been involved in mapping out the bank’s organization charts, tracking key performance metrics and making recommendations.

    Low morale, high anxiety

    Although the project’s code name evokes the turquoise waters of Tahiti, employees have been anything but calm since Fraser’s September announcement.

    “Morale is super, super low,” said one banker who left Citigroup recently and has been contacted by former colleagues. “They’re saying, ‘I don’t know if I’m getting hit, or if my manager is getting hit.’ People are bracing for the worst.”

    American residents eligible to travel to French Polynesia are charged less for on-island Covid tests if they are vaccinated ($50 versus $120).

    Dana Neibert | The Image Bank | Getty Images

    The ultimate number of layoffs will be determined in coming weeks as the massive project moves from management layers to rank-and-file workers. But some things are already clear, according to the people, who declined to be identified speaking about the confidential project.

    Executives will see cuts beyond 10% because of Fraser’s push to eliminate regional managers, co-heads and others with overlapping responsibilities, they said.

    For instance, chiefs of staff and chief administrative officers across Citigroup will be pruned this month, said one of the people with knowledge of the situation.

    Operations staff who supported businesses that have been divested or reorganized are also at higher risk of layoffs, said the people.

    Citi’s statement

    Even if Fraser announces a large reduction in workers, investors will probably need to see expenses drift lower before being convinced, said Pierre Buhler, a banking consultant with SSA & Co. That’s because of the industry’s track record of announcing expense plans only to see costs creep up.

    Still, it’s up to Fraser and her deputies to sign off on the overall plan, and they may opt to de-emphasize expense savings. The project is primarily about removing unnecessary layers to help Citigroup serve clients better, according to a current executive.

    Publicly, the bank has only said that costs would start to ease in the second half of 2024.

    Citigroup declined to comment beyond this statement:

    “As we’ve said previously, we are committed to delivering the full potential of the bank and meeting our commitments to our stakeholders,” a spokeswoman said. “We’ve acknowledged the actions we’re taking to reorganize the firm involve some difficult, consequential decisions, but they’re the right steps to align our structure to our strategy and deliver the plan we shared at our 2022 Investor Day.”

    Don’t miss these stories from CNBC PRO:

    How Citigroup is planning its comeback

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Navan CEO Ariel Cohen talks partnering with Citi

    Navan CEO Ariel Cohen talks partnering with Citi

    [ad_1]

    Share

    Ariel Cohen, Navan CEO, joins ‘Closing Bell Overtime’ to talk partnering with Citi, a possible IPO and more.

    04:17

    Thu, Oct 19 20235:24 PM EDT

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Five big banks cut a combined 20 thousand jobs in 2023

    Five big banks cut a combined 20 thousand jobs in 2023

    [ad_1]

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Big banks are quietly cutting thousands of employees, and more layoffs are coming

    Big banks are quietly cutting thousands of employees, and more layoffs are coming

    [ad_1]

    Pedestrians walk along Wall Street near the New York Stock Exchange in New York.

    Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    The largest American banks have been quietly laying off workers all year — and some of the deepest cuts are yet to come.

    Even as the economy has surprised forecasters with its resilience, lenders have cut headcount or announced plans to do so, with the key exception being JPMorgan Chase, the biggest and most profitable U.S. bank.

    Pressured by the impact of higher interest rates on the mortgage business, Wall Street deal-making and funding costs, the next five largest U.S. banks cut a combined 20,000 positions so far this year, according to company filings.

    The moves come after a two-year hiring boom during the pandemic, fueled by a surge in Wall Street activity. That subsided after the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates last year to cool an overheated economy, and banks found themselves suddenly overstaffed for an environment in which fewer consumers sought out mortgages and fewer corporations issued debt or bought competitors.

    “Banks are cutting costs where they can because things are really uncertain next year,” Chris Marinac, research director at Janney Montgomery Scott, said in a phone interview.

    Job losses in the financial industry could pressure the broader U.S. labor market in 2024. Faced with rising defaults on corporate and consumer loans, lenders are poised to make deeper cuts next year, said Marinac.

    “They need to find levers to keep earnings from falling further and to free up money for provisions as more loans go bad,” he said. “By the time we roll into January, you’ll hear a lot of companies talking about this.”

    Deepest cuts

    Banks disclose total headcount numbers every quarter. While the aggregate figures mask the hiring and firing going on beneath the surface, they are informative.

    The deepest cuts have been at Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs, institutions that are wrestling with revenue declines in key businesses. They each have cut roughly 5% of their workforce so far this year.

    At Wells Fargo, job cuts came after the bank announced a strategic shift away from the mortgage business in January. And even though the bank cut 50,000 employees in the past three years as part of CEO Charlie Scharf‘s cost-cutting plan, the firm isn’t done shrinking headcount, executives said Friday.

    There are “very few parts of the company” that will be spared from cuts, said CFO Mike Santomassimo.

    “We still have additional opportunities to reduce head count,” he told analysts. “Attrition has remained low, which will likely result in additional severance expense for actions in 2024.”

    Goldman firings

    Meanwhile, after several rounds of cuts in the past year, Goldman executives said that they had “right-sized” the bank and don’t expect another mass layoff like the one enacted in January.

    But headcount is still headed down at the New York-based bank. Last year, Goldman brought back annual performance reviews where people deemed low performers are cut. In the coming weeks, the bank will terminate around 1% or 2% of its employees, according to a person with knowledge of the plans.

    Headcount will also drift lower because of Goldman’s pivot away from consumer finance; the firm agreed to sell two businesses in deals that will close in coming months, a wealth management unit and fintech lender GreenSky.

    A key factor driving the cuts is that job-hopping in finance slowed drastically from earlier years, leaving banks with more people than they expected.

    “Attrition has been remarkably low, and that’s something that we’ve just got to work through,” Morgan Stanley CEO James Gorman said Wednesday. The bank has cut about 2% of its workforce this year amid a protracted slowdown in investment banking activity.

    The aggregate figures obscure the hiring that banks are still doing. While headcount at Bank of America dipped 1.9% this year, the firm has hired 12,000 people so far, indicating that an even greater amount of people left their jobs.

    Citigroup’s cuts

    While Citigroup‘s staff figures have been stable at 240,000 this year, there are significant changes afoot, CFO Mark Mason told analysts last week. The bank has already identified 7,000 job cuts linked to $600 million in “repositioning charges” disclosed so far this year.

    CEO Jane Fraser’s latest plan to overhaul the bank’s corporate structure, as well as sales of overseas retail operations, will further lower headcount in coming quarters, executives said.

    “As we continue to progress in those divestitures … we’ll see those heads come down,” Mason said.

    Meanwhile, JPMorgan has been the industry’s outlier. The bank grew headcount by 5.1% this year as it expanded its branch network, invested aggressively in technology and acquired the failed regional lender First Republic, which added about 5,000 positions.

    Even after its hiring spree, JPMorgan has more than 10,000 open positions, the company said.

    But the bank appears to be the exception to the rule. Led by CEO Jamie Dimon since 2006, JPMorgan has best navigated the surging interest rate environment of the past year, managing to attract deposits and grow revenue while smaller rivals struggled. It’s the only one of the Big Six lenders whose shares have meaningfully climbed this year.  

    All these companies expanded year after year,” said Marinac. “You can easily see several more quarters where they go backwards, because there’s room to cut, and they have to find a way to survive.”

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Morgan Stanley shares fall 5% as wealth management results disappoint

    Morgan Stanley shares fall 5% as wealth management results disappoint

    [ad_1]

    Morgan Stanley Chairman and Chief Executive James Gorman speaks during the Institute of International Finance Annual Meeting in Washington, October 10, 2014.

    Joshua Roberts | Reuters

    Morgan Stanley posted third-quarter results Wednesday that topped profit estimates on better-than-expected trading revenue.

    Here’s what the company reported:

    • Earnings per share: $1.38, vs. $1.28 estimate from LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv
    • Revenue: $13.27 billion, vs. expected $13.23 billion

    Profit fell 9% to $2.41 billion, or $1.38 a share, from a year ago, the New York-based bank said in a statement. Revenue grew 2% to $13.27 billion, essentially matching expectations.

    The bank’s shares fell more than 5% in early trading.

    Morgan Stanley’s trading operations helped offset revenue misses elsewhere at the firm. The bank’s bond traders produced $1.95 billion in revenue, roughly $200 million more than the StreetAccount estimate, while equity traders brought in $2.51 billion in revenue, $100 million more than expected.

    But the bank’s all-important wealth management division generated $6.4 billion in revenue, below the estimate by more than $200 million, as compensation costs in the division rose.

    Investment banking accounted for another miss in the quarter, producing $938 million in revenue, below the $1.11 billion estimate, as the company cited weakness in mergers and IPO listings. The bank’s investment management division essentially met expectations with $1.34 billion in revenue.

    Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

    Morgan Stanley shares have been under pressure this year.

    CEO James Gorman cited a “mixed” environment for his businesses and acknowledged that the firm’s wealth management division gathered fewer new assets than in recent quarters. That’s because surging interest rates have made money market funds and Treasuries attractive, he told analysts Wednesday. The wealth management business was still tracking to hit his three-year goal of generating $1 trillion in new assets, he added.

    “When people have a choice of making a 4%, 5% return by doing nothing, they’re not going to be trading in the markets,” Gorman said.

    ‘Clean slate’

    Led by Gorman since 2010, Morgan Stanley has managed to avoid the turbulence afflicting some rivals lately. While Goldman Sachs was forced to pivot after a foray into retail banking and as Citigroup struggles to lift its stock price, the main question at Morgan Stanley is about an orderly CEO succession.

    In May, Gorman announced his plan to resign within a year, capping a successful tenure marked by massive acquisitions in wealth and asset management. Morgan Stanley’s board has narrowed the search for his successor to three internal executives, he said at the time.

    Gorman reiterated his desire to hand over the CEO position to a successor within months.

    “This firm is in excellent shape notwithstanding the geopolitical and market turmoil that we find ourselves in,” Gorman said. “My hope and expectation is to hand over Morgan Stanley with as clean a slate as possible and deal with a few of our outstanding issues in the next couple of months.”

    Last week, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup each topped expectations for third-quarter profit, helped by low credit costs. Goldman Sachs and Bank of America also beat estimates on stronger-than-expected bond trading results.

    This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • CNBC Daily Open: JPMorgan’s big profit growth isn’t likely to persist

    CNBC Daily Open: JPMorgan’s big profit growth isn’t likely to persist

    [ad_1]

    The JPMorgan Chase & Co. headquarters in New York, US, on Friday, July 7, 2023.

    Michael Nagle| Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Markets lost momentum
    Major U.S. indexes mostly slipped Friday, though the Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked the trend to inch up slightly. Asia-Pacific markets dipped Monday. Mainland China’s Shanghai Composite fell around 0.4%, and the yuan weakened marginally, as the People’s Bank of China left its short- and medium-term lending rates unchanged.

    Booming profits at JPMorgan
    JPMorgan Chase’s third-quarter profit surged 35% from a year ago to hit $13.15 billion, while revenue popped 21% to $40.96 billion, surpassing expectations. Net interest income, at $22.9 billion, was 30% higher than the same period in 2022, beating estimates by around $600 million. Shares of the bank climbed 1.5% Friday. Still, CEO Jamie Dimon warned we’re facing “the most dangerous time” in decades.

    Hot oil
    On Friday, prices of both U.S. West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude futures soared more than 5.7% to $87.72 and $90.89 per barrel, respectively. That’s the highest jump in a day for both crude futures since April 3. (Prices remained mostly unchanged during Asia trading hours Monday.) Meanwhile, U.S. oil production hit an all-time high last week, marking a comeback in the domestic industry.

    ‘Path to a Palestinian state’
    U.S. President Joe Biden said in a televised interview Sunday the Palestinian militant group Hamas must be neutralized — but there also “needs to be a path to a Palestinian state.” Separately, China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi reportedly told his Saudi Arabia counterpart Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud that “Israel’s actions have gone beyond self-defense.”

    [PRO] All eyes on banks
    Keep your eye on banks posting results this week — the numbers will provide clues to many aspects of the economy, such as consumers’ strength and whether corporate borrowing and dealmaking are returning. Wall Street banks like Goldman Sachs and Bank of America report earnings Tuesday, followed by regional banks — and Morgan Stanley — on Wednesday.

    The bottom line

    Going into this earnings season, analysts feared big banks’ income wouldn’t hold up from the previous quarters. Those fears didn’t materialize — for now.

    Net interest income, in particular, was higher than expected. That’s the amount banks pocket when they give depositors a low (or zero!) interest rate on their savings, and charge borrowers a high interest rate, usually pegged to the federal funds rate.

    Given the high yields on U.S. Treasury and money market funds, analysts thought banks would be forced to shower depositors with higher interest rates, reducing net interest income. That didn’t happen. On the contrary, net interest income rose from a year ago at JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, and beat expectations at Citigroup.

    But JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon isn’t feeling complacent about that. Dimon acknowledged that his bank’s “over-earning” on net interest income, a benefit that will vanish eventually.  

    For a preview of that, we don’t have to wait for the following quarters. We just have to look at BlackRock’s third-quarter earnings. Clients pulled their money from BlackRock’s active unit and its index and ETF unit because “for the first time in nearly two decades, clients are earning a real return in cash and can wait for more policy and market certainty before re-risking,” CEO Larry Fink said.

    Meanwhile, gold saw its best day of the year on Friday. December futures contracts for the safe-haven metal rose 3.11%, putting it 6.31% higher than its level at the start of 2023. That’s another sign risky assets are losing attractiveness.

    Indeed, the S&P 500 retreated 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.23%. But the Dow Jones Industrial Average managed to eke out a 0.12% gain. For the week, only the Nasdaq closed lower.

    It isn’t just investors who are feeling jittery. Outside financial markets, consumer sentiment is slumping, as indicated by the University of Michigan’s survey. But that’s not really a surprise, given the geopolitical shocks and human tragedy unfolding currently.

    “The war in Ukraine compounded by last week’s attacks on Israel may have far-reaching impacts on energy and food markets, global trade, and geopolitical relationships,” Dimon said. “This may be the most dangerous time the world has seen in decades.”

    [ad_2]
    Source link

  • CNBC Daily Open: Big banks’ big profits aren’t likely to last

    CNBC Daily Open: Big banks’ big profits aren’t likely to last

    [ad_1]

    The JPMorgan Chase & Co. headquarters in New York, US, on Friday, July 7, 2023.

    Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Markets lost momentum
    Major U.S. indexes mostly slipped Friday, though the Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked the trend to inch up slightly. Europe’s Stoxx 600 slipped around 1%, weighed by a 2.5% drop in technology stocks. Separately, Mārtiņš Kazāks, one of the European Central Bank’s more hawkish members, told CNBC he was “quite happy” with current rate levels.

    Booming profits at JPMorgan
    JPMorgan Chase’s third-quarter profit surged 35% from a year ago to hit $13.15 billion, while revenue popped 21% to $40.96 billion, surpassing expectations. Net interest income, at $22.9 billion, was 30% higher than the same period in 2022, beating estimates by around $600 million. Shares of the bank climbed 1.5% Friday. Still, CEO Jamie Dimon warned we’re facing “the most dangerous time” in decades.

    And at Citigroup and Wells Fargo
    Citigroup’s net income and revenue for the third quarter were higher than analysts’ expectations, rising 2% and 9% year over year, respectively. Despite that, Citigroup’s shares dipped 0.24% for the day. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo also beat Wall Street estimates. The bank’s third-quarter earnings rocketed 60% and revenue rose 6.5% from a year earlier, boosting its shares by 3.07%.

    Hot oil
    Prices of both U.S. West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude futures soared more than 5.7% to $87.72 and $90.89 per barrel, respectively. That’s the highest jump in a day for both crude futures since April 3. The oil market’s “fraught with uncertainty,” the International Energy Agency said, as the U.S. tightens sanctions against Russian crude exports Thursday and the Israel-Hamas war escalates further.

    [PRO] All eyes on banks
    Keep your eye on banks posting results this week — the numbers will provide clues to many aspects of the economy, such as consumers’ strength and whether corporate borrowing and dealmaking are returning. Wall Street banks like Goldman Sachs and Bank of America report earnings Tuesday, followed by regional banks — and Morgan Stanley — on Wednesday.

    The bottom line

    Going into this earnings season, analysts feared big banks’ income wouldn’t hold up from the previous quarters. Those fears didn’t materialize — for now.

    Net interest income, in particular, was higher than expected. That’s the amount banks pocket when they give depositors a low (or zero!) interest rate on their savings, and charge borrowers a high interest rate, usually pegged to the federal funds rate.

    Given the high yields on U.S. Treasury and money market funds, analysts thought banks would be forced to shower depositors with higher interest rates, reducing net interest income. That didn’t happen. On the contrary, net interest income rose from a year ago at JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, and beat expectations at Citigroup.

    But JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon isn’t feeling complacent about that. Dimon acknowledged that his bank’s “over-earning” on net interest income, a benefit that will vanish eventually.  

    For a preview of that, we don’t have to wait for the following quarters. We just have to look at BlackRock’s third-quarter earnings. Clients pulled their money from BlackRock’s active unit and its index and ETF unit because “for the first time in nearly two decades, clients are earning a real return in cash and can wait for more policy and market certainty before re-risking,” CEO Larry Fink said.

    Meanwhile, gold saw its best day of the year on Friday. December futures contracts for the safe-haven metal rose 3.11%, putting it 6.31% higher than its level at the start of 2023. That’s another sign risky assets are losing attractiveness.

    Indeed, the S&P 500 retreated 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.23%. But the Dow Jones Industrial Average managed to eke out a 0.12% gain. For the week, only the Nasdaq closed lower.

    It isn’t just investors who are feeling jittery. Outside financial markets, consumer sentiment is slumping, as indicated by the University of Michigan’s survey. But that’s not really a surprise, given the geopolitical shocks and human tragedy unfolding currently.

    “The war in Ukraine compounded by last week’s attacks on Israel may have far-reaching impacts on energy and food markets, global trade, and geopolitical relationships,” Dimon said. “This may be the most dangerous time the world has seen in decades.”

    [ad_2]
    Source link

  • Jim Cramer digs deeper into Big Bank earnings from this week

    Jim Cramer digs deeper into Big Bank earnings from this week

    [ad_1]

    'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer gives his take on bank earnings and how the sector has performed this year.

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Citigroup stock jumps on better-than-expected revenue for the third quarter

    Citigroup stock jumps on better-than-expected revenue for the third quarter

    [ad_1]

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Citigroup reports better-than-expected revenue for the third quarter

    Citigroup reports better-than-expected revenue for the third quarter

    [ad_1]

    Citigroup reported its third-quarter results on Friday morning, with solid growth in both institutional clients and personal banking fueling higher-than-expected revenue and earnings per share.

    Here’s what the company announced compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv:

    • Earnings per share: $1.63, or $1.52 when excluding the impact of divestitures, vs. expected $1.21.  At this time, it is unclear if analysts included that divestitures item in their estimates.
    • Revenue: $20.14 billion, vs. expected $19.31 billion

    Revenue and net income rose by 9% and 2%, respectively, year over year.

    Citigroup’s institutional clients unit reported $10.6 billion in revenue, up 12% year over year and 2% from the second quarter. The bank said it was the best third quarter in the past decade for rates and currencies revenue.

    Meanwhile, the personal banking and wealth management division generated $6.8 billion in revenue, up roughly 10% year over year and 6% from the second quarter.

    “Despite the headwinds, our five core, interconnected businesses each posted revenue growth resulting in overall growth of 9%,” CEO Jane Fraser said in a press release.

    Jane Fraser CEO, Citi, speaks at the 2023 Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, May 1, 2023.

    Mike Blake | Reuters

    Despite the better-than-expected results, shares of the bank closed down 0.2% for the day. Citigroup’s stock is now down more than 8% for the year.

    Among other banks that reported quarterly results on Friday morning, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo both showed stronger-than-expected revenue numbers in their third-quarter reports.

    Citigroup reported $1.84 billion in total cost of credit at the end of the quarter, up slightly from $1.82 billion at the end of the second quarter and $1.37 billion a year ago. That metric includes a net build of $125 million in the allowance for credit losses during the third quarter. Analysts were expecting total cost of credit to reach $1.96 billion, according to FactSet’s StreetAccount.

    “The global macro backdrop remains a story of desynchronization. In the US, recent data implies a soft-landing, but history would suggest otherwise and we are seeing some cracks in the lower [credit score] consumer. In the euro area and the UK, the picture turned distinctly more negative,” Fraser said on a call with analysts.

    Friday’s earnings report includes the period during which Fraser announced the bank would be divided into five main business lines, the latest change for the CEO since taking over in March 2021. Fraser said Friday that the changes should be completed by early 2024 and create financial benefits down the line.

    “While expense is not the primary driver of the organizational changes, they will help us start bending the expense curve in the fourth quarter of next year,” Fraser said.

    The new structure, announced Sept. 13, is expected to include job cuts. CFO Mark Mason declined to give guidance on head count during Friday’s call.

    Citigroup’s net interest margin for the quarter was 2.49%, above the 2.41% expected, according to FactSet’s StreetAccount. Mason said that the company expects its 2023 full-year net interest income to come in slightly above previous guidance.

    Another initiative under Fraser has been Citi selling off its retail banking business in some international markets. The latest move on that front came on Oct. 9, when the bank announced that it had struck a deal to sell its onshore consumer wealth portfolio in China. Fraser said Friday that the bank expects to close sale of Indonesia consumer business in the fourth quarter.

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • CNBC Daily Open: Inflation reports take center stage

    CNBC Daily Open: Inflation reports take center stage

    [ad_1]

    A pedestrian passes a Wall Street subway station near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., on Monday, June 27, 2022. Money managers betting on a sustained global rebound will be left sorely disappointed in the second half of this crushing year as a protracted bear market looms, even if inflation cools. Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg via Getty Images

    Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Consumer prices higher than expected
    The
    U.S. consumer price index, a closely followed inflation gauge, increased 0.4% on the month in September and 3.7% from a year ago. That’s more than the expected 0.3% and 3.6% rise, respectively. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.3% on the month and 4.1% on a 12-month basis, both in line with expectations.

    U.S. markets lower, Asia’s gloomy start
    The three main U.S. stocks gauges fell Thursday, pressured by rising Treasury yields as data showing persistent U.S. inflation sparked worries of interest rates remaining higher for longer. Asia-Pacific markets fell as investors digested China’s trade and inflation data. The benchmark CSI 300 index of Shanghai- and Shenzhen-listed stocks fell more than 1%.

    Bank earnings kick off
    American banks are closing out another quarter in which interest rates surged, reviving concerns about shrinking margins and rising loan losses — though some analysts see a silver lining to the industry’s woes. Earnings season kicks off Friday with reports from JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo.

    China trade and inflation
    China reported a smaller-than-expected drop in exports in September compared to a year ago, customs data released Friday showed. Imports missed economist’s expectations. Consumer prices were flat in the same month, while the producer price index saw annual declines slow for a third month — pointing to an uneven post-Covid recovery that may require more policy support.

    [PRO] Under-the-radar AI stock
    Artificial intelligence-related stocks have rallied this year, as investors pile into favorites such as Nvidia and Microsoft. Still, Deepwater Asset Management says there’s one under-the-radar AI stock that will be essential for the long-term infrastructure rollout of the technology.

    The bottom line

    Investors digested a hotter-than-expected consumer prices report on Thursday but as the needle on the clock ticks ahead, focus today will squarely be on earnings season, soon to be kicked off by some of the biggest Wall Street lenders.

    Data from the Labor Department showed September consumer price index rising 0.4% month-on-month and 3.7% from a year ago, above respective forecasts for 0.3% and 3.6%. They were mainly driven by higher rents. This pushed U.S. markets lower, renewing fears of what lies next for the Federal Reserve, which has stuck to its goal of 2% inflation.

    In theory, it doesn’t look difficult to achieve, but in practice it could be harder. “You need a recession,” said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at GlobalData TS Lombard. “You’re not going to magically get down to 2%.”

    China’s economic data released Friday highlighted its lackluster post-pandemic recovery. The next question is whether fiscal support is enough to shore up the world’s second largest economy.

    “The recovery of domestic demand is not strong, without a significant boost from fiscal support,” said Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management. “The damage from the property sector slowdown on consumer confidence continue[s] to weigh on household demand.”

    But the next catalyst for markets will obviously be the third quarter earnings season, with banks including JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo slated to report quarterly results later in the day. Bank stocks have been intertwined closely with the path of borrowing costs this year and higher rates are expected to increase losses on banks’ bond portfolios and contribute to funding pressure.

    Investors may now want to take a deep breath to brace themselves before the barrage of earnings reports take markets by storm. And who could forget about another Federal Reserve meeting by the end of the month?

    [ad_2]
    Source link

  • JPMorgan Chase is set to report third-quarter earnings — here’s what the Street expects

    JPMorgan Chase is set to report third-quarter earnings — here’s what the Street expects

    [ad_1]

    Jamie Dimon, chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, at the U.S. Capitol for a lunch meeting with the New Democrat Coalition in Washington, D.C., June 6, 2023.

    Nathan Howard | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday.

    Here’s what Wall Street expects, according to analyst estimates compiled by LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv

    • Earnings per share: $3.96
    • Revenue: $39.65 billion

    JPMorgan will be watched closely for clues on how the industry fared amid surging interest rates and rising loan losses.

    While the biggest U.S. bank by assets has navigated volatile rates adeptly so far this year, the situation has caught several peers off guard, including a trio of midsized lenders that collapsed after deposit runs.

    Bank stocks plunged last month after the Federal Reserve signaled it would keep interest rates higher for longer than expected to fight inflation amid unexpectedly robust economic growth. The 10-year Treasury yield, a key figure for long-term rates, jumped 74 basis points in the third quarter. One basis point equals one-hundredth of a percentage point.

    Higher rates hit banks in several ways. The industry has been forced to pay up for deposits as customers shift holdings into higher-yielding instruments like money market funds. Rising yields mean the bonds owned by banks fall in value, creating unrealized losses that pressure capital levels. And higher borrowing costs tamp down demand for mortgages and corporate loans.

    Banks including JPMorgan have also been setting aside more funds for anticipated loan losses.

    Wall Street may provide little help this quarter, with investment banking fees likely to remain subdued and trading revenue expected to be flat or down slightly.

    Finally, analysts will want to hear what CEO Jamie Dimon has to say about the economy and his expectations for the banking industry. Dimon has been vocal in his opposition against proposed increases in capital requirements.

    Shares of JPMorgan have climbed 8.7% year to date, far outperforming the 19% decline of the KBW Bank Index.

    Wells Fargo and Citigroup are scheduled to release results later Friday morning. Bank of America and Goldman Sachs report Tuesday, and Morgan Stanley discloses results on Wednesday.

    This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • CNBC Daily Open: Investors spooked by hot inflation report

    CNBC Daily Open: Investors spooked by hot inflation report

    [ad_1]

    People walk outside of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on September 05, 2023 in New York City.

    Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Consumer prices rose more than expected
    The
    U.S. consumer price index, a closely followed inflation gauge, increased 0.4% on the month in September and 3.7% from a year ago. That’s more than the expected 0.3% and 3.6% rise, respectively. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.3% on the month and 4.1% on a 12-month basis, both in line with expectations.

    U.S. markets end lower, Europe stays afloat
    The three main U.S. stocks gauges fell Thursday, pressured by rising Treasury yields as data showing persistent U.S. inflation sparked worries of interest rates remaining higher for longer. European stock markets closed higher, with the Stoxx 600 index up 0.1%.

    Bank earnings kick off
    American banks are closing out another quarter in which interest rates surged, reviving concerns about shrinking margins and rising loan losses — though some analysts see a silver lining to the industry’s woes. Earnings season kicks off Friday with reports from JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo.

    Google is opening a cafe
    Google is opening a sliver of its main campus to the general public starting this week. The company opened its doors to what it’s calling its “Visitor Experience” center to the public Thursday, following a ceremony where Google executives and local leaders gathered at its headquarters in Mountain View, California.

    [PRO] Wall Street’s favorite bank stocks
    Investors aren’t holding their breaths as banks kick off the third-quarter earnings season in earnest Friday. However, analysts expect some names in the space to shine. The new CNBC Pro stock screener tool searched for stocks that could emerge as the winners this quarter.

    The bottom line

    Investors digested a hotter-than-expected consumer prices report on Thursday but as the needle on the clock ticks ahead, focus today will squarely be on earnings season, soon to be kicked off by some of the biggest Wall Street lenders.

    Data from the Labor Department showed September consumer price index rising 0.4% month-on-month and 3.7% from a year ago, above respective forecasts for 0.3% and 3.6%. They were mainly driven by higher rents. This pushed U.S. markets lower, renewing fears of what lies next for the Federal Reserve, which has stuck to its goal of 2% inflation.

    In theory, it doesn’t look difficult to achieve, but in practice it could be harder. “You need a recession,” said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at GlobalData TS Lombard. “You’re not going to magically get down to 2%.”

    But the next catalyst for markets will obviously be the third quarter earnings season, with banks including JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo slated to report quarterly results later in the day. Bank stocks have been intertwined closely with the path of borrowing costs this year.

    Just as they did during the March regional banking crisis, higher rates are expected to lead to a jump in losses on banks’ bond portfolios and contribute to funding pressures as institutions are forced to pay higher rates for deposits.

    Investors may now want to take a deep breath to brace themselves before the barrage of earnings reports take markets by storm. And who could forget about another Federal Reserve meeting by the end of the month?

    [ad_2]
    Source link

  • Bank earnings kick off with JPMorgan, Wells Fargo amid concerns about rising rates, bad loans

    Bank earnings kick off with JPMorgan, Wells Fargo amid concerns about rising rates, bad loans

    [ad_1]

    Jamie Dimon, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., gestures as he speaks during an interview with Reuters in Miami, Florida, U.S., February 8, 2023. 

    Marco Bello | Reuters

    American banks are closing out another quarter in which interest rates surged, reviving concerns about shrinking margins and rising loan losses — though some analysts see a silver lining to the industry’s woes.

    Just as they did during the March regional banking crisis, higher rates are expected to lead to a jump in losses on banks’ bond portfolios and contribute to funding pressures as institutions are forced to pay higher rates for deposits.

    KBW analysts Christopher McGratty and David Konrad estimate banks’ per-share earnings fell 18% in the third quarter as lending margins compressed and loan demand sank on higher borrowing costs.

    “The fundamental outlook is hard near term; revenues are declining, margins are declining, growth is slowing,” McGratty said in a phone interview.

    Earnings season kicks off Friday with reports from JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo.

    Bank stocks have been intertwined closely with the path of borrowing costs this year. The S&P 500 Banks index sank 9.3% in September on concerns sparked by a surprising surge in longer-term interest rates, especially the 10-year yield, which jumped 74 basis points in the quarter.

    Rising yields mean the bonds owned by banks fall in value, creating unrealized losses that pressure capital levels. The dynamic caught midsized institutions including Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic off guard earlier this year, which — combined with deposit runs — led to government seizure of those banks.

    Big banks have largely dodged concerns tied to underwater bonds, with the notable exception of Bank of America. The bank piled into low-yielding securities during the pandemic and had more than $100 billion in paper losses on bonds at midyear. The issue constrains the bank’s interest revenue and has made the lender the worst stock performer this year among the top six U.S. institutions.

    Expectations on the impact of higher rates on banks’ balance sheets varied. Morgan Stanley analysts led by Betsy Graseck said in an October 2 note that the “estimated impact from the bond rout in 3Q is more than double” losses in the second quarter.

    Hardest-hit banks

    Bond losses will have the deepest impact on regional lenders including Comerica, Fifth Third Bank and KeyBank, the Morgan Stanley analysts said.

    Still, others including KBW and UBS analysts said that other factors could soften the capital hit from higher rates for most of the industry.

    “A lot will depend on the duration of their books,” Konrad said in an interview, referring to whether banks owned shorter or longer-term bonds. “I think the bond marks will look similar to last quarter, which is still a capital headwind, but that there’ll be a smaller group of banks that are hit more because of what they own.”

    There’s also concern that higher interest rates will result in ballooning losses in commercial real estate and industrial loans.

    “We expect loan loss provisions to increase materially compared to the third quarter of 2022 as we expect banks to build up loan loss reserves,” RBC analyst Gerard Cassidy wrote in a Oct. 2 note.

    Silver linings

    Still, bank stocks are primed for a short squeeze during earnings season because hedge funds placed bets on a return of the chaos from March, when regional banks saw an exodus of deposits, UBS analyst Erika Najarian wrote in an Oct. 9 note.

    “The combination of short interest above March 2023 levels and a short thesis from macro investors that higher rates will drive another liquidity crisis makes us think the sector is set up for a potentially volatile short squeeze,” Najarian wrote.

    Banks will probably show stability in deposit levels in the quarter, according to Goldman Sachs analysts led by Richard Ramsden. That, and guidance on net interest income in the fourth quarter and beyond, could support some banks, said the analysts, who are bullish on JPMorgan and Wells Fargo.

    Perhaps because bank stocks have been so beaten down and expectations are low, the industry is due for a relief rally, said McGratty.

    “People are looking ahead to, where is the trough in revenue?” McGratty said. “If you think about the last nine months, the first quarter was really hard. The second quarter was challenging, but not as bad, and the third will be still tough, but again, not getting worse.”

    [ad_2]

    Source link