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Tag: tropical wave

  • NHC tracking tropical wave headed toward Caribbean

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    The National Hurricane Center tagged two new areas of interest in the Atlantic on Thursday. East of Windward IslandsA tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing large areas of showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. This tropical wave is in the same area some long-range models have been hinting at development for next week as well.Regardless of the system’s development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible as it moves across the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea next week. Formation chances for the next two days: zero percentFormation chances for the next seven days: 30%North AtlanticA non-tropical area of low pressure is currently developing well off the coast of the Northeast United States.This system is expected to drop southeastward and then turn northeastward by this weekend.Some subtropical or tropical development could occur while the system moves over the Gulf Stream to the northeast of Bermuda. Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through 7 days: 10%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center tagged two new areas of interest in the Atlantic on Thursday.

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    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    East of Windward Islands

    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing large areas of showers and thunderstorms.

    Gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.

    This tropical wave is in the same area some long-range models have been hinting at development for next week as well.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Regardless of the system’s development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible as it moves across the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea next week.

    • Formation chances for the next two days: zero percent
    • Formation chances for the next seven days: 30%

    North Atlantic

    A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently developing well off the coast of the Northeast United States.

    This system is expected to drop southeastward and then turn northeastward by this weekend.

    Some subtropical or tropical development could occur while the system moves over the Gulf Stream to the northeast of Bermuda.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • NHC tracking tropical wave headed toward Caribbean

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    The National Hurricane Center tagged two new areas of interest in the Atlantic on Thursday. East of Windward IslandsA tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing large areas of showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. This tropical wave is in the same area some long-range models have been hinting at development for next week as well.Regardless of the system’s development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible as it moves across the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea next week. Formation chances for the next two days: 10%Formation chances for the next seven days: 30%North AtlanticA non-tropical area of low pressure is currently developing several hundred miles to the south of Nova Scotia, Canada.This system is expected to drop southeastward and then turn northeastward by this weekend.Some subtropical or tropical development could occur while the system moves over the Gulf Stream to the northeast of Bermuda. Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through 7 days: 10%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center tagged two new areas of interest in the Atlantic on Thursday.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    East of Windward Islands

    A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing large areas of showers and thunderstorms.

    Gradual development of this system is expected over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.

    This tropical wave is in the same area some long-range models have been hinting at development for next week as well.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Regardless of the system’s development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible as it moves across the Windward Islands and into the Caribbean Sea next week.

    • Formation chances for the next two days: 10%
    • Formation chances for the next seven days: 30%

    North Atlantic

    A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently developing several hundred miles to the south of Nova Scotia, Canada.

    This system is expected to drop southeastward and then turn northeastward by this weekend.

    Some subtropical or tropical development could occur while the system moves over the Gulf Stream to the northeast of Bermuda.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • A tropical wave is forming in the Atlantic Ocean. Will it impact South Florida?

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    A tropical wave is brewing in the Atlantic Ocean.

    A tropical wave is brewing in the Atlantic Ocean.

    National Hurricane Center

    A tropical wave is brewing in the Atlantic Ocean as another tropical system drifting over Florida has already drenched the state with heavy rainfall. Where is the developing storm now — and where is it headed?

    The tropical wave, a broad area of low pressure, is currently several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, according to the National Hurricane Center’s Sunday morning update. Due to the system’s distance from land at the moment, it isn’t causing severe weather in the South Florida region.

    READ MORE: South Florida in for a rainy, maybe floody weekend as new Atlantic system brews

    The tropical wave is expected to further develop, with environmental conditions “appear[ing] conducive” for a tropical depression to form this week, the NHC said in its advisory. The system is expected to move quickly across the central tropical Atlantic and will approach the Leeward Islands later this week.

    So, what are the chances of cyclone formation? Per the NHC, they are:

    • In 48 hours: Medium at 40%
    • Through 7 days: High at 70%

    This story was originally published October 5, 2025 at 2:13 PM.

    Grethel Aguila

    Miami Herald

    Grethel covers courts and the criminal justice system for the Miami Herald. She graduated from the University of Florida (Go Gators!), speaks Spanish and Arabic and loves animals, traveling, basketball and good storytelling. Grethel also attends law school part time.

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  • System in Atlantic upgraded to Tropical Storm Humberto

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    The tropical wave tagged Invest 93-L has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Humberto on Wednesday evening, according to the National Hurricane Center. Humberto is located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands, and has become better defined with showers and thunderstorms becoming better organized this afternoon. The system is expected to move generally west-northwestward to northwestward into the western tropical Atlantic, well north of the Leeward Islands. Maximum sustained winds: 40 mphMinimum central pressure: 1008 mbGeneral movement: WNW at 15 mphFujiwhara EffectHumberto could meet up with another tropical wave dubbed Invest 94-L. When two cyclones come within about 870 miles (1,400 km), they can:Orbit each otherMerge into a single, stronger stormOne absorbs the otherOne is flung away, altering its pathMore tropics Hurricane Gabrielle continues to churn in the Atlantic, but is losing steam and is not expected to reach the U.S.Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The tropical wave tagged Invest 93-L has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Humberto on Wednesday evening, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    Humberto is located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands, and has become better defined with showers and thunderstorms becoming better organized this afternoon.

    The system is expected to move generally west-northwestward to northwestward into the western tropical Atlantic, well north of the Leeward Islands.

    • Maximum sustained winds: 40 mph
    • Minimum central pressure: 1008 mb
    • General movement: WNW at 15 mph

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Fujiwhara Effect

    Humberto could meet up with another tropical wave dubbed Invest 94-L.

    When two cyclones come within about 870 miles (1,400 km), they can:

    • Orbit each other
    • Merge into a single, stronger storm
    • One absorbs the other
    • One is flung away, altering its path

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    More tropics

    Hurricane Gabrielle continues to churn in the Atlantic, but is losing steam and is not expected to reach the U.S.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Latest updates: Tracking Hurricane Gabrielle and 2 tropical waves in the Atlantic

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    Hurricane Gabrielle continues to strengthen as it moves across the Atlantic Ocean on Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center. Gabrielle is anticipated to strengthen into a Category 3 storm by Tuesday. Meanwhile, the NHC is monitoring two more tropical waves in the Atlantic. Hurricane GabrielleHurricane Gabrielle is currently located southeast of Bermuda and moving north-northwest at 10 mph. Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 90 mph and a minimum central pressure of 978 mb.By Tuesday, Gabrielle is forecast to be a Category 3 storm. ImpactsHurricane Gabrielle isn’t expected to hit the U.S., but the swells generated by the storm will affect Bermuda for a few days. These swells are now reaching the east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward. Central tropical waveA tropical wave is producing showers and thunderstorms west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, according to the NHC.Environmental conditions are not favorable for initial development over the next day or two but are expected to gradually become more favorable by the middle to latter part of this week, NHC says.A tropical depression could form as the system moves west-northwestward across the central AtlanticFormation chance through the next 48 hours: 20%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 70% East of Windward IslandsNHC is monitoring another tropical wave located east of the Lesser Antilles Islands.The development is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves quickly westward. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for further development over the next several days.By the latter part of this week, the system is expected to slow down and turn more northwestward, moving north of Hispaniola, according to the NHC.Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 40%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    Hurricane Gabrielle continues to strengthen as it moves across the Atlantic Ocean on Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    Gabrielle is anticipated to strengthen into a Category 3 storm by Tuesday. Meanwhile, the NHC is monitoring two more tropical waves in the Atlantic.

    Hurricane Gabrielle

    Hurricane Gabrielle is currently located southeast of Bermuda and moving north-northwest at 10 mph.

    Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 90 mph and a minimum central pressure of 978 mb.

    By Tuesday, Gabrielle is forecast to be a Category 3 storm.

    Impacts

    Hurricane Gabrielle isn’t expected to hit the U.S., but the swells generated by the storm will affect Bermuda for a few days.

    These swells are now reaching the east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward.

    Central tropical wave

    A tropical wave is producing showers and thunderstorms west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, according to the NHC.

    Environmental conditions are not favorable for initial development over the next day or two but are expected to gradually become more favorable by the middle to latter part of this week, NHC says.

    A tropical depression could form as the system moves west-northwestward across the central Atlantic

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 20%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 70%

    East of Windward Islands

    NHC is monitoring another tropical wave located east of the Lesser Antilles Islands.

    The development is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves quickly westward.

    Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for further development over the next several days.

    By the latter part of this week, the system is expected to slow down and turn more northwestward, moving north of Hispaniola, according to the NHC.

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 40%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • Tropical Storm Gabrielle forecast to strengthen into hurricane this weekend, NHC says

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    Tropical Storm Gabrielle forecast to strengthen into hurricane this weekend, NHC says

    THE WEEKEND IS FINALLY HERE. IT’S NOT 100 DEGREES OUTSIDE AND PEOPLE CAN ACTUALLY HAVE SOME AND IT’S DRY. MARQUISE I THINK YOU’RE SERVING UP A NICE ONE TODAY. I LOVE THE OPTIMISM RADIATING OFF YOU GUYS RIGHT NOW. THE WEEKEND IS LOOKING GORGEOUS. ALMOST AS GOOD AS WE DID LOOK TODAY. AS A MATTER OF FACT, AS WE’RE BACK IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S INLAND, JUST A TOUCH COOLER ALONG THE COAST. UPPER 80S FOR YOU FOLKS. BUT AS WE CONTINUE ACROSS YOUR SEVEN DAY CERTIFIED MOST ACCURATE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND, WE’LL SEE THAT SUNSHINE RETURN ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF SOME FALL RAIN SHOWERS. SO A LOT TO LOOK FORWARD TO COMING OUR DIRECTION OUT IN DAYTONA BEACH RIGHT NOW. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN BACK INTO THE LOWER 80S. A COUPLE CLOUDS IN THE PICTURE MOMENTARILY. EVENTUALLY YOU’LL CLEAR OUT JUST LIKE EVERYBODY ELSE AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE 70S TONIGHT. RIGHT NOW, THE WINDS ARE COMING IN OFF THE SHORELINE. THAT’S INCREASING THE MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE, BUT IT WILL BE A DRY EVENING OVERALL IN REGARDS TO THE RAINFALL OUT ACROSS I 75. WE HAD A PAIR ACTUALLY A TRIPLET OF 86 DEGREE TEMPERATURES IN OCALA. THE VILLAGES IN WILDWOOD, INSIDE THE CITY. BEAUTIFUL. YOU’RE ROCKING 83 DEGREE TEMPERATURES HERE AT 718. AND OVER THE COURSE OF YOUR EVENING, YOU’LL SEE THOSE WINDS BEGIN TO CALM DOWN AS WELL. WITH THIS SYSTEM OF LOW PRESSURE PUSHING FURTHER TOWARDS THE EAST, OPENING THE DOOR FOR HIGH PRESSURE IN DRIER CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. BEAUTIFUL WEATHER FOR SOME FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL AS THE O’GALLEY COMMODORES ARE TAKING ON THE COCOA KNIGHTS IN BREVARD COUNTY, SHOWERS ARE NO LONGER IN THE PICTURE. JUST A LIGHT BREEZE WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE DURATION OF THE GAME. ALSO, THE OSCEOLA COWBOYS TAKING ON THE JONES FIGHTING TIGERS. A LITTLE BIT BREEZY EARLY ON. WE TALKED ABOUT THOSE WIND SPEEDS JUST A MOMENT AGO. WE’VE SEEN THE GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20MPH. RIGHT NOW THEY SIT BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MILE PER HOUR CONDITIONS AND YOU’RE PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE DURATION OF YOUR GAME AS WELL. OFF IN MELBOURNE WE DO SEE THOSE SKIES CLEARING OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE WISE WE DROP INTO THE UPPER 70S BEFORE THE NIGHT IS SAID AND DONE, PAVING THE WAY FOR PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES EARLY ON. NOW, ALONG THE COAST, THERE’S A SMALL CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS WITH THAT EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PULLING IN. WE’LL HOLD ON TO THAT SMALL OPPORTUNITY IN THE AFTERNOON. THE MAJORITY OF YOUR DAY ON SATURDAY, THOUGH, WILL BE FILLED WITH SUNSHINE UNTIL WE START TO WATCH OUT FOR THE SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS. AS WE TAKE A LOOK AT YOUR WEEKEND FORECAST ON FUTURECAST. HERE’S THAT HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT I WAS TALKING ABOUT, RIGHT? ANYTIME YOU HAVE A HIGH SURROUNDING YOUR NECK OF THE WOODS, YOU CAN EXPECT SOME FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS. ALMOST. THINK OF IT AS A DOME BLOCKING OUT THAT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM ENTERING. WINDS ARE ALSO PRIMARILY COMING IN FROM THE NORTH, AND THAT WILL KEEP YOU RIGHT AROUND YOUR SEASONAL AVERAGE, IF NOT JUST A BIT WARMER. AS FAR AS RAIN COVERAGE IS CONCERNED, SATURDAY AND SUNDAY LOOK PRISTINE. THIS WEEKEND, A 30% COVERAGE OF SHOWERS INLAND ON SATURDAY, A 20% CHANCE ON SUNDAY. UNFORTUNATELY, AS WE SWING INTO THE FIRST DAY OF FALL. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ELEVATED AND THAT’S COURTESY OF A STALLED STATIONARY BOUNDARY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC. AS WE TAKE YOU OUT TO THE ATLANTIC, OF COURSE, THE MAJOR HEADLINE THAT’S TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE, IN WHICH SOME MODELS, AS WE HEAD INTO THE START OF YOUR WORKWEEK, ARE INDICATING THIS FEATURE COULD INTENSIFY TO A CATEGORY TWO OR A CATEGORY THREE STORM. AS WE TAKE A PEEK AT THE CONE OF UNCERTAINTY. CATEGORY ONE ON SUNDAY. THAT’S SUNDAY EARLY ON IN THE MORNING. MAX WINDS AT 75MPH. BUT LOOK WHAT HAPPENS AS WE JUMP AHEAD TO THE START OF THE WORKWEEK ON MONDAY. 105 MILE PER HOUR CONDITIONS AS THE SYSTEM WILL BE JUST EAST OF THE ISLANDS OF BERMUDA. BACK HERE AT HOME, THOUGH, NO IMPACTS TO US IN REGARDS TO TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE. BUT WE SEE THAT ELEVATED RAIN CHANCE ON MONDAY TO KICK OFF THE WORKWEEK, COURTESY OF THAT STALLED STATIONARY BOUNDARY. THEREFORE, AS FALL BEGINS ON MONDAY, IT’S A 50% COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S. AND THE LOWER 90S WILL BE A FREQUENT SPOT FOR US BEC

    Tropical Storm Gabrielle forecast to strengthen into hurricane this weekend, NHC says

    Updated: 7:44 PM EDT Sep 19, 2025

    Editorial Standards

    Tropical Storm Gabrielle is expected to strengthen this weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center. The NHC said Gabrielle is forecast to become a hurricane by Sunday and pass east of Bermuda Sunday night and Monday.Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb. The system is moving west-northwest at a speed of 12 mph. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect at this time. However, the NHC advised Bermuda to monitor the progress of Gabrielle. Eastern tropical waveA tropical wave is producing showers and thunderstorms off the coast of Africa, according to the NHC.Slow development of this system is possible as it moves west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 0%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Tropical Storm Gabrielle is expected to strengthen this weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The NHC said Gabrielle is forecast to become a hurricane by Sunday and pass east of Bermuda Sunday night and Monday.

    Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb.

    The system is moving west-northwest at a speed of 12 mph.

    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect at this time. However, the NHC advised Bermuda to monitor the progress of Gabrielle.

    Eastern tropical wave

    A tropical wave is producing showers and thunderstorms off the coast of Africa, according to the NHC.

    Slow development of this system is possible as it moves west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 0%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Tropical Storm Gabrielle ‘poorly organized’ over the Atlantic, but expected to strengthen, NHC says

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    Tropical Storm Gabrielle formed over the Atlantic on Wednesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. The NHC said Gabrielle is poorly organized and battling strong wind shear as it jogs toward the west-northwest. Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb.The NHC said little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but some gradual intensification is forecast over the weekend. Tropical Storm Gabrielle could strengthen into a hurricane. However, it is not expected to affect land during the next several days.There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect at this time. Eastern tropical waveA new tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa by Friday, according to the NHC.Slow development of this system is possible as it moves west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 0%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Tropical Storm Gabrielle formed over the Atlantic on Wednesday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The NHC said Gabrielle is poorly organized and battling strong wind shear as it jogs toward the west-northwest.

    Gabrielle has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1004 mb.

    The NHC said little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but some gradual intensification is forecast over the weekend.

    Tropical Storm Gabrielle could strengthen into a hurricane. However, it is not expected to affect land during the next several days.

    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect at this time.

    Eastern tropical wave

    A new tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa by Friday, according to the NHC.

    Slow development of this system is possible as it moves west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 0%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Invest 92-L could become next tropical storm; NHC monitoring new area of interest

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    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two areas in the Atlantic. Tropical wave Invest 92-LThe tropical wave, designated as Invest 92-L, is located between the Windward Islands and the coast of West Africa and is producing showers and thunderstorms.Dry and stable air could likely limit this system’s development over the next few days, but a tropical depression or named storm could form by the middle to latter part of this week.The system is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic, the NHC said.Related: Tracking Invest 92-L: Maps, path, spaghetti models Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 90%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 90%At this time, the development is not expected to affect the U.S.Eastern tropical wave The NHC tagged a new area to monitor off the west coast of Africa. The tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Slow development of the system is possible as it moves from the eastern to the central portion of the Atlantic. Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two areas in the Atlantic.

    Tropical wave Invest 92-L

    The tropical wave, designated as Invest 92-L, is located between the Windward Islands and the coast of West Africa and is producing showers and thunderstorms.

    Dry and stable air could likely limit this system’s development over the next few days, but a tropical depression or named storm could form by the middle to latter part of this week.

    The system is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic, the NHC said.

    Related: Tracking Invest 92-L: Maps, path, spaghetti models

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 90%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 90%

    At this time, the development is not expected to affect the U.S.

    Eastern tropical wave

    The NHC tagged a new area to monitor off the west coast of Africa. The tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    Slow development of the system is possible as it moves from the eastern to the central portion of the Atlantic.

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Invest 91-L to become next tropical depression in the Atlantic Ocean, NHC says

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    Invest 91-L is expected to become a tropical depression this weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center.The tropical wave, tagged as Invest 91-L, is producing concentrated but disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic. The environmental conditions appear conducive for the system to continue developing.According to the NHC, the system is expected to be near the Lesser Antilles by mid-next week. A tropical depression is expected to form this weekend.At this time, it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this disturbance may cause.Formation chances for the next 48 hours: 60%Formation chances for the next seven days: 90% Global modelsModels are taking the system toward the Caribbean islands. If it rapidly intensifies, the system would recurve. The weaker the system stays, the further it shifts westward. However, once the wave develops into a tropical depression, it will be easier to determine its potential path. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    Invest 91-L is expected to become a tropical depression this weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The tropical wave, tagged as Invest 91-L, is producing concentrated but disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

    The environmental conditions appear conducive for the system to continue developing.

    According to the NHC, the system is expected to be near the Lesser Antilles by mid-next week. A tropical depression is expected to form this weekend.

    At this time, it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this disturbance may cause.

    • Formation chances for the next 48 hours: 60%
    • Formation chances for the next seven days: 90%

    Global models

    Models are taking the system toward the Caribbean islands. If it rapidly intensifies, the system would recurve.

    The weaker the system stays, the further it shifts westward.

    However, once the wave develops into a tropical depression, it will be easier to determine its potential path.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • National Hurricane Center tags Invest 91-L in Atlantic Ocean

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    The National Hurricane Center tagged Invest 91-L in the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday morning. The tropical wave, tagged as Invest 91-L, is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and thunderstorms are associated with this tropical wave. The environmental conditions appear conducive for the system to continue developing.According to the NHC, the system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at a speed of 5 to 10 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the week. A tropical depression is expected to form this week or next week.At this time, it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this disturbance may cause.Formation chances for the next 48 hours: 60%Formation chances for the next seven days: 90% Global modelsRecent trends indicate a westward shift in the system’s trajectory. Both the European and GFS models are keeping the system from making landfall in the U.S.However, once the wave develops into a tropical depression, it will be easier to determine its potential path. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center tagged Invest 91-L in the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday morning.

    The tropical wave, tagged as Invest 91-L, is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

    Showers and thunderstorms are associated with this tropical wave. The environmental conditions appear conducive for the system to continue developing.

    According to the NHC, the system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at a speed of 5 to 10 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the week.

    A tropical depression is expected to form this week or next week.

    At this time, it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this disturbance may cause.

    • Formation chances for the next 48 hours: 60%
    • Formation chances for the next seven days: 90%

    Global models

    Recent trends indicate a westward shift in the system’s trajectory.

    Both the European and GFS models are keeping the system from making landfall in the U.S.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    However, once the wave develops into a tropical depression, it will be easier to determine its potential path.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Tropical Storm Fernand pulls away from US

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    Tropical Storm Fernand pulls away from US

    Tropical Storm Fernand is now rumbling through the Atlantic

    >> JUST GETTING IN THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE 05:00AM ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM FAIR. NOT NOW. THIS IS REALLY JUST MAINTAINING STRENGTH, BUT IT’S OVER 300 MILES NOW EAST-NORTHEAST OF EVEN BERMUDA. SO THIS IS JUST OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC AND IT IS MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. SO NOT LOOKING ALL TOO IMPRESSIVE. AND WITH THE LATEST SPAGHETTI PLOTS, WE DO HAVE A REALLY GOOD CONSENSUS THAT HIGH PUNCHING THAT THIS CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEAST HEADING TOWARD THE FAR NORTHERN SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC WHERE I DO EXPECT IT TO EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE WEEK. SO THE LATEST FORECAST CONE SHOWING THAT WHAT WE COULD SEE SOME WOBBLES IN INTENSITY, PERHAPS SOME OCCASIONAL STRENGTHENING, NOT FOR LONG. WE DO NOT EXPECT THIS TO REACH HURRICANE STATUS OF HER. AND WE EXPECT THIS TO EVENTUALLY ON WEDNESDAY TRANSITION TO A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MEETING. IT WILL HAVE LOST ALL OF ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IT POSES NO THREAT TO THE U.S.. THAT IS, OF COURSE NOT. THE ONLY THING I’M MONITORING THIS MORNING ON TOP OF TROPICAL STORM FAIR NON-LOCAL INTO THE SOUTH OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS MORNING. A DISTURBANCE WITH LOW ODDS FOR DEVELOPMENT. WE’RE TALKING HAD DECREASED OVER THE WEEKEND TO JUST 10%. SO OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS, EVEN THE NEXT WEEK, LOW ODDS TO SEE SOME SORT OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THIS IS STILL PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND STORMS. EVEN THOUGH THE COVERAGE IS DECREASING A BIT THIS MORNING AND FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, AT LEAST SOME GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT E DAY TODAY, EVEN INTO TOMORROW AS THIS TROPICAL WAVE MOVES WEST. SO AS OF NOW, NOT SEEING HIGH LIKELIHOOD THAT THIS EVER ACTUALLY DEVELOPS. BUT WE’RE GOING TO BE STAYING ON TOP OF IT, OF COURSE, AT THIS POINT IN HURRICANE SEASON. WE’RE ALSO 3RD THROUGH OUR STORM NAMES LIST. THE NEXT NAME ON THE LIST. GABRIEL AND THEN UMBERTO. SO WE’RE GONNA BE WATCHING FOR THAT. AND KEEP IN MIND, WE’RE JUST ABOUT 2 WEEKS OUT FROM THE STATISTICAL PEAK OF HURRICANE SEASON. ALL RIGHT, LIVE RADAR, SWEEPING, CLEAR WATCHING SOME OF THOSE SPOTTY SHOWERS JUST OFF THE COAST OF CHARLOTTE COUNTY. BUT MOST OF US IN GREAT SHAPE AFTER A VERY SOGGY WEEKEND, HOWEVER, WITH EVEN SOME FLOODING CONCERNS FOR PARTS OF LEE COUNTY. SO WHO IS FAVORED TO SEE THE RAIN AGAIN TODAY? WHILE COASTAL SPOTS, SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS AND STORMS INTO THE MORNING HOURS. AND WE’RE LOOKING AT THAT POSSIBLE HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED STORM. SO WE DO NOT EXPECT THE COVERAGE TO BE NEARLY AS HIGH AS WHAT WE SAW SATURDAY OR SUNDAY. HOWEVER, YOU ARE STILL GOING TO WANT THE UMBRELLA HANDY. WE’RE LOOKING AT A RINSE AND REPEAT PATTERN STILL EVERY SINGLE DAY OVER THE NEXT WEEK. SO NOT SEEING THE RAINY SEASON WEAKENING ANYTIME SOON. IN FACT, THE RAINY SEASON DOESN’T COME TO AN END UNTIL USUALLY THE MIDDLE OF OCTOBER. SO WE STILL HAVE QUITE A WAYS TO GO TEMPERATURE NO RELIEF THERE. LOW TO MID 90’S EVERY SINGLE DAY MORNINGS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70’S. SO PRETTY SEASONAL. I DON’T EXPECT RECORD HEAT, BUT WE’RE ALSO NOT GETTING IN ON ANY SORT OF COOL DOW

    Tropical Storm Fernand pulls away from US

    Tropical Storm Fernand is now rumbling through the Atlantic

    Updated: 2:28 AM PDT Aug 25, 2025

    Editorial Standards

    The Atlantic Basin remains active as Tropical Storm Fernand spins over the open Atlantic and a disturbance near the Windward Islands has a low chance for development.Tropical Storm Fernand At 5 a.m. Monday, Tropical Storm Fernand maintained strength with sustained winds at 50 mph. It’s currently 360 miles east-northeast of Bermuda and moving north-northeast at 12 mph.It is forecast to head toward cooler sea surface temperatures and high wind shear, making a transition to post-tropical by Wednesday.Fernand poses no threat to the U.S. and is expected to dissipate by Thursday.Invest 99LNear the Windward Islands, the National Hurricane Center has designated a tropical wave as Invest 99L in the region highlighted in yellow. Chances for development have decreased to only 10% as the system tracks west. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are the main threats in the Windward Islands over the next two days.As 99L pushes deeper into the Caribbean, there is potential that it could reach an area of more favorable development conditions later this week. Count on the Gulf Coast Storm Team to keep you informed.

    The Atlantic Basin remains active as Tropical Storm Fernand spins over the open Atlantic and a disturbance near the Windward Islands has a low chance for development.

    Tropical Storm Fernand

    At 5 a.m. Monday, Tropical Storm Fernand maintained strength with sustained winds at 50 mph. It’s currently 360 miles east-northeast of Bermuda and moving north-northeast at 12 mph.

    Tracking the tropics

    hurricane

    It is forecast to head toward cooler sea surface temperatures and high wind shear, making a transition to post-tropical by Wednesday.

    Fernand poses no threat to the U.S. and is expected to dissipate by Thursday.

    Invest 99L

    Near the Windward Islands, the National Hurricane Center has designated a tropical wave as Invest 99L in the region highlighted in yellow.

    Area of Interest

    Chances for development have decreased to only 10% as the system tracks west. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are the main threats in the Windward Islands over the next two days.

    As 99L pushes deeper into the Caribbean, there is potential that it could reach an area of more favorable development conditions later this week. Count on the Gulf Coast Storm Team to keep you informed.

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  • Hurricane Erin churns up dangerous surf and rip currents along the East Coast

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    Hurricane Erin is churning up life-threatening rip currents and dangerous surf along much of the U.S. East Coast and will soon send destructive waves and storm surge to North Carolina’s Outer Banks. Meanwhile, Atlantic hurricane season is hitting its stride, threatening to spin up another named storm in Erin’s wake.Erin, a sprawling Category 2 hurricane, is not forecast to make landfall but will impact much of the East Coast with dangerous coastal conditions as it tracks north, nearly paralleling the coast. Bermuda will face similar conditions to the storm’s east.Preparations are ramping up along the coast with the worst of Erin’s impacts expected to begin Wednesday in North Carolina. Gov. Josh Stein declared a state of emergency on Tuesday to free up resources as the state’s coastal region readies up for the hurricane’s threats.Erin is already creating dangers: Dozens of rip current rescues have been conducted in North Carolina, and popular beaches in Maryland, Virginia, Delaware and New Jersey, as well as all public beaches in New York City, have enacted no swimming decrees until Erin’s threat passes.More than a dozen people were rescued at North Carolina’s Wrightsville Beach on Tuesday, following about 60 rescues at the beach Monday, according to Sam Proffitt, the town’s ocean rescue director.The beach has issued a no-swim advisory through Friday, but Proffitt said most of those rescued have been beachgoers going for a swim on what is seemingly just another hot, sunny day. But Erin is already causing frequent rip currents in the area.“They are very large, sometimes several blocks wide, and extremely strong,” Proffitt told CNN. “It’s a lot of water moving. It’s a lot of energy. It’s all funneling out. So it really doesn’t matter how good of a swimmer you are.”Not far to the north, Surf City Fire Department Ocean Rescue Services made 15 rescues Monday, Fire Chief Allen Wilson told CNN.A tropical storm warning stretches from the middle of North Carolina’s coast up to its border of Virginia. The warning means tropical-storm-force winds (39 to 73 mph) are expected within 36 hours. A tropical storm watch has been issued for areas north of the Virginia–North Carolina border up to Chincoteague, Virginia, just south of Delaware.A tropical storm watch has also been issued for Bermuda.Dare and Hyde counties, which encompass most of the Outer Banks, have already issued local states of emergency with mandatory evacuations for Hatteras and Ocracoke islands.Officials worried some may disregard the danger because landfall isn’t expected. “They’re thinking since this one isn’t going to hit us directly, it’s not going to be a problem. Well, it’s going to be a problem,” Dare County Manager Robert Outten told WITN.North Carolina’s Highway 12, the slim, scenic stretch of road connecting the islands of the Outer Banks, could be completely inaccessible for several days due to significant coastal flooding. Other coastal roads could be impassable at times, especially around high tide.“I know many who live on the island feel they can ride out a storm, but Hurricane Erin is different,” Dare County Emergency Management Director Drew Pearson said in a Tuesday news release. “Extended flooding and the threat to Highway 12 will severely limit our ability to respond — and even a slight shift in Erin’s track toward our coast could bring much more dangerous conditions. Please, do not take the risk. Evacuate now, while it is still safe to do so.”The hurricane exploded in strength to a Category 5 over the weekend, fueled by very warm water, in one of the fastest rapid intensification bursts on record in the Atlantic. While its category has changed since then, its threat has not.Its outer bands lashed Puerto Rico, the southeast Bahamas and Turks and Caicos, causing flooding, power outages and some airport closures.Erin’s life-threatening impactsThe hurricane’s impact will be felt not through direct landfall, but through water: large, pounding surf, dangerous currents and coastal flooding during high tides.That water is being driven by Erin’s expansive winds. Tropical storm-force winds extended more than 260 miles out from Erin’s center early Wednesday and could reach even farther by Thursday, when it makes its closest pass to the North Carolina coast.Erin’s winds could push up to 4 feet of storm surge onto the Outer Banks late Wednesday into Thursday. A storm surge warning is in effect for a large portion of the region. Rip current risks will remain high along much of the East Coast through late this week.Extensive beach erosion is likely in the Outer Banks, with waves of 20 feet or more forecast this week, according to the National Weather Service. These large waves “will likely cause severe beach and coastal damage,” the National Weather Service in Morehead City, North Carolina, cautioned Tuesday.Protective sand dunes could be inundated and destroyed, which could lead to severe flooding inland, National Park Service officials at Cape Hatteras National Seashore warned Monday.Multiple Outer Banks homes have collapsed into the ocean in recent years, including at least three around this time last year from Hurricane Ernesto’s waves. At least two homes in Rodanthe are “very, very vulnerable” to collapse this week, Cape Hatteras National Seashore Superintendent Dave Hallac told WRAL.As if that wasn’t enough, the tides around the Outer Banks will be at their highest levels of the month on Wednesday and Thursday. Adding Erin’s large waves to the mix could cause serious coastal flooding.Bermuda also lies in Erin’s path of influence, with forecasters expecting the island to see very rough seas and possibly tropical storm–force winds later this week.More tropical trouble could follow ErinAtlantic hurricane season’s most active stretch typically kicks off in mid-August and that’s certainly ringing true this year. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two areas for possible tropical development in the same part of the Atlantic Erin tracked through last week.The first area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is over the open tropical Atlantic and has a medium chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm within the next week.The storminess is forecast to approach the Leeward Islands on Friday, but it’s still unclear if it will be able to develop into at least a tropical depression by then or if that organization will happen over the weekend. Without that key point in focus, it’s even less clear where the system could head from there. Anyone in the Caribbean, Bahamas and southeastern U.S. should keep an eye on the forecast this week.Another area near Africa’s Cabo Verde islands has a low chance to develop over the next few days before it runs into more hostile atmospheric conditions at the end of the week. If this system does develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm in the coming days, it will likely slowly trudge over the Atlantic, away from land, into at least next week.The next two tropical storms that develop in the Atlantic will be given the names Fernand and Gabrielle.

    Hurricane Erin is churning up life-threatening rip currents and dangerous surf along much of the U.S. East Coast and will soon send destructive waves and storm surge to North Carolina’s Outer Banks. Meanwhile, Atlantic hurricane season is hitting its stride, threatening to spin up another named storm in Erin’s wake.

    Erin, a sprawling Category 2 hurricane, is not forecast to make landfall but will impact much of the East Coast with dangerous coastal conditions as it tracks north, nearly paralleling the coast. Bermuda will face similar conditions to the storm’s east.

    Preparations are ramping up along the coast with the worst of Erin’s impacts expected to begin Wednesday in North Carolina. Gov. Josh Stein declared a state of emergency on Tuesday to free up resources as the state’s coastal region readies up for the hurricane’s threats.

    Erin is already creating dangers: Dozens of rip current rescues have been conducted in North Carolina, and popular beaches in Maryland, Virginia, Delaware and New Jersey, as well as all public beaches in New York City, have enacted no swimming decrees until Erin’s threat passes.

    hurricane

    More than a dozen people were rescued at North Carolina’s Wrightsville Beach on Tuesday, following about 60 rescues at the beach Monday, according to Sam Proffitt, the town’s ocean rescue director.

    The beach has issued a no-swim advisory through Friday, but Proffitt said most of those rescued have been beachgoers going for a swim on what is seemingly just another hot, sunny day. But Erin is already causing frequent rip currents in the area.

    “They are very large, sometimes several blocks wide, and extremely strong,” Proffitt told CNN. “It’s a lot of water moving. It’s a lot of energy. It’s all funneling out. So it really doesn’t matter how good of a swimmer you are.”

    Not far to the north, Surf City Fire Department Ocean Rescue Services made 15 rescues Monday, Fire Chief Allen Wilson told CNN.

    A tropical storm warning stretches from the middle of North Carolina’s coast up to its border of Virginia. The warning means tropical-storm-force winds (39 to 73 mph) are expected within 36 hours. A tropical storm watch has been issued for areas north of the Virginia–North Carolina border up to Chincoteague, Virginia, just south of Delaware.

    A tropical storm watch has also been issued for Bermuda.

    Dare and Hyde counties, which encompass most of the Outer Banks, have already issued local states of emergency with mandatory evacuations for Hatteras and Ocracoke islands.

    Officials worried some may disregard the danger because landfall isn’t expected. “They’re thinking since this one isn’t going to hit us directly, it’s not going to be a problem. Well, it’s going to be a problem,” Dare County Manager Robert Outten told WITN.

    North Carolina’s Highway 12, the slim, scenic stretch of road connecting the islands of the Outer Banks, could be completely inaccessible for several days due to significant coastal flooding. Other coastal roads could be impassable at times, especially around high tide.

    “I know many who live on the island feel they can ride out a storm, but Hurricane Erin is different,” Dare County Emergency Management Director Drew Pearson said in a Tuesday news release. “Extended flooding and the threat to Highway 12 will severely limit our ability to respond — and even a slight shift in Erin’s track toward our coast could bring much more dangerous conditions. Please, do not take the risk. Evacuate now, while it is still safe to do so.”

    The hurricane exploded in strength to a Category 5 over the weekend, fueled by very warm water, in one of the fastest rapid intensification bursts on record in the Atlantic. While its category has changed since then, its threat has not.

    Its outer bands lashed Puerto Rico, the southeast Bahamas and Turks and Caicos, causing flooding, power outages and some airport closures.

    Erin’s life-threatening impacts

    The hurricane’s impact will be felt not through direct landfall, but through water: large, pounding surf, dangerous currents and coastal flooding during high tides.

    That water is being driven by Erin’s expansive winds. Tropical storm-force winds extended more than 260 miles out from Erin’s center early Wednesday and could reach even farther by Thursday, when it makes its closest pass to the North Carolina coast.

    Erin’s winds could push up to 4 feet of storm surge onto the Outer Banks late Wednesday into Thursday. A storm surge warning is in effect for a large portion of the region. Rip current risks will remain high along much of the East Coast through late this week.

    Storms in the Atlantic as shown by satellite.

    Extensive beach erosion is likely in the Outer Banks, with waves of 20 feet or more forecast this week, according to the National Weather Service. These large waves “will likely cause severe beach and coastal damage,” the National Weather Service in Morehead City, North Carolina, cautioned Tuesday.

    Protective sand dunes could be inundated and destroyed, which could lead to severe flooding inland, National Park Service officials at Cape Hatteras National Seashore warned Monday.

    Multiple Outer Banks homes have collapsed into the ocean in recent years, including at least three around this time last year from Hurricane Ernesto’s waves. At least two homes in Rodanthe are “very, very vulnerable” to collapse this week, Cape Hatteras National Seashore Superintendent Dave Hallac told WRAL.

    As if that wasn’t enough, the tides around the Outer Banks will be at their highest levels of the month on Wednesday and Thursday. Adding Erin’s large waves to the mix could cause serious coastal flooding.

    Bermuda also lies in Erin’s path of influence, with forecasters expecting the island to see very rough seas and possibly tropical storm–force winds later this week.

    More tropical trouble could follow Erin

    Atlantic hurricane season’s most active stretch typically kicks off in mid-August and that’s certainly ringing true this year. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two areas for possible tropical development in the same part of the Atlantic Erin tracked through last week.

    The first area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is over the open tropical Atlantic and has a medium chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm within the next week.

    The storminess is forecast to approach the Leeward Islands on Friday, but it’s still unclear if it will be able to develop into at least a tropical depression by then or if that organization will happen over the weekend. Without that key point in focus, it’s even less clear where the system could head from there. Anyone in the Caribbean, Bahamas and southeastern U.S. should keep an eye on the forecast this week.

    Another area near Africa’s Cabo Verde islands has a low chance to develop over the next few days before it runs into more hostile atmospheric conditions at the end of the week. If this system does develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm in the coming days, it will likely slowly trudge over the Atlantic, away from land, into at least next week.

    The next two tropical storms that develop in the Atlantic will be given the names Fernand and Gabrielle.

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  • NHC continues to monitor 3 disturbances, possible tropical depressions

    NHC continues to monitor 3 disturbances, possible tropical depressions

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    The National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico — all of them with development chances.Northwestern Gulf of MexicoA broad area of low pressure just offshore of Texas’ upper coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.For the next couple of days, the NHC says the system will meander near the coast, possibly developing further if it stays offshore long enough. The system is expected to move inland Tuesday, and development is not expected after that.Regardless of development, the NHC says heavy rains and flash flooding is possible over the next few days.Formation chances remain low, holding at only 10% for both the next 48 hours and the next seven days.Lesser Antilles and Caribbean SeaA tropical wave near the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds in the area, Puerto Rico and adjacent Caribbean waters.According to the NHC, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development when the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico later this week and into the weekend, which is when a tropical depression could form.Formation chances remain low for now (near 0%), but jump to 40% in the next seven days, which is considered “medium.”Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Eastern Tropical AtlanticAnother tropical wave off the west coast of Africa is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and the NHC says a tropical depression could form in a few days as the system moves west-northwestward.According to the NHC, this system could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands soon.For now, formation chances remain low at 10% for the next 48 hours. However, that chance becomes 40% in the weeklong forecast.Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    The National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico — all of them with development chances.

    Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

    A broad area of low pressure just offshore of Texas’ upper coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    For the next couple of days, the NHC says the system will meander near the coast, possibly developing further if it stays offshore long enough. The system is expected to move inland Tuesday, and development is not expected after that.

    Regardless of development, the NHC says heavy rains and flash flooding is possible over the next few days.

    Formation chances remain low, holding at only 10% for both the next 48 hours and the next seven days.

    Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea

    A tropical wave near the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds in the area, Puerto Rico and adjacent Caribbean waters.

    According to the NHC, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development when the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico later this week and into the weekend, which is when a tropical depression could form.

    Formation chances remain low for now (near 0%), but jump to 40% in the next seven days, which is considered “medium.”

    INVEST 95

    Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic

    Another tropical wave off the west coast of Africa is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    The environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and the NHC says a tropical depression could form in a few days as the system moves west-northwestward.

    According to the NHC, this system could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands soon.

    For now, formation chances remain low at 10% for the next 48 hours. However, that chance becomes 40% in the weeklong forecast.

    Tropical Wave Info

    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • NHC watching 3 disturbances, including in Gulf of Mexico

    NHC watching 3 disturbances, including in Gulf of Mexico

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    Two tropical waves are moving through the Atlantic and another is in the Gulf of Mexico, according to the National Hurricane Center, and they all have the possibility of developing.Northwestern Gulf of MexicoA broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development is possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few days. Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%.Formation chance through 7 days: 20%Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean SeaA tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The disturbance is forecast to move westward and reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday followed by a gradual development and a possible tropical depression. Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent Formation chance through 7 days: 50%Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave located just to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the system moves slowly westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic through late next week. Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percentFormation chance through 7 days: 10%Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Two tropical waves are moving through the Atlantic and another is in the Gulf of Mexico, according to the National Hurricane Center, and they all have the possibility of developing.

    Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

    A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Texas and Louisiana.

    This system is expected to linger near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development is possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few days.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%.

    Formation chance through 7 days: 20%

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea

    A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    The disturbance is forecast to move westward and reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday followed by a gradual development and a possible tropical depression.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent

    Formation chance through 7 days: 50%

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

    Another tropical wave located just to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.

    Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the system moves slowly westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic through late next week.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent

    Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

    Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Tracking the Tropics: NHC tags tropical wave over the Central Atlantic Ocean

    Tracking the Tropics: NHC tags tropical wave over the Central Atlantic Ocean

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    The National Hurricane Center has tagged a new area of interest in the tropical Atlantic that has some chance of developing as it moves toward Florida. According to the NHC, an area of disturbed weather is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. The large tropical wave just moved off Africa’s west coast and is expected to keep moving west. The exact path and development of this system is still uncertain as it’s too early to make any definitive predictions. Some model runs show something tropical forming near the state next week, but other models show nothing at all. WESH 2 First Warning meteorologists are keeping tabs on the system as it moves west. The tropical system will have to fight a lot of dry air and dust as it moves across the tropics, which could completely tear the system apart. WESH 2 will provide you with the latest tropics updates as we watch this system over the next week.According to the NHC, formation chances for this area of interest remain low, sitting near 0% for the next 48 hours and 30% for the next seven days. Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2More: Where do hurricanes begin?First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    The National Hurricane Center has tagged a new area of interest in the tropical Atlantic that has some chance of developing as it moves toward Florida.

    According to the NHC, an area of disturbed weather is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. The large tropical wave just moved off Africa’s west coast and is expected to keep moving west.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    The exact path and development of this system is still uncertain as it’s too early to make any definitive predictions.

    Some model runs show something tropical forming near the state next week, but other models show nothing at all. WESH 2 First Warning meteorologists are keeping tabs on the system as it moves west.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    The tropical system will have to fight a lot of dry air and dust as it moves across the tropics, which could completely tear the system apart. WESH 2 will provide you with the latest tropics updates as we watch this system over the next week.

    According to the NHC, formation chances for this area of interest remain low, sitting near 0% for the next 48 hours and 30% for the next seven days.

    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    More: Where do hurricanes begin?

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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