Tag: XRP Technical Analysis

XRP may be setting up for a final, cleaner long entry if the broader market delivers one more volatility-driven pullback, according to CryptoinsightUK’s Will Taylor, who says his preferred “risk to reward” zone sits materially below current support. The thesis hinges on whether Bitcoin prints a double-bottom-style retest and drags major alts into deeper liquidity pockets before the next leg higher.

In his Jan. 10 newsletter, Taylor framed early 2026 as a market caught between two plausible paths: a familiar pullback-and-recover structure that has defined prior Bitcoin dips, or a continuation higher that leaves would-be buyers watching price run away.

“The question mark for me is whether we do get a wick below this ascending trend line into that double bottom area and then push higher,” he wrote, adding that the setup is crowded. “On the other side of this, it does make you think that everyone is probably looking at the same structure and waiting for something like this to play out.”

Taylor said he had closed short-term trades during the week, not as a shift in his higher-timeframe view, but as a response to what he described as low-timeframe conditions and event risk. “Today we get the ruling on tariffs in the US. Is that going to provide some volatility?” he asked, pointing to a cluster of geopolitical headlines as potential catalysts that could either produce the pullback he’s watching for—or “deceive people… who are waiting for a pullback, and instead continue higher from here and leave those orders behind.”

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Taylor’s shorter-term trade framework leans heavily on liquidity positioning, using Ethereum as a key tell for what Bitcoin might do next. He argued ETH “kind of favours the double bottom scenario” because “the amount of liquidity that has built up for ETH down to about $2,600” is heavier below than above on the hourly chart, an imbalance he views as a magnet if the market attempts to rally without first clearing that downside interest.

One Last Buying Opportunity For XRP?

That same logic carries into his XRP plan. Taylor said XRP has already “swept the highs of the range first,” forcing a decision point between holding a nearer support band—his “first blue box”—or fading into a deeper demand zone.

“Now the discussion becomes whether we move into the first blue box as a weaker area of support and hold there… or whether we come back down into the deeper support zone around $1.90 to $1.82 and hold there,” he wrote. “That deeper area is my preferred risk to reward zone for placing long positions, and that is where I will be looking to get back into an XRP long and add to my position if we see that move specifically.”

He added that the daily RSI on XRP was “close to crossing bearish,” presenting a technical backdrop that, in his view, supports the case for one more washout before trend continuation while stressing it does not alter his higher-timeframe bullish thesis.

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Taylor then pivoted to a more stimulative medium-term narrative, citing talk of “putting 200 billion into additional mortgage backed security purchases to cut mortgage rates,” along with suggestions of potential stimulus checks and the inflation sensitivity of oil prices.

“Because of all of this, I think we’re going to see an epic rally. I don’t think people are really expecting the size or the scale of the move that could come,” Taylor wrote. “I believe we’re in the final shakeout period before the market really starts to march higher.” He said he remained “around 95% exposed to the market through spot positions,” framing the decision to close short-term trades as “a capital protection mechanism.”

His minimum XRP price target is $3.40 and extends to $4.40 based on liquidity in the medium term. Long-term, he says that the argument for the $8-$12 range is still valid, as reported last week.

Separate commentary in the newsletter from analyst @thecryptomann1 highlighted what “confirmation” would look like on Bitcoin: a reclaim of roughly $105,000, a push through, and a successful retest. He cited “a huge amount of volume around this region” and alignment with bull market support bands, arguing that regaining them would shift the read from “relief rally” to something more durable.

He also pointed to USDT dominance sitting on a multi-year trend line but showing weakness, including being “trapped below the 20 EMA” with RSI “below 50” and rolling over conditions that, if they resolve lower, could align with a risk-on breakout in majors.

At press time, XRP traded at $2.05.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is compressing on the weekly chart into a clearly defined post-breakout range, and analyst Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto)argues the next directional clue will come from the RSI, with a breakout “sometime in Q1” that he expects to coincide with higher prices and a push toward $10.

Maelius’ chart is a 1W XRP/USD view (Bitstamp) with a 50-week EMA overlaid. The market’s most recent regime shift is clear: a sharp vertical expansion carried XRP from a long base into a higher trading band, followed by a multi-week consolidation inside a shaded range.

Is XRP Set To Explode Within 1 Week?

That range is anchored by two levels the chart emphasizes. The upper boundary aligns with the prior spike high near $3.33 (the 2018 peak), while the lower boundary sits just above $1.60. At the time of the screenshot, XRP is around $2.124 on the weekly close, placing price just below the 50-week EMA, the most immediate, high-visibility pivot in Maelius’ framing.

The Elliott labeling casts the current chop as a corrective wave 4 after the impulsive advance. The message is less “trend is broken” and more “trend is pausing.” Maelius added that his “conservative count assumes there is only 1W left,” implying a relatively tight window for the market to resolve the consolidation and transition into wave 5 if momentum confirms.

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The broader layout of the chart also invites a comparison to 2017: XRP’s first major run off a base, a long mid-cycle breather, and then a second, sharper leg into the ultimate high. In the comparison within the chart, XRP rallied roughly 7,400% in about three months in early 2017, consolidated from May through December, then surged again by roughly 1,500%.

Today’s sequencing is presented as similar in shape, if not necessarily in magnitude: a strong first leg from roughly November 2024 through January 2025 (roughly +500%), followed by a year-long consolidation into January 2026. In that read, the next major leg higher could be approaching, potentially shallower than the first, with wave 5 serving as the “second push” analogue.

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The lower panel is a weekly RSI with a descending trendline capping recent peaks. That red down-sloping line is Maelius’ timing trigger: “RSI breaks out sometime in Q1. Price goes higher.” The implication is straightforward. In his framework, momentum needs to break its own compression before price can sustain the next expansion phase.

Crucially, the chart also carries a higher-degree label that places the current wave 4 within a larger wave III, rather than portraying the next wave 5 as a terminal, cycle-ending move. That aligns with his response when asked whether $10 would be a quarterly “max”: “Sometime in Q1 we should get a breakout, not necessarily a top. Next wave should be towards 10$.”

If the thesis is working, XRP would be expected to reclaim the 50-week EMA and reassert acceptance back toward the range highs near $3.33, with the RSI trendline break acting as the confirmation event Maelius is watching. If it fails, continued rejection at the EMA and a breakdown through the range floor above $1.60 would keep the wave-4 corrective phase in play and delay the wave-5 path he’s mapped.

At press time, XRP traded at $2.37.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP could still reach $28 this cycle under a “non-base-case” scenario driven by an altcoin-heavy rotation, according to CryptoInsightUK analyst Will Taylor, who argued that XRP’s multi-year technical compression leaves room for an outsized move if market structure and sentiment align.

In his Dec. 27 “Weekly Insight” newsletter, Taylor framed the call inside a broader thesis: that capital chasing breakouts in traditional markets could eventually rotate into crypto, amplifying returns given crypto’s smaller aggregate market cap. Within that setup, XRP is his “core position,” and the token he sees as a primary beneficiary if altcoins capture a larger share of the cycle’s upside.

Can XRP Still Reach $28 This Cycle?

Taylor’s XRP outlook is tied to his expectation that total crypto market cap can reach roughly $10 trillion this cycle, a level he characterized as consistent with prior cycle behavior. The more important variable, in his view, is where Bitcoin dominance lands if that scenario plays out.

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He wrote that dominance could fall into the “35.3 percent and 31.5 percent range,” which would imply Bitcoin at roughly a $3 trillion to $4 trillion market cap in that environment and “leave the door open for around six trillion dollars to flow into altcoins.” That’s the backdrop for his XRP targets: not a claim about XRP alone, but a wager on the size of the altcoin pie if the market turns risk-on.

Taylor also pointed to a prior discussion with trader Credible Crypto as an example of how high-cycle targets can emerge when liquidity, positioning, and sentiment converge. “My pinned post on X is a conversation with Credible Crypto where he talks about how, for example, XRP could go to $26 if the stars align for a cycle like this,” Taylor wrote. “And right now, it genuinely feels like those stars are starting to align.”

Taylor disclosed that XRP is the overwhelming majority of his portfolio, a disclosure he flagged as a potential bias. “As you guys know, I am around 90 percent XRP in my portfolio, so I definitely have some bias here,” he wrote, before laying out a profit-taking framework centered on a mid-cycle target zone.

“I would not be too surprised to see XRP reach a minimum of eight to thirteen dollars,” Taylor wrote. “I have discussed many times that I would be taking a lot of profit in that range, with an outside maximum target of up to around twenty eight dollars.”

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He tied the higher-end target to a technical read of XRP’s long consolidation and the possibility that an altcoin-led cycle could be larger than many investors expect. Taylor described the $28 level as derived from the “initial breakout from the 2017 to 2018 cycle,” while emphasizing he had deliberately “diminished expectations” versus modeling a more aggressive, multi-leg extension.

Even so, his risk management plan is explicit about reducing exposure in the $8 to $13 band. “As I have said before, I plan to heavily de leverage between eight and thirteen dollars if we are offered that opportunity,” he wrote. “I will not be selling all of my bags, though, because I do think there is an outside chance that we push higher, potentially toward the twenty eight dollar area.”

The Argument For XRP

Taylor’s core claim is that XRP’s structure is different from many large-cap alts because it has, in his view, spent longer in “compression” and is now emerging from it. He argued XRP “has experienced longer compression than most altcoins, has broken out of an eight year trend, and has held previous seven year resistance as support.”

He also suggested that a favorable US policy narrative could act as an accelerant in a euphoric phase, pointing to “the rhetoric around US companies,” the “US Clarity Act,” and Ripple “remaining based in the US” as factors that could make a higher-end outcome less implausible in a risk-on environment.

Still, Taylor repeatedly stressed that the $28 figure is not his central expectation. “That being said, and I want to be very clear on this, this is not my primary target,” he wrote. “My primary target is and has been between eight and twelve dollars, potentially stretching to fifteen or sixteen dollars this cycle. The move toward twenty eight dollars is an outside scenario, not a base case.”

At press time, XRP traded at $1.86.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is holding firm on the weekly time frame despite the latest market-wide drawdown, according to an Elliott Wave roadmap shared by crypto technician Hov (@HovWaves).

On Hov’s Bitstamp-based 1W chart, the current candle sits near $2.22 with three days and several hours left to close, and the structure remains nested inside a higher-time-frame impulse that he counts as wave iii completed, wave iv in progress, and a prospective wave v aiming materially higher.

Is The XRP Bottom In?

The key reference band for pullbacks is defined by Fibonacci retracements measured from the latest vertical advance. Hov plots the 0.236 retracement at $2.094, the 0.382 at $1.548, the 0.5 at $1.213, and the 0.618 at $0.950.

The price has broken down to the 0.236 neighborhood, probing a turquoise demand box that overlaps the 0.382 ($1.548) on the lower edge. That zone also contains the October 10 liquidity event wick he highlights around $1.58. In his accompanying note, Hov stresses that the last rise from that low has only formed three waves to date, leaving room for “one more small low on the micro before it’s all said and done,” while adding, “I don’t think it takes out the 1.58 low” and that, because of the wick, “we’re likely to see a truncation on this move.”

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The upside map hinges on two resistance landmarks. First is a boxed supply region overhead that caps out just below a labeled swing marker at “0 (3.41159),” effectively framing $3.41 as the final pivot from the prior leg. More important for confirmation, Hov marks “HTF close above $2.94 is the key.” That $2.94 weekly close is his validation level that would reassert the impulsive trend and unlock a measured extension to his first target.

That target is explicit on the chart: the next leg’s objective aligns with the −0.236 extension printed at $5.558. A curved projection path from the current area arcs through the retracement box and then accelerates vertically toward the target, annotated with a circled “V” at the terminal portion of the move and a higher-degree “3” on the scale, consistent with an impulse termination at or near the extension.

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Context from the left side of the chart shows how structurally important the base has been. A broad turquoise accumulation band anchored around the $0.43 handle (labeled “1 (0.43128)”) held price throughout 2023–2024, preceding the breakout that staged the current impulse.

Above that, a second, higher turquoise band spans the 2021 reaction zone and now acts as the battleground for the present consolidation beneath $3.41. A visible-range profile overlay inside the consolidation rectangle shows the heaviest traded activity toward the left ridge of the range, underscoring why weekly closes above $2.94 would be decisive.

Hov’s bottom line on X mirrors the chart. “XRP holding up exceptionally well on this market wide sell off,” he wrote, noting the coin remains “still up 40% off our level (threaded).” While he allows for a final marginal low—without undercutting $1.58—his roadmap retains a “first target” near $5.5, with the caveat that a “HTF close above $2.94 is the key.”

At press time, XRP traded at $2.18.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP’s latest downswing has dragged price into a cluster of long-term volume and mean-reversion levels, with one prominent market technician flagging Korea as the epicenter of near-term spot selling.

XRP Faces Crucial Support

In charts shared over the past 24 hours, trader Dom (@traderview2) said XRP has “reached the 12M rVWAP for the first time this year,” adding that it “really isn’t a level we want to be trading under for awhile.” He warned that if bulls lose that 12-month rolling VWAP, “we are looking at the range low of $2 as the next area of interest,” whereas a swift recovery would require “$2.50 [to] regain to get out of danger area.”

Dom also pointed to order-book composition: “Spot orderbooks are skewed towards bids right now which is positive, but snapping the local low will likely send us back to $2 where the rest of the bids sit.”

Dom’s VWAP-suite chart places spot price pressing directly into the 12-month rolling VWAP ribbon after failing to sustain above the prior distribution shelf, a configuration that often separates trending from mean-reverting phases. Testing this line for the first time this year is notable because multi-month rVWAPs act as dynamic fair-value proxies; sustained closes below them historically coincide with further probing of high-volume nodes beneath.

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Korea Dictates The XRP Price Move Once Again

The geographic concentration of selling has amplified the risk of a deeper tag of that range. Dom said the bulk of the spot pressure was exchange-specific: “They do NOT look happy over there in Korean… 84% of all the spot sell pressure over the last 2 days has came from Upbit.”

A cumulative volume delta (CVD) breakdown by exchange corroborates the outsized role of the Korean venue, with Upbit’s CVD line deeply negative while Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, Kraken and Bitstamp hover comparatively flat near the zero line. In practical terms, that mix indicates real-coin distribution flowed predominantly through the KRW corridor even as other USD- and USDT-based venues showed less aggressive net selling.

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A separate high-timeframe chart from IncomeSharks frames the downside magnet with simple clarity. The analyst posted a daily XRP/USD view with a broad demand zone centered just under $2.00 and commented: “XRP — If you missed it under $2 you’ll probably have a chance to bid it again.”

The chart highlights how the late-summer impulse failed to retake overhead resistance and how subsequent lower highs left a clean air pocket toward the December–March value area that begins around the psychologically dense $2.00 handle. The analyst expects a retracement as low as $1.80-$1.70 if the psychological important $2 mark doesn’t hold.

At press time, XRP traded at $2.21.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Credible Crypto, a widely followed market technician with 479,900 followers on X, turned decisively upbeat on XRP in an October 15 video, arguing that the token’s high-time-frame structure “still looks absolutely freaking fantastic” despite “the most devastating and most significant liquidation event in the history of crypto.” He framed last Friday’s cross-market crash—“around 10 times more than the FTX collapse”—as a bottom-forming anomaly and said XRP’s key support held on closing bases, keeping his double-digit price outlook intact.

XRP Targets Double-Digits

The analyst’s core claim is straightforward: the violent wick to fresh lows across many venues did not invalidate XRP’s high-time-frame uptrend. He points to a monthly demand band at roughly $2.00–$2.40, noting that even after the flash-liquidity cascade “we did not get any 4-hourly closes below $2.30,” and that the deeper prints to $1.17 on some exchanges were byproducts of forced liquidations rather than organic selling.

“Ultimately on the high time frames once again it looks fantastic,” he said, adding that XRP’s prior five-wave advance began at ~$0.49; as long as price holds above the origin of that impulse, he views the recent selloff as a mid-cycle correction, not a cycle top. In his words: “This is not the end of the bull run for XRP… we have much higher to go.”

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He lays out clear tactical markers. On the USD pair, the first meaningful supply band sits around $2.70–$3.11; acceptance above that region would suggest the next impulse has begun. On relative pairs, he highlights a now-familiar horizontal he calls “Gandalf’s grave” on XRP/BTC—a prior multi-touch resistance that recently flipped to support and was respected on hourly closes even during the crash.

The path forward, in his telling, splits into two equally plausible tracks. In the first, Bitcoin runs hot toward $130–$150k in a parabolic extension while XRP chops sideways; that rotational dynamic would push XRP/BTC lower toward a deeper, high-time-frame demand zone even as XRP/USD holds a higher base above ~$1.90–$2.30.

In the second, XRP stabilizes here and rips sooner, with XRP/BTC launching directly and “the minimum move… a 50% move up against Bitcoin,” which would place XRP/USD at new all-time highs. He cautions that a drift lower on XRP/BTC would be a feature, not a bug: “If you’re not fully loaded on XRP, that is when you should get fully loaded,” he said.

Crucially, Credible Crypto ties the XRP roadmap to Ethereum’s next leg. He argues ETH showed “one of the cleanest impulsive movements” in years—a full five-wave advance from ~$2,000 to ~$4,700—then sketched two scenarios.

In scenario one (the more aggressive), that $2,000–$4,700 move is wave one of a much larger sequence to $10,000+, with the current drawdown constituting wave two before a $5k–$6k expansion leg.

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In scenario two (less aggressive), ETH is missing a final wave-five push to new highs just above $5k, and then would undergo a broader, deeper wave-two correction. He even provides a hard invalidation for scenario two: if ETH fell to ~$2,700–$2,800, the overlap with wave-one territory would scrap it, implicitly favoring scenario one. Either way, he says, “sub-$2,000 Ethereum is likely gone for the rest of the cycle.”

Why does this matter for XRP? Because if ETH makes a clean run to and through $5k first, XRP/ETH likely bleeds into a deeper green demand band before reversing—timing that would map to XRP/USD basing while the ETH leg completes. He sees that as constructive signal, not weakness: a final dip in XRP/ETH toward higher-time-frame demand would “tell us when we may be seeing good risk-reward opportunity for long trades on XRPUSD,” and the longer the base, “the greater the expansion.”

Credible Crypto’s playbook for confirmation is explicit. On XRP/USD, watch for an impulsive five-wave thrust off the lows and for clean acceptance above $2.70–$3.11. On XRP/BTC, either a swift reversal from the “Gandalf’s grave” retest or a controlled bleed into a deeper, pre-identified demand block that would time a stronger USD-denominated breakout later. On XRP/ETH, a drift to the green demand area would likely coincide with ETH’s final push past $5k, after which he expects the cross to reverse hard in XRP’s favor.

At press time, XRP traded at $2.42.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Top crypto commentator CryptoinsightUK argues that market consensus has misread the setup for XRP and altcoins, contending that sentiment, liquidity positioning, and cross-asset relationships point to an imminent phase in which XRP could outperform even a resurgent ETH.

In his latest Weekly Insight (Week 161, Sept. 27, 2025), the analyst opens with a blunt reset of stance: “I am bullish.” He acknowledges the psychological toll of recent chop and public pushback—“I am getting pushback from all sides for staying bullish… But I also do not really care”—yet he frames the current drawdown as the kind of fear-laced inflection that historically precedes a trend resumption higher.

Why Is Everyone Wrong About XRP?

The note situates the call against a noisy backdrop. He cites well-followed traders who either called a top or de-risked into weakness, and the victory laps of dominance-maxi voices after a bounce in Bitcoin dominance. The riposte is data-driven: sentiment gauges near “fear” readings of 40 or below, a zone that has repeatedly coincided with local lows or pre-reversal conditions. While he concedes that “we could see a slight further correction,” the weight of evidence, he argues, skews to upside.

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A key pillar is liquidity mapping. On Bitcoin, he highlights sizeable resting liquidity around $106,000—a pool that has persisted since mid-July and remains uncollected despite spot advances as high as $123,000. “I would expect this 106k area of liquidity to be taken, maybe even down to 104k with a wick,” he writes, emphasizing that a tag into that zone would not invalidate the higher-timeframe bull structure.

Crucially, he says, the “largest amount of liquidity ever” sits above price, implying that if a major top were in, “market makers… would [not] allow that much liquidity to remain untouched.” By contrast, lower-side liquidity down around $70,000 is drying up, suggesting reduced gravitational pull to the downside as stale longs and shorts have been flushed or realized.

That skew, he says, is even more pronounced across majors and large-cap alts. On daily time frames for ETH, Cardano, XRP, and SUI, “significant liquidity” has rebuilt above spot, while “minor” pockets remain below—an asymmetry that makes precise dip-buy levels hard to pre-declare yet keeps the “ultimate outcome” biased to a leg higher.

The timing cue rests on two oscillators that often mark rotation windows: ETH is now as oversold on the 4-hour as it was at the exact cycle bottom around $1,400—a setup not seen again during its run toward $5,000—while Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has reached overbought on the 4-hour. “The last three times this happened, it marked either a local high, the exact high, or came just before a larger drawdown in Bitcoin Dominance,” he notes.

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On the weekly, he expects the structural outcome to be an acceleration lower in dominance later in the cycle, and he leaves open whether that moment is now. The mosaic—ETH deeply oversold, BTC.D heavily overbought, liquidity stacked above alts—supports his conclusion that “very soon it is likely to be the altcoin show.”

Within that rotation, XRP vs. ETH is his sharpest edge. On the 4-hour XRP/ETH chart, he sees a local bottom structure—“a series of lows, higher lows, and higher highs”—with a trigger level at 0.00071 ETH per XRP: “We are looking for closes above the 0.00071 level, and the larger the timeframe of the close above that level, the greater the likelihood of reversal.”

On the weekly XRP/ETH, he sketches two Elliott-wave roadmaps: a conservative five-wave path back to the prior highs against ETH, and a higher-beta alternative that starts from the candle structure shift and implies “exponential growth” in relative terms this cycle. The combined thesis is explicit: “ETH looks poised to perform well… [and] XRP looks ready to outperform ETH on top of that. Use your imagination for what could happen if those two things play out together.”

At press time, XRP traded at $2.86.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com