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HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) — Friday will be another mild and muggy day with light showers, but Saturday could bring heavy rain that floods streets.

Widespread low clouds and fog are likely overnight as moisture continues to blow in from the Gulf of Mexico. We may not actually see the fog clear the coast until the end of the weekend after a front moves through. Temperatures will start off in the low 60s, which is closer to our average high of 67. Actual highs will warm back into the mid 70s, and light showers are possible at any time of day. Where it does rain, accumulations will generally measure at only a few hundredths of an inhc.

What weather should we prepare for this weekend?

It will remain mild, humid, and cloudy with growing chances for showers and thunderstorms. Sea fog will also be likely along the upper Texas coastline. Saturday brings a 70% chance for showers and thunderstorms, and the higher rain chances (and higher rain amounts) will depend on where a weak front stalls out in Southeast Texas. We have moderate confidence right now that this band will form somewhere over or just north of Houston and stretch northeast toward Lake Livingston. Sunday’s rain chance is also at 70%, but it’s primarily for the morning hours as a cold front pushes in from the west. Once the front blows through your neighborhood, the rain will end and the sun could even poke out before sunset.

How much rain could fall on Saturday?

Where the heavy band of rain stalls out, a quick 1-3″ of rain will fall. Isolated totals could exceed 5″, and where that happens street flooding is likely. If you find yourself outside of that heavy rain band, your rain accumulations will generally measure a quarter inch or less.

What’s the early weather outlook for Valentine’s Day?

At this time we expect fair weather with a morning low near 40 and a daytime high near 70. A mixture of sunshine and clouds are expected as our next rainy weather system approaches.

Are we done with freezes for this winter?

Probably not. While we don’t have any freezes currently in our 10 day forecast for Houston, we do think a frost is possible in Southeast Texas on Tuesday morning. Temperatures in Houston will likely drop into the mid 30s, which is cold enough to put frost on the ground and rooftops. We continue to see signs of a weather pattern change coming around Valentine’s Day that could allow more arctic air to push down the Plains and into Texas during the second half of February. Stay tuned!

HOUSTON RADAR MAPS:

Southeast Texas

Houston

Harris County

Galveston County

Montgomery/Walker/San Jacinto/Polk/Grimes Counties

Fort Bend/Wharton/Colorado Counties

Brazoria/Matagorda Counties

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