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Tag: Trump poll

  • Trump’s approval rating changes direction with urban voters

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    President Donald Trump is starting 2026 with a shift in an unlikely corner of the electorate: Americans living in the nation’s largest cities.

    A new Fox News poll—conducted January 23-26 under the joint direction of Democratic pollster Beacon Research and Republican pollster Shaw & Company Research among 1,005 registered voters nationwide—found the president’s job approval rising modestly among urban residents, a group that has been one of his weakest since he returned to office.

    Newsweek contacted the White House for comment via email outside regular business hours. 

    Why It Matters 

    For a Republican president, movement inside the U.S.’s major cities is rare, and even small changes can have disproportionate political consequences

    Urban areas hold dense concentrations of voters, drive statewide outcomes and often shape national political sentiment long before it shows up in election results.

    What To Know

    Trump gained ground with urban voters in the late-January Fox News poll, which had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, as approval in cities rose to 40 percent from 34 percent in December, while disapproval fell to 60 percent from 66 percent, according to the Fox News survey’s cross-tabs and top lines.

    Fox News’ end-of-year poll of 1,001 registered voters, conducted December 12-15 by Beacon Research and Shaw & Company, also had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3  percentage points.

    Both polls selected respondents randomly from a national voter file. Interviews were completed through a mix of landlines, cellphones and online survey links texted to a subset of voters.

    Although it is hardly friendly territory for the Republican president, this latest shift in how urban voters approve of how he is doing his job represents a meaningful movement.

    A president who improves from 34 percent to about 40 percent in American cities does not suddenly become competitive in these largely Democratic strongholds, but he becomes harder to defeat statewide.

    Urban softening can also bleed into adjacent suburbs, where political margins are often decisive.

    This month-over-month shift among urban voters came as Trump’s overall approval held at 44 percent nationally in the same Fox News series, underscoring movement inside a key geographic subgroup even as the top line stayed flat.

    Urban voters are one of the core subgroups tracked by Fox News in its national polling, which reports results by area—urban, suburban and rural—when subgroup sample sizes reach at least 100 respondents. 

    Because these area categories are weighted alongside age, race, education and region to reflect the registered voter population, shifts within urban areas can influence the overall approval picture.

    In plain terms: Within a month, more city-dwelling registered voters told Fox News they approved of Trump’s job performance, and fewer said they disapproved. 

    Even with that improvement, however, most urban respondents still gave the president negative marks.

    While Trump is still underwater by a wide margin, a six‑point increase inside such strongly Democratic territory signals that voter attitudes in the country’s biggest population centers may be shifting in tone, if not allegiance.

    Urban voters matter because they anchor Democratic strength. 

    When they budge, even slightly, it often suggests that broader perceptions of presidential performance are settling in—especially among groups that have been highly resistant to Trump since his return to office.

    What People Are Saying

    Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who helps conduct Fox News polls with Democrat Chris Anderson, said: “The president faces two difficult obstacles—the virtually unanimous and intractable opposition of Democrats and the stubbornness of high prices. Republican officeholders think the economic benefits of the One Big Beautiful Bill will kick in later this year, which will be critical for GOP prospects in the midterm elections.”

    White House spokesperson Kush Desai told Newsweek in December: “Over the past year, the Trump administration has delivered critical progress to turn the page on Joe Biden’s economic disaster: cooling inflation, rising real wages, private-sector job growth, and trillions in investments to make and hire in America. The Trump administration will continue to build on this progress in the new year to continue delivering economic relief for the American people.”

    President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social on January 22: “Fake and Fraudulent Polling should be, virtually, a criminal offense. … Something has to be done about Fraudulent Polling.”

    He added: “Isn’t it sad what has happened to American Journalism, but I am going to do everything possible to keep this Polling SCAM from moving forward!”

    What Happens Next

    The question now is whether Trump can build on this movement, or whether it represents a temporary fluctuation within a group that historically has little affinity for him.

    Because both Fox News surveys used identical methods and margins of error, the December‑to‑January comparison is significant. But subgroup margins are always higher, which means future polls must confirm whether Trump truly is gaining ground among city‑based voters or whether these numbers plateau.

    Still, if the trend holds—even modestly—it could matter in tightly contested states where major metro areas dominate the vote count.

    In a polarized era, the center is dismissed as bland. At Newsweek, ours is different: The Courageous Center—it’s not “both sides,” it’s sharp, challenging and alive with ideas. We follow facts, not factions. If that sounds like the kind of journalism you want to see thrive, we need you.

    When you become a Newsweek Member, you support a mission to keep the center strong and vibrant. Members enjoy: Ad-free browsing, exclusive content and editor conversations. Help keep the center courageous. Join today.

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  • Donald Trump’s approval rating changes direction for first time in months 

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    President Donald Trump’s approval rating has shifted for the first time in months, according to new data from two national polls.

    Newsweek contacted the White House for comment via email outside regular business hours. 

    Why It Matters

    As economic anxiety and public debate over foreign policy continue to dominate the national agenda, the change in Trump’s approval rating could have implications for both the White House and congressional prospects ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

    What To Know

    The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll—conducted online on January 4 and 5—surveyed 1,248 U.S. adults nationwide. 

    The poll showed Trump‘s overall approval rating climbing to 42 percent, up from 39 percent in December. 

    It marks his highest approval rating since October. The margin of error for this survey was about 3 percentage points.

    Similarly, a recent InsiderAdvantage poll gave Trump a positive net approval rating of 8.4 points, the strongest since August. 

    In that survey, 49.5 percent of respondents approved of Trump’s job performance, 41.1 percent disapproved, and 9.1 percent were undecided. 

    The poll surveyed 800 likely voters on December 20 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.46 percent.

    Recent polling aggregates confirm that the president’s approval rating remains underwater, though there has been a modest uptick compared to late 2025. 

    As of January 6, Decision Desk HQ’s national average places approval at 43.2 percent and disapproval at 53.3 percent, while Ballotpedia’s index shows a similar split of 42 percent approval and 55 percent disapproval. 

    At the time of writing, VoteHub’s live tracker reported that 42.5 percent approved and 53.9 percent disapproved, reinforcing the consensus that disapproval still exceeded approval by double digits. 

    Still, this represents a slight improvement from November’s lows near 41 percent. The shift is incremental rather than dramatic, leaving the president with a persistent net-negative rating.

    Decision Desk HQ’s polling tracker combines all credible public polls that meet the American Association for Public Opinion Research’s standards into an average, focusing on recent data, limiting the impact of campaign-funded polls and smoothing trends as more polls come in to give a clearer picture of public opinion.

    Similarly, Ballotpedia’s index averages the latest polls from trusted national sources over the past 30 days to give an up-to-date picture of public opinion, updating daily as new results come in.

    VoteHub, meanwhile, averages recent polls from reputable pollsters, giving more weight to newer polls, to provide a clear and simple snapshot of public opinion.

    What People Are Saying

    Scott Tranter, the director of data science at Decision Desk HQ, told The Hill: “Roughly a year in, he’s right in the middle. He’s right where, basically, he’s been all year, which is unremarkable. It’s remarkable because it’s unremarkable.” 

    InsiderAdvantage pollster Matt Towery said in a December analysis: “Interestingly, our recent job performance surveys have shown the number of undecided respondents at an unusually high number. This tells us that some voters, particularly independents, remain unsure as to his accomplishments so far. This suggests he has work to do as he and the GOP enter the midterm season.”

    White House spokesperson Kush Desai told Newsweek last month: “President Trump and every member of his administration are clear-eyed about the fact that Americans continue to reel from the lingering effects of Joe Biden’s generational economic crisis.

    “Turning the Biden economic disaster around has informed nearly every action the Trump administration has taken since Day One, from unleashing American energy to cut gas prices to signing historic drug pricing deals to cut costs for American patients. 

    “Much work remains, and every member of the Trump administration continues to focus on recreating the historic job, wage, and economic growth that Americans enjoyed during President Trump’s first term.”

    Desai also previously told Newsweek: “President Trump inherited the worst inflation crisis in a generation from Joe Biden’s incompetence, and his administration has rapidly cooled inflation to a 2.5 percent annualized rate. Americans can count on inflation continuing to fall and real wages continuing to rise.”

    President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social in December: “The polls are rigged even more than the writers. The real number is 64 percent, and why not, our Country is ‘hotter’ than ever before. Isn’t it nice to have a STRONG BORDER, No Inflation, a powerful Military, and great Economy??? Happy New Year!”

    What Happens Next

    The slight uptick in Trump’s approval rating coincides with major diplomatic and military actions—most notably the U.S. strike on Venezuela—and ongoing debates over economic performance, cost of living and party leadership heading into the midterm elections. 

    Polls show persistent concern among Americans about both economic and foreign policy developments, with majorities worried about prices, affordability and the U.S.’s role overseas. The administration’s policy decisions—both domestic and international—and the country’s day-to-day economic experiences are expected to be decisive in shaping public opinion and influencing the 2026 midterms.

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  • Six polls that show Donald Trump is in deep economic trouble

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    A series of national polls show President Donald Trump facing sustained disapproval over his handling of the U.S. economy, with warning signs even emerging among core Republican voters. 

    From record-low approval ratings to cracks in his MAGA base, the numbers suggest that Trump’s economic brand is under strain heading into the 2026 midterms.

    The White House maintains that Trump “inherited the worst inflation crisis in a generation from Joe Biden’s incompetence” and points to how the administration “rapidly cooled inflation to a 2.5 percent annualized rate.”

    A spokesman previously told Newsweek: “Turning the Biden economic disaster around has informed nearly every action the Trump administration has taken since Day One.”

    Newsweek contacted the White House via email outside of regular business hours for further comment.  

    Why It Matters

    The findings highlight the erosion of public satisfaction in the handling of a key pillar of Trump’s political identity—economic stewardship—at a pivotal moment before the 2026 midterm elections. As inflation and the rising cost of living persist, the administration’s capacity to maintain party unity and voter confidence could shape both legislative battles in Congress and the broader fight for control over the House and Senate.

    What To Know

    Trump’s second-term calling card was supposed to be economic revival. Instead, a raft of recent polls suggests Americans are dissatisfied with his handling of the economy, inflation, and affordability. 

    1. AP-NORC: Worst Economic Approval Rating From First or Second Term

    An Associated Press-NORC poll conducted December 4—8, 2025 found that only 31 percent of Americans approve of Trump’s handling of the economy, down from 40 percent in March, marking the lowest economic approval rating measured of his first or second term with this particular pollster. 

    The poll, involving 1,146 adults and a four-point margin of error, reported a significant drop in support among Republicans: approval fell from 78 percent in March to 69 percent in December.

    The survey also revealed that two-thirds of Americans rated the economy as “poor,” a sentiment unchanged since Biden’s final year in office.

    It also showed that financial strain is forcing nearly half (48 percent) of Americans to cut back on nonessential holiday spending, with 87 percent saying grocery prices are higher than usual. Lower-income households are especially hard hit, with increased numbers delaying major purchases or cutting back on essentials.

    2. Fox News: Trump Rated Worse Than Biden on Economy

    Separate polling from Fox News, conducted November 14-17 among 1,005 registered voters, found that 76 percent rate the U.S. economy negatively under Trump, up from 70 percent at the end of the Biden administration. 

    Voters blamed Trump for the economic situation at a two-to-one ratio over Biden (62 percent versus 32 percent).

    3. NBC News: MAGA Base Shows Cracks

    An NBC News Decision Desk poll, conducted by SurveyMonkey with a margin of error of plus or minus 1.9 percentage points, shows Trump’s overall approval at 42 percent, with 58 percent disapproval. 

    While 70 percent of MAGA Republicans still strongly approve, that’s an eight-point drop since April. 

    Economic concerns dominate in the poll, which surveyed 20,252 adults online from November 20 to December 8, with respondents citing inflation and cost-of-living pressures as top worries, despite Trump’s insistence that affordability is a “hoax.”

    4. Reuters/Ipsos: Affordability Still Hurts

    An online Reuters/Ipsos poll of 4,434 nationwide respondents, with a margin of error of two percentage points in either direction, shows Trump’s overall approval at 41 percent, up slightly from November.

    But his rating on cost-of-living issues remains weak at 31 percent, despite climbing from the previous month of 26 percent. 

    The poll, conducted between December 3 and 8, highlights that affordability is the dominant concern for voters, even as Trump touts tariff rollbacks and tax cuts.

    5. The Economist/YouGov: Net Negative on Economy

    The Economist’s tracker places Trump’s net approval at -16 percent, with Americans “especially dissatisfied” on inflation and economic management. 

    Ratings that were briefly positive after his inauguration have collapsed into strongly negative territory following tariff hikes and affordability woes.

    Inflation/prices (23 percent), and jobs and the economy (15 percent) were also rated as voters’ top concerns, signaling how important it is for Trump to score well on these issues. 

    6. Harvard CAPS/Harris: Inflation Tops Voter Concerns

    While this poll, which was conducted online within the United States on December 2-4, 2025, among 2,204 registered voters, shows Trump’s overall approval rebounding to 47 percent post-shutdown, his weakest issue remains inflation, where he scores just 40 percent approval. 

    A majority of voters (59 percent) say affordability is their top economic worry, suggesting that even perceived gains aren’t translating into confidence.

    What People Are Saying

    White House spokesman Kush Desai told Newsweek last week: “President Trump and every member of his Administration are clear-eyed about the fact that Americans continue to reel from the lingering effects of Joe Biden’s generational economic crisis. 

    “Turning the Biden economic disaster around has informed nearly every action the Trump administration has taken since Day One, from unleashing American energy to cut gas prices to signing historic drug pricing deals to cut costs for American patients. 

    “Much work remains, and every member of the Trump administration continues to focus on recreating the historic job, wage, and economic growth that Americans enjoyed during President Trump’s first term.”

    Desai also previously told Newsweek: “President Trump inherited the worst inflation crisis in a generation from Joe Biden’s incompetence, and his Administration has rapidly cooled inflation to a 2.5 percent annualized rate. Americans can count on inflation continuing to fall and real wages continuing to rise.” 

    Trump said in a Truth Social post: “When will I get credit for having created, with No Inflation, perhaps the Greatest Economy in the History of our Country?…When will Polls reflect the Greatness of America at this point in time, and how bad it was just one year ago?”

    Larry Reynolds, a 74-year-old Republican retiree from Wadsworth, Ohio, said: “I still back Trump’s approach in principle but believe the president’s escalating tariffs have become self-defeating…I don’t think it’ll be anything really soon. I think it’s just going to take time.”

    Democratic National Committee Rapid Response Director Kendall Witmer, said in a statement to Newsweek: “Donald Trump’s train wreck of an economy is catching up to him, and it’s no wonder voters are pissed. Trump promised to ‘lower costs on Day One,’ but prices are soaring, and good-paying jobs are out of reach for everyday Americans. Trump’s plan of action so far has been to call affordability a ‘hoax’ and tell Americans not to ‘be dramatic.’ Meanwhile, working families are skipping meals, forgoing critical medical care, and depleting their savings as Trump doubles down on his disastrous economic policies. While Trump twiddles his thumbs, Democrats are working tirelessly to bring down prices and lower the cost-of-living.”

    What Happens Next

    Expanding discontent over the economy poses risks for Republican prospects in the 2026 midterms, opening opportunities for primary challenges and Democratic gains in key swing districts

    The White House has launched a national tour seeking to shore up public confidence, while also deploying new policy measures and messaging that target ongoing inflation and the cost of living.

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