President Donald Trump delivered his State of the Union address to Congress in Washington on Feb. 24, 2026.
TNS
The most baffling part of President Trump’s State of the Union speech was his fixation on tariffs that have already been declared unconstitutional by the Supreme Court and have failed to boost the U.S. economy. But you don’t need a Ph.D. in economics to understand why he’s so obsessed with them.
Before we get into that, let’s look at what his import duties have accomplished so far.
When he announced the tariffs on his so-called “Liberation Day” nearly a year ago, Trump promised that they would reduce the U.S. trade deficit, bring back factories from China and Mexico, and spark a manufacturing boom in America.
None of that has happened. Instead, the manufacturing renaissance Trump had promised — and touted again in his State of the Union speech — failed to materialize: the number of U.S. factory jobs fell by 103,000 jobs last year, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The reason is simple: it’s still much cheaper for multinationals to make goods in Asia, Mexico or Canada than in America, and that’s unlikely to change anytime soon.
As for the trade deficit, it remained virtually unchanged last year, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Despite Trump’s massive tariffs on foreign goods, it shrank by a paltry 0.2% — almost nothing.
What makes Trump’s tariff push more puzzling is how unpopular it is. A new CNN poll shows 62% of Americans disapprove of his tariffs, while only 37% support them. A Fox News poll found even bigger opposition to the tariffs: 63% of Americans dislike them, while 37% like them.
Most Americans feel those tariffs are simply passed on by importers to consumers who end up paying more for toys, TV sets, coffee and other imported goods.
So why is Trump pushing so hard with his tariffs, if they are hurting his popularity and not producing economic gains?
The answer is power. Trump wants to be at the center of the world stage, wielding a kind of power no recent U.S. president has used — the power to turn trade into a tool to punish enemies and reward friends.
Tariffs also give Trump leverage over U.S. companies and have raised more than $200 billion in revenue, money he can redirect to programs he favors.
Among them: a $12 billion bailout for farmers, a $2,000 “dividend” rebate check for low- and middle-income Americans and an increase in military spending. It’s not clear what will happen with these and other promises now.
Trump has made no bones about his use of tariffs as a political weapon in foreign affairs. In his State of the Union address, he said he uses these tariffs “to make great deals for our country, both economically and on a national security basis.”
Trump recently threatened to impose higher import duties on eight European countries if they didn’t help him negotiate a U.S. purchase or annexation of Greenland.
Earlier, he slapped huge tariffs on Brazil, saying the country’s leftist government was carrying out a “witch hunt” against former President Jair Bolsonaro, a close ally who faced trial for attempting a coup. Trump also publicly threatened higher tariffs on Mexico if it didn’t do more to reduce illegal immigration and fentanyl smuggling.
Marcelo Giugale, a Georgetown University economics professor and former top World Bank official, told me tariffs have been an “extraordinary power tool” for Trump.
“Internationally, he’s used them left and right, for whatever reasons he wanted, in whatever amounts he wanted, to the countries he wanted. And most countries bend the knee,” he said.
“Domestically, they force American producers to line up at the White House and plead, ‘Please protect me, place a tariff on my foreign competitors,’ or conversely, ‘Please exempt me from the tariff I’ll have to pay.’”
Trump made it clear in his address to Congress that tariffs aren’t just a temporary tactic but will remain a central pillar of his agenda. He said he will find new ways to bypass the Supreme Court ruling, and that his trade barriers will “remain in place under fully approved and tested alternative legal statutes.”
Trump admitted that his proposed new avenues to reinstate tariffs “are a little more complex” but claimed they will result in a solution that will be “even stronger than before.” Legal experts dispute his optimism, noting that it will take more than six months to set in motion a new policy and that Trump’s negotiating power could be greatly diminished if — as current polls suggest — his party loses its grip on Congress in the November midterm elections.
One way or the other, Trump should not be taken lightly when he vows to stick with massive tariffs, despite their unpopularity at home and abroad. In his view, these aren’t just taxes — they are a political weapon to exert power, even if they do more harm than good to the economy.
Don’t miss the “Oppenheimer Presenta” TV show on Sundays at 9 pm E.T. on CNN en Español or on YouTube’s “Oppenheimer Presenta” channel. Blog: andresoppenheimer.com
Andres Oppenheimer
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