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Tag: stock trades

  • US Accuses Famed Short-Seller Andrew Left of Securities Fraud

    US Accuses Famed Short-Seller Andrew Left of Securities Fraud

    (Bloomberg) — US authorities accused famed short-seller Andrew Left of committing fraud through stock trades, social media posts and research reports — their biggest move yet in a yearslong crackdown against traders who tout their bearish bets.

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    The Securities and Exchange Commission alleged Friday that Left used his firm, Citron, to generate about $20 million in profits from illegal trading involving almost two dozen companies. The Justice Department also announced a criminal case against Left, accusing him of securities fraud and allegedly lying to investigators about compensation from hedge funds.

    The cases against Left stem from a wide-ranging US effort to examine relationships between hedge funds and skeptical researchers. The probes have rattled the industry for three years as investigators have sought information on dozens of money managers and activists, as well as transactions involving more than 50 stocks.

    According to the SEC, Left would use social media or television appearances to make recommendations about a stock, on which he had short or long positions, sometimes giving a target price at which he thought the stock would trade. The Justice Department said Left would create a false perception that his public comments on a stock were in line with his trading activity.

    “Left knowingly exploited his ability to move stock prices by targeting stocks popular with retail investors and posting recommendations on social media to manipulate the market and make fast, easy money,” the Justice Department said in its statement.

    James Spertus, a lawyer for Left, said in an email that the government’s case was “defective” and his client had no duty to disclose his personal trading intentions. Spertus said that the information Left published was “truthful information” which is needed for markets to be efficient.

    “The DOJ and the SEC threaten the integrity of the securities markets and put the health of our financial system at risk by trying to silence a publisher of truthful information who also trades in the securities he writes about,” said Spertus.

    Stock Trades

    Left, according to prosecutors, would also quickly close positions after releasing a research report or making comments. That would let him take advantage of short-term price movements.

    According to the SEC, Left’s misconduct touched stocks including Tesla Inc., Roku Inc., American Airlines Group Inc. and Nvidia Corp.

    “This fraudulent practice deceived investors and allowed Left to use his Citron Research reports and tweets as catalysts from which he could derive short-term profits,” the SEC alleged in the complaint.

    The mere appearance of research from a prominent bear can send a stock into a tailspin before the market has time to debate its merit — which can be especially hard on small investors who can’t react quickly. Companies and shareholders have increasingly cried foul, prompting US congressional hearings.

    Left profited from his advance knowledge that he was about to trigger movements in the market, according to the Justice Department indictment. For the his strategy to work, Left knew that investors needed to believe that the recommendations and positions he set forth were sincerely maintained, and not just vehicles for him to personally profit, prosecutors said.

    ‘Candy From a Baby’

    The SEC alleges Left bragged to colleagues that some of his statements caused retail investors to trade the way he wanted them to and that it was like taking “candy from a baby.”

    The SEC’s lawsuit documents dozens of social media posts, reports and comments from Left from March 2018 through December 2020.

    Left was charged in an indictment in federal court in California with one count of engaging in a securities fraud scheme, 17 counts of securities fraud and making false statements to federal investigators. If convicted, he could face more than 25 years in prison.

    Prosecutors claim that Left lied to law enforcement by stating that his firm never exchanged compensation with a hedge fund. US authorities allege Left received more than $1 million from two hedge funds.

    –With assistance from Katherine Burton.

    (Updates with Left lawyer’s comment in sixth and seventh paragraphs.)

    Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

    ©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Prediction: These Could Be the Best-Performing Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Through 2030

    Prediction: These Could Be the Best-Performing Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Through 2030


    Do you remember first hearing about this strange thing called “the cloud”? It was probably sometime in the 2010s. Many said it would be a massive boon for tech companies — and they were right.

    Spending on public cloud usage rose from $31 billion in 2015 to nearly $200 billion in 2023. Microsoft‘s Intelligent Cloud and Amazon‘s (NASDAQ: AMZN) Amazon Web Services (AWS) provide terrific revenue streams with annual run rates of over $100 billion each. This technology has been the linchpin driving total returns of over 900% since 2015 for both stocks.

    Artificial intelligence (AI) looks like the next big thing. Some say it will be as transformative as the internet. The International Monetary Fund says it will change nearly 40% of jobs worldwide, and data compiled by Statista shows the AI market will increase sixfold from $300 billion this year to over $1.8 trillion by 2030.

    A bar chart showing estimates of increased AI spending.

    A bar chart showing estimates of increased AI spending.

    Here are four companies taking advantage of the growth in AI with the potential to make investors very happy in the next six years.

    Palantir

    Palantir (NYSE: PLTR) is a popular stock, and much of the hype is deserved. Managing, analyzing, and using data to optimize decision-making are at the core of its business. And its platforms for the private sector and governments use AI to do this.

    Palantir’s newest product, Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), is also built for the defense and the private sectors, where it deploys on the customer’s network and leverages large language models (LLMs). What exactly does this mean? Here’s an example from Palantir.

    Say that you’re a military operator in charge of forces in the field, and data comes in saying the enemy is amassing equipment nearby. The operator can visualize the field and ask questions such as, “What enemy units are nearby?” and “What are likely enemy formations?” Then, they can direct drones or satellites to capture images. Using this technology assists the operator with planning and operational decisions.

    Palantir has historically done well with defense revenue. This is a terrific source of income because governments have deep pockets. However, the private sector also offers a massive marketplace.

    The company’s commercial revenue grew 32% year-over-year (YOY) in the fourth quarter of 2023 to $284 million (an acceleration from the 23% YOY growth in Q3), and government revenue grew 11% to $324 million. Palantir was also profitable on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis for the fifth straight quarter — an impressive achievement for a high-growth tech company.

    The stock trades for 25 times sales, which isn’t cheap, but this falls to 20 on a forward basis using sales estimates. There’s short-term risk because of the valuation, so consider buying over time. In the long term, Palantir’s AI credentials are top-notch.

    UiPath

    Here’s a phrase to add to your vocabulary: robotic process automation (RPA). This takes tedious and non-value-adding tasks and automates them.

    For example, a mortgage broker may spend hours reviewing emails, downloading attachments, and manually entering data into applications. With RPA, this can be automated, freeing the broker to focus on higher-level tasks like communicating with underwriters and reaching out to customers. This is an example of what UiPath (NYSE: PATH) can do for its customers.

    Speaking of customers, UiPath boasts over 10,800 of them, and they provide $1.4 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR). Sales came in at $326 million in the third quarter of UiPath’s fiscal 2024 (the three months ended Oct. 31, 2023) on 24% growth, which is impressive, considering the challenging economic environment in 2023. UiPath also has a fortress-like balance sheet with $1.8 billion in cash and investments and no long-term debt.

    UiPath has stiff competition in a fragmented industry, which may be the most significant risk for investors. The company is also not GAAP profitable, although it is cash-flow positive. The stock trades for 11 times sales, which is reasonable for the industry.

    RPA has the potential to save companies vast amounts of money by automating low-level tasks, and UiPath could be a significant long-term beneficiary of this trend.

    Evolv Technologies

    Before I delve into this company, please note that this stock has a market cap of less than $1 billion, making it more speculative than others. Managing risk is crucial, so speculative stocks should only occupy a set portion of your portfolio, based on your age, i.e., how much time you have to make up losses, and risk tolerance. With that understanding, Evolv Technologies (NASDAQ: EVLV) sells fascinating technology that could save your life (and maybe make investors loads of money).

    Currently, when entering a stadium or other venue, people stand in line to go through a metal detector one at a time, empty their pockets, and often get a second screening with a wand. It’s inefficient, and items are often missed.

    Evolv’s technology is different. Multiple people can walk through the AI-powered machines, and the detectors look at various characteristics, such as shapes, to identify guns or knives, rather than alerting for everything metal, like car keys. Alerts show security personnel where the object is detected, and they take it from there.

    Schools, hospitals, and stadiums are the target customers for Evolv. Several major sports teams, school districts, and medical campuses already use it. Ending ARR in Q3 2023 was $66 million on 129% year-over-year growth, and subscriptions jumped 137% to just over 4,000. With a market cap of $676 million, Evolv trades at a reasonable 10 times ARR and has loads of potential.

    Amazon

    I said there was at least one company in this article that you may have never heard of, but it’s probably not this one. Amazon is known for its online marketplace, but will also benefit tremendously from AI since AWS is the world’s leading cloud service provider.

    AI software requires tons of data, and much of this will be processed in the cloud. Amazon also offers other AI solutions, like foundational models — which allow users to tailor AI software to their needs.

    Amazon just released its Q4 2023 earnings, and they were spectacular. Total revenue was up 14% to $170 billion, along with significant increases in cash flow and operating income. As depicted below, the stock rose but still trades below its five-year average, based on sales and cash flow.

    AMZN PS Ratio ChartAMZN PS Ratio Chart

    AMZN PS Ratio Chart

    AI will give Amazon a boost that should please investors for years to come.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Palantir Technologies right now?

    Before you buy stock in Palantir Technologies, consider this:

    The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Palantir Technologies wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

    Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than tripled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

    See the 10 stocks

    *Stock Advisor returns as of February 5, 2024

    John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Bradley Guichard has positions in Amazon and UiPath. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Microsoft, Palantir Technologies, and UiPath. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

    Prediction: These Could Be the Best-Performing Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Through 2030 was originally published by The Motley Fool



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  • History Suggests the Nasdaq Could Soar in 2024, and Here's the Stock to Buy If It Does

    History Suggests the Nasdaq Could Soar in 2024, and Here's the Stock to Buy If It Does

    A digital image of a semiconductor network with a car imprinted in the center

    In the 37-year history of the Nasdaq-100 index, it has only posted a loss in consecutive years on one occasion: during the dot-com tech crash from 2000 to 2002. Therefore, when the index plunged 33% last year, a rebound in 2023 was the likely outcome.

    True to history, the Nasdaq-100 has absolutely ripped higher with a 52% gain this year. Macroeconomic headwinds, like inflation and interest rate pressures, eased, which was helpful. But investors will be pleased to know that also bodes very well for 2024. See, bounce-back years like 2023 have always been followed by another positive year, which tends to produce a return of 21.5% (on average).

    With that in mind, semiconductor stock Axcelis Technologies (NASDAQ: ACLS) could be a fantastic buy if the market continues to move higher. The company is growing its revenue and earnings at a brisk pace, and its stock trades at a bargain valuation right now. Here’s what investors need to know.

    Axcelis is carrying a huge order backlog into 2024

    Axcelis isn’t a chip producer, but it sells its ion implantation equipment to leading chip makers, forming a critical part of the fabrication process. Therefore, the company is still exposed to growing demand across the industry for chips in categories like electric vehicles and artificial intelligence (AI).

    In fact, Axcelis has experienced strong demand this year from producers of silicon-carbide power devices in the electric vehicle industry. Power devices process and deliver electric power in workloads requiring high currents, and silicon carbide leads to more efficient results than traditional silicon-based hardware. In electric vehicles, that translates to faster charging times and more mileage per charge.

    AI isn’t a major revenue driver for Axcelis at the moment, but in its third-quarter conference call with investors, management highlighted the technology’s requirement for increasing amounts of memory (DRAM) and storage (NAND) capacity. As a result, the company is expecting AI to become a source of strong demand.

    Nevertheless, the company has its hands full with its existing end-markets. It currently has an order backlog worth $1.2 billion, nearly a record high, and it will carry the majority of it into the new year. For context, it’s equivalent to more than 12 months’ worth of revenue.

    Revenue is on track to set a record this year

    Axcelis generated $820.3 million in revenue through the first three quarters of 2023 (ended Sept. 30), representing a year-over-year increase of 25.4%. The company is on track to deliver a record-high $1.1 billion in revenue for the full year.

    The company’s results are even more impressive considering many chipmakers have recently suffered a slowdown in revenue growth — some, like Advanced Micro Devices, even saw revenues shrink. Markets such as personal computing and gaming have suffered from a drop in consumer spending but should improve next year, given inflation and interest rates have declined from their peaks.

    But Axcelis is somewhat insulated from some of those short-term struggles because its customers typically plan their capital expenditures years in advance. If they intend to have a higher chip production capacity in the future, they might place equipment orders today in preparation (hence Axcelis’ deep order backlog). That’s why Axcelis stock has the potential to be a reliable long-term performer.

    A digital image of a semiconductor network with a car imprinted in the center.A digital image of a semiconductor network with a car imprinted in the center.

    Image source: Getty Images.

    Axcelis stock looks like a total bargain going into 2024

    Axcelis is highly profitable, and it’s on track to deliver $7.27 in earnings per share for the year. Based on its current stock price near $136, it trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of roughly 19.

    That’s a 32% discount to the Nasdaq-100 index, which trades at a P/E ratio of 28. The index is home to prominent chip companies like Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, and Texas Instruments (among others).

    Despite Axcelis not producing chips, management’s commentary suggests it will benefit from the AI tailwind going forward. The company also has a very strong year ahead thanks to its order backlog. Electric vehicle demand will also likely remain strong in 2024 as the industry continues to scale up.

    Based on these factors, combined with Axcelis’ ability to grow its top and bottom lines in tough economic conditions, its stock deserves a little more credit on the valuation front. I think it will likely get it in the new year.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Axcelis Technologies right now?

    Before you buy stock in Axcelis Technologies, consider this:

    The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Axcelis Technologies wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

    Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than tripled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

    See the 10 stocks

     

    *Stock Advisor returns as of December 11, 2023

     

    Anthony Di Pizio has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Nvidia, and Texas Instruments. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

    History Suggests the Nasdaq Could Soar in 2024, and Here’s the Stock to Buy If It Does was originally published by The Motley Fool

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