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Price wars have consequences, even for Tesla, the world’s most valuable car company.
Tesla‘s (ticker: TSLA) first-quarter earnings, reported Wednesday evening, met expectations, but its first-quarter automotive gross profit margins were bad. No matter how investors slice and dice the numbers, results will leave them with questions about EV demand and Tesla’s pricing strategy.
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Electric vehicle leader
Tesla
is expected to report lower earnings on higher sales Wednesday evening after the electric vehicle maker slashed prices to draw in buyers.
The EV war, with traditional auto makers spending billions to catch
Tesla
(ticker: TSLA), has morphed into a price war. The car maker’s quarterly earnings will help investors figure out who is winning.
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For anyone watching Netflix, the streaming services’ recent moves to cut costs could mean fewer films, lower-budget shows and — depending on your subscription — more ads. For anyone buying a Tesla, its moves to cut prices will make it easier on customers, but harder on profit-seeking investors.
With both companies reporting results this week, Wall Street will get a look at who still wants a Tesla, amid growing competition, and what kind of growth and viewership anyone can expect from Netflix, as it recalibrates its streaming ambitions and focuses more on profitability following years of rapid growth.
Netflix Inc.
NFLX,
which reports first-quarter results on Tuesday, is trying to crack down on shared accounts, and analysts polled by FactSet see subscriptions coming in well below the average. However, BofA analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich said that first-quarter results would likely “mark the low point” of the year, “reflecting the initial impact of password sharing efforts in select markets.”
Netflix will report as shareholders’ growing influence over the streaming universe raises questions over what shows and films get streamed, and for how long, as Wall Street tries to wring more bottom-line gains from an industry that boomed before and during the pandemic but burned cash and got crowded in the process. Netflix, along with Walt Disney Co.
DIS,
have laid off employees, while Warner Brothers Discovery Inc.
WBD,
fuses its streaming holdings together.
“We expect Netflix to continue reining in spending, particularly by seeking alternatives to its past practices,” Wedbush analysts Alicia Reese and Michael Pachter wrote in a research note on Thursday. “The company appears to us to be producing fewer feature length films, which we have always viewed as a poor investment, and appears focused on lower cost television content.”
“We are equally encouraged that Netflix is looking at low-cost content like workout videos, which we believe will present a lot of value to subscribers at very low cost,” they added later.
The analysts said that they felt Netflix was well positioned, as other streamers rethink their approach to expansion and financials. And they said Netflix “should be valued as an immensely profitable, slow-growth company.” They also said that Netflix’s decision to launch a cheaper ad-supported option was a “great decision” after growth stalled in the U.S. and Canada and the company’s business in Europe, the Middle East and Africa reaches the saturation point.
For Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
which reports results on Wednesday, the focus for investors will be on price-cutting and its impact on margins. Still, Potter, an analyst at Piper Sandler, has said Tesla is on a “warpath” and “maintaining its aggressive approach to pricing,” and said investors “should expect relentless price cuts to continue.”
Base prices for Tesla’s Model S and Model X have fallen by around $5,000, MarketWatch has noted, as the electric-vehicle maker tries to stimulate demand. The company is also selling a more affordable Model Y SUV.
“Tesla concerns on pricing and a race to the bottom persisted as general sentiment on the stock is souring given recent price cuts after a brief period of stabilization,” TD Cowen analyst Jeffrey Osborne said in a note.
Tesla will report as the Biden administration tries to take a harder stance on auto pollution. The EPA recently proposed new emissions restrictions intended to hasten electric-vehicle usage, by incrementally curtailing tailpipe emissions each year for vehicle model years 2027 through 2032. However, some analysts said the measures would push prices higher for regular and electric vehicles.
The first-quarter earnings reporting season will pick up steam in the week ahead, with 60 S&P 500 companies, including six from the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
reporting quarterly results, according to FactSet. Those companies will report as Wall Street analysts remain pessimistic about results for the quarter, and the prospect of another so-called “earnings recession” in which profits contract for at least two straight quarters.
“As of today, the S&P 500 is reporting a year-over-year decline in earnings of -6.5% for the first quarter, which would mark the largest earnings decline reported by the index since Q2 2020 (-31.6%) and the second straight quarter the index has reported a decline in earnings,” FactSet Senior Earnings Analyst John Butters said in a report on Friday.
After investors cheered JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s
JPM,
quarterly results on Friday — despite Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse and broader recession anxieties — other banking giants, like Bank of America Corp.
BAC,
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
GS,
and Morgan Stanley
MS,
report during the week ahead. So does Johnson & Johnson
JNJ,
after it agreed to pay as much as $8.9 billion to settle scores of lawsuits alleging that its talc baby powder was linked to cancer. Charles Schwab Corp.
SCHW,
United Airlines Holdings Inc.
UAL,
and AT&T Inc.
T,
also report during the week.
Supply-chain update, anyone? Shipping rates have fallen. Labor tensions have risen. Railroad safety is under scrutiny. Elsewhere in that industry, hedge funders are applying pressure. Memories of 2021’s supply-chain meltdown are still fresh after it led to shipping delays and put the low-work labor that fuels much of that distribution network under a spotlight.
At any rate, trucking and logistics company J.B. Hunt Transportation Services Inc.
JBHT,
reports on Monday, while railroad giant CSX Corp.
CSX,
reports on Thursday. Both companies report after a drop-off in demand for goods last year, as inflation remolded consumers’ buying habits. They also report after rail workers threatened to strike over what they said were inadequate sick-time policies. More recently, a group representing the terminal operators at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach alleged that dockworkers were disrupting daily operations at the two massive import gateways, as the workers’ union and the terminal operators try to work out a contract. The quarterly financial reports and earnings calls will offer a look at what the year ahead has in store.
Credit-card transactions, charge-offs: Credit-card providers Discover Financial Services
DFS,
and American Express Co.
AXP,
report Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. The companies will report after Discover took a hit in January after it forecast credit-card net charge-offs — a measure of debt a company doesn’t think it’ll get back — that were worse than what Wall Street expected. Similar to the results from the big banks, the results from American Express and Discover will tells us how much consumers are still spending, and whether more are falling behind on their bills, as recession anxieties prevail.
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Shares of electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
dropped 1.6% toward a fifth consecutive decline in premarket trading Monday, in the wake of data showing that growth in automobile sales in China slowed sharply in March. Tesla’s stock sank 10.8% over the past four sessions, and a fifth straight loss would represent the longest losing streak since the seven-day loss streak that ended Dec. 27, 2022. The China Passenger Car Association said overnight that passenger cars sold in China in March rose 0.3% to 1.59 million, compared with 10.4% growth in February, according to a Dow Jones Newswires report. Sales for the first quarter dropped 13.4% from a year ago, as January sales plunged 38%, the report said. Tesla recorded $18.15 billion in revenue from China in 2022, or 22.3% of total sales. Among China-based EV makers, shares of Nio Inc.
NIO,
shed 0.9%, Xpeng Inc.
XPEV,
lost 0.7% and Li Auto Inc.
LI,
gave up 1.0%. Tesla’s stock has soared 50.2% to date in 2023 through Friday, while the S&P 500
SPX,
has gained 6.9%.
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https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-movers-6acba64b
Stock futures traded mostly flat Monday as Wall Street kicked off a week that includes testimony before Congress from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the U.S. jobs report for February.
These stocks were poised to make moves Monday:
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Tesla
had bad news for producers of EV raw materials as it offered investors a look at its plans in a widely anticipated three-and-a-half hour presentation on Wednesday evening.
Shares of the rare-earth producer
MP Materials
(ticker: MP) were down 11.2% in premarket trading Thursday, while stocks of companies that make semiconductors using silicon carbide took a hit as well. Futures on the
S&P 500
future were down 0.5%.
Dow Jones Industrial Average
futures gained 0.3%.
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Tesla
needs a lower-priced car. And the sooner the better.
The electric-vehicle pioneer’s 2023 investor event is coming up on March 1. It’s a chance for investors to hear from CEO Elon Musk about the company’s strategy and future. This year, as EV competition ramps up, one issue looms larger than others.
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U.S. stocks opened higher on Thursday as optimism over Tesla’s earnings results and a stronger-than-expected GDP report left investors in a better mood following Wednesday’s intraday selloff.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished Wednesday’s session up 10 points after falling roughly 400 points at the lows earlier in the session. The S&P 500 finished little-changed after erasing its early losses, while the Nasdaq ended lower.
Stocks opened higher after a flurry of economic data including a fourth quarter GDP report that came in stronger than expected, but the focus was on the latest batch of earnings, which helped to revive investors’ optimism following disappointing guidance from Microsoft Corp.
MSFT,
earlier in the week.
The economy grew at a robust 2.9% annual pace to close out 2022, according to the first estimate of fourth quarter GDP, released Thursday morning — the latest sign that the U.S. economy is holding up well despite the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest-rate hikes.
“Thursday’s GDP report suggests that the economy is relatively strong even in the face of aggressive measures by the Federal Reserve to calm inflation,” said Carol Schleif, chief investment officer, BMO Family Office, in emailed commentary.
Stocks rose after the data were released as investors found solace in the latest signs that a soft landing for the U.S. economy — a scenario where growth slows, but a recession is avoided — remains possible, or even likely.
“This is a bit of a relief rally,” said Christopher Zook, chairman and chief investment officer of CAZ Investments.
However, corporate earnings and guidance are still the primary concern for investors, along with expectations about when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, Zook said.
The labor market also showed signs of strength despite more reports of layoffs in the tech, finance and media spaces, as the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to their lowest level since April. Investors also digested durable goods orders for December. New home sales for December will be published at 10 a.m. ET.
Investors also celebrated a surge in Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
shares premarket after the firm released well-received results that showed record quarterly profits.
Disappointing guidance from technology behemoth Microsoft had clobbered stocks on Wednesday as traders worried it signaled not just difficulties for the sector but also broadly worsening economic conditions.
However, before the end of Wednesday’s session, Microsoft shares had recovered most of their 4.5% loss and the S&P 500 finished the session almost exactly where it began, according to data from FactSet.
As for the Federal Reserve, the central bank is expected to slow the pace of interest rate hikes when it next week raises its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.5% to 4.75%.
Companies announcing results on Thursday include: McDonald’s
MCD,
Intel
INTC,
Comcast
CMCSA,
Visa
V,
Dow
DOW,
Whirl pool
WHR,
Western Digital
WDC,
and Northrop Grumman
NOC,
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