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  • Five Things to Watch on Monday | Saints vs. Chiefs

    Five Things to Watch on Monday | Saints vs. Chiefs

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    Kansas City Chiefs Official Team Website | Chiefs.com Here are some notes to know going into the game Matt McMullen

    The Kansas City Chiefs will look to carry a perfect record into the bye week as they take on the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football.

    Here are five things to keep in mind heading into game day.

    1. Here’s a look at the final injury report for both teams.

    The Chiefs will be without wide receiver Rashee Rice (knee) on Monday following Rice’s placement on Injured Reserve earlier this week. The extent of the injury is still unknown, as Rice will undergo further testing next week once the swelling in his knee subsides.

    Aside from Rice, the Chiefs listed running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) as “Doubtful” and wide receiver Mecole Hardman (knee) as “Questionable” for Monday.

    As for the Saints, their injury report is substantial. New Orleans listed 15 players on its report during the week, and of those, several have either already been ruled out or are carrying injury designations into Monday’s game.

    At the top of that list is do-it-all playmaker Taysom Hill (ribs), who won’t play on Monday. Hill has 14 rushes for 77 yards and two touchdowns this year, but his numbers don’t tell the full story. His athleticism while operating as a “wildcat” quarterback makes New Orleans even more difficult to defend, especially in goal-to-go situations, where Hill has both of his touchdown runs. His absence is significant.

    The Saints will also be without starting Pro Bowl center Erik McCoy, who was placed on Injured Reserve last week, and starting right guard Cesar Ruiz (knee) on Monday, among others.

    Here’s a look at the complete injury report for both teams.

    2. Saints’ Tailback Alvin Kamara leads the NFL in touches, scrimmage yards and touchdowns.

    The 29-year-old Kamara is off to a tremendous start this season with 97 touches for 536 scrimmage yards and six total touchdowns. He leads the NFL in all three categories, and as you would expect, his production has been central to the success of New Orleans’ offense. In fact, Kamara has touched the ball on 46 percent of the Saints’ offensive plays, and as a result, he’s accounted for 38 percent of New Orleans’ total scrimmage yards as a team.

    His efforts have been central to the league’s No. 1 scoring offense through Week 4 (31.8 points-per-game), but upon a closer look, the Saints’ offensive output has been a mixed bag. New Orleans began the year as the hottest team in the NFL, scoring a league-most 91 points through the first two weeks of the season and winning both of those games by at least three touchdowns. The Saints have averaged just 18 points-per-game over the last two weeks, however, while dropping both contests (to Philadelphia and Atlanta).

    What’s interesting is that no matter the end result, Kamara has consistently performed. He’s one of only two players (joining Saquon Barkley) to record at least 110 scrimmage yards in every game this year.

    Kamara is simply one of the most productive players in the NFL yet again, and the Chiefs will need to find a way to contain him on Monday night.

    3. New Orleans runs the ball at the highest rate of any team in the league.

    The Saints piled up a handful of explosive passing plays through the first few weeks of the season, but somewhat surprisingly, New Orleans has actually kept the ball on the ground at the highest rate of any team in the NFL (57%) this year while gaining at least four yards on 52.9 percent of those runs (which also leads the league). Specifically, the Saints have thrived on runs to the outside. New Orleans leads the league in runs to the left (59 plays) and runs to the right (67 plays) while ranking last in the NFL in runs up the middle (12 plays).

    The effectiveness of that rushing attack has allowed New Orleans to frequently put together long, methodical drives that often stay ahead of the chains. The Saints have recorded a “three-and-out” rate of just 10 percent (third-lowest in the NFL), eight drives of 10 or more plays (ninth in the NFL), nine drives of at least five minutes (fourth in the NFL) and only eight third-down attempts that needed at least 10 yards to convert (fewest in the NFL).

    New Orleans gains at least four yards on first down 54.2 percent of the time (sixth in the NFL), and consequently, no team has more third down attempts (22) or conversions (15) on 3rd-and-4 or shorter than the Saints. Those numbers have helped New Orleans compile the second-best third-down conversion rate overall in the NFL (53.2%).

    Additionally, the Saints’ running game has set up an efficient and explosive play-action passing game. New Orleans has thrown the ball at lowest rate of any team in the league (43.2%), and overall, the Saints have tallied the second-fewest plays of 20+ yards (rushing or passing) in the NFL. It’s all to say that they don’t take deep shots in the passing game often, but when they have – especially when play action has been involved – it’s often worked.

    Quarterback Derek Carr has utilized play-action on 32.1 percent of his dropbacks this year (the third-highest rate in the league), and his three passing touchdowns on play-action trail only the Minnesota Vikings’ Sam Darnold. The man on the other end of some of those big plays has been wide receiver Rashid Shaheed, who has touchdown receptions of 59 yards and 70 yards on the season.

    In summary, the Saints’ ability to run the football effectively sets up everything else for them offensively. It keeps them in manageable third downs and, on occasion, creates opportunities for an efficient play-action passing game. If the Chiefs are to slow down New Orleans’ offense on Monday, it all begins with containing their high-powered rushing attack.

    It’s no mistake that the Saints ranked third in the NFL in total rushing yards (370) through the first two weeks of the year (both wins) and 17th (220 yards) over the last two weeks (both losses).

    4. The Chiefs continue to impress against opposing running backs this year.

    With that mandate in mind, the good news for the Chiefs is that their defense has excelled at containing opposing running backs this season. Kansas City has held opposing tailbacks to an average of just 3.1 yards-per-carry on the year despite facing the likes of Derrick Henry (46 yards), J.K. Dobbins (32 yards) and Bijan Robinson (31 yards) among others. Kansas City hasn’t allowed a single running back to top 50 rushing yards in a game this year, joining the Baltimore Ravens as the only teams to do so.

    The overall rushing numbers are a bit skewed because of Ravens’ quarterback Lamar Jackson’s efforts (122 rushing yards) against Kansas City in Week 1. Jackson is obviously a unique assignment, and if his numbers are removed, the Chiefs rank second in the NFL in rushing yards allowed (behind only the Ravens) and first in yards-per-attempt (2.7). Regardless of Jackson’s production, Kansas City still ranks eighth in the league in yards allowed (396) and fourth in yards-per-attempt (3.84).

    It sets up a “best-on-best” matchup on Monday between the Saints’ ground attack and the Chiefs’ rushing defense. Whichever side comes out on top in that specific matchup will likely win the game.

    5. New Orleans’ defense has thrived on takeaways.

    The Saints currently own the No. 6 scoring defense (17.5 points-per-game) in the NFL, and while it ranks in the middle of the pack in several categories (including yards allowed, where New Orleans ranks 17th in the league), the Saints have excelled in two areas: takeaways and red zone defense.

    New Orleans has allowed the fourth-fewest red zone drives of any team (9), and even when teams have managed to get into the red zone, the Saints have held opponents without a touchdown a league-best 77.8 percent of the time. That red zone efficiency has paired well with the Saints’ ability to create turnovers, as New Orleans’ six interceptions rank third in the NFL.

    The good news is that New Orleans ranks 15th in the NFL on third down (35.4%), 26th in average yards-per-rush allowed (4.77) and 28th in total yards after-the-catch allowed (523), while the Saints’ 15 plays allowed of 20+ yards are the eighth-most in the league.

    So, the recipe for Kansas City is pretty simple: avoid turnovers, and finish in the red zone. New Orleans has excelled at winning in those two areas so far this season, and it’s made up for some struggles in other categories. The Chiefs will aim to reverse that trend on Monday.

    It all makes for what should be a great game on Monday night, and with the bye waiting on the other side, Kansas City will aim to maintain its perfect record in front of a prime-time audience.

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  • Five Things to Watch on Sunday | Chiefs vs. Falcons

    Five Things to Watch on Sunday | Chiefs vs. Falcons

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    Kansas City Chiefs Official Team Website | Chiefs.com Here are some notes to know going into the game Matt McMullen

    The Kansas City Chiefs will hit the road for the first time this season as they travel to Atlanta for a matchup against the Falcons on Sunday Night Football.

    Here are five things to keep in mind heading into game day.

    1. Here’s a look at the final injury report for both teams.

    The Chiefs have a relatively clean injury report heading into Sunday’s game, and as a result, Kansas City doesn’t feature a single player carrying an injury designation into the matchup.

    As for tailback Isiah Pacheco, who suffered a fractured fibula in last week’s victory over Cincinnati, the latest update is that he had surgery on Wednesday and was placed on Injured Reserve. He is out a minimum of four games, and because he’s not currently on the active roster, he won’t appear on the injury report.

    In lieu of Pacheco, the Chiefs signed Kareem Hunt to the practice squad earlier this week. Hunt was plenty busy as a member of the scout team over the last several days, but he won’t be elevated for Sunday’s game, according to Head Coach Andy Reid.

    Looking at the Falcons, Atlanta didn’t list any player injury designations ahead of Sunday’s game, indicating a clean bill of health.

    2. Running back Bijan Robinson is the key to the Falcons’ offense.

    Robinson was the No. 8 overall selection in the 2023 NFL Draft, and through two games this season, he’s certainly playing like it. The former University of Texas star has rushed for 165 yards on 32 attempts, averaging 5.2 yards-per-carry. He was also particularly effective in Atlanta’s victory over the Eagles last week, rushing for 97 yards on just 14 carries.

    The 22-year-old Robinson averaged 6.9 yards-per-attempt in that game while ripping off four runs of double-digit yardage and breaking three tackles along the way.

    He’s been effective, and the Falcons haven’t been shy about using him. In fact, Robinson – who also has nine catches for 68 yards – has been responsible for 48 percent of Atlanta’s offensive advancements this year. In other words, Robinson has touched the ball on half of the Falcons’ offensive plays through two games.

    It’s all to say that in order to slow down the Falcons, the Chiefs will have to contain Robinson’s production, and for what it’s worth, Kansas City has been effective against opposing running backs this season.

    The Chiefs have held opposing tailbacks to a combined average of just 3.8 yards-per-carry on 30 attempts, and on those carries, Kansas City has yielded just one run of 10+ yards.

    Here’s a player-by-player breakdown of that production, with the only outlier being Bengals’ running back Chase Brown, who found some success on limited carries:

    Derrick Henry: 13 carries for 46 yards (3.45 yards-per-attempt)

    Zack Moss: 12 carries for 34 yards (2.83 yards-per-attempt)

    Chase Brown: 4 carries for 31 yards (7.75 yards-per-attempt)

    Justice Hill: 1 carry for 3 yards

    If the Chiefs can put together a similar performance against Robinson, it would go a long way toward containing the Falcons’ offense as a whole.

    3. The Falcons’ play-action passing game will be something to watch.

    The importance of stopping Atlanta’s rushing attack is even further amplified by the presence of Kirk Cousins at quarterback, who has historically thrived within the play-action passing game.

    In 2022, Cousins’ last full, healthy season for the Minnesota Vikings, he ranked second among all quarterbacks with 203 play-action dropbacks. Additionally, from 2022 through the first eight games of 2023 (before Cousins’ season-ending Achillies injury), he threw 17 touchdowns off play-action – the third-most of any quarterback behind only Josh Allen (21) and Jared Goff (19).

    Conversely, on non-play-action snaps during that same span, Cousins threw 15 of his 19 interceptions.

    Cousins has simply thrived in play-action situations during his career, but for whatever reason – whether it be adjusting to a new offensive scheme or due to his injury recovery process – Cousins has led a Falcons’ offense that has posted the third-lowest play-action rate in the NFL through two weeks (13.6%). Only Geno Smith (11.8%) and Brock Purdy (12.8%) have tallied a lower percentage of play-action dropbacks so far, but Cousins’ inclusion on this list may be somewhat misleading.

    Atlanta ran zero play-action snaps in Cousins’ Falcons debut vs. Pittsburgh, making him the only starting quarterback to do so in Week 1. Last week against the Eagles, however, was a different story. Cousins ran play-action on 26 percent of his dropbacks in that game, completing 5-of-8 passes for 53 yards.

    It’s likely the Falcons will continue that trend as Cousins continues to get more comfortable in Atlanta’s offensive scheme, and the Chiefs’ defense will need to be ready for it.

    4. Atlanta’s red zone defense has been impressive so far this season.

    The Falcons have held opponents to a 2-for-7 mark in the red zone this season, which includes a 2-for-5 figure against Philadelphia last week. Specifically, the Falcons prevented touchdowns last week despite Philadelphia drives that marched to the 9-yard line, the 11-yard line and the 10-yard line.

    The week prior, Atlanta lost to Pittsburgh despite holding the Steelers out of the end zone altogether (although they did allow six field goals).

    It’s a solid group, but one area they’ve struggled is with missed tackles. Atlanta has missed the fourth-most tackles of any team so far, which partially explains why the Falcons have yielded the sixth-most rushing yards (323) of any team. Specifically, running backs Saquon Barkley and Najee Harris combined for 12 broken tackles against Atlanta, rushing for 165 yards.

    The Chiefs’ running game will obviously be without Isiah Pacheco on Sunday, but the opportunity remains for a productive night on the ground.

    5. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes can make some (more) NFL history on Sunday.

    Mahomes is no stranger to setting records, and he has a shot at another one on Sunday night.

    The 29-year-old Mahomes has won 76 career regular-season games as a starting quarterback, matching Tom Brady and Roger Staubach for the most quarterback victories through 100 career starts in NFL history. Mahomes will start the 99th career game of his career on Sunday, meaning that if the Chiefs win, he’ll claim the record for himself.

    Mahomes will aim to do exactly that on Sunday night as the Chiefs look remain perfect on the season in a prime-time matchup with Atlanta.

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