A tropical wave is forming in the Atlantic Ocean. Will it impact South Florida?

A tropical wave is brewing in the Atlantic Ocean as another tropical system drifting over Florida has already drenched the state with heavy rainfall. Where is the developing storm now — and where is it headed?

The tropical wave, a broad area of low pressure, is currently several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, according to the National Hurricane Center’s Sunday morning update. Due to the system’s distance from land at the moment, it isn’t causing severe weather in the South Florida region.

READ MORE: South Florida in for a rainy, maybe floody weekend as new Atlantic system brews

The tropical wave is expected to further develop, with environmental conditions “appear[ing] conducive” for a tropical depression to form this week, the NHC said in its advisory. The system is expected to move quickly across the central tropical Atlantic and will approach the Leeward Islands later this week.

So, what are the chances of cyclone formation? Per the NHC, they are:

• In 48 hours: Medium at 40%
• Through 7 days: High at 70%

This story was originally published October 5, 2025 at 2:13 PM.