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Tag: u.s. congress

  • California Strikes Back in the Redistricting War

    The skew in Texas mirrored national trends: in the wake of Republicans’ 2010 gains, Democrats could conceivably have won the national popular vote by five percentage points or more and not won a majority of House seats. But that advantage eroded, such that, by last year, “the party that won the most votes for the House was quite likely to win the most seats,” as Nate Cohn, the data maven at the Times, recently explained to my colleague Isaac Chotiner. There are a variety of reasons for this reversal. Several states created California-style independent processes that took map-drawing out of politicians’ hands, and some state courts overturned partisan maps. In others, Democrats aggressively countered Republican gerrymanders with their own.

    Changing voting patterns also played a role, as did (at least at the margins) what political scientists call “dummymandering,” a term—named for the Massachusetts governor Elbridge Dummy (just kidding)—that describes when gerrymanderers inadvertently spread their party’s votes too thin, or fail to correctly predict voter behavior. Especially since Trump first won, in 2016, “our politics have been very volatile,” Michael Li, an attorney focussed on redistricting and voting rights at the Brennan Center, told me. When politicians gerrymander, “you’re placing a big bet that you know what the politics of the future look like, and if you’re wrong, it can really backfire.” By way of example, Li pointed me, again, to Texas, where state legislative maps drawn to maximize G.O.P. gains after 2010 proved less advantageous by 2018, when suburbs of Dallas, for instance, swung to the left, and demographic shifts made heavily white districts more diverse.

    Last year, politics shifted again: Trump performed surprisingly well with Latino voters in Texas, according to exit polls, winning fifty-five per cent to Kamala Harris’s forty-four. Since then, his approval among Latinos nationally has receded, and, after Texas passed its new maps this year, some Democrats expressed optimism that Republicans in the state might prove to be dummies—that the projection of five new seats was based on a risky bet that Latino voters would stick with the Party at Trump-2024 levels. Mitchell, who drew California’s retaliatory maps, told me that his Texas counterparts may have made existing G.O.P. seats less safe. (Mitchell claims that his maps in California will offer Democrats pickup opportunities and shore up vulnerable incumbents.) According to the Texas Tribune, Republicans in Texas were reluctant to redraw the maps before Trump demanded that they do so.

    The independent data journalist G. Elliott Morris, however, told me that the Texas redistricting does not look like a dummymander, and other observers agree. (A lawsuit challenging the new maps alleges that they were drawn to distribute Latino voters who have lower rates of turnout in a manner that amounts to disenfranchisement.) Morris told me that, nationally, the worst-case net outcome of the current redistricting war for Democrats would lead to “potentially a pretty big drop” in representation. But predicting the precise number of seats they might lose is tricky, given that redistricting efforts remain in flux in several states—in addition to the purely partisan tit-for-tat, Utah and Ohio have been in the throes of mid-decade redistricting for mandated legal reasons—and, dummymanders or not, voter behavior can indeed buck expectations, especially in this era. (At least one Republican operative has expressed concern that moderate voters could punish the Party for initiating the mid-decade redistricting, which smacks of foul play.) Cohn told Chotiner that Democrats may have to win the over-all House vote by two or three points to gain the most seats in 2026—not a fair requirement, but hardly an insurmountable one given Trump’s unpopularity. If they fail, they won’t be able to blame redistricting alone.

    Well, they might be able to. Recently, the Supreme Court heard a case that could gut Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, which currently prohibits racial discrimination in mapmaking and has been, as the law professor Atiba Ellis told NPR, “the most important check” on partisan gerrymanders in many G.O.P.-led states in the South. The weakening of Section 2 could swing as many as nineteen House seats in Republicans’ favor; even a lesser effect, per Cohn, would put Democrats severely on the back foot.

    Jon Allsop

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  • Nancy Pelosi expected to announce she won’t run for reelection in 2026

    Sources close to Nancy Pelosi expect the 85-year-old Democratic party stalwart to retire from politics next year.

    Pelosi will make a speech addressing her future after Californians vote on whether to redraw the state’s electoral map to create more Democrat-held seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, according to NBC News.

    RELATED: Election 2025: Everything Bay Area voters need to know before Nov. 4 election

    The state’s ballot measure Proposition 50 seeks to offset mid-decade redistricting efforts in red states including Texas intended to maintain a Republican majority in Congress.

    Pelosi has represented the majority of San Francisco since 1987. Multiple Democratic insiders reportedly said they don’t expect her to seek reelection in 2026.

“She’s going to go out with Prop 50 overwhelmingly passing, and what a crowning achievement for her to do that,” one of those sources told NBC News.

Pelosi hasn’t addressed primary challenges from younger Democrats bidding for her seat in the midterm election, though she appears to have the resources to go on the offensive. Her team hasn’t addressed speculation about her plans for 2026 and beyond. She filed a statement of candidacy with the Federal Elections Commission in November 2024.

The former Speaker of the House has long been among the most powerful figures in Democratic politics. Pressure from Pelosi is believed to have led to former President Joe Biden abandoning his 2024 reelection bid.

Months earlier, Biden awarded her the Presidential Medal of Freedom.

She’s also been an effective antagonist against President Trump, who won that election to serve a second term in office.

Trump has also had tough words for his Democratic rival whom he called “crazy” during a 2023 speech. In the same speech, Trump made fun of her husband, Paul Pelosi, who’d recently been attacked and seriously wounded by a hammer-wielding man who broke into the couple’s San Francisco home.

Brian Niemietz

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  • Letters: Vote no on the unfair Proposition 50

    Submit your letter to the editor via this form. Read more Letters to the Editor.

    Say no to unfairness;
    vote down Prop. 50

    In 2010, Californians voted to create a nonpartisan Citizens Redistricting Commission to stop decades of gerrymandering. That reform was meant to restore fairness and ensure that all Californians — regardless of political affiliation — had a meaningful voice in representation.

    Letters To The Editor

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  • Houstonians Are Feeling Effects as Government Shutdown Hits Two-Week Mark – Houston Press

    Patrice Williams has relied on Obamacare health insurance subsidies since 2021, and she’s getting nervous that her payments could more than double if the U.S. Congress doesn’t reach a funding agreement by the end of the year. 

    Potentially rising healthcare costs, upcoming holiday travel plans, and stalled environmental cleanup projects are on the minds of Houstonians who say they don’t just want the federal government shutdown to end; they want assurance that the services they rely on will remain in place. 

    The shutdown was announced October 1 when the U.S. Congress failed to reach a funding agreement that would keep governmental agencies like the Veterans Administration, Environmental Protection Agency, military bases, and national parks operating at full capacity. 

    The impasse occurred because most Congressional Democrats want to extend enhanced premium tax credits under the Affordable Care Act. When the credits were approved during the COVID-19 pandemic, they were intended to be temporary, and some Republicans are pushing back that they can’t continue to fund billions in affordable healthcare while the federal government is in debt to the tune of trillions. 

    A “continuing resolution” that would have kept the government open for seven weeks passed the U.S. House late last month, but Senate Republicans need 60 votes to pass a spending bill through the upper chamber. Only 48 Senate votes were cast in favor of the continuing resolution prior to the September 30 deadline. 

    A likely scenario to end the shutdown would be that some Democrats switch their votes, and if that happens, there may be a negotiation scenario in which the Republicans agree to reconsider tax credits at the end of the year, Rice University economist John Diamond has said. 

    As the shutdown hit the two-week mark, Houstonians grew increasingly worried. 

    Kevin Strickland, right, talks to Houston Progressive Caucus founder Karthik Soora at a Houston Progressive Caucus event on Sunday. Credit: April Towery

    Williams said she’s on a fixed income and doesn’t “have a lot of wiggle room” when it comes to budgeting. Kevin Strickland, who spoke to a reporter at a Houston Progressive Caucus gathering on Sunday, expressed a similar sentiment.

    “I’m self-employed, so I’m screwed,” he said. “I have [Affordable Care Act] insurance. My premium will triple. I’m not eligible for Medicare for several more years.”

    Dr. Audrey Nath, a pediatric neurologist at the University of Texas Medical Branch, said she’s worried about the shutdown’s impact on affordable healthcare, particularly because it comes on the heels of $800 billion in cuts to Medicaid via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act that passed in July. 

    “Close to $1 trillion was cut from Medicaid in order to perpetuate corporate tax cuts,” Nath said. “What I and many other physicians, healthcare workers, and Medicaid recipients talked about as this bill was getting passed was that this takes a very real human toll. Two out of five women who have babies are on Medicaid. We have elderly people in Medicaid-funded nursing homes. Where are they going to go?” 

    Dr. Audrey Nath said she’s concerned about Houstonians losing affordable healthcare. Credit: April Towery

    Homeless shelters don’t have medical equipment, added Nath, who is running for a nonpartisan seat on the Houston ISD school board in November. 

    “We just need a functioning healthcare system,” she said. “I spoke to a friend of mine who is a specialist at a rural hospital in Texas. He said they’ve got maybe 14 days of liquid cash on hand to stay afloat if they were to stop getting payments. When you have massive cuts like that, people are going to lose coverage. Rural hospitals will close. If you are a wealthy person with private insurance, if the hospital is gone and you have a heart attack in a little town, it doesn’t matter who you are. We are all affected by this.” 

    “I think it was strategic and tactical to paint Medicaid as this niche thing for poor people or able-bodied men who don’t feel like getting a job,” she added. “In reality, the proportion of Medicaid recipients who aren’t working or in school or caretaking is really quite low. Now, for the government to be shut down, and for there to be even whispers that it’s freeloaders who want healthcare, it’s disgusting. It’s so far from what the reality is.” 

    Corisha Rogers said President Donald Trump’s policies are not serving working-class Americans, “especially with the rising costs of healthcare.”

    “Millions of people will be affected in terms of healthcare,” she said. 

    The shutdown is also taking a toll on airports, where “essential” employees like air traffic controllers and Transportation Security Administration agents, are going to work without the promise of a check. 

    They should be able to receive back pay in a lump sum once the government reopens, but past shutdowns have prompted “sickouts,” where employees don’t show up, usually because they’re seeking part-time work so they can pay their bills. Trump has also indicated that furloughed employees will be laid off during the shutdown. 

    “And it will be Democrat-oriented, because we figure, you know, they started this thing,” the President said last week. “It’ll be a lot.”

    Flight Aware, software that tracks American airport activity, showed four canceled flights and 87 delays at George Bush Intercontinental Airport on Sunday. During the same time frame, there were no canceled flights and 70 delays at William P. Hobby Airport. A spokesperson for the Houston Airport System, which manages IAH, Hobby, and Houston Spaceport, referred questions about the shutdown to the Federal Aviation Administration. 

    Frequent business travelers have said they’ve spotted a third-party security team doing checks rather than TSA, and the delays are expected to get worse as the shutdown continues. 

    During the 35-day shutdown from December 2018 to January 2019, flights across the country were delayed and canceled. This time around, residents are growing concerned about holiday travel. The Sunday after Thanksgiving is typically the busiest day of the year for American airports. 

    Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said at a press conference last week that air traffic controllers have already started calling in sick. 

    “They’re not thinking about the airspace. They’re thinking about, am I going to get a paycheck?” he said. 

    Williams said she’s not purchasing plane tickets anytime soon but she has a daughter and grandchildren in Louisiana that she hopes will come to Houston for Christmas. 

    “Lord willing, this mess will be over long before Christmas,” she said. 

    Houstonians can voice their frustration with the shutdown and the Trump administration this weekend. More than 2,500 “No Kings” protests are scheduled across the country on Saturday, October 18, including one from noon to 2 p.m. at Discovery Green and one from 2 to 6 p.m. at Houston City Hall. The No Kings movement aims to “send a clear and unmistakable message: we are a nation of equals, and our country will not be ruled by fear or force,” according to organizers. 

    Officials with Air Alliance Houston said at an October 11 event that they’re worried about stalled Environmental Protection Agency projects, which already take a long time to start, much less complete. 

    “There is a lot of heartburn and heartache in our communities,” said Air Alliance Communications Director Brenda Franco. “We’re seeing the effects that this current administration is having on communities that have been neglected.”

    Air Alliance Houston sued the federal government in June, claiming that the Trump administration illegally terminated environmental justice grant programs despite a Congressional directive to fund them. 

    “Here in Houston — one of the most polluted cities in the country — our grant would have helped people who live day-to-day with air pollution to have a meaningful say in the environmental decisions that affect their lives,” said Air Alliance Houston Executive Director Jennifer Hadayia at the time the grant was rescinded. “Now, communities like ours will not receive the critical support needed to make change, support that we legally and contractually received.”

    Although the shutdown doesn’t have a direct effect on the pending lawsuit over grant funding, it does mean more delays for already-approved cleanup projects like the one at San Jacinto River Toxic Waste Pits in East Harris County.  The EPA reported that about 90 percent of its workforce will be furloughed during the shutdown.  

    Both political parties are blaming each other for the shutdown, with some Republicans suggesting that the Democrats are attempting to offer discounted healthcare to undocumented persons. 

    “They have made a decision that they would rather give taxpayer funded benefits to illegal aliens, than to keep the doors open for the American people,” said Republican Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, the day after the shutdown. 

    U.S.  Congresswoman Lizzie Fletcher, D-Houston, said on the Houston Matters radio show earlier this month that government employees could go back to work immediately if Republicans would compromise. 

    YouTube video

    “There are a couple of critical things that Republicans aren’t doing,” she said. “One, protecting the healthcare of Americans across the country whose bills, insurance premiums and expenses are about to go through the roof. We all know it’s coming, so it’s really important that we address that now. And, two, make sure that the Trump administration spends the money as we’ve directed, which has not happened all year. That’s really the stalemate.” 

    While Trump is referring to the stalemate as a “Democrat shutdown,” Fletcher pointed out that Republicans control the U.S. House, the U.S. Senate, and the White House.

    “They have the ability to bring a bill to the floor at any time to have averted this situation and to end it,” she said. “The Democrats have laid out priorities. The biggest thing we have said is that we’ve got to deal with the fact that the actions that this Congress and this White House have taken this year have caused a healthcare crisis.” 

    And for Patrice Williams and other Houstonians, the clock is ticking.

    “I thank God that I’m healthy right now, but that could change instantly,” she said. “I’m praying to God they do the right thing.”

    April Towery

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  • Government shutdown begins as nation faces new period of uncertainty

    Plunged into a government shutdown, the U.S. is confronting a fresh cycle of uncertainty after President Donald Trump and Congress failed to strike an agreement to keep government programs and services running by Wednesday’s deadline.What we know: The Senate voted down two short-term spending bills on Tuesday: one Democratic proposal and one Republican proposal that passed in the House.The Senate has adjourned until Wednesday morning. The House is not in session this week.Senate Democrats are demanding that health care subsidies and Medicaid cuts be addressed before passing a funding bill.Thousands of federal workers are facing furloughs or layoffs.This is the first government shutdown in nearly seven years. Roughly 750,000 federal workers are expected to be furloughed, some potentially fired by the Trump administration. Many offices will be shuttered, perhaps permanently, as Trump vows to “do things that are irreversible, that are bad” as retribution. His deportation agenda is expected to run full speed ahead, while education, environmental and other services sputter. The economic fallout is expected to ripple nationwide.”We don’t want it to shut down,” Trump said at the White House before the midnight deadline.But the president, who met privately with congressional leadership this week, appeared unable to negotiate any deal between Democrats and Republicans to prevent that outcome.This is the third time Trump has presided over a federal funding lapse, the first since his return to the White House this year, in a remarkable record that underscores the polarizing divide over budget priorities and a political climate that rewards hardline positions rather than more traditional compromises.Plenty of blame being thrown aroundThe Democrats picked this fight, which was unusual for the party that prefers to keep government running, but their voters are eager to challenge the president’s second-term agenda. Democrats are demanding funding for health care subsidies that are expiring for millions of people under the Affordable Care Act, spiking the costs of insurance premiums nationwide.Republicans have refused to negotiate for now and have encouraged Trump to steer clear of any talks. After the White House meeting, the president posted a cartoonish fake video mocking the Democratic leadership that was widely viewed as unserious and racist.What neither side has devised is an easy offramp to prevent what could become a protracted closure. The ramifications are certain to spread beyond the political arena, upending the lives of Americans who rely on the government for benefit payments, work contracts and the various services being thrown into turmoil.”What the government spends money on is a demonstration of our country’s priorities,” said Rachel Snyderman, a former White House budget official who is the managing director of economic policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center, a think tank in Washington.Shutdowns, she said, “only inflict economic cost, fear and confusion across the country.” Economic fallout expected to ripple nationwideAn economic jolt could be felt in a matter of days. The government is expected Friday to produce its monthly jobs report, which may or may not be delivered.While the financial markets have generally “shrugged” during past shutdowns, according to a Goldman Sachs analysis, this one could be different partly because there are no signs of broader negotiations.”There are also few good analogies to this week’s potential shutdown,” the analysis said.Across the government, preparations have been underway. Trump’s Office of Management and Budget, headed by Russ Vought, directed agencies to execute plans for not just furloughs, as are typical during a federal funding lapse, but mass firings of federal workers. It’s part of the Trump administration’s mission, including its Department of Government Efficiency, to shrink the federal government.What’s staying open and shutting downThe Medicare and Medicaid health care programs are expected to continue, though staffing shortages could mean delays for some services. The Pentagon would still function. And most employees will stay on the job at the Department of Homeland Security.But Trump has warned that the administration could focus on programs that are important to Democrats, “cutting vast numbers of people out, cutting things that they like, cutting programs that they like.”As agencies sort out which workers are essential, or not, Smithsonian museums are expected to stay open at least until Monday. A group of former national park superintendents urged the Trump administration to close the parks to visitors, arguing that poorly staffed parks in a shutdown are a danger to the public and put park resources at risk.Video below: House Speaker rejects Democrats’ calls for health care negotiations as government shuts downNo easy exit as health care costs soarAhead of Wednesday’s start of the fiscal year, House Republicans had approved a temporary funding bill, over opposition from Democrats, to keep government running into mid-November while broader negotiations continue.But that bill has failed repeatedly in the Senate, including late Tuesday. It takes a 60-vote threshold for approval, which requires cooperation between the two parties. A Democratic bill also failed. With a 53-47 GOP majority, Democrats are leveraging their votes to demand negotiation.Senate Majority Leader John Thune has said Republicans are happy to discuss the health care issue with Democrats — but not as part of talks to keep the government open. More votes are expected Wednesday.The standoff is a political test for Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer, who has drawn scorn from a restive base of left-flank voters pushing the party to hold firm in its demands for health care funding.”Americans are hurting with higher costs,” Schumer said after the failed vote Tuesday.House Speaker Mike Johnson sent lawmakers home nearly two weeks ago after having passed the GOP bill, blaming Democrats for the shutdown.”They want to fight Trump,” Johnson said Tuesday on CNBC. “A lot of good people are going to be hurt because of this.”Trump, during his meeting with the congressional leaders, expressed surprise at the scope of the rising costs of health care, but Democrats left with no path toward talks.During Trump’s first term, the nation endured its longest-ever shutdown, 35 days, over his demands for funds Congress refused to provide to build his promised U.S.-Mexico border wall.In 2013, the government shut down for 16 days during the Obama presidency over GOP demands to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare. Other closures date back decades. ___Associated Press writers Matt Brown, Joey Cappelletti, Will Weissert, Fatima Hussein and other AP reporters nationwide contributed to this report.

    Plunged into a government shutdown, the U.S. is confronting a fresh cycle of uncertainty after President Donald Trump and Congress failed to strike an agreement to keep government programs and services running by Wednesday’s deadline.


    What we know:

    • The Senate voted down two short-term spending bills on Tuesday: one Democratic proposal and one Republican proposal that passed in the House.
    • The Senate has adjourned until Wednesday morning. The House is not in session this week.
    • Senate Democrats are demanding that health care subsidies and Medicaid cuts be addressed before passing a funding bill.
    • Thousands of federal workers are facing furloughs or layoffs.
    • This is the first government shutdown in nearly seven years.

    Roughly 750,000 federal workers are expected to be furloughed, some potentially fired by the Trump administration. Many offices will be shuttered, perhaps permanently, as Trump vows to “do things that are irreversible, that are bad” as retribution. His deportation agenda is expected to run full speed ahead, while education, environmental and other services sputter. The economic fallout is expected to ripple nationwide.

    “We don’t want it to shut down,” Trump said at the White House before the midnight deadline.

    But the president, who met privately with congressional leadership this week, appeared unable to negotiate any deal between Democrats and Republicans to prevent that outcome.

    This is the third time Trump has presided over a federal funding lapse, the first since his return to the White House this year, in a remarkable record that underscores the polarizing divide over budget priorities and a political climate that rewards hardline positions rather than more traditional compromises.

    Plenty of blame being thrown around

    The Democrats picked this fight, which was unusual for the party that prefers to keep government running, but their voters are eager to challenge the president’s second-term agenda. Democrats are demanding funding for health care subsidies that are expiring for millions of people under the Affordable Care Act, spiking the costs of insurance premiums nationwide.

    Republicans have refused to negotiate for now and have encouraged Trump to steer clear of any talks. After the White House meeting, the president posted a cartoonish fake video mocking the Democratic leadership that was widely viewed as unserious and racist.

    What neither side has devised is an easy offramp to prevent what could become a protracted closure. The ramifications are certain to spread beyond the political arena, upending the lives of Americans who rely on the government for benefit payments, work contracts and the various services being thrown into turmoil.

    “What the government spends money on is a demonstration of our country’s priorities,” said Rachel Snyderman, a former White House budget official who is the managing director of economic policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center, a think tank in Washington.

    Shutdowns, she said, “only inflict economic cost, fear and confusion across the country.”

    Economic fallout expected to ripple nationwide

    An economic jolt could be felt in a matter of days. The government is expected Friday to produce its monthly jobs report, which may or may not be delivered.

    While the financial markets have generally “shrugged” during past shutdowns, according to a Goldman Sachs analysis, this one could be different partly because there are no signs of broader negotiations.

    “There are also few good analogies to this week’s potential shutdown,” the analysis said.

    Across the government, preparations have been underway. Trump’s Office of Management and Budget, headed by Russ Vought, directed agencies to execute plans for not just furloughs, as are typical during a federal funding lapse, but mass firings of federal workers. It’s part of the Trump administration’s mission, including its Department of Government Efficiency, to shrink the federal government.

    What’s staying open and shutting down

    The Medicare and Medicaid health care programs are expected to continue, though staffing shortages could mean delays for some services. The Pentagon would still function. And most employees will stay on the job at the Department of Homeland Security.

    But Trump has warned that the administration could focus on programs that are important to Democrats, “cutting vast numbers of people out, cutting things that they like, cutting programs that they like.”

    As agencies sort out which workers are essential, or not, Smithsonian museums are expected to stay open at least until Monday. A group of former national park superintendents urged the Trump administration to close the parks to visitors, arguing that poorly staffed parks in a shutdown are a danger to the public and put park resources at risk.

    Video below: House Speaker rejects Democrats’ calls for health care negotiations as government shuts down

    No easy exit as health care costs soar

    Ahead of Wednesday’s start of the fiscal year, House Republicans had approved a temporary funding bill, over opposition from Democrats, to keep government running into mid-November while broader negotiations continue.

    But that bill has failed repeatedly in the Senate, including late Tuesday. It takes a 60-vote threshold for approval, which requires cooperation between the two parties. A Democratic bill also failed. With a 53-47 GOP majority, Democrats are leveraging their votes to demand negotiation.

    Senate Majority Leader John Thune has said Republicans are happy to discuss the health care issue with Democrats — but not as part of talks to keep the government open. More votes are expected Wednesday.

    The standoff is a political test for Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer, who has drawn scorn from a restive base of left-flank voters pushing the party to hold firm in its demands for health care funding.

    “Americans are hurting with higher costs,” Schumer said after the failed vote Tuesday.

    House Speaker Mike Johnson sent lawmakers home nearly two weeks ago after having passed the GOP bill, blaming Democrats for the shutdown.

    “They want to fight Trump,” Johnson said Tuesday on CNBC. “A lot of good people are going to be hurt because of this.”

    Trump, during his meeting with the congressional leaders, expressed surprise at the scope of the rising costs of health care, but Democrats left with no path toward talks.

    During Trump’s first term, the nation endured its longest-ever shutdown, 35 days, over his demands for funds Congress refused to provide to build his promised U.S.-Mexico border wall.

    In 2013, the government shut down for 16 days during the Obama presidency over GOP demands to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare. Other closures date back decades.

    ___

    Associated Press writers Matt Brown, Joey Cappelletti, Will Weissert, Fatima Hussein and other AP reporters nationwide contributed to this report.

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  • Senate adjourns after failed funding votes as government heads for shutdown at midnight

    Senate Democrats have voted down a Republican bill to keep funding the government, putting it on a near-certain path to a shutdown after midnight Wednesday for the first time in nearly seven years.What we know: The Senate voted down two short-term spending bills — one Democratic proposal and one Republican proposal.The Senate has adjourned until tomorrow morning, all but guaranteeing the government will shut down.Senate Democrats are demanding that health care subsidies and Medicaid cuts be addressed before passing a funding bill.Thousands of federal workers face furloughs or layoffs if the government shuts down at midnight Wednesday.There are fewer than 2 hours before the government shuts down for the first time in nearly seven years. The Senate rejected the legislation as Democrats are making good on their threat to close the government if President Donald Trump and Republicans won’t accede to their health care demands. The 55-45 vote on a bill to extend federal funding for seven weeks fell short of the 60 needed to end a filibuster and pass the legislation.Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said Republicans are trying to “bully” Democrats by refusing to negotiate on an extension of expanded Affordable Care Act tax credits that expire at the end of the year.”We hope they sit down with us and talk,” Schumer said after the vote. “Otherwise, it’s the Republicans will be driving us straight towards a shutdown tonight at midnight. The American people will blame them for bringing the federal government to a halt.”The failure of Congress to keep the government open means that hundreds of thousands of federal workers could be furloughed or laid off. After the vote, the White House’s Office of Management and Budget issued a memo saying “affected agencies should now execute their plans for an orderly shutdown.”Threatening retribution to Democrats, Trump said Tuesday that a shutdown could include “cutting vast numbers of people out, cutting things that they like, cutting programs that they like.”Trump and his fellow Republicans said they won’t entertain any changes to the legislation, arguing that it’s a stripped-down, “clean” bill that should be noncontroversial. Senate Majority Leader John Thune said “we can reopen it tomorrow” if enough Democrats break party lines.The last shutdown was in Trump’s first term, from December 2018 to January 2019, when he demanded that Congress give him money for his U.S.-Mexico border wall. Trump retreated after 35 days — the longest shutdown ever — amid intensifying airport delays and missed paydays for federal workers. Democrats take a stand against Trump, with exceptionsWhile partisan stalemates over government spending are a frequent occurrence in Washington, the current impasse comes as Democrats see a rare opportunity to use their leverage to achieve policy goals and as their base voters are spoiling for a fight with Trump. Republicans who hold a 53-47 majority in the Senate needed at least eight votes from Democrats after Republican Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky opposed the bill.Democratic Sens. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania and Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada and Independent Sen. Angus King of Maine voted with Republicans to keep the government open — giving Republicans hope that there might be five more who will eventually come around and help end a shutdown.After the vote, King warned against “permanent damage” as Trump and his administration have threatened mass layoffs.”Instead of fighting Trump we’re actually empowering him, which is what finally drove my decision,” King said.Thune predicted Democratic support for the GOP bill will increase “when they realize that this is playing a losing hand.”Shutdown preparations beginThe stakes are huge for federal workers across the country as the White House told agencies last week that they should consider “a reduction in force” for many federal programs if the government shuts down. That means that workers who are not deemed essential could be fired instead of just furloughed.Either way, most would not get paid. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated in a letter to Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst on Tuesday that around 750,000 federal workers could be furloughed each day once a shutdown begins.Federal agencies were already preparing. On the home page of the Department of Housing and Urban Development, a large pop up ad reads, “The Radical Left are going to shut down the government and inflict massive pain on the American people.”Democrats’ health care asksDemocrats want to negotiate an extension of the health subsidies immediately as people are beginning to receive notices of premium increases for the next year. Millions of people who purchase health insurance through the Affordable Care Act could face higher costs as expanded subsidies first put in place during the COVID-19 pandemic expire.Democrats have also demanded that Republicans reverse the Medicaid cuts that were enacted as a part of Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” this summer and for the White House to promise it will not move to rescind spending passed by Congress.”We are not going to support a partisan Republican spending bill that continues to gut the health care of everyday Americans,” House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries said.Thune pressed Democrats to vote for the funding bill and take up the debate on tax credits later. Some Republicans are open to extending the tax credits, but many are strongly opposed to it.In rare, pointed back-and-forth with Schumer on the Senate floor Tuesday morning, Thune said Republicans “are happy to fix the ACA issue” and have offered to negotiate with Democrats — if they will vote to keep the government open until Nov. 21.A critical, and unusual, vote for DemocratsDemocrats are in an uncomfortable position for a party that has long denounced shutdowns as pointless and destructive, and it’s unclear how or when a shutdown will end. But party activists and lawmakers have argued that Democrats need to do something to stand up to Trump.”The level of appeasement that Trump demands never ends,” said Sen. Peter Welch, D-Vt. “We’ve seen that with universities, with law firms, with prosecutors. So is there a point where you just have to stand up to him? I think there is.”Some groups called for Schumer’s resignation in March after he and nine other Democrats voted to break a filibuster and allow a Republican-led funding bill to advance to a final vote.Schumer said then that he voted to keep the government open because a shutdown would have made things worse as Trump’s administration was slashing government jobs. He says things have now changed, including the passage this summer of the massive GOP tax cut bill that reduced Medicaid.Trump’s role in negotiationsA bipartisan meeting at the White House on Monday was Trump’s first with all four leaders in Congress since retaking the White House for his second term. Schumer said the group “had candid, frank discussions” about health care.But Trump did not appear to be ready for serious talks. Hours later, he posted a fake video of Schumer and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries taken from footage of their real press conference outside of the White House after the meeting. In the altered video, a voiceover that sounds like Schumer’s voice makes fun of Democrats and Jeffries stands beside him with a cartoon sombrero and mustache. Mexican music plays in the background.At a news conference on the Capitol steps Tuesday morning, Jeffries said it was a “racist and fake AI video.”Schumer said that less than a day before a shutdown, Trump was trolling on the internet “like a 10-year-old.””It’s only the president who can do this,” Schumer said. “We know he runs the show here.”___Associated Press writers Seung Min Kim, Kevin Freking, Matthew Brown, Darlene Superville and Joey Cappelletti in Washington contributed to this report.

    Senate Democrats have voted down a Republican bill to keep funding the government, putting it on a near-certain path to a shutdown after midnight Wednesday for the first time in nearly seven years.


    What we know:

    • The Senate voted down two short-term spending bills — one Democratic proposal and one Republican proposal.
    • The Senate has adjourned until tomorrow morning, all but guaranteeing the government will shut down.
    • Senate Democrats are demanding that health care subsidies and Medicaid cuts be addressed before passing a funding bill.
    • Thousands of federal workers face furloughs or layoffs if the government shuts down at midnight Wednesday.
    • There are fewer than 2 hours before the government shuts down for the first time in nearly seven years.

    The Senate rejected the legislation as Democrats are making good on their threat to close the government if President Donald Trump and Republicans won’t accede to their health care demands. The 55-45 vote on a bill to extend federal funding for seven weeks fell short of the 60 needed to end a filibuster and pass the legislation.

    Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said Republicans are trying to “bully” Democrats by refusing to negotiate on an extension of expanded Affordable Care Act tax credits that expire at the end of the year.

    “We hope they sit down with us and talk,” Schumer said after the vote. “Otherwise, it’s the Republicans will be driving us straight towards a shutdown tonight at midnight. The American people will blame them for bringing the federal government to a halt.”

    The failure of Congress to keep the government open means that hundreds of thousands of federal workers could be furloughed or laid off. After the vote, the White House’s Office of Management and Budget issued a memo saying “affected agencies should now execute their plans for an orderly shutdown.”

    Threatening retribution to Democrats, Trump said Tuesday that a shutdown could include “cutting vast numbers of people out, cutting things that they like, cutting programs that they like.”

    Trump and his fellow Republicans said they won’t entertain any changes to the legislation, arguing that it’s a stripped-down, “clean” bill that should be noncontroversial. Senate Majority Leader John Thune said “we can reopen it tomorrow” if enough Democrats break party lines.

    The last shutdown was in Trump’s first term, from December 2018 to January 2019, when he demanded that Congress give him money for his U.S.-Mexico border wall. Trump retreated after 35 days — the longest shutdown ever — amid intensifying airport delays and missed paydays for federal workers.

    Democrats take a stand against Trump, with exceptions

    While partisan stalemates over government spending are a frequent occurrence in Washington, the current impasse comes as Democrats see a rare opportunity to use their leverage to achieve policy goals and as their base voters are spoiling for a fight with Trump. Republicans who hold a 53-47 majority in the Senate needed at least eight votes from Democrats after Republican Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky opposed the bill.

    Democratic Sens. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania and Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada and Independent Sen. Angus King of Maine voted with Republicans to keep the government open — giving Republicans hope that there might be five more who will eventually come around and help end a shutdown.

    After the vote, King warned against “permanent damage” as Trump and his administration have threatened mass layoffs.

    “Instead of fighting Trump we’re actually empowering him, which is what finally drove my decision,” King said.

    Thune predicted Democratic support for the GOP bill will increase “when they realize that this is playing a losing hand.”

    Shutdown preparations begin

    The stakes are huge for federal workers across the country as the White House told agencies last week that they should consider “a reduction in force” for many federal programs if the government shuts down. That means that workers who are not deemed essential could be fired instead of just furloughed.

    Either way, most would not get paid. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated in a letter to Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst on Tuesday that around 750,000 federal workers could be furloughed each day once a shutdown begins.

    Federal agencies were already preparing. On the home page of the Department of Housing and Urban Development, a large pop up ad reads, “The Radical Left are going to shut down the government and inflict massive pain on the American people.”

    Democrats’ health care asks

    Democrats want to negotiate an extension of the health subsidies immediately as people are beginning to receive notices of premium increases for the next year. Millions of people who purchase health insurance through the Affordable Care Act could face higher costs as expanded subsidies first put in place during the COVID-19 pandemic expire.

    Democrats have also demanded that Republicans reverse the Medicaid cuts that were enacted as a part of Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” this summer and for the White House to promise it will not move to rescind spending passed by Congress.

    “We are not going to support a partisan Republican spending bill that continues to gut the health care of everyday Americans,” House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries said.

    Thune pressed Democrats to vote for the funding bill and take up the debate on tax credits later. Some Republicans are open to extending the tax credits, but many are strongly opposed to it.

    In rare, pointed back-and-forth with Schumer on the Senate floor Tuesday morning, Thune said Republicans “are happy to fix the ACA issue” and have offered to negotiate with Democrats — if they will vote to keep the government open until Nov. 21.

    A critical, and unusual, vote for Democrats

    Democrats are in an uncomfortable position for a party that has long denounced shutdowns as pointless and destructive, and it’s unclear how or when a shutdown will end. But party activists and lawmakers have argued that Democrats need to do something to stand up to Trump.

    “The level of appeasement that Trump demands never ends,” said Sen. Peter Welch, D-Vt. “We’ve seen that with universities, with law firms, with prosecutors. So is there a point where you just have to stand up to him? I think there is.”

    Some groups called for Schumer’s resignation in March after he and nine other Democrats voted to break a filibuster and allow a Republican-led funding bill to advance to a final vote.

    Schumer said then that he voted to keep the government open because a shutdown would have made things worse as Trump’s administration was slashing government jobs. He says things have now changed, including the passage this summer of the massive GOP tax cut bill that reduced Medicaid.

    Trump’s role in negotiations

    A bipartisan meeting at the White House on Monday was Trump’s first with all four leaders in Congress since retaking the White House for his second term. Schumer said the group “had candid, frank discussions” about health care.

    But Trump did not appear to be ready for serious talks. Hours later, he posted a fake video of Schumer and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries taken from footage of their real press conference outside of the White House after the meeting. In the altered video, a voiceover that sounds like Schumer’s voice makes fun of Democrats and Jeffries stands beside him with a cartoon sombrero and mustache. Mexican music plays in the background.

    At a news conference on the Capitol steps Tuesday morning, Jeffries said it was a “racist and fake AI video.”

    Schumer said that less than a day before a shutdown, Trump was trolling on the internet “like a 10-year-old.”

    “It’s only the president who can do this,” Schumer said. “We know he runs the show here.”

    ___

    Associated Press writers Seung Min Kim, Kevin Freking, Matthew Brown, Darlene Superville and Joey Cappelletti in Washington contributed to this report.

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  • Texas’s Gerrymander May Not Be the Worst Threat to Democrats in 2026

    I think the upshot is that if the next wave of states goes as expected, the Republicans will build a modest advantage in the House of Representatives. I would say that the Democrats will have to win the popular vote by at least two or three points in order to be clearly favored to win the House, as opposed to today where if they win the popular vote, you should presume they’re likely to prevail.

    When you look at the total number of seats that a party has targeted, it does not necessarily mean they will win all of those seats. And because the Republicans are mostly on offense, that tends to mean that the Democrats have it a little bit easier than some of the reporting makes it sound. Texas is a great example.

    What do you mean by that?

    Republicans have targeted five seats, but two of those seats they’ve made a little bit redder but not so red that they’re no longer competitive. That is not to say that the Republicans haven’t hurt Democratic chances in those districts, but the maps aren’t quite as challenging for Democrats as it appears when you hear that the Republicans have “added five seats.”

    You said that, if these changes go through, the Democrats will need to win the House popular vote by a few points. I imagine you don’t consider that result unlikely given that it’s an off-year election with a Republican President.

    Yeah, I think that if Democrats fail to win the popular vote by two or three points next November, that would be surprising and very disappointing for the Party. It would be very hard for them to turn around and blame redistricting for their woes. Strictly speaking, that would be true. They could have won. But I think they would have reasonably expected given that it’s an off-year election and given that Donald Trump’s approval ratings are as bad as they are, that they should be positioned to do even better than that. Democrats are up about four points right now on generic-ballot polls. So, if the election were held today, the Democrats would still be considered a favorite.

    Do generic-ballot polls generally move toward or away from the incumbent party in the second year of off-year cycles?

    They tend to move toward the party out of power. But Donald Trump is already pretty unpopular. So that would give me at least a little bit of pause of whether the Democrats have as much room to improve their standing as, say, Republicans did in the summer of 2009 when Barack Obama’s approval ratings were still in the mid-fifties and there was still a whole nine months worth of fighting over the Affordable Care Act to come. But, generally speaking, as the President takes more actions, the public slowly becomes more inclined to vote for a check against him.

    There is a Voting Rights Act case that’s going to come before the Supreme Court next month. My understanding is that this could have even more of an effect on the House than the redistricting wars that have taken place these last few months. Is that your understanding, too?

    That is absolutely correct. The Voting Rights Act case could potentially put in peril just as many seats or more across the South where the Republicans have full control of the redistricting process and the only reason that Democrats have seats at all is because those seats are protected under the Voting Rights Act. If you add another eight seats to the Republican tally in the South—and it’s worth noting that those will be safely Republican seats, not seats that are potentially competitive—then we’re talking about the Democrats needing to win the popular vote by five or six points. And that’s the point where there’s a real chance that the Democrats could claim a pretty decisive electoral victory and yet fail to retake the House, or only barely retake it.

    At issue in this case is whether the Voting Rights Act requires states to draw so-called minority-majority districts where there’s a racially polarized voting pattern and where a minority group exists in a compact place. So, in a place like Tennessee, for instance, the only Democratic seat is the one based in Memphis, where there’s a large Black population and where there’s a high amount of racially polarized voting. If the Tennessee state legislature had the freedom to do so, they could easily split Memphis up into a number of Republican-leaning districts, just like they have in Nashville. But they cannot do so, because of the Voting Rights Act.

    Why are they able to do it in Nashville?

    The Black population is smaller. If the Court does what Democrats fear, the amount of representation for Black voters in the Deep South would plunge and the Republicans would obtain a much more sizable structural advantage in the House of Representatives.

    Let’s turn to Trump. In the 2024 election, Trump showed political strength that he did not show in 2020, and certainly not in 2016. He had more support among nonwhite groups, and his control of the Party seemed more complete. But looking at his approval rating, which the Times currently has at forty-three per cent, it seems that we are back in the situation that we were in for much of his first term. Is that your sense, too?

    Isaac Chotiner

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  • Gavin Newsom, Kathy Hochul issue warnings after Texas redistricting vote

    Democratic Governors Gavin Newsom and Kathy Hochul of California and New York, respectively, issued brief warnings to Texas after the Republican-led state legislature voted Wednesday evening to advance a controversial congressional redistricting plan.

    Newsweek reached out to GOP Texas Governor Greg Abbott‘s office via email for comment.

    Why It Matters

    The vote occurred after weeks of partisan standoffs in Austin, including a Democratic walkout, as it heightened concerns that states could spark a mid‑decade redistricting “arms race” ahead of the 2026 midterms.

    Texas Republicans said the map could produce as many as five additional GOP‑leaning seats; Democrats said they would mount legal challenges and urged broader pushback from governors and allies.

    The Lone Star State’s GOP also felt partisan pressure and backing from President Donald Trump to press the plan further along and approve it.

    What To Know

    Posting to X after the vote passed, Newsom said, “It’s on, Texas.”

    Hochul also said in a post to X, “Game on.”

    The Texas House approved the proposed congressional map by an 88-52 party‑line vote, advancing the legislation to the state Senate, where passage is expected.

    What People Are Saying

    Trump on Truth Social Tuesday: “CONGRATULATIONS TEXAS! The July Border Statistics are in and, once again, they are the LOWEST RECORDED NUMBERS IN UNITED STATES HISTORY. The U.S. Border Patrol reported ZERO releases of Illegal Aliens into the Country. Texas’ Border is Safe and Secure, and the entire World knows it. All we need to do is keep it this way, which is exactly why Texas Republicans need to help us WIN the 2026 Midterm Elections, and pass their new Bill, AS IS, for the ONE BIG, BEAUTIFUL CONGRESSIONAL MAP!

    “With the Texas House now in Quorum, thanks to GREAT Speaker Dustin Burrows, I call on all of my Republican friends in the Legislature to work as fast as they can to get THIS MAP to Governor Greg Abbott’s desk, ASAP. Thank you for your attention to this matter!”

    This is a developing story that will be updated with additional information.

    Republican Governor Greg Abbott speaks at a news conference on July 8 in Hunt, Texas. (Photo by Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

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  • The Texas Democrats’ Remote Resistance

    When it came time for Mihaela Plesa, the vice-chair of the Texas House Democratic Caucus, to decide whether to flee the state with dozens of her fellow Democratic legislators, earlier this month, she felt torn. On the one hand, Texas’s governor, Greg Abbott, had proposed a radical plan to redraw the state’s congressional maps to favor Republicans. By leaving the state, Plesa and her colleagues could deprive the Texas House of the two-thirds quorum required to approve the maneuver. On the other hand, Plesa wondered how she would explain a step that could undercut the appeals to bipartisanship that had helped her win election in a politically divided district anchored in Plano, a Dallas suburb. She also was skeptical that escaping the state was a winning tactic. Any success in denying Republicans a quorum would almost certainly be temporary.

    As Plesa waffled, her husband put on the song “Should I Stay or Should I Go,” by the Clash. It was a joke, and they laughed, but one lyric resonated: “If I go, there will be trouble / And if I stay, it will be double.”

    Plesa went. That’s how she found herself at a union hall in a Chicago suburb the other day, standing in front of a large Lone Star flag, and attacking Abbott’s tactics as a “power grab.” The Governor’s move, undertaken at Donald Trump’s behest, was a clear ploy to help Republicans preserve their narrow majority in the House by increasing the likelihood of the Party capturing five additional congressional seats in the 2026 midterms. The redistricting was made even more controversial by the fact that it was happening long before the next census. “This is not just about Texas or Texans,” Plesa said in front of a battery of television cameras. “This is about the pillars of democracy as we know it.”

    More than fifty Democratic legislators decamped on August 3rd in what is known as a quorum break. (The tactic was first used in Texas in 1870 by thirteen state senators who objected to a Radical Republican plan to create a state militia and increase the governor’s powers in a time of lawlessness and anti-Black violence.) What started as an attempt to pressure Abbott into withdrawing the redistricting plan has since become a mission with all the subtlety of Paul Revere’s ride, as the Texas lawmakers shout a warning to all who will listen. “We’re no longer on the path to authoritarianism. We are there,” Representative Gina Hinojosa told me after flying from Chicago to Sacramento to meet with Gavin Newsom, the California governor, and other prominent Democrats, including Nancy Pelosi. “The only way that we have any hope of getting out of this is if every freedom-loving American does everything in their power to push back.”

    The plan was to stay out of Texas until August 19th, when Abbott’s thirty-day special session was scheduled to end. Plesa had packed a large suitcase, a smaller carry-on, and a work bag that included her cords and chargers; she’d brought contact numbers for constituent services and professional clothes for being in the public eye. She also had made sure to bring an intricately etched Romanian gold coin that once belonged to her grandmother, who had emigrated from Bucharest as Nicolae Ceauşescu consolidated one-party rule. To Plesa, recent moves by Abbott and Trump echoed stories that she had heard while growing up, and the coin telegraphed her grandmother’s spirit, helping to keep her grounded. “She was a little bit of a rabble-rouser and a rule-breaker,” Plesa said, “and she always told me, ‘Don’t make yourself smaller or softer for the world.’ ”

    The majority of the Texas Democrats had flown by charter plane to Illinois, and were bused to a conference center in St. Charles, about forty miles west of downtown Chicago, but Plesa had flown commercial to Albany, where she and several colleagues met with Kathy Hochul, New York’s Democratic governor. Plesa quickly discovered that the exodus was big news. She spoke at a press conference, seated beside Hochul, and appeared on several cable and network television shows. As a self-described “small-town politician out of Dallas,” she found it surreal. “I mean, people had heard of us,” she said. After she met the Reverend Al Sharpton and appeared on his radio show, she thought, “Oh, my God, this is insane.”

    Plesa then joined her colleagues in Illinois. She arrived late on August 5th and fell into her bed at the hotel where many of the Texas legislators were staying, only to wake early the next morning to a bomb threat that forced the evacuation of the building. “I always knew this was serious,” she said later, “but I never thought, Wow, my life is actually going to be in danger.” It was the first of two bomb threats, amid other forms of intimidation and harassment.

    Despite being away from home, the Texas Democrats say they have been working harder than ever. Plesa’s days have been dominated by media appearances and strategy sessions, twice-a-day remote meetings with her four staff members back in Texas, and conferences with two sets of attorneys, who offered advice when the Texas attorney general, Ken Paxton, filed a lawsuit to declare thirteen Democratic seats vacant, including Plesa’s. Gene Wu, a Houston representative who chairs the Democratic caucus, pointed to the circles under his eyes and told me that he is sleeping no more than four hours a night. “Every five seconds, there’s either a crisis or another interview,” he said. “Everyone’s very, very tired.” He noted that the legislators are paid just seventy-two hundred dollars a year—“pre-tax,” he added—and “if they’re not at home, they’re not making money.”

    From the beginning, as Abbott criticized the departed Democrats as “derelict,” Plesa realized that she needed to make calls to constituents, to let them know “that I haven’t abandoned them.” She described what she was doing and why, telling her precinct chairs that Abbott had wrongly made redistricting his top priority after a call from Trump. Her pitch: “Are we working for the people of Texas or are we working for Donald Trump? We had nine hearings on redistricting. We had two on flooding. That tells you the priorities.” She pointed to the limited national attention given to the 2023 redistricting effort in North Carolina, which, in a narrowly divided state, turned a U.S. House of Representatives delegation of seven Republicans and seven Democrats into a G.O.P. majority of ten seats to four, enough to give control of the House to the Republicans. (Opponents are contesting the G.O.P. move in federal court.) “It’s like that famous quote—you know, ‘First they came for this group, and I said nothing,’ ” she told me.

    At the press conference at the union hall, Wu opened by laying out the latest developments: John Cornyn, the Republican U.S. senator from Texas, had announced that the F.B.I. would help locate the Democrats, and Paxton, who will challenge Cornyn in next year’s primary, had declared that he would seek their arrest. Wu called the moves “laughable.” Plesa pointed to Vice-President J. D. Vance’s trip to Indiana, where he lobbied Republicans to redistrict, and she noted the counterattack in Democratic-run states, such as an effort by Newsom to create new maps likely to produce five Democratic seats in California. (A few days later, Newsom confirmed that he will ask voters in a November special election to abandon the current maps for the next three congressional elections. “We cannot unilaterally disarm,” he said.)

    To demonstrate that the fight had grown beyond Texas, the lawmakers then directed their media audience to two large screens that showed a live stream of a press conference in California, where Newsom, Pelosi, and the Democratic leadership of the state legislature had just met with a half-dozen Texas lawmakers. Representative Ann Johnson, the first Texan to speak, warned of “the danger that is coming” by appeasing Trump, and drew a comparison that Plesa had also been making to reporters. “You-all remember,” Johnson said, “that Trump called Georgia and said, ‘Boys, I need eleven thousand votes.’ To their credit, those Republicans said, ‘No, we’re not doing that. That crosses a line.’ When Trump called Governor Greg Abbott and Texas Republicans and said, ‘Boys, I need you to steal five seats,’ they said, ‘Does July work for you?’ ”

    Peter Slevin

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  • Republican House Candidates Significantly Outperforming Democrats on Social Media, Online Impact Group Study Finds

    Republican House Candidates Significantly Outperforming Democrats on Social Media, Online Impact Group Study Finds

    A pre-election analysis by marketing engineering firm Online Impact Group LLC reveals a striking gap in social media performance between Republican and Democratic candidates for the U.S. House of Representatives, potentially impacting the upcoming 2024 election. 

    The study, an October 2024 update from the firm’s September analysis, analyzed 15,756 social media posts across 1,313 Facebook and Instagram profiles of U.S. House candidates.

    Key Findings

    • Republican House candidates’ posts receive up to seven times more shares on social media platforms compared to their Democratic counterparts.
    • The superior performance of the Republican candidates’ posts indicates that their messaging resonates well and generates much higher enthusiasm than the Democratic candidates’ posts.
    • Social media algorithms give further advantage to Republican messaging due to higher levels of follower interaction on posts.

    Potential Impact on 2024 Election

    Impacts could be significant, based on information in studies by Pew Research Center, Brookings Institution and others. Democrats are likely to encounter these election-impacting situations:

    • Reduced voter turnout
    • Fewer chances to connect with younger voters
    • Fewer opportunities to counter misinformation

    Social media algorithms amplify the difference even further: Posts that gain more likes and shares are shown to more individuals within the social media platforms. As a result, the Democratic candidates’ lower number of likes and shares give their Republican counterparts’ messaging enhanced reach over Democrats’ messaging.

    Expert Analysis

    “Our findings indicate that Democratic candidates may be falling behind in creating engaging content that resonates with their followers and spreads their message,” says Steve Chafe, lead analyst at Online Impact Group LLC. “This gap in social media performance could have real-world consequences for voter engagement and turnout.”

    About Online Impact Group LLC

    Online Impact Group LLC is a marketing engineering firm specializing in revenue-engineered marketing. Using data science, AI, and human-factor analysis, the company optimizes business revenue flow from initial consumer awareness to customer acquisition and customer experience to customer loyalty and online reputation. For more information, visit https://onlineimpactgroup.com.

    The full study can be found here: https://onlineimpactgroup.com/news/October2024-update-election-social-media-deficits/.

    Source: Online Impact Group LLC

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  • Former ICE field director seizes on immigration in race against Rep. Jason Crow to represent Aurora

    Former ICE field director seizes on immigration in race against Rep. Jason Crow to represent Aurora

    John Fabbricatore enforced federal immigration laws in his position as an ICE field office director until two years ago, and now he hopes to help secure America’s borders as a congressman.

    The Republican candidate in Colorado’s 6th Congressional District is drawing on his career with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement as he runs against U.S. Rep. Jason Crow in the Nov. 5 election. Crow, a Democrat, just finished his third term in Congress as the representative of the district, which includes Aurora, Littleton, Englewood, Greenwood Village and Centennial.

    The odds weigh heavily in Crow’s favor. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report doesn’t consider the fight for the 6th District to be competitive. It’s ranked as solidly Democratic, in part because Crow, 45, won all three of his elections by double-digit percentages and redistricting in 2020 resulted in boundaries more favorable to Democrats.

    That’s a change from 2018 when the district was seen as a battleground and Crow won his first race by unseating then-U.S. Rep. Mike Coffman, now Aurora’s mayor.

    But this time, Fabbricatore, 52, says voters are looking for a candidate who will prioritize the economy and lower taxes — and he contends that he’s the person for the job.

    “They want someone that wants to fight,” Fabbricatore said.

    He and Crow share certain traits. They’re both veterans: Fabbricatore served in the U.S. Air Force, and Crow was an Army Ranger. They’re hunters, each having longstanding experience with firearms. Neither hails from Colorado originally, with Fabbricatore raised in New York City and Crow in Madison, Wisconsin.

    And the candidates, both fathers of two children, reside in Aurora.

    Beyond that, their stances on major issues diverge — including on immigration, which Fabbricatore refers to as his “subject matter expertise.”

    He argues jobs are going to immigrants compensated with lower wages, taking positions that could be filled by Americans for higher pay. Fabbricatore says he supports “legal, vetted” immigration and more stringent enforcement of existing laws.

    “If we actually just enforce those laws, we will be doing much better than we are doing today with immigration,” he said.

    In recent weeks, Fabbricatore has raised the alarm alongside former President Donald Trump and other conservatives about the presence of Venezuelan gangs in Aurora — while Crow has called out exaggerations and criticized Trump for distorting the problems in certain apartment complexes.

    Crow notes that he represents “one of the most diverse districts in the nation,” with nearly 20% of his constituents born outside of the U.S. He wants to use federal grants and other programs to help immigrants and defend them against racist rhetoric.

    He said he backed a bipartisan immigration deal that ran aground earlier this year after failing to earn enough Republican support. It would have boosted the number of border patrol agents, immigration judges and officers that oversee asylum cases, as well as established more legal pathways for migrants and others without documentation.

    Fabbricatore said in a Denver Post candidate questionnaire that he would not have supported the bipartisan bill, instead preferring another bill with a greater focus on border security.

    Gun violence is what motivated Crow to run for office. He backs a ban on assault weapons and supports universal background checks. He’s also working to pass a bill that would apply the same restrictions to out-of-state residents when they purchase long guns and shotguns as they face when buying handguns — requiring that the gun be shipped to a federally licensed seller in their home state, with a background check performed there.

    Gun violence is “just an unacceptable, avoidable, ongoing national tragedy,” Crow said. “We don’t have to live with mass shootings.”

    Fabbricatore says he believes in gun rights and is instead pushing for investments in mental health.

    The candidates differ on abortion. Crow favors abortion rights, saying he aligns with the majority of Coloradans who back legal access to abortion — and he would support a federal law establishing that as a right. Fabbricatore says Congress should leave abortion’s legal status to the states. He opposes abortion, but he says he recognizes a need for exceptions, including in cases of rape.

    “Having been someone who worked in sex trafficking and saw what many women went through, I could never tell a woman that she couldn’t have a medical procedure to end what happened to her,” he said.

    Fabbricatore points to the economy as his No. 1 issue, saying it’s impacted by energy policy and immigration. He sees Colorado’s potential to participate in the energy sector through solar, wind, fracking and coal.

    Megan Ulu-Lani Boyanton

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  • ‘Weekend at Bernie’s’ or ‘One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest’——Anthony Scaramucci breaks down Trump vs. Biden in 2024

    ‘Weekend at Bernie’s’ or ‘One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest’——Anthony Scaramucci breaks down Trump vs. Biden in 2024

    Ex-White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci and former presidential candidate Andrew Yang were guests at the Fortune Future of Finance conference on Thursday. The subject of the 2024 election came up. When asked about the impact that a return of former President Donald Trump would have on the business landscape if he were reelected, Scaramucci was blunt: “terrible.”

    “He would be terrible for the economy and terrible for business,” said the founder and managing partner of SkyBridge Capital. The economy has been predictable, and favorable for businesses, because of constitutional separation of powers, Scaramucci explained. Trump wants to obliterate those separations and embrace people and functions that would allow him to have total control. So-called “unitary executive power” would give the president totalitarian powers over the executive branch of government with exclusive rights to shape and enforce laws. It would make Trump “uber powerful,” said Scaramucci, and throughout history, he said, that has been catastrophic for the economy wherever it has happened.

    “It’s a disaster for the economy, a disaster for the world, and a disaster for your business,” he said, adding that Trump would be “an orange wrecking ball for this society.”

    Similarly, former Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Yang said Trump would “be a catastrophe” for businesses if he were elected president a second time.

    “He’s learned from his mistakes last time, which was hiring responsible adults” who tamped down Trump’s policy instincts, said Yang, co-chair of the Forward Party, a centrist political party he founded in 2021. Yet, Yang warned that if the election were held today, Trump would certainly win. The only question in his mind is whether something changes in the next six months in swing states, where Yang said Biden is underperforming relative to Trump, despite spending Biden’s considerable war chest.

    Scaramucci noted that there are currently 40 Republicans who are publicly against Trump’s reelection bid, including former Vice President Mike Pence. If dozens of people who worked at a company came together and said a product or company was awful and could kill you, he said, people would listen. Yet in this case it’s a mystery that Trump has garnered such steadfast support, he said.

    Scaramucci only worked at the White House for 11 days, from July 21 to July 31 in 2017, but related one tale about his time in the Oval Office. Former Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Paul Ryan and Trump were arguing and Trump was pointing his finger at Ryan saying, “You work for me. You work for me,” Scaramucci recalled. Ryan told Trump, “I don’t work for you.” Trump then looked to Scaramucci to confirm as if asking, “Is that right? He doesn’t work for me?” Scaramucci remembered. “And Trump doesn’t like that,” Scaramucci added, making a point about Trump’s interest in autocratic control.

    Scaramucci joked about how his short tenure at the White House has evolved into its own indicator of time. For instance, the shortest-serving prime minister in British history, Liz Truss, lasted 45 days from Sept. 6, 2022 to Oct. 20, 2022. Or, she lasted the equivalent of “4.1 Scaramuccis,” he said. “People are very sensitive,” Scaramucci said; Truss “got very upset.” 

    Joking aside, Scaramucci warned that there will be two films playing at your local cinema on Election Day. Those films are: Weekend at Bernie’s or One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest, he said.

    “You can either have an elderly guy that is somewhat forgetful, or a lunatic who needs a lobotomy.”

    Amanda Gerut

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  • Ex-Ukrainian president says US delay in war aid let Putin inflict more damage

    Ex-Ukrainian president says US delay in war aid let Putin inflict more damage

    Former Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko said the long delay by the U.S. Congress in approving military aid for his country was “a colossal waste of time,” allowing Russian President Vladimir Putin to inflict more suffering in the two-year-old invasion and prolonging the war.The severe lack of ammunition, which forced outgunned Ukrainian forces to surrender village after village on the front lines, also sowed concern among Ukraine’s other Western allies about Kyiv’s prospects in repelling the Russian invasion, Yushchenko told The Associated Press in an interview Monday.That sent a signal to Putin to “attack, ruin infrastructure, rampage all over Ukraine,” said Yushchenko, a pro-European reformer who sought to distance Kyiv from Moscow during his 2005-2010 administration.”And, of course, this undermines the morale of those in the world who stand with and support Ukraine,” said Yushchenko, who was in Philadelphia to speak at a World Affairs Council event.The delay “is not fatal” to Ukraine, but it forced Ukraine’s war planners to revise the current year’s campaign, he said. Yushchenko has backed the handling of the war by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and has asserted that no Ukrainian politician would give up territory in order to end the war.Yushchenko said it would be a “big mistake” for the U.S. and Europe to expect such a deal for peace, and would only embolden Putin to attack again.It would, he said, “give Putin five or seven years to get stronger and then start this misery again.”On the battlefield, Russia is pushing ahead with a ground offensive that opened a new front in eastern Ukraine’s Kharkiv region and put pressure on overstretched Ukrainian forces. Yushchenko urged Western allies to make political decisions faster to aid Ukraine in a fight that soldiers are waging every day around the clock.”The front line is working 24 hours, it doesn’t take vacation,” he said.After the U.S. aid was approved last month, President Joe Biden said he was immediately rushing badly needed weaponry to Ukraine as he signed into law a $61 billion war aid measure for Ukraine. Without it, CIA Director Bill Burns has said, Ukraine could lose the war to Russia by the end of this year.Still, only small batches of U.S. military aid have started to trickle into the front line, according to Ukrainian military commanders, who said it will take at least two months before supplies meet Kyiv’s needs to hold the line. U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said Monday that the Biden administration was “trying to really accelerate the tempo” of U.S. weapons shipments to Ukraine following the monthslong delay by Congress. “The level of intensity being exhibited right now in terms of moving stuff is at a 10 out of 10,” he said. The U.S. secretary of state, Antony Blinken, arrived in Kyiv on Tuesday in an unannounced diplomatic mission to reassure Ukraine that it has American support.Biden and Ukraine’s allies in Congress pushed for months to overcome resistance from hard-right Republican lawmakers in the House over renewed American support for repelling Russia’s invasion.Final action only came after Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson pushed past that opposition last month to bring Ukraine aid to a vote.The funding impasse dated back to August, when Biden made his first emergency spending request for Ukraine. Since Russia’s February 2022 invasion, the U.S. has sent more than $44 billion worth of weapons, maintenance, training and spare parts to Ukraine. Yushchenko acknowledged the huge losses that Ukraine has suffered in over two years of war, costing lives every day and forcing regular Ukrainians to join the fight. But he said that he was ashamed to hear arguments about “war fatigue” and that it shouldn’t be an excuse to stop fighting.”Every day we pay with our lives,” Yushchenko said. “The lives of children and women, the lives of Ukrainian soldiers. Our infrastructure is being destroyed every day.”Despite his harsh criticism of the U.S. delay in approving the latest military aid, Yushchenko acknowledged that Ukraine has been able to recapture a significant part of the occupied territory thanks to Western support.More gains can be achieved if the allies are united, Yushchenko said. “For Putin, the main geopolitical challenge is freedom and democracy. And today he is using all available resources to show that the Western world is weak” and unable to coalesce, Yushchenko said.He has said he believes victory for Ukraine is inevitable, given the sacrifice of the country’s citizens to fight, and sees the war as a larger, defining battle to defend democracy from tyranny and imperialism.Yushchenko came to power as a popular opposition leader in the 2004 Orange Revolution protests, beating Putin’s preferred candidate. As president he adamantly pushed to move Ukraine out of Moscow’s shadow and integrate more closely with Western Europe. But his presidency was marked by political skirmishing that paralyzed government and prevented any of his promised reforms from being passed. He lost power amid a plunging Ukrainian economy during the 2008 global financial crisis and tensions with Russia highlighted by a clash over gas prices.Yushchenko survived a dioxin poisoning during his 2004 election campaign, and several former Russian intelligence officers accused Moscow of being behind the poisoning.The poisoning forced Yushchenko to temporarily abandon campaign activities in the midst of Ukraine’s hotly contested presidential race, and severely disfigured his face. But it also earned him the sympathy of many Ukrainians. He has said he subsequently underwent more than two dozen surgeries. Arhirova reported from Kyiv, Ukraine. Associated Press writer Marc Levy in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, contributed to this report.

    Former Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko said the long delay by the U.S. Congress in approving military aid for his country was “a colossal waste of time,” allowing Russian President Vladimir Putin to inflict more suffering in the two-year-old invasion and prolonging the war.

    The severe lack of ammunition, which forced outgunned Ukrainian forces to surrender village after village on the front lines, also sowed concern among Ukraine’s other Western allies about Kyiv’s prospects in repelling the Russian invasion, Yushchenko told The Associated Press in an interview Monday.

    That sent a signal to Putin to “attack, ruin infrastructure, rampage all over Ukraine,” said Yushchenko, a pro-European reformer who sought to distance Kyiv from Moscow during his 2005-2010 administration.

    “And, of course, this undermines the morale of those in the world who stand with and support Ukraine,” said Yushchenko, who was in Philadelphia to speak at a World Affairs Council event.

    The delay “is not fatal” to Ukraine, but it forced Ukraine’s war planners to revise the current year’s campaign, he said.

    Yushchenko has backed the handling of the war by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and has asserted that no Ukrainian politician would give up territory in order to end the war.

    Yushchenko said it would be a “big mistake” for the U.S. and Europe to expect such a deal for peace, and would only embolden Putin to attack again.

    It would, he said, “give Putin five or seven years to get stronger and then start this misery again.”

    On the battlefield, Russia is pushing ahead with a ground offensive that opened a new front in eastern Ukraine’s Kharkiv region and put pressure on overstretched Ukrainian forces.

    Yushchenko urged Western allies to make political decisions faster to aid Ukraine in a fight that soldiers are waging every day around the clock.

    “The front line is working 24 hours, it doesn’t take vacation,” he said.

    After the U.S. aid was approved last month, President Joe Biden said he was immediately rushing badly needed weaponry to Ukraine as he signed into law a $61 billion war aid measure for Ukraine. Without it, CIA Director Bill Burns has said, Ukraine could lose the war to Russia by the end of this year.

    Still, only small batches of U.S. military aid have started to trickle into the front line, according to Ukrainian military commanders, who said it will take at least two months before supplies meet Kyiv’s needs to hold the line.

    U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said Monday that the Biden administration was “trying to really accelerate the tempo” of U.S. weapons shipments to Ukraine following the monthslong delay by Congress. “The level of intensity being exhibited right now in terms of moving stuff is at a 10 out of 10,” he said.

    The U.S. secretary of state, Antony Blinken, arrived in Kyiv on Tuesday in an unannounced diplomatic mission to reassure Ukraine that it has American support.

    Biden and Ukraine’s allies in Congress pushed for months to overcome resistance from hard-right Republican lawmakers in the House over renewed American support for repelling Russia’s invasion.

    Final action only came after Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson pushed past that opposition last month to bring Ukraine aid to a vote.

    The funding impasse dated back to August, when Biden made his first emergency spending request for Ukraine. Since Russia’s February 2022 invasion, the U.S. has sent more than $44 billion worth of weapons, maintenance, training and spare parts to Ukraine.

    Yushchenko acknowledged the huge losses that Ukraine has suffered in over two years of war, costing lives every day and forcing regular Ukrainians to join the fight. But he said that he was ashamed to hear arguments about “war fatigue” and that it shouldn’t be an excuse to stop fighting.

    “Every day we pay with our lives,” Yushchenko said. “The lives of children and women, the lives of Ukrainian soldiers. Our infrastructure is being destroyed every day.”

    Despite his harsh criticism of the U.S. delay in approving the latest military aid, Yushchenko acknowledged that Ukraine has been able to recapture a significant part of the occupied territory thanks to Western support.

    More gains can be achieved if the allies are united, Yushchenko said.

    “For Putin, the main geopolitical challenge is freedom and democracy. And today he is using all available resources to show that the Western world is weak” and unable to coalesce, Yushchenko said.

    He has said he believes victory for Ukraine is inevitable, given the sacrifice of the country’s citizens to fight, and sees the war as a larger, defining battle to defend democracy from tyranny and imperialism.

    Yushchenko came to power as a popular opposition leader in the 2004 Orange Revolution protests, beating Putin’s preferred candidate. As president he adamantly pushed to move Ukraine out of Moscow’s shadow and integrate more closely with Western Europe.

    But his presidency was marked by political skirmishing that paralyzed government and prevented any of his promised reforms from being passed. He lost power amid a plunging Ukrainian economy during the 2008 global financial crisis and tensions with Russia highlighted by a clash over gas prices.

    Yushchenko survived a dioxin poisoning during his 2004 election campaign, and several former Russian intelligence officers accused Moscow of being behind the poisoning.

    The poisoning forced Yushchenko to temporarily abandon campaign activities in the midst of Ukraine’s hotly contested presidential race, and severely disfigured his face. But it also earned him the sympathy of many Ukrainians. He has said he subsequently underwent more than two dozen surgeries.

    Arhirova reported from Kyiv, Ukraine. Associated Press writer Marc Levy in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, contributed to this report.

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  • 2U Lawsuit Claims Looming Education Dept. Guidance Breaks the Law

    2U Lawsuit Claims Looming Education Dept. Guidance Breaks the Law

    The online-program manager 2U filed a lawsuit on Tuesday against the U.S. Department of Education, marking what appears to be the first legal challenge to controversial guidance, released in February, that has left many institutions in a state of limbo.

    The guidance at the heart of 2U’s lawsuit — published as a Dear Colleague Letter — would update the department’s interpretation of “third-party servicers” to include entities that assist colleges’ Title IV-eligible programs by providing recruitment and retention services, certain software products, and “any percentage” of educational content.

    The third-party-servicer designation has historically been reserved for entities that help institutions administer federal financial aid to students, and comes with numerous regulatory requirements, such as submitting independent annual compliance audits and agreeing to be held responsible, alongside a client institution, for any Title IV violations. The guidance is slated to go into effect on September 1.

    The release of the guidance document followed pressure on the department to keep a closer eye on institutional partners like online-program managers, known as OPMs, which have played key roles in colleges’ growth, especially in regard to their online programs, but whose operations can be a metaphorical “black box.”

    But in its lawsuit, which seeks to thwart the rollout of the guidance, 2U claims the department has asserted sweeping authority that will impose damaging regulatory and financial burdens on “tens of thousands of entities” like itself — even though the company structured its business “specifically not to perform any services related to the administration of Title IV funds.” And those burdens, 2U says, would trickle down to the hundreds of colleges it works with, too.

    Further Reading

    “2U will be pressured to renegotiate contracts and potentially offer fewer services to reduce the chances of making compliance errors,” the lawsuit reads. And as the guidance would also require third-party servicers to be based in the United States, the lawsuit says, 2U would have to “cut off” its South African subcontractor, Get Educated International Proprietary Ltd., which provides “a range of services to 2U’s institutional partners.”

    The lawsuit further accuses the Education Department, in releasing the Dear Colleague Letter, of running afoul of federal laws.

    The department violated both the Higher Education Act and the Administrative Procedure Act, it says, by posting guidance that “reads like a regulation” prior to offering a public-comment period and conducting a negotiated-rulemaking process.

    “The negotiated-rulemaking process is mandatory unless the department determines and publishes in the Federal Register that such rulemaking ‘is impracticable, unnecessary, or contrary to the public interest,’” the lawsuit reads. “No such finding was made here.”

    Even if the department had taken that step, the suit also states that only Congress can rewrite the Higher Education Act’s definition of third-party servicers.

    Glenda Morgan, an analyst with Phil Hill & Associates with deep knowledge of OPMs and their arrangements with colleges, was struck by the “narrowness” of the lawsuit’s claims, which she thinks strengthens 2U’s case. “They’re not saying, ‘Hey, you’re putting us out of business,’” she said. “They’re saying, ‘You overreached here, and you didn’t follow your own regulations.’”

    The online-program manager is asking for a pause in the rollout and/or enforcement of the updated guidance, pending adjudication of this case. The lawsuit, filed in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, also asks a judge to “preliminarily and permanently” block the department from requiring 2U to operate as a third-party servicer under the current language in the Dear Colleague Letter.

    Katherine Brodie, an education lawyer with Duane Morris LLP, isn’t sure if 2U’s argument meets the “irreparable harm” threshold needed to halt such guidance while a judge reviews the merits of the case. That call, she said, is commonly based on “a fact-specific balancing of interests,” which is tricky with the guidance not yet in effect.

    Still, the “legal arguments that ED has overstepped its authority are strong,” she wrote in an email. Brodie noted that 2U is a recent client of Duane Morris for advice on related issues.

    The department did not provide comment on the lawsuit by the time of publication. It previously told The Chronicle it would “carefully review” all comments it received from the public following its publication of the Dear Colleague Letter, and “may amend or clarify the guidance.” There is also an item on the negotiated-rulemaking agenda for later this year to “amend regulations on third-party servicers.”

    A Mix of Reactions

    It’s becoming increasingly common to challenge Education Department guidance if “it affects someone’s livelihood or, in this particular circumstance, threatens a sector,” said Farnaz Farkish Thompson, a partner with the law firm McGuireWoods LLP.

    The fact that a behemoth in the OPM industry was the first to file a lawsuit isn’t particularly surprising to higher-ed watchers, either. The department explicitly called out OPMs in the Dear Colleague Letter, leaving little question that they are a primary target of increased oversight. OPMs, which collectively pull in more than $4 billion a year, help institutions jump-start or expand their online programs by providing a host of services, including learning technology, curriculum design, marketing services, and IT assistance.

    Before filing the lawsuit, 2U had started pushing back against potential regulatory changes in other ways, including campaigning against the department’s recent decision to revisit 2011 guidance that has enabled many online-program managers’ revenue-share agreements with institutions.

    Illustration shows figure at lecturn looking at dialogue balloons

    Further Reading

    Facebook’s ad library, for example, shows at least six active 2U advertising campaigns touting the importance of online education partnerships. The ads take readers to a website, apparently owned by 2U and titled “Online Education Is at Risk,” that warns of “new proposed regulations that would limit students’ access to high-quality, online education.” (No data presented on the site directly validates that claim.)

    The online-program manager also appears to have hired a lobbying firm, Crossroads Strategies LLC, starting on March 1, according to a filing logged in a ProPublica database.

    Among institutions, student advocates, and the broader public, the Dear Colleague Letter has stirred up a mix of passionate, split, and nuanced reactions.

    Over all, there appears to be universal agreement that more transparency in private companies and the services they provide to colleges isn’t a bad thing. The OPM industry, in particular, has drawn scrutiny for cases of deceptive and aggressive recruiting practices.

    For some, the latest guidance is the most sensible and efficient way to curtail that. Within the more than 1,000 written comments posted online in response to the guidance, groups like the Center for American Progress, Veterans Education Success, and the Student Borrower Protection Center thanked the department for taking “welcome and important steps toward protecting students and taxpayers.”

    “OPMs have access to a lot of information,” including enrollment and attendance data, “that is connected to the administration of financial-aid programs … so given that, I think it’s appropriate that the department has a window into their operations,” said Stephanie Hall, a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress. She also noted that the department needs flexibility to be responsive to changes in the sector.

    With existing regulations, “the list of things a third-party servicer might be engaged in is a non-exhaustive list,” she said. It “leaves an opening for the fact that the industry does evolve faster than laws and regulations can keep up.”

    Still, others feel the guidance is too broad and risks entangling vendor services and partnerships that fall outside of what the department intended. Many of the commenters, including institutions like New York University and the University of Texas system and higher-education organizations like the American Council on Education, cited concerns that the guidance would impose administrative burdens and disrupt study-abroad programs, internships, clinical placements, and other important educational services for students.

    In a recent Educause QuickPoll of nearly 200 members of the National Association of College and University Business Officers, 66 percent said they were in the midst of “seeking clarifications” on the guidance; 29 percent were actively reviewing their vendor contracts.

    What’s bothered Morgan, the education lawyer, as well is that the Dear Colleague Letter doesn’t seem to be rooted in an understanding of what’s led colleges to rely on OPMs and related services to begin with.

    “I’ve advised more than 100 universities on contracts about OPMs,” she said, and “they enter into these contracts willingly. Often quite willingly.”

    Are More on the Way?

    It’s not clear whether 2U’s case is the canary in the coal mine — or if it’s acting alone.

    The Chronicle asked two other major players in the OPM industry, Academic Partnerships and Wiley University Services, whether they intended to file their own lawsuits. The former said it has no plans to do so. The latter went a step further, saying it “does not support this litigation.”

    “While we believe the department’s guidance is overly broad and inconsistent with statutory intent, we recognize the department’s interest in understanding more about third-party relationships with institutions, and we look forward to continuing to engage with the department to find appropriate policy solutions,” a Wiley spokesperson wrote in an emailed statement.

    Pearson, another well-known online-program manager, announced plans last month to sell its OPM business to Regent LP, a private-equity firm based in Los Angeles.

    Thompson, the lawyer with McGuireWoods, said it’s more likely that organizations or companies will file briefs in support of the suit, instead of filing their own.

    “The definition of third-party servicer changing would really affect the education-technology industry,” she said. “I think there will be more people who support the plaintiff’s position.”

    Dan Bauman contributed to this report.

    Taylor Swaak

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  • GOP Senators Push Resolution To Overturn Biden’s Student Debt Plan

    GOP Senators Push Resolution To Overturn Biden’s Student Debt Plan

    A group of Republican senators introduced a resolution Monday to overturn President Joe Biden’s student debt forgiveness plan, intensifying a fight over an issue that’s divided Congress and Americans alike.

    The measure — led by GOP Sens. Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, John Cornyn of Texas and Joni Ernst of Iowa — would scrap Biden’s plan to cancel up to $10,000 in student debt for qualifying federal borrowers, with a select group getting relief on up to $20,000 in loans. The plan is expected to cost around $400 billion in federal spending.

    “President Biden is not forgiving debt, he is shifting the burden of student loans off of the borrowers who willingly took on their debt and placing it onto those who chose to not go to college or already fulfilled their commitment to pay off their loans,” Cassidy said in a statement Monday. “It is extremely unfair to punish these Americans, forcing them to pay the bill for these irresponsible and unfair student loan schemes.”

    People rally to show support for the Biden administration’s student debt relief plan in front of the the Supreme Court of the United States on Feb. 28 as the court heard arguments in a case that could decide the fate of the program.

    Kent Nishimura via Getty Images

    Biden and other advocates for forgiving student loans point to evidence that doing so is ultimately good for the economy because it increases the purchasing power of millions of Americans ― primarily younger generations whose college costs have increased nearly 170% since 1980, a recent study found. The national economic consequences of their financial burdens may become more pronounced in the coming decades as they age and struggle to buy homes, pay for their own children’s education and make other investments in the American economy.

    The resolution’s supporters have painted Biden’s plan as an attack on blue-collar workers who didn’t take out student loans.

    “President Biden’s attempt to transfer nearly half a trillion dollars in debt to hardworking Americans who chose to avoid or pay off student loans is unfair and unaffordable,” Ernst said in a statement Monday.

    But skipping college, which for many Americans is the only way to avoid taking out loans, has its own drawbacks. The U.S. Department of Education has found that people with college degrees have greater employment prospects and higher earning potential. And between 1980 and 2015, the Pew Research Center found, jobs requiring higher education have surged 68%, while those that don’t saw less than half that growth.

    Monday’s resolution, which has been co-signed by 36 other Republicans in the Senate, was introduced through the Congressional Review Act ― a fast-track method of overturning federal agencies’ rules that requires only a simple majority in Congress for passage.

    The resolution will need the support of at least two Democrats in the Senate in order to pass and be sent to the House, where the GOP holds a slim majority. Biden will be able to veto the resolution if it passes, but Republicans will then have the chance to override him with a two-thirds vote.

    Biden’s plan is also currently under review by the U.S. Supreme Court.

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  • Ben Savage of ‘Boy Meets World’ announces bid for U.S. Congress – National | Globalnews.ca

    Ben Savage of ‘Boy Meets World’ announces bid for U.S. Congress – National | Globalnews.ca

    Ben Savage, who famously played the titular boy in the 1990s sitcom Boy Meets World, is running for U.S. Congress in California’s 30th district.

    The seat for the Los Angeles-area district is currently being held by Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff, but the office is now up for grabs with Schiff running for Senate. Savage announced on Monday that he’s throwing his hat in the ring.

    Read more:

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    “I’m running for Congress because it’s time to restore faith in government by offering reasonable, innovative and compassionate solutions to our country’s most pressing issues,” Savage, 42, said in an Instagram post announcing his campaign.

    “It’s time for new and passionate leaders who can help move our country forward. Leaders who want to see the government operating at maximum capacity, unhindered by political divisions and special interests.”

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    Savage graduated from Stanford University with a degree in political science.

    His campaign website emphasizes his long history of union membership, as a child actor who “learned the value of a hard day’s work by age 5.”

    “Ben has been a member of the SAG-AFTRA union since 1987 and the Directors Guild of America since 2014. As a child actor, Ben understood the protections the union offered,” Savage’s website reads.

    Savage is most known for playing the role of Cory Matthews on Boy Meets World from 1993 to 2000. He then reprised the same role in the 2014 reboot Girl Meets World.

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    If elected, Savage said his priorities would be improving public safety, affordable housing and protecting organized labour.

    California’s 30th Congressional District is solidly Democratic, with Schiff winning the November 2022 midterm election with 71 per cent of the vote against a fellow Democrat. California has an open primary system in which the top two candidates advance to the general election regardless of party affiliation

    This isn’t Savage’s first time campaigning for office. In 2022, he unsuccessfully ran for West Hollywood city council.

    — With files from Reuters

    &copy 2023 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

    Kathryn Mannie

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  • Howard Schultz Rebuffs Bernie Sanders’ Request He Testify Before Congress

    Howard Schultz Rebuffs Bernie Sanders’ Request He Testify Before Congress

    Starbucks informed the staff of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) on Tuesday that outgoing chief executive Howard Schultz does not intend to testify at the senator’s hearing on the coffee chain’s fight with its workers’ union.

    Sanders, who chairs the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions, had sent a letter to the coffee chain on Feb. 7 asking that Schultz appear on Capitol Hill next month. But in a response Tuesday night, Starbucks offered instead to send another executive, A.J. Jones II, a vice president and top spokesperson.

    Schultz has been serving as interim CEO and plans to step down in April.

    “Given the timing of the transition, his relinquishment of any operating role in the company going forward and what we understand to be the subject of the hearing, we believe another senior leader with ongoing responsibilities is best suited to address these matters,” Starbucks general counsel Zabrina Jenkins wrote to Sanders.

    Schultz is a co-founder of the famous coffee chain and its most recognizable face. He has been deeply involved in the company’s battle with Starbucks Workers United, the labor campaign that has unionized nearly 300 stores since late 2021.

    “Schultz has been personally named in some of the complaints filed by the National Labor Relations Board’s general counsel accusing the company of illegal suppressing the organizing effort.”

    Schultz has been personally named in some of the complaints filed by the National Labor Relations Board’s general counsel accusing the company of illegal suppressing the organizing effort. The campaign’s lead organizer has taken to calling Schultz “the Al Capone of union-busting.”

    Sanders, a close ally of organized labor, has publicly hammered Schultz over the company’s aggressive response to the campaign. He had informed the company he wanted Schultz to answer questions related to “decisions with respect to complying with our nation’s labor laws and negotiating a first contract with union workers at Starbucks.”

    Howard Schultz is expected to step down as Starbucks CEO in April.

    The Washington Post via Getty Images

    The general counsel has issued 75 complaints against Starbucks alleging management illegally fired union supporters, shut down stores that were organizing, and threatened to withhold pay hikes and other benefits to prevent workers from unionizing. Most of those cases are now being litigated.

    Last week, Sanders told The Associated Press that he would consider using the committee’s subpoena power if Schultz declined his invitation.

    “This is corporate greed,” Sanders said, according to the AP. “Workers have a constitutional right to organize. And even if you are a large, multinational corporation owned by a billionaire you don’t have the right to violate the law. And we intend to be asking Mr. Schultz some very hard questions.”

    In its letter to Sanders, Starbucks called itself “a model employer and the categorical leader across industries for its comprehensive compensation.” It said Jones was especially qualified to testify before the committee having previously worked in Congress and served as policy director for Rep. James Clyburn (S.C.), the former Democratic whip.

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  • These School Employees Are Crucial — But They Don’t Qualify For Family Leave

    These School Employees Are Crucial — But They Don’t Qualify For Family Leave

    Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.) had her first child while serving in the House of Representatives in 2014. Four years later, she became the first sitting senator to give birth while in office.

    “It was not until I became a mom and was traveling back and forth to Illinois twice a week and trying to pump breast milk for my baby that I realized there were no lactation rooms I could use in the airport,” Duckworth told HuffPost. “I was told, ‘Well, you can plug your breast pump in next to where those guys are charging their phones.’”

    The U.S. tends to lag behind other developed countries when it comes to progressive, family-friendly policies. One law that Duckworth says desperately needs some bolstering is the Family and Medical Leave Act, which turns 30 years old this year.

    The FMLA assures workers can take protected leave from their jobs for up to 12 weeks to care for a new child or a loved one who’s sick. Historic as it was at the time, the law came with some significant holes: Only unpaid time off is guaranteed, and millions of workers fall outside of the law’s protections because they work for small employers or don’t work enough hours.

    Duckworth plans to reintroduce a bill in the Senate on Thursday that would add about 3 million additional workers to the FMLA’s coverage: education support professionals. These are school employees who are not teachers and typically work nine or 10 months a year, like cafeteria workers, custodians, bus drivers, administrative staff and paraeducators who assist teachers in the classroom.

    While teachers have protections under the FMLA, many education support professionals are excluded because their schedules are part time and they don’t work 1,250 hours per year. Unless a local school district has negotiated a leave policy for these workers, they might be unable to take time off and still know they will have a job to come back to.

    “These are your lunch ladies, these are your janitors, these are your bus drivers, and they don’t qualify because it’s hard for them to reach the minimum number of hours,” Duckworth said. “Everybody deserves to have access to the FMLA, and these education support professionals are absolutely integral to students and schools across America.”

    Duckworth’s bill, which is co-sponsored by Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.), would create a separate hours threshold for these workers. They would be able to qualify for unpaid leave so long as they worked 60% of the hours typically expected for their job over the course of a month. That way a cafeteria worker who might only work 15 hours a week would still have a job to come back to if they needed to stop working for a few weeks.

    The main teachers unions — the National Education Association and the American Federation of Teachers — are two of the biggest backers of Duckworth’s bill.

    Many school bus drivers don’t work enough hours to qualify for job-protected unpaid leave under the FMLA.

    The Washington Post via Getty Images

    Joshua Webster, a school employee and leader of his union local in Madison, Wisconsin, said workers shouldn’t have to quit their jobs because they have to care for someone. He said an assistant cook in his school district recently lost his fiancee and is now looking after their two children. Because he didn’t qualify for family leave, the union helped negotiate a special arrangement with the district due to the tragic circumstances.

    Webster said the worker is now on leave and has a job to come back to, but only because the school district was willing to compromise.

    “It speaks volumes to what’s going on,” said Webster, whose union is part of the AFT. “He did not have the hours. He would have ended up quitting. His spot never would have been held.”

    The National Partnership for Women and Families, a group that advocates for robust leave policies, estimates that more than 40% of U.S. workers do not qualify for unpaid leave under the FMLA. Of those who do take leave under the law, roughly half step away from work due to their own health issues, according to Labor Department data. The leave is typically short: More than three-quarters of workers take two months or less.

    “These are your lunch ladies, these are your janitors, these are your bus drivers, and they don’t qualify.”

    – Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.)

    Duckworth said expanding protections to school support workers is not only morally right but makes for smart public policy, considering school staffing shortages. School districts have struggled to hang on to bus drivers, cafeteria workers and other employees as COVID-19 took a toll on the workforce and the labor market tightened.

    In a federal survey released last year, 60% of U.S. principals said they were having a hard time filling non-teaching positions at their schools.

    “You see where folks were not able to take time or have access to FMLA to take care of a loved one during the pandemic,” Duckworth said. “Consequently, many of these workers have quit to go find other jobs where they could qualify for it, or they made the tough decision of stopping work. And we don’t want to lose that workforce.”

    Duckworth’s bill did not make it out of committee last time. Neither did a companion bill introduced by Rep. Sean Casten (D-Ill.) in the House.

    Democrats haven’t had much success pursuing more aggressive reforms to the FMLA, either. While controlled by Democrats, the House passed a bill to create a paid leave program funded through a corporate minimum tax and administered through the Social Security Administration. That bill died in the Senate, however. Now that Republicans control the House, it’s unlikely any such legislation will go anywhere for the time being.

    But there have been some glimmers of hope for more modest legislation aimed at working parents. In the omnibus bill passed late last year, Republicans joined with Democrats to include two significant provisions: one that guarantees basic workplace accommodations for pregnant employees, and another that expands workplace protections for women who are breastfeeding. In a sign of how much support they had, the two measures passed, 73-24 and 92-5, respectively.

    Duckworth said the pandemic may have helped change some lawmakers’ perspectives on these issues.

    “People are finally understanding the decisions people are having to make,” she said. “It became much more visible, people having to choose between going to work sick and keeping a paycheck, or in many of these cases just dropping out of the workforce.”

    According to Duckworth, making sure a school bus driver can take leave without losing their job shouldn’t be such a heavy lift.

    “It’s the bare minimum we should be providing,” she said.

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  • Kevin McCarthy Spells Out What It Would Take To Remove Santos From Congress

    Kevin McCarthy Spells Out What It Would Take To Remove Santos From Congress

    House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) on Tuesday explained the conditions under which the House would remove newly elected serial liar Rep. George Santos (R-N.Y.) from Congress.

    “If for some way when we go through Ethics and he has broken the law, then we will remove him,” McCarthy said, according to The Hill.

    McCarthy has so far resisted calls to sack Santos, even from members of his own party, saying he was elected by voters in his district and has an obligation to serve them.

    “He has a responsibility to uphold what they voted for, to work and have their voice here, but at any time, if it rises to a legal level, we will deal with it then,” McCarthy said.

    The timeline for the Ethics probe McCarthy hinted at is unclear, as is whether a formal investigation by that committee is already underway.

    McCarthy has appointed Rep. Michael Guest (R-Miss.) to lead the committee.

    New York Democratic Reps. Dan Goldman and Ritchie Torres filed a complaint with the Ethics Committee earlier this month, calling for an investigation into Santos’ financial disclosures.

    “Mr. Santos’s financial disclosure reports in 2020 and 2022 are sparse and perplexing,” they wrote. “At a minimum, it is apparent that he did not file timely disclosure reports for his most recent campaign. Moreover, his own public statements have contradicted some information included in the 2022 financial disclosure and confirmed that the 2022 financial disclosure failed to disclose other required information.”

    He is also accused of violating campaign finance laws, in a complaint the nonpartisan Campaign Legal Center filed with the Federal Election Commission.

    Apart from the several state and federal investigations Santos is facing, he is the subject of a criminal probe in Brazil.

    Santos has admitted to fabricating several aspects of his academic and education record. He claimed he studied at Baruch College and New York University, but the two institutions have no record of his attendance. He also said he worked for Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, but neither company has a record of his employment.

    Still, McCarthy appointed him to serve on two committees: the Small Business Committee and the Science, Space, and Technology Committee.

    However, the Republican speaker refused to seat Democratic Reps. Eric Swalwell and Adam Schiff, both of California, on the House Intelligence Committee.

    “Integrity matters more,” McCarthy wrote in a letter notifying House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) of his decision, with critics pointing out the hypocrisy given the appointment of extremist Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) on both the oversight and Homeland Security committees and McCarthy’s treatment of Santos.

    McCarthy has previously said he “always had a few questions” about Santos’ resume despite endorsing him and supporting his campaign.

    Santos was among Republicans who chose not to attend a White House reception hosted for first-time lawmakers Tuesday.

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  • Russian State TV Hails Rep. Lauren Boebert For Refusing To Stand For War Hero Volodymyr Zelensky

    Russian State TV Hails Rep. Lauren Boebert For Refusing To Stand For War Hero Volodymyr Zelensky

    Right-wing Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) won a significant new fan — Kremlin state TV — for refusing to stand and applaud Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky when he spoke to Congress in Washington, D.C., last Wednesday.

    It hailed her for failing to honor Zelensky, who has led his nation against a bloody, brutal invasion by Russia. The broadcast also gave shout outs to Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Florida) and far-right Fox News host Tucker Carlson for denigrating the leader considered a war hero by his country.

    Carlson had a weird meltdown over Zelensky’s appearance in a sweatshirt. He complained the president was dressed “like the manager of a strip club” when he pleaded for more aid from American lawmakers for his war-torn country.

    “As far as we know, no one’s ever addressed the United States Congress in a sweatshirt before, but they love him much more than they love you,” Carlson bizarrely griped to viewers.

    Russian TV picked up the dig and referred to Zelensky as “Mr. Cargo Pants.” It also ran a clip of Carlson mocking lawmakers for “clapping like seals” when Zelensky spoke.

    There was no immediate comment from Boebert.

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