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  • ‘Greedflation’ is replacing inflation as companies raise prices for bigger profits, report finds

    ‘Greedflation’ is replacing inflation as companies raise prices for bigger profits, report finds

    That’s the practice by many S&P 500 food and consumer companies of raising prices to protect what a new report calls their “cushioned corporate profits,” and it has enabled them to boost margins through the current inflationary period.

    Companies including Kimberly-Clark Corp.
    KMB,
    -0.45%
    ,
    PepsiCo Inc.
    PEP,
    -0.18%
    ,
    General Mills Inc.
    GIS,
    -0.88%

    and Tyson Foods Inc.
    TSN,
    -0.36%

    have on recent earnings calls touted their ability to raise prices, earning tidy profits and rewarding their shareholders as they go, according to the report from Accountable.US, a liberal-leaning consumer-advocacy group.

    And they have signaled their intention to continue to take “price actions” even as the Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates an unprecedented 10 times in an effort to tame inflation.

    “Higher interest rates haven’t stopped S&P companies, especially in the big food industry, from raising consumer prices despite reporting billions in extra net earnings and over a trillion dollars in new giveaways to wealthy investors,” said Liz Zelnick, director of economic security and corporate power at Accountable.US.

    “Corporate greed is a stubborn thing and requires serious action from Congress. The Fed has not seen an adequate return on its investment in a policy that has already created fissures in the economy that could lead to recession. It’s just not worth it,” she said. 

    Now read: Skip, pause or hike? A guide to what is expected from the Fed on Wednesday.

    Accountable.US is not alone in calling out price hikes on essentials including food. Walmart Inc.
    WMT,
    +0.73%

    is also unhappy with packaged-food companies that have steadily raised prices in dry grocery and consumable goods, according to a recent report from research company CFRA.

    “Given Walmart’s enormous bargaining power over its suppliers, we expect the retail giant to push back on further price increases from its packaged-food suppliers,” he said. That is expected to hurt margins, especially if volume growth does not recover.

    For more, see: Inflation in goods from cereal to soup has given a boost to consumer food stocks. Can Walmart help bring prices, both food and stock, down?

    May inflation data released Tuesday found that food prices were up 0.2% from April, after remaining flat for the previous two months. Food prices are up 6.7% over the last year. The food-at-home index is up 5.8% over the last year, while the index for cereals and bakery products is up 10.7%.

    Food prices started to rise about two years ago, when supply-chain issues and higher fuel and commodity prices led companies to pass some of those costs on to customers.

    But companies appear determined to raise prices even more, despite a decline in shipping and gas costs. Gasoline was down 5.6% in May from April and fuel oil fell 7.7%, according to consumer-price-index figures.

    Also read: U.S. inflation slows again, CPI shows, and might keep Fed on sidelines

    Kimberly-Clark executives told analysts on its recent earnings call that the company is able to “rapidly implement broad pricing actions” and acknowledged that “pricing has continued to be a big driver behind our top-line growth.”

    The company’s first-quarter earnings topped expectations and it raised guidance for the full year. That’s after it raised prices by 10% for a second straight quarter, driving margins wider by 340 basis points.

    Shareholders were rewarded to the tune of $425 million during the quarter, the Accountable.US report notes.

    See also: Colgate-Palmolive’s stock pops after earnings beat as company raises prices by double-digit percentage

    PepsiCo Chief Executive Ramon Laguarta told analysts on that company’s recent earnings call that most of its price increases are behind it.

    However, he said, “obviously, there are some markets, highly inflationary markets around the world, where we might have to take additional pricing. If you think about Argentina, Turkey, Egypt — those kinds of markets where the currencies are suffering. But the majority of our pricing is already done,” he said, according to a FactSet transcript.

    PepsiCo’s 2022 earnings rose 16.9% to nearly $9 billion, and it spent more than $7.6 billion on stock buybacks and dividends, with the former up 1,313% from 2021.

    General Mills, meanwhile, bragged about “getting smart about how we look at pricing” on its recent call. The parent of brands including Cheerios, Nature Valley, Blue Buffalo pet products and Pillsbury raised its fiscal 2023 guidance in February.

    And Tyson executives touted the “significant pricing power of our portfolio with a year-over-year increase of 7.6%.” Tyson’s latest quarter included a surprise loss, as it was hit by weak demand for meat, along with plant closures and job cuts.

    For more, see: Tyson Foods stock slides after meat producer swings to surprise loss

    But Tyson had net income of over $3.2 billion in 2022, up from $3 billion in 2021, and it rewarded shareholders with $1.35 billion in buybacks and dividends.

    For Accountable.US, it’s more compelling evidence that the Fed’s rate-hike strategy “has failed to root out one of the main drivers of inflation and should give the [Federal Open Market Committee] pause before lifting rates again this week to the detriment of jobs and the economy.”

    The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund
    XLP,
    +0.36%

    has fallen 1.6% to date in 2023, while the SPDR S&P Retail ETF
    XRT,
    +1.89%

    has gained 4.6%. The S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.62%

    has gained 13% in the same period.

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  • Tyson Foods stock slides premarket after earnings miss by a wide margin

    Tyson Foods stock slides premarket after earnings miss by a wide margin

    Tyson Foods Inc. stock slid 5.5% in premarket trade Monday, after the meat processor and parent to brands including Jimmy Dean and Hillshire Farm missed consensus estimates for its fiscal first quarter by a wide margin.

    “We faced some challenges in the first quarter,” Chief Executive Donnie King said in a statement. “Market dynamics and some operational inefficiencies impacted our profitability. We expect to improve our performance through the back half of fiscal 2023 and into the future, as we strive to execute with excellence and work to become best in class in our industry.”

    Springdale, Arkansas-based Tyson posted net income of $316 million, or 88 cents a share, for the quarter to Dec. 31, down from $1.121 billion, or $3.07 a share, in the year-earlier period. Adjusted per-share earnings came to 85 cents, well below the $1.31 FactSet consensus.

    Sales rose to $13.260 billion from $12.933 billion, also below the $13.515 billion FactSet consensus.

    The company, the biggest U.S. meat supplier measured by sales, said beef prices fell by an average of 8.5% in the quarter, while chicken prices rose 7.1% and pork prices were up 1.4%. The company’s prepared foods division’s sales rose 7.6% and international and other food sales were up 4.9%.

    Beef sales rose 2.9% to $4.723 billion, while pork sales fell 7.4% to $1.529 billion. Sales of chicken rose 2.5% to $4.263 billion, while prepared foods sales rose 1.2% to $2.538 billion. International and other food sales were up 6.4% to $612 million.

    The U.S. Department of Agriculture is expecting domestic protein production — beef, pork, chicken and turkey — to be flat in fiscal 2023 versus year-earlier levels, said Tyson.

    Tyson said it is expecting fiscal 2023 sales of $55 billion to $57 billion, while FactSet expects $55.2 billion. Tyson expects capex of about $2.5 billion and net interest costs of about $330 million.

    The stock has fallen 27% in the last 12 months, while the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -1.04%

    has fallen 8%.

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  • Big Tech just added to a shrinking forecast, but maybe Bob Iger can brighten the mood

    Big Tech just added to a shrinking forecast, but maybe Bob Iger can brighten the mood

    Wall Street’s expectations for 2023 have been diving as forecasts for the new year come in light, and the news could get worse once they factor in disappointing results from Big Tech. But at least Bob Iger is coming back for a sequel.

    Google, Facebook, Amazon and Apple all disappointed with holiday earnings this week. Their forecasts ranged from nonexistent to piecemeal to meh, and the fallout will only add to the biggest dive in Wall Street’s expectations through the beginning of a year since 2016.

    Analysts’ average forecast for 2023 earnings from the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -1.04%

    dropped by 2.5% in January, according to FactSet Senior Earnings Analyst John Butters, the worst in seven years. Those projections began heading lower last year, and the decline is only steepening — analysts are now projecting 3% earnings growth in 2023, and that is contingent on a big holiday rebound from the results being released this quarter.


    Uncredited

    The news was even worse for the first quarter, for which projections declined 3.3% in January as companies whiffed on their forecasts at a rapid pace: 86% of the 43 companies that have guided for first-quarter earnings have missed projections, Butters reported. Earnings are now expected to decline 4.2%, which would be the first year-over-year earnings decline since the third quarter of 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic write-offs started to come in.

    Big Tech only added to the downward trajectory in recent days. Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    -8.43%

    missed on its holiday earnings as well as its forecast for the first quarter, and that company could determine if S&P 500 profits rise in 2023 all on its own. Amazon’s worst holiday earnings since 2014 could also contribute to the consumer discretionary sector’s first earnings decline since the beginning of the pandemic, with holiday sector earnings now expected to drop more than 5%.

    Google parent Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL,
    -2.75%

    GOOG,
    -3.29%

    and Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    -1.19%

    also missed their respective earnings targets amid problems with the digital-advertising industry, leading to the communications-services sector having the worst earnings season in the S&P 500. Profit has declined 25.2% in that sector so far, the worst among the 11 S&P 500 sectors, but would be down just 6.5% without the effects of Meta and Alphabet, Butters reported.

    Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    +2.44%

    also didn’t do projections any favors, reporting its biggest sales decrease since 2016 and an earnings miss Thursday afternoon. In a piecemeal forecast, executives projected a similar sales decline in the calendar first quarter, though unofficially.

    This week in earnings

    After the busiest week in earnings season wrapped up, don’t expect much of a breather — 95 S&P 500 companies are expected to report in the week ahead, the third consecutive week with at least 90 companies reporting. There will be plenty of intrigue among companies not in the S&P 500 too, including Robinhood Markets Inc.
    HOOD,
    -3.59%

    and Affirm Holdings Inc.
    AFRM,
    -14.14%

    reporting together on Wednesday afternoon.

    Only one Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -0.38%

    stock will report, but that is the Wednesday call you will want to tune in for: Bob Iger’s return to the Walt Disney Co.
    DIS,
    -2.21%

    earnings show.

    The calls to put on your calendar
    The numbers to watch

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