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Tag: Solana price analysis

  • Solana Price Approaches $130: What’s Behind The Recent Surge?

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    The Solana price has shown encouraging signs of recovery, climbing 6% on Friday to approach the $126 mark. This uptick follows a concerning dip below the crucial $120 level, which had sparked fears of a potential downtrend that could drag the cryptocurrency down toward the $100 threshold.

    Solana Price Gains Ground

    Chris MacDonald, an analyst at The Motley Fool, recently highlighted two key factors contributing to Solana’s resurgence. One significant catalyst is a proactive initiative by the Solana Foundation. 

    Bitcoinist reported earlier this week that the organization is currently assessing whether its network can withstand potential threats from quantum computing technologies. 

    In collaboration with Project Eleven, a security firm specializing in post-quantum cryptography, the Solana team has launched a quantum-resistant testnet following a comprehensive threat assessment. 

    The second notable factor driving the Solana price uptick is the announcement from health and wellness company Mangoceuticals, which revealed plans to allocate $100 million toward acquiring and holding SOL

    Despite the positive momentum, experts caution that Solana’s price is currently following a “clean corrective structure.” 

    Moving Averages Signal Downtrend

    From a technical analysis perspective, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is situated around $143, significantly higher than the current trading range, while the 200-day SMA looms even further at approximately $170, suggesting a prevailing downtrend rather than a healthy consolidation phase.

    In the short term, the 20-day exponential moving average has also rolled over near $133 and has consistently rejected previous attempts at a bounce. 

    Analysts note that until the Solana price can close above the low-$130s for an extended period, any rebounds will likely be seen merely as counter-trend movements

    Immediate support lies just below current trading levels at the $125 mark, followed by critical levels in the $121–$120 range, and another demand zone around $110. 

    A more significant downturn could push the price into the high $90s, with projections indicating a potential dip to around $80 if liquidations accelerate further, as NewsBTC reported on Thursday.

    The market has already registered an eight-month low near $116.9. A decisive close beneath that level could likely drag the Solana price toward the psychologically significant $100 mark. 

    On the upside, the Solana price could encounter initial resistance clustered in the $133–$138 range, with stronger resistance observed in higher levels between $144 and $147 that could prevent any new recoveries in the short-term.

    To facilitate further price recovery, the Solana price will need to clear that second group of resistance levels on a daily close, ideally supported by increased trading volume, to pave the way toward prices between $160 and $165.

    Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

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    Ronaldo Marquez

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  • Solana On watch: SOL Price Could Crash To $90 If This Happens

    Solana On watch: SOL Price Could Crash To $90 If This Happens

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    Este artículo también está disponible en español.

    As the first week of September concluded, the Solana (SOL) price settled at $124, raising concerns for investors as the fifth largest cryptocurrency risks breaching the critical $100 threshold. 

    According to market analyst Ali Martinez, recent technical analysis indicates that a sustained close below the channel’s lower boundary at $126 could trigger a significant price correction for Solana, potentially dropping to $110 or even $90.

    Solana Price Challenges

    In a social media update, Martinez elaborated on the current market conditions, noting that the TD Sequential indicator had previously presented a buy signal on the daily chart. This suggested a possible rebound for Solana from the lower boundary of its trading channel towards higher levels at $154 and $187. 

    However, the broader market’s ongoing selloff has invalidated this bullish signal, causing Solana to suffer losses of approximately 20% over the past two weeks and 13% in the last month.

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    Despite these challenges, there remains a glimmer of hope for Solana’s recovery. Martinez pointed out a historical pattern indicating that Solana typically experiences a price upswing in the two weeks leading up to its “Breakpoint event”. 

    In 2021, the cryptocurrency surged by 35%, the following year it increased by another 35%, and in 2023 it soared by 60%. With only 16 days left until the 2024 “breakpoint event,” the analyst suggests that this trend of the past few years could continue, which would mean a significant recovery for the token.

    If the historical pattern holds, Solana could potentially rally 35% towards $167, but remain just below the upper limit of its current channel at $187. However, as Martinez pointed out, the key is for SOL to recover and consolidate above the $126 level in the coming days to avoid further declines.

    Influx of Capital From FTX Creditors And Historically Bullish Q4

    Further adding some sense of hope for SOL investors, the fourth quarter post-Bitcoin (BTC) Halving events has historically shown bullish trends, suggesting a potential market recovery that could also benefit SOL significantly. 

    Adding to this hopeful outlook, the now-defunct crypto exchange FTX is set to distribute over $16 billion in cash to creditors affected by its collapse. This influx of capital into the market could signal a substantial return, particularly impacting four key cryptocurrencies.

    Analyst OxNobler highlights that a majority of the affected FTX clients are retail investors, indicating that a significant portion of the recovered funds is likely to re-enter the crypto market. 

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    The expectation is that a substantial share of these funds will flow into Bitcoin and other dominant cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH), Solana, and Binance Coin (BNB). The anticipated return of capital not could stabilize the market but also present an opportunity for price increases across these assets.

    However, it remains to be seen if this is indeed the case, but if it is, it could be a much-needed catalyst for the market following the strong sell-off activity that the largest cryptocurrencies on the market have experienced in recent months. 

    The 1D chart shows SOL’s price trending downwards. Source: SOLUSDT on TradingView.com

    Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

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    Ronaldo Marquez

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