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  • Tracking Hurricane Melissa: Maps, models

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    Tracking Hurricane Melissa: Maps, models

    SET FOR JUST AFTER 10:00, AND TONIGHT WE ARE TRACKING THE TROPICS. HURRICANE MELISSA IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING AS IT BARRELS TOWARD JAMAICA. IT’S CURRENTLY A CATEGORY THREE STORM, BUT IT COULD REACH CATEGORY FIVE IN THE NEAR FUTURE, AND THIS COULD BE ONE OF THE MOST DEVASTATING HURRICANES TO HIT JAMAICA IN YEARS. PEOPLE IN JAMAICA HAVE BEEN WARNED THAT THEY NEED TO PREPARE NOW AND HUNKER DOWN. THIS VIDEO, TAKEN IN KINGSTON, SHOWS WINDOWS BOARDED UP IN ANTICIPATION OF THE STORM. AND WE ARE TAKING YOU NOW TO A LIVE LOOK AT KINGSTON. YOU CAN SEE THERE THE GROUND ALREADY WET FROM THE OUTER BANDS AND MARQUISE. WHEN WE TALK ABOUT A CATEGORY FIVE STORM, JUST TO REMIND THE PUBLIC, HURRICANE ANDREW THAT HIT HERE IN SOUTH FLORIDA IN 1992, I BELIEVE WAS A CAT FIVE, AND THAT REALLY CHANGED EVERYTHING. THAT’S HOW STRONG THIS STORM COULD BE. IT’S RARE THAT WE SEE CATEGORY FIVES MAKE LANDFALL, BUT WHEN THEY DO, IT’S A HAYMAKER FOR THE ENTIRE REGION, RIGHT. WE’RE TALKING ABOUT THE CHANCE FOR IMMENSE FLOODING, POWER OUTAGES THAT COULD BE WIDESPREAD. ON TOP OF THAT, WITHIN THESE OUTER BANDS, YOU CAN OFTEN FIND SOME TORNADIC SPIN UPS AS WELL. SO ALL IMPACTS WILL BE ON THE TABLE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. BUT SPECIFICALLY, WE’RE LOOKING AT JAMAICA AS YOU GUYS ARE UNDER THAT HURRICANE WARNING. IT’S BEEN QUITE A WHILE SINCE YOU SAW A MAJOR HURRICANE MAKE LANDFALL. THE LAST ONE THAT WAS HURRICANE GILBERT. I ALLUDED TO THIS EARLIER IN THE SHOW BACK IN 1988. SO LESS THAN 40 YEARS AGO, WHEN ADJUSTED FOR 2025, IT WAS IT CAUSED $10 BILLION WORTH OF DAMAGE. AND SINCE THEN, WELL, THE COUNTRY, THEY’VE GROWN IN SIZE BY ABOUT 500,000 PEOPLE. RIGHT ON TOP OF THAT, INFRASTRUCTURE HAS CHANGED AS WELL. BUT THIS STORM COULD POTENTIALLY BE JUST AS BIG AS THE ONE THEY HAD PREVIOUSLY. RIGHT. TAKING A LOOK AT THE EYE WALL, WE SEE THAT BECOMING MUCH MORE DEFINED NOW TONIGHT WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115MPH. THE STORM’S MOVEMENT IS TOWARDS THE WEST AT 30MPH CONDITIONS. SO IT’S REALLY JUST INCHING ITS WAY ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. AND KEEP IN MIND, THE SLOWER IT MOVES, THE MORE TIME IT’S GOING TO HAVE TO DRAW IN TO THESE VERY DEEP, WARM WATERS ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. AND THE MORE TIME IT WILL HAVE TO DUMP DOWN THE RAIN ACROSS JAMAICA IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SO THAT’S WHAT WE’RE WATCHING OUT FOR. THIS STORM POTENTIALLY BECOMING A CATEGORY FIVE JUST BEFORE LANDFALL. HOW WARM IS THE WATER? WELL, TEMPERATURES ARE ANYWHERE BETWEEN 86 AND 88 DEGREES. SOME OF THE WARMEST SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE GLOBE. WHICH IS WHY WE HAVE THIS STORM BECOMING A CATEGORY FIVE BY MONDAY. HEADING INTO TUESDAY, MAKING LANDFALL RIGHT IN THE HEART OF JAMAICA. THEY’RE OUR SPAGHETTI PLOTS ARE FAIRLY TIGHT KNIT. WE SEE THAT RECURVE TOWARDS THE NORTH AND THE EAST, PLACING THIS OVER CUBA AS WE MOVE ACROSS THE WORKWEEK, LIKELY DOWNGRADING, THOUGH, FROM A CATEGORY FIVE OVER JAMAICA, POSSIBLY BECOMING A CATEGORY TWO JUST BEFORE LANDFALL HERE IN CUBA. REGARDLESS, THOUGH, SOUTHEASTERN CUBA, YOU GUYS WILL FEEL THE BRUNT OF THOSE STRONG HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND ALSO RAINFALL, OFTEN KINGSTON WE COULD POSSIBLY SEE CHANCES FOR RAIN BETWEEN 18 AND 24IN. NOW THERE ARE A FEW DIFFERENT MODEL OUTCOMES IN WHICH MELISSA CAN TAKE. THE MOST LIKELY IS THIS NORTH AND EASTERLY PATH, BUT IF IT DOES INTENSIFY QUICKER, WE COULD SEE IT CURVE TOWARDS THE NORTH AND THE EAST A LITTLE BIT FASTER. IT’S GOING TO KEEP US SAFE AS THIS NEXT COLD FRONT HERE IN THE UNITED STATES. SO GREAT NEWS FOR US THERE. REGARDLESS THOUGH, THIS STORM IS GOING TO MAKE NOT ONE BUT TWO LANDFALLS IN JAMAICA AND ACROSS CUBA, LIKELY BEFORE IT GETS TO CUBA AS A CATEGORY THREE OR CATEGORY TWO. HERE, BACK AT HOME, TEMPERATURES ARE BACK IN THE MID 70S. AS WE SETTLE DOWN TONIGHT, BUT IT IS A BREEZY EVENING, WINDS COMING IN FROM THE EAST AND WE HAVE SOME GUSTY CONDITIONS BETWEEN 24 AND 30MPH. THAT’S GOING TO KEEP YOUR RIP CURRENT RISK ALIVE. AND ALSO A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN PLACE AS WE HEAD INTO THE END OF YOUR WEEKEND, WHICH DOES INCLUDE A FEW MORE CHANCES FOR RAIN TOMORROW, WE’LL CARRY THAT CHANCE FOR RAIN INTO THE START OF YOUR WORKWEEK AS WELL. A 60% COVERAGE ON MONDAY, 30% COVERAGE TUESDAY. SUNSHINE RETURNS WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES, THOUGH, A

    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring Hurricane Melissa. Bookmark this page for the latest maps and spaghetti models for Melissa. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring Hurricane Melissa.

    Bookmark this page for the latest maps and spaghetti models for Melissa.

    Storm Path

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Tropical Storm Melissa expected to slam Caribbean islands; up to 25 inches of rain possible

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    WESH 2’s award-winning First Warning Weather team is monitoring Tropical Storm Melissa, which is nearly stationary over the Caribbean Sea on Friday, according to the National Hurricane Center.The NHC said Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft data show Melissa is getting stronger with maximum sustained winds now at 65 mph and a minimum central pressure of 993 mb. Melissa is about 180 miles south-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, according to the NHC. A turn to the west is forecast on Saturday followed by a turn to the north and northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to move near or over Jamaica early next week and could be near or over eastern Cuba by the middle of next week.The NHC advised that residents in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba should closely monitor the development of this system. These locations are at risk of heavy rain, flooding, strong winds and hazardous surf conditions. Watches and warnings in effect: Hurricane Warning in effect for JamaicaHurricane Watch in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-PrinceRainMelissa is expected to bring total rainfall of 15 to 25 inches to portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica through Tuesday, with local maxima of 35 inches possible across the Tiburon Peninsula of Haiti. Potentially catastrophic flash flooding and landslides are possible across portions of Jamaica and the southern Dominican Republic, while catastrophic flash flooding is anticipated in southern Haiti.For southeast Cuba, total rainfall of 4 to 8 inches, with local amounts up to 12 inches, are possible into Tuesday. Jamaica braces for impactsHurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    WESH 2’s award-winning First Warning Weather team is monitoring Tropical Storm Melissa, which is nearly stationary over the Caribbean Sea on Friday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The NHC said Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft data show Melissa is getting stronger with maximum sustained winds now at 65 mph and a minimum central pressure of 993 mb.

    Melissa is about 180 miles south-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, according to the NHC.

    A turn to the west is forecast on Saturday followed by a turn to the north and northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday.

    On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to move near or over Jamaica early next week and could be near or over eastern Cuba by the middle of next week.

    The NHC advised that residents in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba should closely monitor the development of this system.

    These locations are at risk of heavy rain, flooding, strong winds and hazardous surf conditions.

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    Watches and warnings in effect:

    • Hurricane Warning in effect for Jamaica
    • Hurricane Watch in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince

    Rain

    Melissa is expected to bring total rainfall of 15 to 25 inches to portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica through Tuesday, with local maxima of 35 inches possible across the Tiburon Peninsula of Haiti.

    Potentially catastrophic flash flooding and landslides are possible across portions of Jamaica and the southern Dominican Republic, while catastrophic flash flooding is anticipated in southern Haiti.

    For southeast Cuba, total rainfall of 4 to 8 inches, with local amounts up to 12 inches, are possible into Tuesday.

    Jamaica braces for impacts

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    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Tropical Storm Melissa expected to strengthen into Category 3 hurricane south of Jamaica, NHC says

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    Tropical Storm Melissa expected to strengthen into Category 3 hurricane south of Jamaica, NHC says

    THAT IS GREAT NEWS. ALL RIGHT. YEAH. BRINGING IN FIRST WARNING. CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI TONY. GORGEOUS DAY TODAY. LET’S TAKE YOU OUTSIDE. A SMIDGE HOT, IF I DO SAY SO MYSELF. AND I EVEN DROVE TO WORK WITH THE WINDOWS DOWN. I THOUGHT IT WAS HOT, BUT ACTUALLY, IT IS GETTING BETTER AND BETTER. I’M GOING TO PROVE THAT TO YOU. MICHELLE NOT THAT YOU’RE A DOUBTER. PROVE IT. TONY I WILL GIVE ME A SECOND. RIGHT NOW WE TAKE YOU BACK OUTSIDE. WHEN YOU SEE CRYSTAL CLEAR SKIES LIKE THAT, THERE’S SOMETHING GOING ON. THAT IS OUR FRONT WORKING BACK IN, YOU CAN SEE THE TEMPERATURES UP TO THE NORTH IN THE UPPER 70S. OFF TOWARDS THE WEST. WE ARE RUNNING IN THE MID 80S. HERE’S THE FRONT THAT IS GOING TO MISS MELISSA DOWN THERE. BUT THERE’S A SECOND ONE THAT ARRIVES NEXT WEEK THAT WILL HELP US ON OUT. YOU CAN SEE THE FLOW. WE’VE GOT SOME GUSTY WINDS OUT THERE NOW, BUT HEY MICHELLE, LOOK AT THESE DEW POINTS. THEY ARE LOWERING AND WHEN THEY LOWER, THAT MEANS IT FEELS MORE AND MORE COMFORTABLE. NOW, IF YOU’RE RUNNING ERRANDS TONIGHT, IF YOU’RE GOING TO THE MAGIC GAME, YOU’RE LIKE SITTING PRETTY, SAYING, WOOHOO! TONY DID IT, I LOVE IT! LET’S TAKE A LOOK NOW AT THESE WIND SPEEDS OUT OF THE NORTH, ABOUT 5 TO 10 MILES AN HOUR. AGAIN, AN UPDATE ON THE MAGIC GAME 8479. COMFORTABLE OUT THERE TONIGHT FOR DINNER AND THEN WALKING OVER, GETTING YOUR STEPS IN OVER TOWARDS THE KIA CENTER TOMORROW MORNING. TEMPERATURES HERE 55 IN CITRA, 61 IN RUTLAND, 62 IN ASTATULA ON INTO THE METRO AREAS HERE. WE’RE ABOUT 64 TO 66. COASTAL BREVARD COUNTY STILL SITTING RIGHT AROUND 70 DEGREES. SO THURSDAY FRIDAY DOESN’T GET MUCH BETTER THAN THIS, FOLKS. FRONT’S DOWN ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. COUPLE OF SHOWERS THERE. WE’LL WATCH THE ONSHORE FLOW IN THE RIP CURRENTS, BUT SOME OUTSTANDING WEATHER DO GET OUT THERE. ENJOY IT. GET A WALK IN, DO WHATEVER YOU GOT TO DO SOME TENNIS, SOME GOLF. TEMPERATURES UP NORTH IN THE 70S, SOUTH AND WEST RUNNING IN THE MID 80S. WE TAKE A LOOK AT THE ATTRACTIONS ON A THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DOESN’T GET MUCH BETTER THAN THAT EITHER. LOOK AT THAT LOW 80S FOR AN AFTERNOON. STUNNING WEATHER. GET OUT THERE. YOU NEED THE SHADES. AND THEN FOR HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL, AS WE HEAD INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, OUR GAME OF THE WEEK, THE RAMS AND THE PATRIOTS 7270. LOOKING VERY VERY NICE. ALL RIGHT, SWITCHING GEARS, LET’S HEAD TO THE TROPICS. NOW HERE’S MELISSA. STILL A LOT OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THIS PARTICULAR STORM SYSTEM. YOU CAN SEE THE WEST WINDS. LOOK AT THE CLOUDS. AND THAT DRIER AIR ON THE WESTERN SIDE. NOW WE’VE HAD SOME TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS EARLIER TODAY UP INTO HAITI. NOT SEEING THAT NOW, BUT STILL A GOOD BIT OF WIND THERE. BUT LOOK AT THIS. THIS IS A FIVE DAY CONE AND IT DOESN’T MOVE A WHOLE LOT. BUT WHAT IT DOES DO AS THE UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR BEGINS TO GO AWAY, THIS THING WILL RAPIDLY DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. AND THERE’S A VERY GOOD REASON FOR IT. IT IS OVER SOME OF THE WARMEST WATERS IN THE ENTIRE TROPICAL BASIN. AND THAT’S WHY WE’RE SEEING THIS RAPID INTENSIFICATION. NOW WITH REGARDS TO THE COMPUTER MODELS HERE AGAIN, THE GFS IS STILL GOING OVER HAITI. THE MAJORITY OF THESE GO WEST AND THEN BEGIN TO HOOK BACK TOWARDS THE NORTH AND EAST RAPIDLY. NOW, HAVING SAID THAT, LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THE CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. THEY EXTEND AS FAR WEST AS CENTRAL AMERICA AND AS FAR NORTH THERE AS CENTRAL CUBA. AND THIS TO ME IS GOING TO BE THE BULL’S EYE FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN. SO WHAT’S THE SAVING GRACE FOR FLORIDA? THAT’S AN EXCELLENT QUESTION. FIRST FRONT IS GOING TO MISS THIS STORM BECAUSE IT’S SITTING DOWN THERE FOR ABOUT FIVE DAYS. SO FOR ME I SAID THIS YESTERDAY, I THINK THIS IS THE MOST LIKELY TRACK. I THINK IT WILL COME TO THE NORTH. BUT THEN AS THIS FRONT ARRIVES NEXT WEEK, LOOK AT THAT WALL OF SHEAR. THAT FRONT IS GOING TO SHOOT IT OUT LIKE A MISSILE TO THE NORTH AND EAST. AS WE GET YOU ON INTO NEXT WEEK. SO THAT AGAIN, SHOULD BE THE SAVING GRACE FOR US HERE IN CENTRAL FLORIDA. SO WE’LL TALK MORE ABOUT THAT. AND I’LL TAKE A LOOK AT THE EXTENDED SEV

    Tropical Storm Melissa expected to strengthen into Category 3 hurricane south of Jamaica, NHC says

    Updated: 7:58 PM EDT Oct 22, 2025

    Editorial Standards

    Tropical Storm Melissa formed over the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center.Melissa will bring heavy rainfall to Haiti and the Dominican Republic, with totals of 5 to 10 inches expected through Friday. Melissa is about 320 miles south-southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti, according to the NHC. The system has a minimum central pressure of 1002 mb and maximum sustained winds of 50 mph.On the forecast track, Melissa is expected to approach Jamaica and the southwestern portion of Haiti later this week.The NHC is calling for a Category 3 storm by next week south of Jamaica.The NHC advised that residents in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba should closely monitor the development of this system. These locations are at risk of heavy rain, flooding, strong winds and hazardous surf conditions. Watches and warnings in effect: Hurricane Watch is in effect for Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince.Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Jamaica. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    Tropical Storm Melissa formed over the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    Melissa will bring heavy rainfall to Haiti and the Dominican Republic, with totals of 5 to 10 inches expected through Friday.

    Melissa is about 320 miles south-southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti, according to the NHC.

    The system has a minimum central pressure of 1002 mb and maximum sustained winds of 50 mph.

    On the forecast track, Melissa is expected to approach Jamaica and the southwestern portion of Haiti later this week.

    The NHC is calling for a Category 3 storm by next week south of Jamaica.

    The NHC advised that residents in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba should closely monitor the development of this system.

    These locations are at risk of heavy rain, flooding, strong winds and hazardous surf conditions.

    Watches and warnings in effect:

    • Hurricane Watch is in effect for Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince.
    • Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Jamaica.

    This content is imported from Facebook.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • NHC tracking tropical wave headed toward Caribbean

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    The National Hurricane Center tagged two new areas of interest in the Atlantic on Thursday. East of Windward IslandsA tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing large areas of showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. This tropical wave is in the same area some long-range models have been hinting at development for next week as well.Regardless of the system’s development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible as it moves across the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea next week. Formation chances for the next two days: zero percentFormation chances for the next seven days: 30%North AtlanticA non-tropical area of low pressure is currently developing well off the coast of the Northeast United States.This system is expected to drop southeastward and then turn northeastward by this weekend.Some subtropical or tropical development could occur while the system moves over the Gulf Stream to the northeast of Bermuda. Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through 7 days: 10%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center tagged two new areas of interest in the Atlantic on Thursday.

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    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    East of Windward Islands

    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing large areas of showers and thunderstorms.

    Gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.

    This tropical wave is in the same area some long-range models have been hinting at development for next week as well.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Regardless of the system’s development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible as it moves across the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea next week.

    • Formation chances for the next two days: zero percent
    • Formation chances for the next seven days: 30%

    North Atlantic

    A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently developing well off the coast of the Northeast United States.

    This system is expected to drop southeastward and then turn northeastward by this weekend.

    Some subtropical or tropical development could occur while the system moves over the Gulf Stream to the northeast of Bermuda.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • NHC tracking tropical wave headed toward Caribbean

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    The National Hurricane Center tagged two new areas of interest in the Atlantic on Thursday. East of Windward IslandsA tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing large areas of showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. This tropical wave is in the same area some long-range models have been hinting at development for next week as well.Regardless of the system’s development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible as it moves across the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea next week. Formation chances for the next two days: 10%Formation chances for the next seven days: 30%North AtlanticA non-tropical area of low pressure is currently developing several hundred miles to the south of Nova Scotia, Canada.This system is expected to drop southeastward and then turn northeastward by this weekend.Some subtropical or tropical development could occur while the system moves over the Gulf Stream to the northeast of Bermuda. Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through 7 days: 10%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center tagged two new areas of interest in the Atlantic on Thursday.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    East of Windward Islands

    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing large areas of showers and thunderstorms.

    Gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.

    This tropical wave is in the same area some long-range models have been hinting at development for next week as well.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Regardless of the system’s development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible as it moves across the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea next week.

    • Formation chances for the next two days: 10%
    • Formation chances for the next seven days: 30%

    North Atlantic

    A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently developing several hundred miles to the south of Nova Scotia, Canada.

    This system is expected to drop southeastward and then turn northeastward by this weekend.

    Some subtropical or tropical development could occur while the system moves over the Gulf Stream to the northeast of Bermuda.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Tropical Storm Lorenzo losing steam, forecast to dissipate, NHC says

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    Tropical Storm Lorenzo is poorly organized over the Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center.The storm is located approximately 1,415 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Lorenzo is moving toward the north at about 13 mph. A turn toward the northeast and a faster forward speed are expected later today, according to the NHC.The system has a minimum pressure of 1004 mb and a maximum sustained wind speed of 40 mph.The NHC said Lorenzo is forecast to dissipate by Thursday. There are no coastal watches or warnings currently in effect, according to the NHC. Areas to watchHurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    Tropical Storm Lorenzo is poorly organized over the Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The storm is located approximately 1,415 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

    Lorenzo is moving toward the north at about 13 mph. A turn toward the northeast and a faster forward speed are expected later today, according to the NHC.

    The system has a minimum pressure of 1004 mb and a maximum sustained wind speed of 40 mph.

    The NHC said Lorenzo is forecast to dissipate by Thursday.

    There are no coastal watches or warnings currently in effect, according to the NHC.

    Areas to watch

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • Tropical Storm Lorenzo poorly organized over Atlantic, NHC says

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    Tropical Storm Lorenzo is poorly organized over the central tropical Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center.The storm is located approximately 1,430 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Lorenzo is moving toward the northwest at about 12 mph. This motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn to the north tonight. The system has a minimum pressure of 1005 mb and a maximum sustained wind speed of 40 mph.A northeastward motion is expected on Wednesday and Thursday, according to the NHC. Lorenzo is not expected to cause any threat to Florida. However, it is still something to monitor. There are no coastal watches or warnings currently in effect, according to the NHC. Spaghetti modelsHurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    Tropical Storm Lorenzo is poorly organized over the central tropical Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The storm is located approximately 1,430 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.

    Lorenzo is moving toward the northwest at about 12 mph. This motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn to the north tonight.

    The system has a minimum pressure of 1005 mb and a maximum sustained wind speed of 40 mph.

    A northeastward motion is expected on Wednesday and Thursday, according to the NHC.

    Lorenzo is not expected to cause any threat to Florida. However, it is still something to monitor.

    There are no coastal watches or warnings currently in effect, according to the NHC.

    Spaghetti models

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • Tropical Storm Lorenzo forms in Atlantic, NHC says

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    Tropical Storm Lorenzo forms in Atlantic, NHC says

    AND FLOODING OUT INTO THE STREETS. THERE WERE POWER OUTAGES ON LONG ISLAND, TOO. THAT WAS PRETTY ROUGH UP THERE. TONY YEAH, SOUTH SIDE, SOUTH SHORE THERE. DID SOME PRETTY BIG, PRETTY BIG DAMAGE IN THE HAMPTONS I SAW THERE, TOO. HEY, LET ME TAKE YOU GUYS BACK OUTSIDE. I WANT TO SHOW YOU WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE IN DOWNTOWN ORLANDO RIGHT NOW. IT IS JUST A BEAUTIFUL, BEAUTIFUL EVENING HERE IN CENTRAL FLORIDA. HOPE YOU HAD THE CHANCE TO GET OUT THERE AFTER DINNER BEFORE IT GOT DARK THERE. AND ENJOY A NICE LITTLE COMFORTABLE WALK. FALL-LIKE TEMPERATURES SETTLING ON IN. IT IS 69 NOW IN DAYTONA BEACH. IT IS 68 HERE. BACK TOWARDS WILDWOOD, UP IN OCALA, COMING IN AT 66. SATELLITE. ENHANCE THE SET UP THERE SHOWS A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH AND EAST OF NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS. ELSEWHERE, THINGS ARE PRETTY QUIET. THE ONE THING WE’RE WATCHING, EVEN THOUGH THE SURF HAS CALMED DOWN, THOSE LONG PERIOD SWELLS ARE CREATING THOSE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS THAT WILL CARRY ON OVER INTO THE DAY TOMORROW. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THE 12 HOUR MOST ACCURATE FORECAST HERE FOR THE CITY OF ORLANDO. 12 246 OUT THE DOOR IN THE MORNING. WE’RE DROPPING TO ABOUT 6566 DEGREES. THEN BY THE NOON HOUR THERE YOU CAN SEE APPROACHING THE 80 DEGREE MARK. NOW A LITTLE BIT COOLER UP TOWARDS CITRA OCALA DUNNELLON THE FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST YOU GO, THE TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST A LITTLE BIT WARMER, RIGHT AROUND 65. IN ORLANDO, NORMAL LOW WOULD BE AT ABOUT 67. AND THAT’S WHERE WE’RE GOING TO BE. TITUSVILLE, PALM BAY AND MELBOURNE RIGHT AROUND 68 DEGREES. SO THE SETUP FOR TONIGHT INTO THE DAY TOMORROW COMFORTABLY COOL OUT THE DOOR IN THE MORNING, SUNNY AND PERFECT. AS WE GET YOU ON INTO THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY. GET OUT THERE AND ENJOY IT. A LOT OF YOU MAY BE TRYING TO MAKE IT A BEACH DAY. GO HAVE FUN, BUT JUST KNOW THAT THE RIP RISK IS STILL GOING TO BE ELEVATED THERE. HIGH TIDE, BY THE WAY, IS AT 3:00. LOW TIDE IS IN THE MORNING AT 830 FOR WATER. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN BACK NOW INTO THE UPPER 70S. TEMPERATURES AT THE BEACHES TOMORROW. LOW 80S. YOU WORK YOUR WAY INLAND, AWAY FROM THE COAST. TEMPERATURES HERE RUNNING 83 TO ABOUT 86. AND IF THE ATTRACTIONS ARE YOUR THING, TOMORROW, YOU’RE GOING TO BE IN GREAT SHAPE. 70, 79, 83 DEGREES. ALL OF OUR BEAUTIFUL ATTRACTIONS ARE GOING TO BE SPLENDID TOMORROW, SO ENJOY! DON’T FORGET THE SUNBLOCK AND STAY HYDRATED. THERE’S WEDNESDAY, A LITTLE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SNEAKING BY TO THE EAST, AND THEN A BACK DOOR FRONT KIND OF MOVES ON IN. FRESHENS UP THOSE GUSTY WINDS AND STIRS UP THE SEAS THERE. WE’LL WATCH THE RIP CURRENTS AND THE ELEVATED SURF THERE. THURSDAY ON INTO FRIDAY AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE STILL NEARBY. SO ANOTHER GORGEOUS START TO THE WEEKEND. AND THEN LATE ON SUNDAY, MOISTURE STARTS TO CREEP BACK TO THE NORTH AND THE EAST. IF ANYBODY IS GOING TO HAVE RAIN, IT MIGHT BE POLK COUNTY, BUT I THINK THIS ONE WILL SETTLE ON IN OVERNIGHT SUNDAY AND THEN ON INTO MONDAY. SO FOR NOW, THE WEEKEND LOOKS GREAT. 84 AND 86 DEGREES RESPECTIVELY. NO MENTION OF ANY RAIN. AND AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND, THE MOUNTAINEERS ARE IN TOWN TO TAKE ON THE KNIGHTS. SUNNY. BREEZY. PLEASANT. AS WE GET YOU INTO THE AFTERNOON THERE ON SATURDAY. GAME TIME. KICKOFF TEMPERATURE COMING IN AT ABOUT 80. LORENZO. HERE’S THE UPDATED 11:00 ADVISORY WINDS NOW UP TO 60 MILES AN HOUR. A LITTLE BIT OF WIND SHEAR, BUT IT’S IT’S A FIGHTER. AND IT’S GOING TO GET AWFULLY CLOSE TO BECOMING A HURRICANE THEN MIGHT DO A LITTLE BIT OF A LOOP DE LOOP THERE. BUT WE’RE NOT TOO WORRIED ABOUT THAT. WHAT WE’RE GOING TO BE WATCHING, THOUGH, DOWN THE ROAD, IS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE HERE THAT WILL GET INTO THE CARIBBEAN. THE QUESTION IS, DOES IT GET PULLED TO THE NORTH OR DO THESE FRONTS KIND OF RIP IT APART? AND THAT’S WHY I WANT YOU TO KEEP CHECKING BACK IN. LAST WEEK OF OCTOBER, AT LEAST ONE MODEL ADVERTISING THE CHANCE FOR SOMETHING TO DEVELOP. MOST OF THEM, HOWEVER, ARE GOING DUE WEST. SO SEVEN DAY FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DRY FOR THE MOST PART. MAYBE A QUICK SHOWER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY W

    Tropical Storm Lorenzo formed out in the central tropical Atlantic on Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm is located approximately 1,180 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Lorenzo is moving toward the northwest at about 13 mph, with a gradual slowdown expected through tonight, followed by a turn toward the north on Tuesday.The system has a minimum pressure of 999 mb and a maximum sustained wind speed of 60 mph. A gradual increase in intensity is possible by the middle of the week.Lorenzo is not expected to cause any threat to Florida. However, it is still something to monitor. There are no coastal watches or warnings currently in effect, according to the NHC. Spaghetti modelsHurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    Tropical Storm Lorenzo formed out in the central tropical Atlantic on Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The storm is located approximately 1,180 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.

    Lorenzo is moving toward the northwest at about 13 mph, with a gradual slowdown expected through tonight, followed by a turn toward the north on Tuesday.

    The system has a minimum pressure of 999 mb and a maximum sustained wind speed of 60 mph. A gradual increase in intensity is possible by the middle of the week.

    Lorenzo is not expected to cause any threat to Florida. However, it is still something to monitor.

    There are no coastal watches or warnings currently in effect, according to the NHC.

    Spaghetti models

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • Development chances increase for Invest 97-L, NHC says

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    Development chances increase for Invest 97-L, NHC says

    11 people were saved. Wow. Alright, let’s talk about what is going on. *** lot is happening on our coast. We’ve got *** launch out there. We know we’ve got very rough surf conditions out there. How is this weather going to impact that maybe? Well, as far as the launch taking off, we’re going to have *** 95% probability that we’re agreeing to go, right? So we’re past our wet weather days here in Central Florida, but the booster recovery is where we might run into some issues just due to the high wave heights out across the ocean. As we take you back inland though, perfect blue skies lie ahead of you tonight if you’re stepping outside in Orlando. This is probably the most sunshine I have seen in weeks, not even *** cloud in sight as temperatures are still sitting in the lower 80s. You’ll cool once again tonight, dropping down to the 60s, and that’s gonna be the general trend that we’ll carry over the next few days, but this morning in particular was the coolest that we had been. Since all the way back in the end of April, 165 days have passed since the last time we saw temperatures of 62 degrees or cooler, and that’s all due to this cold front that marched across Central Florida yesterday. Now we see the heavy rain showers swirling around. Area of low pressure or noreaster affecting the Carolinas, but for us in Central Florida it’s consistent dry and cool air that we’re filtering in and that’s gonna be the trend as we continue across the rest of the month of October and that’s typical for us here in Central Florida that we switch from our wet season. To our dry season as we’re midway through the fall season right now. So last year that transition was right on October 11th, so yesterday this time last year, and back in 2023, that transition was on October 14th. So we’re lining up with the climatology trends, but what we still have to be cognizant of are the rough surf conditions that exist across our coast. This is marineland in Flagler County where we see those elevated. Wave he’s still well after high tide and as we continue into the start of the work week, we’re gonna be watching out for the rough surf, the rip current threats, as well as any chance for any additional coastal flooding that coincides with those high tide times. As we head into the start of your work week though, notice this wave heights are going to be subsiding. We see those drops to 4 to 6 ft conditions on Tuesday, which is gonna be great news. Therefore, still tomorrow morning we’re gonna carry the threats of any. Coastal flooding. It’s *** coastal flooding advisory for Brevard, Volusia, and Flagler County as we enter your work week here back at home inland though, temperatures will crawl into the mid-60s overnight under these perfectly clear skies. Take *** moment to track the tropics. We’re still watching Invest 970, which was tagged in Invest by the National Hurricane Center yesterday. This could become our next tropical depression by the middle of the workweek as this. Cluster of showers and storms moving towards the north and the west at 22 MPH, still moving across warm Atlantic waters. What it’s going to do likely recurve towards the north courtesy of *** Bermuda high, remaining *** fish storm, but we’ll still keep our eyes on it as we can see that intensification ongoing. Weather impact for your golf round tomorrow? None whatsoever as we’ll have these perfectly clear skies to start off the work week. There may be *** stray chance for *** coastal. Hour on Tuesday heading into Wednesday, but ultimately it is going to be *** brilliant 7 day stretch just with cooler temperatures. Marion County will drop to the 50s. Lower 60s for Sumter as we head across the coast. It’ll be *** touch warmer tomorrow morning in the upper 60s, but ultimately there will be some very cool pockets of air across our north and westernmost communities here back in Orlando, pretty consistent sunshine all throughout your work week, and we’ll carry that into the weekend as well.

    The tropical wave in the Atlantic has upgraded to Invest 97-L on Saturday night, according to the National Hurricane Center. Tropical Wave Invest 97-LAs of 8 p.m. the wave is located 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and thunderstorms have increased.Environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for further development in the next few days. A tropical depression is expected to form by the middle part of this week. The development is west-northwest then northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours: 60%Formation chance through 7 days: 70%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    The tropical wave in the Atlantic has upgraded to Invest 97-L on Saturday night, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    Tropical Wave Invest 97-L

    As of 8 p.m. the wave is located 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and thunderstorms have increased.

    Environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for further development in the next few days.

    A tropical depression is expected to form by the middle part of this week.

    The development is west-northwest then northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 60%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 70%

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • Watches, warnings discontinued as Tropical Storm Jerry weakens

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    Watches, warnings discontinued as Tropical Storm Jerry weakens

    CENTRAL FLORIDA IS AGAIN A HURRICANE HOTSPOT THIS YEAR. OH MY GOD. MAKE SURE THAT YOU’RE PREPARING FOR THE POTENTIAL THAT YOU MAY HAVE TO EVACUATE. WE’VE SEEN THE IMPACT OF CATASTROPHIC STORMS. EVERY LOT THAT’S EMPTY WAS SOMEBODY’S HOME FOR 100 YEAR FLOODS. FLOODS THAT AREN’T SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN FOR 100 YEARS HAVE HAPPENED FOUR TIMES IN THE LAST 6 TO 7 YEARS BEFORE, DURING AND AFTER A HURRICANE. THE WESH TWO FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM IS HERE TO HELP. WE’RE STICKING TO A BUDGET FOR YOUR HURRICANE KIT AND STAYING IN TOUCH WITH LOCAL LEADERS ABOUT THEIR PLANS TO KEEP YOU SAFE. WE’VE BEEN WORKING ON A PROCESS SINCE MILTON IN ORDER TO BETTER THE SERVICE THAT WE PROVIDE TO THE RESIDENTS. THE TIME TO PREPARE IS NOW. SURVIVING THE SEASON. THE 2020 HURRICANE SPECIAL. AS WE GET INTO THE THICK OF THE 2025 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON, YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF AND WHEN A STORM HEADS OUR WAY. THANK YOU FOR JOINING US. I’M STEWART MOORE AND I’M MICHELLE IMPERATO. WE HAVE A LOT TO COVER WHEN IT COMES TO STORM PREPARATIONS AND WHERE TO GET HELP AFTER A HURRICANE. BUT FIRST, THIS SEASON COMES WITH A LOT OF UNKNOWNS. THE FEDERAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY, OR FEMA, STRUGGLED WITH BUDGET CUTS AND LAYOFFS THIS YEAR. THE FULL IMPACT REMAINS TO BE SEEN AS THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION WORKS TO OVERHAUL THE AGENCY. IN JANUARY, PRESIDENT TRUMP FLOATED THE IDEA OF GETTING RID OF FEMA AND SHIFTING FEMA’S RESPONSIBILITIES TO STATES AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS. THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT ALSO CUT FUNDING FOR THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION, OR NOAA, WHICH PLAYS A BIG PART IN WEATHER FORECASTING. AND WHILE THE SITUATION WITH THE GOVERNMENT COULD CHANGE THE STEPS TO PREPARE FOR A HURRICANE ARE TRIED AND TRUE. SO THAT’S OUR FIRST WARNING. WEATHER TEAM IS FOCUSED RIGHT NOW, STARTING WITH CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI. WITH THE 2025 HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. AND HERE WE GO AGAIN. I TELL YOU WHAT, ONCE AGAIN, MICHELLE IT LOOKS ACTIVE. YOU TAKE A LOOK AT THE NUMBERS. NOW NOAA CAME OUT WITH THEIR OUTLOOK 13 TO 19 NAMED STORMS. COLORADO STATE RIGHT AROUND 17. YOU GO TO WESH 16 TO 20 AND THE NUMBER OF MAJOR HURRICANES. NOW GUYS RUNNING BETWEEN ABOUT 3 TO 6. AGAIN, THE NORMAL IS 14, NINE AND THREE. SO JUST ABOVE THE NORMAL THERE OVER THE LAST 20 YEARS, THAT’S SOMETHING WE’RE GOING TO BE WATCHING. THERE’S REALLY THREE MAIN FACTORS WHY WE THINK IT’S GOING TO BE ABOVE AVERAGE SEASON. YOU TAKE A LOOK AT THE WARMER THAN AVERAGE OCEAN WATER TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY IN THE GULF AND THE CARIBBEAN. THE FORECAST FOR WIND SHEAR LOOKS LOW. REMEMBER, THE STRONGER THE WINDS, THE GREATER THE SHEAR. THE WINDS DO APPEAR TO BE LOOKING LIGHT, AND THERE’S GOING TO BE MORE ACTION NOW FROM THE WEST AFRICAN MONSOON. THE MORE MOISTURE OFF THE WEST COAST, THE GREATER THE RISK THERE IS FOR THESE TROPICAL WAVES TO DEVELOP. SO WHAT I WANT TO SHOW YOU HERE IS THE NORMAL WATER TEMPERATURES VERSUS VERSUS WHERE WE ARE RIGHT NOW. AND WE ARE RUNNING ABOVE NORMAL IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND IN THE CARIBBEAN. AND BEFORE JUNE. THIS IS THE AREA THAT WE LIKE TO WATCH. SO WE’LL BE WATCHING THAT INTENTLY, THOUGH FOR NOW WE ARE IN GOOD SHAPE. GUYS, BACK TO YOU. HURRICANE HELENE AND MILTON CAUSED WIDESPREAD DEVASTATION AFTER MAKING LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST LAST YEAR. THIS DRONE VIDEO SHOWS THE DAMAGE ON ANNA MARIA ISLAND. THE STORMS ALSO PACKED A PUNCH FURTHER INLAND. METEOROLOGIST ERIC BURRIS REMINDS US HURRICANES ARE NOT JUST A CONCERN FOR THE COAST. LAST YEAR WAS A TOUGH LESSON FOR SO MANY THAT STORMS ARE CLEARLY NOT JUST COASTAL EVENTS. HELENE TRIGGERED LANDSLIDES AND FLOODING IN THE CAROLINAS, FAR FROM THE GULF COAST, WHERE IT MADE LANDFALL A FEW WEEKS LATER. DURING MILTON, FLAGLER COUNTY SUFFERED SOME OF THE GUSTIEST WINDS, EVEN THOUGH IT WAS FAR FROM THE CENTER OF THE STORM. THOUSANDS OF PEOPLE LOST POWER, AND ROUGH SURF ENTERED PEOPLE’S BACKYARDS. THERE CAN BE EFFECTS. HUNDREDS OF MILES OUTSIDE OF THAT CONE. FLAGLER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER JONATHAN LORD SAYS MANY PEOPLE HAVE MOVED TO THE AREA IN RECENT MONTHS. HE WANTS NEWCOMERS TO KNOW IF A STORM HEADS ANYWHERE NEAR FLORIDA. THEY NEED TO BE READY. MOSTLY WITH PEOPLE MOVING IN FROM OUT OF STATE. WHO’VE NEVER EXPERIENCED A HURRICANE BEFORE. OR SOMETIMES I’M TOLD THEY HEAR FROM THE REALTORS THAT WE DON’T GET HURRICANES IN THIS PART OF THE STATE. DEFINITELY NOT TRUE. AS WE TRACK THE TROPICS THIS YEAR, THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS REMINDING EVERYONE THAT THE CONE, WHICH IS ONLY CONCERNED WITH THE CENTER OF THE STORM, IS JUST ONE PIECE OF THE PUZZLE. THE HAZARDS ARE INCREASINGLY FALLING OUTSIDE OF THE CONE. JAMIE RHOME, THE DEPUTY DIRECTOR OF THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, SAYS THIS IS ACTUALLY FOR GOOD REASON. THE CONE HAS GOTTEN SMALLER AND SMALLER OVER TIME AS FORECAST ACCURACY HAS IMPROVED. LAST YEAR TO TRY AND BETTER COMMUNICATE IMPACTS COUNTY BY COUNTY. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADDED ADVISORIES OVER TOP OF THE CONE TO INCLUDE THREATS OVER LAND, AS WELL AS COASTLINE. SO IMMEDIATELY WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE CONE, THE FIRST THING YOU SEE IS, IS ALL THIS COLOR AND HOW FAR INLAND IT GOES. SO WE THINK IT’S A BETTER WAY TO COMMUNICATE. YOUR BEST SHOT AT SURVIVING THE SEASON IS TO HAVE A HURRICANE KIT STOCKED AND READY TO GO. METEOROLOGIST KELLIANNE KLASS SHOWS US BEING PREPARED DOES NOT NEED TO BREAK THE BANK EVERY HURRICANE SEASON. WE ALWAYS TELL YOU TO HAVE A HURRICANE SUPPLY KIT, BUT LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE SAYING, LET’S GO AWAY WITH THE 72 HOUR SUPPLY KIT AND GO FOR A DISASTER SUPPLY KIT THAT CAN HAVE YOUR FAMILY BEING FED FOR UP TO FIVE DAYS OR EVEN LONGER. AND THAT CAN GET PRETTY HEAVY ON WALLETS. BUT TODAY WE’RE AT A LOCAL DOLLAR TREE AT 1792, IN FERN PARK TO SEE HOW MUCH WE CAN GET WITH $100, WE HAVE OUR LIST READY, AND NOW WE’RE GOING TO GO SEE HOW MUCH WE CAN GET. LET’S GO SHOPPING. OKAY, SO THE FIRST THING THAT WE’RE GOING TO DO IS STIR KNOWS THEY’RE IN THE PARTY SECTION. AND THESE ARE GOOD UP TO TWO HOURS. SO WE’RE GOING TO GET FIVE IN THIS AISLE WE HAVE TWO OPTIONS FOR LOSS OF POWER. THERE’S YOUR TRADITIONAL FLASHLIGHT. BUT YOU ALSO HAVE THE OPTION OF AN LED LANTERN. EXTRA BATTERIES SHOULD BE ON YOUR DISASTER KIT. AND THE DOLLAR STORE HAD PLENTY OF THEM. I DIDN’T HAVE THIS ON THE LIST, BUT YOU DO NEED A LIGHTER FOR THE STERNO, SO I’M GOING TO ADD THIS TO IT. AND IF YOU NEED CANDLES, THEY DO HAVE TEA, LIGHT CANDLES. IF YOU HAVE CHILDREN, MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ALL OF THEIR SUPPLIES STOCKED UP. WE GRABBED A FEW CHILDREN’S WIPES, WHICH COULD ALSO DOUBLE AS CLEANSING WIPES FOR ADULTS. THE DOLLAR STORE HAD DIAPERS IN STOCK, BUT FOR $6 PER PACKAGE, THE AMOUNT OF DIAPERS PER PACKAGE DEPENDS ON THE CHILDREN’S SIZE. BANDAGES ARE IMPORTANT TO HAVE IN ANY DISASTER KIT. WE PICKED UP SELF-ADHERING BANDAGE WRAP AND ADHESIVE BANDAGES. WE ALSO GRABBED ANTISEPTIC TO HELP CLEAN THE WOUNDS. IBUPROFEN IS GOING IN THE CART AS WELL. NOW WE’RE ON TO NONPERISHABLE FOOD. WE’RE IN THE SNACK AISLE AND NOW IS THE TIME TO GET SNACKS THAT YOU AND YOUR FAMILY MAY ENJOY. PEANUT BUTTER. NOW WE’RE ON TO SHELF STABLE ITEMS, SO THIS IS GOING TO BE YOUR CANNED MEATS, YOUR CANNED VEGETABLES, ANYTHING THAT CAN SIT ON A SHELF IN CASE YOU LOSE POWER. YOU MAY ALREADY HAVE ONE OF THESE A CAN OPENER, BUT THIS IS A REALLY CHEAP AND AFFORDABLE OPTION, AND WE’RE GOING TO BE OPENING A LOT OF CANS, DISPOSABLE PLATES. PLASTIC WARE AND PAPER TOWELS ARE GOOD TO STOCK UP ON TO. HELLO, HELLO. HOW ARE YOU? GOOD. YOU GOOD? TO ONE 1053. WE ENDED UP GOING ABOUT $10 OVER BUDGET, BUT I DID START OUR DISASTER KIT FROM SCRATCH. YOU PROBABLY ALREADY HAVE A LOT OF THESE ITEMS AT YOUR HOME ALREADY. AND I ALSO DID ADD A COUPLE OF ITEMS INTO MY BASKET THAT WERE NOT ON THE LIST. OVERALL, YOU SHOULD TAILOR YOUR DISASTER KIT TO YOU AND YOUR FAMILY’S NEEDS. ADD A GENERATOR TO YOUR SHOPPING LIST IF YOU NEED A BACKUP SOURCE FOR POWER, YOU MIGHT BE IN THE DARK FOR DAYS AFTER A BIG STORM. CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI SHOWS US THE PROPER WAY TO USE A GENERATOR. HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE AND A LOT OF FOLKS ARE GOING TO START RUNNING THESE GENERATORS. WE WANT YOU TO KEEP THEM 20FT AWAY FROM YOUR HOUSE, NOT INSIDE YOUR GARAGE, TO PREVENT CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING. ALL RIGHT. THE NEXT THING IS GENERATOR MAINTENANCE. NUMBER ONE, YOU ALWAYS WANT TO RUN IT A COUPLE TIMES A YEAR TO MAKE SURE THERE’S NO LEFTOVER FUEL IN THERE. THAT’S NEVER GOOD FOR YOUR GENERATOR. AND WHEN YOU’RE DONE USING IT, YOU WANT TO MAKE SURE THERE IS NO FUEL IN THERE. OTHERWISE, YOUR GENERATOR MAY NOT START UP WHEN THE NEXT HURRICANE ARRIVES. AND FOLKS, PLEASE REMEMBER TO ALWAYS HAVE A CARBON MONOXIDE DETECTOR WHEN YOU’RE RUNNING YOUR GENERATOR. TIME AND TIME AGAIN. HURRICANES LEAD TO FLOODING HERE IN CENTRAL FLORIDA AFTER FLOODED AFTER IRMA IN 2017, THE ORLO VISTA COMMUNITY FLOODED DURING IAN IN 2022, AND RISING WATERS FROM MILTON FORCED PEOPLE OUT OF THEIR HOMES INTO LAND LAST YEAR. PROPERTY OWNERS DEALING WITH REPEAT FLOODING ARE READY TO GIVE UP THEIR LAND. METEOROLOGIST CAM TRAN LOOKED INTO A PROGRAM MANY COUNTIES OFFER WITH THE HELP OF FEDERAL DOLLARS, WHAT IS NOW A CORDONED OFF LOT IN SANFORD USED TO LOOK LIKE THIS A TWO STORY HOME BELONGING TO A LOCAL FAMILY. BUT AFTER YEARS OF SEEING THEIR HOME DAMAGED BY FLOODING, THE FAMILY SOLD THE PROPERTY TO SEMINOLE COUNTY. THIS PARTICULAR HOME BACK HERE WAS SEVERE REPETITIVE LOSS, WHICH MEANS THAT IT WAS SUSTAINING FLOOD DAMAGE OVER AND OVER AND OVER AGAIN. FEMA OFFERS GRANTS TO PROPERTY OWNERS WHO EXPERIENCE REPETITIVE DAMAGE FROM FLOODING. THE FUNDING IS DISTRIBUTED TO INDIVIDUAL COUNTIES, INCLUDING SEMINOLE COUNTY, SO THERE’S THREE PROGRAMS. THERE’S BUYBACK. SO WE BUY OUT AN ACQUISITION DEMOLISH. THERE’S ELEVATE. SO WE TAKE THE HOME AS IT IS AND ELEVATE. AND THEN THERE’S ELEVATE RECONSTRUCT. SO ELEVATE RECONSTRUCT WOULD BE A CONCRETE MASONRY BLOCK HOME. YOU CAN’T JUST PICK IT UP. SO IT WOULD REQUIRE US TO PICK IT UP. BUT WHILE WE’RE PICKING IT UP WE’RE CONSTRUCTING WE’RE DOING CONSTRUCTION THAT’S GOING TO COST MORE MONEY. ANY PROPERTY OWNER WHO WANTS TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS FEMA GRANT WILL NEED TO BE PATIENT. IT CAN TAKE MONTHS, EVEN YEARS, TO GET THAT FEDERAL FUNDING APPROVED. VOLUSIA COUNTY IS CONSIDERING A SIMILAR PROGRAM. IT WAS AWARDED $20 MILLION IN FEDERAL FUNDING TO BUY BACK FREQUENTLY FLOODED HOMES. WE CAN’T BUY THEM ALL, BUT THERE’S SOME THAT WOULD MAKE SENSE. DELAND ON TAYLOR AVENUE, THERE IS A HOME THAT’S ACTUALLY THE HOMEOWNERS COME TO US AND SAID, WOULD YOU WOULD YOU BUY US OUT? AND THEY SAY THAT WITH TEARS IN THEIR EYES. DONNA ROONEY HAD FOUR FEET OF WATER IN HER HOUSE AFTER HURRICANE MILTON. SHE HOPES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS BUYBACK PROGRAM. THAT’S WHAT WE WANTED FROM THE BEGINNING. WE HAVE NO INTENTION OF REBUILDING OR REFURBISHING THIS HOME. HUD STILL NEEDS TO APPROVE THE PROGRAM BEFORE IT CAN TAKE EFFECT. NEXT, ON SURVIVING THE SEASON. OUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM SPENT MONTHS ANALYZING WEATHER PATTERNS AND PINPOINTING THE HOT SPOTS FOR A BIG STORM. PLUS, HOW TO IDENTIFY THE SAFEST PLACE TO HUNKER DOWN DURING A TORNADO AND THE FUNDING STILL AVAILABLE. IF YOUR HOME SUFFERED DAMAGE DURING HURRICANE IAN. NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE ATTENDING THESE MEETINGS OR KNOW ABOUT THE PROGRAM, AND THAT’S A SHAME. ONE NEIGHBOR LOOKING TO REBUILD IS SPREADING THE WORD TO HELP OTHERS JUST LIKE HER. OVER THE PAST YEAR, OUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM HAS BEEN ANALYZING WEATHER PATTERNS TO PREDICT WHEN WE COULD GET A BIG STORM IN CENTRAL FLORIDA. METEOROLOGIST ERIC BURRIS WAS ABLE TO PREDICT WITH 85% ACCURACY LAST YEAR, WHERE BIG STORMS WENT AND WHEN THEY MADE LANDFALL. HE’S DOING IT AGAIN AND PRESENTS THIS YEAR’S LONG RANGE FORECAST. HEY, THAT’S RIGHT. THE OVERALL PATTERNS THIS YEAR CLEARLY SHOW THE GULF AS THE HOT SPOT FOR ACTIVITY YET AGAIN. BUT THE WAY MY LONG TERM FORECASTING WORKS IS LOOKING AT LONG TERM FORECASTING CYCLES. SO LET’S BREAK IT DOWN. THE FIRST PART OF THE PATTERN THAT WE WATCH IS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST, FOR WHAT SHOULD BE THE SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. EARLY JUNE, BUT IN PARTICULAR LATE JULY AND AROUND THE BEGINNING OF SEPTEMBER, THEN ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST YET AGAIN, I’VE OBSERVED AN OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN SHOWING A STORM SYSTEM AGAIN MID JUNE, BUT MOREOVER, LATE JULY AND INTO EARLY SEPTEMBER. BUT TO BE HONEST WITH YOU, INTO THE PANHANDLE AND OUR WEST COAST, THE BIGGEST PART OF THE PATTERN I’M WATCHING FOR THREATS IN THIS AREA IS THIS ONE WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT SEEMINGLY WANTS TO CROSS THE GULF AND WORK TOWARD OUR WEST COAST. SO WATCH THESE DATES VERY CLOSELY. LATE JUNE, EARLY AUGUST AND MID SEPTEMBER. AND LASTLY, OUT OF ALL THE DATA OVER THE MONTHS AND MONTHS OF GATHERING MY NUMBERS FOR THIS YEAR’S HURRICANE FORECAST, WHILE ABOVE AVERAGE, ARE NOT CALLING FOR A HYPERACTIVE SEASON. EITHER WAY, WE HAVE A CLEAR THREAT TO WATCH FOR, AND THUS WE’LL NEED TO KEEP OUR HEAD ON A SWIVEL. BUT KNOW THIS YOUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM WILL BE HERE WITH YOU EVERY STEP OF THE WAY. WHEN THERE’S A RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ISSUES WATCHES AND WARNINGS. YOU’LL HEAR OUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM USE THESE TERMS A LOT. METEOROLOGIST MARQUISE MEDA EXPLAINS WHAT THEY MEAN. THINK OF IT LIKE COOKING PASTA. A WATCH IS WHEN YOU PUT A POT OF BOILING WATER ON THE STOVE. THE HEAT IS ON. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE AND YOU’RE WAITING FOR SOMETHING TO HAPPEN. A WARNING MEANS THAT WATER IS BOILING AND IT’S TIME TO ADD THE PASTA. OR IN WEATHER TERMS, THE EVENT IS HAPPENING NOW AND YOU NEED TO TAKE ACTION IMMEDIATELY. JUST LIKE YOU DON’T WALK AWAY FROM A POT THAT’S HEATING UP, YOU SHOULD IGNORE A WATCH. CONDITIONS. THEY CAN CHANGE QUICKLY AND BEFORE YOU KNOW IT, THAT GENTLE SIMMER CAN TURN INTO A ROLLING BOIL. SO DURING A WATCH, STAY ALERT AND BE PREPARED. BUT IF IT’S A WARNING, BE PREPARED TO TAKE COVER. BECAUSE JUST LIKE A POT OF BOILING WATER, SEVERE WEATHER DOESN’T WAIT. BEFORE MILTON MADE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA LAST YEAR, THE STORM SPAWNED MANY TORNADOES, INCLUDING ONE IN BREVARD COUNTY. THIS VIDEO SHOWS SOME OF THE DAMAGE IT CAUSED. METEOROLOGIST CAM TRAN EXPLAINS WHERE YOU SHOULD TAKE COVER IN A TORNADO. THE SAFEST PLACE TO GO DURING A TORNADO WARNING IS TO THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOUSE. MAKE SURE THAT AREA IS NOT CONNECTED TO ANY EXTERIOR WALLS OR WINDOWS. YOUR SAFE ROOM COULD BE A CLOSET, A BATHROOM, OR EVEN A HALLWAY LIKE THIS ONE. BUT IN THIS HOUSE, THE SAFEST ROOM TO BE IN IS ACTUALLY THIS INTERIOR BATHROOM. IT IS AWAY FROM ANY EXTERIOR WALLS OR WINDOW, AND IT’S THE MOST INTERIOR ROOM OF THIS HOUSE. IF YOU LIVE IN AN APARTMENT BUILDING OR YOU’RE WORKING AT AN OFFICE HIGHRISE, SIMILAR RULES APPLY. GO TO THE BOTTOM AND THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR BUILDING. AND IF YOU CAN’T GO TO AN INTERIOR HALLWAY. AS WE PREPARE FOR THE NEXT BIG STORM, MANY HOMEOWNERS ARE STILL TRYING TO RECOVER FROM PAST DISASTERS. CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI SHOWS US A PROGRAM RIGHT HERE IN ORANGE COUNTY THAT’S HELPING FOLKS GET BACK ON THEIR FEET. THE ORANGE COUNTY RECOVERS PROGRAM HAS SET ASIDE $59 MILLION TO HELP RESIDENTS OF ORANGE COUNTY AND ITS MUNICIPALITIES REPAIR, REBUILD AND REPLACE ELIGIBLE HOMES WITH REMAINING DAMAGE FROM HURRICANE IAN. IT IS A GRANT, SO THAT’S GOOD NEWS FOR EVERYBODY. IT’S NOT ALONE. FOLKS ARE ABLE TO APPLY FOR THESE FUNDS AND CAN DO SO UNTIL THE MONEY RUNS OUT. SHERI JILLIAN WITH THE DISASTER RECOVERY TEAM, EXPLAINS WHO’S ELIGIBLE. NUMBER ONE, YOU MUST HAVE OWNED THE PROPERTY AND RESIDED IN THE PROPERTY AS YOUR PRIMARY RESIDENCE, SO OWNED PRIOR TO IAN, AND STILL OCCUPY THE RESIDENCE AS YOUR PRIMARY RESIDENCE, YOU MUST BE A LOW TO MODERATE INCOME INDIVIDUAL, WHICH IS 80% AMI. YOU MUST HAVE A CURRENT MORTGAGE AND TAXES ON THE PROPERTY. ONCE ELIGIBILITY HAS BEEN APPROVED, THE DAMAGE ASSESSMENT WILL BE DETERMINED. FROM THERE, THE HOMEOWNER WILL THEN BE GIVEN SOME MONEY SO THAT THE REPAIRS CAN BE MADE ON THEIR HOME, AND THEY CAN HOPEFULLY GET THEIR LIVES BACK IN ORDER. DEBBY RYAN LIVES IN ORLO VISTA. IT WAS LIKE A RIVER AND IT WAS VERY FAST MOVING AND EVERYTHING. SHE GAVE US A TOUR OF HER HOME WHICH FLOODED DURING HURRICANE IAN IN 2022. THIS WAS ALL WATER. WATER WAS UP TO THAT SECOND STEP AND THAT WAS ON FRIDAY. SO I DON’T KNOW HOW HIGH IT WAS BEFORE THEN AND ALL THAT HIGH WATER DEVASTATED THE INSIDE OF MANY PEOPLE’S HOMES. FLOORING IS COMING APART, PLUMBING FOR LAUNDRY ROOMS IS DAMAGED. THERE’S MOLD INSIDE HOMES AND IN SOME CASES, MOBILE HOMES WERE DESTROYED AND HAD TO BE TAKEN AWAY. RYAN IS APPLYING FOR THE COUNTY’S PROGRAM AND WANTS TO MAKE SURE HER NEIGHBORS KNOW ABOUT IT, TOO. THERE’S 6000 PEOPLE THAT LIVE IN ORLO VISTA. YOU SAW HOW FEW PEOPLE WERE THERE. THEY’RE DOING EVERYTHING THEY CAN TO HELP PEOPLE. THE ONLY CONCERN I HAVE IS THAT NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE ATTENDING THESE MEETINGS OR KNOW ABOUT THE PROGRAM, AND THAT’S A SHAME. THERE ARE TWO WAYS TO APPLY FOR FUNDING. WE POSTED THAT INFORMATION ON OUR WEBSITE, WESH.COM. UNDER THE HURRICANE TAB. TRIM THE TREES, CLEAR YOUR YARD, FILL YOUR GAS TANK. THESE ARE ALL STANDARD THINGS WE DO TO PREPARE FOR A HURRICANE. METEOROLOGIST KELLIANNE KLASS REMINDS US NOT TO FORGET ABOUT THE SMALLER TASKS THAT CAN MAKE LIFE A LOT LESS STRESSFUL. IF YOU LOSE POWER OR ACCESS TO CLEAN WATER. WASH YOUR DISHES AND DO YOUR LAUNDRY. FILL UP ANY PRESCRIPTIONS YOU MAY NEED. IF YOU HAVE A DOG, MAKE SURE TO GET SOME PEE PADS. IT COULD BE A WHILE BEFORE THEY CAN GET OUTSIDE AND MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH FOOD, WATER, AND LITTER FOR YOUR PET. CHARGE ANY ELECTRONIC DEVICES AND CHARGE BANKS. WALK THROUGH YOUR HOME AND TAKE VIDEO OF EVERYTHING. IT WILL HELP YOU IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A CLAIM LATER. FILL PLASTIC BAGS WITH WATER AND FREEZE THEM BEFORE THE STORM. OH, AND DON’T FORGET TO COOLER. DON’T WAIT UNTIL A STORM IS COMING TO CHECK YOUR INSURANCE. UP NEXT, THE SPECIFIC PROTECTIONS YOU SHOULD LOOK FOR IN YOUR HOME INSURANCE POLICY. AND SANDBAGS CAN KEEP THE WATER OUT, BUT ONLY WHEN USED CORRECTLY. WE GET OUR HANDS DIRTY, SHOWING YOU THE FASTEST AND EASIEST WAY TO FILL. YOU MAY HAVE HEARD YOU SHOULD CHECK YOUR INSURANCE BEFORE A BIG STORM HITS. FIRST WARNING, METEOROLOGIST CAM TRAN EXPLAINS WHAT SHOULD BE IN THE FINE PRINT. REVIEW YOUR HOMEOWNER’S POLICY BY LOOKING AT THE DECLARATION PAGE. THAT’S WHERE YOU’LL FIND YOUR COVERAGE LIMITS AND DEDUCTIBLES. EXPERTS SAY THE COST OF CONSTRUCTION HAS GONE UP IN RECENT YEARS, SO YOU MAY HAVE A SHORTFALL IN COVERAGE IF YOU HAVEN’T UPDATED YOUR POLICY IN A WHILE. IT’S ALSO HIGHLY RECOMMENDED TO GET FLOOD INSURANCE, EVEN IF YOU DON’T LIVE IN A FLOOD ZONE. THIS IS NOT INCLUDED IN YOUR TRADITIONAL HOME POLICY. EXPERTS HIGHLY RECOMMEND FLOOD INSURANCE EVEN IN CENTRAL FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY AFTER WE SAW SIGNIFICANT FLOODING DURING HURRICANES IAN AND MILTON. YOU MAY ALSO WANT TO GET YOUR INSURANCE POLICIES IN PLACE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. ONCE A WATCH OR WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED, YOU CAN NO LONGER ADD OR CHANGE A HOMEOWNER’S POLICY FOR FLOOD INSURANCE POLICY. IT’S EVEN LONGER. IT TAKES 30 DAYS TO TAKE EFFECT. SANDBAGS ARE OFTEN THE FIRST LINE OF DEFENSE IN PROTECTING YOUR HOME FROM RISING WATERS, BUT MANY PEOPLE DON’T KNOW HOW TO FILL THEM UP OR LAY THEM DOWN PROPERLY. FIRST WARNING METEOROLOGIST MARQUISE MEDA SHOWS US THE MOST EFFICIENT WAY TO USE SANDBAGS. EVERY YEAR A STORM SEASON APPROACHES. WE COVER SANDBAG DISTRIBUTION SITES ACROSS THE REGION. HOMEOWNERS LINE UP EAGER TO FILL UP SANDBAGS TO PROTECT THEIR HOME FROM RISING WATERS. SO WE PROVIDE THE BAGS, WE PROVIDE THE SAND. WE PROVIDE THE MECHANISM. THE RESIDENTS HAVE TO PROVIDE THEIR THEIR ENERGY AND AND THEIR THEIR BODY STRENGTH TO DO THIS. I GOT HANDS ON TRAINING WITH THE ORANGE COUNTY PUBLIC WORKS DEPARTMENT. WE ROLLED UP OUR SLEEVES AND GOT TO WORK. IT’S 3 OR 4 SHOVEL FULLS. YOU DO NOT WANT TO FILL THE BAGS ALL THE WAY TO THE TOP. YOU WANT TO LEAVE SOME SPACE IN ORDER TO TIE THEM OFF. SHOVELING INTO THE BAG CAN BE TRICKY. SO THE COUNTY MADE FUNNELS TO HELP OUT. SO THESE ARE OUR OLD SAFETY CONES THAT WE’VE HAD SITTING ON A SHELF. TURN THEM UPSIDE DOWN AND THEY MAKE A WONDERFUL FUNNEL. OFFICIALS SAY FUNNELING SAND TAKES LESS TIME THAN SHOVELING. SO THIS METHOD COULD GET THE LINE MOVING AND PEOPLE CAN GET HOME FASTER. TO MY SURPRISE, THE BAGS WEIGHED LESS THAN I EXPECTED BECAUSE THEY’RE NOT FILLED TO THE BRIM. THEY’RE MUCH EASIER TO PICK UP. THEY ARE ABOUT 10 TO 12 POUNDS EACH. IF YOU FILLED IT CORRECTLY, YOU’LL GET TEN SANDBAGS PER RESIDENT. TEN SANDBAGS CAN DO A LOT. THEY WILL TYPICALLY COVER THE AVERAGE SLIDING GLASS DOOR. THE FRONT OF A GARAGE DOOR. PLACEMENT IS KEY AND SO IS PROPER LAYERING. ONCE YOU PLACE THE SANDBAGS, YOU WANT TO STACK THEM IN 2 TO 3 LAYERS. MAKE SURE THAT NO WATER CAN SEEP THROUGH SO WE OFFSET THEM. WE GO STACK THEM OFFSET. SO YOU LAY YOUR FIRST FOUNDATION DOWN AND THEN YOU OFFSET ON TOP AND OVER ON TOP OF THE OTHER ONE. WHEN THE NEXT BIG STORM HEADS YOUR WAY, YOU CAN EXPECT FREE SANDBAG LOCATIONS TO OPEN IN JUST ABOUT EVERY CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTY. WESH TWO IS COMMITTED TO HELPING YOU GET READY FOR WHATEVER COMES OUR WAY THIS HURRICANE SEASON. RIGHT NOW ON WESH.COM, YOU CAN FIND OUR 2025 HURRICANE SURVIVAL GUIDE. IT BREAKS DOWN IN DETAIL EVERYTHING YOU SHOULD DO BEFORE, DURING, AND AFTER A BIG STORM. AND IT’S FREE FROM THE WESH TWO NEWS AND FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM. THANKS FOR WATCHING. STAY SAFE THIS HURRICANE SEASON.

    Watches, warnings discontinued as Tropical Storm Jerry weakens

    Updated: 12:12 AM EDT Oct 11, 2025

    Editorial Standards

    Tropical Storm Jerry is weakening in the Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center. >> Video above: A hurricane special from WESH 2All watches and warnings have been discontinued, the NHC said. Jerry was initially forecast to strengthen into a hurricane; however, the system is struggling and beginning to pull away from the Northern Leeward Islands. For parts of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and eastern Puerto Rico, Jerry may result in an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain.This rainfall is not expected to cause any additional flash flooding concerns, NHC says. Maximum sustained winds: 60 mphMinimum central pressure: 1004 mb >> Subscribe to the WESH 2 YouTube channel Watches and Warnings All watches and warnings have been discontinued. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    Tropical Storm Jerry is weakening in the Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    >> Video above: A hurricane special from WESH 2

    All watches and warnings have been discontinued, the NHC said.

    Jerry was initially forecast to strengthen into a hurricane; however, the system is struggling and beginning to pull away from the Northern Leeward Islands.

    For parts of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and eastern Puerto Rico, Jerry may result in an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain.

    This rainfall is not expected to cause any additional flash flooding concerns, NHC says.

    Maximum sustained winds: 60 mph

    Minimum central pressure: 1004 mb

    >> Subscribe to the WESH 2 YouTube channel

    Watches and Warnings

    All watches and warnings have been discontinued.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • A tropical wave is forming in the Atlantic Ocean. Will it impact South Florida?

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    A tropical wave is brewing in the Atlantic Ocean.

    A tropical wave is brewing in the Atlantic Ocean.

    National Hurricane Center

    A tropical wave is brewing in the Atlantic Ocean as another tropical system drifting over Florida has already drenched the state with heavy rainfall. Where is the developing storm now — and where is it headed?

    The tropical wave, a broad area of low pressure, is currently several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, according to the National Hurricane Center’s Sunday morning update. Due to the system’s distance from land at the moment, it isn’t causing severe weather in the South Florida region.

    READ MORE: South Florida in for a rainy, maybe floody weekend as new Atlantic system brews

    The tropical wave is expected to further develop, with environmental conditions “appear[ing] conducive” for a tropical depression to form this week, the NHC said in its advisory. The system is expected to move quickly across the central tropical Atlantic and will approach the Leeward Islands later this week.

    So, what are the chances of cyclone formation? Per the NHC, they are:

    • In 48 hours: Medium at 40%
    • Through 7 days: High at 70%

    This story was originally published October 5, 2025 at 2:13 PM.

    Grethel Aguila

    Miami Herald

    Grethel covers courts and the criminal justice system for the Miami Herald. She graduated from the University of Florida (Go Gators!), speaks Spanish and Arabic and loves animals, traveling, basketball and good storytelling. Grethel also attends law school part time.

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    Grethel Aguila

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  • NHC monitoring 2 areas for tropical development; 1 bringing rain to Florida much of the weekend

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    The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring two areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean, including one in the Gulf. >>Video in player is previous forecastThat’s why rain is in the forecast for much of the weekend. Below: Eric Burris has a long-range look at tropicsNorth-Central GulfA weak area of low pressure has formed over the north-central Gulf and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday. Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.Formation chance through 48 hours: 0%Formation chance through 7 days: 0%Tropical AtlanticA tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of the wave is possible over the next few days, and it could become a tropical depression by the middle to latter part of next week while moving across the central tropical Atlantic and approaching portions of the Leeward Islands.Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through 7 days: 60%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring two areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean, including one in the Gulf.

    >>Video in player is previous forecast

    That’s why rain is in the forecast for much of the weekend.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Below: Eric Burris has a long-range look at tropics

    This content is imported from YouTube.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    North-Central Gulf

    A weak area of low pressure has formed over the north-central Gulf and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday. Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 0%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 0%

    Tropical Atlantic

    A tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of the wave is possible over the next few days, and it could become a tropical depression by the middle to latter part of next week while moving across the central tropical Atlantic and approaching portions of the Leeward Islands.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 60%

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Hurricane Imelda to bring damaging waves, flash flooding to Bermuda, NHC says

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    Hurricane Imelda is intensifying as it nears Bermuda on Wednesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. The hurricane, which formed in the Atlantic on Tuesday, has moved away from the Florida coast and is now bringing significant risks to Bermuda. The NHC said it is bringing hurricane-force winds, damaging waves and the risk of flash flooding to Bermuda. According to the 8 p.m. Wednesday advisory, Imelda was moving east-northeast at 24 mph and was located approximately 100 miles west-southwest of Bermuda.On the forecast track, the core of the hurricane will closing in on Bermuda with hazardous winds expected to increase tonight. Hurricane force winds, damaging waves, and flash flooding are expected over Bermuda into early Thursday Maximum sustained winds: 100 mphMinimum central pressure: 971 mbHurricane Imelda is now a Category 2 storm. Imelda is expected to transition into an extratropical low within a few days, followed by a gradual weakening afterward. Watches/warnings A hurricane warning is in effect for Bermuda.Tropical storm warnings have been discontinued along the Florida coast.Surfers hit Cocoa BeachHurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    Hurricane Imelda is intensifying as it nears Bermuda on Wednesday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The hurricane, which formed in the Atlantic on Tuesday, has moved away from the Florida coast and is now bringing significant risks to Bermuda.

    The NHC said it is bringing hurricane-force winds, damaging waves and the risk of flash flooding to Bermuda.

    According to the 8 p.m. Wednesday advisory, Imelda was moving east-northeast at 24 mph and was located approximately 100 miles west-southwest of Bermuda.

    On the forecast track, the core of the hurricane will closing in on Bermuda with hazardous winds expected to increase tonight. Hurricane force winds, damaging waves, and flash flooding are expected over Bermuda into early Thursday

    • Maximum sustained winds: 100 mph
    • Minimum central pressure: 971 mb

    Hurricane Imelda is now a Category 2 storm.

    Imelda is expected to transition into an extratropical low within a few days, followed by a gradual weakening afterward.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Watches/warnings

    A hurricane warning is in effect for Bermuda.

    Tropical storm warnings have been discontinued along the Florida coast.

    Surfers hit Cocoa Beach

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • Humberto expected to bring life-threatening conditions to Florida’s east coast beaches

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    ACCURATE FORECAST IN MINUTES. WELL TROPICAL STORM IMELDA IS CAUSING, AS WE MENTIONED, SOME DANGEROUS CONDITIONS AT OUR BEACHES TODAY. AND WESH 2’S BOB HAZEN IS IN COCOA BEACH WHERE BIG WAVES ARE EXPECTED. THE CONDITIONS HERE IN COCOA BEACH HAVE BEEN KEEPING SOME FOLKS OUT OF THE WATER, BUT FOR OTHERS IT’S LURING THEM IN. NIA, TIA AND HER FAMILY CAME TO COCOA BEACH FROM TAMPA, HOPING TO CATCH WAVES A LOT BIGGER THAN THEY’RE USED TO. IT’S FUN, BUT IT’S DEFINITELY PRETTY CHOPPY. THE STORMS FAR OFFSHORE ARE EXPECTED TO BRING WAVES AS HIGH AS TEN FEET TO SOME PARTS OF OUR COASTLINE. THAT ENTICED A LOT OF SURFERS TO COME OUT FIRST THING IN THE MORNING TO RIDE THE SWELLS, BUT WITH THOSE WAVES ARE POWERFUL RIP CURRENTS. IT’S PRETTY ROUGH TODAY, HONESTLY, WITH THE NORTH WINDS COMING IN, THEY’RE MESSING UP THE FORM OF THE WAVES, SO IT’S NOT THE BEST STORMY, BUMPY CONDITIONS. IT’S A LOT OF FUN THOUGH. SOME FUN DROPS. JONATHAN BROUGHT OUT HIS BOOGIE BOARD FOR THE SAME REASON. HE SAYS AS LONG AS HE’S ON THE BOARD, HE DOESN’T MIND THE RIP. THAT’S GOOD FOR ME. IT GETS ME OUT IN THE WATER QUICKER. BUT OBVIOUSLY IF YOU HAD A KID OR YOU’RE NOT FAMILIAR WITH THE WATER, DON’T BE OUT HERE TODAY. WE SHOULD SEE SOME OF THE WORST CONDITIONS. STRONG, GUSTY WINDS. OFFICIALS SAY THE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE LIFE THREATENING, SO PEOPLE SHOULD NOT GET INTO THE WATER. BRIAN STAPLETON WAS PLANNING TO GO SURF FISHING, BUT TOLD ME THE CHURNING OCEAN WILL KEEP HIM ON THE SAND. USUALLY WE’LL WALK OUT, CHEST HIGH IN THE WATER, THROW THE BAIT OUT, BUT A DAY LIKE TODAY, PROBABLY NOT A GOOD IDEA. COVERING BREVARD COUNT

    Humberto, Imelda expected to bring big waves, rough surf to Cocoa Beach

    Updated: 1:23 PM EDT Sep 29, 2025

    Editorial Standards

    Tropical Storm Imelda and Hurricane Humberto continue to churn in the Atlantic.Swells and high surf from both Humberto and Imelda are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the east coast of Florida and the Georgia coast through Monday, NHC says.Surfers in Florida are taking to the waves to enjoy the first storm swells of the year, despite warnings from emergency officials to stay off the beach due to high surf and rip current risks.”To me, it’s very good. I have two years without surf, so to me it’s amazing,” one surfer said.County officials are advising people to stay off the beach and out of the water until the rip current risk and high surf conditions subside. The consensus among surfers is that only those with experience should attempt to surf in these conditions.”It was a little too strong for me to go outside,” a young girl said, referring to the main waves breaking outside.She enjoyed the beach safely, accompanied by her experienced surfer dad.”He’s having fun, he did a really cool air, and it’s two to three foot, and it’s really fun to catch the white water,” she said.Another surfer described the conditions as “some chest-high waves and dumping really hard, so fun for me.”The surf is expected to increase on Monday and Tuesday as the storm passes, leaving choppy waters behind.”By Tuesday, of course, it’s going to be good surfers only,” a surfer said.

    Tropical Storm Imelda and Hurricane Humberto continue to churn in the Atlantic.

    Swells and high surf from both Humberto and Imelda are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the east coast of Florida and the Georgia coast through Monday, NHC says.

    Surfers in Florida are taking to the waves to enjoy the first storm swells of the year, despite warnings from emergency officials to stay off the beach due to high surf and rip current risks.

    “To me, it’s very good. I have two years without surf, so to me it’s amazing,” one surfer said.

    County officials are advising people to stay off the beach and out of the water until the rip current risk and high surf conditions subside. The consensus among surfers is that only those with experience should attempt to surf in these conditions.

    “It was a little too strong for me to go outside,” a young girl said, referring to the main waves breaking outside.

    She enjoyed the beach safely, accompanied by her experienced surfer dad.

    “He’s having fun, he did a really cool air, and it’s two to three foot, and it’s really fun to catch the white water,” she said.

    Another surfer described the conditions as “some chest-high waves and dumping really hard, so fun for me.”

    The surf is expected to increase on Monday and Tuesday as the storm passes, leaving choppy waters behind.

    “By Tuesday, of course, it’s going to be good surfers only,” a surfer said.

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  • Humberto expected to remain a ‘powerful’ major hurricane, NHC says

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    Humberto was upgraded to a hurricane on Friday, according to the National Hurricane Center.As of the 5 a.m. advisory on Saturday, the NHC said Humberto is expected to remain a powerful major hurricane for the next several days. Humberto is located 375 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Humberto is moving toward the northwest at 6 mph. The NHC said the system has maximum sustained winds of nearly 145 mph, with higher gusts and a minimum central pressure of 938 mb. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.Swells generated by Humberto will begin affecting portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and Bermuda this weekend and early next week. PTC9Meanwhile, a second system continues to move toward the southeastern United States. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    Humberto was upgraded to a hurricane on Friday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    As of the 5 a.m. advisory on Saturday, the NHC said Humberto is expected to remain a powerful major hurricane for the next several days.

    Humberto is located 375 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

    Humberto is moving toward the northwest at 6 mph.

    The NHC said the system has maximum sustained winds of nearly 145 mph, with higher gusts and a minimum central pressure of 938 mb.

    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

    Swells generated by Humberto will begin affecting portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and Bermuda this weekend and early next week.

    PTC9

    Meanwhile, a second system continues to move toward the southeastern United States.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • National Hurricane Center monitoring Invest 94-L in the Atlantic for development

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    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a large tropical wave in the Atlantic. Invest 94-L is producing disorganized showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds for most of the Windward and Leeward Islands. This wave is forecast to move west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands tonight and on Wednesday, according to NHC. The system is expected to slow down and shift northwest when it arrives in the southwestern Atlantic near the Bahamas later this week.A tropical depression could develop in that area. The NHC advised that the following regions should keep an eye on the system: the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas. Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 30%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 70%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a large tropical wave in the Atlantic.

    Invest 94-L is producing disorganized showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds for most of the Windward and Leeward Islands.

    This wave is forecast to move west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.

    Heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands tonight and on Wednesday, according to NHC.

    The system is expected to slow down and shift northwest when it arrives in the southwestern Atlantic near the Bahamas later this week.

    A tropical depression could develop in that area.

    The NHC advised that the following regions should keep an eye on the system: the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas.

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 30%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 70%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • Latest updates: Tracking Hurricane Gabrielle and 2 tropical waves in the Atlantic

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    Hurricane Gabrielle continues to strengthen as it moves across the Atlantic Ocean on Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center. Gabrielle is anticipated to strengthen into a Category 3 storm by Tuesday. Meanwhile, the NHC is monitoring two more tropical waves in the Atlantic. Hurricane GabrielleHurricane Gabrielle is currently located southeast of Bermuda and moving north-northwest at 10 mph. Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 90 mph and a minimum central pressure of 978 mb.By Tuesday, Gabrielle is forecast to be a Category 3 storm. ImpactsHurricane Gabrielle isn’t expected to hit the U.S., but the swells generated by the storm will affect Bermuda for a few days. These swells are now reaching the east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward. Central tropical waveA tropical wave is producing showers and thunderstorms west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, according to the NHC.Environmental conditions are not favorable for initial development over the next day or two but are expected to gradually become more favorable by the middle to latter part of this week, NHC says.A tropical depression could form as the system moves west-northwestward across the central AtlanticFormation chance through the next 48 hours: 20%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 70% East of Windward IslandsNHC is monitoring another tropical wave located east of the Lesser Antilles Islands.The development is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves quickly westward. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for further development over the next several days.By the latter part of this week, the system is expected to slow down and turn more northwestward, moving north of Hispaniola, according to the NHC.Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 40%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    Hurricane Gabrielle continues to strengthen as it moves across the Atlantic Ocean on Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    Gabrielle is anticipated to strengthen into a Category 3 storm by Tuesday. Meanwhile, the NHC is monitoring two more tropical waves in the Atlantic.

    Hurricane Gabrielle

    Hurricane Gabrielle is currently located southeast of Bermuda and moving north-northwest at 10 mph.

    Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 90 mph and a minimum central pressure of 978 mb.

    By Tuesday, Gabrielle is forecast to be a Category 3 storm.

    Impacts

    Hurricane Gabrielle isn’t expected to hit the U.S., but the swells generated by the storm will affect Bermuda for a few days.

    These swells are now reaching the east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward.

    Central tropical wave

    A tropical wave is producing showers and thunderstorms west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, according to the NHC.

    Environmental conditions are not favorable for initial development over the next day or two but are expected to gradually become more favorable by the middle to latter part of this week, NHC says.

    A tropical depression could form as the system moves west-northwestward across the central Atlantic

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 20%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 70%

    East of Windward Islands

    NHC is monitoring another tropical wave located east of the Lesser Antilles Islands.

    The development is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves quickly westward.

    Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for further development over the next several days.

    By the latter part of this week, the system is expected to slow down and turn more northwestward, moving north of Hispaniola, according to the NHC.

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 40%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • Tropical Storm Gabrielle forecast to strengthen into hurricane this weekend, NHC says

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    Tropical Storm Gabrielle forecast to strengthen into hurricane this weekend, NHC says

    THE WEEKEND IS FINALLY HERE. IT’S NOT 100 DEGREES OUTSIDE AND PEOPLE CAN ACTUALLY HAVE SOME AND IT’S DRY. MARQUISE I THINK YOU’RE SERVING UP A NICE ONE TODAY. I LOVE THE OPTIMISM RADIATING OFF YOU GUYS RIGHT NOW. THE WEEKEND IS LOOKING GORGEOUS. ALMOST AS GOOD AS WE DID LOOK TODAY. AS A MATTER OF FACT, AS WE’RE BACK IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S INLAND, JUST A TOUCH COOLER ALONG THE COAST. UPPER 80S FOR YOU FOLKS. BUT AS WE CONTINUE ACROSS YOUR SEVEN DAY CERTIFIED MOST ACCURATE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND, WE’LL SEE THAT SUNSHINE RETURN ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF SOME FALL RAIN SHOWERS. SO A LOT TO LOOK FORWARD TO COMING OUR DIRECTION OUT IN DAYTONA BEACH RIGHT NOW. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN BACK INTO THE LOWER 80S. A COUPLE CLOUDS IN THE PICTURE MOMENTARILY. EVENTUALLY YOU’LL CLEAR OUT JUST LIKE EVERYBODY ELSE AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 70S TONIGHT. RIGHT NOW, THE WINDS ARE COMING IN OFF THE SHORELINE. THAT’S INCREASING THE MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE, BUT IT WILL BE A DRY EVENING OVERALL IN REGARDS TO THE RAINFALL OUT ACROSS I 75. WE HAD A PAIR ACTUALLY A TRIPLET OF 86 DEGREE TEMPERATURES IN OCALA. THE VILLAGES IN WILDWOOD, INSIDE THE CITY. BEAUTIFUL. YOU’RE ROCKING 83 DEGREE TEMPERATURES HERE AT 718. AND OVER THE COURSE OF YOUR EVENING, YOU’LL SEE THOSE WINDS BEGIN TO CALM DOWN AS WELL. WITH THIS SYSTEM OF LOW PRESSURE PUSHING FURTHER TOWARDS THE EAST, OPENING THE DOOR FOR HIGH PRESSURE IN DRIER CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. BEAUTIFUL WEATHER FOR SOME FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL AS THE O’GALLEY COMMODORES ARE TAKING ON THE COCOA KNIGHTS IN BREVARD COUNTY, SHOWERS ARE NO LONGER IN THE PICTURE. JUST A LIGHT BREEZE WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE DURATION OF THE GAME. ALSO, THE OSCEOLA COWBOYS TAKING ON THE JONES FIGHTING TIGERS. A LITTLE BIT BREEZY EARLY ON. WE TALKED ABOUT THOSE WIND SPEEDS JUST A MOMENT AGO. WE’VE SEEN THE GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20MPH. RIGHT NOW THEY SIT BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MILE PER HOUR CONDITIONS AND YOU’RE PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE DURATION OF YOUR GAME AS WELL. OFF IN MELBOURNE WE DO SEE THOSE SKIES CLEARING OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE WISE WE DROP INTO THE UPPER 70S BEFORE THE NIGHT IS SAID AND DONE, PAVING THE WAY FOR PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES EARLY ON. NOW, ALONG THE COAST, THERE’S A SMALL CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS WITH THAT EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PULLING IN. WE’LL HOLD ON TO THAT SMALL OPPORTUNITY IN THE AFTERNOON. THE MAJORITY OF YOUR DAY ON SATURDAY, THOUGH, WILL BE FILLED WITH SUNSHINE UNTIL WE START TO WATCH OUT FOR THE SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS. AS WE TAKE A LOOK AT YOUR WEEKEND FORECAST ON FUTURECAST. HERE’S THAT HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT I WAS TALKING ABOUT, RIGHT? ANYTIME YOU HAVE A HIGH SURROUNDING YOUR NECK OF THE WOODS, YOU CAN EXPECT SOME FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS. ALMOST. THINK OF IT AS A DOME BLOCKING OUT THAT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM ENTERING. WINDS ARE ALSO PRIMARILY COMING IN FROM THE NORTH, AND THAT WILL KEEP YOU RIGHT AROUND YOUR SEASONAL AVERAGE, IF NOT JUST A BIT WARMER. AS FAR AS RAIN COVERAGE IS CONCERNED, SATURDAY AND SUNDAY LOOK PRISTINE. THIS WEEKEND, A 30% COVERAGE OF SHOWERS INLAND ON SATURDAY, A 20% CHANCE ON SUNDAY. UNFORTUNATELY, AS WE SWING INTO THE FIRST DAY OF FALL. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ELEVATED AND THAT’S COURTESY OF A STALLED STATIONARY BOUNDARY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC. AS WE TAKE YOU OUT TO THE ATLANTIC, OF COURSE, THE MAJOR HEADLINE THAT’S TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE, IN WHICH SOME MODELS, AS WE HEAD INTO THE START OF YOUR WORKWEEK, ARE INDICATING THIS FEATURE COULD INTENSIFY TO A CATEGORY TWO OR A CATEGORY THREE STORM. AS WE TAKE A PEEK AT THE CONE OF UNCERTAINTY. CATEGORY ONE ON SUNDAY. THAT’S SUNDAY EARLY ON IN THE MORNING. MAX WINDS AT 75MPH. BUT LOOK WHAT HAPPENS AS WE JUMP AHEAD TO THE START OF THE WORKWEEK ON MONDAY. 105 MILE PER HOUR CONDITIONS AS THE SYSTEM WILL BE JUST EAST OF THE ISLANDS OF BERMUDA. BACK HERE AT HOME, THOUGH, NO IMPACTS TO US IN REGARDS TO TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE. BUT WE SEE THAT ELEVATED RAIN CHANCE ON MONDAY TO KICK OFF THE WORKWEEK, COURTESY OF THAT STALLED STATIONARY BOUNDARY. THEREFORE, AS FALL BEGINS ON MONDAY, IT’S A 50% COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S. AND THE LOWER 90S WILL BE A FREQUENT SPOT FOR US BEC

    Tropical Storm Gabrielle forecast to strengthen into hurricane this weekend, NHC says

    Updated: 7:44 PM EDT Sep 19, 2025

    Editorial Standards

    Tropical Storm Gabrielle is expected to strengthen this weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center. The NHC said Gabrielle is forecast to become a hurricane by Sunday and pass east of Bermuda Sunday night and Monday.Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb. The system is moving west-northwest at a speed of 12 mph. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect at this time. However, the NHC advised Bermuda to monitor the progress of Gabrielle. Eastern tropical waveA tropical wave is producing showers and thunderstorms off the coast of Africa, according to the NHC.Slow development of this system is possible as it moves west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 0%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Tropical Storm Gabrielle is expected to strengthen this weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The NHC said Gabrielle is forecast to become a hurricane by Sunday and pass east of Bermuda Sunday night and Monday.

    Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb.

    The system is moving west-northwest at a speed of 12 mph.

    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect at this time. However, the NHC advised Bermuda to monitor the progress of Gabrielle.

    Eastern tropical wave

    A tropical wave is producing showers and thunderstorms off the coast of Africa, according to the NHC.

    Slow development of this system is possible as it moves west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 0%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Tropical Storm Gabrielle ‘poorly organized’ over the Atlantic, but expected to strengthen, NHC says

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    Tropical Storm Gabrielle formed over the Atlantic on Wednesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. The NHC said Gabrielle is poorly organized and battling strong wind shear as it jogs toward the west-northwest. Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb.The NHC said little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but some gradual intensification is forecast over the weekend. Tropical Storm Gabrielle could strengthen into a hurricane. However, it is not expected to affect land during the next several days.There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect at this time. Eastern tropical waveA new tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa by Friday, according to the NHC.Slow development of this system is possible as it moves west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 0%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Tropical Storm Gabrielle formed over the Atlantic on Wednesday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The NHC said Gabrielle is poorly organized and battling strong wind shear as it jogs toward the west-northwest.

    Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb.

    The NHC said little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but some gradual intensification is forecast over the weekend.

    Tropical Storm Gabrielle could strengthen into a hurricane. However, it is not expected to affect land during the next several days.

    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect at this time.

    Eastern tropical wave

    A new tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa by Friday, according to the NHC.

    Slow development of this system is possible as it moves west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 0%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Invest 92-L could become next tropical storm; NHC monitoring new area of interest

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    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two areas in the Atlantic. Tropical wave Invest 92-LThe tropical wave, designated as Invest 92-L, is located between the Windward Islands and the coast of West Africa and is producing showers and thunderstorms.Dry and stable air could likely limit this system’s development over the next few days, but a tropical depression or named storm could form by the middle to latter part of this week.The system is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic, the NHC said.Related: Tracking Invest 92-L: Maps, path, spaghetti models Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 90%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 90%At this time, the development is not expected to affect the U.S.Eastern tropical wave The NHC tagged a new area to monitor off the west coast of Africa. The tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Slow development of the system is possible as it moves from the eastern to the central portion of the Atlantic. Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two areas in the Atlantic.

    Tropical wave Invest 92-L

    The tropical wave, designated as Invest 92-L, is located between the Windward Islands and the coast of West Africa and is producing showers and thunderstorms.

    Dry and stable air could likely limit this system’s development over the next few days, but a tropical depression or named storm could form by the middle to latter part of this week.

    The system is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic, the NHC said.

    Related: Tracking Invest 92-L: Maps, path, spaghetti models

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 90%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 90%

    At this time, the development is not expected to affect the U.S.

    Eastern tropical wave

    The NHC tagged a new area to monitor off the west coast of Africa. The tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    Slow development of the system is possible as it moves from the eastern to the central portion of the Atlantic.

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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