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  • Here’s how the Republican presidential candidates say they’ll whip inflation

    Here’s how the Republican presidential candidates say they’ll whip inflation

    Inflation remains a top concern among Americans, so what do the Republicans seeking President Joe Biden’s job say they’ll do about it?

    MarketWatch asked the 2024 GOP White House hopefuls to give at least three ways that they would address the elevated prices that have blown up many household budgets.

    Most campaigns provided responses, while some didn’t but have offered proposals in other venues. See what they’re all planning below.

    The economy is the No. 1 issue for Republican voters, according to a recent Wall Street Journal poll, which found 36% citing the economy generally and an additional 10% citing inflation.

    MarketWatch contacted the eight contenders who took part in their primary’s first debate, along with former President Donald Trump, who skipped the debate, and two relatively well-known contenders who failed to qualify for the first debate, Larry Elder and former Congressman Will Hurd. They are listed below in order of their ranking in the latest polls, based on a RealClearPolitics moving average.

    Inflation was low when Trump became president, with prices rising less than 2% a year. That was even considered a problem before the COVID-19 pandemic, with inflation often characterized as stubbornly or persistently low. Inflation began to spike in 2021, shortly after Biden took office, due to a global shortage of goods and a huge rebound in consumer demand following the pandemic’s early stages. Economists say massive stimulus by both the Trump and Biden administrations as well as low interest rates fostered by the Federal Reserve helped to push inflation to a 40-year high.

    Biden has stressed that inflation, as measured by the consumer-price index, has “fallen by around two-thirds,” and he and his team have talked up their efforts to lower costs for prescription drugs and insulin, to crack down on junk fees for a range of services, and to use the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to lower gasoline prices. Biden’s re-election campaign didn’t respond to MarketWatch’s request for comment.

    Donald Trump

    “I would get inflation down,” Trump said in a recent interview with NBC’s “Meet the Press,” while saying that “we did a great job with inflation.” His campaign pointed MarketWatch to a number of policy proposals in which Trump himself is quoted.

    Former President Donald Trump walks over to speak with reporters before departing from Atlanta’s airport last month.


    AP

    • The former president says he’ll rein in what he calls Biden’s “wasteful spending,” which Trump says is key to stopping inflation. Trump is proposing to use what’s known as impoundment authority to reduce federal spending. That term refers to the ability of a president to withhold congressionally appropriated funds from their intended use, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

    • Trump also calls for boosting energy output. “When I’m back in the White House, I will immediately unleash energy production, slash regulations, like I did just three years ago, and repeal Biden’s tax hikes to get inflation down as fast as possible, and it will go quickly, so that interest rates can get back under control,” Trump says on his campaign website. “I would get inflation down, because drill we must,” he told “Meet the Press.”

    • A Trump spokesman did not respond when asked for specifics about which Biden-approved tax increases Trump would repeal. The former president and his advisers, meanwhile, have reportedly discussed deeper cuts to both individual and corporate rates that would build on the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.

    Ron DeSantis

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, says a spokesman, “will reduce inflation by, among other measures, tackling government spending, unleashing domestic energy and removing burdensome Biden administration regulations.”

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks in July during a press conference in West Columbia, S.C.


    AP Photo/Sean Rayford

    • In his economic plan, DeSantis leans heavily into energy policy for addressing inflation. “DeSantis will unleash our domestic energy sector, modernize and protect our grid and advance American energy independence. This will not only increase our economic and national security while reducing inflation, [but] it will also help fuel a manufacturing renaissance that will create jobs, revitalize our communities and improve our standard of living,” says his plan.

    • He told “CBS Evening News with Norah O’Donnell” that, as president, he would “stop spending so much money. We need a president that’s going to be a force for spending restraint, because that’s one of the root causes, with Congress spending so much.” He criticized both Democrats and Republicans for government spending.

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy speaks in April at an event in Iowa.


    AP

    “This isn’t complicated,” entrepreneur and author Vivek Ramaswamy said in a recent post on X. “Fight inflation, unleash growth by taking the handcuffs [off] the U.S. energy sector & dismantling the regulatory state.” His campaign didn’t respond to MarketWatch’s request for comment, but his campaign website offers the following proposals:

    • “Drill, frack & burn coal : abandon the climate cult & unshackle nuclear energy.”

    • “Launch deregulatory ‘Reagan 2.0’ revolution: cut > 75% headcount amongst U.S. regulators.”

    • Ramaswamy is also calling for dramatically changing the Federal Reserve, by ending the central bank’s dual mandate of keeping inflation low and maintaining full employment. “Limit the U.S. Fed’s scope: stabilize the dollar
      DXY
      & nothing more,” his campaign site says.

    Nikki Haley

    A spokesman for Nikki Haley’s campaign pointed to a Fox Business interview on Wednesday in which she called for ending the federal gas tax and cutting spending, as well as to her speech Friday in New Hampshire on her economic plan.

    Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley is a former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations and former South Carolina governor.


    Getty Images

    • “We want to eliminate the federal gas tax completely,” Haley told Fox Business. “We have to get more money in our taxpayers’ pockets.” That tax helps pay for highways, but she said the system isn’t working, echoing a point that some policy analysts have previously made. Biden pushed for temporarily suspending the federal gas tax in 2022, but Congress didn’t provide sufficient support for his proposal. In her economic speech, Haley also promised to cut income taxes for working families and make permanent the tax cuts that small businesses scored in 2017’s GOP tax overhaul.

    • The former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations said members of Congress are “spending like drunken sailors,” as she promised to reduce the federal government’s outlays. “I will veto any spending bill that doesn’t take us back to pre-COVID levels,” she told Fox Business, referring to budgets that date to before the onset of the coronavirus pandemic in March 2020.

    • Haley in her speech Friday pledged to support the U.S. energy industry, as she suggested that Washington has been “stifling it.” She said: “We’ll drill so much oil and gas, families will save big on their utility bills.”

    Mike Pence

    A spokesman for Pence’s campaign pointed to the former vice president’s plan for “ending inflation,” which calls for actions such as reducing the federal government’s spending and changing the Federal Reserve’s job description.

    Former Vice President Mike Pence served as governor of Indiana and as a congressman before becoming Donald Trump’s running mate in 2016.


    AP

    • A Pence administration would “end runaway deficits by freezing non-defense spending, eliminating unnecessary government programs, repealing over $3 trillion in new spending under Biden, and reforming mandatory programs that drive our debt,” the plan says. Earlier this year, he urged “commonsense and compassionate” reforms for programs such as Social Security and Medicaid.

    • Pence wants to end the Fed’s dual mandate, which calls for the U.S. central bank to focus on full employment and stable prices. “Trying to serve two, often contradictory goals has led to wild fluctuation in rates,” his plan says, adding that it’s better to “leave employment policy to the president and Congress.”

    • The former vice president’s plan said he aims to bring supply chains and production “back home,” and that would happen by “removing regulatory burdens, enacting pro-growth tax policies, and ensuring access to abundant American energy.” In other words: “We will fight inflation by making America the best place to do business again.”

    • Similar to his 2024 GOP rivals, Pence blasts Biden’s energy policies, though some of the Democratic incumbent’s stances, such as his approval of the Willow drilling project in Alaska, have also been criticized by environmental groups. Pence’s plan says: “It is time to reverse Biden’s attack on American energy by restarting oil and gas leasing on federal lands, opening the Arctic and offshore regions for exploration
      XOP,
      approving safe transportation of oil and gas, mining rare earth minerals, and rejecting climate change hysteria that is causing U.S. energy
      XLE
      production to fall.”

    Chris Christie

    Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie addresses a New Hampshire audience in April.


    AP Photo/Charles Krupa

    Chris Christie’s White House campaign didn’t respond to MarketWatch’s requests for comment, but the former New Jersey governor has emphasized that reducing government spending will help tame inflation.

    “The out-of-control government spending has created this inflation,” Christie said in June during a CNN town hall. “I mean, even Larry Summers, who I don’t agree with much on, former Democratic Treasury secretary, warned Joe Biden, ‘Don’t do this spending. It’s going to cause the inflation.’ So, first, we need to bring spending down, and we’ve talked about that before.”

    Related: Larry Summers has a new inflation warning

    Tim Scott

    U.S. Sen. Tim Scott pointed to reducing the federal government’s spending and repealing one of Biden’s signature legislative packages, when asked about how he would address inflation.

    Tim Scott, a U.S. senator from South Carolina, speaks last month during the presidential debate in Milwaukee.


    Getty Images

    • Scott, from South Carolina, said in a statement that he would aim to “snap non-defense discretionary spending back to the pre-COVID 2019 baseline.” He described that as stopping Democrats from “turning the temporary pandemic into permanent socialism.”

    • Scott said he would rescind the Inflation Reduction Act, which is Democrats’ big economic package aimed at addressing climate change, capping drug costs and raising hundreds of billions of dollars through taxes on corporations. “The Inflation Reduction Act actually increased inflation and the only thing it reduced was money in our pockets,” he said in his statement. “Cutting that off and restoring tax cuts and eliminating the tax increases would go a long way to having the kind of stimulative impact in our economy and controlling spending.”

    • Scott called for stronger economic growth. “We have to also grow our economy somewhere near 5% consistently,” he said, adding that could create 10 million jobs. The U.S. economy grew by nearly 6% in 2021 after contracting in 2020 as COVID hit, then it expanded by about 2% in 2022.

    Related: Republican presidential candidate Tim Scott says he wants to put the focus on tax cuts

    Asa Hutchinson

    Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson blames “excessive federal spending” for leading to inflation when giving speeches, and outlines a plan for “fiscal responsibility” on his campaign site.

    Asa Hutchinson, governor of Arkansas from 2015 until this year, speaks at an Iowa event in April.


    Scott Olson/Getty Images

    • “Restore discipline by reducing federal government size, cutting spending, balancing the budget, and lowering the deficit to tame inflation,” it states.

    • When Hutchinson was governor, he signed a $500 million tax-cut package, saying “it could not come at a better time with the continued challenge of high food and gas prices.” That was in August 2022. On his campaign website, he repeats a call to cut taxes and “reduce regulations to boost the private sector and enhance wages for American workers.”

    Hutchinson’s campaign did not respond to a request for comment from MarketWatch.  

    Doug Burgum

    North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum, a GOP presidential hopeful, speaks at the Iowa State Fair in August.


    Brandon Bell/Getty Images

    North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum’s website says that as president he would “get inflation under control, cut taxes, lower gas prices
    RB00,
    +0.31%
    ,
    reduce the cost of living and help people realize their fullest potential.” It doesn’t provide specifics.

    A spokesman for Burgum’s White House campaign didn’t respond to MarketWatch’s requests for comment. A spokesman reportedly told the New York Times that the campaign will roll out its vision and plans on its own timeline.

    Larry Elder

    Larry Elder, a conservative radio host and a gubernatorial candidate in California in the failed 2021 recall of Democratic incumbent Gavin Newsom, said he views energy and tax policy and a constitutional amendment as ways to whip inflation.

    Larry Elder is a conservative radio host and former gubernatorial candidate in California.


    AP

    • “Reverse the war on oil
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      +0.93%

      and gas
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      -2.65%

      ; permit drilling in Anwar [Arctic National Wildlife Refuge]; authorize the Keystone Pipeline; reverse the Biden restrictions on drilling on federal lands; and encourage nuclear energy
      NLR,
      ” Elder said in a statement.

    • “Encourage an amendment to the Constitution to set spending to a fixed percent of the GDP,” he also said.

    • Elder said the reduction in spending forced by that constitutional amendment would “coincide with a steep reduction in personal and corporate income taxes,” offering further help to Americans with stretched budgets.

    Will Hurd

    2024 Republican presidential hopeful Will Hurd, a former Texas congressman, speaks in Iowa in July.


    AFP via Getty Images

    Former U.S. Rep. Will Hurd of Texas announced his candidacy in June but so far hasn’t made it to the debate stage. In his campaign-launch video, he labeled inflation “still out of control.”

    • In a post on X in June, Hurd called for reining in spending. “You cannot be putting government funds into, at a time where you’re seeing the rising inflation,” he said.

    • And he said tax hikes are a nonstarter when inflation is high. “The worst time to talk about increasing taxes is when everybody’s hurting from inflation.”

    • Hurd also said the deficit should be addressed, to “start bending the curve back on the debt.”

    Hurd’s campaign did not respond to a request for comment from MarketWatch.

    Now read: Republican presidential debate: Candidates could win with a clear economic message about the ‘crisis among working people’

    And see: As Biden joins UAW picket line, poll shows Democrats’ edge over GOP on ‘caring about people like me’ has vanished

    Jeffry Bartash contributed.

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  • Why higher oil prices aren’t likely to make it into Fed’s inflation or rate outlook

    Why higher oil prices aren’t likely to make it into Fed’s inflation or rate outlook

    With the Federal Reserve preparing to release updated inflation and interest-rate forecasts on Wednesday, the proverbial elephant in the room will probably be missing from the equation: The full impact of rising oil prices, according to investors, traders and strategists.

    Oil prices touched fresh 2023 highs on Tuesday and settled above $90 a barrel, a byproduct of this month’s decision by Russia and Saudi Arabia to extend production cuts into year-end. Just a day ago, Mike Wirth, chief executive of Chevron
    CVX,
    -0.01%
    ,
    put the prospect of oil crossing $100 a barrel on the map and the price at the gas pump went above $6 a gallon in Southern California — reigniting fears about a revival of inflation.

    It’s too soon to say whether the run-up in energy prices will spill over into the narrower core inflation gauges that the Fed cares most about, TD Securities strategist Gennadiy Goldberg said via phone. As a result, policy makers may look past the impact of higher energy prices on their longer-term inflation and rate outlook Wednesday, he said. Fed officials are hesitant to place too much weight on energy or food as components of inflation, anyway, because of their volatile natures.

    In One Chart: Why crude-oil rally can’t be ignored by investors — or the Fed

    However, some traders are worried that such an omission could be a mistake considering all the other price pressures playing out, such as strikes against the three major U.S. automakers.

    UAW strike: Union sets Friday deadline for further possible strikes

    “Is it a mistake to not factor in oil? I personally think it is, but I’m probably in the minority on that,” said Gang Hu, an inflation trader at New York-based hedge fund WinShore Capital. “The combination of oil and strikes by the United Auto Workers presents a structurally unstable inflation picture.”

    “If the Fed is the one that provides insurance against inflation and is not doing anything, the market will seek inflation protection by itself and it will look like inflation expectations are unanchored. This is the risk,” Hu said via phone.

    Nervousness around the prospect of a higher-for-longer message on rates from the Fed helped send the 2-
    BX:TMUBMUSD02Y
    and 10-year Treasury rates
    BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
    to their highest levels in more than a decade on Tuesday. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index was off by less than 0.1%.

    Read: How Fed’s higher-for-longer theme may play out in Treasurys and the dollar on Wednesday

    U.S. stock indexes
    DXY

    SPX

    COMP
    finished lower on Tuesday, led by a 0.3% drop in Dow industrials.

    Investors and traders are expected to zero in on the part of the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections that reflects where the fed-funds rate target, currently between 5.25%-5.5%, could go in 2024. As of June, policy makers penciled in the likelihood of four 25-basis-point rate cuts next year after factoring in more tightening this year, and they saw inflation creeping down toward 2% in 2024 and 2025, as well as over the longer run.

    See: Why Fed’s response to this key question could spark 5% stock-market pullback or ‘solid rally’

    Many in financial markets are clinging to the likelihood of no Fed rate hike on Wednesday, and see some possibility of just one more increase in November or December before rate cuts begin in the middle or final half of next year. But inflation traders now foresee seven straight months of 3%-plus readings on the annual headline CPI rate, from September through next March; that’s up from five consecutive months seen as of last Wednesday and complicates the question of where the Fed will go from here.

    “The Fed’s rate decision on Wednesday was already decided a while ago, when officials started to communicate that a pause would be the likely outcome,” said Mark Heppenstall, chief investment officer of Penn Mutual Asset Management in Horsham, Pa., which oversaw $32 billion as of August.

    “On the margin, we might see higher oil prices make a modest impact on rate projections,” he said via phone. However, “it’s too early for the story to change on disinflation and all the progress made so far.”

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  • Federal investigators subpoena Pennsylvania agency for records related to chocolate plant explosion

    Federal investigators subpoena Pennsylvania agency for records related to chocolate plant explosion

    Federal safety investigators issued a subpoena to Pennsylvania’s public utility regulator on Monday for documents related to a fatal explosion at a chocolate factory, escalating a months-long legal dispute over the state agency’s authority to share the sensitive information.

    The National Transportation Safety Board said the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission has refused to provide unredacted inspection and investigation reports for UGI Utilities Inc., the natural gas utility at the center of the probe into the March 24 blast at the R.M. Palmer Co. plant in West Reading.

    The powerful natural gas explosion leveled one building, heavily damaged another and killed seven people. Investigators have previously said they are looking at a pair of gas leaks as a possible cause of or contributor to the blast.

    The interagency dispute over five years’ worth of UGI records involved a conflict between state and federal law.

    The Public Utility Commission said it could not provide the records in the format that the safety agency demanded, citing a state law that protects “confidential security information” about key utility infrastructure from public disclosure, even to other government agencies.

    The commission said it offered safety investigators a chance to inspect the reports at its Harrisburg office or to sign a nondisclosure agreement, but the federal agency refused.

    “This is a unique situation where a federal agency is demanding that the PUC violate state law,” PUC spokesperson Nils Hagen-Frederiksen said in a written statement. “It is unfortunate that the NTSB has rejected possible solutions to this issue, but we continue working to resolve this impasse.”

    The safety board said federal regulations entitled it to the utility company records and asserted the PUC was required to turn them over.

    Because federal law preempts state law, NTSB chair Jennifer L. Homendy wrote to the state utility commission chair, the PUC “has no legal basis to withhold the … inspection reports from the NTSB in any manner.”

    In addition to issuing the subpoena, the safety agency said it also barred the Public Utility Commission from having any further role in the federal probe.

    “The actions of PA PUC have evidenced a lack of cooperation and adherence to our party processes and prevent your continued participation in the investigation,” Homendy wrote.

    About 70 Palmer production workers and 35 office staff were working in two adjacent buildings at the time of the blast. Employees in both buildings told federal investigators they could smell gas before the explosion. Workers at the plant have accused Palmer of ignoring warnings of a natural gas leak, saying the plant, in a small town 60 miles (96 kilometers) northwest of Philadelphia, should have been evacuated.

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  • California Gov. Gavin Newsom says he will sign climate-focused transparency laws for big business

    California Gov. Gavin Newsom says he will sign climate-focused transparency laws for big business

    NEW YORK — California Gov. Gavin Newsom said Sunday that he plans to sign into law a pair of climate-focused bills intended to force major corporations to be more transparent about greenhouse gas emissions and the financial risks stemming from global warming.

    Newsom’s announcement came during an out-of-state trip to New York’s Climate Week, where world leaders in business, politics and the arts are gathered to seek solutions for climate change.

    California lawmakers last week passed legislation requiring large businesses from oil and gas companies to retail giants to disclose their direct greenhouse gas emissions as well as those that come from activities like employee business travel.

    Such disclosures are a “simple but intensely powerful driver of decarbonization,” said the bill’s author, state Sen. Scott Wiener, a Democrat.

    “This legislation will support those companies doing their part to tackle the climate crisis and create accountability for those that aren’t,” Wiener said in a statement Sunday applauding Newsom’s decision.

    Under the law, thousands of public and private businesses that operate in California and make more than $1 billion annually will have to make the emissions disclosures. The goal is to increase transparency and nudge companies to evaluate how they can cut their carbon emissions.

    The second bill approved last week by the state Assembly requires companies making more than $500 million annually to disclose what financial risks climate change poses to their businesses and how they plan to address those risks.

    State Sen. Henry Stern, a Democrat from Los Angeles who introduced the legislation, said the information would be useful for individuals and lawmakers when making public and private investment decisions. The bill was changed recently to require companies to begin reporting the information in 2026, instead of 2024, and mandate that they report every other year, instead of annually.

    Newsom, a Democrat, said he wants California to lead the nation in addressing the climate crisis. “We need to exercise not just our formal authority, but we need to share our moral authority more abundantly,” he said.

    Newsom’s office announced Saturday that California has filed a lawsuit against some of the world’s largest oil and gas companies, claiming they deceived the public about the risks of fossil fuels now faulted for climate change-related storms and wildfires that caused billions of dollars in damage.

    The civil lawsuit filed in state Superior Court in San Francisco also seeks the creation of a fund — financed by the companies — to pay for recovery efforts following devastating storms and fires.

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  • California lawsuit says oil giants deceived public on climate, seeks funds for storm damage

    California lawsuit says oil giants deceived public on climate, seeks funds for storm damage

    LOS ANGELES — The state of California filed a lawsuit against some of the world’s largest oil and gas companies, claiming they deceived the public about the risks of fossil fuels now faulted for climate change-related storms and wildfires that caused billions of dollars in damage, officials said Saturday.

    The civil lawsuit filed in state Superior Court in San Francisco also seeks creation of a fund — financed by the companies — to pay for recovery efforts following devastating storms and fires. Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom said in a statement the companies named in the lawsuit — Exxon Mobil, Shell, Chevron, ConocoPhillips and BP — should be held accountable.

    “For more than 50 years, Big Oil has been lying to us — covering up the fact that they’ve long known how dangerous the fossil fuels they produce are for our planet,” Newsom said. “California taxpayers shouldn’t have to foot the bill for billions of dollars in damages — wildfires wiping out entire communities, toxic smoke clogging our air, deadly heat waves, record-breaking droughts parching our wells.”

    The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group also named in the lawsuit, said climate policy should be debated in Congress, not the courtroom.

    “This ongoing, coordinated campaign to wage meritless, politicized lawsuits against a foundational American industry and its workers is nothing more than a distraction from important national conversations and an enormous waste of California taxpayer resources,” institute senior vice president Ryan Meyers said in a statement.

    That was echoed in a statement from Shell, which said the courtroom is not the proper venue to address global warming.

    “Addressing climate change requires a collaborative, society-wide approach,” the energy giant said. “We agree that action is needed now on climate change, and we fully support the need for society to transition to a lower-carbon future.”

    California’s legal action joins similar lawsuits filed by states and municipalities in recent years.

    “California’s suit adds to the growing momentum to hold Big Oil accountable for its decades of deception, and secure access to justice for people and communities suffering from fossil-fueled extreme weather and slow onset disasters such as sea level rise,” Kathy Mulvey of the Union of Concerned Scientists said in an email.

    The 135-page complaint argues that the companies have known since at least the 1960s that the burning of fossil fuels would warm the planet and change the climate, but they downplayed the looming threat in public statements and marketing.

    It said the companies’ scientists knew as far back as the 1950s that the climate impacts would be catastrophic, and that there was only a narrow window of time in which communities and governments could respond.

    Instead, the lawsuit said, the companies mounted a disinformation campaign beginning at least as early as the 1970s to discredit a growing scientific consensus on climate change, and disputed climate change-related risks.

    State Attorney General Rob Bonta said in a statement that the companies “have fed us lies and mistruths to further their record-breaking profits at the expense of our environment. Enough is enough.”

    Allegations in the lawsuit include faulting the companies for creating or contributing to climate change in California, false advertising, damage to natural resources and unlawful business practices for deceiving the public about climate change.

    Richard Wiles, president of the Center for Climate Integrity, said in a statement that “California’s decision to take Big Oil companies to court is a watershed moment in the rapidly expanding legal fight to hold major polluters accountable for decades of climate lies. … Californians have been living in a climate emergency caused by the fossil fuel industry, and now the state is taking decisive action to make those polluters pay.”

    Heavily Democratic California is the birthplace of the modern environmental movement, and the Newsom administration is pushing to expand solar power and other clean energy as the state aims to cut emissions by 40% below 1990 levels by 2030. While the state is considered a leader in addressing climate change, Newsom has not always lined up with the environmental advocacy wing.

    There have been tensions over updates the state’s aging water delivery system, clashes over new permits for oil and gas wells and what to do with water from rivers swollen by powerful storms, with activists alarmed that diverting too much water would be a death sentence for salmon and other threatened fish species.

    Newsom was once a leading voice to shutter the Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant — the state’s last — but changed course last year and helped pave the way for a potentially longer operating run beyond what had been a planned closing by 2025, leading to criticism from leading environmental groups that has sought its closure.

    ___

    Associated Press writer Adam Beam in Sacramento contributed.

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  • California lawmakers to vote on plan allowing the state to buy power

    California lawmakers to vote on plan allowing the state to buy power

    SACRAMENTO, Calif. — California lawmakers were scheduled to vote Thursday on whether to give Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom’s administration permission to buy massive amounts of electricity, a move aimed at avoiding blackouts by shoring up the state’s power supply while jumpstarting the West Coast’s fledgling offshore wind industry.

    Five companies paid roughly $750 million last year to lease areas off the California coast to build wind turbines. Collectively, those projects could generate enough electricity to power 3.5 million homes, helping the state avoid blackouts during extreme heat waves that have routinely strained the electrical grid of the nation’s most populous state.

    But so far, the state’s largest utility companies have not been willing to commit to buying power from projects like those because it would cost too much money and take too long to build. In addition to building the wind turbines, the projects will require improvements at the state’s ports and new power lines to transport the energy from the ocean to the land.

    “This is a major, generational series of investments that need to happen, and there’s a real risk it won’t if we can’t provide more certainty,” said Alex Jackson, director of American Clean Power Association, which represents the companies trying to build the wind projects.

    The bill before lawmakers Thursday would let the state buy the power. The money would come from a surcharge imposed on Californians’ electricity bills. State regulators would decide how much this charge would be. Consumers would not pay it until the wind projects are up and running, likely several years from now.

    California already has among the highest electricity rates in the country.

    “This legislation … means that every single ratepayer in California, no matter where you live, is going to pay for this,” said Republican state Sen. Brian Dahle, who opposes the bill.

    Supporters argue the bill will save people money in the long run on their electric bills. California has a law requiring all of its electricity to come from renewable or non-carbon sources by 2045. To do that, supporters say the state will have to invest in offshore wind projects, which typically generate the most power at night when solar energy is not as abundant.

    Supporters say it would be more efficient for these offshore wind projects to sell all of their electricity to the state instead of a selling pieces of it to multiple utility companies, helping to control costs and keep rates lower.

    “The biggest threat to us meeting our climate goals between now and 2045 are rate impacts to rate payers,” Scott Wetch, a lobbyist representing various construction trade associations, told lawmakers in a recent public hearing. “(This bill) is the only way to bring down those costs on these large, complex, long lead time projects in order to minimize the rate impacts.”

    The bill gives the Department of Water Resources the authority to purchase the power — but not forever. Their authority would expire in 2035. Lawmakers would have to vote again to extend it.

    California has moved quickly to end its reliance on fossil fuels in recent years. State regulators have OK’d rules banning the sale of most new gas-powered cars by 2035. But the state has struggled maintaining its clean energy values amid that transition.

    An extreme heat wave in 2020 overwhelmed the state’s power grid, leaving hundreds of thousands of homes in the dark for a few hours over two days. Similar heat waves in the following summers prompted regulators to ask consumers to use less energy when demand was at its peak in the early evenings.

    Newsom and the state Legislature have since spent $3.3 billion to build a “strategic reliability reserve” that included purchasing diesel-powered generators and extending the life of some gas-fired power plants that were scheduled to retire.

    “There are things happening right now in energy policy that give me some pause about the efficacy of our strategy,” Democratic state Sen. Henry Stern lamented during a public hearing on the bill last week.

    State law requires utility companies to have enough energy to meet demand. If they don’t, the bill would require those companies to pay a penalty. The Newsom administration has said this will prevent utilities from relying too much on the strategic reliability reserve, which uses gas-powered generators that pollute the air.

    Alice Reynolds, president of the California Public Utilities Commission, said the state has completed more than 100 projects that have added 9,000 megawatts of new clean energy in the past three years. The bill lawmakers approved on Wednesday also includes provisions to fast-track new electric transmission projects.

    “We need to act quickly and we need to really have all hands on deck,” Reynolds said.

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  • Stock market’s 2023 run may hit roadblock after August’s energy-led boost to U.S. CPI

    Stock market’s 2023 run may hit roadblock after August’s energy-led boost to U.S. CPI

    August was a hot month and it wasn’t just about the weather. Financial markets are now bracing for what’s likely to be a rebound in headline U.S. inflation next week, fueled by higher energy prices.

    Barclays
    BARC,
    +0.18%
    ,
    BofA Securities
    BAC,
    +0.62%
    ,
    and TD Securities expect August’s consumer price index to reflect a 0.6% monthly rise, up from the 0.2% monthly readings seen in July and in June. In addition, they put the annual CPI inflation rate at 3.6% or 3.7% for last month, which compares with the 3.2% and 3% figures reported respectively for the prior two months.

    While Federal Reserve policy makers and analysts are loath to read too much into one report, August’s CPI has the potential to disrupt expectations that getting back to the central bank’s 2% target will be easy. Inflation has instead been nudging back up since June, with the likely rebound in August being regarded as primarily driven by the energy sector. What now remains to be seen is how much longer energy prices will remain elevated and whether they’ll begin to feed into narrower measures of inflation that matter most to the Fed.

    Read: Stock-market investors just got reminded that the inflation fight isn’t over

    “We’re going to see a spike in gas prices and other commodity prices driven by supply cuts, which means headline CPI goes back up,” said Alex Pelle, a U.S. economist for Mizuho Securities in New York. Via phone on Friday, Pelle said that prospects for a hotter August CPI report have already been factored in by financial markets, with all three major U.S. stock indexes heading for weekly losses.

    How investors react to next Wednesday’s data will likely come down to whether the rebound in headline figures is seen as “a one-off” or something that gets repeated, and “what that means for the bottoming off of inflation,” Pelle said. “The equity market is going to have some trouble in the fourth quarter after a pretty impressive first half. Earnings expectations are still pretty high, but the macro-driven backdrop is challenging.”

    Rising energy prices in August have already spilled into the month of September, with gasoline reaching the highest seasonal level in more than a decade this week. Voluntary production cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia are a major contributing factor curtailing the supply of crude oil into year-end, and Goldman Sachs has warned that oil could climb above $100 a barrel.

    In financial markets, there’s one group of traders which is telegraphing that the final mile of the road toward 2% inflation won’t be smooth.

    Traders of derivatives-like instruments known as fixings anticipate that the next five CPI reports, including August’s, will produce annual headline inflation rates above 3%. Though policy makers care more about core readings that strip out volatile food and energy prices, they’re aware of how much headline figures can impact the public’s expectations.


    Source: Bloomberg. The maturity column reflects the month and year of upcoming CPI reports. The forwards column reflects the year-ago period from which the year-over-year rate is based.

    At BofA Securities, U.S. economist Stephen Juneau said August’s CPI won’t necessarily change his firm’s view that inflation is likely to move lower next year and fall back to the Fed’s target without the need for a recession. BofA Securities expects just one more Fed rate hike in November and will maintain that view if August’s CPI report comes in as he expects, Juneau said via phone.

    After stripping out volatile food and energy items, BofA Securities, along with Barclays and TD Securities, expects August’s core CPI readings to come in at 0.2% month-over-month — matching June and July’s levels — and to fall to 4.3% on an annual basis.

    Based on core measures, August’s report wouldn’t “change the narrative all that much: Everything points to a moderation in price growth,” Pelle said. “There’s a reason why food and energy are typically excluded,” and “we don’t want to put too much stock into one month.”

    As of Friday afternoon, all three major U.S. stock indexes were headed higher, with the S&P 500 attempting to snap a three-day losing streak. Dow industrials
    DJIA,
    the S&P 500
    SPX
    and Nasdaq Composite
    COMP
    were respectively on track for weekly losses of 0.7%, 1.2%, and 1.7%. They’re still up for the year by more than 4%, 16% and 31%.

    Meanwhile, Treasury yields turned were little changed on Friday as fed funds futures traders priced in a 93% chance of no action by the Fed at its next policy meeting in less than two weeks, and a more-than-50% likelihood of the same for November and December — which would leave the Fed’s main policy rate target between 5.25%-5.5%.

    “There is a risk that investors are too complacent about the inflation report,” said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management in Elm Grove, Wis. “We might not get to 2% inflation as quickly as many hope.”

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  • Why crude-oil rally can’t be ignored by investors — or the Fed

    Why crude-oil rally can’t be ignored by investors — or the Fed

    Central bankers like to focus on core inflation readings, which strip out food and energy prices, but that doesn’t mean that they, or investors, will be able to ignore a renewed surge in crude-oil prices.

    In a Thursday note, DataTrek Research observed that the correlation between energy prices and the core reading of the consumer-price index has returned to levels seen in the 1970s and 1980s. It stands at 0.62 since 2020, compared with an average of 0.68 in those prior decades, and well above its long-run average of 0.31. A reading of 1.0 would mean the measures were moving in perfect lockstep. (See table below.)


    DataTrek Research

    Core measures of inflation typically strip out volatile items like food and energy. While that often leads to eye-rolling by commentators who note that food and energy make up a big chunk of what consumers spend money on, the logic behind the move holds that such items are less responsive to monetary policy.

    Policy makers put more emphasis on the core reading for a better read on what they can influence. The core personal-consumption expenditures, or PCE, index, for example, is often described as the Federal Reserve’s favored inflation indicator.

    But that doesn’t mean rising energy or food prices can be ignored. Energy, after all, is an input, and can have an influence on overall prices.

    “Recent data says energy prices hold more sway on core inflation than any time since the 1970s/1980s, so rising oil prices are a legitimate concern for both the Fed and capital markets. Food inflation fits the same bill,” said DataTrek co-founder Nicholas Colas in the note.

    Oil prices have been on a tear this summer, with the rally accelerating after Saudi Arabia announced earlier this week it would extend a production cut of 1 million barrels a day through the end of the year, with Russia also pledging to extend a supply cut.

    West Texas Intermediate crude
    CL00,
    +0.48%
    ,
    the U.S. benchmark, extended a winning streak to nine days on Wednesday, while Brent crude
    BRN00,
    +0.60%
    ,
    the global benchmark, rose for a seventh straight day. Both grades ended at 2023 highs Wednesday before pulling back modestly in the Thursday session.

    The surge in crude threatens to further drive up fuel prices, including gasoline and diesel.

    And rising oil prices this week got a chunk of the blame from investors and analysts for a pickup in Treasury yields as market participants began to pencil in a longer stretch of higher interest rates — or weighed the possibility the Fed may need to deliver more monetary tightening. That’s also contributed to a rise in the U.S. dollar, with the ICE U.S. Dollar Index
    DXY,
    a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, hitting a six-month high.

    U.S. stocks have weakened in the face of rising yields, with technology and growth shares, which are particularly rate-sensitive, leading the way lower. The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP
    was on track for a 2% decline so far this holiday-shortened week, while the S&P 500
    SPX
    has pulled back 1.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA
    has lost 1%.

    “With oil prices rising again, we got to wondering about the spillover effects of this move on inflation. Will pricier crude derail recent disinflationary trends?” Colas wrote.

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  • U.S. oil prices score longest streak of daily gains in over 4 years

    U.S. oil prices score longest streak of daily gains in over 4 years

    Oil futures settled higher on Wednesday, with U.S. prices posting a ninth consecutive climb — the longest streak of daily gains since early 2019.

    Prices for U.S. and global benchmark crude futures marked fresh settlement highs for the year so far, following the recent extension of supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia.

    Price action

    Market drivers

    “Saudi…

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  • Dominion Sells Natural Gas Utilities to Enbridge for $9.4 Billion

    Dominion Sells Natural Gas Utilities to Enbridge for $9.4 Billion

    Dominion Sells Natural Gas Utilities to Enbridge for $9.4 Billion

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  • California panel to vote on increasing storage at site of worst US methane leak despite risks

    California panel to vote on increasing storage at site of worst US methane leak despite risks

    LOS ANGELES — California officials are expected to vote Thursday on a proposal to increase storage capacity at the site of the nation’s largest known methane leak that sickened thousands of families and forced them from their Los Angeles homes in 2015.

    The proposal for the Aliso Canyon Natural Gas Storage Facility has sparked protests from residents, environmentalists and politicians, but utilities and state regulators say its necessary to guard against fuel price spikes this winter.

    “This is an unnecessary danger to people,” said Issam Najm, an environmental engineer and resident of Los Angeles’ Porter Ranch suburb, where thousands of residents were sickened by the leak.

    Each day the facility remains open, it is emitting cancer-causing chemicals including benzene, said Najm, citing reports by the South Coast Air Quality Management District, the regulatory agency monitoring air pollution in the area.

    He and other opponents, including Democratic lawmakers, say the state should be expediting its long-term plan endorsed by California Gov. Gavin Newsom to shut down the facility, not increase its capacity. The facility is slated for closure by 2027.

    The 2015 gas leak, which took four months to control, released more than 120,000 metric tons of methane and other gases into the atmosphere over the communities in the San Fernando Valley.

    Thousands of residents were forced to move out of their homes to escape a sulfurous stench and maladies including headaches, nausea and nose bleeds. SoCalGas and its parent company, Sempra Energy, agreed to pay up to $1.8 billion in settlements to more than 35,000 victims of the leak in 2021.

    “Given the history of disaster and risks from continued operations at Aliso Canyon, I continue to support closing the facility on an expedited timeline,” U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein wrote in a letter to the commission’s president earlier this month. “This proposed decision to increase capacity, however, appears to go in the opposition direction.”

    The California Public Utilities Commission, which regulates and oversees gas, electric and other utilities, will vote on the expansion proposal Thursday. Commission staff say the expansion is necessary to avoid gas shortages over the winter and curtail rising prices, and that it won’t affect the facility’s progress toward closure.

    An administrative law judge for the commission proposed allowing SoCalGas to increase its storage to 68.6 billion cubic feet of gas underground at the vast Aliso Canyon field on the northern edge of Los Angeles County. The facility has a maximum capacity of 86 billion cubic feet.

    The field, which stores gas in old wells, was at 50% capacity for years following the leak. But the commission started increasing its storage in 2020, saying it needed to ensure supplies of natural gas for the upcoming winter months “in a safe and reliable manner.” The volume is currently at 41.16 billion cubic feet.

    Southern California Gas and San Diego Gas & Electric Co., in arguing for boosting storage, said it was better to buy gas in the summer when it is generally cheaper and store it for winter use.

    The commission’s Administrative Law Judge Zhen Zhang noted that California and the West saw sharp spikes in the price of wholesale natural gas last winter that affected customers’ energy bills.

    “On balance, as a matter of policy, it is prudent to take the conservative approach by protecting natural gas and electricity customers from reliability and economic impacts during the upcoming 2023-2024 winter,” the judge wrote.

    In a letter signed by dozens of environmental organizations opposing the increase, activists said no shortages were reported in the two years after the blowout when Aliso Canyon was offline.

    Democratic state lawmakers who represent the region said in a joint statement that the risks are too great.

    “SoCalGas says more use of this dangerous gas field will keep prices down, but there are still too many unanswered questions to proceed,” said a statement from U.S. Rep. Brad Sherman, state Sen. Henry Stern and state Assemblywoman Pilar Schiavo.

    Earlier this month, the company reached another settlement with the California Public Utility Commission, agreeing to pay more than $70 million to the Aliso Canyon Recovery Account to address the impacts from the leak on air quality and public health.

    ___

    Watson reported from San Diego.

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  • Cause of Kenya’s longest power outage in memory remains unclear as grid suppliers exchange blame

    Cause of Kenya’s longest power outage in memory remains unclear as grid suppliers exchange blame

    NAIROBI, Kenya — The longest nationwide power outage in Kenyans’ memory remained a mystery Sunday as the government-owned power company blamed a failure at Africa’s largest wind farm, which laid the responsibility on the power grid instead.

    Some of Kenya’s more than 50 million people, including in the capital, Nairobi, saw power return almost 24 hours after the massive outage occurred late Friday. It was an embarrassment to the East African economic hub that has sought to promote itself as a tech center on the continent but remains challenged by alleged mismanagement and poor infrastructure.

    Hundreds of people were stranded in darkness for hours at Kenya’s main international airport in Nairobi, leading to a rare public apology from a government minister in a country where tourism is a key part of the economy. “This situation WILL NOT happen again,” transport minister, Kipchumba Murkomen, said.

    The head of the Kenya Airports Authority was fired after a generator serving the main international terminal had failed to start.

    Shortly before midnight Saturday, Kenya Power offered the first detailed explanation of the outage, blaming it on a loss of power generation from the Lake Turkana Wind Power plant, Africa’s largest wind farm, causing an imbalance that “tripped all other main generation units and stations, leading to a total outage on the grid.”

    But Lake Turkana Wind Power in a statement denied it was to blame. Instead, it said it had been forced to go offline by an “overvoltage situation in the national grid system which, to avoid extreme damage, causes the wind power plant to automatically switch off.” The plant had been producing nearly 15% of the national output at the time.

    Such an interruption should be immediately compensated by other power generators in the system, the company said, but the continuing outages in the national grid were preventing the wind plant from being brought back online.

    Kenya Power said it couldn’t even turn to importing power from neighboring Uganda, a relatively fast option that for some reason had been unavailable.

    “We are jointly working on having the Uganda interconnector restored so as to enhance our grid recovery efforts,” it said.

    President William Ruto, whose own office told The Associated Press on Saturday it was still running on generator power hours after Kenya Power announced it had restored electricity to “critical areas” of the capital, did not comment publicly on the crisis. Instead, he again criticized opposition calls for anti-government protests over the rising cost of living, calling them a threat to investors.

    “Shame of a nation,” was the main headline of one of Kenya’s leading newspapers, the Sunday Nation. It said the outage was costing businesses millions of dollars and leaving some major hospitals to run on generators.

    Kenya gets almost all its electricity from renewable sources, a fact that the government will promote as it hosts the first Africa Climate Summit early next month.

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  • Cause of Kenya’s longest power outage in memory remains unclear as grid suppliers exchange blame

    Cause of Kenya’s longest power outage in memory remains unclear as grid suppliers exchange blame

    NAIROBI, Kenya — The longest nationwide power outage in Kenyans’ memory remained a mystery Sunday as the government-owned power company blamed a failure at Africa’s largest wind farm, which laid the responsibility on the power grid instead.

    Some of Kenya’s more than 50 million people, including in the capital, Nairobi, saw power return almost 24 hours after the massive outage occurred late Friday. It was an embarrassment to the East African economic hub that has sought to promote itself as a tech center on the continent but remains challenged by alleged mismanagement and poor infrastructure.

    Hundreds of people were stranded in darkness for hours at Kenya’s main international airport in Nairobi, leading to a rare public apology from a government minister in a country where tourism is a key part of the economy. “This situation WILL NOT happen again,” transport minister, Kipchumba Murkomen, said.

    The head of the Kenya Airports Authority was fired after a generator serving the main international terminal had failed to start.

    Shortly before midnight Saturday, Kenya Power offered the first detailed explanation of the outage, blaming it on a loss of power generation from the Lake Turkana Wind Power plant, Africa’s largest wind farm, causing an imbalance that “tripped all other main generation units and stations, leading to a total outage on the grid.”

    But Lake Turkana Wind Power in a statement denied it was to blame. Instead, it said it had been forced to go offline by an “overvoltage situation in the national grid system which, to avoid extreme damage, causes the wind power plant to automatically switch off.” The plant had been producing nearly 15% of the national output at the time.

    Such an interruption should be immediately compensated by other power generators in the system, the company said, but the continuing outages in the national grid were preventing the wind plant from being brought back online.

    Kenya Power said it couldn’t even turn to importing power from neighboring Uganda, a relatively fast option that for some reason had been unavailable.

    “We are jointly working on having the Uganda interconnector restored so as to enhance our grid recovery efforts,” it said.

    President William Ruto, whose own office told The Associated Press on Saturday it was still running on generator power hours after Kenya Power announced it had restored electricity to “critical areas” of the capital, did not comment publicly on the crisis. Instead, he again criticized opposition calls for anti-government protests over the rising cost of living, calling them a threat to investors.

    “Shame of a nation,” was the main headline of one of Kenya’s leading newspapers, the Sunday Nation. It said the outage was costing businesses millions of dollars and leaving some major hospitals to run on generators.

    Kenya gets almost all its electricity from renewable sources, a fact that the government will promote as it hosts the first Africa Climate Summit early next month.

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  • Bare electrical wire and leaning poles on Maui were possible cause of deadly fires

    Bare electrical wire and leaning poles on Maui were possible cause of deadly fires

    In the first moments of the Maui fires, when high winds brought down power poles, slapping electrified wires to the dry grass below, there was a reason the flames erupted all at once in long, neat rows — those wires were bare, uninsulated metal that could spark on contact.

    Videos and images analyzed by The Associated Press confirmed those wires were among miles of line that Hawaiian Electric Co. left naked to the weather and often-thick foliage, despite a recent push by utilities in other wildfire- and hurricane-prone areas to cover up their lines or bury them.

    Compounding the problem is that many of the utility’s 60,000, mostly wooden power poles, which its own documents described as built to “an obsolete 1960s standard,” were leaning and near the end of their projected lifespan. They were nowhere close to meeting a 2002 national standard that key components of Hawaii’s electrical grid be able to withstand 105 mile per hour winds. A 2019 filing said it had fallen behind in replacing the old wooden poles because of other priorities and warned of a “serious public hazard” if they “failed.”

    Google street view images of poles taken before the fire show the bare wire.

    It’s “very unlikely” a fully-insulated cable would have sparked and caused a fire in dry vegetation, said Michael Ahern, who retired this month as director of power systems at Worcester Polytechnic Institute in Massachusetts.

    Experts who watched videos showing downed power lines agreed wire that was insulated would not have arced and sparked, igniting a line of flame.

    Hawaiian Electric said in a statement that it has “long recognized the unique threats” from climate change and has spent millions of dollars in response, but did not say whether specific power lines that collapsed in the early moments of the fire were bare.

    “We’ve been executing on a resilience strategy to meet these challenges, and since 2018, we have spent approximately $950 million to strengthen and harden our grid and approximately $110 million on vegetation management efforts,” the company said. “This work included replacing more than 12,500 poles and structures since 2018 and trimming and removing trees along approximately 2,500 line miles every year on average.”

    But a former member of the Hawaii Public Utilities Commission confirmed many of Maui’s wooden power poles were in poor condition. Jennifer Potter lives in Lahaina and until the end of last year was on the commission, which regulates Hawaiian Electric.

    “Even tourists that drive around the island are like, ‘What is that?’ They’re leaning quite significantly because the winds over time literally just pushed them over,” she said. “That obviously is not going to withstand 60, 70 mile per hour winds. So the infrastructure was just not strong enough for this kind of windstorm … The infrastructure itself is just compromised.”

    John Morgan, a personal injury and trial attorney in Florida who lives part-time on Maui noticed the same thing. “I could look at the power poles. They were skinny, bending, bowing. The power went out all the time.”

    Morgan’s firm is suing Hawaiian Electric on behalf of one person and talking to many more about their rights. The fire came 500 yards within his house.

    Sixty percent of the utility poles on West Maui were still down on Aug. 14, according to Hawaiian Electric CEO Shelee Kimura at a media conference — 450 of the 750 poles.

    Hawaiian Electric is facing a spate of new lawsuits that seek to hold it responsible for the deadliest U.S. wildfire in more than a century. The number of confirmed dead stands at 115, and the county expects that to rise.

    Lawyers plan to inspect some electrical equipment from a neighborhood where the fire is thought to have originated as soon as next week, per a court order, but they will be doing that in a warehouse. The utility took down the burnt poles and removed fallen wires from the site.

    This was a “preventable tragedy of epic proportions,” said attorney Paul Starita, lead counsel on three of the lawsuits.

    “It all comes back to money,” said Starita, of the California firm Singleton Schreiber. “They might say, oh, well, it takes a long time to get the permitting process done or whatever. OK, start sooner. I mean, people’s lives are on the line. You’re responsible. Spend the money, do your job.”

    Hawaiian Electric also faces criticism for not shutting off the power amid high wind warnings and keeping it on even as dozens of poles began to topple. Maui County sued Hawaiian Electric on Thursday over this issue.

    Michael Jacobs, a senior energy analyst at the Union of Concerned Scientists, said that with power lines causing so many fires in the United States: “We definitely have a new pattern, we just don’t have a new safety regime to go with it.”

    Insulating an electrical wire prevents arcing and sparking, and dissipates heat.

    Other utilities have been addressing the issue of bare wire. Pacific Gas & Electric was found responsible for the 2018 Camp Fire in northern California that killed 85 people. The disaster was caused by downed power lines.

    Its program to eliminate uninsulated wire in fire zones has covered more than 1,200 miles of line so far.

    PG&E also announced in 2021 it would bury 10,000 miles of electrical line. It buried 180 miles in 2022 and is on pace to do 350 miles this year.

    Another major California utility, Southern California Edison, expects to have replaced more than 7,200 miles, or about 75% of its overhead distribution lines, with covered wire in high fire risk areas by the end of 2025. It, too, is burying line in areas at severe risk.

    Hawaiian Electric said in a filing last year that it had looked to the wildfire plans of utilities in California.

    Some don’t fault Hawaiian Electric for its comparative lack of action because it has not faced the threat of wildfires for as long. And the utility is not at all alone in continuing to use bare metal conductors high up on power poles.

    The same is true for public safety power shutoffs. It’s been only a few years that utilities have been willing to preemptively shut off people’s power to prevent fire and the disruptive practice is not yet widespread.

    But Mark Toney called wildfires caused by utilities absolutely preventable. He is executive director of the ratepayer group The Utility Reform Network in California. It is pushing PG&E to insulate its lines in high-risk areas.

    “We have to stop utility-caused wildfires. We have to stop them and the quickest, cheapest way to do it is to insulate the overhead lines,” he said.

    As for the poles, in a 2019 Hawaiian Electric regulatory document, the company said its 60,000 poles, nearly all wood, were vulnerable because they were already old and Hawaii is in a “severe wood decay hazard zone.” The company said it had fallen behind in replacing wood poles because of other priorities and warned of a “serious public hazard” if the poles “failed.”

    The document said many of the company’s poles were built to withstand 56 mph (90 kph), when a Category 1 Hurricane has winds of at least 74 mph.

    In 2002, the National Electric Safety Code was updated to require utility poles like those on Maui to withstand 105 mile per hour winds.

    The U.S. electrical grid was designed and built for last century’s climate, said Joshua Rhodes, an energy systems research scientist at the University of Texas at Austin. Utilities would be smart to better prepare for protracted droughts and high winds, he added.

    “Everyone considers Hawaii to be a tropical paradise, but it got dry and it burned,” he said Thursday. “It may look expensive if you’re doing work to stave off starting wildfires or the impact of wildfires, but it’s much cheaper than actually starting one and burning down so many people’s homes and causing so many people’s deaths.”

    Tony Takitani, an attorney born and raised on Maui, is working with Morgan on the litigation.

    Takitani said in his 68 years there, it’s getting drier and drier. He said what happened on the island is so horrific it’s hard to talk about. But he does think it will force improvements to the grid.

    “When the poles go down, it’s kindling,” he said. “The combination of what’s going on with our Earth and people not being properly prepared for it, I think caused this. From living here, from the videos I’ve seen of poles going down and fires igniting, it seems kind of obvious.”

    ___

    Associated Press climate and environmental coverage receives support from several private foundations. See more about AP’s climate initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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  • U.S. stocks end higher after Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks, S&P 500 snaps 3-week losing streak

    U.S. stocks end higher after Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks, S&P 500 snaps 3-week losing streak

    U.S. stocks ended higher Friday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned the central bank may need to raise interest rates even higher to temper a strong U.S. economy and quell inflation, while assuring investors that monetary policy would proceed cautiously.

    How stock indexes traded

    For the week, the Dow fell 0.4%, the S&P 500 gained 0.8% and the Nasdaq climbed 2.3%, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow booked back-to-back weekly losses, while the S&P 500 and technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite each…

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  • How the Hawaii Fires Ensnared the State’s Third-Largest Bank

    How the Hawaii Fires Ensnared the State’s Third-Largest Bank

    How the Hawaii Fires Ensnared the State’s Third-Largest Bank

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  • Federal judge orders utility to turn over customer information amid reports of improper water use

    Federal judge orders utility to turn over customer information amid reports of improper water use

    A federal judge has ordered Mississippi’s largest electric utility to turn over information on customers in and around the capital city who might be using water without paying for it

    ByMICHAEL GOLDBERG Associated Press/Report for America

    FILE – This aerial view shows the city of Jackson’s O.B. Curtis Water Plant in Ridgeland, Miss., Sept. 1, 2022. In a Monday, Aug. 21, 2023, court filing, a federal judge ordered Mississippi’s largest electric utility to turn over information on customers in and around the capital city who might be using water without paying for it. (AP Photo/Steve Helber, File)

    The Associated Press

    JACKSON, Miss. — A federal judge has ordered Mississippi’s largest electric utility to turn over information on customers in and around the capital city who might be using water without paying for it.

    In a Monday court filing, U.S. District Court Judge Henry Wingate granted a motion by Ted Henifin — the federally appointed interim manager of Jackson’s water and sewer systems — that compels Entergy Mississippi to turn over names, addresses and contact information for customers in over 30 zip codes in the area.

    The order comes months after Henifin said Jackson is collecting only a little more than half of the money it bills for water use, far below the rate at which most American cities obtain such fees.

    JXN Water, the corporation Henifin formed to manage water infrastructure projects, will cross reference the Entergy customer records with city records to see what homes might be using water without a utility account.

    “This is essential to updating and correcting the information contained in the City of Jackson’s records of active and inactive water and sewer accounts,” Wingate wrote.

    Henifin was appointed in November to help improve Jackson’s water system after repeated breakdowns caused many in the city of about 150,000 residents to go days and weeks at a time without safe running water. The city’s water troubles accelerated last August and September after a backup at the city’s main treatment plant forced people to wait in lines for water to drink, bathe, cook and flush toilets.

    In June, Henifin said there were over 7,000 properties in Jackson using water without paying for it. As a result, the city loses millions of dollars in annual revenue, hampering its ability to pay down what was then about $280 million in outstanding debt on the water system.

    “We need to get our financial house in order for the water system,” Henifin told reporters in June. “In order to do that, we have to get the debt off the books.”

    Wingate’s order compels Entergy to provide JXN Water with customer information in no more than 30 days.

    ___

    Michael Goldberg is a corps member for the Associated Press/Report for America Statehouse News Initiative. Report for America is a nonprofit national service program that places journalists in local newsrooms to report on undercovered issues. Follow him at @mikergoldberg.

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  • Republican debate: Why you may hear big numbers like 19% inflation, and how to make sense of it all

    Republican debate: Why you may hear big numbers like 19% inflation, and how to make sense of it all

    Economists don’t much like presidential-campaign seasons. For them, it’s a bit like seeing their manicured gardens getting trampled by schoolchildren having a water-balloon fight.

    Robert Brusca, the president of consulting firm FAO Economics, predicted that the political discussion of the U.S. economy in the 2024 campaign would be “a farce.”

    Talk of inflation is likely to dominate the Aug. 23 Republican debate, for example.

    Republicans, eager to lay the blame for higher prices at the feet of President Joe Biden, are going to make the strongest case they can for that. For them, it is a happy coincidence that inflation started to pick up right when Biden was sworn into office.

    Larry Kudlow, a former top economic adviser to President Donald Trump, put it succinctly. “I have numbers. The consumer-price index is up 16% since February 2021. Groceries are up 19%. Meat and poultry up 19%. New cars up 20%. Used cars up 34%,” Kudlow said in an interview on the Fox Business Network.

    From last month: Mike Pence says inflation is 16%, but CPI is 3%. This is his logic.

    Unlike Kudlow, the Federal Reserve doesn’t usually measure inflation over 29 months. Instead, the central bank favors using inflation data that looks at the past 12 months.

    By that year-over-year measure, CPI is up 3.2%. Groceries are up 3.6%. Meat and poultry prices are up 0.5%. New-vehicle prices are up 3.5%, but prices of used cars and trucks are actually down 5.6%.

    Economists, meanwhile, tend to like even shorter measures, such as the three-month annualized rate. They think the 12-month rate says more about the rate a year ago than it does about what is happening today.

    “Looking at year-over-year [data], the only new piece of information is the current month. You are looking at 11 months that you already know,” said Omair Sharif, president and founder of research company Inflation Insights.

    Using the shorter metric, headline CPI for the three months ending in July is up 1.9%, while food at home rose 1.1% and meat and poultry is down 4.5%, he said.

    Trends have been favorable in recent months, but that might not last. “It’s been a good summer,” Sharif said. “But unfortunately, the winter data won’t be as pleasant.”

    What caused the spike in inflation?

    Economists tend not to blame one political party or the other for spikes in inflation.

    In the 1970s, for example, the culprit was increases in oil prices by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

    This time, there was no one single factor. While the debate is not yet over, economists tend to focus on the pandemic, the war in Ukraine and the move to end reliance on fossil fuels in order to combat climate change.

    Brian Bethune, an economics professor at Boston College, said prices started to rise when the healthcare industry had to adjust to a new, unforeseen risk. There were steep costs to dealing with the deadly coronavirus and developing vaccines.

    People working in frontline industries were able to command higher wages. And demand outstripped supply for many things, as shelves were emptied by consumers and supply chains were strained.

    Bethune also stressed recent moves toward renewable energy. The best way to explain inflation to your grandmother, he said, is to look at a chart of electricity prices.


    Uncredited

    The steady increase stems from efforts to move closer to a carbon-free economy, Bethune said. And those prices get passed along “right through the whole cost pressure of the economy,” including the price of refrigerated foods.

    Inflation boomed and is now coming off its peak, said Brusca of FAO Economics. Prices are still rising, but not at the same rapid clip. And they won’t roll back to prepandemic levels.

    “Consumers are caught in a trap,” he said. “If prices are going to come down, you have got to have deflation.”

    Deflation comes with its own unique set of woes. It can make the cost of borrowed money, like mortgages, much more expensive. And it can lead to serious economic weakness.

    “All of this is why the Fed targets price stability,” Brusca said.

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  • Hawaiian Electric’s stock slides 26% as S&P downgrades credit to junk on risk from Maui wildfire lawsuits

    Hawaiian Electric’s stock slides 26% as S&P downgrades credit to junk on risk from Maui wildfire lawsuits

    Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc.’s stock added to losses Tuesday, tumbling 26% after S&P Global Ratings downgraded its rating on the utility company to junk.

    S&P Global Ratings cut its rating on the company HE to BB- and placed it on CreditWatch negative, meaning the rating agency could downgrade it again in the near term.

    The devastating…

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  • Czech power company CEZ reports 1st half of year net profit of $1 billion, 34% down year-on-year

    Czech power company CEZ reports 1st half of year net profit of $1 billion, 34% down year-on-year

    The Czech power utility CEZ says its net profit in the first half of the year reached 22.3 billion Czech crowns, or $1 billion

    FILE – Reflection of a person is seen at the entrance of CEZ headquarters in Sofia, on Feb. 27, 2013. The Czech power utility CEZ said on Thursday, Aug. 10, 2023 its net profit in the first half of 2023 reached 22.3 billion Czech crowns ($1 billion), down from 33.6 billion in the same period a year ago. (AP Photo/Valentina Petrova, File)

    The Associated Press

    PRAGUE — The Czech power utility CEZ said on Thursday its net profit in the first half of 2023 reached 22.3 billion Czech crowns ($1 billion), down from 33.6 billion in the same period a year ago.

    The country’s main electricity producer said it attributed the 34% decline to a windfall tax on profits introduced as prices for energy soared.

    The Czech state, which has an almost 70% stake in the company, will receive up to 120 billion Czech crowns from CEZ this year in dividends, income taxes and levies on production sales, including a windfall tax, the company said.

    CEZ chief executive said the results reflect “the gradual stabilization on energy markets.”

    Last year, the company’s profit soared on an enormous rise in prices caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, higher profit from commodity trading on foreign markets and high operational reliability in its power plants.

    That resulted in record dividends of 145 Czech crowns per share.

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