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Tag: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF

  • Banking sector as a whole is strong and resilient, says Comptroller of the Currency Michael Hsu

    Banking sector as a whole is strong and resilient, says Comptroller of the Currency Michael Hsu

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    Michael Hsu, Acting Comptroller of the Currency, joins ‘Closing Bell Overtime’ to discuss testifying in front of congress, the regional banking sector, and more.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Farewell for now, default fears

    CNBC Daily Open: Farewell for now, default fears

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    The US Treasury Department building is seen in Washington, DC, January 19, 2023.

    Saul Loeb | Afp | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks and a sign of health at one regional bank gave markets the confidence to rally Wednesday.

    What you need to know today

    • U.S. markets rose Wednesday as investors hoped U.S. lawmakers manage to reach a deal on the country’s debt ceiling. Asia-Pacific stocks traded higher Thursday on the back of that optimism. Japan’s Topix Index rose 1.1%, its third straight day of increase, as Japan’s trade deficit narrowed by almost half in April.
    • Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin in a taped interview that society needs to come together to “mitigate the dangers” of artificial intelligence. But Nadella was also optimistic about AI’s impact: He thinks it’ll create new jobs and improve education.
    • PRO Traders expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged when it meets later in June. However, the central bank could enact a “substitute” hike that would keep monetary policy tight, according to Evercore ISI.

    The bottom line

    Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks and a sign of health at one regional bank gave markets the confidence to rally Wednesday.

    U.S. leaders from both sides of the political spectrum expressed hope that the country will avert a sovereign debt crisis, which could come in as little as two weeks, if U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s warning of a June 1 deadline comes true. Though neither Biden nor McCarthy offered concrete details on a deal, their comments were markedly more positive than those on Monday, when McCarthy told NBC News both sides are still “far apart.”

    Adding to yesterday’s positive sentiment, regional bank Western Alliance reported that customer deposits have grown by more than $2 billion throughout the current quarter. Analysts and investors cheered the news. Shares of the bank jumped 10.2% and helped to lift the sector. PacWest, another regional bank, surged 21.7%, while the broader SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) rose 7.4%.

    Technology stocks rallied yesterday, possibly because of diminishing fears of a debt crisis and positive sentiment from Tesla, which climbed 4.4% after the company’s shareholder meeting. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) rose 1.2%, hitting a 52-week high for the third straight day.

    Major stock indexes benefited from those rises. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1.24% higher, the Nasdaq Composite added 1.28% and the S&P 500 rose 1.19%.

    But the S&P might be too reliant on tech stocks, Mizuho warned. Simply put, without Big Tech stocks, the S&P 500 would be down for the year. That implies that if Big Tech experiences a downturn — as it did last year — then the S&P would tumble pretty quickly.

    Still, the future is bright for now. Goldman Sachs’ Senior Strategist Ben Snider told CNBC AI could increase the profits of S&P companies by 30% — with technology sector being the immediate winner. Fears averted for another day.

    Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Goodbye for now, default fears

    CNBC Daily Open: Goodbye for now, default fears

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    The south facade of the White House in Washington DC, United States on April 21, 2022.

    Yasin Ozturk | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks and a sign of health at one regional bank gave markets the confidence to rally Wednesday.

    What you need to know today

    • UBS expects to incur $17 billion in costs from its emergency takeover of Credit Suisse. However, UBS also expects to gain $34.8 billion from “negative goodwill,” which refers to the acquisition of assets at a price below what they’re worth.
    • Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin in a taped interview that society needs to come together to “mitigate the dangers” of artificial intelligence. But Nadella was also optimistic about AI’s impact: He thinks it’ll create new jobs and improve education.
    • PRO Traders expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged when it meets later in June. However, the central bank could enact a “substitute” hike that would keep monetary policy tight, according to Evercore ISI.

    The bottom line

    Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks and a sign of health at one regional bank gave markets the confidence to rally Wednesday.

    U.S. leaders from both sides of the political spectrum expressed hope that the country will avert a sovereign debt crisis, which could come in as little as two weeks, if U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s warning of a June 1 deadline comes true. Though neither Biden nor McCarthy offered concrete details on a deal, their comments were markedly more positive than those on Monday, when McCarthy told NBC News both sides are still “far apart.”

    Adding to yesterday’s positive sentiment, regional bank Western Alliance reported that customer deposits have grown by more than $2 billion throughout the current quarter. Analysts and investors cheered the news. Shares of the bank jumped 10.2% and helped to lift the sector. PacWest, another regional bank, surged 21.7%, while the broader SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) rose 7.4%.

    Technology stocks rallied yesterday, possibly because of diminishing fears of a debt crisis and positive sentiment from Tesla, which climbed 4.4% after the company’s shareholder meeting. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) rose 1.2%, hitting a 52-week high for the third straight day.

    Major stock indexes benefited from those rises. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1.24% higher, the Nasdaq Composite added 1.28% and the S&P 500 rose 1.19%.

    But the S&P might be too reliant on tech stocks, Mizuho warned. Simply put, without Big Tech stocks, the S&P 500 would be down for the year. That implies that if Big Tech experiences a downturn — as it did last year — then the S&P would tumble pretty quickly.

    As Mizuho’s note put it, “For our sake, hope [Big Tech companies] hold.”

    Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

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  • The regional bank crisis is not over, says Short Hills’ Steve Weiss

    The regional bank crisis is not over, says Short Hills’ Steve Weiss

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    Karen Firestone, Joe Terranova, and Steve Weiss joins ‘Halftime Report’ to discuss regional bank volatility, range-bound trading, and Western Alliance’s deposit growth.

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  • Watch CNBC’s investment committee discuss bank deposit numbers

    Watch CNBC’s investment committee discuss bank deposit numbers

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    Karen Firestone, Joe Terranova, and Steve Weiss join ‘Halftime Report’ to discuss regional bank volatility, range-bound trading, and Western Alliance’s deposit growth.

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  • Here’s what analysts are saying after Western Alliance’s latest update

    Here’s what analysts are saying after Western Alliance’s latest update

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Bank fears overshadowed promising inflation signals

    CNBC Daily Open: Bank fears overshadowed promising inflation signals

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    A pedestrian walks past a Pacific Western Bank branch in Beverly Hills, California on May 4, 2023.

    Patrick T. Fallon | Afp | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    Upbeat economic data couldn’t overcome the resistance stocks faced from disappointing corporate performance and persistent banking fears.

    What you need to know today

    • PacWest shares sank 22.7% after the bank said in a securities filing Thursday that its deposits dropped 9.5% last week, following media reports that the regional bank was “evaluat[ing] all options.” Seeking to head off contagion fears, Western Alliance said its deposits have increased by $600 million since May 2. Western Alliance shares fell 0.77%.
    • Elon Musk said he is stepping down as Twitter CEO and will oversee product and software. Twitter will get a new CEO, an unnamed woman, in six weeks. Tesla (not Twitter!) shares jumped 2.1% on the news, suggesting investors of Musk’s other company were pleased — or just relieved.
    • U.S. stocks traded mixed Thursday as markets were rocked by losses in Disney shares and pressure around regional banks. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly lower Friday. Taiwan’s TWII Index was unchanged even as Foxconn saw its first-quarter net profit slump 56% to 12.83 billion Taiwanese dollars ($417.2 million). Shares of the company, also known as Hon Hai Precision Industry, dropped 2.4%
    • The debt ceiling meeting between President Joe Biden and other leaders, scheduled Friday, has been postponed until next week, CNBC learned. But that’s a good thing because it allows lawmakers’ staffs, who are holding their own conversations, to make more progress before the big names are back in the same room, a source told NBC News.
    • PRO This chipmaker could hit more than $1 billion in revenue if things go well, according to Morgan Stanley. “Higher price points plus supply chain commentary is pointing to an opportunity that is multiples of our initial target,” wrote analyst Joseph Moore in a note to clients.

    The bottom line

    Upbeat economic data couldn’t overcome the resistance stocks faced from disappointing corporate performance and persistent banking fears.

    First, the promising news (at least when it comes to inflation). April’s wholesale prices in the U.S. rose 0.2% for the month, less than the Dow Jones estimate of 0.3%. That translates to a 2.3% year-over-year increase, down from March’s 2.7% and the lowest since January 2021. In another sign inflation might be coming under control, initial jobless claims increased by 22,000 to 264,000 for the week ended May 6, according to the Department of Labor. That’s the highest reading since Oct. 30, 2021.

    But that news didn’t shield markets from other fears. “Investor focus is now on both the economic backdrop and liquidity and what’s going on versus rates and inflation,” said Dylan Kremer, co-chief investment officer of Certuity.

    And liquidity — or, in other words, the health of banks and their willingness or ability to make loans — was in focus again Thursday. PacWest shares tumbled, along with other regional banks like Zions Bancorp, which lost 4.5%, and KeyCorp, which fell 2.5%. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF slid 2.5% Thursday.

    Another big loser on Thursday was Disney, which sank 8.7% after the media giant reported it had lost subscribers from its Disney+ streaming service. That’s the largest one-day fall, in percentage terms, since Nov. 9, when the company slumped 13%.

    Disney’s shares dragged down both the S&P 500, which declined 0.17%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which slid 0.66%. However, the Nasdaq Composite managed to add 0.18%. The tech-heavy index was boosted by a 4.3% jump in Alphabet shares, which are trading at their highest level since August, thanks to investors’ optimism around the artificial intelligence products the tech giant announced at its annual developers conference.

    After a heavy week of economic data releases, investor focus will turn to the looming debt ceiling in the U.S. Unease over a potential sovereign default has already spread through markets. For instance, yields for short-term T-bills have jumped sharply this month. Still, most economists and bankers — including JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon — expect the U.S. to avoid defaulting. If they’re proven wrong, the results could, in Dimon’s words, be “potentially catastrophic.”

    Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Bank fears overshadowed positive inflation signals

    CNBC Daily Open: Bank fears overshadowed positive inflation signals

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    In an aerial view, a Pacific Western Bank building is seen on May 4, 2023 in Los Angeles, California.

    David Mcnew | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    Upbeat economic data couldn’t overcome the resistance stocks faced from disappointing corporate performance and persistent banking fears.

    What you need to know today

    • PacWest shares sank 22.7% after the bank said in a securities filing Thursday that its deposits dropped 9.5% last week, following media reports that the regional bank was “evaluat[ing] all options.” Seeking to head off contagion fears, Western Alliance said its deposits have increased by $600 million since May 2. Western Alliance shares fell 0.77%.
    • Elon Musk said he is stepping down as Twitter CEO and will oversee product and software. Twitter will get a new CEO, an unnamed woman, in six weeks. Tesla (not Twitter!) shares jumped 2.1% on the news, suggesting investors of Musk’s other company were pleased — or just relieved.
    • JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned that the U.S. defaulting on its sovereign debt would be “potentially catastrophic” — though he expects U.S. lawmakers to avert a debt crisis.
    • On that note, CNBC learned the debt ceiling meeting between President Joe Biden and other leaders, scheduled Friday, has been postponed until next week. But that’s a good thing because it allows lawmakers’ staffs, who are holding their own conversations, to make more progress before the big names are back in the same room, a source told NBC News.
    • PRO This chipmaker could hit more than $1 billion in revenue if things go well, according to Morgan Stanley. “Higher price points plus supply chain commentary is pointing to an opportunity that is multiples of our initial target,” wrote analyst Joseph Moore in a note to clients.

    The bottom line

    Upbeat economic data couldn’t overcome the resistance stocks faced from disappointing corporate performance and persistent banking fears.

    First, the promising news (at least when it comes to inflation). April’s wholesale prices in the U.S. rose 0.2% for the month, less than the Dow Jones estimate of 0.3%. That translates to a 2.3% year-over-year increase, down from March’s 2.7% and the lowest since January 2021. In another sign inflation might be coming under control, initial jobless claims increased by 22,000 to 264,000 for the week ended May 6, according to the Department of Labor. That’s the highest reading since Oct. 30, 2021.

    But that news didn’t shield markets from other fears. “Investor focus is now on both the economic backdrop and liquidity and what’s going on versus rates and inflation,” said Dylan Kremer, co-chief investment officer of Certuity.

    And liquidity — or, in other words, the health of banks and their willingness or ability to make loans — was in focus again Thursday. PacWest shares tumbled, along with other regional banks like Zions Bancorp, which lost 4.5%, and KeyCorp, which fell 2.5%. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF slid 2.5% Thursday.

    Another big loser on Thursday was Disney, which sank 8.7% after the media giant reported it had lost subscribers from its Disney+ streaming service. That’s the largest one-day fall, in percentage terms, since Nov. 9, when the company slumped 13%.

    Disney’s shares dragged down both the S&P 500, which declined 0.17%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which slid 0.66%. However, the Nasdaq Composite managed to add 0.18%. The tech-heavy index was boosted by a 4.3% jump in Alphabet shares, which are trading at their highest level since August, thanks to investors’ optimism around the artificial intelligence products the tech giant announced at its annual developers conference.

    After a heavy week of economic data releases, investor focus will turn to the looming debt ceiling in the U.S. Unease over a potential sovereign default has already spread through markets. For instance, yields for short-term T-bills have jumped sharply this month. Still, most economists and bankers — including JPMorgan CEO Dimon — expect the U.S. to avoid defaulting. It’s hard to imagine what would happen if they were proved wrong.

    Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

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  • Western Alliance’s stock trading flat is a good sign for regional banks, says KBW’s David Konrad

    Western Alliance’s stock trading flat is a good sign for regional banks, says KBW’s David Konrad

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    KBW’s Large Cap Bank Analyst David Konrad joins ‘Fast Money’ to discuss the state of the regional banking sector, what’s ahead for banks, and more.

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    Thu, May 11 20235:39 PM EDT

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  • PacWest shares tumble 20% after regional bank says deposits fell 9.5% last week

    PacWest shares tumble 20% after regional bank says deposits fell 9.5% last week

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    A Pacific Western Bank sign is seen on May 4, 2023 in Los Angeles, California. 

    David Mcnew | Getty Images

    Shares of PacWest were under pressure once again Thursday after the struggling regional bank said that deposit outflows resumed in the first week of May.

    The stock dropped 22.7%, further extending its recent declines. PacWest’s shares have now fallen more than 50% this month and nearly 80% for the year.

    Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

    PacWest’s stock was under pressure again on Thursday.

    related investing news

    KBW sees this regional bank rising more than 25% after doubling since March

    CNBC Pro

    The bank said in a securities filing Thursday that its deposits declined 9.5% during the week of May 5. PacWest said that the majority of those outflows came after media reports that said the lender was exploring strategic options.

    The bank also said that it was able to fund those withdrawals with available liquidity. PacWest said it now has $15 billion of available liquidity compared with $5.2 billion in uninsured deposits.

    The update marks a change from May 4, when PacWest said that it was not experiencing “out-of-the-ordinary deposit flows” and that total deposits had increased since the end of March.

    During the first quarter, PacWest’s total deposits declined 16.9%, and the bank said it would use strategic asset sales to reshape its balance sheet.

    Several Wall Street analysts theorized that the most recent outflows were from PacWest’s venture capital customers.

    “While the deposit news is not what the company wants to report, if the outflows are truly from the venture depositors and not the core bank, that is better news, despite the higher total outflow disclosure. The financial result is that the company is borrowing more to replace those deposits,” RBC Capital Markets analyst Jon Arfstrom said in a note to clients.

    Following PacWest’s filing, Western Alliance released its own update and said that total deposits have grown by $600 million since May 2. Shares of that bank were down less than 1% on Thursday. Elsewhere, shares of Zions Bancorp dipped 4.5% and the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) was down 2.4%.

    The regional banking sector has been under pressure since early March, when concern about the impact of higher interest rates led to a run on deposits at Silicon Valley Bank, which was seized by regulators. Signature Bank soon followed, and then First Republic was seized and sold to JPMorgan before the market opened on May 1.

    JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon told Bloomberg News on Thursday that he thinks regional banks are “quite strong” but added “I think we have to assume there’ll be a little bit more” to the crisis.

    — CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed reporting.

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  • KBW sees this regional bank rising more than 25% after doubling since March

    KBW sees this regional bank rising more than 25% after doubling since March

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Investors liked April’s jobs growth

    CNBC Daily Open: Investors liked April’s jobs growth

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    A ‘Now Hiring’ sign posted outside of a restaurant looking to hire workers on May 05, 2023 in Miami, Florida.

    Joe Raedle | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    Investors liked April’s jobs growth.

    What you need to know today

    • U.S. markets jumped Friday as Apple shares popped and regional bank stocks recovered. Asia-Pacific stocks mostly traded higher Monday. China’s Shanghai Composite rose 1.6% even as economists expect the country’s trade surplus to decrease slightly from March to April.
    • If the White House fails to raise the debt ceiling, there will be a “steep economic downturn” and “economic chaos will ensue,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned on Sunday. The U.S. might hit its debt ceiling as early as June 1.
    • PRO During Berkshire’s meeting, Buffett shared his favorite stocks. One of them is a “better business than any we own,” Buffett said. Another is “one of the best-managed and important companies in the world” — yet Buffett decided to sell shares in it. Here’s why.

    The bottom line

    A strong jobs reading, a note from JPMorgan and an optimistic earnings report from Apple buoyed U.S. markets Friday.

    The gains made by stocks were impressive — especially after the previous few days of renewed banking fears — so let’s start with them. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.65%, the S&P 500 rose 1.85% and the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.25%.

    The tech-heavy Nasdaq’s jump is straightforward: Apple shares leaped 4.7% after the company reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue Thursday. Other Big Tech companies, like Microsoft and Amazon, rose alongside Apple.

    Broader markets were boosted by April’s jobs report, which showed a higher-than-expected increase in jobs growth and an unemployment rate of 3.4% — a record low since 1969.

    Markets’ reaction might seem confusing at first. A tight labor market implies the Federal Reserve might continue raising interest rates. Generally speaking, that’s bad for markets. Recall January’s jobs report: There were 517,000 new jobs in December, almost three times the forecast. Markets fell on the news.  

    Yet this time, markets rallied, suggesting that the worry gripping traders is one of recession, not inflation. A strong jobs market increases the probability that the U.S. economy can tame inflation without contracting too severely.

    Indeed, there are signs the U.S. economy has been slowing. At the end of April, we learned that GDP rose at an annualized 1.1% pace in the first quarter, about half of what analysts had estimated. The banking crisis — resurrected by First Republic’s failure — is spreading again, causing banks to lend less and ultimately slow growth even further.

    There’s good news on that front, however. On Friday, banking titan JPMorgan Chase upgraded three regional bank stocks to “overweight,” saying that Western Alliance, Zions Bancorp and Comerica were all “substantially mispriced” — as I had argued in Friday’s edition of this newsletter.

    Investors digested the note and pushed the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) up 6.3%. Individual bank stocks saw more drastic jumps: PacWest surged 81.7% and Western Alliance popped 49.2%.

    But make no mistake: This isn’t a sign that banking fears have been put to rest definitively. If stocks can swing so drastically in one direction on the back of a note, they can do so in the other at the faintest whisper of trouble. What we’re seeing isn’t renewed confidence, but continued volatility.

    Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Investors like jobs growth

    CNBC Daily Open: Investors like jobs growth

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    A ‘Now Hiring’ sign posted outside of a restaurant looking to hire workers on May 05, 2023 in Miami, Florida.

    Joe Raedle | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    Investors like jobs growth.

    What you need to know today

    • U.S. markets jumped Friday as Apple shares popped and regional bank stocks recovered. Europe’s Stoxx 600 rose 1.1% — Adidas, with an 8.9% surge, was a big winner in the index.
    • If the White House fails to raise the debt ceiling, there will be a “steep economic downturn” and “economic chaos will ensue,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned on Sunday. The U.S. might hit its debt ceiling as early as June 1.
    • PRO During Berkshire’s meeting, Buffett shared his favorite stocks. One of them is a “better business than any we own,” Buffett said. Another is “one of the best-managed and important companies in the world” — yet Buffett decided to sell shares in it. Here’s why.

    The bottom line

    A strong jobs reading, a note from JPMorgan and an optimistic earnings report from Apple buoyed U.S. markets Friday.

    The gains made by stocks were impressive — especially after the previous few days of renewed banking fears — so let’s start with them. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.65%, the S&P 500 rose 1.85% and the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.25%.

    The tech-heavy Nasdaq’s jump is straightforward: Apple shares leaped 4.7% after the company reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue Thursday. Other Big Tech companies, like Microsoft and Amazon, rose alongside Apple.

    Broader markets were boosted by April’s jobs report, which showed a higher-than-expected increase in jobs growth and an unemployment rate of 3.4% — a record low since 1969.

    Markets’ reaction might seem confusing at first. A tight labor market implies the Federal Reserve might continue raising interest rates. Generally speaking, that’s bad for markets. Recall January’s jobs report: There were 517,000 new jobs in December, almost three times the forecast. Markets fell on the news.  

    Yet this time, markets rallied, suggesting that the worry gripping traders is one of recession, not inflation. A strong jobs market increases the probability that the U.S. economy can tame inflation without contracting too severely.

    Indeed, there are signs the U.S. economy has been slowing. At the end of April, we learned that GDP rose at an annualized 1.1% pace in the first quarter, about half of what analysts had estimated. The banking crisis — resurrected by First Republic’s failure — is spreading again, causing banks to lend less and ultimately slow growth even further.

    There’s good news on that front, however. On Friday, banking titan JPMorgan Chase upgraded three regional bank stocks to “overweight,” saying that Western Alliance, Zions Bancorp and Comerica were all “substantially mispriced” — as I had argued in Friday’s edition of this newsletter.

    Investors digested the note and pushed the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) up 6.3%. Individual bank stocks saw more drastic jumps: PacWest surged 81.7% and Western Alliance popped 49.2%.

    But make no mistake: This isn’t a sign that banking fears have been put to rest definitively. If stocks can swing so drastically in one direction on the back of a note, they can do so in the other at the faintest whisper of trouble. What we’re seeing isn’t renewed confidence, but continued volatility.

    Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

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  • PacWest Stock Surges 82%, Regional Banks Recover After Selloff

    PacWest Stock Surges 82%, Regional Banks Recover After Selloff

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  • PacWest stock jumps 80% as regional banks rebound on Friday, but still down sharply for the week

    PacWest stock jumps 80% as regional banks rebound on Friday, but still down sharply for the week

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    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), May 3, 2023.

    Brendan McDermid | Reuters

    Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

    PacWest’s stock was rebounding on Friday.

    However, Friday’s rally made only a small dent in the week-to-date losses. PacWest still finished the week down 43% and below its closing level from Wednesday. The bank confirmed this week that it is exploring strategic options.

    Western Alliance, which said it is not seeking a sale, has also been under heavy pressure this week, falling 27% even after Friday’s rally. The KRE finished the week down about 10%.

    The steep declines, which came even at banks that reported much smaller deposit outflows than First Republic, led Wall Street analysts to warn that the stocks have become detached from their fundamentals.

    “We are arguably reaching a point of hysteria,” Fundstrat strategist Tom Lee said in a note to clients on Friday.

    Analysts at JPMorgan Chase upgraded Western Alliance, Zions and Comerica to overweight on Friday, saying the bank stocks “appear substantially mispriced to us.”

    This week’s slide came after First Republic was seized by regulators and sold to JPMorgan Chase before the market opened on Monday. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, among others, have said this week that they think the stage of banking crisis caused by deposit outflows is largely over, but the fall for the stocks shows investors are less confident.

    Many on Wall Street are looking to Washington for regulatory changes to calm the banking system, such as potentially expanding deposit insurance rules. Some have raised the possibility of temporarily banning short-selling on bank stocks. Former Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Chair Sheila Bair told CNBC’s “The Exchange” on Thursday that some of the share price declines are likely being driven by short-selling.

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  • JPMorgan upgrades 3 regional bank stocks to ‘buy’ in bold move against short sellers

    JPMorgan upgrades 3 regional bank stocks to ‘buy’ in bold move against short sellers

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Trading on fear, not fundamentals

    CNBC Daily Open: Trading on fear, not fundamentals

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    A Pacific Western Bank branch in Los Angeles, California, US, on Friday, March 10, 2023.

    Eric Thayer | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    U.S. regional banks continued falling Thursday even though their deposits have been increasing.

    What you need to know today

    • Apple reported a 3% year-over-year drop in both revenue and net income to $94.84 billion and $24.16 billion, respectively, for the quarter ended April 1. Both numbers, however, beat Wall Street expectations, buoyed by growth in iPhone sales. CEO Tim Cook is optimistic about Apple’s prospects in Asia, and the company’s shares rose 2.3% in extended trading.
    • Markets in the U.S. traded lower Thursday, with all major indexes ending the day in the red — though futures ticked up following the release of Apple’s earnings after the bell. Asia-Pacific stocks traded mixed Friday. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index led gains in the region, rising 0.6%, as its IPO market shows signs of life — albeit weak ones (more on that below).

    The bottom line

    Fears of fragility in the U.S. banking sector are spreading.

    Regional bank stocks continued tumbling Thursday; shares of PacWest and Western Alliance were halted more than once. The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) fell 5.5%. At one point on Thursday, every stock in the KRE traded lower as investors sold off regional banks.

    It’s not just investors who are worried about banks’ health. Consumers — many of whom do not trade stocks — share the same sentiment. A Gallup survey found that half of respondents polled were “very worried” or “moderately worried” about the safety of their bank deposits — a proportion last seen during the 2008 financial crisis.

    Against such a backdrop — and fresh off a quarter percentage point rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday — markets, unsurprisingly, didn’t do well. The Dow slid 0.86%, the S&P 500 lost 0.72% and the Nasdaq fell 0.49%. That’s the fourth consecutive day all major indexes fell.

    But some analysts and bankers think the tumult is caused by fear more than analysis. (Though this is not to argue against the idea markets are, largely, driven by psychology.)

    Evercore ISI’s John Pancari, for instance, wrote the advisory firm is confident about the “liquidity and capital levels at banks post 1Q.” Indeed, PacWest said its deposits grew $1.8 billion from March 20 to April 24; Western Alliance also reported that its deposits have increased since the end of March.

    But Pancari warned bank valuations could still collapse because of a “self-fulfilling prophecy,” where investors, fearing the collapse of banks, actually trigger the process as they flee.

    Or, as Peter McGratty, head of U.S. bank research at KBW, put it, “We’re in this situation that feels a lot like March, where we’re trading stocks on fear … not fundamentals.” And that’s particularly scary today, when SVB’s failure in March showed how fears can spread near instantly on social media and cause a bank to collapse in merely 36 hours.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Fear, not fundamentals

    CNBC Daily Open: Fear, not fundamentals

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    A “For Lease” sign at a Pacific Western Bank branch in Los Angeles, California, US, on Friday, March 10, 2023.

    Eric Thayer | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    U.S. regional banks continued falling Thursday even though their deposits have been increasing.

    What you need to know today

    • Apple reported a 3% year-over-year drop in both revenue and net income to $94.84 billion and $24.16 billion, respectively, for the quarter ended April 1. Both numbers, however, beat Wall Street expectations, buoyed by growth in iPhone sales. CEO Tim Cook is optimistic about Apple’s prospects in Asia, and the company’s shares rose 2.3% in extended trading.
    • Markets in the U.S. traded lower Thursday, with all major indexes ending the day in the red — though futures ticked up following the release of Apple’s earnings after the bell. Europe’s Stoxx 600 index lost 0.5% after the European Central Bank raised interest rates (more on that below).

    The bottom line

    Fears of fragility in the U.S. banking sector are spreading.

    Regional bank stocks continued tumbling Thursday; shares of PacWest and Western Alliance were halted more than once. The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) fell 5.5%. At one point on Thursday, every stock in the KRE traded lower as investors sold off regional banks.

    It’s not just investors who are worried about banks’ health. Consumers — many of whom do not trade stocks — share the same sentiment. A Gallup survey found that half of respondents polled were “very worried” or “moderately worried” about the safety of their bank deposits — a proportion last seen during the 2008 financial crisis.

    Against such a backdrop — and fresh off a quarter percentage point rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday — markets, unsurprisingly, didn’t do well. The Dow slid 0.86%, the S&P 500 lost 0.72% and the Nasdaq fell 0.49%. That’s the fourth consecutive day all major indexes fell.

    But some analysts and bankers think the tumult is caused by fear more than analysis. (Though this is not to argue against the idea markets are, largely, driven by psychology.)

    Evercore ISI’s John Pancari, for instance, wrote the advisory firm is confident about the “liquidity and capital levels at banks post 1Q.” Indeed, PacWest said its deposits grew $1.8 billion from March 20 to April 24; Western Alliance also reported that its deposits have increased since the end of March.

    But Pancari warned bank valuations could still collapse because of a “self-fulfilling prophecy,” where investors, fearing the collapse of banks, actually trigger the process as they flee.

    Or, as Peter McGratty, head of U.S. bank research at KBW, put it, “We’re in this situation that feels a lot like March, where we’re trading stocks on fear … not fundamentals.” And that’s particularly scary today, when SVB’s failure in March showed how fears can spread near instantly on social media and cause a bank to collapse in merely 36 hours.

    Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

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  • There are limited options to fix the banking crisis, but one is gaining support

    There are limited options to fix the banking crisis, but one is gaining support

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  • PacWest falls more than 20% as regional bank stocks slide to new lows

    PacWest falls more than 20% as regional bank stocks slide to new lows

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    A Pacific Western Bank branch in Los Angeles, California, US, on Friday, March 10, 2023.

    Eric Thayer | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Regional bank stocks fell sharply Tuesday as the fallout from the third major bank failure this year continued to put pressure on the sector.

    Shares of PacWest fell nearly 28% on Tuesday and was on track for its fourth-straight negative session. The stock was halted for volatility multiple times.

    Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

    PacWest’s stock fell again on Tuesday.

    The California-based bank was not the only regional lender under pressure. Shares of Western Alliance dropped 15%. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) sank 6.3%.

    The steep declines deepened losses in the sector from Monday. Over the weekend, regulators seized troubled regional bank First Republic and sold it to JPMorgan Chase.

    First Republic is the third failure of a large regional bank this year, following Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March.

    The reasons for Tuesday’s declines were not immediately clear. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Monday that the initial phase of the regional bank crisis was “over,” and there was cautious optimism among Wall Street analysts that the deposit flight issues had been contained.

    First Republic reported a decline in deposits of about 40% during the first quarter, raising questions about how the bank could survive on its own.

    Most other regional banks reported smaller deposits declines, however, and some, such as PacWest, reported that deposits began rebounding in late March.

    The recent bank failures and expected regulatory changes in response to them have also raised questions about the long-term profit outlooks for mid-sized regional banks.

    “We believe that banks with assets >$500B and <$60B are the clearest winners in the new world order, while there is likely to be a no-man’s land between $80-120B, as banks in this range may need to shrink to avoid new regulations or more actively engage in M&A to increase scale and absorb regulatory costs,” KBW analyst David Konrad said in a note to clients Sunday.

    Another issue for the regional banks is the possibility of more Fed rate hikes. Higher rates will make it more costly for the banks to hold on to their deposits while also lowering the market value of the long-dated bonds and loans on their books.

    Concern about the market value of those assets was one of the sparks for the initial run on Silicon Valley Bank in March.

    The central bank is expected to raise its benchmark rate by 0.25 percentage points Wednesday.

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