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Tag: weather in the tropics

  • Invest 92-L forms in Gulf of Mexico; Florida could see major rain event

    Invest 92-L forms in Gulf of Mexico; Florida could see major rain event

    TWO NEWS ON CW 18 STARTS NOW. THANK YOU FOR JOINING US FOR WESH TWO NEWS AT TEN. I’M JESSE PAGAN AND I’M LUANA MUNOZ. TROPICAL ACTIVITY IS RAMPING UP IN THE GULF AS WE NOW HAVE INVEST 92 L. THAT MEANS MORE DATA TO HELP BETTER FORECAST EXACTLY WHAT WE COULD BE SEEING HERE IN CENTRAL FLORIDA EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FIRST WARNING, CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI HERE BREAKING DOWN THE NEW INFORMATION TONY. THAT’S RIGHT GUYS. SO WE’RE ENTERING A NEW PHASE NOW. NOW THAT WE HAVE AN INVEST. WE’VE GOT THE TROPICAL MODELS THAT ARE STARTING TO RUN. NOW. WE’VE GOT THE HURRICANE HUNTERS GOING IN TOMORROW MORNING. THEY’LL BE IN THERE SUNDAY AS WELL. AND AS WE DIGEST WHAT’S GOING ON DOWN IN THERE WITH THESE HURRICANE HUNTERS AND THROW THAT DATA INTO OUR MODELING SYSTEM, WE’RE GOING TO START TO GET MORE ACCURATE FORECASTS BECAUSE THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BEEN FLIP FLOPPING A BUNCH. AND IT’S IT’S NOT A GOOD THING. WE DON’T WANT THAT. SO LET’S TAKE A LOOK NOW AT THE UPDATE FROM HURRICANE CENTER. 30% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT. NOW IN THE NEXT TWO DAYS. AND A 70% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT WEEK. THIS IS THE FIRST LOOK AT THE TROPICAL MODELS. AND THE FIRST ONE HISTORICALLY IS NOT A VERY GOOD RUN. SO WE’LL WAIT. OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WE START TO GET A FEW MORE OF THE MORE MATURE MODELS, THE MORE ACCURATE FORECAST TO COME ON IN, BUT YOU CAN KIND OF SEE THAT BAND OF THE TROPICAL AND YOU CAN KIND OF SEE THAT BAND ON THE GLOBAL MODELS, WHICH TONIGHT BY THE WAY, HAVE KIND OF BEEN FLIP FLOPPING. A FEW OF THEM ARE STRONGER, A FEW OF THEM ARE WEAKER. MOST OF THEM KEEP THE MAIN ENERGY, THOUGH. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. AND THE CORE OF THE MODELING IS ACROSS SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA. AND THERE’S A BIG DIFFERENCE IN RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN THE NORTHERN MODELS AND THE SOUTHERN MODELS. AND I’

    Invest 92-L forms in Gulf of Mexico; Florida could see major rain event

    Some models show as much as 18 inches of rain in parts of Central Florida.

    Video above: Latest on tropics Invest 92-L formed in the Gulf of Mexico on Friday night, according to the National Hurricane Center, and could become a tropical depression early next week. It would be named Milton. While it’s still too early to know exactly what may form, models are consistent in moving this system through Florida. Formation chances slightly increased in the NHC’s 2 a.m. advisory, bumping the chance of formation over the next 48 hours to 50% and seven-day odds to 80%.Some models show as much as 18 inches of rain in parts of Central Florida. It comes right after Hurricane Helene slammed the Big Bend region as a monster Category 4 storm last week. Many Florida residents are still recovering from intense flooding, damaging storm surge and extreme wreckage from winds topping 140 mph.>> Chopper 2 video shows extensive Hurricane Helene damage in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay, Fort Myers>> Photos, videos show Helene’s eerie approach, intense impacts and devastating aftermath in FloridaAs hurricane season continues, the NHC is monitoring several systems, including major Hurricane Kirk and Tropical Storm Leslie. Click here for the latest.First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Video above: Latest on tropics

    Invest 92-L formed in the Gulf of Mexico on Friday night, according to the National Hurricane Center, and could become a tropical depression early next week. It would be named Milton.

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    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    While it’s still too early to know exactly what may form, models are consistent in moving this system through Florida.

    Formation chances slightly increased in the NHC’s 2 a.m. advisory, bumping the chance of formation over the next 48 hours to 50% and seven-day odds to 80%.

    Some models show as much as 18 inches of rain in parts of Central Florida.

    rain amounts possible

    It comes right after Hurricane Helene slammed the Big Bend region as a monster Category 4 storm last week. Many Florida residents are still recovering from intense flooding, damaging storm surge and extreme wreckage from winds topping 140 mph.

    >> Chopper 2 video shows extensive Hurricane Helene damage in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay, Fort Myers

    >> Photos, videos show Helene’s eerie approach, intense impacts and devastating aftermath in Florida

    As hurricane season continues, the NHC is monitoring several systems, including major Hurricane Kirk and Tropical Storm Leslie. Click here for the latest.

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Ernesto back at hurricane strength as Central Florida braces for dangerous beach conditions

    Ernesto back at hurricane strength as Central Florida braces for dangerous beach conditions

    Ernesto has strengthened back into a hurricane and is expected to cause dangerous beach conditions along the East Coast of the U.S. early this week.Over the weekend, Ernesto became a tropical storm after devastating the small island of Bermuda with tropical downpours, heavy winds and plenty of flooding. Now that the storm is passing through uninterrupted Atlantic waters, the National Hurricane Center says Ernesto is getting a little stronger.According to its latest advisory, Hurricane Ernesto is located about 320 miles south-southeast of Halifax Nova Scotia with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph and a minimum central pressure of 968 mb.Though the NHC says interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto, there are currently no watches or warnings in effect.Ernesto is currently moving north-northeast around 20 mph, but the NHC says they expect the storm to turn northeast and move a little quicker throughout Monday and Tuesday. The system could pass near Newfoundland either Monday night or on Tuesday.The storm is not forecast to gain more strength, and the NHC says Ernesto could lose tropical characteristics in the next few days.While Ernesto is not posing much threat to land, the NHC says beach conditions in the Bahamas, Bermuda and the East Coast of the United States could be more dangerous than usual due to the storm.Beachgoers should prepare for rough surf and life-threatening rip currents, and always pay attention to signals and warnings from lifeguards.In Central Florida, the highest risk is on Monday. Rough conditions gradually subside as the week goes on.According to the National Weather Service in Melbourne, the strong rip currents coming from Ernesto can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore and into deeper water, adding that residents and visitors are strongly urged to stay out of the surf on Monday. Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2 First Warning Weather Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts. The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    ORLANDO, Fla. —

    Ernesto has strengthened back into a hurricane and is expected to cause dangerous beach conditions along the East Coast of the U.S. early this week.

    Over the weekend, Ernesto became a tropical storm after devastating the small island of Bermuda with tropical downpours, heavy winds and plenty of flooding. Now that the storm is passing through uninterrupted Atlantic waters, the National Hurricane Center says Ernesto is getting a little stronger.

    According to its latest advisory, Hurricane Ernesto is located about 320 miles south-southeast of Halifax Nova Scotia with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph and a minimum central pressure of 968 mb.

    Though the NHC says interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto, there are currently no watches or warnings in effect.

    Ernesto is currently moving north-northeast around 20 mph, but the NHC says they expect the storm to turn northeast and move a little quicker throughout Monday and Tuesday. The system could pass near Newfoundland either Monday night or on Tuesday.

    The storm is not forecast to gain more strength, and the NHC says Ernesto could lose tropical characteristics in the next few days.

    While Ernesto is not posing much threat to land, the NHC says beach conditions in the Bahamas, Bermuda and the East Coast of the United States could be more dangerous than usual due to the storm.

    Beachgoers should prepare for rough surf and life-threatening rip currents, and always pay attention to signals and warnings from lifeguards.

    In Central Florida, the highest risk is on Monday. Rough conditions gradually subside as the week goes on.

    According to the National Weather Service in Melbourne, the strong rip currents coming from Ernesto can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore and into deeper water, adding that residents and visitors are strongly urged to stay out of the surf on Monday.

    Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Invest 97-L sets sights on Florida’s coast as formation chances jump again

    Invest 97-L sets sights on Florida’s coast as formation chances jump again

    An invest, tagged as Invest 97-L by the National Hurricane Center, is moving toward Florida and becoming more defined. Officials are now predicting its path may affect the west coast of Florida soon. Chances for development increased again on Friday morning.Related: Gov. DeSantis declares state of emergency ahead of stormAccording to the NHC, a well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized thunderstorms and showers over places like Hispaniola, the Bahamas, Cuba and other parts of the Atlantic Ocean.Invest is short for “investigation” and refers to a weather feature that the National Hurricane Center is investigating.The NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today. More: What’s an invest?>>> Track Invest 97-L: Latest maps, models and pathsThe invest is expected to move west-northward near or over Cuba on Friday and then emerge over the straits of Florida Friday night or Saturday.After the invest passes land, the NHC says additional development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form. According to the NHC, portions of Florida may be under a tropical storm watch or warning starting on Friday. The latest tropics models show Invest 97-L shifting and edging closer to Florida’s West Coast, potentially amplifying the effects in Central Florida.Formation chancesConditions are starting to become more favorable for development as Invest 97-L lingers in the warm Gulf waters and moves away from land.The NHC says the chance of formation in the next 48 hours is medium, jumping to 60%. In the next seven days, that chance becomes extremely high, increasing to 90%. Invest 97-L impacts on FloridaRegardless of development, the system will bring potential for flooding to many parts of Florida, the NHC said. The invest is expected to dump plenty of rain on Florida, but the exact timing of those impacts is still unknown. Currently, models show rain starting on Sunday and lasting until almost midweek. However, this could change depending on the speed and intensity of the system.Video below: Central Florida’s Friday forecast, which shows plenty of rain as Invest 97-L closes in on the state Eyes on another waveChief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi said there is another wave coming off the west coast of Africa that he’s keeping his eyes on.Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2More: Where do hurricanes begin?First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    ORLANDO, Fla. —

    An invest, tagged as Invest 97-L by the National Hurricane Center, is moving toward Florida and becoming more defined. Officials are now predicting its path may affect the west coast of Florida soon.

    Chances for development increased again on Friday morning.

    Related: Gov. DeSantis declares state of emergency ahead of storm

    According to the NHC, a well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized thunderstorms and showers over places like Hispaniola, the Bahamas, Cuba and other parts of the Atlantic Ocean.

    Invest is short for “investigation” and refers to a weather feature that the National Hurricane Center is investigating.

    The NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today.

    More: What’s an invest?

    >>> Track Invest 97-L: Latest maps, models and paths

    The invest is expected to move west-northward near or over Cuba on Friday and then emerge over the straits of Florida Friday night or Saturday.

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    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    After the invest passes land, the NHC says additional development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form. According to the NHC, portions of Florida may be under a tropical storm watch or warning starting on Friday.

    The latest tropics models show Invest 97-L shifting and edging closer to Florida’s West Coast, potentially amplifying the effects in Central Florida.

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    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Formation chances

    Conditions are starting to become more favorable for development as Invest 97-L lingers in the warm Gulf waters and moves away from land.

    The NHC says the chance of formation in the next 48 hours is medium, jumping to 60%. In the next seven days, that chance becomes extremely high, increasing to 90%.

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    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Invest 97-L impacts on Florida

    Regardless of development, the system will bring potential for flooding to many parts of Florida, the NHC said.

    The invest is expected to dump plenty of rain on Florida, but the exact timing of those impacts is still unknown. Currently, models show rain starting on Sunday and lasting until almost midweek. However, this could change depending on the speed and intensity of the system.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Video below: Central Florida’s Friday forecast, which shows plenty of rain as Invest 97-L closes in on the state

    Eyes on another wave

    Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi said there is another wave coming off the west coast of Africa that he’s keeping his eyes on.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    More: Where do hurricanes begin?

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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