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  • NHC monitoring 2 areas for tropical development; 1 bringing rain to Florida much of the weekend

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    The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring two areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean, including one in the Gulf. >>Video in player is previous forecastThat’s why rain is in the forecast for much of the weekend. Below: Eric Burris has a long-range look at tropicsNorth-Central GulfA weak area of low pressure has formed over the north-central Gulf and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday. Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.Formation chance through 48 hours: 0%Formation chance through 7 days: 0%Tropical AtlanticA tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of the wave is possible over the next few days, and it could become a tropical depression by the middle to latter part of next week while moving across the central tropical Atlantic and approaching portions of the Leeward Islands.Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through 7 days: 60%Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring two areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean, including one in the Gulf.

    >>Video in player is previous forecast

    That’s why rain is in the forecast for much of the weekend.

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    Below: Eric Burris has a long-range look at tropics

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    North-Central Gulf

    A weak area of low pressure has formed over the north-central Gulf and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday. Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 0%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 0%

    Tropical Atlantic

    A tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of the wave is possible over the next few days, and it could become a tropical depression by the middle to latter part of next week while moving across the central tropical Atlantic and approaching portions of the Leeward Islands.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 60%

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    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Tropical Storm Debby: Latest maps, models and paths

    Tropical Storm Debby: Latest maps, models and paths

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    Tropical Storm Debby: Latest maps, models and paths

    AT THE SCENE UNTIL OCOEE POLICE ARRIVED. ALL RIGHT. TAKING A LOOK AT OUR FORECAST, DEBBY ALMOST AT THE POINT WHERE IT’S OUT OF FLORIDA. YEAH, LET’S GET OVER TO CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI. SO TONY SHOW US WHERE THE STORM IS NOW AND HOW OUR CONDITIONS ARE. YEAH, I’LL TELL YOU WHAT IT IS AGAIN, RIGHT ON THAT. GEORGIA. FLORIDA LINE. IT’S GOING TO GO OFF TO THE NORTH AND THE EAST OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THEN REEMERGE OVER THE WATER AND POTENTIALLY REINTENSIFY BEFORE GOING BACK OVER LAND. BUT AS IT CONTINUES TO LIFT TO THE NORTH AND EAST, IT’S GOT LESS OF A GRIP ON US. STILL HAVE POWER OUTAGES THOUGH. UP IN MARION COUNTY FROM 18,000 DOWN TO 10,000 NOW. CERTAINLY SOME GOOD NEWS THERE. SPEAKING OF MARION COUNTY, HERE’S A LIVE LOOK IN UP TOWARDS THE OCALA SQUARE. THINGS ARE RELATIVELY QUIET TONIGHT ON THE BACK SIDE OF DEBBY. WE DO HAVE SOME SHOWERS HERE. BUILDING ON IN AND THEN ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE, THE THE SIDE TO THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. WE DO HAVE SOME TORNADO WARNINGS TONIGHT JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF CHARLESTON HERE LOCALLY, SOME FAST MOVING SHOWERS COMING ON THROUGH AT THIS HOUR. IN FACT, AS WE ZOOM IT IN, YOU CAN SEE A LITTLE HEAVIER BAND IN AND AROUND NEW SMYRNA BEACH. A COUPLE LIGHTER SHOWERS OVER TOWARDS ASTOR. THERE’S EUSTIS, THERE’S CLERMONT, COUPLE LIGHT SHOWERS HERE. GETS A LITTLE BIT HEAVIER FROM THE TURNPIKE. NOW OVER TOWARDS COCOA AND COCOA BEACH. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THAT. MELBOURNE AND PALM BAY WATCHING THAT RAIN OFF TOWARDS YOUR SOUTH AND WEST. FLOOD WATCHES CONTINUE TO BE DISCONTINUED. THE ONLY ONE THAT’S STILL IN THAT FLOOD WATCH IS UP THERE ON INTO MARION COUNTY. STILL A BIT OF A BREEZE, BUT NOT AS WINDY AS EARLIER WIND ADVISORIES NOW ONLY IN PLAY UP THERE IN FLAGLER COUNTY. WE TAKE A LOOK AT THAT DAY PLANNER TOMORROW. A COUPLE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS. IT’S GOING TO BE A LITTLE BIT WARMER. WE’LL GET BACK TO THE 90 DEGREE MARK, IF NOT A LITTLE BIT HIGHER THAN THAT. I’LL SHOW YO

    Tropical Storm Debby: Latest maps, models and paths

    Hurricane Debby has been downgraded after making landfall in Florida’s Big Bend region around 7 a.m. on Monday.More: Latest on Tropical Storm Debby moving through FloridaBookmark this link for the latest maps, models and tracks for Tropical Storm Debby. Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Related: Hurricane KidCast: What’s a hurricane? And more answers to kids’ questionsRelated: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2 >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Hurricane Debby: Latest maps, models and paths

    Hurricane Debby: Latest maps, models and paths

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    Hurricane Debby: Latest maps, models and paths

    OUR TEAM OF FIRST WARNING METEOROLOGIST, CHIEF METEOROLOGIST, TONY MAINOLFI AND CAM TRAN ARE HERE WITH THE LATEST ADVISORY. WE JUST GOT MOMENTS AGO TONY. AND IT IS NOW OFFICIALLY A HURRICANE THAT WE’RE TRACKING. THAT’S RIGHT. WE GOT WINDS OF 75 MILES AN HOUR. CAM. I TELL YOU WHAT, IF THE DRIER AIR WASN’T THERE, WE MAY HAVE SOMETHING A BIT MORE DRAMATIC THAN JUST A CATEGORY ONE. SO THAT’S HELPING US OUT. BUT WE’RE STILL DEALING WITH A HURRICANE AT LANDFALL. YEAH, THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANES FLEW INTO THE SYSTEM. IT SHOWS A VERY RAGGEDY LOOKING EYE, BUT IT’S THEIR EYES AND YOU CAN DEFINITELY SEE THAT DRY AIR JUST REALLY EATING AWAY AT THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STORM. BUT REGARDLESS, DEBBIE IS NOW OFFICIALLY A HURRICANE. YEAH, WE’LL SHOW YOU THE EYE HERE ON THE RADAR AND THE WINDS, TOO. BUT LET ME GIVE YOU THE LATEST FORECAST CONE HERE FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. AS OF THE 11:00 ADVISORY, STILL NORTH AT 12, BUT THERE MAY BE A LITTLE BIT OF A WOBBLE GOING ON. I’LL SHOW YOU THAT IN THE RADAR AGAIN, MAKING LANDFALL RIGHT AROUND 8:00 IN THE MORNING. THERE. AND THEN MOVING OFF TOWARDS THE EAST NORTHEAST TOWARDS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, WHERE IT WILL SLOW DOWN AND AND POTENTIALLY BRING SOME SIGNIFICANT FLOODING RAINS UP THAT WAY. SO THE UPGRADE CAME. THEY SAW THE HURRICANE HUNTERS IN THERE. UH, WITH THE PRESSURE DROPPING AND THE AND THE WINDS, THEY’RE GOOD ENOUGH AT VARIOUS POINTS TO UPGRADE THIS FROM A TROPICAL STORM TO A HURRICANE. AND THAT’S A LOOK NOW AT THE LATEST ADVISORIES INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW. WELL INLAND NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA FOR US. UH, MARION, SUMTER COUNTY, STILL UNDER THE, UH, THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING. AND THEN WE GOT WATCHES FOR SUMTER LAKE AND ON INTO POLK COUNTIES, I SHOULD SAY. HERE’S THE EYE. IT’S RIGHT HERE. I WANT TO SHOW YOU SOMETHING. LOOK AT THE NORTHWEST EDGE. THAT’S THE DRY AIR. CAM AND I BEEN TALKING ABOUT, KIND OF ERODING THAT NORTHWEST NOOK THERE. IT’S KIND OF ELONGATED HERE. SO EVEN THOUGH IT’S GOING NORTH, MAYBE JUST NORTH NORTHEAST NOW. SO WE’LL WATCH THE TRENDS ON THAT. PRETTY GOOD ROUND OF WIND JUST OFF THE WEST COAST THERE OF THE CENTRAL WEST COAST OF FLORIDA, BRINGING IN A LOT OF WIND AND A LOT OF RAIN. MARION COUNTY, SUMTER ON INTO LAKE COUNTY. THAT’S WHERE THE MAJORITY OF THE RAIN THERE’S. LEESBURG. FERNDALE CUTS OFF WEST OF APOPKA. WE SHOOT MORE TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND THE WEST. SUMTER LAKE COUNTY’S GOT SOME PRETTY GOOD RAIN AND THEN ANOTHER BIG SLUG OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. NOW SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA BAY, THAT’S GOING TO ROTATE IN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT COULD BRING EVEN MORE POWER OUTAGES. THERE’S SUMTER COUNTY AS OF RIGHT NOW, CAM 9965 FOLKS WITHOUT POWER. YEAH. AND UNFORTUNATELY, THOSE NUMBERS COULD GO UP IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BECAUSE WE ARE WATCHING THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER. SO WE WERE UNDER A TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8:00. BUT THAT WATCH HAS NOW BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 6 A.M. TOMORROW MORNING. AND IT ALSO INCLUDES ALL OF CENTRAL FLORIDA. BREVARD COUNTY WAS OMITTED FROM THE ORIGINAL WATCH, BUT YOU CAN SEE BREVARD IS NOW INCLUDED IN THIS TORNADO WATCH AGAIN UNTIL 6 A.M. TOMORROW MORNING. AND THAT’S BECAUSE WE ARE IN THE FRONT RIGHT QUADRANT OF THE STORM, REGARDLESS IF IT’S A HURRICANE OR NOT. WE WERE ALWAYS GOING TO BE IN THAT FRONT RIGHT QUADRANT, MEANING WE ARE GOING TO SEE THAT THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT. AND ALSO THE CHANCE FOR TOMORROW AS WELL. NOW, THAT THREAT FOR TOMORROW WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE LEVEL TWO OUT OF FIVE RISK FOR AREAS ALONG I-75 IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS SOUTH OF THAT OR EAST OF THAT WILL BE UNDER A LEVEL ONE OUT OF FIVE. WORST TOMORROW AFTERNOON. BUT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT IS WHEN WE WILL SEE THE BIGGEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER, INCLUDING TORNADOES. WE’RE ALSO WATCHING THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING AS WELL. AGAIN, THE BIGGEST THREATS ARE STILL OFF TO OUR WEST TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE I 75 CORRIDOR. THAT WILL BE THE CASE TOMORROW BECAUSE YOU’LL BE CLOSER TO SOME OF THE HEAVIER BANDS WITH NOW HURRICANE DEBBIE. SO AS WE BREAK DOWN THE TIMELINE FOR YOU OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND FROM NOW INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF DAYBREAK, IS WHEN WE’LL SEE THE WORST OF THE WEATHER. UNFORTUNATELY, WITH WITH DEBBIE, ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS WEST OF I-75 TOMORROW IT’S GOING TO BE SQUALLY WEATHER ON AND OFF, RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND WINDS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW AND THEN TUESDAY. THAT IS WHEN FINALLY DEBBY LIFTS TO THE NORTH AND EAST AWAY FROM US. AND THAT’S WHEN WE’LL SEE IMPROVING CONDITIONS HERE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. COMING UP ABOUT 15 MINUTES. CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI AND I WILL SHOW YOU COUNTY BY COUNTY IMPACTS AND ALSO WALK YOU THROUGH HOUR BY HOUR WHEN WE’LL SEE THE WORST OF TH

    Hurricane Debby: Latest maps, models and paths

    Hurricane Debby strengthened rapidly before landfall in Florida’s Big Bend region.More: Latest on Tropical Storm Debby’s path toward FloridaBookmark this link for the latest maps, models and tracks for Tropical Storm Debby. Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Related: Hurricane KidCast: What’s a hurricane? And more answers to kids’ questionsRelated: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2 >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Invest 97-L sets sights on Florida’s coast as formation chances jump again

    Invest 97-L sets sights on Florida’s coast as formation chances jump again

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    An invest, tagged as Invest 97-L by the National Hurricane Center, is moving toward Florida and becoming more defined. Officials are now predicting its path may affect the west coast of Florida soon. Chances for development increased again on Friday morning.Related: Gov. DeSantis declares state of emergency ahead of stormAccording to the NHC, a well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized thunderstorms and showers over places like Hispaniola, the Bahamas, Cuba and other parts of the Atlantic Ocean.Invest is short for “investigation” and refers to a weather feature that the National Hurricane Center is investigating.The NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today. More: What’s an invest?>>> Track Invest 97-L: Latest maps, models and pathsThe invest is expected to move west-northward near or over Cuba on Friday and then emerge over the straits of Florida Friday night or Saturday.After the invest passes land, the NHC says additional development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form. According to the NHC, portions of Florida may be under a tropical storm watch or warning starting on Friday. The latest tropics models show Invest 97-L shifting and edging closer to Florida’s West Coast, potentially amplifying the effects in Central Florida.Formation chancesConditions are starting to become more favorable for development as Invest 97-L lingers in the warm Gulf waters and moves away from land.The NHC says the chance of formation in the next 48 hours is medium, jumping to 60%. In the next seven days, that chance becomes extremely high, increasing to 90%. Invest 97-L impacts on FloridaRegardless of development, the system will bring potential for flooding to many parts of Florida, the NHC said. The invest is expected to dump plenty of rain on Florida, but the exact timing of those impacts is still unknown. Currently, models show rain starting on Sunday and lasting until almost midweek. However, this could change depending on the speed and intensity of the system.Video below: Central Florida’s Friday forecast, which shows plenty of rain as Invest 97-L closes in on the state Eyes on another waveChief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi said there is another wave coming off the west coast of Africa that he’s keeping his eyes on.Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2More: Where do hurricanes begin?First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    An invest, tagged as Invest 97-L by the National Hurricane Center, is moving toward Florida and becoming more defined. Officials are now predicting its path may affect the west coast of Florida soon.

    Chances for development increased again on Friday morning.

    Related: Gov. DeSantis declares state of emergency ahead of storm

    According to the NHC, a well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized thunderstorms and showers over places like Hispaniola, the Bahamas, Cuba and other parts of the Atlantic Ocean.

    Invest is short for “investigation” and refers to a weather feature that the National Hurricane Center is investigating.

    The NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today.

    More: What’s an invest?

    >>> Track Invest 97-L: Latest maps, models and paths

    The invest is expected to move west-northward near or over Cuba on Friday and then emerge over the straits of Florida Friday night or Saturday.

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    After the invest passes land, the NHC says additional development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form. According to the NHC, portions of Florida may be under a tropical storm watch or warning starting on Friday.

    The latest tropics models show Invest 97-L shifting and edging closer to Florida’s West Coast, potentially amplifying the effects in Central Florida.

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    Formation chances

    Conditions are starting to become more favorable for development as Invest 97-L lingers in the warm Gulf waters and moves away from land.

    The NHC says the chance of formation in the next 48 hours is medium, jumping to 60%. In the next seven days, that chance becomes extremely high, increasing to 90%.

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    Invest 97-L impacts on Florida

    Regardless of development, the system will bring potential for flooding to many parts of Florida, the NHC said.

    The invest is expected to dump plenty of rain on Florida, but the exact timing of those impacts is still unknown. Currently, models show rain starting on Sunday and lasting until almost midweek. However, this could change depending on the speed and intensity of the system.

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    Video below: Central Florida’s Friday forecast, which shows plenty of rain as Invest 97-L closes in on the state

    Eyes on another wave

    Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi said there is another wave coming off the west coast of Africa that he’s keeping his eyes on.

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    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    More: Where do hurricanes begin?

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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