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Political analysts are discussing the Israel-Hamas conflict and considering its future implications as the fighting enters its second day. Some have compared the attack to “Israel’s 9/11” due to its scale and impact.
Hamas launched an attack on Israel by land, sea, and air early on Saturday, following a barrage of rockets from Gaza. This offensive occurred during a major Jewish holiday and a day after the 50th anniversary of the Yom Kippur War.
Dan Steinbock, founder of global consultancy firm Difference Group, stated that the attack was not unexpected and marked the first major direct conflict within Israeli territory since its founding.
“Massive attacks by Hamas leadership into Israel… This is no less than Israel’s 9/11.”
Ian Bremmer
President of Eurasia Group
Steinbock believes that the conflict is a result of 50 years of failed military policies and considers it a game-changer in the Israeli-Palestine conflict. As of now, there have been reports of casualties on both sides.
Israel’s 9/11?
Ian Bremmer, President of Eurasia Group, compared the scale of the attack to “Israel’s 9/11.” He highlighted Israel’s strong geopolitical position, including its normalization of ties with various nations through agreements like the Abraham Accords.
Bremmer suggested that Hamas’ decision to engage in such extensive strikes against Israel might be influenced by the changing political dynamics in the region and Hamas’ refusal to accept Israel’s right to exist.
Massive intelligence failure
Bremmer emphasized that the attack revealed a massive intelligence and defense failure for Israel, attributing it to distractions caused by the government’s new judicial reforms. Israel’s defense system, known as the “Iron Dome,” has had success in intercepting rockets, but some have still managed to bypass the system.
Political turmoil in Israel due to the judicial reforms has reportedly affected the focus of Israeli intelligence and military personnel.
The conflict is expected to impact relations between Israel and other Middle Eastern countries. The violence has put a halt to the possibility of a fast-tracked Israeli-Saudi normalization process and highlights the need for conflict management and mediation in the region.
Saudi Arabia has expressed its opposition to the attacks and called for de-escalation.
Does the conflict spread?
According to Zvi Eckstein, former deputy governor at the Bank of Israel, the conflict currently remains limited to Gaza and Israel. There is no indication of involvement from Iran or Hezbollah, which would significantly impact the situation. However, if evidence emerges linking Iran to the attacks, it could lead to an expansion of the war.
Recent developments have seen attacks by Lebanon’s Hezbollah militant group on Israeli sites, leading to further escalation.
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Editorial Team
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