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Tag: btc price

  • Bitcoin Turns Weakness Into Strength: Analyst Identifies Major Liquidity Zone At $73,000

    Bitcoin Turns Weakness Into Strength: Analyst Identifies Major Liquidity Zone At $73,000

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    Crypto analyst Dippy has laid a bullish narrative for the Bitcoin future trajectory, suggesting that the flagship crypto could soon hit a new all-time high (ATH). This comes despite Bitcoin’s recent drop below $68,000.  

    Bitcoin Could Experience A Massive Pump Above $73,000

    Dippy suggested in an X (formerly Twitter) post that Bitcoin could enjoy a price pump once it reaches the liquidity zone around $73,000. He noted that many short traders have their stop losses or liquidation levels around that price level, which could be the catalyst for this price pump since liquidations of short positions can easily flush out the bears.

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    Source: X

    The crypto analyst also outlined another scenario that could play out, which presents a bearish outlook for Bitcoin. He claimed that Bitcoin’s surge to this liquidity zone could be a fakeout to take liquidity and then move down again. However, Bitcoin experiencing that pump once it hits $73,000 looks more likely, considering that crypto analyst James Check labeled the $73,000 price level as where Bitcoin could enter an escape velocity phase.

    Crypto analyst Adrian Zduńczyk also suggested that Bitcoin would likely turn that $73,000 zone into support if it climbed to that level. He noted that Bitcoin has continued to consolidate inside its current ATH area for 14 weeks now, which is significant considering that this was an area where it had shown weakness before. Zduńczyk claims this is a “trend-promoting behavior” as resistance becomes the new support, and Bitcoin will continue to go higher. 

    Bitcoin 2
    Source: X

    Meanwhile, crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto suggested that Bitcoin’s long-term consolidation in this range might be good, stating that the “longer the consolidation, the higher it moves when it breaks out.” He also remarked that Bitcoin’s bullish divergence also indicates “strong strength” for the flagship crypto. Mikybull Crypto expects Bitcoin to rise to $85,000 and then $110,000 when this long-awaited breakout happens. 

    Bitcoin 3
    Source: X

    Crypto analyst Rekt Capital also noted that it is only a matter of time before the breakout happens. He had previously stated that a successful breakout for Bitcoin above the $70,000 range would send it into the ‘parabolic uptrend’ phase of this market cycle. 

    Why BTC Dropped Below $68,000

    Bitcoin dropped below $68,000 following the significant outflows the US Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded on June 10. Data from Farside Investors shows these funds saw a cumulative total of $64.9 million in outflows, the first time these Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded daily outflows since May 23.  

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    Investors are believed to be waiting on the sidelines ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data and the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision on June 12. A lot of volatility is expected in the crypto market ahead of these events, which could determine the future trajectory of crypto assets. 

    Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
    BTC price at $67,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Bitcoin Price Soars Past $71,000: Here’s Why

    Bitcoin Price Soars Past $71,000: Here’s Why

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    Bitcoin has surged 2.9% in the last 24 hours, reaching a high of $71,166 on Binance today, marking the highest price since May 21. This rally appears to be primarily fueled by robust inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs, with the sector experiencing its 16th consecutive day of net inflows.

    Why Is The Bitcoin Price Up Today?

    Yesterday alone, these ETFs saw an inflow of $886.6 million, with Fidelity leading at $378.7 million—setting a new record for the fund. BlackRock wasn’t far behind, with substantial inflows totaling $274.4 million. Other significant contributions included Ark with $138.7 million, Bitwise at $61 million, and the Grayscale Bitcoin and VanEck Bitcoin Trust recording $28.2 million and $4 million respectively.

    The sustained interest is further evidenced as BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF surpassed $20 billion in assets, becoming the fastest ETF to reach this milestone, reflecting significant momentum and investor enthusiasm.

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    Eric Balchunas, a Bloomberg ETF analyst, emphasized the scale of these inflows, stating, “Fidelity not messing around, big-time flows all around today for The Ten, nearly $1b in total. Second best day ever, since Mid-March. $3.3b in past 4wks, net YTD at $15b (which was top end of our 12mo est). The ‘third wave’ is turning into a tidal wave.”

    Despite the positive inflow dynamics, Byzantine General (@ByzGeneral), a prominent crypto analyst, observed that the price surge could have been more pronounced. He highlighted the presence of substantial passive supply on spot exchanges, which might have tempered the price increase.

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    He noted yesterday, “High volume today, and the perps basis actually went down a bit. I think that we got good ETF flows today, but… They’re buying into a lot of passive supply on spot exchanges.” He further commented today, “What did I say, big ETF inflows. But because of all of the passive supply it’s like an unstoppable force colliding with an immovable object.”

    BTC volume delta and cumulative volume delta | Source: X @ByzGeneral

    Moreover, it’s important to note that the price increase was not driven by the liquidation of short positions in the BTC futures market, which saw only $27.58 million in shorts liquidated in the last 24 hours, according to Coinglass data.

    However, Willy Woo, a renowned on-chain analyst, warned that a continued rise could trigger a significant short squeeze. Woo said via X, “Tapping 72k is the fuse that’s set to start a liquidation cascade. $1.5b of short positions ready to be liquidated all the way up to $75k and a new all time high.”

    Bitcoin Liquidation Heatmap
    Bitcoin Liquidation Heatmap | Source: X @woonomic

    At press time, BTC traded at $71,075.

    Bitcoin price
    Bitcoin price surpasses $71,000, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com

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    Jake Simmons

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  • Bitcoin Whale Signal Echoes Pre-480% Surge In Mid-2020

    Bitcoin Whale Signal Echoes Pre-480% Surge In Mid-2020

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    CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young-Ju today pointed out significant similarities in Bitcoin’s market behavior between the current state and mid-2020, a period marked by stagnant prices but high on-chain activity. Young-Ju’s insights were illustrated with two key charts and shared via a post on X, drawing parallels that suggest a robust undercurrent of large volume transactions, potentially outside the public exchange networks.

    Bitcoin realized cap for new whales | Source: X @ki_young_ju

    The first chart, representing data up until 2020, shows Bitcoin’s price alongside the realized cap for new whales – a metric that tracks the aggregate value at which the newly acquired Bitcoin by large investors was last moved. It’s a different form of market capitalization that assesses each UTXO at the price it last changed hands, rather than its present market price. This metric reflects the actual realized value of all the coins in the network, rather than their current market value.

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    This value experienced a sharp increase around mid-2020, precisely when Bitcoin’s price was caught in boredom just like in recent months, consistently trading around the $10,000 mark. According to Young-Ju, this period was characterized by high on-chain activity which later analysis suggested involved over-the-counter (OTC) transactions among institutional players.

    In the second chart, extending to 2024, a similar pattern emerges with even more pronounced growth in the realized cap for new whales, despite Bitcoin’s price showing a sideways movement for almost 100 days now. The chart indicates a significant addition of about $1 billion daily into new whale wallets, a term typically referring to addresses holding large amounts of Bitcoin, often linked with institutional or highly capitalized individual investors.

    What This Means For Bitcoin Price

    Ki Young-Ju elaborated on these observations: “Same vibe on Bitcoin as mid-2020. Back then, BTC hovered around $10k for 6 months with high on-chain activity, later revealed as OTC deals. Now, despite low price volatility, on-chain activity remains high, with $1B added daily to new whale wallets, likely custody.”

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    He further referenced a tweet from September 2020 that corroborated his analysis, noting that the “number of BTC transferred hits the year-high, and those TXs are not from exchanges. Fund Flow Ratio of all exchanges hits the year-low. Something’s happening. Possibly OTC deals.”

    This comparison and the sustained high level of the realized cap for new whales suggest an ongoing accumulation phase among large-scale investors, reminiscent of the activity observed in mid-2020. Such movements are generally not visible on traditional crypto exchanges and indicate a strong institutional interest that could be a precursor to significant market moves. Following Young-Ju’s tweet, BTC price rallied by 480% from September 2020 till November 2021.

    If a similar move is brewing for Bitcoin price remains to be seen, but the continuous growth in Bitcoin holdings among new whales, along with sustained price levels, points to a potential buildup of pressure beneath the apparent calm of the market surface. As observed in the past, such conditions may lead to substantial price movements once the accumulated Bitcoin begins to impact the broader market through either increased liquidity or renewed trading interest.

    At press time, BTC traded at $68,271.

    Bitcoin price
    BTC price remains below key resistance, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com

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    Jake Simmons

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  • Parabolic Rally In The Making? Bitcoin Regains $70,000 As Traders’ Paper Profits Collapse To 3%

    Parabolic Rally In The Making? Bitcoin Regains $70,000 As Traders’ Paper Profits Collapse To 3%

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    The world’s largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), has been consolidating over the past week, trading between $67,000 and $70,000 after experiencing a brief 20% price correction that sent it as low as $56,400 in early May. 

    This consolidation period comes as inflows into the US spot Bitcoin ETF market have reignited, and selling pressure appears to have cooled off, both in the ETF market and among Bitcoin investors more broadly.

    Bitcoin Selling Pressure Fades

    According to Julio Moreno, head of research at on-chain market analytics firm CryptoQuant, the current Bitcoin price level of $70,000 differs from when it last reached that mark in March. 

    Moreno notes that traders are now exerting much lower selling pressure, as unrealized profits are only around 3%, compared to 69% in early March. This suggests that much of the “heavy selling” has been exhausted, as seen in the chart below.

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    Unrealized gains for BTC holders are only 3%. Source: Julio Moreno on X

    Santiment data also shows that Bitcoin has once again eclipsed a $70,000 market capitalization, even as the US stock market took a hiatus for the Memorial Day holiday. 

    Market intelligence platform Santiment sees this as an encouraging sign, as it demonstrates BTC’s ability to perform positively on days when it is not closely correlated with the primary stock market, which has been the case for much of 2022.

    Final Pre-Breakout Consolidation Phase

    Despite this positive momentum, crypto analyst Rekt Capital has noted that Bitcoin’s latest weekly candle closed below the range high resistance of its ongoing “re-accumulation” phase, which spans roughly $60,000 to $70,000.

    This likely sentences the leading cryptocurrency to further consolidation within this range, aligned with Rekt Capital’s thesis that two phases remain in the current bull cycle: the post-halving re-accumulation phase and the “parabolic rally phase.”

    Historically, Bitcoin has tended to consolidate around all-time highs before embarking on the most illustrative stretch of its bull cycles. According to the analyst, Bitcoin has indeed been consolidating at these highs for quite some time now, especially by the standards of previous cycles. 

    While there is still room for further sideways trading at these elevated price levels, the time remaining in this phase is slowly running out. This leads to the belief that the long-awaited post-Halving rally, coupled with renewed investor sentiment, is poised to take the largest cryptocurrency on the market to even higher levels than the current $73,700 reached in mid-March.

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    As such, Bitcoin appears to be entering a critical juncture in its current bull cycle. The consolidation and re-accumulation that has dominated the market in recent months could soon give way to the next parabolic surge, should historical patterns hold. 

    Bitcoin
    The 1-D chart shows BTC’s price consolidation. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    As of now, BTC has gained 2% in the past 24 hours, adding to its 10% positive movement in the past month alone. Bitcoin is currently trading at $70,200. 

    Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

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    Ronaldo Marquez

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  • Bitcoin Whales Spend $6.3 Billion In One Day As Historic BTC Buy Signal Appears

    Bitcoin Whales Spend $6.3 Billion In One Day As Historic BTC Buy Signal Appears

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    Bitcoin whales are not backing down from the market and have continued to capitalize on the pump by buying every dip. The most recent dip toward $60,000 saw these large investors gobble up BTC at an alarming rate, with their daily spending coming in at billions of dollars.

    Bitcoin Whales Buy $6.3 Billion Worth Of BTC

    In a stunning discovery, co-founder of Bitcoin-based company Apollo, Thomas Fahrer, revealed that Bitcoin whales have been rapidly buying up the tokens amid price drawdown. More specifically, the daily spend of these whales caught Fahrer’s eye.

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    The report shared by the founder shows that while smaller investors had been selling, Bitcoin whales were buying up billions of dollars worth of coins. In the 24-hour period, these whales holding more than 1,000 BTC on their balances accumulated 8,953 BTC, worth $6.3 billion at the time. This further adds to their weekly accumulation numbers, coming out at 12,058 BTC, which is almost $9 billion worth of BTC bought in one week.

    This accumulation trend comes in light of smaller investors selling their tokens. For example, Fahrer’s screenshot show Sharks, which are investors holding between 100-1,000 BTC on their balances sold 6,746 BTC in one day, worth around $5 billion.

    Other notable sellers include the crabs, which are investors holding 1-10 BTC, selling 1,074 BTC in the same time period. Shrimps – investors holding 0-1 BTC, were also caught selling, with a total of 591 BTC sold. While Fish investors, those holding 10-100 BTC, sold only 95 BTC in the one day period.

    The flow of these investors shows that BTC is flowing out from smaller investors toward larger investors, something that is bullish for the price. The same is the case on the weekly timeframe where Shrimps sold 2,079 BTC, Crabs sold 5,748 BTC, Fish sold 1,155 BTC, while Sharks bought up 60 BTC, with Bitcoin whales buying the majority with 12,085 BTC.

    Time To Buy

    A number of crypto analysts have called for buying and it seems Bitcoin whales are the ones following this advice. One of the analysts who has been vocal about it being the time to buy is Ali Martinez, who shared an interesting formation on the Bitcoin chart.

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    Martinez pointed out that the TD Sequential, which had previously predicted the Bitcoin price movement, had flashed a buy signal. The level at which this analyst presented this buy signal was around the $69,500 level, and since then, the BTC price has since rebounded above $70,000, suggesting the buy signal was correct.

    If the TD Sequential holds like it did the last time it appeared, then the current price push could see Bitcoin reach a new all-time high above $74,000, since the last one saw an almost 15% move. But for now, Bitcoin bulls are fighting to maintain its position above $70,000, with a 12.22% increase in the last week.

    BTC price drops to critical level | Source: BTCUSD On Tradingview.com

    Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Bitcoin Rally Incoming: This Major BTC Metric Just Turned Bullish Once Again

    Bitcoin Rally Incoming: This Major BTC Metric Just Turned Bullish Once Again

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    A crucial Bitcoin metric has just turned bullish, sparking optimism from a crypto analyst regarding an impending rally for Bitcoin. This unique technical pattern suggests that the world’s largest cryptocurrency could see its price ascending further, potentially kick-starting a highly welcomed bull run this cycle. 

    Bitcoin Technical Pattern Flips Bullish

    Bitcoin’s price has often followed distinct historical patterns, with the majority of these indicators preceding significant rallies or bearish trends. One of the most compelling signs that Bitcoin may be turning bullish again is seen as the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) Oscillator breaks below the lower Bollinger Bands, a technical indicator used to measure a market’s volatility and momentum. 

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    According to a crypto analyst identified as ‘Dominando Cripto’ on X (formerly Twitter), the SSR is a unique technical tool designed to evaluate the market sentiment by comparing the supply of stablecoins to Bitcoin. This tool is used by analysts and traders to identify buying and selling opportunities for Bitcoin. Additionally, it quantifies how the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the SSR moves within the Bollinger Bands. 

    Source: X

    Dominando Cripto has provided an in-depth explanation of how the SSR oscillator is calculated and how to interpret its signals for identifying bullish trends. 

    “The oscillator is calculated by taking the difference between the current Stablecoin Supply Ratio value and its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), then dividing it by the standard deviation of the SSR over the same period,” the analyst stated. 

    Sharing a price chart depicting movements of the SSR oscillator, the crypto analyst suggests that when the oscillator moves above the upper Bollinger Bands, it suggests that the SSR is significantly higher than normal levels. This indicates that stablecoins are dominating the market, signaling bearish sentiment and a potential downturn for Bitcoin. 

    Conversely, when the oscillator falls below the lower Bollinger Band, it indicates that the SSR is low, highlighting the reduced dominance of stablecoins and signaling bullish sentiment that could potentially trigger an incoming rally in Bitcoin. 

    In the above price chart, Dominando Crypto pinpointed several instances when the SSR oscillator displayed bearish and bullish sentiment, identifying these periods as heated zones and cold zones, respectively. Recent market movements indicate that the SSR oscillator is in the cold zone, indicating a potential bullish outlook for Bitcoin. 

    More Bullish Signs For BTC

    On May 18, Blockchain analytics platform, Santiment, revealed a new market trend where small traders are consistently liquidating their BTC holdings, even as the cryptocurrency has shown positive performance lately. 

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    The analytics platform noted that historically, when small wallets dump coins into larger wallets, it is considered an encouraging sign for Bitcoin, indicating a potential bullish turnaround for the pioneer cryptocurrency. 

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is trading at $66,955, according to CoinMarketCap. The cryptocurrency has been on a major bullish momentum recently, witnessing an 8.94% increase in the last seven days and a 4.25% surge over the past month. 

    Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
    BTC price recovers above $67,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image created using Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Bitcoin: Will Prices Easily “Explode” Past $74,000 Or Dump Due To Miner Capitulation?

    Bitcoin: Will Prices Easily “Explode” Past $74,000 Or Dump Due To Miner Capitulation?

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    Bitcoin prices have been trending lower in the past couple of weeks and generally remain within a bearish formation. Although momentum appears to be picking up, bulls are not out of the woods just yet.

    Analysts are not losing hope and remain overly upbeat, expecting a surge that would take the world’s most valuable coin to new levels.

    Bitcoin Forms A “Cup And Handle” Formation In The Weekly Chart

    In a post on X, one of them, MikybullCrypto, said Bitcoin has formed a “cup and handle” reversal pattern, suggesting an imminent surge towards new all-time highs. This formation is a glimmer of hope for optimistic traders, especially now that prices have been moving lower and sideways, erasing gains posted in March.

    BTC forms a cup and handle pattern | Source: @MikybullCrypto via X

    The “cup and handle” formation is a technical pattern chartists use to identify potential reversals and confirm trend continuations. In the current setup, as identified by the trader on the weekly chart, the “handle” was formed after the recent price drop from all-time highs. The “cup” follows the price decline in 2022 and the subsequent recovery in 2023.

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    Historically, if there is a breakout above the handle and the rim of the cup, prices tend to rally to new levels. For this reason, the analyst says that if buyers press on from spot rates, the breakout above the current range and all-time highs of $73,800 will be “explosive.”  

    Bitcoin prices trending upward on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView
    Bitcoin prices trending upward on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView

    For now, prices remain in a descending channel with clear resistance levels marked out in the immediate term at around $66,000 and $72,000. A breakout, reading from the candlestick formation in the daily chart, above these liquidation levels could spark demand, lifting the coin to new levels. 

    Will Miners Dump BTC And Force Prices Lower?

    However, lurking beneath the optimistic outlook is a potential storm cloud: declining on-chain activity. After the brief spike in on-chain activity on Halving Day due to the launch of the Runes protocol, transaction fees have been declining.

    Bitcoin transaction fees | Source: YCharts

    According to YCharts, it is currently at $3.206, down from over $128 on April 20. This contraction means miners are getting less revenue, heaping more pressure now that there is more pressure on margins post-Halving.

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    Now that miners are feeling the pinch of slashed block rewards and declining transaction fees, it is likely that they might liquidate some of their BTC to stay afloat. Their participation, especially in the secondary market, would heap more pressure on BTC, forcing prices lower. 

    Feature image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView

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    Dalmas Ngetich

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  • Bitcoin: This Indicator Flashes Green For The First Time Since January 2024

    Bitcoin: This Indicator Flashes Green For The First Time Since January 2024

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    According to the candlestick arrangement in the daily chart, Bitcoin is moving inside a range. BTC is also down roughly 20% from the all-time high at spot rates. Though the series of lower lows posted in the past few trading days is bearish, one analyst is upbeat, expecting an encouraging recovery in the sessions ahead.

    This Indicator Flashes Green: Time For Bitcoin To Rally?

    Taking to X, the analyst notes that the 50-day Williams %R oscillator is turning from oversold territory, signaling that the bear run could end. Historically, the indicator has accurately signaled buying opportunities whenever it turns from oversold territory.

    50-day Williams oscillator on BTC chart | Source: Analyst on X

    The Williams %R oscillator is a crucial technical indicator chartists use to assess momentum and identify potential oversold or overbought conditions. When the indicator falls below -80, it suggests the asset being analyzed is oversold, potentially indicating a buying opportunity. Conversely, when it rises above +20, it may mean that the asset is overbought, prompting the trader to adjust their strategy accordingly.

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    Since the beginning of 2023, the analyst observes that the 50-day Williams %R oscillator mapping Bitcoin prices has dipped into oversold territory on four occasions. Notably, each time the oscillator reversed from this zone, BTC prices rose in tandem. 

    Now, with the Williams %R oscillator returning from the oversold territory roughly ten days ago, the analyst is optimistic. It returned from the oversold territory in January 2024, preceding the bull run in Q1 2024. 

    If past performance is anything to go by, BTC is likely ready for a leg up. Considering the extended sideways movement and lower lows since prices peaked in mid-March 2024, this development will be a massive boost for the coin.

    Does BTC Stand A Chance After Extended Consolidation?

    The asset has become more dynamic since the approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Broader market conditions, such as regulatory changes, macroeconomic trends, and investor sentiment increasingly influence it. 

    Subsequently, this dynamism can impact the accuracy of technical indicators like the Williams % R oscillator. This tool lags and doesn’t factor in events in real time. Therefore, while the oscillator has been reliable in the past, it may not necessarily accurately predict the future cycle.

    Bitcoin price trending sideways on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView
    Bitcoin price trending sideways on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView

    For this reason, the coming days and weeks will be crucial for Bitcoin. If the price breaks out of its current range upwards, it could lend credence to the bullish interpretation.

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    Currently, BTC is in a narrow range. According to the daily chart, support is at $56,500, and resistance is at $66,000.

    Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView

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    Dalmas Ngetich

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  • US Mega Banks JP Morgan And Wells Fargo Unveil Bitcoin Exposure As BTC Drops To $60,000

    US Mega Banks JP Morgan And Wells Fargo Unveil Bitcoin Exposure As BTC Drops To $60,000

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    JP Morgan and Wells Fargo, two of the largest banks in the United States, have announced their investments into Spot Bitcoin ETFs, unveiling their exposure to BTC, the world’s largest cryptocurrency. This significant development comes amidst the persistent downturn in the crypto market, resulting in BTC’s price dipping slightly above $60,000. 

    US Financial Banks Expose Spot Bitcoin ETF Holdings

    American financial services companies, Wells Fargo and JP Morgan, have revealed their exposure to BTC by disclosing their adoption of Spot Bitcoin ETFs in a recent filing. This decision to invest in BTC ETFs marks a notable change from the banks’ previous cautious approach to cryptocurrencies. 

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    Wells Fargo revealed in its new filing to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that it currently holds 2,245 shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), valued at $121,207, which it has since converted into an ETF. Additionally, the American bank holds 37 shares of the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), valued at $1,195. 

    On the other hand, JP Morgan, which holds about $2.9 trillion in Assets Under Management (AUM), has revealed its total Spot BTC ETF holdings in an SEC filing. The bank reported that it had purchased about $760,000 worth of shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), Bitwise Bitcoin ETF, and ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO). 

    Moreover, JP Morgan also owns about 25,021 shares valued at $47,000 in cryptocurrency ATM provider, Bitcoin Depot. The investment company also unveiled its exposure to Spot BTC ETFs just hours after Wells Fargo’s announcement.

    Despite the regulatory uncertainty and the market’s continuous volatility, institutional interest in cryptocurrencies, particularly BTC, has been growing rapidly. Bloomberg senior analyst, Eric Balchunas also forecasted that more financial services companies would likely follow JP Morgan and Wells Fargo’s footsteps to unveil holdings in Spot Bitcoin ETFs as market makers or Authorized Participants (APs). 

    BTC Price sUFFERS More Declines

    Despite the increasing interest from traditional financial institutions seeking exposure to BTC, the price of the cryptocurrency has shown a surprising lack of bullish momentum. Since its halving event on April 20, BTC has been trading sideways, witnessing continuous declines that have pushed its price down to around $57,000 previously. 

    The cryptocurrency, which recorded an all-time high above $73,000 in March, has seen a 14.20% drop over the past month. Additionally, Bitcoin gave up a large portion of its gains before the halving and is currently trading at $60,494, according to CoinMarketCap. 

    Blockchain analytics platform, Santiment, revealed that the ongoing lack of interest in BTC and the broader market sentiments could be a strong sign that the cryptocurrency is getting close to its bottom. 

    BTC price falls below $61,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from PlasBit, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Bitcoin Relative Strength Jumps To 40%: 10x Research Reveals Next Steps From Here

    Bitcoin Relative Strength Jumps To 40%: 10x Research Reveals Next Steps From Here

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    Crypto research platform 10x Research recently noted that the Bitcoin Relative Strength has jumped to 40%. In line with this, they provided insights into what major moves the flagship crypto might make soon enough. 

    What Next For Bitcoin?

    In their newsletter titled “Fake Dip?” 10x Research drew the crypto community’s attention to the fact that Bitcoin has historically experienced potential rallies whenever its relative strength index (RSI) drops to 40%. As such, there is the possibility that BTC could again rally following its recent decline. 

    The research platform warned that a “line in the sand” at the $62,000 mark could keep the flagship crypto from rallying. However, Bitcoin has already broken above that level, which could mean there is still a bullish sentiment around the crypto token. 

    Meanwhile, the research hinted that BTC would need a catalyst to enjoy a sustained rally. They highlighted four bullish events that helped Bitcoin enjoy a parabolic run soon after breaking a vital support level. These events included Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s bid for uncapped deposit insurance, BlackRock’s application for a Spot Bitcoin ETF, Franklin Templeton also filing for a Spot Bitcoin ETF, and when US Core PCE dropped below 3.0%.

    This echoes the sentiment of Andrey Stoychev, Head of Prime Brokerage at Nexo, who previously mentioned that Bitcoin would need a catalyst to make a significant move to the upside. He predicts that Bitcoin will only continue to trade around the $67,000 range without this catalyst. 

    10x Research didn’t sound optimistic about BTC enjoying a sustained rally, as their trend model indicates that the flagship crypto is in a downtrend. Despite that, they are not ruling out the possibility of BTC experiencing a bullish reversal. The research firm also revealed that they would look to buy the dip if Bitcoin drops significantly or rallies from here. 

    BTC Still Destined To Hit New Highs

    Crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto recently suggested that Bitcoin will still hit new highs. He stated that Bitcoin’s current price action is meant to create “more fear across the market and then bottom for upward continuation.” Crypto analyst Ali Martinez also recently suggested that the bull run was far from over, bearing in mind that Bitcoin consolidated around this period in the last two bull runs. 

    He claimed that BTC might be over 500 days away from hitting its market top for this cycle. As to how BTC could rise, Martinez mentioned that it could hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $92,190 if it breaches the resistance level of $69,150. It is also worth noting that crypto analyst PlanB stated that Bitcoin hitting $100,000 this year is “inevitable.”

    At the time of writing, BTC is trading at around at around $63,500, up over 7% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

    BTC price recovers above $63,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from BBC, chart from Tradingview.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Bitcoin Slump Pushes New Whales Underwater: A Rare Opportunity To Buy?

    Bitcoin Slump Pushes New Whales Underwater: A Rare Opportunity To Buy?

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    As Bitcoin slumps, on-chain data by Ki Young Ju, the founder of the blockchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, paints a stark picture: all new whales, including holders of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), are now underwater. 

    New Whales And Spot ETF Investors Are In Red

    Taking to X, Ju said that more losses would be incoming, predicting that HODLers will find “max pain” at around $51,000. The dip is less than $10,000 from spot rates, suggesting that although there are cracks, the correction might not be deep.

    This overview is welcomed, considering the recent sell-off. Even so, predicting price bottoms in a fast-moving market influenced by multiple forces is tough.

    New BTC whales are underwater | Source: Ki Young Ju on X

    As price action stands, Ju says believers may take the opportunity to double down on the coin. The founder adds that the current price discount presents an opportunity for savvy investors to outperform traditional finance whales, including institutions with BTC exposure via spot ETFs in the United States. 

    Bitcoin price trending downward on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView
    Bitcoin price trending downward on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView

    Bitcoin is under immense liquidation pressure at the time of this writing. Though bulls soaked up the sell-off earlier today, the coin remains within a bearish breakout. Prices are trading below the support zone of between $60,000 and $61,000 and below April 2024.

    Inflow To Spot Bitcoin ETFs Decline As Sentiment Deteriorate

    This formation suggests that though bulls are optimistic, the path of least resistance remains southwards for now. BTC dropped after posting impressive returns from October 2023 to March 2024, when prices peaked. Some analysts think the current cool-off is inevitable following sharp gains in the last six months.

    The fact that whales are underwater was unexpected, considering the state of affairs in the last week of April. Then, the inflow from new whales nearly doubled the cumulative holdings of older whales. Analysts said this influx of fresh capital pointed to growing institutional interest.

    However, looking at the current price action, new whales are now in the red territory, and their excitement seems to wane. 

    According to Lookonchain data, inflow into the eight-spot Bitcoin ETFs, including BlackRock, has stalled. On May 1, all issuers, including Grayscale via GBTC, decreased by 1,950 BTC. Of note is that BlackRock’s IBIT has not seen inflows for five straight days.

    Spot Bitcoin ETF tracker | Source: Lookonchain via X
    Spot Bitcoin ETF tracker | Source: Lookonchain via X

    Still, confidence abounds. Inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are highly influenced by sentiment, which rests on how prices perform. If BTC shakes off the current weakness and tears higher in the expected post-Halving rally, spot ETF issuers will begin receiving new inflows. 

    Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Dalmas Ngetich

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  • Battle For The Halving Block: Bitcoin Users Spend Record $2.4 Million On Block 840,000

    Battle For The Halving Block: Bitcoin Users Spend Record $2.4 Million On Block 840,000

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    With Bitcoin finally completing its fourth-year halving cycle, many users are aggressively competing for halving blocks, paying exorbitant amounts of fees to mine a single block. 

    Bitcoin Mining Pool Pays Over $2.4 Million In Block Fees

    Earlier today, the 840,000th block was added to the Bitcoin blockchain, triggering the onslaught of the highly anticipated halving event. While the price of BTC did not witness a dramatic change following the halving, transaction fees spiked to unprecedented highs. 

    Amidst the massive competition, a mining pool identified as ViaBTC had successfully mined the 840,000th Bitcoin block. Cumulatively, BTC users had spent a staggering $37.7 BTC in mining fees, equivalent to $2.4 million, recording the highest fee ever paid for a Bitcoin block. 

    According to reports from mempool, after ViaBTC had produced the 840,000th block, the protocol had initiated an automated reduction of miners’ reward by half, from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block. In addition to the fees, ViaBTC had received a total payout of 40.7 BTC, valued at approximately $2.6 million, for mining the historic block.  

    While it may seem that Bitcoin miners had thrown caution to the wind by spending over $2.4 million on a single block, the 840,000th block had a major significance within the cryptocurrency space. The historic Bitcoin block is said to hold the first Satoshis, ‘sats,’ the smallest units of BTC following the halving. 

    There are several of these “epic sats,” that appear after the halving event, coveted as a rare collector’s item among cryptocurrency enthusiasts. Some even speculate that these Bitcoin fragments could be potentially worth millions of dollars. 

    Including the hype surrounding these fragmented BTC, much of the competition for the Bitcoin blocks, following the halving has been attributed to the new Runes Protocol which launched at the same time as the Bitcoin halving. 

    Degens Rush To Secure Infamous Rune Tokens

    The Runes Protocol, created by Casey Rodamor, a Bitcoin developer, has sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency community, as degens are avidly competing to etch and mint tokens directly on the Bitcoin network. 

    While mining pools were mining new Bitcoin blocks, degens had paid over 78.6 BTC valued at $4.95 million to mint the rarest Runes. This exponential surge in fees has been an unprecedented event, highlighting the increased adoption and participation of the Bitcoin network.

    According to reports from Ord.io, a Rune labeled as ‘Decentralized’ was acquired for a fee of 7.99 BTC, equivalent to $510,760. While another titled ‘Dog-Go-To-The-Moon’ was obtained for a fee of 6.73 BTC, worth approximately $429,831.

    Leonidas, protocol developer and host of the groundbreaking Ordinals, a system for numbering “epic sats,” has declared the Runes Protocol a remarkable success as degens have “single-handedly offset the drop in miner rewards from the halving.” He concluded that Runes have significantly impacted Bitcoin’s security budget, potentially playing a major role in ensuring the network’s sustainability.

    BTC price sitting at $63,700 after halving | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from Watcher Guru, chart from Tradingview.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Scott Matherson

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  • ‘We Sold Everything Last Night’, Reveals Crypto Research Firm

    ‘We Sold Everything Last Night’, Reveals Crypto Research Firm

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    Markus Thielen of 10x Research unveiled a significant shift in his crypto strategy in response to mounting financial pressures and market instability, as detailed in an investor note released earlier today. Thielen, an influential figure in the analysis sector, cited a concerning outlook on risk assets, which encompasses both technology stocks and cryptocurrencies, primarily driven by unanticipated and ongoing inflation rates.

    According to projections from Bank of America, US CPI headline inflation is expected to reach 4.8% by the November 2024 election. Over the past three months, month-over-month CPI inflation has averaged 0.4%. An acceleration at this speed would mean the rate is more than twice the Federal Reserve’s inflation target of 2% by November.

    Why 10x Research Sold (Almost) All Crypto And Risk Assets

    In light of this, 10x Research’s decision to divest from risky assets was catalyzed by an adverse shift in economic indicators. Notably, the US bond market is currently projecting fewer than three Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, a significant adjustment from earlier more optimistic forecasts. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the majority of market participants now think that a rate cut by the Fed will not come before the mid-September FOMC meeting.

    CME FedWatch tool probabilities | Source: CME

    Additionally, the 10-year Treasury Yields have reached a peak of 4.61% this month, marking the highest rate since November 2023, further complicating the investment landscape for risk assets including technology stocks and cryptocurrencies.

    “Our growing concern is that risk assets are teetering on the edge of a significant price correction,” Thielen stated in the note. “We sold all our tech stocks last night as the Nasdaq is trading very poorly and reacting to the higher bond yield. We only hold a few high-conviction crypto coins. Overall, we are bearish on risk assets.”

    The bearish stance is further supported by the disappointing performance of US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs. Despite the SEC’s approval of nearly a dozen such ETFs in January, which initially spurred a surge in Bitcoin prices, the influx of capital has markedly slowed. This month, the five-day average net inflows into these ETFs plummeted to zero, a stark contrast to the nearly $12 billion that flowed into these investment vehicles earlier in the year.

    Thielen’s comments also touched on the broader implications of the upcoming Bitcoin network’s quadrennial halving, scheduled for April 20. This event will reduce the reward for mining a block of Bitcoin by 50%, from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. While such halvings have historically spurred bullish sentiment and price increases due to a perceived scarcity of Bitcoin, Thielen suggests that the current market conditions might dampen any potential rallies.

    “It is essential to understand that trading is a continuous game with high-conviction opportunities. The key is to keep analyzing the markets and uncovering those opportunities when the odds are in your favor. There are times when we advocate for a total risk-on approach and when the priority is safeguarding your capital, enabling you to seize opportunities at lower levels,” Thielen stated.

    In a notable exchange with Matthew Graham of Ryze Labs, Thielen defended his firm’s trading strategy amid criticism for what was described as erratic decision-making. Graham pointed to recent fluctuations in 10x Research’s stance on Bitcoin, citing a research note from early April that predicted a potential rally to $80,000, followed by a more cautious view and the recent sell-off.

    Thielen responded, “Actually, no. We have been cautious since March 8, and when the triangle breakout failed, we worked with the $68,300 stop loss. This is simply risk-reward trading.” This defense highlights the volatile nature of crypto trading and the necessity for agile strategies in response to rapidly changing market conditions.

    Thielen concluded, promising a strong re-entry into the market under more favorable conditions: “Will buy back with both hands at 52,000 – promise.”

    At press time, BTC traded at $63,045.

    Bitcoin price
    BTC price, 4-hour chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Jake Simmons

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  • Bitcoin Price Stuck Below $66,000: Are ETF Outflows An Issue?

    Bitcoin Price Stuck Below $66,000: Are ETF Outflows An Issue?

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    On Tuesday, the crypto market was off guard when Cathie Wood’s ARK 21Shares spot Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) experienced a significant outflow. This marked the first time since the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States that one of the “Newborn Nine” surpassed the outflows of Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). On April 2, ARKB saw outflows of $87.5 million, approximately 1,300 BTC, as reported by Farside Investors, while Grayscale recorded a daily outflow of $81.9 million.

    This event marked a notable shift in the Bitcoin market dynamics, raising concerns and debates among investors and analysts alike. The core question that arises is whether such outflows indicate a bearish signal for Bitcoin’s price or if they are a natural part of the market’s ebb and flow.

    Are ETF Outflows Beyond Grayscale Concerning?

    Bloomberg’s ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, offered an analytical perspective on the event, advocating for a broader view of ETF dynamics. In a series of comments on social media platform X, Balchunas downplayed the severity of the outflows.

    “Seeing some of CT up in arms over ARKB having an outflow day, which really shows the greedy and short-sighted nature of some of the folks in this space tbh,” he remarked, suggesting that even the most reputable ETFs, like those offered by Vanguard, periodically experience outflows as part of their operational cycle.

    Balchunas further elaborated on the significance of ARKB’s performance, stating, “ARKB has $2.8b in under 3 months on the market. And it’s only the 3rd biggest. I would have guessed 3rd place would be $500m at this point. The inflows have been that epic, and without the ETFs, btc is probably at like $30k.”

    This comment highlights the instrumental role of ETFs in bolstering Bitcoin’s market price, suggesting that the recent outflows, while notable, represent a minor setback in the grand scheme.

    The analyst also addressed the collective behavior of ETF investors, emphasizing that the recent downturn in Bitcoin’s price should not solely be attributed to ETF outflows. “The ‘ten’ are a team, and yesterday they saw net inflows as a team, yet btc went down like 6% = the selling (as usual) is coming from your fellow supposed hodlers,” he pointed out, hinting at the broader market dynamics and investor behaviors influencing price movements.

    Renowned crypto expert Scott Melker weighed in on the debate, suggesting a possible rationale behind the ARKB outflows. “Probably just a large investor allocating to a different ETF,” Melker commented, indicating the strategic reallocation of assets within the crypto ETF space.

    Responding to inquiries about the transparency of ETF transactions, Balchunas highlighted the inherent anonymity of ETF trading, stating, “No way to know, could be someone spooked by volatility, […] could have been ARK itself taking profits […] Not even the issuer knows who is going in and out of their ETFs. That anonymity is an underrated feature of ETFs,” thereby shedding light on the privacy aspects that differentiate ETFs from other investment vehicles.

    Bitcoin Inflows Are Positive Again

    Despite the concerns raised by the recent outflows, the ETF market demonstrated resilience yet again with positive flows of $113.5 million yesterday. Fidelity led the pack with $116.7 million in inflows, followed by Blackrock with $42 million and Bitwise with $23 million. ARKB had zero activity. GBTC did $75 million of outflows.

    Renowned analyst WhalePanda commented, “Not much more to say now, price is going sideways. The big outflows on GBTC are over. Just consolidation and accumulation. 16 days until halving. Currently we [need] $60 million per day to buy up the daily mined supply. In 2.5 weeks that’s only $30 million at these prices.”

    At press time, BTC traded at $66,217.

    BTC price, 4-hour chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Jake Simmons

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  • Bitcoin ETF Inflows Could Eclipse $1 Trillion, Predicts Bitwise CIO

    Bitcoin ETF Inflows Could Eclipse $1 Trillion, Predicts Bitwise CIO

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    Following a week of net outflows, the spot Bitcoin ETF market has rebounded with impressive net inflows this week, highlighting a growing investor confidence in Bitcoin and its associated financial products. This week’s market activities have shown a remarkable reversal from the previous 5-day net outflow streak, with Tuesday witnessing a substantial net inflow of $480 million, followed by $243.5 million on Wednesday.

    Yesterday’s resurgence in investor interest was notably boosted by Blackrock’s massive inflow of $323.8 million, effectively offsetting Grayscale GBTC’s $299.8 million outflows. Moreover, Ark Invest’s ARKB reported its best day yet, with $200 million in inflows, despite Fidelity experiencing its worst day with a mere $1.5 million in outflows. Nevertheless, Fidelity managed to bounce back with significant inflows of $261 million and $279 million on Monday and Tuesday, respectively.

    1% Down, 99% To Go For Bitcoin ETFs

    However, according to Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan, this is just the mere beginning of what is to come in the upcoming months. Hougan’s commentary, part of his weekly memo to investment professionals, sheds light on the current market dynamics and the colossal potential that lies ahead. “1% Down; 99% to Go,” Hougan wrote, highlighting the nascent yet promising journey of Bitcoin ETFs.

    Lately, the market has been characterized by its volatility, with Bitcoin’s price oscillating between $60,000 and $70,000. Hougan advises a calm and long-term perspective amidst this fluctuation, especially as the sector anticipates the upcoming Bitcoin halving around April 20, the approval of Bitcoin ETFs on national account platforms, and the soon-to-come completion of due diligence by various investment committees.

    Despite the current sideways movement of Bitcoin’s price, Hougan remains bullish about its long-term trajectory. “Bitcoin is in a raging bull market,” he asserts, noting a nearly 300% increase over the past 15 months. The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January has marked a significant milestone, opening up the Bitcoin market to investment professionals on an unprecedented scale.

    Hougan’s analysis points to a profound shift as global wealth managers, who collectively control over $100 trillion, begin to explore investments in the “digital gold.” He suggests that even a conservative allocation of 1% of their portfolios to Bitcoin could result in approximately $1 trillion of inflows into the space.

    This perspective is backed by historical data showing that even a 2.5% allocation to Bitcoin has enhanced the risk-adjusted returns of traditional 60/40 portfolios in every three-year period of Bitcoin’s history.

    The recent inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, though impressive, are seen by Hougan as merely the beginning of a much larger movement. “We are all excited about the $12 billion that has flowed into ETFs since January. And it is exciting: Collectively, the most successful ETF launch of all time..But imagine global wealth managers allocate just 1% of their portfolios to bitcoin on average,” Hougan elaborates, emphasizing the scale of potential growth awaiting the cryptocurrency market. He concludes:

    Think about the implications. […] A 1% allocation across the board would mean ~$1 trillion of inflows into the space. Against this, $12 billion is barely a down payment. 1% down, 99% to go.

    At press time, BTC traded at $70,644.

    BTC price, 4.-hour chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Jake Simmons

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  • Bitcoin Troubles Far From Over As More Carnage Looms, JPMorgan Analysts

    Bitcoin Troubles Far From Over As More Carnage Looms, JPMorgan Analysts

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    Despite optimism about Bitcoin’s future trajectory heading into the Bitcoin Halving, analysts at JPMorgan have raised concerns that things may not go according to everyone’s expectations. They believe that a storm still lies ahead for the flagship crypto token before any massive move to the upside. 

    Further Bitcoin Pullbacks Are To Be Expected

    According to a Bloomberg report, JPMorgan strategists have warned that Bitcoin could still experience further pullbacks following its recent decline. They alluded to the recent net outflows recorded by the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which underscored the current bearish sentiment in the Bitcoin ecosystem. 

    These strategists, led by Nikolaos Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, also highlighted the sustained open interest in CME Bitcoin futures as another bearish signal for Bitcoin’s price. They further argue that Bitcoin “still looks overbought” and expect further price dips leading up to the Halving event in mid-April. 

    Meanwhile, these JPMorgan analysts emphasized the decline in net inflows into Spot ETFs, noting that this proves that a sustained one-way net inflow is not possible. Therefore, they expect investors in these funds to keep taking profits heading into the Bitcoin Halving. This wave of profit-taking is also more likely, considering that Bitcoin “still looks overbought despite the past week’s correction.” they claimed. 

    This recent research note by JPMorgan further reaffirms their bearish sentiment towards Bitcoin’s price despite the flagship crypto exceeding expectations. Last month, the bank predicted that Bitcoin could drop to as low as $42,000 after April as “Bitcoin-halving-induced euphoria subsides.”

    Naeem Aslam, chief investment officer at Zaye Capital Markets, also echoed JPMoragn’s sentiments when he suggested that Bitcoin’s recent rally didn’t show enough strength. Aslam believes Bitcoin could fall below $50,000 if the Halving event “fails to really keep the momentum going.”

    What Could Happen After The Halving Event

    Crypto trader and analyst Rekt Capital recently provided insights into what could happen after the Havling event while elaborating on the four phases of Bitcoin Halving. According to him, there is usually a re-accumulation period after the Halving, which could last for up to five months. 

    During this period, he noted that many investors get “shaken out in this stage due to boredom, impatience, and disappointment with lack of major results in their BTC investment in the immediate aftermath of the Halving.” Rekt Capital added that this time could be different since it is the first time this re-accumulation could develop around the new all-time high (ATH) area. 

    Therefore, he believes this “Re-Accumulation Range may simply take the shape of a regular sideways range and may not last very long before additional uptrend continuation.”

    BTC price struggles to establish support | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from Crypto News, chart from Tradingview.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Scott Matherson

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  • FOMC Preview: Bitcoin and Crypto’s Fate Tied To Fed Rate Move

    FOMC Preview: Bitcoin and Crypto’s Fate Tied To Fed Rate Move

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    In the lead-up to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for Wednesday, March 20, the Bitcoin and crypto market is experiencing a severe downtrend. BTC price has plunged roughly -10% in the past two days, and Ethereum (ETH) is down -12% in the same period.

    The anticipation surrounding the Fed’s stance on interest rates has heightened in the wake of recent economic indicators, including unexpected spikes in the  US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), stirring volatility across markets, including digital assets.

    The consensus, with a 99% probability according to the CME FedWatch tool, suggests interest rates will hold steady. Nonetheless, the spotlight turns to the Fed’s dot plot, a graphical representation of the individual members’ expectations for future interest rates, which could provide crucial insights into the monetary policy outlook for the coming months and years.

    Target Rate Probabilities | Source: CME FedWatch Tool

    Anna Wong, Chief US Economist for Bloomberg, remarked via X (formerly Twitter), “Another reason why FOMC [is] not ready to cut: members not yet of broad agreement of that need. Here’s visualizing the dispersion of FOMC views with the help of our new weekly NLP Fed spectrometer. “

    How Will Bitcoin And Crypto React?

    Macro analyst Ted, expressing his perspective on X, underscores the nuanced relationship between macroeconomic trends and the crypto market at the moment. Ted elucidated that spot Bitcoin ETF flows have taken the backseat while macro factors came to the foreground.

    He stated via X, “If BTC is to be considered digital gold, it’s expected to mirror gold’s market movements, albeit with a higher degree of volatility. In the current climate, with the market bracing for the Fed’s upcoming meeting, macroeconomic factors momentarily take precedence, driven by recent developments in PPI and CPI figures.”

    He further speculates that “Despite the eventual remarks from [Fed Chair] Powell, the market has already adopted a hawkish stance in anticipation of a ‘higher for longer’ interest rate scenario.”

    Michaël van de Poppe, a noted figure in the crypto analysis domain, provided his insights on the recent downward price movement of Bitcoin via X, citing a mix of factors including the anticipation of the FOMC meeting and significant capital outflows from Grayscale‘s Bitcoin Trust. Van de Poppe advises, “It’s typically in these pre-FOMC periods, perceived as risk-off intervals, that the savvy investor finds opportunities to ‘buy the dip’.”

    In a reflection of market sentiment adjustments, analyst @10delta on X pointed out the strategic positioning of investors in anticipation of the Fed’s rate decisions. “The market is currently pricing in a reversal to the November ’23 interest rate levels, a clear indication that investors are adjusting their expectations based on the Fed’s potential pivot signaled in the previous dot plot,” he noted.

    Accordingly, he argues that the FOMC & dot plot will be a “buy the news” event as the market expectations are being properly adjusted. “The macro worries […] should dissipate & crypto idiosyncratic bullish factors, such as the ETF inflows […] as well as the BTC halving take hold. All considered I think there’s a good R/R for ‘buying the dip’ heading into the March 20 event,” the analyst added.

    Goldman Sachs Predicts (Only) 3 Rate Cuts This Year

    Goldman Sachs Research recently provided a detailed analysis in their March FOMC Preview. The report highlights the nuanced balance the Fed seeks to achieve between controlling inflation and supporting economic growth.

    “Our revised forecast now anticipates three rate cuts in 2024, a slight adjustment from our previous prediction, primarily due to a modest uptick in the inflation trajectory,” Goldman Sachs analysts elucidated. They further speculate, “While the immediate focus is on maintaining current rate levels, the trajectory for rate cuts will hinge on inflation dynamics and economic performance indicators.”

    Goldman Sachs further predicts that the Fed will still target a first cut in June. “This combined with a default pace of one cut per quarter implies that the most natural outcome for the median dot is to remain unchanged at 3 cuts or 4.625% for 2024,” the banking giant remarked.

    As the crypto market and broader financial ecosystems await the outcomes of the FOMC meeting, the prevailing sentiment is one of cautious anticipation. Market participants are closely monitoring the Fed’s commentary for indications of future monetary policy directions via the dot plot.

    The question for the Bitcoin and crypto market is whether there will be an unpleasant surprise or whether market participants were right with their “higher for longer” policy assumption.

    At press time, BTC found support at the $62,400 price level, trading at $63,118.

    Bitcoin price
    Bitcoin price, 4-hour chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Jake Simmons

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  • Crypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Heavily Undervalued Despite ATH, What’s The Fair Value?

    Crypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Heavily Undervalued Despite ATH, What’s The Fair Value?

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    Despite Bitcoin recently hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of over $70,000, crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe believes that there is still more room for significant moves to the upside. Interestingly, he also expects that this bull cycle will be one like no other.

    Bitcoin Still Heavily Undervalued

    Michaël van de Poppe mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that Bitcoin was still “heavily undervalued” despite hitting a new ATH. He added that the value is “way higher” and noted how the flagship crypto can help hedge against inflation and keep one’s purchasing power alive. Meanwhile, the crypto analyst believes there will be “way higher numbers” in this cycle.

    Michaël van de Poppe had previously hinted at Bitcoin rising to as high as $150,000 in this bull run. Other analysts have also given similar price predictions, with the consensus that BTC will surely rise above $100,000. Other crypto analysts, including MacronautBTC, have even gone as far as predicting that Bitcoin could rise above $200,000. 

    There is a growing belief that this bull cycle will be the mother of all past cycles, which could be the reason for such ambitious predictions. Moreover, this cycle has the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, something past bull runs didn’t have. These ETFs have ushered in more institutional demand for the flagship crypto, which has led to an overall increase in the demand for Bitcoin. 

    Interestingly, NewsBTC previously reported that the demand for Bitcoin is significantly exceeding Miners’ supply. This development is coming at a time when miners’ rewards are set to be cut in half during the Bitcoin Halving. This would likely lead to more imbalance between the demand and supply curve, potentially leading to an exponential surge in Bitcoin’s price. 

    BTC Still Has Enough Time To Hit New Highs 

    Bitcoin hitting a new ATH of $70,000 is just the beginning of this bull run, as there is reason to believe this bullish momentum could run into next year. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted in an X post that Bitcoin has “consistently taken about 8 to 11 months to hit a market top” whenever it has shattered its previous ATH.   

    With Bitcoin currently hitting new highs, the analyst added that historical patterns suggest that the next BTC market top “will be sometime between November 2024 and February 2025.” However,  Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, has warned that “bull markets are not straight lines up” and that sharp corrections should be expected along the way. 

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $68,300, up over 2% in the last 24 hours according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

    BTC price drops $68,400 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from CNBC, chart from Tradingview.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Where Are We In This Bitcoin Cycle? Galaxy Lead Expert Answers

    Where Are We In This Bitcoin Cycle? Galaxy Lead Expert Answers

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    In a comprehensive analysis shared via X (formerly Twitter), Alex Thorn, the Head of Firmwide Research at Galaxy, delved into the intricacies of the current Bitcoin market cycle, answering the question “Where Are We In This Bitcoin Cycle?” As Bitcoin trades robustly around $62,000, with a notable spike to $64.000 yesterday, the crypto landscape is witnessing unprecedented dynamics, marked by a surge in ETF inflows, strategic acquisitions by corporate entities, and a palpable shift in investor sentiment towards digital assets.

    Thorn emphasized how different this cycle is:

    Effectively, the bull runs of 2017 and 2020 hadn’t yet begun at this stage in Bitcoin’s supply schedule.

    52 days before 2nd Halving (9-JUL-16) BTCUSD $455.22 (-59.86% from ATH)
    52 days before 3rd Halving (11-MAY-20) BTCUSD $6,174 (-68.56% from ATH)
    52 days before 4th Halving (20-APR-24) BTCUSD $59,330 (-12.16% from ATH)

    Why This Bitcoin Cycle Is Different

    Central to his analysis is the record-breaking influx of capital into spot Bitcoin ETFs, with Thorn highlighting, “The BTC ETFs took in a whopping net $576m of BTC yesterday (Tuesday Feb. 27), with BlackRock alone seeing $520m of inflows, its largest ever day.” This significant movement of funds not only underscores the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin but also marks a pivotal moment in the cryptocurrency’s journey towards mainstream financial recognition.

    A key aspect of Thorn’s analysis is the unwavering strength of Bitcoin’s long-term holder base, which he estimates to hold about 75% of the total BTC supply. “Long-term holders are still mostly holding strong,” Thorn notes, emphasizing the community’s resilience and faith in Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition. This demographic, characterized by their ‘diamond hands’, plays a crucial role in stabilizing the market and buffering against the volatility that often defines the crypto space.

    Bitcoin: % of supply held by HODLers | Source: X @intangiblecoins

    Thorn further elaborates on the analytical tools and metrics that provide insight into Bitcoin’s market behavior. He introduces the MVRV Z-Score, a novel approach to understanding the cyclicality of Bitcoin’s price action by comparing its market value to its realized value. This metric offers a window into the perceived overvaluation or undervaluation of Bitcoin at any given point. Currently, the MVRV Z-Score is close to 2, while previous cycle tops saw the metric spike to 8 (in 2021) or even above 12 (in prior halving cycles).

    Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score
    Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score | Source: X @intangiblecoins

    Addressing the speculation around the acceleration of the Bitcoin cycle, Thorn firmly dispels concerns that the market is prematurely peaking. He argues against the notion that we are “speedrunning the ‘cycle’”, instead asserting that the advent of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States represents a transformative shift with far-reaching implications. “This time is different,” Thorn asserts, pointing to the ETFs’ disruption of traditional Bitcoin price cycles and their impact on investor behavior and intra-crypto dynamics.

    The Spot Bitcoin ETF Effect

    Thorn underscored the transformative impact of Bitcoin ETFs, positing that we are merely at the beginning of a significant shift in how Bitcoin is accessed and invested in, particularly by the institutional sector. “Despite incredible volumes and flows, there’s plenty of reason to believe that the Bitcoin ETF story is still just getting started,” he stated, pointing to the untapped potential within the wealth management sector.

    In their October 2023 report titled “Sizing the Market for the Bitcoin ETF,” Galaxy laid out a compelling case for the future growth of Bitcoin ETFs. The report highlights that wealth managers and financial advisors represent the primary net new accessible market for these vehicles, offering a previously unavailable avenue for allocating client capital to BTC exposure.

    The magnitude of this untapped market is substantial. According to Galaxy’s research, there is approximately $40 trillion of assets under management (AUM) across banks and broker/dealers that has yet to activate access to spot BTC ETFs. This includes $27.1 trillion managed by broker-dealers, $11.9 trillion by banks, and $9.3 trillion by registered investment advisors, cumulating to a total US Wealth Management AUM of $48.3 trillion as of October 2023. This data underscores the vast potential for Bitcoin ETFs to penetrate deeper into the financial ecosystem, catalyzing a new wave of investment flows into Bitcoin.

    Thorn further speculated on the upcoming April round of post-ETF-launch 13F filings, suggesting that these filings might reveal significant Bitcoin allocations by some of the largest names in the investment world. “In April, we will also get the first round of post-ETF-launch 13F filings, and (I’m just guessing here…) we are likely to see some huge names have allocated to Bitcoin,” Thorn anticipated. This development, he argues, could create a feedback loop where new platforms and investments drive higher prices, which in turn attracts more investment.

    The implications of this feedback loop are profound. As more wealth management platforms begin to offer access to Bitcoin ETFs, the influx of new capital could significantly impact BTC’s price dynamics, liquidity, and overall market structure. This transition represents a key moment in the maturation of Bitcoin as an asset class, moving from a speculative investment to a staple in diversified portfolios managed by financial advisors and wealth managers.

    We Are Still Early

    Thorn’s optimism extends beyond the immediate market indicators to the broader implications of Bitcoin’s integration into the financial mainstream. He anticipates a new all-time high for Bitcoin in the near term, fueled by a combination of factors including the ETFs’ momentum, increasing acceptance of BTC as a legitimate asset class, and the anticipatory buzz surrounding the upcoming halving event. “All this is to say, my answer to that burning question – where are we in the cycle? – is that we haven’t even begun to reach the heights this is likely to go,” he concludes.

    Thorn’s analysis culminates in a bullish forecast for Bitcoin. As the community stands on the cusp of the fourth BTC halving, Thorn’s insights offer a compelling vision of a market poised for unprecedented growth, driven by a confluence of technological innovation, regulatory evolution, and shifting global economic currents. “Bitcoin is prime time now, and while it might be hard to believe, things are just starting to get exciting,” Thorn declares, capturing the essence of a market at the threshold of a new era.

    At press time, BTC traded at $62,065.

    Bitcoin price
    BTC price, 1-week chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Jake Simmons

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  • Ethereum Outperforms Bitcoin As Institutional Investors Clamor For ETH Exposure

    Ethereum Outperforms Bitcoin As Institutional Investors Clamor For ETH Exposure

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    Reports have revealed that institutional investors are shifting their focus to Ethereum, displaying a preference compared to the largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin. Despite Bitcoin’s recent rally to over $55,000, Ethereum’s unique features and potential developmental capabilities continue to capture institutional players’ interest. 

    Institutions Favor Ethereum Over Bitcoin

    On February 24, cryptocurrency exchange, Bybit, published a research report on its users’ asset allocation. The research examined investors’ hodling and trading behaviours, covering the period from July 2023 to January 2024. Bybit’s report also provided valuable insights into investors’ asset allocation across cryptocurrencies such as altcoins, stablecoins and meme coins, shedding light on the specific coins users are currently bullish or bearish on.  

    According to the research report, Ethereum has unexpectedly emerged as the primary cryptocurrency choice for institutional investors. The report revealed that “institutions are betting big on Ethereum,” allocating more of their funds to ETH compared to BTC. 

    Bybit has disclosed that the recent rise in interest in Ethereum began in September 2023, when ETH was still trading around $2,000. Subsequently, Ethereum’s market sentiment became more bullish, experiencing a surge in investor interest to about 40% by January 2024. The crypto exchange has confirmed that, as of January 31, ETH has become the single largest cryptocurrency held by institutions.

    Bybit’s report also revealed that institutional investors’ interest in Bitcoin began to wane following the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approval of Spot Bitcoin ETFs on January 10, 2024. At the time, Bitcoin had experienced massive selling pressures, resulting in investors trimming their BTC holdings to favour other cryptocurrencies. 

    The excessive allocation of Ethereum is reportedly attributed to investors anticipating a favourable outcome from Ethereum’s upcoming Decun Upgrade, slated to launch in March 2024. 

    Notably, Bybit has disclosed that it is still being determined if the recent shift to Ethereum is a short-term manoeuvre or a more prolonged move. However, the approaching Bitcoin halving in April potentially adds a layer of bearish risks, as projections indicate Bitcoin’s significant rise in value to new all-time highs during the halving phase. 

    ETH price rises to $3,230 | Source: ETHUSD on Tradingview.com

    Retail Investors Think Otherwise

    Bybit’s research report also examines the asset allocation trend for retail investors on the cryptocurrency exchange. The report revealed that retail investors are significantly more bullish on Bitcoin than Ethereum, allocating more funds into BTC than ETH despite Ethereum’s recent surge in value. 

    Over the past week, Ethereum has experienced a substantial hike in its price, jumping over 7% and outpacing Bitcoin, suggesting a potential for a more extensive upward trajectory. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $3,227, reflecting a 4.05% increase in the last 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. 

    While Ethereum’s massive rally has successfully elevated the sentiment among institutional investors, retail investors remain less swayed, opting to hold onto or incorporate additional Bitcoin into their diversified portfolio of digital assets. 

    Featured image from Cointribune, chart from Tradingview.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Scott Matherson

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