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The Old Farmer’s Almanac’s Thanksgiving Day 2025 forecast.
Old Farmer’s Almanac
Thanksgiving plans are starting to take shape across North Texas, from travel itineraries to backyard feasts.
But before packing up for the long weekend, it’s worth checking what kind of weather could roll in.
While it’s too early for a precise forecast, early predictions hint at mild conditions across most of the state.
According to The Old Farmer’s Almanac, the region may dodge the worst of the holiday storms expected elsewhere in the country.
Here’s what that means for travelers and families celebrating
What will North Texas weather be like on Thanksgiving?
The Old Farmer’s Almanac said the Texas region is expected to have a warm week overall, with a clear split between the north and south.
Northern areas, including Dallas-Fort Worth, should stay dry and sunny, while parts of southern Texas may see a few isolated showers.
Most travelers across North Texas can expect favorable conditions for road trips and outdoor activities.
Temperatures will feel warmer than usual for late November, creating a comfortable setup for Thanksgiving parades, football games, or family cookouts.
What’s the outlook for the rest of the West and South?
Across the West Coast and southern U.S., the almanac said heavier rainfall is expected in the southern Pacific Northwest, with scattered showers moving eastward.
Meanwhile, the Desert Southwest and Deep South, including parts of Texas, should see mild and mostly dry weather.
Overall, the Almanac’s forecast suggests a patchwork of weather patterns across the country, from chilly rain in the Pacific Northwest to cooler-than-normal temperatures in parts of the Midwest.
When is Thanksgiving this year?
Thanksgiving in the United States always falls on the fourth Thursday in November.
This year, that date is Nov. 27.
The holiday weekend is one of the busiest travel periods of the year, so it’s best to check your local forecast as the date gets closer to plan for any last-minute changes in weather or road conditions.
How does The Old Farmer’s Almanac make its forecasts?
The Old Farmer’s Almanac uses a long-range forecasting method that compares solar activity and historical weather patterns to predict future trends.
The Almanac doesn’t share the exact formula it uses, but its approach is different from how meteorologists make short-term forecasts.
The publication emphasizes that its reports are for seasonal planning, not a replacement for daily weather updates.
As the holiday nears, travelers are encouraged to check the National Weather Service or local meteorologists for up-to-date details.
How accurate are The Old Farmer’s Almanac forecasts?
The Almanac says it gets its long-range weather predictions right about 80% of the time.
Last winter’s forecast, for instance, had an accuracy rate of 86.1%, according to the publication.
While those numbers aren’t perfect, the Almanac’s historical data offers a helpful early look at how the weather might shape up for major holidays.
Its forecasts are based on decades of weather data and national climate records, so while it’s not meant for pinpoint accuracy, it’s a good guide for what the season might bring.
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Tiffani Jackson
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