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Tag: Wisconsin

  • PolitiFact – Is it true Wisconsin youth-to-school social worker ratio is ‘almost triple’ recommended level?

    PolitiFact – Is it true Wisconsin youth-to-school social worker ratio is ‘almost triple’ recommended level?

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    Amid legislative debate over how to address Wisconsin’s mental health care gaps, state Rep. Jill Billings, D-La Crosse, said Wisconsin’s youth-to-school social worker ratio is nearly triple what experts recommend.

    Billings made her claim in a Nov. 14 Assembly floor speech against a Republican-led bill that would have mandated Wisconsin’s Department of Public Instruction establish a mental health training program for school staff. 

    The bill did not provide additional money for school mental health resources, something Billings and other Democrats objected to.

    “With school-based professional social workers, the recommendation is 400-to-1,” Billings said. “And in Wisconsin, we’re almost triple that at 1,136 students for every one school social worker. Can you imagine trying to help kids in a school and those ratios are so out-of-whack?” 

    Is Billings right about the ratio?

    Claim matches findings from state report 

    When asked to provide evidence for her claim, Billings sent us the 2022 annual report from the Wisconsin Office of Children’s Mental Health, a state office that studies youth mental health issues.

    The 2022 report found the ratio of students to school-based professional social workers to be 1,136-to-1, 284% higher than the 400-to-1 ratio recommended by the state Department of Public Instruction. Data for the claim is sourced from county-level health data collected by the state.

    Those numbers match Billings’ claim on the Assembly floor. What’s more, they back up a number of other claims Billings made about Wisconsin “falling short” on youth mental health.

    According to the report, Wisconsin has one community-based mental health professional for every 400 kids, nearly double the DPI-recommended 250-to-1 ratio. Additionally, the state has one school-based psychologist for every 826 kids, approximately 1.6 times higher than the DPI-recommended 500-to-1 ratio.

    Additionally, the report estimated 75% of kids who receive mental health treatment access the care at school.

    The report further detailed that accessing youth mental health care in any capacity depends on the financial ability to pay for treatment, transportation, reliable internet access and the ability of both parents and kids to leave their job or school for appointments. 

    “These are often insurmountable barriers for low-income, rural, or single-parent families,” the report read.

    Our ruling

    Billings claimed Wisconsin’s youth-to-social worker ratio is nearly three times higher than recommended levels.

    When asked to support her claim, Billings provided an official state report that confirmed her claims and provided concrete evidence for statewide shortages of other youth mental health professionals.

    We rate this claim True.

     

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  • PolitiFact – ‘Iowa model’ redistricting was not top priority for Wisconsin GOP until 2023

    PolitiFact – ‘Iowa model’ redistricting was not top priority for Wisconsin GOP until 2023

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    The state of Iowa has played an outsized role in presidential politics for decades. Now, the Hawkeye state’s importance is being played out here in the Badger state, as Republicans and Democrats tussle over Wisconsin’s current gerrymandered Legislative maps. 

    A Calumet County lawmaker is now citing the “Iowa model” when touting a Republican redistricting plan that calls for the Legislature to OK new maps drawn by nonpartisan staff.

    “Wisconsin Republicans will introduce a nonpartisan redistricting plan based off the Iowa Model,” state Rep. Ron Tusler, R-Harrison, said Sept. 12, 2023 on X, formerly known as Twitter. “This plan has been hailed as the ‘gold standard’ redistricting model by Democrats and Republicans alike. Republicans, Democrats, and the Governor pushed this plan last time redistricting happened in 2020.”

    PolitiFact Wisconsin found the Calumet County lawmaker’s statement interesting, particularly the claim that  “Republicans, Democrats, and the Governor pushed this plan last time redistricting happened in 2020.”

    That’s because in the wake of the introduction, there was howling from Democrats about an about-face by Republicans to support the plan. And howling from Republicans that Democrats suddenly were balky about a plan they supported all along.

    Have Republicans, Democrats and the governor really been pushing the “Iowa model” since 2020? And is what’s on the table now, really the “Iowa Model”?

    Let’s take a look.

    What is the Iowa model?

    When asked for backup for the claim, Tusler legislative aide Nick Schultz referred PolitiFact Wisconsin to several news articles, press releases, past lawmaker statements and legislation detailing the Iowa model and why its being hailed as “a gold standard’ redistricting model. 

    But for our purposes here, we are focused on two things: How closely does what was introduced mirror the Iowa model. And have all the parties pushed that approach since 2020?

    The Iowa model, as explained in a Sept. 13, 2023, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel article, refers to a redistricting method adopted by Iowa in 1980, which calls for Iowa’s nonpartisan Legislative Services Agency to draw district boundaries for state legislative and congressional seats.

    Legislation to adopt the “Iowa model” has been introduced during every session of Wisconsin’s Legislature since 2011 but until October 2023 had never gotten a hearing during a legislative session. During that period, Republicans controlled both chambers throughout – and for a long stretch, also held the governor’s office.

    The new Assembly Bill 415 has only had one public hearing, Oct. 19, 2023 – and that only came after the recent GOP announcement of support.

    Under that proposal, announced in September by Assembly Speaker Robin Vos, the new maps would take effect in the 2024 election cycle.

    Following three hours of oral arguments on Nov. 21, 2023, a ruling on a bid to overturn the legislative maps now rests with the state Supreme Court

    But there are key differences differences between the Iowa Model and the Wisconsin plan.

    Richard Loeza, senior legislative analyst at the Wisconsin Legislative Reference Bureau, said the differences between Iowa’s process and Wisconsin’s largely reflect matters unique to Wisconsin law, such as the timing of the steps in the process and the constitutional power of the Wisconsin Supreme Court. In a memo, the LRB said the proposed legislative redistricting is largely the same as that in Iowa, with some exceptions.

    Loeza, in an email to PolitiFact Wisconsin, said the main difference is that, under the Iowa Constitution, if no map proposal is enacted by September 15 of the year ending in 1, the Iowa Supreme Court must intervene to adopt a redistricting plan, or cause a redistricting plan to be adopted. None of the Wisconsin proposals in 2019, 2021, or 2023 include such a provision, although such a dispute would likely end up before the court.

    In addition, Democrats’ recent bills have favored adding a provision that maps adopted after three sets from the state agency are rejected must be passed by a three-fourths supermajority of the Legislature. This is to ensure that one party does not ultimately enact a partisan gerrymander at the end of the process. The GOP bill includes neither the Iowa Supreme Court backstop or this provision.

    Furthermore, unlike the previous Wisconsin bills or Iowa, AB 415’s amendments create even more differences between the two state’s models. Under one example, the amended AB 415 would require the Legislative Reference Bureau to continue drawing maps after a third map was rejected. Additionally, there are still no supermajority requirements in AB 415 as amended. The amendments, Loeza pointed out “have resulted in more differences between AB 415 and the Iowa system.”

    John Johnson, research fellow in the Lubar Center for Public Policy Research and Civic Education at the Marquette University Law School, pointed out that there has been a bill pertaining to the redistricting process proposed in each of the last three legislative biennia. 

    “All of the bills bear similarity to the ‘Iowa model’” but are not the same, Johnson said.

    Bills in 2019 and 2021 were introduced, received limited GOP support and never made it to a hearing. 

    “None of these plans are the same as the ‘Iowa model,’ Johnson said “They all vary in important ways.” 

    Have Republicans previously supported the model or moved to enact it?

    There is little doubt that Democrats have been supportive of the approach in recent years. For instance, Democratic Gov. Tony Evers has proposed nonpartisan redistricting in his first two biennial budget requests. 

    Barry Burden, director of the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, said most Republicans in the state legislature and GOP leaders opposed any kind of independent redistricting commission or process “until Tuesday, September 12, when Speaker Vos led a press conference to announce support for a freshly crafted bill that would implement a system similar but not identical to the Iowa model.” 

    Burden said it was a surprising turn of events given Republicans’ history of standing by the existing system and resisting reforms.

    Jay Heck, executive director of Common Cause Wisconsin, pointed to the change in support of the Iowa model by Republican lawmakers.

    “The short answer is that very few Republicans and certainly not Tusler ever supported any version of the Iowa model legislation before September 11, 2023 — the date Robin Vos announced his plan,” Heck told PolitiFact Wisconsin. 

    Common Cause is a non-partisan national group with state chapters devoted to fighting for reforms to gerrymandering, political spending and other issues.

    In the supporting information shared with us by Schultz, of Tusler’s office, there was mention of “past comments by legislative Democrats, as well as legislation authored by both Republicans and Democrats including the Governor.” 

    It’s true that legislation was co-authored by both Republicans and Democrats, however, Republican support for the earlier measures was very limited. For example, the 2019 measure, AB 303, was introduced in June 2019 by 36 Democratic Representatives and two Republicans. The two Republicans were Reps. Todd Novak, R-Dodgeville, and Travis Tranel, R-Cuba City. Two additional GOP Assembly members, Rep. Joel Kitchens, R-Sturgeon Bay and Rep. Loren Oldenburg, R-Viroqua, signed on as co-authors a month after the introduction.

    In other words, there was no indication of widespread support by Republicans prior to the Vos 2023 news conference, such as public pronouncements or any votes – which could have easily been held, given GOP control of both chambers. In fact:

    AB 395, a proposal to institute nonpartisan redistricting was introduced to the legislature on June 11, 2021 and was referred to the Committee on State Affairs. No action was taken on the bill and no public hearings were held on it. The bill died at the end of the 2021-22 legislative biennium. 

    AB 303 was introduced to the legislature on June 20, 2019 and was referred to the Committee on Campaigns and Elections. No action was taken on the bill and no public hearings were held on it. The bill died at the end of the 2019-20 legislative biennium.

    What’s more, the redistricting maps created by the GOP – the ones being challenged before the state Supreme Court – did not include the Iowa approach at all.

    Indeed, the ongoing dispute and continued disagreement, undermines Tusler’s claim that everyone has fought for Iowa-style maps since 2000.

    Our ruling

    Tusler said “Wisconsin Republicans will introduce a nonpartisan redistricting plan based off the Iowa model.  ….  Republicans, Democrats, and the Governor pushed this plan last time redistricting happened in 2020.”

    The claim, while being largely true, has problems on multiple fronts.

    First, the plan introduced by Republicans in 2023, proposes a nonpartisan legislative redistricting process almost identical to Iowa’s process. But has key differences to earlier measures introduced in 2019 and 2021. 

    Those earlier measures did have Republican support, but political experts pointed out that very few Republicans ever supported any version of the Iowa model legislation before September 11, 2023, when the latest plan, backed by Republicans, was introduced. Therefore, there has been GOP support, albeit very limited. 

    For a statement that is partially accurate but leaves out important details or takes things out of context, our rating is Half True.

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  • PolitiFact – Has a Wisconsin Democratic candidate for Congress passed over 170 bills into law?

    PolitiFact – Has a Wisconsin Democratic candidate for Congress passed over 170 bills into law?

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    The Democratic primary field to challenge U.S. Rep. Derrick Van Orden in 2024 grew to four when state Rep. Katrina Shankland joined in October.

    Shankland, who represents Stevens Point and has served in the Wisconsin Assembly since 2012, faces three other Democratic competitors for the 3rd Congressional District in the western part of the state. 

    Those include La Crosse County Board Chair Tara Johnson, who has picked up endorsements from prominent Democrats, including the outgoing party leader in the Senate.

    Others vying in the primary include Eau Claire small-business owner Rebecca Cooke, who lost last year’s primary, and Aaron Nytes, a Harvard Law School student. 

    Shankland has already highlighted her experience as the only state lawmaker in the field, including in a post on her campaign’s account on X, formerly Twitter.

    “I have been a state legislator for 11 years, passing over 170 bills into law and delivering for Wisconsin families — I get things done,” the Nov. 15 post read.

    Her claim caught our attention, as Shankland is likely to continue promoting her record in the statehouse as she campaigns for higher office.

    And, it seemed like a high number for a Democrat who has served in a Republican-controlled Legislature. 

    Let’s take a look at the numbers.

    Memo shows Shankland’s name has been on 179 bills

    When PolitiFact Wisconsin reached out to Shankland’s campaign for backup, consultant Melissa Baldauff said Shankland’s legislative office had a memo showing the bills. 

    She also clarified that the number referred to bills that Shankland has authored or co-sponsored that were signed into law, rather than bills she’s voted for as a lawmaker.

    Shankland’s chief of staff, Jacob Burbach, provided the memo from the Legislative Reference Bureau that shows the bills her name is on that were enacted by the governor.

    The bureau is a nonpartisan agency that provides research to lawmakers and their staff.

    Burbach first shared a memo prepared by an LRB analyst that found that 173 of the 1,928 bills she authored or co-sponsored were signed into law, as of Sept. 14. 

    Two updated memos prepared by LRB brought the number up to 174 out of 2,091 as of Dec. 5, then 179 out of 2,107 as of Dec. 7.

    So initially, that math appears to add up. 

    Some bills are measures she’s co-authored or co-sponsored

    But in the legislative process, authoring bills is different than co-authoring or co-sponsoring them, which signals a different level of involvement. Legislators who introduce bills are known as authors. 

    If lawmakers want to sign onto a bill to show their support, they are known as co-authors if they’re in the same chamber, or co-sponsors if they’re in the other chamber, according to the Legislature’s glossary.

    Out of the 179 measures cited by Shankland, LRB found 104 bills that she authored. That number could also include some co-authored bills, based on LRB’s classification. 

    So far, in the 2023-24 session, 15 bills Shankland has authored or co-sponsored have been enacted. She was listed as introducing seven of those, including new loan programs for affordable housing. 

    Among the bills she co-sponsored include a measure that expanded how schools and businesses can deliver epinephrine to people having allergic emergencies. 

    Baldauff noted that co-sponsors still play a role in shepherding legislation through, such as getting stakeholders or other lawmakers on board. 

    And sometimes legislators who start drafting measures don’t ultimately get their names put first on a bill, an indicator the LRB tracks. That was the case with a first responder protection bill Shankland started.

    Although those examples provide context for the tally, authoring a bill usually signals more involvement than co-authoring or co-sponsoring the legislation. 

    Our ruling

    Democratic Rep. Katrina Shankland, who is running for Congress, said she has been “a state legislator for 11 years, passing over 170 bills into law and delivering for Wisconsin families.”

    Although the nonpartisan agency’s research does show Shankland has been involved with 179 bills that have been put into law, potential voters may get the impression that she led each of those. 

    Instead, the memo shows she’s authored 104 of that number. Some in that tally include bills she co-authored, similar to co-sponsoring, though she might have been more involved with some of those proposals.

    Our definition of Mostly True is “the statement is accurate but needs clarification or additional information.” 

    That fits here.

     

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  • PolitiFact – Johnson’s line on how to register to be a poll worker is Mostly True

    PolitiFact – Johnson’s line on how to register to be a poll worker is Mostly True

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    With the 2024 presidential contest less than one year away, parties are beginning to mobilize voters and clerks are starting their election preparations. 

    That includes determining who will staff the polls on election days to help register voters, check photo IDs and explain how to mark ballots. 

    In a Nov. 10 video posted to X (formerly Twitter) by the Wisconsin Republican Party, U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., said people concerned about election integrity can “go home and mope” or get involved to help elect Republicans.  

    (Other PolitiFact Wisconsin items have debunked false claims of massive voter fraud and disproved persistent misconceptions about how the 2020 presidential election was administered in the state.)

    Johnson suggested that Republicans who want to “restore confidence in our elections systems” can get trained and paid as poll workers and said: “In order to be a poll worker on the conservative side, you have to register through the Republican Party of Wisconsin.” 

    His claim caught our attention, especially after local clerks were the ones trying to enlist poll workers amid severe shortages during the Covid-19 pandemic

    If you want to become a poll worker, do you have to register through a political party? Let’s take a look. 

    Poll worker positions are first filled through political party lists

    When asked for backup for the claim, Republican Party of Wisconsin Communications Director Matt Fisher shared a section of state law and memos prepared by the Wisconsin Elections Commission.

    Fisher cited Wis. Stat. 7.30, which says that the two dominant political parties (Democrats and Republicans) are responsible for submitting lists of nominees to become election inspectors, another term for poll workers. 

    Under state law, “all inspectors shall be affiliated” with one of the two parties, unless they are appointed as a greeter or if the party list runs out of names. 

    In that case, the mayor, village president or town board chair can appoint a poll worker “without regard to party affiliation.”

    Translation: the names prepared by political parties get first priority for the positions, but it’s still possible to become a poll worker without going through a party.

    According to the commission’s page on becoming a poll worker, voters who are active in a political party can reach out to their county party to be nominated for a two-year term. This year, the parties had to submit their lists by Nov. 30.

    Or, voters can contact their local clerk to learn about applying and become nominated on a nonpartisan basis.

    But it’s becoming less common for poll workers to be assigned through that unaffiliated option, as parties have been preparing longer lists of potential names, a Nov. 2, 2022, Wisconsin Watch article found

    Fisher also referenced Wisconsin Election Commission memos that explain the state law and lay out scenarios to ensure that each polling location has the correct balance of partisan appointees. 

    Our ruling

    Johnson said in the Republican Party video that “in order to be a poll worker on the conservative side, you have to register through the Republican Party of Wisconsin.”

    Although it’s possible for people — even if they have conservative or liberal beliefs — to become nonpartisan poll workers by going through their clerk, it’s less likely they’ll get a spot.. 

    Johnson was referring to people who want to become a poll worker on the “conservative side,” indicating they are involved in Republican politics and want to register that way. But the same is true of the Democratic side; it’s the way the system is built.

    Our definition of Mostly True is “The statement is accurate but needs clarification or additional information.” That fits here.

     

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  • PolitiFact – Claim that Tammy Baldwin voted to send millions to Iran that bankrolled ‘radical’ groups lacks proof

    PolitiFact – Claim that Tammy Baldwin voted to send millions to Iran that bankrolled ‘radical’ groups lacks proof

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    A new ad from the National Republican Senatorial Committee claims U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin voted to send hundreds of millions of dollars to Iran that was then used to financially back “radical” groups including Hamas, a militant group in Gaza designated as a terror group by the United States.

    The ad, released on Nov. 8, 2023, comes on the heels of Hamas’ Oct. 7 attacks on Israel.

    “Baldwin voted to send hundreds of millions to Iran, the world’s leading sponsor of terrorism, bankrolling radicals like Hezbollah and Hamas,” a voiceover narrates in the ad.

    There are two agreements to consider when examining whether this claim about Baldwin is true.

    Let’s examine both.

    U.S. agreement to release $6 billion in Iranian funds and free American prisoners

    First, the ad references the Oct. 7 Hamas attacks on Israel, which brought scrutiny to a U.S. agreement with Iran made in August. The deal, made by President Joe Biden, secured freedom for five U.S. citizens detained in Iran in exchange for allowing the country to access $6 billion of its own funds.

    The funds were not taxpayer dollars but rather Iranian oil revenue frozen in a South Korean bank. The money has been frozen since 2019, when former President Donald Trump imposed a ban on Iranian oil exports and sanctions on its banking sector. 

    But the money never made it to Iran.

    The $6 billion was transferred out of South Korea when U.S. hostages were returned in mid-September. The money was transferred to Qatar, a Middle East nation that sits across the Persian Gulf from Iran, not Iran itself. 

    However, the Biden administration and Qatar agreed to hold the money in Qatar’s central bank and prevent Iran from accessing it, officials announced Oct. 12, days after the initial attack. 

    Notably, Baldwin was one of the first U.S. senators to urge the Biden administration refreeze the money after the Hamas attacks on Israel. She joined a bipartisan group of 13 senators in an Oct. 13 letter to U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken.

    Even if Iran had received the money, the deal required Iran to only use it for humanitarian items, such as medicine and food.

    U.S. State Department spokesman Matthew Miller said in September there are “strict Treasury Department safeguards” in place to ensure the money is spent on humanitarian goods, despite warnings from Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi that Iran would spend the money however it saw fit.

    Still, critics of the deal argue the money is fungible. Put simply, that means Iran could spend its existing money on allowed goods but turn around and use those goods for an illegitimate purpose. 

    Foreign policy analysts previously told PolitiFact National fungibility is a legitimate concern in this case.

    However, Andrew Kydd, a University of Wisconsin-Madison political science professor, added a caveat to fungibility.

    “This still frees up their budget constraint to spend other money on other things,” Kydd wrote in an email to us. “But by this logic anyone who buys something at Walmart is supporting the Chinese nuclear arsenal.”

    For now, the $6 billion released in August has not made it to Iran. 

    2015 Iran nuclear agreement

    In 2015, Baldwin voted with Democrats against a Republican effort to block Democratic former President Barack Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran. Republicans failed to get the 60 votes needed to block the deal, which lifted U.S. sanctions on Iran in exchange for limiting Iran’s nuclear capabilities. 

    The 2015 agreement didn’t send money to Iran, but rather freed up Iranian assets previously frozen under sanctions. U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew told lawmakers in July 2015 that Iran would gain access to an estimated $56 billion under the deal, though other estimates from Iranian officials placed that number lower.

    Republican former President Donald Trump later pulled out of the deal in 2018. 

    “Tammy Baldwin may not like being held accountable, but she can’t hide from her record of voting to send millions of dollars to the world’s leading sponsor of terror groups like Hamas,” said NRSC Spokesman Tate Mitchell.

    But did the freed funds go to Hamas and Hezbollah? That part is less clear.

    It is true that Iran is a state sponsor of terrorism, and Iran is a longtime sponsor of Hamas and Hezbollah, as the ad claims. The U.S. State Department cited Iran as the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism in a 2017 report, a fact mentioned in the ad.

    The department did not identify any specific nation as the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism in a similar 2021 report.

    The ad also uses visual and audio editing to suggest the Oct. 7 Hamas attacks are tied to Iran, which is currently a disputed claim.

    It’s possible Iran could have helped Hamas orchestrate the Oct. 7 attacks against Israel, though Iran has denied involvement. Unnamed Hamas and Hezbollah sources told The Wall Street Journal in October the group received direct support from Iran to conduct its attack, and the paper reported Iranian security officials helped plan and execute the assault. 

    Secretary of State Blinken told CNN on Oct. 8, 2023 the U.S. hasn’t seen definitive proof of Iranian involvement, though he added Hamas “wouldn’t be around in the way that it is without the support that it’s received from Iran over the years.”

    It is technically possible some of the funds received from the 2015 nuclear deal may have gone to state-sponsored terrorism, as top U.S. government officials at the time admitted they couldn’t fully stop Iran from doing so. 

    However, we could not find concrete evidence directly tying funds received from the 2015 nuclear deal to money Iran gave to Hezbollah or Hamas. That means it’s difficult to connect Baldwin’s vote directly to “bankrolling radicals” — though, as we mentioned above, fungibility may apply.

    Furthermore, since this money did not come from the U.S. but instead consisted of unlocked Iranian funds, it’s misleading to say Baldwin voted to “send” the money. She voted to defend a deal that would give Iran access to its own funds in exchange for more oversight over Iran’s nuclear operations.

    Our ruling

    An ad from the NRSC claimed Baldwin “voted to send hundreds of millions to Iran, the world’s leading sponsor of terrorism, bankrolling radicals like Hezbollah and Hamas.”

    While Baldwin voted for the Iran nuclear deal in 2015 and an agreement to return U.S. prisoners held by Iran in August 2023, both agreements unfroze Iranian funds held in foreign banks due to sanctions. 

    And, in the case of the 2023 deal, the funds were stalled via an Oct. 12 agreement with Qatar, meaning Iran has not yet accessed the $6 billion unfrozen in August.

    Some of the money freed in 2015 may have allowed Iran to provide funding for terrorist groups, but there’s not enough concrete evidence to say the money freed in the agreement directly went to terror groups, and the money was actually freed as part of a deal to limit Iran’s nuclear capabilities. Still, there’s no foolproof guarantee.

    Therefore, Baldwin did vote to approve an agreement that freed hundreds of millions of Iranian funds for the nation, a leading sponsor of terrorism. But the idea that the money was directly sent to Hamas or Hezbollah lacks concrete proof.

    We rate this claim Mostly False.

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  • PolitiFact – Wisconsin lawmaker falsely claims US House speaker  ‘opposes Social Security’

    PolitiFact – Wisconsin lawmaker falsely claims US House speaker ‘opposes Social Security’

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    Soon after House Republicans voted in Rep. Mike Johnson, R-La., as House speaker, a number of Democratic lawmakers in Wisconsin took to X to lament the pick. 

    This included state Rep. Francesca Hong, D-Madison, who tweeted soon after the vote: “House Republicans voted in an anti-abortion insurrectionist who opposes Social Security benefits as their speaker today. Shameful.”

    While Hong makes several claims in her tweet, the last one caught our attention, and we decided to look into the new speaker’s views on Social Security benefits. 

    Social Security is a government program primarily funded through payroll taxes to provide financial support to retirees, disabled individuals and survivors of deceased workers.

    Does Johnson oppose such benefits?

    Johnson once said debt from entitlement programs is an “existential threat” to government 

    When asked to back up the claim, Hong pointed to Johnson’s leadership on the conservative Republican Study Committee, which he chaired from 2019 to 2021.

    In 2020, while Johnson chaired the caucus, the committee released a budget plan that urged Congress to adopt changes to Social Security and its benefits.

    These included measures to raise the retirement age and scale back cost-of-living adjustments to benefits for higher-income people. Those changes, among others, would have cut spending on Social Security by $756 billion over a decade, according to the budget plan.

    After pointing to the committee’s recommendations to cut Social Security benefits, Hong argued the large cuts are synonymous with opposing the benefits:  

    “While these changes might be messaged by the committee as ‘cuts,’” they are significant enough slashes to evidence that Republicans like Speaker Johnson are in opposition to the inherent goals of programs like Social Security and Medicare.” 

    Hong also pointed to a comment Johnson made while speaking at a 2018 event for the American Enterprise Institute, a public policy think tank

    When talking about debt accrued from Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security, Johnson said they pose an “existential threat” to the American way of life and the “whole form of government.”

    Experts: Budget cuts don’t necessarily signify elimination

    It’s worth noting Social Security is in financial trouble and its funding is expected to be depleted as soon as 2033, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Johnson has endorsed reforming Social Security in a way that would significantly cut back its budget and is openly critical of the program’s spending, but experts say his record doesn’t equate to supporting elimination of the program. 

    Eric Kingson co-founder of Social Security Works, an advocacy group for entitlement programs, said the committee’s plan takes “significant shots at Social Security” and would scale back benefits, but Johnson’s position doesn’t necessarily go against the program. 

    The Republican Study Committee’s plan under Johnson’s leadership specifically called for “long-term solvency” for Social Security, which Richard Burkhauser, a political analysis professor at Cornell University argues could be Johnson’s approach toward preventing default of Social Security before 2033.

    Our ruling

    Hong claimed Johnson “opposes Social Security benefits.”

    It’s true Johnson’s endorsed Social Security reform would scale back entitlement benefits for some Americans, which Hong argues should be interpreted as opposition to the program. 

    But endorsing significant cuts to the program is not the same as opposing the program itself, especially given its precarious financial picture.

    Indeed, Johnson hasn’t outright said he opposed Social Security benefits.

    We rate this claim Mostly False, which means: “The statement contains an element of truth but ignores critical facts that would give a different impression.”

     

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  • Hacker Accused of Stealing from DraftKings Customers Pleads Guilty

    Hacker Accused of Stealing from DraftKings Customers Pleads Guilty

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    A person identified with the initials J.G., an 18-year-old hacker from Wisconsin, who allegedly stole over $600,000 from DraftKings giant by hacking into the online accounts of more than 1,000 registered players, has pleaded guilty to the charges brought to him.

    J.G. allegedly stole the login and password information of over 1,600 DraftKings members and used the information to hack into over 60,000 accounts on the online sports betting platform in November 2022

    “Fraud Is Fun”

    As per information from federal prosecutors in Manhattan, the teenager has been accused of sending the stolen login information to other individuals who then made use of it to withdraw over $600,000 from around 1,600 accounts. 

    The procedure, which is referred to as credential stuffing, was openly admitted by the 18-year-old who attempted to take cash out of other players’ accounts in an illegal manner. He transparently texted one of his co-conspirators saying “Fraud is fun,” according to official court documents, adding that he was “addicted to seeing money” in his account.

    When investigators searched his home in February 2023, they allegedly discovered a series of programs that the teenager had used in credential stuffing.

    The young man had apparently used more than 700 individualized files to set up a website used to launch the cyber-attacks on his computer. The device contained around 40 million password and username combinations, according to law enforcement representatives. 

    DraftKings Says It Reimbursed All the Stolen Money

    The investigation also found that the hacker had stolen more than $2.1 million prior to his 18th birthday, making around $15,000 per day between 2018 and 2021 alone.

    He pled guilty to a count of conspiring to commit computer intrusion. The charge features a five-year in-prison maximum sentence. The alleged hacker will be sentenced at a later date. 

    His case is prosecuted by the Southern District of New York’s Frauds and Cybercrime Unit

    The prosecution is represented by assistant US attorneys Kevin Mead and Micah Fergenson.

    The company has confirmed the hacking event but did not provide any names in the suit. 

    DraftKings also reimbursed all the stolen money from customers, using a statement issued by a spokesperson to explain the safety and security of the personal and financial information of their customers “is of paramount importance” to them.  

    The hacker was also charged with alleged swatting, which is the process of practice of making a hoax call to the emergency services. It is believed that the teenager paid people with Bitcoin to make fake bomb-threat phone calls to his high school because he was “bored” and eager to go home, according to court documents. 

    Earlier in the week, DraftKings unveiled its new Progressive Parlay feature that will target the fantasy gaming market in an attempt to push back against the growing popularity of competing fantasy sports operators.

    The news follows the operator’s launch during Maine’s first weekend of regulated sports betting via a partnership with Passamaquoddy Tribe and the publishing of its Q3 results showcasing strong performance

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  • PolitiFact – Claim that Wis. elections official Meagan Wolfe refused to ‘clean up’ voter rolls is Pants on Fire

    PolitiFact – Claim that Wis. elections official Meagan Wolfe refused to ‘clean up’ voter rolls is Pants on Fire

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    A new TV ad attacking Assembly Speaker Robin Vos for not impeaching Meagan Wolfe, Wisconsin’s top elections administrator, misleadingly accuses Wolfe of mismanaging state voter rolls.

    “She refuses to clean up our voter rolls,” a voiceover narrates in the ad. A full-page newspaper ad that ran in the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel makes a similar claim.

    However, alleged voter roll issues cited in the impeachment case the ad supports ignore state law governing Wisconsin’s voter lists – and falsely place the blame at Wolfe’s feet.

    Impeachment articles riddled with falsehoods

    First, in an earlier review, we found all 15 impeachment articles against Wolfe contain misleading or false claims about how elections administration works in Wisconsin.

    That hasn’t stopped the Wisconsin Election Committee, Inc. from running ads on Milwaukee-area TV and radio stations threatening to recall Vos or launch a primary challenge if he doesn’t move forward with impeachment against Wolfe. 

    Vos advanced the impeachment articles to an Assembly committee shortly after the ad launched.

    More: PolitiFact: Impeachment articles against Meagan Wolfe riddled with false and misleading claims

    The group is led by Adam Steen, who unsuccessfully launched a primary challenge against Vos in 2022, and Harry Wait, a Racine County man who was charged last year for fraudulently obtaining absentee ballots.

    The group’s TV ad makes multiple false claims about Wolfe, one of which accuses her of mismanaging Wisconsin’s voter rolls.

    The ad also makes false claims about Wolfe’s role in third-party financial assistance for 2020 election operations and falsely blames her for absentee voting decisions made by the Wisconsin Elections Commission.

    More: Claim that Wisconsin official Meagan Wolfe allowed absentee drop boxes, ballot harvesting is false

    More: Claim that Wis. elections official Meagan Wolfe permitted ‘Zuckerbucks’ in 2020 is Pants on Fire

    When asked to provide evidence for the ad’s claims, Wait provided documents from summarizing state lawsuits that HOT Government, a group focused on false election claims, cited as proof Wolfe acted illegally. The documents did not cite cases alleging Wolfe mismanaged voter rolls.

    He also provided an election report from former Supreme Court Justice Michael Gableman that found no evidence of election fraud.

    Impeachment articles inflate number of registered Wisconsin voters

    The impeachment articles against Wolfe misleadingly state Wisconsin has more than 7 million voters on its rolls. For reference, Wisconsin’s state population was 5.9 million in the 2020 census.

    The problem is that lawmakers who drafted the impeachment articles added more than 3.5 million inactive voters — people who are dead, moved to another state or are in any other way deemed ineligible to vote — to the number of active, registered voters to reach an inaccurate figure.

    Inactive voters are not registered voters. Wisconsin law requires WEC to maintain an active and inactive voter list, meaning Wolfe cannot purge the inactive voter list.

    State law also bars inactive voters from voting in Wisconsin elections unless they reregister and provide proof of in-state residence. 

    Furthermore, neither the WEC nor Wolfe is responsible for removing voters who may have moved from the rolls. State law assigns that responsibility to local elections officials, the state Supreme Court ruled in 2021, and anyone who may have moved must affirm their address before receiving a ballot.

    The WEC’s most recent voter registration data from Nov. 1 found Wisconsin had approximately 3.5 million active registered voters.

    Our ruling

    A TV ad from the Wisconsin Election Committee claims Wolfe “refuses to clean up our voter rolls.” 

    However, the ad relied on impeachment articles that make false claims about the number of registered voters in Wisconsin, a process outlined in state law that Wolfe cannot change. Indeed, the responsibility for purging the vioter rolls belongs to local election officials, not to the state commission or Wolfe.

    That makes the claim not only false, but ridiculous. 

    We rate it Pants on Fire!

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  • PolitiFact – Cabral-Guevara says some Wisconsin child care providers’ rates are as low as $2.25 an hour

    PolitiFact – Cabral-Guevara says some Wisconsin child care providers’ rates are as low as $2.25 an hour

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    Wisconsin lawmakers agree that the state’s child care industry is in crisis. But they are at odds on how to address it

    Republicans have introduced bills that would loosen regulations like staff-to-child ratios, which they say would give centers flexibility. 

    Democrats have pushed to continue pandemic-era Child Care Counts payments to providers, which help prevent tuition rate increases for parents. 

    During an Oct. 18,  hearing for the GOP bills, state Sen. Rachael Cabral-Guevara, R-Appleton, asked the state Department of Children and Families for solutions “besides just more money.”

    “I had some folks coming in and I was asking them, ‘Well, how much are you charging an hour for child care?’ And some of them told me, ‘$2. $2.25 an hour,’” she said. “And I said, ‘Well, maybe you need to increase your prices.’”

    (She added that not every provider charges $2 an hour.) 

    Still, Cabral-Guevara’s claim caught our attention. Especially after one recent report found that child care can cost more than tuition at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

    Could some providers in Wisconsin really be charging as little as $2 an hour for child care? Let’s take a look.

    Rates as low as $3 an hour in rural areas for older kids

    When asked to back up the claim, Cabral-Guevara’s chief-of-staff, Ryan Retza, followed up with the meeting organizer to get more details on the attendees. 

    He also shared a 2022 Department of Children and Families study that showed price ranges based on the child’s age, the type of care and whether the area was rural or urban. 

    He pointed us to a line in a table that represented children in the 6-and-older age group, in child care that is normally operated out of a provider’s home, and in the most rural parts of the state. The corresponding weekly rate was as low as $120, or $3 an hour for 40 hours of child care a week. That’s not quite as low as $2 or $2.25, but it’s somewhat close. 

    Department of Children and Families communications director Gina Paige told us that a single provider might not charge that amount, but it’s possible that the $120 is “a composite of multiple providers’ prices.”

    Paige noted that “provider prices vary substantially across Wisconsin,” and urban areas, group centers and infant care are more expensive. 

    “Providers are often not charging families for the true cost of care because they know families cannot afford it,” she added. 

    But back to Cabral-Guevara: Are there any providers charging even less than $3 that could prove her claim?

    Based on other information, it’s possible, at least in some counties.

    Documentation shows Winnebago County providers may charge that little

    In a later email, Retza said “we have not pinpointed the specific individual Sen. Cabral-Guevara spoke to in April.” 

    So, we don’t know the specific provider she was referring to. But her office checked with a local child care resource and referral center in Kimberly, which was also at the meeting. That agency shared information on rates at group centers and family homes in eight Fox Valley counties in November 2022. 

    Retza pointed to Winnebago County, where weekly rates at group centers can be as low as $90 for children 5 and over, or $2.25 per hour. That assumes the calculation is based on a 40-hour work week, though the report doesn’t specify. 

    Another table for Winnebago County — with less data filled in — shows a $9 hourly rate for that older age group in that type of care. 

    That’s the highest hourly rate of all the counties, age groups and types of care. And many counties had missing hourly rate data, suggesting it might not be as reliable. 

    But again, Cabral-Guevara was referring to an exceptionally low rate she heard about, and that $90 weekly rate fits her recollection.  

    Our ruling

    Cabral-Guevara said in the October hearing that some individuals or businesses in Wisconsin are charging $2 or $2.25 an hour for child care.

    She wasn’t able to point to a specific provider, and the data has a bit of uncertainty involved. But it’s still feasible that a provider in her district is charging $2.25 an hour, based on data from the referral agency.

    And although she acknowledged not all providers charge that little, she also didn’t specify the age or type or care, which impacts prices. 

    Our definition of Mostly True is “The statement is accurate but needs clarification or additional information.” That fits here.

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  • PolitiFact – It’s true: You don’t have to pay taxes on KitKat bars and Viagra in Wisconsin

    PolitiFact – It’s true: You don’t have to pay taxes on KitKat bars and Viagra in Wisconsin

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    A Madison lawmaker talking up her proposal to exempt menstrual products from the state sales tax drew a comparison that caught our attention.

    In a July 27, 2023 post on X, formerly Twitter, state Sen. Melissa Agard said: 

    “Potato chips, Kit Kat bars and Viagra are not taxed in Wisconsin because they are considered ‘essential.’ But, what about tampons and pads for those who menstruate? Menstrual products are necessities, not luxuries.”

    Agard, D-Madison, has introduced numerous bills that try to expand menstrual product access, including ones to remove sales tax from menstrual products and provide free products in public buildings across the state.

    In a 2021 press release when Agard introduced the menstrual product tax exemption legislation, she argued  that tampons and pads shouldn’t be taxed because they’re a necessity for people who menstruate and essential items should be more affordable.

    So, is Agard right in her claim about chips, Viagra and KitKats?

    Let’s break this one into pieces. 

    Candy versus cookie

    When it comes to Wisconsin sales tax, a number of products are exempt, with the primary example being food.

    Under the tax code, all food is exempt from the sales tax, unless it’s considered “candy,” “soft drinks” or “prepared food.”

    So, that’s a clear yes on potato chips, whether barbecue, jalapeño or flamin’ hot. They are considered food and therefore exempt from sales tax.

    But a KitKat bar is candy, right? The tax code says no.

    That’s because of one ingredient — flour. 

    Section Tax 11.51 defines candy as “a preparation of sugar, honey, or other natural or artificial sweetener combined with chocolate, fruit, nuts, or other ingredients or flavorings in the form of bars, drops or pieces.” 

    That means that even though Kit Kats come in bars made with sugar and chocolate, the flour used in the wafer means it’s not considered candy. Indeed, the tax code specifically mentions KitKats and defines them as cookies.

    There are other foods most people would consider candy such as cotton candy, Pixie Sticks and Twix Bars that individuals might disagree on. But because those items contain flour or don’t come in bars, drops or pieces, they aren’t considered candy.

    Prescription drugs are sold tax-free

    Meanwhile, the senator’s tweet also mentions Viagra as a tax-exempt item, using it to argue a disparity in the taxation of products used by men versus women.

    Agard is on point there, because Viagra is a prescription drug and prescription drugs aren’t taxed.

    Our ruling

    Agard said, “Potato chips, Kit Kat bars and Viagra are not taxed in Wisconsin because they are considered essential.”

    Indeed, each item is tax-exempt in Wisconsin – potato chips and KitKats fall under the food exemption, while Viagra is exempt as a prescription drug.

    We rate the claim True.

     

     

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  • Big Ten Football Week 9: How to Listen

    Big Ten Football Week 9: How to Listen

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    Week 9 of the 2023 Big Ten Football season is set to go, including a pair of divisional matchups: Tune in to Big Ten Radio (Ch. 372) all weekend long.

    Big Ten Football Saturday, October 28:

    Indiana (Ch. 957) at Penn State (Ch. 83)

    Noon ET – CBS, SiriusXM Big Ten Radio Channel 372

    The Hoosiers (2-5) travel to take on the Nittany Lions (6-1). Indiana lost to Rutgers last week 31-14 while Penn State was beaten by Ohio State20-12.


    Maryland (Ch. 967) at Northwestern (Ch. 958)

    Noon ET – BTN

    The Terrapins (5-2) head to Evanston to battle the Wildcats (3-4). Maryland was idle last weekend while Northwestern lost 17-9 to Nebraska.


    Michigan State (Ch. 958) at Minnesota (Ch. 957)

    3:30 pm ET – BTN, SiriusXM Big Ten Radio Channel 372

    The Spartans (2-5) visit the Golden Gophers (4-3). Michigan State was shutout by Michigan 49-0 last Saturday while Minnesota defeated Iowa 12-10.


    Purdue (Ch. 966) at Nebraska 

    3:30 pm ET – FS1

    The Boilermakers (2-5) make the trek west to battle the Corn Huskers (4-3). Purdue was idle last week while Nebraska beat Northwestern 17-9.


    Ohio State (Ch. 85) at Wisconsin (Ch. 82)

    7:30 pm ET – NBC, SiriusXM Big Ten Radio Channel 372

    The undefeated Buckeyes (7-0) head to Camp Randall to take on the Badgers (5-2). Ohio State beat Penn State 20-12 last week while Wisconsin went on the road and took down Illinois 25-21.


    Bye Week:

    Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Rutgers


    Want to listen to more games? Throughout the 2023 College Football season, SiriusXM listeners get access to dozens of game broadcasts each week involving teams from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC, and other conferences — plus Army, Navy, HBCU football and more. For more information about SiriusXM’s college football offerings, click here.

    SiriusXM College Football Channels


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    Peterpistone

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  • Oh Deer! Video Shows Critter Crashing Diners’ Meals At Wisconsin Restaurant

    Oh Deer! Video Shows Critter Crashing Diners’ Meals At Wisconsin Restaurant

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    BELOIT, Wis. (AP) — People go to Noodles & Company to save a buck, not to have one interrupt their meal. But that’s what happened in Beloit, Wisconsin, on Tuesday when a deer came crashing through the restaurant’s window.

    Surveillance footage shows a deer charging into the crowded restaurant around lunchtime, prompting diners to scatter. The animal then explored the dining area and kitchen before exiting out a back door opened by an employee, Noodles & Company spokesperson Stephanie Jerome told The Associated Press.

    No one was harmed in the incident, and the location has since reopened after a deep clean, Jerome said. The restaurant offered a “2 Buck Mac & Cheese” special on Wednesday to commemorate the incident.

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  • Armed Man Seeking Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers Arrested In Capitol — Then Returned With Assault Rifle

    Armed Man Seeking Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers Arrested In Capitol — Then Returned With Assault Rifle

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    MADISON, Wis. (AP) — A man illegally brought a handgun into the Wisconsin Capitol on Wednesday, demanding to see Gov. Tony Evers, and returned at night with an assault rifle after posting bail, a spokesperson for the state said.

    The man, who was shirtless and had a holstered handgun, approached the governor’s office on the first floor of the Capitol around 2 p.m. on Wednesday, state Department of Administration spokesperson Tatyana Warrick said Thursday. The man was demanding to see the governor, who was not in the building at the time, Warrick said.

    A Capitol police officer sits at a desk outside of a suite of rooms that includes the governor’s office, conference room and offices for the attorney general.

    The man was taken into custody for openly carrying a firearm in the Capitol, which is against the law, Warrick said. Weapons can be brought into the Capitol if they are concealed and the person has a valid permit. The man arrested did not have a concealed carry permit, Warrick said.

    The man was booked into the Dane Count Jail but later posted bail.

    He returned to the outside of the Capitol shortly before 9 p.m. with an assault-style rifle, Warrick said. The building closes to the public at 6 p.m. He again demanded to see the governor and was taken into custody.

    MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – AUGUST 19: This file photograph shows Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers waiting to address the virtual Democratic National Convention, at the Wisconsin Center on August 19, 2020 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Melina Mara – Pool/Getty Images)

    Madison police reported Thursday that the man, who was not named, was taken into productive custody and taken to the hospital. A spokesperson for the police department did not return an email seeking additional details.

    Evers’ spokesperson Britt Cudaback declined to comment. The governor’s office typically does not respond to questions about security issues.

    The incident is just the latest in a series of violent threats against public officials.

    Evers, a Democrat, was on a hit list of a gunman suspected of fatally shooting a retired county judge at his Wisconsin home in 2022. Others on that list included Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. Whitmer was the target of a kidnapping plot in 2020.

    Warrick said no immediate changes to security in the Capitol or for the governor were planned. The public has free access to the Capitol daily from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. There are no metal detectors.

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  • Wisconsin Republicans Are Unleashing a Very Trumpy Attack on the Democratic Process

    Wisconsin Republicans Are Unleashing a Very Trumpy Attack on the Democratic Process

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    In their latest broadside against the democratic process, Wisconsin Republicans on Thursday voted to fire the state’s top nonpartisan elections official, a well-respected administrator who has been the subject of MAGA lies and conspiracy theories since the 2020 election. “The Senate’s vote today to remove me is not a referendum on the job I do, but rather a reaction to not achieving the political outcome they desire,” Wisconsin Elections Commission Administrator Meagan Wolfe said after the 22-11 party-line vote in the GOP-held state Senate. “It’s unfortunate that political pressures have forced a group of our lawmakers to embrace unfounded rumors about my leadership, my role in the commission, and our system of elections.”

    “Elections in Wisconsin are run with integrity,” added Wolfe, who is suing to keep her job with the support of Governor Tony Evers and Attorney General Josh Kaul, both of whom are Democrats. “The senate has blatantly disregarded state law in order to put its full stamp of approval on the ongoing baseless attacks on our democracy,” Kaul said in a statement. “We are going to court to minimize the confusion resulting from today’s stunt and to protect a pillar of our democracy—the fair administration of elections.”

    The attempted ouster of Wolfe—which Republican Devin LeMahieu cast as an effort to “rebuild faith in Wisconsin’s elections”—is one of several GOP attacks on democracy in the state, which was key to Joe Biden’s victory in 2020 and is expected to play an outsize role in the 2024 contest. Republicans, who control the state legislature, are also fighting Evers to maintain their gerrymandered maps and threatening to impeach liberal state Supreme Court justice Janet Protasiewicz—before she’s even ruled on a single case. “If you have a justice that has predetermined cases and is not going to take themselves off the case, I want to know what all of our options are so that we are ready to go if it is required,” Republican Assembly Speaker Robin Vos said this week amid the redistricting battle, referring to Protasiewicz’s description of the GOP-drawn maps as “rigged.” Taken together, the moves amount to a multi-pronged effort to disregard the will of the people in Wisconsin, which was a focus of Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn his 2020 election loss—even though exhaustive reviews, including a highly-partisan “audit” by a right-wing former state Supreme Court justice, failed to prove any of the former president’s lies or conspiracy theories.

    Wolfe has been a high-profile target of those bogus election-fraud claims, with Vos even demanding her resignation in 2021. “Clearly, there is severe mismanagement,” Vos said at the time, “and a new administrator is needed.” But Wolfe—who resisted that call to step down—isn’t the only election official in the state to get caught in the middle of Trump’s self-serving lies. As I reported last year, just ahead of the midterms, election workers in Wisconsin and beyond have been subjected to alarming threats and intimidation stemming from Trump’s attacks, raising significant concerns for the democratic process itself. “It’s not a good sign for democracy,” as one Wisconsin election official told me, “if I’m worried about bomb threats or an attack on my office.”

    Those efforts to erode the democratic process intensified with the state Senate vote Thursday, as Evers noted in a statement, calling on the state’s Justice Department to come to Wolfe’s defense. “Wisconsin Republicans’ attempt to illegally fire Wisconsin’s elections administrator without cause today shows they are continuing to escalate efforts to sow distrust and disinformation about our elections, denigrate our clerks, poll workers, and election administrators, and undermine basic tenets of our democracy, including the peaceful transfer of power,” Evers said.

    Wolfe has said she will remain in her position for now, and her future will likely be decided in court. But regardless of the outcome, the vote adds to the climate of distrust and uncertainty around the democratic process: “I think it’s really worrisome because we’re in the final stages of preparation for the 2024 elections,” as Barry Burden, director of the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin at Madison, told the Washington Post. “The elections commission is training clerks around the state and issuing guidance, so to have uncertainty about who the top administrator is going into this crucial election season, I think is a real problem.”

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    Eric Lutz

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  • GOP-led Wisconsin Senate fires nonpartisan election official in vote Democrats say was held improperly

    GOP-led Wisconsin Senate fires nonpartisan election official in vote Democrats say was held improperly

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    The Republican-controlled Wisconsin Senate voted Thursday to fire the battleground state’s nonpartisan top elections official ahead of the 2024 presidential election.

    Democrats say the vote was held improperly and that lawmakers don’t have the authority to oust Wisconsin Elections Commission Administrator Meagan Wolfe. The issue is expected to end in a legal battle.

    The fight over who will lead the elections agency stems from persistent lies about the 2020 election and creates instability ahead of the 2024 presidential race for the state’s more than 1,800 local clerks who actually run elections.

    Wolfe has been the subject of conspiracy theories and threats from election skeptics who falsely claim she was part of a plan to rig the 2020 vote in Wisconsin, and GOP leaders cited concerns from those skeptics in justifying Thursday’s 22-11 vote along party lines.

    Wisconsin Zoo Oversight
    A man walks by the Wisconsin Capitol, Oct. 10, 2012, in Madison, Wis. 

    Scott Bauer / AP


    “Wisconsinites have expressed concerns with the administration of elections both here in Wisconsin and nationally,” said Majority Leader Devin LeMahieu. “We need to rebuild faith in Wisconsin’s elections.”

    Election observers have voiced concerns that replacing Wolfe with a less experienced administrator or continuing to dispute her position could create greater instability in a high-stakes presidential race where election workers expect to face unrelenting pressure, harassment and threats.

    “Wisconsin Republicans’ attempt to illegally fire Wisconsin’s elections administrator without cause today shows they are continuing to escalate efforts to sow distrust and disinformation about our elections, denigrate our clerks, poll workers, and election administrators, and undermine basic tenets of our democracy, including the peaceful transfer of power,” Democratic Gov. Tony Evers said in a statement. 

    Evers called for the state Department of Justice to represent Wolfe and help keep her in office. Meanwhile, Republicans introduced a resolution calling on the elections commission to appoint an interim administrator to replace her.

    The bipartisan elections commission deadlocked in June on a vote to nominate Wolfe for a second four-year term. Three Republicans voted to nominate her and three Democrats abstained in the hopes of preventing a nomination from proceeding to the Senate for confirmation.

    Senate rejection would normally carry the effect of firing her, but without a four-vote majority nominating Wolfe, a recent state Supreme Court ruling appears to allow her to stay in office indefinitely as a holdover.

    “This will go into the legal system, and I’m confident that we will prevail,” Senate Minority Leader Melissa Agard said ahead of Thursday’s vote.

    Senate Republicans in June pushed ahead with forcing a vote despite not receiving a nomination from the commission. LeMahieu said he interpreted the commission’s 3-0 vote as a unanimous nomination. The Legislature’s nonpartisan attorneys and Democratic Attorney General Josh Kaul have both contested that interpretation, saying the law is clear that an elections administrator must be nominated by at least four commissioners.

    Wolfe did not attend a Senate committee hearing on her reappointment last month, citing a letter from Kaul saying “there is no question” that she remains head of the elections agency. That hearing instead became a platform for some of the most prominent members of Wisconsin’s election denialism movement to repeat widely debunked claims about the 2020 election.

    Many of the same skeptics were present in the Senate gallery on Thursday, cheering when the vote passed.

    President Biden defeated Trump by nearly 21,000 votes in Wisconsin in 2020, an outcome that has withstood two partial recounts, a nonpartisan audit, a conservative law firm’s review and numerous state and federal lawsuits.

    Many Republican grievances against Wolfe are over decisions made by the elections commission and carried out by Wolfe, as she is bound by law to do. In addition to carrying out the decisions of the elections commission, Wolfe helps guide Wisconsin’s more than 1,800 local clerks who actually run elections.

    Wolfe became head of the elections commission in 2018, after Senate Republicans rejected her predecessor, Michael Haas, because he had worked for the Government Accountability Board. GOP lawmakers disbanded the agency, which was the elections commission’s predecessor, in 2015 after it investigated whether former Republican Gov. Scott Walker’s campaign illegally worked with outside groups.

    Since the 2020 election, some Republicans have floated the idea of abolishing or overhauling the elections commission.

    Wolfe has worked at the elections commission and the accountability board for more than 10 years. She has also served as president of the National Association of State Election Directors and chair of the bipartisan Electronic Registration Information Center, or ERIC, which helps states maintain accurate voter rolls.  

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  • Pier collapses into Wisconsin lake on Labor Day

    Pier collapses into Wisconsin lake on Labor Day

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    Pier collapses into Wisconsin lake on Labor Day – CBS News


    Watch CBS News



    Some 60 people plunged into a Wisconsin lake when the pier they were standing on during Labor Day festivities collapsed.

    Be the first to know

    Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting.


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  • 1881 Lake Michigan shipwreck found intact with crew’s possessions: “A remarkable discovery”

    1881 Lake Michigan shipwreck found intact with crew’s possessions: “A remarkable discovery”

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    Shipwreck hunters have discovered the intact remains of a schooner that sank in Lake Michigan in 1881 and is so well-preserved it still contains the crew’s possessions in its final resting spot miles from Wisconsin’s coastline. Historians on Friday called it a “remarkable discovery” of a “significant shipwreck.”

    Wisconsin maritime historians Brendon Baillod and Robert Jaeck found the 156-year-old Trinidad in July off Algoma at a depth of about 270 feet. They used side-scan sonar to hone in on its location based on survivor accounts in historical records.

    “The wreck is among the best-preserved shipwrecks in Wisconsin waters with her deck-house still intact, containing the crew’s possessions and her anchors and deck gear still present,” states a Thursday news release announcing the Trinidad’s discovery.

    Lake-Michigan-Shipwreck
    This July 2023 photo provided by State Historical Society of Wisconsin shows the schooner Trinidad. 

    Tamara Thomsen/Zach Whitrock / AP


    The 140-foot-long schooner was built at Grand Island, New York, in 1867 by shipwright William Keefe, and was used primarily in the grain trade between Milwaukee, Chicago and Oswego, New York.

    But it was carrying a load of coal bound for Milwaukee when early on May 13, 1881, it developed a catastrophic leak after passing through the Sturgeon Bay Ship Canal.

    Lake-Michigan-Shipwreck
    This image provided by John S. Rochon shows the schooner Trinidad wintering at Sarnia, Ontario in 1873. 

    / AP


    According to the Wisconsin Historical Society, the captain was nearly killed by a block that fell from the decaying wire rigging as the owners did not invest much money into the vessel’s upkeep.

    On its final voyage, the Trinidad “suddenly and violently lurched” and sank about 10 miles off the coast of Algoma, the society said.

    “The captain and the crew immediately escaped in the ship’s yawl,” the society said in a Facebook post. “The only loss aboard the Trinidad was the ship’s mascot, a large Newfoundland dog who was asleep next to the stove when the ship began to sink.”

    Lake-Michigan-Shipwreck
    This July 2023 photo provided by State Historical Society of Wisconsin shows the Trinidad’s intact deck house. 

    Tamara Thomsen/Zach Whitrock / AP


    Captain John Higgins and his crew of eight survived and reached Algoma, about 120 miles north of Milwaukee, after rowing for eight hours in the ship’s yawl boat. Higgins believed the Trinidad’s hull was damaged a few days before the sinking as it passed through ice fields in the Straits of Mackinac.

    After discovering the Trinidad in July, Baillod and Jaeck reported their finding to an underwater archaeologist with the Wisconsin Historical Society who arranged for the site to be surveyed with an underwater vehicle that verified the vessel’s identity and documented historic artifacts, according to the news release.

    A three-dimensional model of the ship has been created to allow people to explore the site virtually. Baillod and Jaeck plan to work with the Wisconsin Historical Society to nominate the site to the National Register of Historic Places.

    Lake-Michigan-Shipwreck
    This July 2023 photo provided by State Historical Society of Wisconsin shows the schooner Trinidad’s wheel. 

    Tamara Thomsen / AP


    Experts estimate there are more than 6,000 ships have gone down in the Great Lakes since the late 1600s.

    In July, researchers searching for World War I-era minesweepers that mysteriously vanished in Lake Superior over a century ago instead found a long-missing ship that sank to the bottom of the lake in 1879.

    In April, researchers found the wreckage of two ships that disappeared in Lake Superior in 1914. In March, a ship carrying a load of coal when it sank in a storm in 1891 was discovered in the lake.

    And in February, a 144-foot shipwreck that searchers called a “Bad Luck Barquentine” was found in Lake Superior more than 150 years after it sank. 

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  • Is Ben Wikler the Most Important Democrat in America?

    Is Ben Wikler the Most Important Democrat in America?

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    The man who has been hailed as “the best state chair in the country” is not a national household name. He’s not even a household name in his own state. But on a recent afternoon in the small village of Grafton, Wisconsin, Ben Wikler might as well have been Bono.

    Two dozen middle-aged and retired volunteers stood in line to clutch the hand of the chair of the Wisconsin Democrats. “Thank you for everything you do,” they said, beaming at Wikler as he took a lap through the Ozaukee County party headquarters. “We’re so happy you’re here.” Like proud children before an admiring parent, the volunteers told him how much money they’d raised and how many doors they’d knocked on this summer.

    “This is Connie,” someone said, patting a woman’s shoulder. “She just won the school-board race.” “Yay, school board!” Wikler cheered.

    He was there to kick off the last day of door knocking for a Wisconsin state-assembly candidate who had very little chance of winning in solid-red Ozaukee County, an exurban district on the shore of Lake Michigan north of Milwaukee. But the point was not to win, it was to lose by less. That afternoon, Wikler managed to deliver a speech with almost the same inspirational zeal as Aragorn at the Black Gate. “This election is a demonstration to ourselves as Democrats and to the country that there is change happening right now,” he told the volunteers—and a reminder to Republicans “that Democrats have not given up on democracy.”

    Since becoming chair in 2019, Wikler has brought his party back from virtual irrelevance in Wisconsin. Four years after Donald Trump had demolished the so-called blue wall in the upper Midwest, Wikler’s leadership helped tip Wisconsin—and the entire presidential election—to the Democrats in 2020. Then, earlier this year, the millions of dollars Wikler had raised helped a progressive candidate prevail in the off-cycle state-supreme-court race, which will likely lead to a reworking of Wisconsin’s extremely gerrymandered maps.

    Wikler’s talent is getting people to show up. He does this by framing every race as the election of a lifetime. “Resources tend to flow toward the places where they can make a difference or their imagination has been captured,” he told me.

    Resources is something of a euphemism; he really means dollars. Thanks to legislation passed by Republicans a few years ago, Wisconsin is one of the few states in which individuals can donate unlimited amounts to political parties, which can, in turn, transfer unlimited funds to candidates. It is Wikler’s particular genius to have turned that weapon of fundraising against the party that made it law.

    In the run-up to next year’s presidential election, American eyeballs will once again be on Wikler’s home. “If we could have a Ben Wikler in all 50 states, the Democratic Party would be in better shape,” Jon Favreau, the podcaster and former Obama speechwriter, told me. But people may be getting tired of elections with existential stakes, however much the party spends persuading them to go out and vote. Capturing imaginations once again, especially on behalf of an elderly incumbent with less-than-great approval ratings, could be Wikler’s most formidable challenge yet.

    I hitched a ride to the Ozaukee County event with Wikler’s posse in their rented minivan. When I slid open the back door, I found the state party chair buckled into a seat in the middle row, his head grazing the ceiling. The 42-year-old Wikler, who is goateed and tall (6 foot 4), was wearing clear-framed glasses and a denim shirt over denim jeans. He looked like a Brooklyn dad—but Wikler is a dad from Madison, a fact he is very proud of.

    I’d hardly sat down before Wikler launched into a 30-minute refresher course, for my benefit, on Wisconsin’s idiosyncratic past. Robert La Follette and the state’s socialist roots. Senator Joe McCarthy. Governor Tommy Thompson’s welfare reform. Then more recent history: Scott Walker’s ascension to the governor’s mansion in 2011, and Republicans’ success in flipping both chambers of the state legislature. Walker’s Act 10 legislation, which eroded the power of public unions. The GOP’s controversial and secretive redistricting project.

    “How many times have you delivered that spiel?” I asked when he was done.

    He smiled. “There’s actually an extended version.”

    Today, Wikler lives in his childhood home on Madison’s west side with his wife, his three kids, and their enormous, excitable Bernese mountain dog. But before moving back to the upper Midwest, Wikler was the Washington, D.C., director of the progressive organization MoveOn, for which he led protests against Republican attempts to overturn the Affordable Care Act. Prior to that, Wikler hosted a politics podcast called The Good Fight after a spell as a researcher and producer for Al Franken. The former senator from Minnesota remains a close friend. “He’s just brilliant—really funny and a really good writer,” Franken told me of Wikler last month, over the phone. “He has the full package, and that’s hard to get in a state chairman.” (The title of Franken’s 2003 book, Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them, was Wikler’s idea, Franken said.)

    Then, in 2016, Trump hurtled through the blue wall, winning Wisconsin’s Electoral College votes for the Republicans for the first time since Ronald Reagan in 1984. Which is why Wikler ultimately decided to move back home and help revive his party’s fortunes.

    As chair, Wikler is known for posting climactic Twitter threads about Wisconsin elections that go viral. He’s constantly giving interviews to convey the urgency of races up- and down-ballot. The central strategy of his chairmanship, Wikler told me, “has been to buy a bigger siren, and put it as high up as we possibly can.”

    Most state parties in America have somewhere around half a dozen full-time paid staff members, but Wikler has expanded his staff from 30 to 70. He has a comprehensive digital operation, an in-house research group, and a full-time staff of youth organizers.

    Since 2019, Wikler has used his connections in national politics to raise more than $110 million, an astoundingly high amount for a state party. His team’s most successful money-gathering endeavor was getting celebrities such as Robin Wright and Julia Louis-Dreyfus to care about the Badger State: In September 2020, the Wisconsin Democrats hosted a Zoom table reading of the 1987 film The Princess Bride that reunited most of the original cast. The event attracted more than 100,000 viewers and raised $4.25 million. So they did it twice more, with the casts of The West Wing and Veep.

    Wisconsin could have gone the way of neighboring Iowa, which has turned sharply to the right in these past six years. In the Badger State, the trend toward Democrats began in 2018, when many voters revolted against Trump. But thanks in large part to the machine that Wikler has built, the party has continued to win by bigger and bigger margins in the state’s metropolitan areas in the past few cycles, and it’s losing by smaller margins in the Republican-leaning suburbs of Milwaukee. Although Democrats nationally have been hemorrhaging voters in rural areas, they’ve managed to at least stop the bleeding in rural Wisconsin, Craig Gilbert, the retired Washington bureau chief for the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, told me.

    Statewide elections have proved to be the most rewarding battlegrounds for Democrats. In Wisconsin, Biden beat Trump in 2020 by 20,000 votes, and last year Democratic Governor Tony Evers narrowly won reelection. The only major disappointment was Mandela Barnes’s loss to the incumbent Republican senator, Ron Johnson. But just this past spring, Wisconsinites elected Janet Protasiewicz to the state supreme court in a race that broke turnout records and attracted donations from George Soros, Steven Spielberg, and Illinois Governor J. B. Pritzker.

    Wikler’s legacy as a Democratic leader will be the nationalization of the state party’s donor base—something he’s achieved by arguing that Wisconsin is at the epicenter of America’s political battle. Whether that’s good for democracy is another matter.

    The wealthy Democrats from California or Illinois who’ve done much of the donating are not ideal stand-ins for regular Wisconsinites. “Elections shouldn’t be a tug-of-war between a handful of billionaires on the right and a handful of billionaires on the left,” Matthew Rothschild, the former executive director of the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign, told me. “But Ben didn’t make the playing field. Republicans in Wisconsin made the playing field. The U.S. Supreme Court made the playing field.”

    If Wikler’s strategy is to make politics in Wisconsin national, he is also committed to hyperlocal campaigning: Democrats should have a presence everywhere, Wikler believes. Which is why the van drove another two hours west from Grafton to Baraboo for an annual agricultural-equipment expo.

    The state party’s Rural Caucus had set up a tent between the crop-spraying-drone display and a demonstration area for grinding forest products. Wikler gave a pep talk to some of his members before striding over to the Sauk County Republicans’ tent. “Hi, I’m the Democratic Party chair,” he said, extending his hand toward a trio of 60-something men chatting in the shade. For a few minutes, the four men went back and forth, a little awkwardly, about the successes and failures of the former Governor Walker and whether any of them were particularly excited about a second nomination of Trump. (They weren’t.) It was all pleasant enough.

    Then, as Wikler turned to leave, one of the men took him aside. “I gotta tell you something,” he said, in a low voice. “I spoke with a gentleman over at your tent this morning, and I have never met a finer man or had a more reasonable conversation.” Wikler beamed. “As a party chair, that’s a delight to hear,” he replied.

    We left Baraboo in the late afternoon for a volunteer picnic in Middleton, a leafy Madison suburb along Lake Mendota. The gathering was held in a lush backyard, full of unruly flowering shrubs and the kind of wacky animal lawn ornaments that seem to announce, A Democrat lives here!

    The yard was full of gray-haired volunteers from different neighborhood door-knocking teams. “I don’t think we could have done anything without Ben,” JoAnna Richard, the host of the event, told me. “His leadership has been key: his connections, and how we fundraise and organize year-round.” A few minutes later, Wikler was giving his third and final motivational speech of the day, thanking people for their work over the past few years. We’re “building something bigger than any of us,” he told them. “You’re at the heart of that project, in a place that is the most key furnace for democracy—the key engine, the center of the web.”

    Republicans are working hard for a rebound in Wisconsin. Later this month, they’ll host the first debate of the GOP presidential primary in Milwaukee, and the Republican National Convention will be held in the same city next summer. That national attention will be good for the state party, which has recently under-raised Democrats.

    “They’ve been very good at getting Hollywood money,” Brian Schimming, the state GOP chair, told me by phone, with what sounded like a mix of shade and envy. “It’s hard to compete with” the Democrats’ celebrities and wealthy out-of-state donors, he said. “I need to nationalize Wisconsin a bit more.”

    This time around, Republicans are certainly going to be more focused on fundraising. “Ben would be kidding himself if he thinks he or his successor can always win the money race,” Rothschild told me. But money is not the race that ultimately matters.

    “I’d rather have my problem than the problem Ben has, which is an extraordinarily unpopular sitting incumbent,” Schimming told me. “Our folks are really fired up about this race.”

    Wikler, in fact, does seem a little nervous. He worries about a low-turnout election—and that people aren’t taking seriously enough the very real possibility of a second Trump presidency. “In 2020, people were ready to do anything to beat Trump. I had people retiring early and moving to Wisconsin to volunteer,” he told me in the car. “None of that’s happening right now.”

    Every recent presidential election in Wisconsin has been decided on a razor-thin margin, and Wikler’s job is to engage more than just the highly educated, high-income activist types. He’ll need to stitch together a delicate coalition and get them all to fill out a ballot: young people in Dane County; Black voters in Milwaukee; moderates in the suburbs and the small cities around Green Bay. The hurdles are already high, and Biden doesn’t exactly get many people’s blood pumping. “I’ve been concerned about that since 2020,” Favreau said. “It’s easy to see a scenario where a couple people say, ‘[Biden’s] too old. I’m going back to Trump.’” It’s even easier to see a situation in which some Wisconsinites, weary of it all, simply don’t vote.

    In JoAnna Richard’s backyard in Middleton, Wikler was winding up his pep talk, a little breathlessly. They’d be working “throughout this year, and into next spring in the local elections, and into next fall in 2024,” he said. “And then we’ll continue six months after that in the 2025 local elections! And the next state-supreme-court race—”

    A few people audibly sighed at this point, likely in anticipation of another two exhausting years door knocking and phone banking and envelope licking in defense of democracy. A man near me shouted, “We’re tired!” But that moment of wavering enthusiasm lasted only a fraction of a second before the whole group began to laugh.

    Sure, they’re tired. But for Wikler, they’ll show up.

    Will everyone else?

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    When his parents disappear, Chandler Halderson’s social media helps investigators unravel the case. “48 Hours” correspondent Erin Moriarty reports.

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  • Trump seeks to steer attention away from first 2024 GOP debate as rivals make final preparations for Milwaukee | CNN Politics

    Trump seeks to steer attention away from first 2024 GOP debate as rivals make final preparations for Milwaukee | CNN Politics

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    CNN
     — 

    The front-runner for the 2024 Republican nomination is not only skipping the first presidential primary debate of the season – he’s also attempting to wrest the spotlight away from the stage in Milwaukee.

    With the Republican National Committee’s window to meet fundraising and polling requirements having closed Monday night, the debate stage is set, and the GOP contenders vying to become the party’s top alternative to former President Donald Trump are making their final preparations ahead of what will be among the most-watched moments in many of their political careers. As his rivals prepare for the two-hour showdown on Fox News, Trump’s campaign is attempting to counter-program the debate.

    The first debate, a key moment in any presidential primary, is also taking place in the middle of a week in which Trump’s legal troubles will once again take center stage.

    Trump has already taped an interview with Tucker Carlson, the fired former Fox News host, two sources familiar with the matter told CNN Monday. It is unclear what platform the interview with Carlson will be published on. The sources said that it would be released around the time of the debate Wednesday night.

    The former president, who on Sunday said he will skip the first debate and could skip others, is expected to spend Wednesday evening at his golf club in Bedminster, New Jersey.

    But Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr. and other surrogates planned to travel to Milwaukee, where they would have had opportunities to weigh in on national broadcasts before and after the debate in the spin room.

    However, Fox News informed the Trump campaign on Monday that they will no longer provide credentials to some surrogates of the former president to attend the spin room at the debate since the former president is not participating in the debate, three sources with direct knowledge of the matter told CNN.

    Some of Trump’s surrogates are credentialed through outside media groups and will not be impacted. Former Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake, Reps. Byron Donalds and Matt Gaetz of Florida and other Republicans are slated to attend the debate.

    Members of Trump’s campaign, including his senior advisers Jason Miller, Steven Cheung and Chris LaCivita, were also planning on being in the spin room.

    While Fox News is in charge of credentials for the spin room, the RNC manages credentials for the actual debate, and sources said those tickets are still expected be honored.

    Members of Trump’s teams and his surrogates, however, are still planning on traveling to Milwaukee and are working on a resolution with the network as well as the RNC, two Trump advisers told CNN.

    Fox News did not immediately respond to CNN’s request for comment.

    Ahead of the debate, some candidates are offering previews of their lines of attack – including criticizing Trump for choosing not to participate.

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis on Monday said Trump “owes it to people” to debate, arguing voters – even those who appreciate the former president’s record – will be angry over his decision to skip the the first showdown.

    “I don’t think they’re going to look kindly on somebody that thinks they don’t have to earn it,” DeSantis said on Fox News.

    Trump, though, is poised to once again seize headlines this week with new developments in his legal troubles stemming from the former president’s efforts to overturn the outcome of the 2020 election.

    In an election subversion case in Georgia, Trump has agreed to a $200,000 bond and other release conditions after his lawyers met with the Fulton County district attorney’s office on Monday, according to court documents reviewed by CNN.

    Trump will turn himself in Thursday in Fulton County, the former president announced on his social media platform Monday.

    With Trump out, DeSantis – who has consistently polled in second place nationally and in early-voting states – could be positioned to face the sharpest scrutiny Wednesday night, as other contenders seek to replace him as the party’s top alternative to Trump.

    “We’ll be ready,” DeSantis said Monday. “I think that with Donald Trump not being there, I don’t think it’s any secret that I’m going to be probably the guy that people are going to come after.”

    The Florida governor also continued to distance himself from a memo from the super PAC Never Back Down, which last week advised him to “hammer” entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and defend Trump if he is attacked by former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie.

    “That’s a separate entity. I had nothing to do with it. It’s not something that I’ve read, and it’s not, not reflective of my strategy,” DeSantis said Monday.

    However, DeSantis has unusually close ties with the super PAC. He has outsourced many typical campaign functions, including early-state organizing, to the super PAC, which can raise and spend unlimited sums. DeSantis frequently appears at events as a “special guest” of the super PAC.

    Other candidates plot their strategies

    Ramaswamy, the 38-year-old entrepreneur who has risen in polling in recent weeks, appears to have become a significant factor in the race in his rivals’ eyes.

    Another contender, Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor and US ambassador to the United Nations under Trump, attacked Ramaswamy on Monday, in a potential preview of a debate-stage showdown.

    Haley said Ramaswamy is “completely wrong” for his call to reduce US military aid to Israel. During an interview with Russell Brand on Rumble last week, Ramaswamy claimed he would cut off additional aid to Israel in 2028, after the current $38 billion US aid package expires.

    “This is part of a pattern with Vivek—his foreign policies have a common theme: they make America less safe,” Haley said on Twitter.

    Ramaswamy, for his part, tweeted a video of himself, shirtless, practicing tennis. “Three hours of solid debate prep this morning,” he said.

    One key wild card Wednesday night is Christie. He is the only contender on stage who has run against Trump before, and has proven lethal on the debate stage previously: In February 2016, he effectively stymied all momentum of Florida Sen. Marco Rubio when he mocked Rubio for delivering memorized, pre-planned lines.

    Since launching his 2024 bid, Christie has focused most of his attacks on Trump. But as he campaigned in Miami last week, he also criticized DeSantis, pointing to the super PAC memo.

    “The only way to beat someone is to beat them. If [DeSantis] thinks he’s gonna get on the stage and defend Donald Trump on Wednesday night, then he should do Donald Trump a favor and do our party a favor, come back to Tallahassee, endorse Donald Trump, and get the hell out of the race,” Christie said.

    South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, a strong fundraiser who many within the GOP see as an increasing factor in the race, has largely stuck to a positive and optimistic message, making Wednesday night a test of whether and how he is willing to mix it up with his rivals.

    Former Vice President Mike Pence has emphasized his conservative positions on ideological issues like abortion. But he had also looked for a debate-stage clash with Trump, his former running mate. On Sunday, he criticized the former president on ABC for skipping the first debate.

    “Every one of us who have qualified for that debate stage ought to be on the stage willing to square off and answer those tough questions,” Pence said.

    As the first debate approaches, polls of likely Republican voters nationally and of those in the early-voting states – Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada – have consistently shown Trump well ahead of his rivals at this stage of the race.

    Trump held a clear lead over his rivals in a Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom poll of likely Iowa GOP caucusgoers released Monday, though just over half say they are not locked in to their choice and could be persuaded to support someone else.

    Overall, 42% say Trump is their first choice, followed by 19% supporting DeSantis. No other candidate reaches double digits. Behind them, 9% back Scott, 6% each back Haley and Pence, 5% support Christie, 4% back Ramaswamy, 2% back North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum, and 1% support former Texas Rep. Will Hurd, with the rest of the field tested landing below 1%.

    About two-thirds say they have favorable impressions of DeSantis (66%) and Trump (65%), with majorities also expressing positive views of Scott (59%) and Haley (53%). Views of Christie (60% unfavorable to 28% favorable) and Pence (53% unfavorable to 42% favorable) break negative. Many of the other candidates have low name recognition, with four in 10 or more not sure about them.

    About half, 52%, of likely caucusgoers say they could be persuaded to support someone other than their first choice candidate, while 40% say their minds are made up. Trump’s supporters are more likely to be locked in (66% say so), yet a third say they could be persuaded to back someone else (34%). Among those backing a candidate other than Trump, 69% say they could be persuaded to support someone else, and 31% say that their mind is made up.

    The poll was conducted by Selzer and Co. August 13-17 among a random sample of 406 likely Republican caucusgoers in Iowa. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

    New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu, who considered his own presidential run before passing earlier this year, said Monday on CNN’s “Inside Politics” that the GOP primary field needs to narrow before the race reaches the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary.

    He said candidates who are mired in the low-single digits in the polls by early December should drop out.

    “By New Hampshire you need three or four candidates in the race to really make it, you know, a real opportunity and an option for the Republican voter,” he said.

    And Sununu dismissed Trump’s steady national polling leads, saying that his lead would fall “as we get around to Christmas,” while pointing to early state polls, where the former president still leads, though by a smaller margin.

    “Trump is really dominating the national media airwaves. It’s not shocking that he’s there,” he said. “But as the debates start, as people get more and more into that conversation in October, November, as we get around to Christmas, I think nationally his numbers come back down to what you see in Iowa and New Hampshire.”

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