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Tag: Shake Shack Inc

  • Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Tesla, Walmart, Qualcomm, Deere, Robinhood, Shopify & more

    Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Tesla, Walmart, Qualcomm, Deere, Robinhood, Shopify & more

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  • Fast food reigns supreme as inflation weighs on pricier restaurants

    Fast food reigns supreme as inflation weighs on pricier restaurants

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    A girl waiting in line to pick up an order at a McDonald’s restaurant.

    Oleksii Chumachenko | SOPA Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images

    Fast-food chains are looking like the big winners in the fourth quarter — and beyond — as fast-casual and casual-dining restaurants struggle to attract customers.

    Many publicly traded restaurant companies haven’t reported their latest quarterly results yet, but for those that have, a pattern is emerging. Inflation-weary customers pulled back their restaurant spending during the holiday season, just as they spent less than expected at retailers. Savvy fast-food chains appealed to those consumers with value menus and enticing promotions, drawing in customers across the income spectrum.

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    Generally, the fast-food sector fares better than the rest of the industry during times of economic uncertainty and downturns.

    Take McDonald’s, for example. The fast-food giant said U.S. same-store sales climbed 10.3%, helped in part by low-income consumers returning more frequently than they had for the prior two quarters. Executives also credited the success of its Adult Happy Meal promotion and the annual return of the McRib for its strong sales growth. Its U.S. traffic increased for the second consecutive quarter, bucking the industry trend.

    Likewise, rival Yum Brands reported solid U.S. demand. Taco Bell’s domestic same-store sales climbed 11%, boosted by increased breakfast orders, the return of Mexican Pizza and its value meals. Pizza Hut’s U.S. same-store sales grew 4%, while KFC’s ticked up 1% as it faced tough year-ago comparisons.

    More fast-food earnings are on deck in the coming weeks. Burger King owner Restaurant Brands International is slated to announce its fourth-quarter results on Tuesday, while Domino’s Pizza will post its earnings Feb. 23.

    ‘We just didn’t see that pop’

    In contrast to McDonald’s and Yum’s strong results, Chipotle Mexican Grill on Tuesday reported quarterly earnings and revenue that fell short of Wall Street’s estimates for the first time in more than five years. CEO Brian Niccol maintained that the burrito chain’s price hikes haven’t led to “meaningful resistance” from customers.

    Instead, Chipotle executives presented a laundry list of reasons why its performance disappointed: bad weather, the underperforming launch of Garlic Guajillo Steak, tough comparisons to the previous year’s brisket launch and seasonality.

    Customers order from a Chipotle restaurant at the King of Prussia Mall in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania.

    Mark Makela | Reuters

    “As we got around the holidays, we just didn’t see that pop, that momentum, that we normally see … frankly, we started the quarter soft, and we ended the quarter soft,” Chipotle Chief Financial Officer Jack Hartung said on the company’s conference call, comparing the decline in December to weaker retail sales at that time.

    Chipotle said that traffic turned positive in January. However, the chain is facing easy comparisons to a year earlier, when Omicron outbreaks forced Chipotle and other chains to shutter early or temporarily close locations. And Bank of America analyst Sara Senatore noted in a research note on Wednesday that January’s unseasonably warm weather has been supporting demand for the broader industry.

    Rival fast-casual chains haven’t reported their fourth-quarter earnings yet. Shake Shack is set to share its results on Feb. 16. However, in early January, it announced preliminary same-store sales growth that fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Sweetgreen is slated to report its results on Feb. 23, while Portillo’s is scheduled for March 2.

    Casual-dining concerns

    Fast-casual restaurants’ struggles are an even worse sign for the casual-dining segment.

    For more than a decade, casual-dining restaurants have struggled to attract customers as Chipotle, Sweetgreen and Shake Shack have stolen their customers. So the likes of Red Lobster and Applebee’s have turned to offering deep discounts or spending big bucks on advertising.

    Soaring inflation has compounded the issue, particularly for restaurant companies like Brinker International, which is trying to turn around Chili’s Grill and Bar.

    A customer walks towards the entrance of a Brinker International Inc. Chili’s Grill & Bar restaurant in San Antonio, Texas.

    Callaghan O’Hare | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    At the start of the month, Brinker reported that Chili’s traffic fell 7.6% for the quarter ended Dec. 28. Brinker CEO Kevin Hochman, the former head of KFC’s U.S. business, told analysts on the company’s conference call that the decline was expected as it tries to shed less profitable transactions. Chili’s has hiked its prices and cut down on coupons as part of the strategy.

    More full-service restaurants are expected to report their results later this month. Outback Steakhouse owner Bloomin’ Brands is slated to make its announcement on Feb. 16.

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  • Top Wall Street analysts pick these stocks to climb 2023’s wall of worry

    Top Wall Street analysts pick these stocks to climb 2023’s wall of worry

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    The Spotify logo hangs on the facade of the New York Stock Exchange with U.S. and a Swiss flag as the company lists its stock with a direct listing in New York, April 3, 2018.

    Lucas Jackson | Reuters

    Coming off a week that was packed with corporate earnings and economic updates, it is still difficult to determine whether a recession can be avoided this year.

    Investing in such a stressful environment can be tricky. To help with the process, here are five stocks chosen by Wall Street’s top analysts, according to TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performances. 

    Apple

    Ahead of Apple’s (AAPL) December quarter results, due out on Feb. 2, investors are fairly aware of the challenges that the company faced during the period. From production disruptions in the iPhone manufacturing facility at Zhengzhou in China to higher costs, Apple’s first quarter of fiscal 2023 has endured all. Needless to say, the company expects a quarter-over-quarter growth deceleration.

    Nonetheless, Monness Crespi Hardt analyst Brian White expects the results to be in line with, or marginally above, Street expectations. The analyst believes gains in Services, iPad and Wearables, Home & Accessories revenue could be a saving grace.

    Looking ahead, White sees pent-up demand for iPhones come into play in the forthcoming quarters, once Apple overcomes the production snags. (See Apple Stock Investors’ sentiments on TipRanks)

    The analyst feels that the expensive valuation of approximately 27 times his calendar 2023 earnings estimate for Apple is justified.

    “This P/E target is above Apple’s historical average in recent years; however, we believe the successful creation of a strong services business has provided the market with more confidence in the company’s long-term business model,” said White, reiterating a buy rating and $174 price target.

    White holds the 67th position among almost 8,300 analysts followed on TipRanks. His ratings have been profitable 63% of the time and each rating has generated a 17.7% average return.

    Spotify

     Audio streaming subscription service Spotify (SPOT) is also among the recent favorites of Brian White.

    “Spotify is riding a favorable long-term trend, enhancing its platform, tapping into a large digital ad market, and expanding its audio offerings,” said White, reiterating a buy rating and $115 price target.

    The analyst does acknowledge some challenges that await Spotify this year but remains optimistic about its margin improvement plans and several favorable industry developments. While it may be tough to attract new premium subscribers, while facing continued pressure from a lower digital ad spending environment, Spotify should benefit from ad-supported monthly active users (MAUs) this year. (See Spotify Stock Chart on TipRanks)

    White is particularly upbeat about the waning mobile app store monopolies, after the European Union passed the Digital Markets Act last year. The act will be imposed from May 2023. One of the benefits for Spotify will be the ability to promote its cheaper subscription offers. Now, it can make the offers available outside Apple’s iPhone app. (This had been a challenge, as Apple previously would allow it to only promote its subscriptions through iPhone app.)

    CVS Health Corp.

    CVS Health (CVS), which operates a large retail pharmacy chain, has been on Tigress Financial Partners analyst Ivan Feinseth‘s list in recent weeks. The analyst reiterated a buy rating and a $130 price target on the stock.

    The company’s “consumer-centric integrated model” as well as its increasing focus on primary care should help make health care more affordable and accessible for customers, according to Feinseth. CVS bought primary health-care provider Caravan Health as part of this focus. Moreover, the impending acquisition of Signify Health “adds to its home health services and provider enablement capabilities.”

    The analyst also believes that the ongoing expansion of CVS’s new store format, MinuteClinics and HealthHUBs, will increase customer engagement and thus, continue to be a key growth catalyst. (See CVS Health Blogger Opinions & Sentiment on TipRanks)

    Feinseth is also confident that CVS’s merger with managed healthcare company Aetna back in 2018 created a health-care mammoth. Now, it is well positioned to capitalize on the changing dynamics of the health-care market, as consumers gain more control over their health-care service expenditures.

    Feinseth’s convictions can be trusted, given his 208th position among nearly 8,300 analysts in the TipRanks database. Apart from this, his track record of 62% profitable ratings, with each rating delivering 11.8% average returns, is also worth considering.

    Shake Shack

    Fast food hamburger chain operator Shake Shack (SHAK) has been doing well both domestically and overseas on the back of its fast-casual business concept. BTIG analyst Peter Saleh has a unique take on the company.

    “Shake Shack is the preeminent concept within the better burger category and the rare restaurant chain whose awareness and brand recognition exceed its actual size and sales base,” said Saleh, who reiterated a buy rating on the stock with a $60 price target. (See Shake Shack Hedge Fund Trading Activity on TipRanks)

    On the downside, the analyst points out that the expansion of services outside New York has weakened Shake Shack’s margin profile by generating low returns per unit and exposing the company to greater sales volatility. However, margins seem to have bottomed, and the analyst expects profitability to gain momentum over the next 12-18 months. A combination of higher menu prices and deflation of commodity costs are expected to push restaurant margins up to mid-teen levels.

    In its preliminary fourth-quarter results, management at Shake Shack mentioned that it plans to tighten its hands with general and administrative expenses this year, considering the macroeconomic uncertainty. This “should prove reassuring for investors given the heightened G&A growth (over 30%) of the past two years.”

    Saleh has a success rate of 64% and each of his ratings has returned 11.7% on average. The analyst is also placed 431st among more than 8,000 analysts on TipRanks.

    TD Synnex

    Despite last year’s challenges, IT distributor and solutions aggregator TD Synnex (SNX) has benefited from a steady IT spending environment amid the consistently high digital transformation across industries. The company recently posted its fiscal fourth-quarter results last week, where earnings beat consensus estimates and the dividend was hiked.

    Following the results, Barrington Research analyst Vincent Colicchio dug into the results and noted that rapid growth in advanced solutions and high-growth technologies were major positives. Even though the analyst reduced his fiscal 2023 earnings forecast due to an expected rise in interest expense, he remained bullish on SNX’s efforts to achieve cost synergies by the end of the current fiscal year. (See TD Synnex Dividend Date & History on TipRanks)

    Looking forward, the analyst sees a largely upward trend in growth, albeit a few hiccups. “The key growth driver in the first half of fiscal 2023 should be advanced solutions and high-growth technologies and in the second half should be PCs and peripherals and high-growth technologies. We expect Hyve Solutions revenue growth to slow in fiscal 2023 and slightly rebound in fiscal 2024 versus fiscal 2022 growth,” observed Colicchio, reiterating a buy rating and raising the price target to $130 from $98 for the next 12 months.

    Importantly, Colicchio ranks 297th among almost 8,300 analysts on TipRanks, with a success rate of 61%. Each of his ratings has delivered 13% returns on average.

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