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Making sense of the markets this week: November 5, 2023 – MoneySense

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Both hardware and software continue to siphon profits from all over the world back to the U.S.A. and into shareholders’ pockets. No big surprises.

Air Canada and Cameco fly high

Air Canada was so confident in its profits this quarter that executive vice-president of network planning and revenue management Mark Galardo stated:

“We see relatively strong demand for (the fourth quarter) in almost every single geography that we operate in, in almost every single segment that we operate in. […] We’re not seeing any major slowdown at this point in time.”

Canadian earnings highlights

Three very different Canadian companies saw quite different quarterly results this week.

  • Air Canada (AC/TSX): Earnings per share of $2.46 (versus $1.60 predicted). Revenue of $6.34 billion (versus $6.09 billion estimate).
  • Cameco (CCO/TSX): Earnings per share of $0.32 (versus $0.13 predicted). Revenue of $575 million (versus $718 million estimate).
  • Nutrien (NTR/TSX, NYSE): Earnings per share of USD$0.35 (versus $0.65 predicted). Revenue of USD$5.37 billion (versus $5.74 billion estimate).

Despite Air Canada’s results, share prices closed down slightly on Monday, as shareholders appear skeptical that the good times can continue. You can read more about investing in Air Canada at MillionDollarJourney.ca.

Cameco’s quarterly report didn’t dive into operations too deeply, but instead it focused on the bigger picture for nuclear energy. President and CEO Tim Gitzel stated:

“Increasing average global temperatures and the fires and floods that are becoming more and more frequent can’t be ignored. The evidence continues to point to our carbon-based energy systems as a key contributor to the problem. This has led to electron accountability and proposals by countries and companies for achieving net zero targets taking center stage. And today it’s clear, achieving those targets does not happen without nuclear power. That itself is a notable difference, but it goes even deeper. This time policymakers are not shying away from proposing nuclear as a key part of their energy mix, some even reversing their previously anti-nuclear stance.”

Despite the positive long-term view and substantial earnings beat, share prices were nearly flat on Wednesday, closing at $56.88. That said, the stock is up about 10% this week, as we go to press.

Nutrien’s bad quarter can be chalked up to the volatile price of potash. (Nutrien is a Canadian company based in Saskatoon, but trades on the New York Stock Exchange and reports in U.S. dollars.) As an almost pure play on the resource, Nutrien’s stock generally rises and falls with supply and demand in that single market. It’s similar to the dynamics behind an oil producer.

With more potash products from Russian and Belarus slipping through the sanctions net and onto the world market, Nutrien’s brief period of market dominance is at its end. That said, the share price didn’t move much this week, so it appears the market somewhat anticipated the bad news. It rose 2.3% to USD$55.39 at the close Thursday. 

The U.S. Fed tones down hawkishness 

The U.S. Federal Reserve continues to be the predominant market mover. 

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Kyle Prevost

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