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Tag: tropical depression

  • Hurricane forecasters watch new system in the Atlantic as Jerry dies off

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    The National Hurricane Center is tracking a system that might form into a tropical depression next week but not near any land, forecasters said.

    The National Hurricane Center is tracking a system that might form into a tropical depression next week but not near any land, forecasters said.

    NHC

    A new system being tracked in the Atlantic Ocean might become a tropical depression next week but is nowhere near land, hurricane forecasters said Saturday. Former Tropical Storm Jerry died off Saturday afternoon.

    The newest disturbance is sitting over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands off the coast of Africa, the National Hurricane Center said in its 8 p.m. advisory. It’s described as a large area of showers and thunderstorms.

    The weather around the system seems just right for some forecasted formation.

    “A tropical depression could form next week while moving west-northwestward to northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic,” forecasters said.

    It has a low (30%) chance of forming in the next two days, and a 50% chance in the next seven. If it forms, the hurricane center shows no land masses will be nearby.

    The remnants of former Tropical Storm Jerry dissipated at 5 p.m. Saturday, forecasters said.
    The remnants of former Tropical Storm Jerry dissipated at 5 p.m. Saturday, forecasters said. NHC

    The remnants of former Tropical Storm Jerry were still moving north about 330 miles south-southeast of Bermuda, according to the hurricane center’s 5 p.m. advisory.

    It has degenerated into a trough, forecasters said, and will no longer be tracked.

    Devoun Cetoute

    Miami Herald

    Miami Herald Cops and Breaking News Reporter Devoun Cetoute covers a plethora of Florida topics, from breaking news to crime patterns. He was on the breaking news team that won a Pulitzer Prize in 2022. He’s a graduate of the University of Florida, born and raised in Miami-Dade. Theme parks, movies and cars are on his mind in and out of the office.

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    Devoun Cetoute

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  • Watches, warnings discontinued as Tropical Storm Jerry weakens

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    Watches, warnings discontinued as Tropical Storm Jerry weakens

    CENTRAL FLORIDA IS AGAIN A HURRICANE HOTSPOT THIS YEAR. OH MY GOD. MAKE SURE THAT YOU’RE PREPARING FOR THE POTENTIAL THAT YOU MAY HAVE TO EVACUATE. WE’VE SEEN THE IMPACT OF CATASTROPHIC STORMS. EVERY LOT THAT’S EMPTY WAS SOMEBODY’S HOME FOR 100 YEAR FLOODS. FLOODS THAT AREN’T SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN FOR 100 YEARS HAVE HAPPENED FOUR TIMES IN THE LAST 6 TO 7 YEARS BEFORE, DURING AND AFTER A HURRICANE. THE WESH TWO FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM IS HERE TO HELP. WE’RE STICKING TO A BUDGET FOR YOUR HURRICANE KIT AND STAYING IN TOUCH WITH LOCAL LEADERS ABOUT THEIR PLANS TO KEEP YOU SAFE. WE’VE BEEN WORKING ON A PROCESS SINCE MILTON IN ORDER TO BETTER THE SERVICE THAT WE PROVIDE TO THE RESIDENTS. THE TIME TO PREPARE IS NOW. SURVIVING THE SEASON. THE 2020 HURRICANE SPECIAL. AS WE GET INTO THE THICK OF THE 2025 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON, YOU SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF AND WHEN A STORM HEADS OUR WAY. THANK YOU FOR JOINING US. I’M STEWART MOORE AND I’M MICHELLE IMPERATO. WE HAVE A LOT TO COVER WHEN IT COMES TO STORM PREPARATIONS AND WHERE TO GET HELP AFTER A HURRICANE. BUT FIRST, THIS SEASON COMES WITH A LOT OF UNKNOWNS. THE FEDERAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY, OR FEMA, STRUGGLED WITH BUDGET CUTS AND LAYOFFS THIS YEAR. THE FULL IMPACT REMAINS TO BE SEEN AS THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION WORKS TO OVERHAUL THE AGENCY. IN JANUARY, PRESIDENT TRUMP FLOATED THE IDEA OF GETTING RID OF FEMA AND SHIFTING FEMA’S RESPONSIBILITIES TO STATES AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS. THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT ALSO CUT FUNDING FOR THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION, OR NOAA, WHICH PLAYS A BIG PART IN WEATHER FORECASTING. AND WHILE THE SITUATION WITH THE GOVERNMENT COULD CHANGE THE STEPS TO PREPARE FOR A HURRICANE ARE TRIED AND TRUE. SO THAT’S OUR FIRST WARNING. WEATHER TEAM IS FOCUSED RIGHT NOW, STARTING WITH CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI. WITH THE 2025 HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. AND HERE WE GO AGAIN. I TELL YOU WHAT, ONCE AGAIN, MICHELLE IT LOOKS ACTIVE. YOU TAKE A LOOK AT THE NUMBERS. NOW NOAA CAME OUT WITH THEIR OUTLOOK 13 TO 19 NAMED STORMS. COLORADO STATE RIGHT AROUND 17. YOU GO TO WESH 16 TO 20 AND THE NUMBER OF MAJOR HURRICANES. NOW GUYS RUNNING BETWEEN ABOUT 3 TO 6. AGAIN, THE NORMAL IS 14, NINE AND THREE. SO JUST ABOVE THE NORMAL THERE OVER THE LAST 20 YEARS, THAT’S SOMETHING WE’RE GOING TO BE WATCHING. THERE’S REALLY THREE MAIN FACTORS WHY WE THINK IT’S GOING TO BE ABOVE AVERAGE SEASON. YOU TAKE A LOOK AT THE WARMER THAN AVERAGE OCEAN WATER TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY IN THE GULF AND THE CARIBBEAN. THE FORECAST FOR WIND SHEAR LOOKS LOW. REMEMBER, THE STRONGER THE WINDS, THE GREATER THE SHEAR. THE WINDS DO APPEAR TO BE LOOKING LIGHT, AND THERE’S GOING TO BE MORE ACTION NOW FROM THE WEST AFRICAN MONSOON. THE MORE MOISTURE OFF THE WEST COAST, THE GREATER THE RISK THERE IS FOR THESE TROPICAL WAVES TO DEVELOP. SO WHAT I WANT TO SHOW YOU HERE IS THE NORMAL WATER TEMPERATURES VERSUS VERSUS WHERE WE ARE RIGHT NOW. AND WE ARE RUNNING ABOVE NORMAL IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND IN THE CARIBBEAN. AND BEFORE JUNE. THIS IS THE AREA THAT WE LIKE TO WATCH. SO WE’LL BE WATCHING THAT INTENTLY, THOUGH FOR NOW WE ARE IN GOOD SHAPE. GUYS, BACK TO YOU. HURRICANE HELENE AND MILTON CAUSED WIDESPREAD DEVASTATION AFTER MAKING LANDFALL ON THE GULF COAST LAST YEAR. THIS DRONE VIDEO SHOWS THE DAMAGE ON ANNA MARIA ISLAND. THE STORMS ALSO PACKED A PUNCH FURTHER INLAND. METEOROLOGIST ERIC BURRIS REMINDS US HURRICANES ARE NOT JUST A CONCERN FOR THE COAST. LAST YEAR WAS A TOUGH LESSON FOR SO MANY THAT STORMS ARE CLEARLY NOT JUST COASTAL EVENTS. HELENE TRIGGERED LANDSLIDES AND FLOODING IN THE CAROLINAS, FAR FROM THE GULF COAST, WHERE IT MADE LANDFALL A FEW WEEKS LATER. DURING MILTON, FLAGLER COUNTY SUFFERED SOME OF THE GUSTIEST WINDS, EVEN THOUGH IT WAS FAR FROM THE CENTER OF THE STORM. THOUSANDS OF PEOPLE LOST POWER, AND ROUGH SURF ENTERED PEOPLE’S BACKYARDS. THERE CAN BE EFFECTS. HUNDREDS OF MILES OUTSIDE OF THAT CONE. FLAGLER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER JONATHAN LORD SAYS MANY PEOPLE HAVE MOVED TO THE AREA IN RECENT MONTHS. HE WANTS NEWCOMERS TO KNOW IF A STORM HEADS ANYWHERE NEAR FLORIDA. THEY NEED TO BE READY. MOSTLY WITH PEOPLE MOVING IN FROM OUT OF STATE. WHO’VE NEVER EXPERIENCED A HURRICANE BEFORE. OR SOMETIMES I’M TOLD THEY HEAR FROM THE REALTORS THAT WE DON’T GET HURRICANES IN THIS PART OF THE STATE. DEFINITELY NOT TRUE. AS WE TRACK THE TROPICS THIS YEAR, THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS REMINDING EVERYONE THAT THE CONE, WHICH IS ONLY CONCERNED WITH THE CENTER OF THE STORM, IS JUST ONE PIECE OF THE PUZZLE. THE HAZARDS ARE INCREASINGLY FALLING OUTSIDE OF THE CONE. JAMIE RHOME, THE DEPUTY DIRECTOR OF THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, SAYS THIS IS ACTUALLY FOR GOOD REASON. THE CONE HAS GOTTEN SMALLER AND SMALLER OVER TIME AS FORECAST ACCURACY HAS IMPROVED. LAST YEAR TO TRY AND BETTER COMMUNICATE IMPACTS COUNTY BY COUNTY. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADDED ADVISORIES OVER TOP OF THE CONE TO INCLUDE THREATS OVER LAND, AS WELL AS COASTLINE. SO IMMEDIATELY WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE CONE, THE FIRST THING YOU SEE IS, IS ALL THIS COLOR AND HOW FAR INLAND IT GOES. SO WE THINK IT’S A BETTER WAY TO COMMUNICATE. YOUR BEST SHOT AT SURVIVING THE SEASON IS TO HAVE A HURRICANE KIT STOCKED AND READY TO GO. METEOROLOGIST KELLIANNE KLASS SHOWS US BEING PREPARED DOES NOT NEED TO BREAK THE BANK EVERY HURRICANE SEASON. WE ALWAYS TELL YOU TO HAVE A HURRICANE SUPPLY KIT, BUT LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE SAYING, LET’S GO AWAY WITH THE 72 HOUR SUPPLY KIT AND GO FOR A DISASTER SUPPLY KIT THAT CAN HAVE YOUR FAMILY BEING FED FOR UP TO FIVE DAYS OR EVEN LONGER. AND THAT CAN GET PRETTY HEAVY ON WALLETS. BUT TODAY WE’RE AT A LOCAL DOLLAR TREE AT 1792, IN FERN PARK TO SEE HOW MUCH WE CAN GET WITH $100, WE HAVE OUR LIST READY, AND NOW WE’RE GOING TO GO SEE HOW MUCH WE CAN GET. LET’S GO SHOPPING. OKAY, SO THE FIRST THING THAT WE’RE GOING TO DO IS STIR KNOWS THEY’RE IN THE PARTY SECTION. AND THESE ARE GOOD UP TO TWO HOURS. SO WE’RE GOING TO GET FIVE IN THIS AISLE WE HAVE TWO OPTIONS FOR LOSS OF POWER. THERE’S YOUR TRADITIONAL FLASHLIGHT. BUT YOU ALSO HAVE THE OPTION OF AN LED LANTERN. EXTRA BATTERIES SHOULD BE ON YOUR DISASTER KIT. AND THE DOLLAR STORE HAD PLENTY OF THEM. I DIDN’T HAVE THIS ON THE LIST, BUT YOU DO NEED A LIGHTER FOR THE STERNO, SO I’M GOING TO ADD THIS TO IT. AND IF YOU NEED CANDLES, THEY DO HAVE TEA, LIGHT CANDLES. IF YOU HAVE CHILDREN, MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ALL OF THEIR SUPPLIES STOCKED UP. WE GRABBED A FEW CHILDREN’S WIPES, WHICH COULD ALSO DOUBLE AS CLEANSING WIPES FOR ADULTS. THE DOLLAR STORE HAD DIAPERS IN STOCK, BUT FOR $6 PER PACKAGE, THE AMOUNT OF DIAPERS PER PACKAGE DEPENDS ON THE CHILDREN’S SIZE. BANDAGES ARE IMPORTANT TO HAVE IN ANY DISASTER KIT. WE PICKED UP SELF-ADHERING BANDAGE WRAP AND ADHESIVE BANDAGES. WE ALSO GRABBED ANTISEPTIC TO HELP CLEAN THE WOUNDS. IBUPROFEN IS GOING IN THE CART AS WELL. NOW WE’RE ON TO NONPERISHABLE FOOD. WE’RE IN THE SNACK AISLE AND NOW IS THE TIME TO GET SNACKS THAT YOU AND YOUR FAMILY MAY ENJOY. PEANUT BUTTER. NOW WE’RE ON TO SHELF STABLE ITEMS, SO THIS IS GOING TO BE YOUR CANNED MEATS, YOUR CANNED VEGETABLES, ANYTHING THAT CAN SIT ON A SHELF IN CASE YOU LOSE POWER. YOU MAY ALREADY HAVE ONE OF THESE A CAN OPENER, BUT THIS IS A REALLY CHEAP AND AFFORDABLE OPTION, AND WE’RE GOING TO BE OPENING A LOT OF CANS, DISPOSABLE PLATES. PLASTIC WARE AND PAPER TOWELS ARE GOOD TO STOCK UP ON TO. HELLO, HELLO. HOW ARE YOU? GOOD. YOU GOOD? TO ONE 1053. WE ENDED UP GOING ABOUT $10 OVER BUDGET, BUT I DID START OUR DISASTER KIT FROM SCRATCH. YOU PROBABLY ALREADY HAVE A LOT OF THESE ITEMS AT YOUR HOME ALREADY. AND I ALSO DID ADD A COUPLE OF ITEMS INTO MY BASKET THAT WERE NOT ON THE LIST. OVERALL, YOU SHOULD TAILOR YOUR DISASTER KIT TO YOU AND YOUR FAMILY’S NEEDS. ADD A GENERATOR TO YOUR SHOPPING LIST IF YOU NEED A BACKUP SOURCE FOR POWER, YOU MIGHT BE IN THE DARK FOR DAYS AFTER A BIG STORM. CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI SHOWS US THE PROPER WAY TO USE A GENERATOR. HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE AND A LOT OF FOLKS ARE GOING TO START RUNNING THESE GENERATORS. WE WANT YOU TO KEEP THEM 20FT AWAY FROM YOUR HOUSE, NOT INSIDE YOUR GARAGE, TO PREVENT CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING. ALL RIGHT. THE NEXT THING IS GENERATOR MAINTENANCE. NUMBER ONE, YOU ALWAYS WANT TO RUN IT A COUPLE TIMES A YEAR TO MAKE SURE THERE’S NO LEFTOVER FUEL IN THERE. THAT’S NEVER GOOD FOR YOUR GENERATOR. AND WHEN YOU’RE DONE USING IT, YOU WANT TO MAKE SURE THERE IS NO FUEL IN THERE. OTHERWISE, YOUR GENERATOR MAY NOT START UP WHEN THE NEXT HURRICANE ARRIVES. AND FOLKS, PLEASE REMEMBER TO ALWAYS HAVE A CARBON MONOXIDE DETECTOR WHEN YOU’RE RUNNING YOUR GENERATOR. TIME AND TIME AGAIN. HURRICANES LEAD TO FLOODING HERE IN CENTRAL FLORIDA AFTER FLOODED AFTER IRMA IN 2017, THE ORLO VISTA COMMUNITY FLOODED DURING IAN IN 2022, AND RISING WATERS FROM MILTON FORCED PEOPLE OUT OF THEIR HOMES INTO LAND LAST YEAR. PROPERTY OWNERS DEALING WITH REPEAT FLOODING ARE READY TO GIVE UP THEIR LAND. METEOROLOGIST CAM TRAN LOOKED INTO A PROGRAM MANY COUNTIES OFFER WITH THE HELP OF FEDERAL DOLLARS, WHAT IS NOW A CORDONED OFF LOT IN SANFORD USED TO LOOK LIKE THIS A TWO STORY HOME BELONGING TO A LOCAL FAMILY. BUT AFTER YEARS OF SEEING THEIR HOME DAMAGED BY FLOODING, THE FAMILY SOLD THE PROPERTY TO SEMINOLE COUNTY. THIS PARTICULAR HOME BACK HERE WAS SEVERE REPETITIVE LOSS, WHICH MEANS THAT IT WAS SUSTAINING FLOOD DAMAGE OVER AND OVER AND OVER AGAIN. FEMA OFFERS GRANTS TO PROPERTY OWNERS WHO EXPERIENCE REPETITIVE DAMAGE FROM FLOODING. THE FUNDING IS DISTRIBUTED TO INDIVIDUAL COUNTIES, INCLUDING SEMINOLE COUNTY, SO THERE’S THREE PROGRAMS. THERE’S BUYBACK. SO WE BUY OUT AN ACQUISITION DEMOLISH. THERE’S ELEVATE. SO WE TAKE THE HOME AS IT IS AND ELEVATE. AND THEN THERE’S ELEVATE RECONSTRUCT. SO ELEVATE RECONSTRUCT WOULD BE A CONCRETE MASONRY BLOCK HOME. YOU CAN’T JUST PICK IT UP. SO IT WOULD REQUIRE US TO PICK IT UP. BUT WHILE WE’RE PICKING IT UP WE’RE CONSTRUCTING WE’RE DOING CONSTRUCTION THAT’S GOING TO COST MORE MONEY. ANY PROPERTY OWNER WHO WANTS TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS FEMA GRANT WILL NEED TO BE PATIENT. IT CAN TAKE MONTHS, EVEN YEARS, TO GET THAT FEDERAL FUNDING APPROVED. VOLUSIA COUNTY IS CONSIDERING A SIMILAR PROGRAM. IT WAS AWARDED $20 MILLION IN FEDERAL FUNDING TO BUY BACK FREQUENTLY FLOODED HOMES. WE CAN’T BUY THEM ALL, BUT THERE’S SOME THAT WOULD MAKE SENSE. DELAND ON TAYLOR AVENUE, THERE IS A HOME THAT’S ACTUALLY THE HOMEOWNERS COME TO US AND SAID, WOULD YOU WOULD YOU BUY US OUT? AND THEY SAY THAT WITH TEARS IN THEIR EYES. DONNA ROONEY HAD FOUR FEET OF WATER IN HER HOUSE AFTER HURRICANE MILTON. SHE HOPES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS BUYBACK PROGRAM. THAT’S WHAT WE WANTED FROM THE BEGINNING. WE HAVE NO INTENTION OF REBUILDING OR REFURBISHING THIS HOME. HUD STILL NEEDS TO APPROVE THE PROGRAM BEFORE IT CAN TAKE EFFECT. NEXT, ON SURVIVING THE SEASON. OUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM SPENT MONTHS ANALYZING WEATHER PATTERNS AND PINPOINTING THE HOT SPOTS FOR A BIG STORM. PLUS, HOW TO IDENTIFY THE SAFEST PLACE TO HUNKER DOWN DURING A TORNADO AND THE FUNDING STILL AVAILABLE. IF YOUR HOME SUFFERED DAMAGE DURING HURRICANE IAN. NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE ATTENDING THESE MEETINGS OR KNOW ABOUT THE PROGRAM, AND THAT’S A SHAME. ONE NEIGHBOR LOOKING TO REBUILD IS SPREADING THE WORD TO HELP OTHERS JUST LIKE HER. OVER THE PAST YEAR, OUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM HAS BEEN ANALYZING WEATHER PATTERNS TO PREDICT WHEN WE COULD GET A BIG STORM IN CENTRAL FLORIDA. METEOROLOGIST ERIC BURRIS WAS ABLE TO PREDICT WITH 85% ACCURACY LAST YEAR, WHERE BIG STORMS WENT AND WHEN THEY MADE LANDFALL. HE’S DOING IT AGAIN AND PRESENTS THIS YEAR’S LONG RANGE FORECAST. HEY, THAT’S RIGHT. THE OVERALL PATTERNS THIS YEAR CLEARLY SHOW THE GULF AS THE HOT SPOT FOR ACTIVITY YET AGAIN. BUT THE WAY MY LONG TERM FORECASTING WORKS IS LOOKING AT LONG TERM FORECASTING CYCLES. SO LET’S BREAK IT DOWN. THE FIRST PART OF THE PATTERN THAT WE WATCH IS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST, FOR WHAT SHOULD BE THE SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. EARLY JUNE, BUT IN PARTICULAR LATE JULY AND AROUND THE BEGINNING OF SEPTEMBER, THEN ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST YET AGAIN, I’VE OBSERVED AN OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN SHOWING A STORM SYSTEM AGAIN MID JUNE, BUT MOREOVER, LATE JULY AND INTO EARLY SEPTEMBER. BUT TO BE HONEST WITH YOU, INTO THE PANHANDLE AND OUR WEST COAST, THE BIGGEST PART OF THE PATTERN I’M WATCHING FOR THREATS IN THIS AREA IS THIS ONE WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT SEEMINGLY WANTS TO CROSS THE GULF AND WORK TOWARD OUR WEST COAST. SO WATCH THESE DATES VERY CLOSELY. LATE JUNE, EARLY AUGUST AND MID SEPTEMBER. AND LASTLY, OUT OF ALL THE DATA OVER THE MONTHS AND MONTHS OF GATHERING MY NUMBERS FOR THIS YEAR’S HURRICANE FORECAST, WHILE ABOVE AVERAGE, ARE NOT CALLING FOR A HYPERACTIVE SEASON. EITHER WAY, WE HAVE A CLEAR THREAT TO WATCH FOR, AND THUS WE’LL NEED TO KEEP OUR HEAD ON A SWIVEL. BUT KNOW THIS YOUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM WILL BE HERE WITH YOU EVERY STEP OF THE WAY. WHEN THERE’S A RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ISSUES WATCHES AND WARNINGS. YOU’LL HEAR OUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM USE THESE TERMS A LOT. METEOROLOGIST MARQUISE MEDA EXPLAINS WHAT THEY MEAN. THINK OF IT LIKE COOKING PASTA. A WATCH IS WHEN YOU PUT A POT OF BOILING WATER ON THE STOVE. THE HEAT IS ON. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE AND YOU’RE WAITING FOR SOMETHING TO HAPPEN. A WARNING MEANS THAT WATER IS BOILING AND IT’S TIME TO ADD THE PASTA. OR IN WEATHER TERMS, THE EVENT IS HAPPENING NOW AND YOU NEED TO TAKE ACTION IMMEDIATELY. JUST LIKE YOU DON’T WALK AWAY FROM A POT THAT’S HEATING UP, YOU SHOULD IGNORE A WATCH. CONDITIONS. THEY CAN CHANGE QUICKLY AND BEFORE YOU KNOW IT, THAT GENTLE SIMMER CAN TURN INTO A ROLLING BOIL. SO DURING A WATCH, STAY ALERT AND BE PREPARED. BUT IF IT’S A WARNING, BE PREPARED TO TAKE COVER. BECAUSE JUST LIKE A POT OF BOILING WATER, SEVERE WEATHER DOESN’T WAIT. BEFORE MILTON MADE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA LAST YEAR, THE STORM SPAWNED MANY TORNADOES, INCLUDING ONE IN BREVARD COUNTY. THIS VIDEO SHOWS SOME OF THE DAMAGE IT CAUSED. METEOROLOGIST CAM TRAN EXPLAINS WHERE YOU SHOULD TAKE COVER IN A TORNADO. THE SAFEST PLACE TO GO DURING A TORNADO WARNING IS TO THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOUSE. MAKE SURE THAT AREA IS NOT CONNECTED TO ANY EXTERIOR WALLS OR WINDOWS. YOUR SAFE ROOM COULD BE A CLOSET, A BATHROOM, OR EVEN A HALLWAY LIKE THIS ONE. BUT IN THIS HOUSE, THE SAFEST ROOM TO BE IN IS ACTUALLY THIS INTERIOR BATHROOM. IT IS AWAY FROM ANY EXTERIOR WALLS OR WINDOW, AND IT’S THE MOST INTERIOR ROOM OF THIS HOUSE. IF YOU LIVE IN AN APARTMENT BUILDING OR YOU’RE WORKING AT AN OFFICE HIGHRISE, SIMILAR RULES APPLY. GO TO THE BOTTOM AND THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR BUILDING. AND IF YOU CAN’T GO TO AN INTERIOR HALLWAY. AS WE PREPARE FOR THE NEXT BIG STORM, MANY HOMEOWNERS ARE STILL TRYING TO RECOVER FROM PAST DISASTERS. CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI SHOWS US A PROGRAM RIGHT HERE IN ORANGE COUNTY THAT’S HELPING FOLKS GET BACK ON THEIR FEET. THE ORANGE COUNTY RECOVERS PROGRAM HAS SET ASIDE $59 MILLION TO HELP RESIDENTS OF ORANGE COUNTY AND ITS MUNICIPALITIES REPAIR, REBUILD AND REPLACE ELIGIBLE HOMES WITH REMAINING DAMAGE FROM HURRICANE IAN. IT IS A GRANT, SO THAT’S GOOD NEWS FOR EVERYBODY. IT’S NOT ALONE. FOLKS ARE ABLE TO APPLY FOR THESE FUNDS AND CAN DO SO UNTIL THE MONEY RUNS OUT. SHERI JILLIAN WITH THE DISASTER RECOVERY TEAM, EXPLAINS WHO’S ELIGIBLE. NUMBER ONE, YOU MUST HAVE OWNED THE PROPERTY AND RESIDED IN THE PROPERTY AS YOUR PRIMARY RESIDENCE, SO OWNED PRIOR TO IAN, AND STILL OCCUPY THE RESIDENCE AS YOUR PRIMARY RESIDENCE, YOU MUST BE A LOW TO MODERATE INCOME INDIVIDUAL, WHICH IS 80% AMI. YOU MUST HAVE A CURRENT MORTGAGE AND TAXES ON THE PROPERTY. ONCE ELIGIBILITY HAS BEEN APPROVED, THE DAMAGE ASSESSMENT WILL BE DETERMINED. FROM THERE, THE HOMEOWNER WILL THEN BE GIVEN SOME MONEY SO THAT THE REPAIRS CAN BE MADE ON THEIR HOME, AND THEY CAN HOPEFULLY GET THEIR LIVES BACK IN ORDER. DEBBY RYAN LIVES IN ORLO VISTA. IT WAS LIKE A RIVER AND IT WAS VERY FAST MOVING AND EVERYTHING. SHE GAVE US A TOUR OF HER HOME WHICH FLOODED DURING HURRICANE IAN IN 2022. THIS WAS ALL WATER. WATER WAS UP TO THAT SECOND STEP AND THAT WAS ON FRIDAY. SO I DON’T KNOW HOW HIGH IT WAS BEFORE THEN AND ALL THAT HIGH WATER DEVASTATED THE INSIDE OF MANY PEOPLE’S HOMES. FLOORING IS COMING APART, PLUMBING FOR LAUNDRY ROOMS IS DAMAGED. THERE’S MOLD INSIDE HOMES AND IN SOME CASES, MOBILE HOMES WERE DESTROYED AND HAD TO BE TAKEN AWAY. RYAN IS APPLYING FOR THE COUNTY’S PROGRAM AND WANTS TO MAKE SURE HER NEIGHBORS KNOW ABOUT IT, TOO. THERE’S 6000 PEOPLE THAT LIVE IN ORLO VISTA. YOU SAW HOW FEW PEOPLE WERE THERE. THEY’RE DOING EVERYTHING THEY CAN TO HELP PEOPLE. THE ONLY CONCERN I HAVE IS THAT NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE ATTENDING THESE MEETINGS OR KNOW ABOUT THE PROGRAM, AND THAT’S A SHAME. THERE ARE TWO WAYS TO APPLY FOR FUNDING. WE POSTED THAT INFORMATION ON OUR WEBSITE, WESH.COM. UNDER THE HURRICANE TAB. TRIM THE TREES, CLEAR YOUR YARD, FILL YOUR GAS TANK. THESE ARE ALL STANDARD THINGS WE DO TO PREPARE FOR A HURRICANE. METEOROLOGIST KELLIANNE KLASS REMINDS US NOT TO FORGET ABOUT THE SMALLER TASKS THAT CAN MAKE LIFE A LOT LESS STRESSFUL. IF YOU LOSE POWER OR ACCESS TO CLEAN WATER. WASH YOUR DISHES AND DO YOUR LAUNDRY. FILL UP ANY PRESCRIPTIONS YOU MAY NEED. IF YOU HAVE A DOG, MAKE SURE TO GET SOME PEE PADS. IT COULD BE A WHILE BEFORE THEY CAN GET OUTSIDE AND MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ENOUGH FOOD, WATER, AND LITTER FOR YOUR PET. CHARGE ANY ELECTRONIC DEVICES AND CHARGE BANKS. WALK THROUGH YOUR HOME AND TAKE VIDEO OF EVERYTHING. IT WILL HELP YOU IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A CLAIM LATER. FILL PLASTIC BAGS WITH WATER AND FREEZE THEM BEFORE THE STORM. OH, AND DON’T FORGET TO COOLER. DON’T WAIT UNTIL A STORM IS COMING TO CHECK YOUR INSURANCE. UP NEXT, THE SPECIFIC PROTECTIONS YOU SHOULD LOOK FOR IN YOUR HOME INSURANCE POLICY. AND SANDBAGS CAN KEEP THE WATER OUT, BUT ONLY WHEN USED CORRECTLY. WE GET OUR HANDS DIRTY, SHOWING YOU THE FASTEST AND EASIEST WAY TO FILL. YOU MAY HAVE HEARD YOU SHOULD CHECK YOUR INSURANCE BEFORE A BIG STORM HITS. FIRST WARNING, METEOROLOGIST CAM TRAN EXPLAINS WHAT SHOULD BE IN THE FINE PRINT. REVIEW YOUR HOMEOWNER’S POLICY BY LOOKING AT THE DECLARATION PAGE. THAT’S WHERE YOU’LL FIND YOUR COVERAGE LIMITS AND DEDUCTIBLES. EXPERTS SAY THE COST OF CONSTRUCTION HAS GONE UP IN RECENT YEARS, SO YOU MAY HAVE A SHORTFALL IN COVERAGE IF YOU HAVEN’T UPDATED YOUR POLICY IN A WHILE. IT’S ALSO HIGHLY RECOMMENDED TO GET FLOOD INSURANCE, EVEN IF YOU DON’T LIVE IN A FLOOD ZONE. THIS IS NOT INCLUDED IN YOUR TRADITIONAL HOME POLICY. EXPERTS HIGHLY RECOMMEND FLOOD INSURANCE EVEN IN CENTRAL FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY AFTER WE SAW SIGNIFICANT FLOODING DURING HURRICANES IAN AND MILTON. YOU MAY ALSO WANT TO GET YOUR INSURANCE POLICIES IN PLACE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. ONCE A WATCH OR WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED, YOU CAN NO LONGER ADD OR CHANGE A HOMEOWNER’S POLICY FOR FLOOD INSURANCE POLICY. IT’S EVEN LONGER. IT TAKES 30 DAYS TO TAKE EFFECT. SANDBAGS ARE OFTEN THE FIRST LINE OF DEFENSE IN PROTECTING YOUR HOME FROM RISING WATERS, BUT MANY PEOPLE DON’T KNOW HOW TO FILL THEM UP OR LAY THEM DOWN PROPERLY. FIRST WARNING METEOROLOGIST MARQUISE MEDA SHOWS US THE MOST EFFICIENT WAY TO USE SANDBAGS. EVERY YEAR A STORM SEASON APPROACHES. WE COVER SANDBAG DISTRIBUTION SITES ACROSS THE REGION. HOMEOWNERS LINE UP EAGER TO FILL UP SANDBAGS TO PROTECT THEIR HOME FROM RISING WATERS. SO WE PROVIDE THE BAGS, WE PROVIDE THE SAND. WE PROVIDE THE MECHANISM. THE RESIDENTS HAVE TO PROVIDE THEIR THEIR ENERGY AND AND THEIR THEIR BODY STRENGTH TO DO THIS. I GOT HANDS ON TRAINING WITH THE ORANGE COUNTY PUBLIC WORKS DEPARTMENT. WE ROLLED UP OUR SLEEVES AND GOT TO WORK. IT’S 3 OR 4 SHOVEL FULLS. YOU DO NOT WANT TO FILL THE BAGS ALL THE WAY TO THE TOP. YOU WANT TO LEAVE SOME SPACE IN ORDER TO TIE THEM OFF. SHOVELING INTO THE BAG CAN BE TRICKY. SO THE COUNTY MADE FUNNELS TO HELP OUT. SO THESE ARE OUR OLD SAFETY CONES THAT WE’VE HAD SITTING ON A SHELF. TURN THEM UPSIDE DOWN AND THEY MAKE A WONDERFUL FUNNEL. OFFICIALS SAY FUNNELING SAND TAKES LESS TIME THAN SHOVELING. SO THIS METHOD COULD GET THE LINE MOVING AND PEOPLE CAN GET HOME FASTER. TO MY SURPRISE, THE BAGS WEIGHED LESS THAN I EXPECTED BECAUSE THEY’RE NOT FILLED TO THE BRIM. THEY’RE MUCH EASIER TO PICK UP. THEY ARE ABOUT 10 TO 12 POUNDS EACH. IF YOU FILLED IT CORRECTLY, YOU’LL GET TEN SANDBAGS PER RESIDENT. TEN SANDBAGS CAN DO A LOT. THEY WILL TYPICALLY COVER THE AVERAGE SLIDING GLASS DOOR. THE FRONT OF A GARAGE DOOR. PLACEMENT IS KEY AND SO IS PROPER LAYERING. ONCE YOU PLACE THE SANDBAGS, YOU WANT TO STACK THEM IN 2 TO 3 LAYERS. MAKE SURE THAT NO WATER CAN SEEP THROUGH SO WE OFFSET THEM. WE GO STACK THEM OFFSET. SO YOU LAY YOUR FIRST FOUNDATION DOWN AND THEN YOU OFFSET ON TOP AND OVER ON TOP OF THE OTHER ONE. WHEN THE NEXT BIG STORM HEADS YOUR WAY, YOU CAN EXPECT FREE SANDBAG LOCATIONS TO OPEN IN JUST ABOUT EVERY CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTY. WESH TWO IS COMMITTED TO HELPING YOU GET READY FOR WHATEVER COMES OUR WAY THIS HURRICANE SEASON. RIGHT NOW ON WESH.COM, YOU CAN FIND OUR 2025 HURRICANE SURVIVAL GUIDE. IT BREAKS DOWN IN DETAIL EVERYTHING YOU SHOULD DO BEFORE, DURING, AND AFTER A BIG STORM. AND IT’S FREE FROM THE WESH TWO NEWS AND FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM. THANKS FOR WATCHING. STAY SAFE THIS HURRICANE SEASON.

    Watches, warnings discontinued as Tropical Storm Jerry weakens

    Updated: 12:12 AM EDT Oct 11, 2025

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    Tropical Storm Jerry is weakening in the Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center. >> Video above: A hurricane special from WESH 2All watches and warnings have been discontinued, the NHC said. Jerry was initially forecast to strengthen into a hurricane; however, the system is struggling and beginning to pull away from the Northern Leeward Islands. For parts of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and eastern Puerto Rico, Jerry may result in an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain.This rainfall is not expected to cause any additional flash flooding concerns, NHC says. Maximum sustained winds: 60 mphMinimum central pressure: 1004 mb >> Subscribe to the WESH 2 YouTube channel Watches and Warnings All watches and warnings have been discontinued. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    Tropical Storm Jerry is weakening in the Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    >> Video above: A hurricane special from WESH 2

    All watches and warnings have been discontinued, the NHC said.

    Jerry was initially forecast to strengthen into a hurricane; however, the system is struggling and beginning to pull away from the Northern Leeward Islands.

    For parts of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and eastern Puerto Rico, Jerry may result in an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain.

    This rainfall is not expected to cause any additional flash flooding concerns, NHC says.

    Maximum sustained winds: 60 mph

    Minimum central pressure: 1004 mb

    >> Subscribe to the WESH 2 YouTube channel

    Watches and Warnings

    All watches and warnings have been discontinued.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • Florida braces for impacts of Tropical Depression, expected to become Tropical Storm Imelda

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    As of late Sunday morning, Tropical Depression 9 is still too disorganized to qualify as a tropical storm. It is currently just south of the Bahamas and will continue to track north over the next few days.

    It will likely be upgraded to Tropical Storm Imelda by the end of the day today.

    The storm will make its closest pass to us in central Florida during the late afternoon on Monday. At closest, it will be about 150 to 200 miles offshore.

    The first impacts we will see tonight will be the surf building and some rain arriving.

    If you live along the coastline, you will also notice the winds increase overnight with gusts of 40 mph possible.

    The strongest winds will be felt as the storm makes its closest pass during the latter half of Monday. There is a low chance of tropical storm-force winds, but if that occurs, it is most likely along the Brevard County coast.

    Overnight Monday, the rain will stop, and the winds will gradually decrease as the storm continues to strengthen and move north.

    Rain totals along our coast could reach up to 3 inches. Widespread flooding is unlikely in our area. The primary impact will be strong winds.

    A few stray showers may extend inland to Orlando. The main effect on the city will be wind gusts of 20 to 25 mph caused by the storm being far offshore.

    Click here to download our free news, weather and smart TV apps. And click here to stream Channel 9 Eyewitness News live.

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  • Humberto intensifies to a major hurricane and is expected to get stronger, forecasters say

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    Humberto roared to a major Category 3 hurricane on Friday and was expected to gain even more strength over the next couple of days.The National Hurricane Center in Miami said Hurricane Humberto had maximum sustained winds of 115 mph. It was centered about 430 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.Humberto could produce life-threatening surf and rip currents for the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and Bermuda over the weekend, forecasters said. Meanwhile, the center of Gabrielle, now a post-tropical cyclone, moved away from the Azores, and the hurricane warning for the entire Portuguese archipelago was discontinued by the Azores Meteorological Service. On Friday afternoon, the storm was about 245 miles east-northeast of Lajes Air Base in the Azores.Maximum sustained winds were near 65 mph with higher gusts. One observatory reported sustained winds of 78 mph, which would be hurricane-level.Some strengthening was forecast through Friday night, with weakening expected over the weekend, and Gabrielle was expected to approach the Portugal’s coast by early Sunday. Swells expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip currents were expected to reach Portugal, northwestern Spain and northern Morocco on Saturday.In the Pacific Ocean, Hurricane Narda was churning about 880 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California and heading west-northwest at 15 mph. The Category 1 storm was expected to maintain its strength on Friday before weakening over the weekend.Swells generated by Narda were affecting southwestern and west central Mexico and Baja California Sur, forecasters said. The swells that could bring life-threatening surf and rip current conditions were expected to reach southern California over the weekend.

    Humberto roared to a major Category 3 hurricane on Friday and was expected to gain even more strength over the next couple of days.

    The National Hurricane Center in Miami said Hurricane Humberto had maximum sustained winds of 115 mph. It was centered about 430 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

    Humberto could produce life-threatening surf and rip currents for the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and Bermuda over the weekend, forecasters said.

    Meanwhile, the center of Gabrielle, now a post-tropical cyclone, moved away from the Azores, and the hurricane warning for the entire Portuguese archipelago was discontinued by the Azores Meteorological Service. On Friday afternoon, the storm was about 245 miles east-northeast of Lajes Air Base in the Azores.

    Maximum sustained winds were near 65 mph with higher gusts. One observatory reported sustained winds of 78 mph, which would be hurricane-level.

    Some strengthening was forecast through Friday night, with weakening expected over the weekend, and Gabrielle was expected to approach the Portugal’s coast by early Sunday. Swells expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip currents were expected to reach Portugal, northwestern Spain and northern Morocco on Saturday.

    In the Pacific Ocean, Hurricane Narda was churning about 880 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California and heading west-northwest at 15 mph. The Category 1 storm was expected to maintain its strength on Friday before weakening over the weekend.

    Swells generated by Narda were affecting southwestern and west central Mexico and Baja California Sur, forecasters said. The swells that could bring life-threatening surf and rip current conditions were expected to reach southern California over the weekend.

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  • Invest 92-L could become next tropical storm; NHC monitoring new area of interest

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    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two areas in the Atlantic. Tropical wave Invest 92-LThe tropical wave, designated as Invest 92-L, is located between the Windward Islands and the coast of West Africa and is producing showers and thunderstorms.Dry and stable air could likely limit this system’s development over the next few days, but a tropical depression or named storm could form by the middle to latter part of this week.The system is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic, the NHC said.Related: Tracking Invest 92-L: Maps, path, spaghetti models Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 90%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 90%At this time, the development is not expected to affect the U.S.Eastern tropical wave The NHC tagged a new area to monitor off the west coast of Africa. The tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Slow development of the system is possible as it moves from the eastern to the central portion of the Atlantic. Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two areas in the Atlantic.

    Tropical wave Invest 92-L

    The tropical wave, designated as Invest 92-L, is located between the Windward Islands and the coast of West Africa and is producing showers and thunderstorms.

    Dry and stable air could likely limit this system’s development over the next few days, but a tropical depression or named storm could form by the middle to latter part of this week.

    The system is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic, the NHC said.

    Related: Tracking Invest 92-L: Maps, path, spaghetti models

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 90%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 90%

    At this time, the development is not expected to affect the U.S.

    Eastern tropical wave

    The NHC tagged a new area to monitor off the west coast of Africa. The tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    Slow development of the system is possible as it moves from the eastern to the central portion of the Atlantic.

    Formation chance through the next 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through the next 7 days: 20%

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Invest 91-L to become next tropical depression in the Atlantic Ocean, NHC says

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    Invest 91-L is expected to become a tropical depression this weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center.The tropical wave, tagged as Invest 91-L, is producing concentrated but disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic. The environmental conditions appear conducive for the system to continue developing.According to the NHC, the system is expected to be near the Lesser Antilles by mid-next week. A tropical depression is expected to form this weekend.At this time, it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this disturbance may cause.Formation chances for the next 48 hours: 60%Formation chances for the next seven days: 90% Global modelsModels are taking the system toward the Caribbean islands. If it rapidly intensifies, the system would recurve. The weaker the system stays, the further it shifts westward. However, once the wave develops into a tropical depression, it will be easier to determine its potential path. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    Invest 91-L is expected to become a tropical depression this weekend, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The tropical wave, tagged as Invest 91-L, is producing concentrated but disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

    The environmental conditions appear conducive for the system to continue developing.

    According to the NHC, the system is expected to be near the Lesser Antilles by mid-next week. A tropical depression is expected to form this weekend.

    At this time, it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this disturbance may cause.

    • Formation chances for the next 48 hours: 60%
    • Formation chances for the next seven days: 90%

    Global models

    Models are taking the system toward the Caribbean islands. If it rapidly intensifies, the system would recurve.

    The weaker the system stays, the further it shifts westward.

    However, once the wave develops into a tropical depression, it will be easier to determine its potential path.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • National Hurricane Center tags Invest 91-L in Atlantic Ocean

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    The National Hurricane Center tagged Invest 91-L in the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday morning. The tropical wave, tagged as Invest 91-L, is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and thunderstorms are associated with this tropical wave. The environmental conditions appear conducive for the system to continue developing.According to the NHC, the system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at a speed of 5 to 10 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the week. A tropical depression is expected to form this week or next week.At this time, it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this disturbance may cause.Formation chances for the next 48 hours: 60%Formation chances for the next seven days: 90% Global modelsRecent trends indicate a westward shift in the system’s trajectory. Both the European and GFS models are keeping the system from making landfall in the U.S.However, once the wave develops into a tropical depression, it will be easier to determine its potential path. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center tagged Invest 91-L in the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday morning.

    The tropical wave, tagged as Invest 91-L, is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

    Showers and thunderstorms are associated with this tropical wave. The environmental conditions appear conducive for the system to continue developing.

    According to the NHC, the system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at a speed of 5 to 10 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the week.

    A tropical depression is expected to form this week or next week.

    At this time, it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this disturbance may cause.

    • Formation chances for the next 48 hours: 60%
    • Formation chances for the next seven days: 90%

    Global models

    Recent trends indicate a westward shift in the system’s trajectory.

    Both the European and GFS models are keeping the system from making landfall in the U.S.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    However, once the wave develops into a tropical depression, it will be easier to determine its potential path.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Tropical Storm Fernand pulls away from US

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    Tropical Storm Fernand pulls away from US

    Tropical Storm Fernand is now rumbling through the Atlantic

    >> JUST GETTING IN THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE 05:00AM ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM FAIR. NOT NOW. THIS IS REALLY JUST MAINTAINING STRENGTH, BUT IT’S OVER 300 MILES NOW EAST-NORTHEAST OF EVEN BERMUDA. SO THIS IS JUST OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC AND IT IS MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 12 MILES PER HOUR. SO NOT LOOKING ALL TOO IMPRESSIVE. AND WITH THE LATEST SPAGHETTI PLOTS, WE DO HAVE A REALLY GOOD CONSENSUS THAT HIGH PUNCHING THAT THIS CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEAST HEADING TOWARD THE FAR NORTHERN SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC WHERE I DO EXPECT IT TO EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE WEEK. SO THE LATEST FORECAST CONE SHOWING THAT WHAT WE COULD SEE SOME WOBBLES IN INTENSITY, PERHAPS SOME OCCASIONAL STRENGTHENING, NOT FOR LONG. WE DO NOT EXPECT THIS TO REACH HURRICANE STATUS OF HER. AND WE EXPECT THIS TO EVENTUALLY ON WEDNESDAY TRANSITION TO A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MEETING. IT WILL HAVE LOST ALL OF ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IT POSES NO THREAT TO THE U.S.. THAT IS, OF COURSE NOT. THE ONLY THING I’M MONITORING THIS MORNING ON TOP OF TROPICAL STORM FAIR NON-LOCAL INTO THE SOUTH OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS MORNING. A DISTURBANCE WITH LOW ODDS FOR DEVELOPMENT. WE’RE TALKING HAD DECREASED OVER THE WEEKEND TO JUST 10%. SO OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS, EVEN THE NEXT WEEK, LOW ODDS TO SEE SOME SORT OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THIS IS STILL PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND STORMS. EVEN THOUGH THE COVERAGE IS DECREASING A BIT THIS MORNING AND FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, AT LEAST SOME GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT E DAY TODAY, EVEN INTO TOMORROW AS THIS TROPICAL WAVE MOVES WEST. SO AS OF NOW, NOT SEEING HIGH LIKELIHOOD THAT THIS EVER ACTUALLY DEVELOPS. BUT WE’RE GOING TO BE STAYING ON TOP OF IT, OF COURSE, AT THIS POINT IN HURRICANE SEASON. WE’RE ALSO 3RD THROUGH OUR STORM NAMES LIST. THE NEXT NAME ON THE LIST. GABRIEL AND THEN UMBERTO. SO WE’RE GONNA BE WATCHING FOR THAT. AND KEEP IN MIND, WE’RE JUST ABOUT 2 WEEKS OUT FROM THE STATISTICAL PEAK OF HURRICANE SEASON. ALL RIGHT, LIVE RADAR, SWEEPING, CLEAR WATCHING SOME OF THOSE SPOTTY SHOWERS JUST OFF THE COAST OF CHARLOTTE COUNTY. BUT MOST OF US IN GREAT SHAPE AFTER A VERY SOGGY WEEKEND, HOWEVER, WITH EVEN SOME FLOODING CONCERNS FOR PARTS OF LEE COUNTY. SO WHO IS FAVORED TO SEE THE RAIN AGAIN TODAY? WHILE COASTAL SPOTS, SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS AND STORMS INTO THE MORNING HOURS. AND WE’RE LOOKING AT THAT POSSIBLE HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED STORM. SO WE DO NOT EXPECT THE COVERAGE TO BE NEARLY AS HIGH AS WHAT WE SAW SATURDAY OR SUNDAY. HOWEVER, YOU ARE STILL GOING TO WANT THE UMBRELLA HANDY. WE’RE LOOKING AT A RINSE AND REPEAT PATTERN STILL EVERY SINGLE DAY OVER THE NEXT WEEK. SO NOT SEEING THE RAINY SEASON WEAKENING ANYTIME SOON. IN FACT, THE RAINY SEASON DOESN’T COME TO AN END UNTIL USUALLY THE MIDDLE OF OCTOBER. SO WE STILL HAVE QUITE A WAYS TO GO TEMPERATURE NO RELIEF THERE. LOW TO MID 90’S EVERY SINGLE DAY MORNINGS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70’S. SO PRETTY SEASONAL. I DON’T EXPECT RECORD HEAT, BUT WE’RE ALSO NOT GETTING IN ON ANY SORT OF COOL DOW

    Tropical Storm Fernand pulls away from US

    Tropical Storm Fernand is now rumbling through the Atlantic

    Updated: 2:28 AM PDT Aug 25, 2025

    Editorial Standards

    The Atlantic Basin remains active as Tropical Storm Fernand spins over the open Atlantic and a disturbance near the Windward Islands has a low chance for development.Tropical Storm Fernand At 5 a.m. Monday, Tropical Storm Fernand maintained strength with sustained winds at 50 mph. It’s currently 360 miles east-northeast of Bermuda and moving north-northeast at 12 mph.It is forecast to head toward cooler sea surface temperatures and high wind shear, making a transition to post-tropical by Wednesday.Fernand poses no threat to the U.S. and is expected to dissipate by Thursday.Invest 99LNear the Windward Islands, the National Hurricane Center has designated a tropical wave as Invest 99L in the region highlighted in yellow. Chances for development have decreased to only 10% as the system tracks west. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are the main threats in the Windward Islands over the next two days.As 99L pushes deeper into the Caribbean, there is potential that it could reach an area of more favorable development conditions later this week. Count on the Gulf Coast Storm Team to keep you informed.

    The Atlantic Basin remains active as Tropical Storm Fernand spins over the open Atlantic and a disturbance near the Windward Islands has a low chance for development.

    Tropical Storm Fernand

    At 5 a.m. Monday, Tropical Storm Fernand maintained strength with sustained winds at 50 mph. It’s currently 360 miles east-northeast of Bermuda and moving north-northeast at 12 mph.

    Tracking the tropics

    hurricane

    It is forecast to head toward cooler sea surface temperatures and high wind shear, making a transition to post-tropical by Wednesday.

    Fernand poses no threat to the U.S. and is expected to dissipate by Thursday.

    Invest 99L

    Near the Windward Islands, the National Hurricane Center has designated a tropical wave as Invest 99L in the region highlighted in yellow.

    Area of Interest

    Chances for development have decreased to only 10% as the system tracks west. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are the main threats in the Windward Islands over the next two days.

    As 99L pushes deeper into the Caribbean, there is potential that it could reach an area of more favorable development conditions later this week. Count on the Gulf Coast Storm Team to keep you informed.

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  • Tropical Storm Fernand forms in Atlantic, NHC says

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    The sixth tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season formed on Saturday, according to the National Hurricane Center.Tropical Storm Fernand formed Saturday just before 5 p.m. The storm is located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda, with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph, NHC says.Fernand is moving northward at about 15 mph.Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and it is expected to be near hurricane strength on Monday.Weakening is expected to begin on Tuesday. The system poses no threat to Florida.Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    The sixth tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season formed on Saturday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    Tropical Storm Fernand formed Saturday just before 5 p.m. The storm is located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda, with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph, NHC says.

    Fernand is moving northward at about 15 mph.

    Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and it is expected to be near hurricane strength on Monday.

    Weakening is expected to begin on Tuesday.

    The system poses no threat to Florida.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • Invest 90-L could become a tropical depression this weekend | NHC tracking 4 areas

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    The National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of interest in the eastern Atlantic for possible development.This is in addition to Hurricane Erin, which is anticipated to remain offshore of the Eastern U.S. coast. Leeward Islands – Invest 90-LA tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is showing increased shower and storm activity. Conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend.Formation chance through 48 hours: 40%Formation chance through 7 days: 70% Eastern Tropical Atlantic – Invest 99-LInvest 99-L is producing showers and storms several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and is starting to show some signs of organization. Recent satellite-derived wind data depict that the system does not have a well-defined center and therefore is not a tropical depression yet. Conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development in the next day or two, and it could become a short-lived tropical depression. By the end of the week, conditions appear unfavorable for further development.Formation chance through 48 hours: 40%Formation chance through 7 days: 40% Central AtlanticThe NHC tagged a small area of low pressure in the Atlantic. It is currently located 1,200 miles southwest of the Azores and producing limited showers and thunderstorms. Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%Formation chance through 7 days: 30%Hurricane Erin Hurricane Erin is beginning to pull away from the North Carolina coast on Thursday morning. Erin is forecast to remain at this intensity through Friday morning before weakening to a Category 1 storm as it moves into the northern Atlantic.Beachgoers should follow the guidance of lifeguards and any beach warning flags. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    The National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of interest in the eastern Atlantic for possible development.

    This is in addition to Hurricane Erin, which is anticipated to remain offshore of the Eastern U.S. coast.

    Leeward Islands – Invest 90-L

    A tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is showing increased shower and storm activity.

    Conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 40%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 70%

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic – Invest 99-L

    Invest 99-L is producing showers and storms several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and is starting to show some signs of organization.

    Recent satellite-derived wind data depict that the system does not have a well-defined center and therefore is not a tropical depression yet.

    Conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development in the next day or two, and it could become a short-lived tropical depression.

    By the end of the week, conditions appear unfavorable for further development.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 40%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 40%

    Central Atlantic

    The NHC tagged a small area of low pressure in the Atlantic. It is currently located 1,200 miles southwest of the Azores and producing limited showers and thunderstorms.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 30%

    Hurricane Erin

    Hurricane Erin is beginning to pull away from the North Carolina coast on Thursday morning.

    Erin is forecast to remain at this intensity through Friday morning before weakening to a Category 1 storm as it moves into the northern Atlantic.

    Beachgoers should follow the guidance of lifeguards and any beach warning flags.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

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  • High pressure expected to spare Florida as NHC monitors Invest 94-L, another disturbance

    High pressure expected to spare Florida as NHC monitors Invest 94-L, another disturbance

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    Note: Video above is previous coverageAs Floridians continue to recover from Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton, two major storms that hit the state back-to-back, the tropics are not slowing down.The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring Invest 94-L and a second disturbance in the Caribbean, though neither system appears to pose a threat to Florida.Invest 94-L: Tracking a disturbance in the AtlanticInvest 94-L, a trough of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic, could become a tropical depression late this week, but the NHC says circulation associated with this system is becoming less defined.> Related: What’s an invest?Currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, Invest 94-L was previously embedded in a dry, unfavorable environment that prevented it from developing any further. Now, as the system moves generally westward, the NHC says conditions could become marginally conducive for formation, with gradual development beginning late week. As the system nears the Leeward and Virgin Islands, the NHC thinks a tropical depression could form, though high pressure across Florida is expected to protect the state from impacts. Current models show an insignificant system moving into the Caribbean, where it could interact with land and die out.Formation chances are pretty low and have slightly decreased over the week. In the next 48 hours, the NHC says there is a 30% chance of this system developing. Those odds are just 40% in the next seven days. With very little data at this time, model information should be taken loosely. When, if ever, the system develops, models will become more consistent in terms of path and intensity. There is plenty of time to monitor the system and lots of unknowns, so no need to panic.MORE: Get the Facts: Addressing rumors of ‘Nadine’ in the tropicsA second disturbance: Western Caribbean SeaThe NHC is also watching a second broad area of low pressure a little further south that is producing some showers and thunderstorms.Though the chances are low right now, the NHC says some gradual development of this system is possible if it strays over water while moving slowly northwestward toward Central America.Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is expected across portions of Central America later this week, the NHC said.Formation chances remain very low for now, holding at 20% for the next 48 hours and only 20% in the next seven days — also a decrease from previous advisories.First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Note: Video above is previous coverage

    As Floridians continue to recover from Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton, two major storms that hit the state back-to-back, the tropics are not slowing down.

    The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring Invest 94-L and a second disturbance in the Caribbean, though neither system appears to pose a threat to Florida.

    Invest 94-L: Tracking a disturbance in the Atlantic

    Invest 94-L, a trough of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic, could become a tropical depression late this week, but the NHC says circulation associated with this system is becoming less defined.

    > Related: What’s an invest?

    Currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, Invest 94-L was previously embedded in a dry, unfavorable environment that prevented it from developing any further. Now, as the system moves generally westward, the NHC says conditions could become marginally conducive for formation, with gradual development beginning late week.

    As the system nears the Leeward and Virgin Islands, the NHC thinks a tropical depression could form, though high pressure across Florida is expected to protect the state from impacts. Current models show an insignificant system moving into the Caribbean, where it could interact with land and die out.

    Formation chances are pretty low and have slightly decreased over the week. In the next 48 hours, the NHC says there is a 30% chance of this system developing. Those odds are just 40% in the next seven days.

    With very little data at this time, model information should be taken loosely. When, if ever, the system develops, models will become more consistent in terms of path and intensity. There is plenty of time to monitor the system and lots of unknowns, so no need to panic.

    Storm Models

    MORE: Get the Facts: Addressing rumors of ‘Nadine’ in the tropics

    A second disturbance: Western Caribbean Sea

    The NHC is also watching a second broad area of low pressure a little further south that is producing some showers and thunderstorms.

    Though the chances are low right now, the NHC says some gradual development of this system is possible if it strays over water while moving slowly northwestward toward Central America.

    Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is expected across portions of Central America later this week, the NHC said.

    Formation chances remain very low for now, holding at 20% for the next 48 hours and only 20% in the next seven days — also a decrease from previous advisories.

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Tropical Storm Milton forms in Gulf, heads toward west coast of Florida Peninsula

    Tropical Storm Milton forms in Gulf, heads toward west coast of Florida Peninsula

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    Less than 10 days after Hurricane Helene made landfall in Florida, the state is bracing for another potentially devastating blow from a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico.

    Tropical Storm Milton formed in the western Gulf on Saturday morning just hours after it became a tropical depression, the National Hurricane Center said in a special alert. The 13th named storm, which uses the letter M, is running ahead of pace – it doesn’t usually occur until October 25.

    Milton is forecast to strengthen and bring life-threatening impacts to portions of the west coast of Florida next week.

    The storm is expected to “quickly intensify while it moves eastward to northeastward across the Gulf of Mexico and be at or near major hurricane strength when it reaches the west coast of the Florida Peninsula mid week,” the hurricane center said. As of Saturday afternoon, it is expected to make landfall in Florida as at least a Category 2 hurricane.

    Hurricane watches, as well as storm surge watches, will likely be issued for portions of the Florida coast on Sunday – a dangerous storm surge is expected for some areas that were just affected by Helene.

    “Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week,” the NHC said.

    The storm threat comes after Helene made landfall September 26 on Florida’s Big Bend as a Category 4 and created a 500-mile path of destruction with catastrophic flooding, damaging winds and power outages. Local authorities have reported more than 200 deaths across six states and fear that number could rise.

    Helene was one of the largest storms the Gulf of Mexico has seen in the last century.

    The latest storm forecast at this point calls for widespread totals of 4 to 6 inches of rain across almost the full length of the state, from Gainesville down through Key West, with isolated higher amounts up to 10 inches possible through Thursday. Tampa has already already seen more than 20 inches of rainfall above normal for the year. Cities like Melbourne, Jacksonville, Naples and Fort Myers all have more than a foot of surplus rainfall so far this year as well.

    There is also an increasing risk of storm surge for the western Florida Peninsula as early as late Tuesday or Wednesday. Damaging winds, tornadoes and waterspouts will also be possible next week.

    The hurricane center is warning people in Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, as well as the Bahamas to closely monitor this system this weekend and early next week for any impacts.

    RELATED: Hurricane Kirk strengthens into Category 4 storm in Atlantic, expected to bring swells to East coast

    Meanwhile, Hurricane Kirk remained a Category 4 major hurricane, and waves from the system were affecting the the Leeward Islands, Bermuda, and the Greater Antilles, forecasters said. The storm’s swells were expected to spread to the East Coast of the United States, the Atlantic Coast of Canada and the Bahamas on Saturday night and Sunday.

    Forecasters warned the waves could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

    Kirk was expected to weaken starting Saturday, the center said.

    Though there were no coastal warnings or watches in effect for Kirk, the center said those in the Azores, where swells could hit Monday, should monitor the storm’s progress.

    Kirk was about 975 miles (1,570 kilometers) east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph (209 kph).

    (The-CNN-Wire & 2024 Cable News Network, Inc., a Time Warner Company. All rights reserved.)

    The Associated Press contibuted to this report.

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  • Tropical Storm Milton forms in Gulf, heads toward west coast of Florida Peninsula

    Tropical Storm Milton forms in Gulf, heads toward west coast of Florida Peninsula

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    Less than 10 days after Hurricane Helene made landfall in Florida, the state is bracing for another potentially devastating blow from a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico.

    Tropical Storm Milton formed in the western Gulf on Saturday morning just hours after it became a tropical depression, the National Hurricane Center said in a special alert. The 13th named storm, which uses the letter M, is running ahead of pace – it doesn’t usually occur until October 25.

    Milton is forecast to strengthen and bring life-threatening impacts to portions of the west coast of Florida next week.

    The storm is expected to “quickly intensify while it moves eastward to northeastward across the Gulf of Mexico and be at or near major hurricane strength when it reaches the west coast of the Florida Peninsula mid week,” the hurricane center said. As of Saturday afternoon, it is expected to make landfall in Florida as at least a Category 2 hurricane.

    Hurricane watches, as well as storm surge watches, will likely be issued for portions of the Florida coast on Sunday – a dangerous storm surge is expected for some areas that were just affected by Helene.

    “Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week,” the NHC said.

    The storm threat comes after Helene made landfall September 26 on Florida’s Big Bend as a Category 4 and created a 500-mile path of destruction with catastrophic flooding, damaging winds and power outages. Local authorities have reported more than 200 deaths across six states and fear that number could rise.

    Helene was one of the largest storms the Gulf of Mexico has seen in the last century.

    The latest storm forecast at this point calls for widespread totals of 4 to 6 inches of rain across almost the full length of the state, from Gainesville down through Key West, with isolated higher amounts up to 10 inches possible through Thursday. Tampa has already already seen more than 20 inches of rainfall above normal for the year. Cities like Melbourne, Jacksonville, Naples and Fort Myers all have more than a foot of surplus rainfall so far this year as well.

    There is also an increasing risk of storm surge for the western Florida Peninsula as early as late Tuesday or Wednesday. Damaging winds, tornadoes and waterspouts will also be possible next week.

    The hurricane center is warning people in Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, as well as the Bahamas to closely monitor this system this weekend and early next week for any impacts.

    RELATED: Hurricane Kirk strengthens into Category 4 storm in Atlantic, expected to bring swells to East coast

    Meanwhile, Hurricane Kirk remained a Category 4 major hurricane, and waves from the system were affecting the the Leeward Islands, Bermuda, and the Greater Antilles, forecasters said. The storm’s swells were expected to spread to the East Coast of the United States, the Atlantic Coast of Canada and the Bahamas on Saturday night and Sunday.

    Forecasters warned the waves could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

    Kirk was expected to weaken starting Saturday, the center said.

    Though there were no coastal warnings or watches in effect for Kirk, the center said those in the Azores, where swells could hit Monday, should monitor the storm’s progress.

    Kirk was about 975 miles (1,570 kilometers) east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph (209 kph).

    (The-CNN-Wire & 2024 Cable News Network, Inc., a Time Warner Company. All rights reserved.)

    The Associated Press contibuted to this report.

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  • NHC continues to monitor 3 disturbances, possible tropical depressions

    NHC continues to monitor 3 disturbances, possible tropical depressions

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    The National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico — all of them with development chances.Northwestern Gulf of MexicoA broad area of low pressure just offshore of Texas’ upper coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.For the next couple of days, the NHC says the system will meander near the coast, possibly developing further if it stays offshore long enough. The system is expected to move inland Tuesday, and development is not expected after that.Regardless of development, the NHC says heavy rains and flash flooding is possible over the next few days.Formation chances remain low, holding at only 10% for both the next 48 hours and the next seven days.Lesser Antilles and Caribbean SeaA tropical wave near the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds in the area, Puerto Rico and adjacent Caribbean waters.According to the NHC, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development when the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico later this week and into the weekend, which is when a tropical depression could form.Formation chances remain low for now (near 0%), but jump to 40% in the next seven days, which is considered “medium.”Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Eastern Tropical AtlanticAnother tropical wave off the west coast of Africa is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and the NHC says a tropical depression could form in a few days as the system moves west-northwestward.According to the NHC, this system could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands soon.For now, formation chances remain low at 10% for the next 48 hours. However, that chance becomes 40% in the weeklong forecast.Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    The National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico — all of them with development chances.

    Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

    A broad area of low pressure just offshore of Texas’ upper coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    For the next couple of days, the NHC says the system will meander near the coast, possibly developing further if it stays offshore long enough. The system is expected to move inland Tuesday, and development is not expected after that.

    Regardless of development, the NHC says heavy rains and flash flooding is possible over the next few days.

    Formation chances remain low, holding at only 10% for both the next 48 hours and the next seven days.

    Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea

    A tropical wave near the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds in the area, Puerto Rico and adjacent Caribbean waters.

    According to the NHC, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development when the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico later this week and into the weekend, which is when a tropical depression could form.

    Formation chances remain low for now (near 0%), but jump to 40% in the next seven days, which is considered “medium.”

    INVEST 95

    Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic

    Another tropical wave off the west coast of Africa is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    The environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and the NHC says a tropical depression could form in a few days as the system moves west-northwestward.

    According to the NHC, this system could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands soon.

    For now, formation chances remain low at 10% for the next 48 hours. However, that chance becomes 40% in the weeklong forecast.

    Tropical Wave Info

    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Tropical Storm Beryl forms, could become first hurricane of the season this weekend

    Tropical Storm Beryl forms, could become first hurricane of the season this weekend

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    TWO NEWS STARTS NOW AND FIRST AT 11, A NEW TROPICAL STORM HAS FORMED OUT IN THE ATLANTIC. FIRST WARNING CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI IS TRACKING THE PATH. IT IS TAKING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN TONIGHT. YEAH, I’LL TELL YOU WHAT. THIS ONE IS MOVING OFF TOWARDS THE WEST GUYS AND IS LIKELY TO BECOME THE SEASON’S FIRST HURRICANE. AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. BEAUTIFUL SYMMETRY TONIGHT. VERY CONCENTRIC CENTER OF THUNDERSTORMS THERE. RIGHT AROUND THAT CORE. WINDS ARE UP TO 40 MILES AN HOUR MOVING STEADILY NOW OFF TOWARDS THE WEST. PRESSURE’S BEEN HOLDING STEADY THERE. AT ABOUT 1006 MILLIBARS. HERE’S THE UPDATED CONE NOW FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THIS ONE A CATEGORY HURRICANE THERE BY ABOUT 8:00 IN THE EVENING. IT MAY EVEN BE EARLIER THAN THAT. BASED ON THE TRENDS WE’RE SEEING TONIGHT, A LOT OF THE COMPUTER MODELS HERE TAKE THIS GRADUALLY OFF TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST. THE TREND IS NOT DEVIATED NORTH OF CUBA, AND THERE’S A GOOD REASON FOR THAT. AS WE TAKE A LOOK AT THE INTENSITY FORECAST HERE TO THE ONE MODEL, THE H WHARF STILL HAS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. BUT BACK TO THOSE TRACKS. HERE’S OUR CONE. WHAT’S IMPORTANT FOR FLORIDA IS THIS BIG DOME, THIS BIG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS IS OUR BEST FRIEND FROM PREVENTING THIS STORM SYSTEM FROM TURNING UP TO THE NORTH. IF THAT DOES PAN OUT AND THIS DOESN’T GET TOO STRONG AND TRY TO MAKE THAT CURVE BETWEEN THAT WEAKNESS, ALL SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIRECT THIS ONE OFF TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST. PLENTY OF TIME TO WATCH IT. BUT WHAT’S INTERESTING TO NOTE NOT ONLY DO WE HAVE BERYL RIGHT BEHIND IT, THERE’S ANOTHER FEATURE BY BOTH THE GFS AND THE EUROPEAN COMPUTER MODELS THAT MAY TAKE THE SAME EXACT TRACK, SO THERE COULD BE A12 PUNCH THERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLES OVER TOWARDS JAMAICA AND MAYBE EVEN THE SOUTH SIDE OF HAITI AND OVER TOWARDS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. WE’LL KEEP YOU POSTED ON THAT FOR NOW THOUGH. KEEP CHECKING BACK IN. BUT I’M FEELING PRETTY GOOD BASED ON TONIGHT’S COMPUTER

    Tropical Storm Beryl forms, could become first hurricane of the season this weekend

    Tropical Storm Beryl officially formed Friday night, according to the National Hurricane Center. The NHC said Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to strengthen and possibly become a hurricane when it reaches the Windward Islands Sunday night or Monday. Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024This could bring heavy rain, hurricane-force winds, dangerous storm surges and waves.Tropical Storm Beryl initially developed as Invest 95-L and was later upgraded to a tropical depression on Friday afternoon before strengthening into a tropical storm. More tropicsThe NHC is also monitoring Invest 94-L and a tropical wave.Related: Hurricane KidCast: What’s a hurricane? And more answers to kids’ questionsRelated: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    Tropical Storm Beryl officially formed Friday night, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The NHC said Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to strengthen and possibly become a hurricane when it reaches the Windward Islands Sunday night or Monday.

    Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

    This could bring heavy rain, hurricane-force winds, dangerous storm surges and waves.

    Tropical Storm Beryl initially developed as Invest 95-L and was later upgraded to a tropical depression on Friday afternoon before strengthening into a tropical storm.

    More tropics

    The NHC is also monitoring Invest 94-L and a tropical wave.

    Related: Hurricane KidCast: What’s a hurricane? And more answers to kids’ questions
    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

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  • Invest 92-L closes in near Florida’s coast, could become short-lived tropical depression

    Invest 92-L closes in near Florida’s coast, could become short-lived tropical depression

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    The National Hurricane Center has been closely monitoring a disturbance in the Atlantic — dubbed Invest 92-L — as it moves closer and closer to the southeast coast of the United States. According to the NHC, the area of small but concentrated showers and thunderstorms is expected to approach the Florida and Georgia coasts on Friday night and could become a short-lived tropical depression before it does so.Tracking the Tropics: What’s an invest?At last check, the NHC said the system was located about 150 miles east of Jacksonville and was expected to move northwest anywhere between 10 to 15 mph. From previous forecasts, Invest 92-L is trending more towards the north, which could alleviate some severe weather threats in Central Florida. Residents further north could see high winds and tropical downpours.Hurricane Hunters left Alabama on Friday morning to explore the system. At the western edge, they said they’re already starting to see some gusty winds — including peak surface winds of 33 mph. They’re currently investigating the low to see if it has well-defined surface circulation. Environmental conditions remain marginally conducive for some additional development, the NHC said.Formation chances remain “medium” for Invest 92-L, holding at 50% for the next 48 hours and the next seven days.Early Friday morning, many portions of Central Florida were already experiencing showers, and these conditions are expected to last throughout the day — including an afternoon wave unrelated to Invest 92-L. Those on the coast should expect rough surf conditions and use caution. RELATED: Coastal concerns as storm system moves toward Florida’s east coastRELATED: Crews in Flagler County preparing for impacts as tropical system moves closer Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.>> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2>> Track storms with WESH 2’s radar

    The National Hurricane Center has been closely monitoring a disturbance in the Atlantic — dubbed Invest 92-L — as it moves closer and closer to the southeast coast of the United States.

    According to the NHC, the area of small but concentrated showers and thunderstorms is expected to approach the Florida and Georgia coasts on Friday night and could become a short-lived tropical depression before it does so.

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    Tracking the Tropics: What’s an invest?

    At last check, the NHC said the system was located about 150 miles east of Jacksonville and was expected to move northwest anywhere between 10 to 15 mph. From previous forecasts, Invest 92-L is trending more towards the north, which could alleviate some severe weather threats in Central Florida.

    Residents further north could see high winds and tropical downpours.

    Hurricane Hunters left Alabama on Friday morning to explore the system. At the western edge, they said they’re already starting to see some gusty winds — including peak surface winds of 33 mph. They’re currently investigating the low to see if it has well-defined surface circulation.

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    Environmental conditions remain marginally conducive for some additional development, the NHC said.

    Formation chances remain “medium” for Invest 92-L, holding at 50% for the next 48 hours and the next seven days.

    Early Friday morning, many portions of Central Florida were already experiencing showers, and these conditions are expected to last throughout the day — including an afternoon wave unrelated to Invest 92-L. Those on the coast should expect rough surf conditions and use caution.

    RELATED: Coastal concerns as storm system moves toward Florida’s east coast

    RELATED: Crews in Flagler County preparing for impacts as tropical system moves closer

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    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    >> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    >> Track storms with WESH 2’s radar

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