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Tag: Recessions and depressions

  • Crypto firm Terraform Labs files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection

    Crypto firm Terraform Labs files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection

    NEW YORK — Terraform Labs has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, less than two years after a collapse of the company’s cryptocurrency devastated investors around the world.

    The Singapore crypto firm filed for protection in U.S. bankruptcy court in Delaware on Sunday, according to court documents. Terraform listed both its estimated assets and liabilities in the $100 million to $500 million range.

    Terraform said that the bankruptcy filing will allow the company to “execute on its business plan while navigating ongoing legal proceedings,” which includes litigation in Singapore as well as the U.S.

    Terraform added that it intends to fulfill all financial obligations to employees and vendors during this bankruptcy case, and does not require additional financing. The company also plans to continue the expansion of its Web3 offerings.

    “We have overcome significant challenges before and, against long odds, the ecosystem survived and even grew in new ways post-depeg; we look forward to the successful resolution of the outstanding legal proceedings,” Chris Amani, Terraform Labs CEO, said in a prepared statement.

    Terrform’s legal troubles boiled over following the May 2022 implosion of digital currencies TerraUSD and Luna.

    Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon was arrested in Montenegro last year and sentenced to four months in prison for using forged documents while attempting to fly to Dubai using fake Costa Rican passports.

    South Korea and the United States have requested Kwon’s extradition from Montenegro.

    TerraUSD was designed as a “stablecoin,” a currency that is pegged to stable assets like the U.S. dollar to prevent drastic fluctuations in prices. However, an estimated $40 billion in market value was erased for the holders of TerraUSD and its floating sister currency, Luna, after it plunged far below its $1 peg.

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  • Amazon will invest in Diamond Sports as part of bankruptcy restructuring agreement

    Amazon will invest in Diamond Sports as part of bankruptcy restructuring agreement

    Amazon will partner with Diamond Sports as part of a restructuring agreement as the largest owner of regional sports networks looks to emerge from bankruptcy.

    Diamond owns 18 networks under the Bally Sports banner. Those networks have the rights to 37 professional teams — 11 baseball, 15 NBA and 11 NHL.

    Diamond Sports has been in Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings in the Southern District of Texas since it filed for protection last March. The company said in a late 2021 financial filing that it had debt of $8.67 billion.

    The terms of the agreement were announced by Diamond Sports on Wednesday morning. Amazon had no comment. It remains subject to approval by the bankruptcy court.

    The agreement with Diamond Sports’ largest creditors allows it to emerge from bankruptcy, continue operations and prevents a total collapse of the regional sports network system where the NBA, NHL and MLB would have to step in to take over production and distribution of most of their teams.

    Last season, MLB had to take over production and distribution of the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks after Diamond let rights payments to the Padres lapse and was unable to agree to an amended deal with the Diamondbacks.

    Under the terms of the restructuring agreement, Amazon will make a minority investment in Diamond and enter into a commercial arrangement to provide access to Diamond’s content via Prime Video.

    Customers will be able to access their local team’s content on Prime Video channels where Diamond has rights. Pricing and availability will be announced at a later date. Regional sports content will also remain available on cable and satellite providers.

    Amazon Prime already carries some New York Yankees and Brooklyn Nets games produced by the YES Network.

    Diamond also has an agreement in principle with Sinclair Broadcast Group, to settle pending litigation between the companies.

    Sinclair bought the regional sports networks from The Walt Disney Co. for nearly $10 billion in 2019. Disney was required by the Department of Justice to sell the networks for its acquisition of 21st Century Fox’s film and television assets to be approved.

    Even before Sinclair bought the regional networks, the business was in a downturn due to cord cutting and declines in advertising revenue after entering into exorbitant long-term deals with some teams.

    Under an agreement with creditors last year, Diamond Sports Group became a separate company from Sinclair.

    As part of the settlement, Sinclair will pay Diamond $495 million and provide ongoing services to support Diamond’s reorganization. The proceeds from the settlement will also pay off some creditors.

    “We are thrilled to have reached a comprehensive restructuring agreement that provides a detailed framework for a reorganization plan and substantial new financing that will enable Diamond to operate and thrive beyond 2024,” Diamond Sports CEO David Preschlack said in a statement. “We are grateful for the support from Amazon and a group of our largest creditors who clearly believe in the value-creating potential of this business. Diamond’s near-term focus will be on implementing the RSA and emerging from bankruptcy as a going concern for the benefit of our investors, our employees, our team, league and distribution partners, and the millions of fans who will continue to enjoy our broadcasts.”

    Diamond recently reached agreements with the NHL and NBA to keep local rights through the end of this season. It remains in discussions with Major League Baseball on reworked agreements for the upcoming season, with the next court hearing scheduled for Friday.

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    AP sports: https://apnews.com/sports

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  • Amazon will invest in Diamond Sports as part of bankruptcy restructuring agreement

    Amazon will invest in Diamond Sports as part of bankruptcy restructuring agreement

    Amazon will partner with Diamond Sports as part of a restructuring agreement as the largest owner of regional sports networks looks to emerge from bankruptcy.

    Diamond owns 18 networks under the Bally Sports banner. Those networks have the rights to 37 professional teams — 11 baseball, 15 NBA and 11 NHL.

    Diamond Sports has been in Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings in the Southern District of Texas since it filed for protection last March. The company said in a late 2021 financial filing that it had debt of $8.67 billion.

    The terms of the agreement were announced by Diamond Sports on Wednesday morning. Amazon had no comment. It remains subject to approval by the bankruptcy court.

    The agreement with Diamond Sports’ largest creditors allows it to emerge from bankruptcy, continue operations and prevents a total collapse of the regional sports network system where the NBA, NHL and MLB would have to step in to take over production and distribution of most of their teams.

    Last season, MLB had to take over production and distribution of the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks after Diamond let rights payments to the Padres lapse and was unable to agree to an amended deal with the Diamondbacks.

    Under the terms of the restructuring agreement, Amazon will make a minority investment in Diamond and enter into a commercial arrangement to provide access to Diamond’s content via Prime Video.

    Customers will be able to access their local team’s content on Prime Video channels where Diamond has rights. Pricing and availability will be announced at a later date. Regional sports content will also remain available on cable and satellite providers.

    Amazon Prime already carries some New York Yankees and Brooklyn Nets games produced by the YES Network.

    Diamond also has an agreement in principle with Sinclair, to settle the pending litigation between the companies and the other named defendants, which settlement is supported by Diamond’s creditors that are parties to the RSA.

    Sinclair Broadcast Group bought the regional sports networks from The Walt Disney Co. for nearly $10 billion in 2019. Disney was required by the Department of Justice to sell the networks for its acquisition of 21st Century Fox’s film and television assets to be approved.

    Even before Sinclair bought the regional networks, the business was in a downturn due to cord cutting and declines in advertising revenue after entering into exorbitant long-term deals with some teams.

    Under an agreement with creditors last year, Diamond Sports Group became a separate company from Sinclair.

    As part of the settlement, Sinclair will pay Diamond $495 million and provide ongoing services to support Diamond’s reorganization. The proceeds from the settlement will also pay off some creditors.

    “We are thrilled to have reached a comprehensive restructuring agreement that provides a detailed framework for a reorganization plan and substantial new financing that will enable Diamond to operate and thrive beyond 2024,” Diamond Sports CEO David Preschlack said in a statement. “We are grateful for the support from Amazon and a group of our largest creditors who clearly believe in the value-creating potential of this business. Diamond’s near-term focus will be on implementing the RSA and emerging from bankruptcy as a going concern for the benefit of our investors, our employees, our team, league and distribution partners, and the millions of fans who will continue to enjoy our broadcasts.”

    Diamond recently reached agreements with the NHL and NBA to keep local rights through the end of this season. It remains in discussions with Major League Baseball on reworked agreements for the upcoming season, with the next court hearing scheduled for Friday.

    ___

    AP sports: https://apnews.com/sports

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  • Jobs report for December will likely conclude another solid year of hiring in 2023

    Jobs report for December will likely conclude another solid year of hiring in 2023

    WASHINGTON — Bringing resurgent inflation down was never expected to be so relatively pain-free.

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned of hard times ahead after the Fed began jacking up interest rates in the spring of 2022 to attack high inflation. Economists predicted that the much higher borrowing costs that resulted would cause a recession, with layoffs and rising unemployment, in 2023.

    Yet the recession never arrived, and none appears to be on the horizon. The nation’s labor market, though cooler than in the sizzling-hot years of 2022 and 2023, is still cranking out enough jobs to keep the unemployment rate near historic lows.

    The trend toward slower, but still healthy, hiring likely continued in December. The Labor Department is expected to report Friday that employers added a still-solid 160,000 jobs last month, according to a survey of forecasters by the data firm FactSet. That would mean that the economy had added 2.7 million jobs in 2023 — an average of 226,000 a month.

    Economists have predicted that the unemployment rate ticked up from 3.7% to 3.8%. But even that modest rise would mean that the jobless rate remained below 4% for the 23rd straight month — the longest such streak since the 1960s.

    The resilience of the job market has been matched by the durability of the overall economy. Far from collapsing into a recession, the U.S. gross domestic product — the total output of goods and services — grew at a vigorous 4.9% annual pace from July through September. Strong consumer spending and business investment drove much of the expansion.

    Despite the economy’s steady growth, low unemployment, healthy hiring and cooling inflation, polls show many Americans are dissatisfied with the economy. That disconnect, which will likely be an issue in the 2024 elections, has puzzled economists and political analysts.

    A key factor, though, is the public’s exasperation with higher prices. Though inflation has been falling more or less steadily for a year and a half, prices are still 17% higher than they were before the inflation surge began in the spring of 2021.

    At the same time, though, average hourly pay has outpaced inflation over the past year, leaving Americans with more money to spend. Indeed, as they did for much of 2023, consumers, a huge engine for U.S. economic growth, hit the stores in November, shopped online, went out to restaurants or traveled.

    Since March 2022, the Fed has raised its benchmark interest rate 11 times, lifting it to a 22-year high of about 5.4%. Those higher rates have made loans costlier for companies and households, but they are on their way toward achieving their goal: Conquering inflation.

    Consumer prices were up 3.1% in November from a year earlier, down drastically from a four-decade high 9.1% in June 2022. The Fed is so satisfied with the progress so far that it hasn’t raised rates since July and has signaled that it expects to make three rate cuts this year.

    Beyond a hard hit to the housing market, higher rates haven’t taken much of an economic toll.

    “A lot of the resilience was in parts of the economy that aren’t particularly sensitive to interest rates,’’ like healthcare and government, said Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at the Indeed Hiring Lab.

    The job market has cooled as inflation has subsided, though nowhere near enough to signal that a recession is on the way. Job growth in 2023 amounted to a monthly average of 232,000 through November, a solid figure but down from a record 606,000 a month in 2021 and 399,000 in 2022. And much of the hiring in recent months has been confined to only a few industries. Just three sectors of the economy — healthcare, governments and hotels and restaurants — accounted for 91% of the 199,000 added jobs in November.

    Normally, slowing job growth might be a cause for concern. But under the current circumstances, with inflation still above the Fed’s 2% annual target, a more moderate pace of hiring is seen as just what the economy needs. Lower demand for workers tends to ease the pressure on employers to raise pay to keep or attract workers — and to then pass on their higher labor costs to their customers by raising prices.

    And the labor market appears to be decelerating in a relatively painless way: Employers are posting fewer job openings but not laying off many workers. The number of Americans who apply each week for unemployment benefits — a proxy for job cuts — has remained unusually and consistently low.

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  • Stock market today: Wall Street slumps as its weak start to 2024 carries into another day

    Stock market today: Wall Street slumps as its weak start to 2024 carries into another day

    NEW YORK — Stocks fell again Wednesday as Wall Street’s slow start to the year stretched into a second day.

    The S&P 500 lost 38.02, or 0.8%, to 4,704.81, though it remains within 2% of its record set exactly two years ago. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 284.85 points, or 0.8%, from its own record to 37,430.19. The Nasdaq composite led the market lower with a drop of 173.73, or 1.2%, to 14,592.21.

    Some of last year’s biggest winners again gave back some of their gains to weigh on the market. Tesla fell 4% after more than doubling last year, for example. It and the other six “Magnificent 7” Big Tech stocks responsible for the majority of Wall Street’s returns last year have regressed some following their tremendous runs.

    The question hanging over the market is whether all the enthusiasm that sent stocks broadly rallying for nine straight weeks into the start of this year was warranted. It was built on expectations that inflation has cooled enough for the Federal Reserve to not only halt its hikes to interest rates but to cut them several times this year. Hopes are also high the economy can escape a recession, even after the Fed hiked its main interest rate to the highest level since 2001.

    A couple of reports released Wednesday morning indicated the overall economy may indeed be slowing from its strong growth last summer, which the Federal Reserve hopes will keep a lid on inflation. A big danger is if it slows too much and begins shrinking.

    One report showed U.S. employers were advertising nearly 8.8 million job openings at the end of November, down slightly from the month before and the lowest number since early 2021. The report also showed slightly fewer workers quit their jobs during November.

    The Fed is looking for exactly such a cooldown, which it hopes will limit upward pressure on inflation without necessitating widespread layoffs across the economy.

    “These data will be welcome news for policymakers,” said Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.

    A second report from the Institute for Supply Management showed the U.S. manufacturing industry is improving by a touch more than economists expected, but it’s still contracting. Manufacturing has been one of the hardest-hit areas of the economy recently, while the job market and spending by U.S. households have remained resilient.

    Treasury yields slumped immediately after the reports and then yo-yoed though the day. The yield on the 10-year Treasury eventually slipped to 3.91% from 3.94% late Tuesday. It’s been generally falling since topping 5% in October, when it was putting strong downward pressure on the stock market.

    In the afternoon, yields swung again after the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its latest policy meeting. It was at that meeting in December that policy makers hinted their dramatic campaign to hike interest rates to get inflation under control may be over. They also released projections showing their median official expects the federal funds rate to fall by 0.75 percentage points through 2024.

    The minutes from the meeting revealed “almost all participants” indicated a drop in rates this year would likely be appropriate. But they also said their forecasts were hampered by an “unusually elevated degree of uncertainty.” A reacceleration of inflation, which is still a possibility, could push them to actually raise rates further.

    Fed officials also noted in their meeting how stock prices have rallied recently and Treasury yields have eased. Such conditions can rev up the economy and add upward pressure on inflation.

    While the Fed doesn’t like that, “the worst they’ll do is push out the date when they first cut,” said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management.

    Traders are largely betting the first cut to rates could happen in March, and they’re putting a high probability on the Fed cutting its main interest rate by least 1.50 percentage points through the year, according to data from CME Group. The federal funds rate is currently sitting within a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.

    Critics say that’s likely too bold a prediction. “The only way the Fed will cut more than four times in 2024 is if the economy is skidding out of control” into a recession, Jacobsen said.

    Even if the Federal Reserve pulls off a perfect landing to shimmy away from high inflation without causing an economic downturn, some critics also say the stock market has simply run too far, too fast in recent months and is due for at least a pause in its run.

    In stock markets abroad, indexes fell across much of Europe and Asia. Losses were particularly sharp in France, where the CAC 40 fell 1.6%, and in South Korea, where the Kospi sank 2.3%. Stocks in Shanghai were an outlier, rising 0.2%.

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  • Wolfgang Schaeuble, German elder statesman and finance minister during euro debt crisis, dies at 81

    Wolfgang Schaeuble, German elder statesman and finance minister during euro debt crisis, dies at 81

    BERLIN — Wolfgang Schaeuble, who helped negotiate German reunification in 1990 and as finance minister was a central figure in the austerity-heavy effort to drag Europe out of its debt crisis more than two decades later, has died. He was 81.

    Schaeuble died at home on Tuesday evening, his family told German news agency dpa on Wednesday.

    Schaeuble became Chancellor Angela Merkel’s finance minister in October 2009, just before revelations about Greece’s ballooning budget deficit set off the crisis that engulfed the continent and threatened to destabilize world’s financial order.

    A longtime supporter of greater European unity, he helped lead a yearslong effort that aimed for deeper integration and a stricter rulebook. But Germany drew criticism for its emphasis on austerity and a perceived lack of generosity.

    After eight years as finance minister, Schaeuble cemented his status as an elder statesman by becoming the German parliament’s speaker — the last step in a long front-line political career that saw him overcome daunting setbacks. He remained a lawmaker until his death.

    Schaeuble was confined to a wheelchair after being paralyzed from the waist down when a mentally disturbed man shot him at an election rally in 1990, just after reunification.

    He returned to work just weeks later and, the following year, was credited with helping sway Germany’s parliament to move the reunited nation’s capital from Bonn to Berlin.

    On his 70th birthday in 2012, Merkel described Schaeuble “an architect of German unity, an architect of the government’s move, and currently an architect of a stable eurozone.”

    Merkel said the veteran minister “embodies the long-term memory of the republic … without you, our country would look different.”

    From the early days of Europe’s debt crisis, Schaeuble pushed for tougher rules to keep government deficits under control. Berlin initially held out against bailing out Greece and other debt-laden countries, and critics charged that Germany’s reluctance to move increased the price tag.

    Lead lender Germany stamped its mark on the rescue effort — insisting on tough conditions such as budget cuts in exchange for helping struggling countries and keeping them under pressure to comply. In 2012, Schaeuble insisted that European countries “are on the right track — in reducing their deficits, in improving their productivity and so their competitiveness.”

    “That is the decisive thing, and we cannot spare any country this through supposed generosity or solidarity,” he said. “That is not obstinacy — it is understanding that democratic majorities only make unpleasant decisions when there is no easier alternative.”

    When a left-wing Greek government under Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras was elected in 2015 on pledges to scrap the painful spending cuts and tax hikes demanded by creditors, Schaeuble took a tough line. Later that year, he suggested that Greece could take a five-year “timeout” from the euro, but fell in line with Merkel’s insistence that a so-called “Grexit” was off the table.

    Under pressure at home for reform of the wider financial system, Schaeuble pushed with mixed results for a levy on banks to ensure that they pay the costs of future crises, and for an international tax on transactions.

    He drew criticism for an abrupt and unilateral German ban on some speculative trading practices, which unsettled markets, and was unapologetic.

    “If you want to drain a swamp, you don’t necessarily ask the frogs if you want an objective verdict,” he said.

    In Germany, Schaeuble took pride in balancing the budget for the first time in decades. Critics largely outside Germany that fiscal restraint held back the recovery of the currency union as a whole.

    Schaeuble was born Sept. 18, 1942, in Freiburg. He worked as a tax official in his native southwestern state of Baden-Wuerttemberg before winning election to the West German parliament in 1972.

    He first joined West Germany’s Cabinet in 1984, serving as Chancellor Helmut Kohl’s chief of staff for five years before becoming interior minister.

    In that job, Schaeuble was a key West German negotiator as the country headed toward reunification with the communist east after the Nov. 9, 1989, fall of the Berlin Wall.

    He helped ready the treaty that created the legal framework for unification on Oct. 3, 1990.

    Nine days after reunification, Schaeuble was shot while campaigning for the united country’s first election in Oppenau, in southwestern Germany.

    An assailant with a history of mental problems fired a shot into Schaeuble’s spine that left him paralyzed. Another bullet hit his face, and Schaeuble had to undergo plastic surgery.

    Schaeuble quickly returned to politics. In 1991, he delivered an impassioned plea to parliament for post-reunification Germany to return to its traditional capital, Berlin.

    “Deciding for Berlin is a decision to overcome the division of Europe,” he said, before lawmakers voted narrowly to back the move.

    From 1991 to 1998, Schaeuble served as parliamentary leader of Kohl’s conservative Christian Democratic Union. He finally became CDU leader after Kohl’s 16-year stint as chancellor ended in a 1998 election defeat.

    However, in February 2000, after becoming implicated in a party financing scandal surrounding Kohl, he was replaced by Merkel.

    Schaeuble was later touted as a candidate for Germany’s largely ceremonial presidency, but was passed over as Merkel chose former International Monetary Fund chief Horst Koehler.

    He returned to the Cabinet when Merkel became chancellor in 2005 for his second stint as interior minister. He was an unexpected, but widely respected, choice as finance minister four years later.

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  • The U.S. avoided a recession in 2023. What’s the outlook for 2024? Here’s what experts are predicting

    The U.S. avoided a recession in 2023. What’s the outlook for 2024? Here’s what experts are predicting

    Grocery items are offered for sale at a supermarket on August 09, 2023 in Chicago, Illinois. 

    Scott Olson | Getty Images

    Heading into 2023, the predictions were nearly unanimous: a recession was coming.

    As the year comes to a close, the forecasted economic downturn did not arrive.

    So what’s in store for 2024?

    An economic decline may still be in the forecast, experts say.

    The prediction is based on the same factors that prompted economists to call for a downturn in 2023. As inflation has run hot, the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates.

    Typically, that dynamic has triggered a recession, defined as two consecutive quarters of negative gross domestic product growth.

    Some forecasts are optimistic that can still be avoided in 2024. Bank of America is predicting a soft landing rather than a recession, despite downside risks.

    More than three-fourths of economists — 76% — said they believe the chances of a recession in the next 12 months is 50% or less, according to a December survey from the National Association for Business Economics.

    “Our base case is that we have a mild recession,” said Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James.

    That downturn, which may be “the mildest in history,” may begin in the second quarter, the firm predicts.

    Of the NABE economists who also see a downturn in the forecast, 40% say it will start in the first quarter, while 34% suggest the second quarter.

    Americans who have struggled with high prices amid rising inflation may feel a downturn is already here.

    To that point, 56% of people recently surveyed by MassMutual said the economy is already in a recession.

    Layoffs, which made headlines at the end of 2023, may continue in the new year. While 29% of companies shed workers in 2023, 21% of companies expect they may have layoffs in 2024, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, an outplacement and business and executive coaching firm.

    To prepare for the unexpected, experts say taking these three steps can help.

    1. Reduce your debt balances

    More than one third — 34% — of consumers went into debt this holiday season, down from 35% in 2022, according to LendingTree.

    The average balance those shoppers are taking away is $1,028, well below last year’s $1,549 and the lowest since 2017.

    But higher interest rates mean those debts are more expensive. One-third of holiday borrowers have interest rates of 20% or higher, LendingTree reports.

    Meanwhile, credit card balances topped a record $1 trillion this year.

    Certain moves can help control how much you pay on those debts.

    First, LendingTree recommends automating your monthly payments to avoid penalties for late payments, including fees and rate increases.

    If you have outstanding credit card balances that you’re carrying from month to month, try to lower the costs you’re paying on that debt, either through a 0% balance transfer offer or a personal loan. Alternatively, you may try simply asking your current credit card company for a lower interest rate.

    Importantly, pick a debt pay down strategy and stick to it.

    2. Stress-test your finances

    Much of how a recession may affect you comes down to whether you still have a job, Barry Glassman, a certified financial planner and founder and president of Glassman Wealth Services, told CNBC.com earlier this year. Glassman is also a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor Council.

    An economic downturn may also create a situation where even those who are still employed earn less, he noted.

    Consequently, it’s a good idea to evaluate how well you could handle an income drop. Consider how long, if you were to lose your job, you could keep up with bills, based on savings and other resources available to you, he explained.

    “Stress-test your income against your ongoing obligations,” Glassman said. “Make sure you have some sort of safety net.”

    3. Boost emergency savings

    Even having just a little more cash set aside can help ensure an unforeseen event like a car repair or unexpected bill does not sink your budget.

    Yet surveys show many Americans would be hard pressed to cover a $400 expense in cash.

    Experts say the key is to automate your savings so you do not even see the money in your paycheck.

    “Even if we do get through this period relatively unscathed, that’s all the more reason to be saving,” Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate, recently told CNBC.com.

    “I have yet to meet anybody who saved too much money,” he added.

    Another advantage to saving now: Higher interest rates mean the potential returns on that money are the highest they have been in 15 years. Those returns may not last, with the Federal Reserve expected to start cutting rates in 2024.

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  • Cuban government defends plans to either cut rations or increase prices

    Cuban government defends plans to either cut rations or increase prices

    HAVANA — The Cuban government said Friday it will have to either increase prices for fuel and electricity, or reduce rations for basic supplies.

    President Miguel Díaz-Canel said such difficult measures were needed for difficult times, after the minister of the economy said Cuba’s economy contracted between 1% and 2% this year, and inflation ran at about 30%. There were problems in the tourism industry — Cuba’s main source of income — and in farm production.

    “This is a question of complicated measures, as complicated as are these times,” Díaz-Canel said. “I emphatically deny that this is neo-liberal plan against the people, nor a crusade against small businesses, nor an elimination of the basic market basket” that Cubans can get with government coupons.

    Prime Minister Manuel Marrero Cruz said that because of economic problems, the government will have to raise prices for gasoline, electricity and gas, or reduce the amount of food and other basics contained in government ration books.

    The remarks came in appearances at the closing sessions of Cuba’s National Assembly of People’s Power, effectively Cuba’s congress.

    The economic crisis in Cuba has already pushed hundreds of thousands of people to leave in a bid to reach the United States. Long lines at gasoline stations had gotten shorter recently, but the news of possible price increases could prompt a rush to fill up.

    “Since they spoke (in congress), I haven’t been able to get gas yet,” Alberto Corujo, a 54-year-old driver, said as he waited in a long line at a gas station in Havana.

    Mercy García, a secretary at a state-owned business, said times were indeed tough.

    “The situation is very hard for people of all social levels, because wages don’t keep up and prices have gone through the roof,” said García.

    Visits by tourists are still only at 64% of the level in 2019, before the coronavirus pandemic. Sugar production was down, and the government had to import food.

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  • Stock market today: Wall Street drifts following disappointing profit reports, strong economic data

    Stock market today: Wall Street drifts following disappointing profit reports, strong economic data

    NEW YORK — Wall Street’s monster-sized rally since Halloween is easing off the accelerator Wednesday following mixed reports showing disappointing profits at companies but unexpected strength for the economy.

    The S&P 500 was 0.1% higher in midday trading and within 0.5% of its record set nearly two years ago. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 16 points, or less than 0.1%, coming off its own record. The Nasdaq composite edged up by 0.3%, as of 11 a.m. Eastern time.

    FedEx tumbled 10.5% after reporting weaker revenue and profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. It also now expects its revenue for the full fiscal year to fall from year-earlier levels, rather than being roughly flat, because of pressures on demand.

    The package delivery company pumps commerce around the world, and the signaling of weaker demand could chip away at the hope that has fueled Wall Street’s recent rally: that the Federal Reserve can pull off a perfect landing for the economy by slowing it enough to stifle high inflation but not so much to cause a recession.

    Winnebago Industries, the maker of motorhomes and other recreational products, also fell short of analysts’ profit expectations for the latest quarter. It said it sold fewer units than a year earlier because of “market conditions” and had to offer higher discounts. Its stock sank 2%.

    General Mills, which sells Progresso soup and Yoplait yogurt, reported stronger profit for the latest quarter than expected, but its revenue fell short as a recovery in its sales volume was slower than expected. The company said a key sales measure may now fall for its full fiscal year because of “a more cautious consumer economic outlook” and other factors. Its stock fell 2.6%.

    Still, a pair of reports showed the U.S. economy may be in stronger overall shape than expected. Both consumer confidence in December and sales of previously occupied homes in November improved more than economists had expected.

    Encouraging signs that inflation is cooling globally also continue. In the United Kingdom, inflation in November unexpectedly slowed to 3.9% from October’s 4.6% rate, reaching its lowest level since 2021.

    Milder inflation is raising hopes that central banks around the world can pivot in 2024 from their campaigns to hike interest rates sharply in order to snuff out further big increases in prices. For the Federal Reserve in particular, the expectation is for its main interest rate to fall by at least 1.50 percentage points in 2024 from its current range of 5.25% to 5.50%, which is its highest level in more than two decades.

    Treasury yields have been tumbling since late October on such hopes, and they fell again following the U.K. inflation report.

    The yield on the 10-year Treasury slipped to 3.91% from 3.93% late Tuesday. It had been above 5% in October, at its highest level since 2007 and putting harsh downward pressure on the stock market.

    Lower interest rates and yields not only help the economy grow by making borrowing less expensive, they also boost prices for investments and relax the pressure on the overall financial system.

    With yields down, U.S. stocks are still on track for another winning week. Big internet-related companies were among the market’s leaders Wednesday, including a 3.1% rise for Alphabet and 0.7% gain for Amazon.

    Stocks of oil and gas companies were also strong as the price of crude clawed back some more of its sharp losses from recent months.

    Overall, the S&P 500 just came off its seventh straight week of gains, its longest such streak in six years. But that strength and length has also raised criticism that stocks have simply rallied too much.

    It’s still not certain the Fed can pull off what was seen as a nearly impossible tightrope walk not long ago. And critics say the number of cuts to rates that Wall Street is forecasting for 2024 seems unlikely unless the economy falls into a recession, which would hurt corporate profits and thus stock prices.

    Some officials from the Federal Reserve have also made comments recently saying it’s too early to consider a cut to rates in March, which is when the majority of traders expect them to begin, according to data from CME Group.

    In stock markets abroad, the FTSE 100 in London rose 0.9% following the encouraging U.K. inflation report. Indexes also rose across much of Asia, but stocks fell 1% in Shanghai after China kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged at the monthly fixing on Wednesday.

    ___

    AP Business Writer Matt Ott contributed to this report.

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  • Is the U.S. in a ‘silent depression?’ Economists weigh in on the viral TikTok theory

    Is the U.S. in a ‘silent depression?’ Economists weigh in on the viral TikTok theory

    A shopper carries several bags in the Magnificent Mile shopping district of Chicago on Dec. 2, 2023.

    Taylor Glascock | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    The U.S. economy has remained remarkably strong but affordability is worse than it has ever been, some social media users say, even when compared to The Great Depression.

    One of TikTok’s latest trends, coined the “silent depression,” aims to explain how key expenses such as housing, transportation and food account for an increasing share of the average American’s take-home pay. It’s harder today to get by than it was during the worst economic period in this country’s history, according to some TikTokers.

    But economists strongly disagree.

    “Any notion from TikTok that life was better in 1923 than it is now is divorced from reality,” said Columbia Business School economics professor Brett House.

    More from Personal Finance:
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    Compared to 100 years ago, “today, life expectancies are much longer, the quality of lives is much better, the opportunities to realize one’s potential are much greater, human rights are more widely respected and access to information and education is widely expanded,” House said.

    Even when just looking at the numbers, the country has continued to expand since the Covid-19 pandemic, sidestepping earlier recessionary forecasts.

    Officially, the National Bureau of Economic Research defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months.” There have been more than a dozen recessions in the last century, some lasting as long as a year and a half.

    ‘This is hardly a depression’

    In fact, the latest quarterly gross domestic product report, which tracks the overall health of the economy, rose more than expected, while the Federal Reserve‘s effort to bring down inflation has so far been successful, a rare feat in economic history.

    The central bank signaled in its latest economic projections that it will cut interest rates in 2024 even with the economy still growing, which would be the sought-after path to a “soft landing,” where inflation returns to the Fed’s 2% target without causing a significant rise in unemployment.

    “To be sure, the economy is slowing, and the job market is cooling, but we are not in a depression,” said Sung Won Sohn, professor of finance and economics at Loyola Marymount University and chief economist at SS Economics.

    ‘Inflation has been hitting the poor more than the rich’

    But regardless of the country’s economic standing, many Americans are struggling in the face of sky-high prices for everyday items, and most have exhausted their savings and are now leaning on credit cards to make ends meet.

    Lower-income families have been particularly hard hit, said Tomas Philipson, a professor of public policy studies at the University of Chicago and former acting chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers.

    Here's why Americans can't keep money in their pockets — even when they get a raise

    The lowest-paid workers spend more of their income on necessities such as food, rent and gas, categories that also experienced higher-than-average inflation spikes. 

    “Inflation has been hitting the poor more than the rich, in terms of share of real income lost, because it has been relatively higher for categories that make up larger shares of household budgets,” Philipson said.

    The housing market weighs on sentiment

    Housing, especially, has weighed on many Americans’ opinion about how the nation, overall, is faring regardless of what other data says. Year to date, home prices nationally have risen 6.1%, much more than the median full calendar year increase over the past 35 years, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index.

    Mortgage rates have pulled back but are still above 7%, and there remains a very low supply of homes for sale.

    That explains why Americans feel so bad about their own financial standing, even when the country is in good shape, House said. “Since homeownership is the biggest investment decision most people make in their lifetimes, the real estate market is likely dampening many Americans’ feelings about the U.S. economy.”

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  • Fed sparking irrational market optimism over potential rate cuts, former FDIC Chair Sheila Bair warns

    Fed sparking irrational market optimism over potential rate cuts, former FDIC Chair Sheila Bair warns

    Market optimism over the potential for interest rate cuts next year is dangerously overdone, according to former FDIC Chair Sheila Bair.

    Bair, who ran the FDIC during the 2008 financial crisis, suggests Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was irresponsibly dovish at last week’s policy meeting by creating “irrational exuberance” among investors.

    “The focus still needs to be on inflation,” Bair told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Thursday. “There’s a long way to go on this fight. I do worry they’re [the Fed] blinking a bit and now trying to pivot and worry about recession, when I don’t see any of that risk in the data so far.”

    After holding rates steady Wednesday for the third time in a row, the Fed set an expectation for at least three rate cuts next year totaling 75 basis points. And the markets ran with it.

    The Dow hit all-time highs in the final three days of last week. The blue-chip index is on its longest weekly win streak since 2019 while the S&P 500 is on its longest weekly win streak since 2017. It’s now 115% above its Covid-19 pandemic low.

    Bair believes the market’s bullish reaction to the Fed is on borrowed time.

    “This is a mistake. I think they need to keep their eye on the inflation ball and tame the market, not reinforce it with this … dovish dot plot,” Bair said. “My concern is the prospect of the significant lowering of rates in 2024.”

    Bair still sees prices for services and rental housing as serious sticky spots. Plus, she worries that deficit spending, trade restrictions and an aging population will also create meaningful inflation pressures.

    “[Rates] should stay put. We’ve got good trend lines. We need to be patient and watch and see how this plays out,” Bair said.

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  • $600M in federal funding to go toward replacing I-5 bridge connecting Oregon and Washington

    $600M in federal funding to go toward replacing I-5 bridge connecting Oregon and Washington

    PORTLAND, Ore. — The program tasked with replacing the century-old Interstate 5 bridge that connects Portland, Oregon, with southwest Washington, and serves as a vital transportation and commerce link, is set to receive $600 million in federal funds, state congressmembers said Friday.

    Washington’s Democratic U.S. Sens. Maria Cantwell and Patty Murray, and U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, announced the funding.

    The bridge crosses the Columbia River and is a key component of I-5, which spans the entirety of the West Coast. Traffic congestion is frequent with more than 130,000 vehicles driving across it every day, according to regional transportation agencies.

    “There are projects that are so big and so costly that oftentimes they don’t get funded, but they are linchpins to an economy that literally have regional and national significance to them. And the I-5 bridge is a perfect example of that,” Cantwell told The Associated Press. Projects like that need federal financial support, she said.

    The aging bridge is at risk of collapse in the event of an earthquake. Funding will go toward building a replacement that is seismically resilient.

    “There’s no way a hundred-year-old bridge is going to continue to grow with the capacity and the demand that we have,” Cantwell told the AP. “This is going to be a key investment to help change that.”

    The Interstate Bridge Replacement Program will receive the money as part of a federal Department of Transportation grant initiative.

    Murray, Washington’s other U.S. senator, has advocated for the project for decades and considers it a top priority.

    “I am nothing short of ecstatic that Washington state can count on a truly historic influx of federal dollars,” she said in a joint news release with Cantwell and Gluesenkamp Perez.

    Oregon officials also welcomed the funding. U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley described it as a “game changer” that will “boost seismic resiliency in the region and ensure safer, faster, and more reliable transportation for generations to come.”

    The money will come from the federal National Infrastructure Project Assistance program, which was created by the 2021 bipartisan infrastructure law. Also known as the Mega program, it supports projects that are too large or complex for traditional funding programs.

    The $600 million will cover between 8 to 12% of the total estimated bridge replacement costs, which could reach $7.5 billion, Washington’s congressmembers said.

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  • Stock market today: Asian shares mostly higher after Wall Street hits 2023 peak

    Stock market today: Asian shares mostly higher after Wall Street hits 2023 peak

    Asian shares mostly gained on Monday after Wall Street reached a 20-month high ahead of a week that includes essential U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s final rate decision of the year.

    U.S. futures were higher and oil prices rose to recover some of their sharp losses in recent weeks.

    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng sank 0.8% to 16,208.21 and the Shanghai Composite added 0.7% to 2,990.35.

    In China, leaders agreed at an annual planning meeting last week to boost spending to accelerate the world’s second-largest economy, though details of policy changes were not provided.

    Despite the Chinese economy expanding by around 5% this year, in line with government targets, the recovery following the lifting of strict COVID-19 restrictions was short-lived, and a slowdown is expected next year. Data released on Saturday showed China’s consumer prices in November experienced their steepest fall in three years, in another sigh of weakness.

    Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index gained 1.5% to 32,791.80 and the Kospi in Seoul was 0.3% higher, to 2,525.01. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was virtually unchanged.

    India’s Sensex was 0.1% higher and Bangkok’s SET added 0.2%.

    On Friday, the S&P 500 climbed to its best level in 20 months following a stronger-than-expected report on the U.S. job market. It rose 0.4% to 4,604.37, enough to clinch a sixth straight winning week for the index.

    That’s its longest such streak in four years. Wall Street’s main measure of health is now just 4% below its record set at the start of last year.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4% to 36,247.87, and the Nasdaq composite gained 0.4% to 14,403.97.

    Yields rose more sharply in the bond market following the report, which said U.S. employers added more jobs last month than economists expected. Workers’ wages also rose more than expected, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly improved.

    The strong data have kept at bay worries about a possible recession, at least for a while longer, and stocks of some companies whose profits are closely tied to the strength of the economy rallied. Energy-related stocks had the biggest gain of the 11 sectors that make up the S&P 500, rising 1.1% as oil prices strengthened amid hopes for more demand for fuel.

    Google’s parent company, Alphabet, slipped 1.4% and was the heaviest weight on the S&P 500. A day earlier, it had leaped amid excitement about the launch of its latest artificial-intelligence offering. Other Big Tech stocks were stronger, with Nvidia, Apple and Microsoft all rising.

    Also on the losing end was RH. The home furnishings company slumped 14% after reporting weaker results for the latest quarter than analysts expected.

    The Fed will will announce its next move on interest rates on Wednesday. On Tuesday, the U.S. government will report on U.S. consumer inflation.

    A separate preliminary report on Friday offered more encouragement. It said that U.S. consumers’ expectations for inflation in the coming year dropped to 3.1% from 4.5% a month earlier, the lowest since March 2021. The Fed has said it pays attention to such expectations, fearing a rise could lead to a vicious cycle that keeps inflation high.

    In the oil market, a barrel of benchmark U.S. oil gained 50 cents to $71.73, though it’s still more than $20 below where it was in September. It’s been tumbling on worries that demand from the global economy won’t be strong enough to absorb all the world’s available supplies.

    Brent crude, the international standard, rose 55 cents to $76.39 per barrel.

    In currency dealings, the U.S. dollar rose to 145.53 Japanese yen from 144.93 yen. The euro gained to $1.0768 from $1.0761.

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  • Stock market today: Asian shares mostly higher after Wall Street hits 2023 peak

    Stock market today: Asian shares mostly higher after Wall Street hits 2023 peak

    Asian shares mostly gained on Monday after Wall Street reached a 20-month high ahead of a week that includes essential U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s final rate decision of the year.

    U.S. futures were higher and oil prices rose to recover some of their sharp losses in recent weeks.

    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng sank 0.8% to 16,208.21 and the Shanghai Composite added 0.7% to 2,990.35.

    In China, leaders agreed at an annual planning meeting last week to boost spending to accelerate the world’s second-largest economy, though details of policy changes were not provided.

    Despite the Chinese economy expanding by around 5% this year, in line with government targets, the recovery following the lifting of strict COVID-19 restrictions was short-lived, and a slowdown is expected next year. Data released on Saturday showed China’s consumer prices in November experienced their steepest fall in three years, in another sigh of weakness.

    Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index gained 1.5% to 32,791.80 and the Kospi in Seoul was 0.3% higher, to 2,525.01. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was virtually unchanged.

    India’s Sensex was 0.1% higher and Bangkok’s SET added 0.2%.

    On Friday, the S&P 500 climbed to its best level in 20 months following a stronger-than-expected report on the U.S. job market. It rose 0.4% to 4,604.37, enough to clinch a sixth straight winning week for the index.

    That’s its longest such streak in four years. Wall Street’s main measure of health is now just 4% below its record set at the start of last year.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4% to 36,247.87, and the Nasdaq composite gained 0.4% to 14,403.97.

    Yields rose more sharply in the bond market following the report, which said U.S. employers added more jobs last month than economists expected. Workers’ wages also rose more than expected, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly improved.

    The strong data have kept at bay worries about a possible recession, at least for a while longer, and stocks of some companies whose profits are closely tied to the strength of the economy rallied. Energy-related stocks had the biggest gain of the 11 sectors that make up the S&P 500, rising 1.1% as oil prices strengthened amid hopes for more demand for fuel.

    Google’s parent company, Alphabet, slipped 1.4% and was the heaviest weight on the S&P 500. A day earlier, it had leaped amid excitement about the launch of its latest artificial-intelligence offering. Other Big Tech stocks were stronger, with Nvidia, Apple and Microsoft all rising.

    Also on the losing end was RH. The home furnishings company slumped 14% after reporting weaker results for the latest quarter than analysts expected.

    The Fed will will announce its next move on interest rates on Wednesday. On Tuesday, the U.S. government will report on U.S. consumer inflation.

    A separate preliminary report on Friday offered more encouragement. It said that U.S. consumers’ expectations for inflation in the coming year dropped to 3.1% from 4.5% a month earlier, the lowest since March 2021. The Fed has said it pays attention to such expectations, fearing a rise could lead to a vicious cycle that keeps inflation high.

    In the oil market, a barrel of benchmark U.S. oil gained 50 cents to $71.73, though it’s still more than $20 below where it was in September. It’s been tumbling on worries that demand from the global economy won’t be strong enough to absorb all the world’s available supplies.

    Brent crude, the international standard, rose 55 cents to $76.39 per barrel.

    In currency dealings, the U.S. dollar rose to 145.53 Japanese yen from 144.93 yen. The euro gained to $1.0768 from $1.0761.

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  • Stock market today: World shares advance as weak US jobs data back hopes for an end to rate hikes

    Stock market today: World shares advance as weak US jobs data back hopes for an end to rate hikes

    BANGKOK — World shares advanced on Wednesday after most stocks slipped on Wall Street following a mixed set of reports on the U.S. economy.

    Germany’s DAX edged 0.1% higher to 16,542.15 and the CAC 40 in Paris gained 0.2% to 7,397.84. In London, the FTSE 100 was up 0.4% at 7,521.99.

    The future for the S&P 500 was up 0.2% while that for the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.1%.

    In Asian trading, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 0.8% to 16,573.00, while the Shanghai Composite edged 0.1% lower, to 2,968.93.

    Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 added 2% to 33,445.90 after a top central bank official reiterated the Bank of Japan’s determination to maintain its easy credit policy until it achieves a stable level of inflation.

    In Seoul, the Kospi was up less than 0.1%, at 2,495.38. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 climbed 1.7% to 7,178.40.

    India’s Sensex gained 0.5% and the SET in Bangkok advanced 0.3%.

    On Tuesday, the S&P 500 edged 0.1% lower for its first back-to-back loss since October. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.2% and the Nasdaq composite rose 0.3%.

    U.S. stocks and Treasury yields wavered after reports showed that employers advertised far fewer job openings at the end of October than expected, while growth for services businesses accelerated more last month than expected. Just 8.7 million jobs were advertised on the last day of October, down by 617,000 from a month earlier and the lowest level since 2021.

    With inflation down from its peak two summers ago, Wall Street is hopeful the Federal Reserve may finally be done with its market-shaking hikes to interest rates and could soon turn to cutting rates. The hope is that the U.S. economy might pull off a perfect landing where it snuffs out high inflation but avoids a recession.

    A separate report said that activity for U.S. services industries expanded for the 41st time in the last 42 months, with growth reported by everything from agriculture to wholesale trade. Strength there has been offsetting weakness in manufacturing.

    Traders widely expect the Federal Reserve to hold its key interest rate steady at its next meeting next week, before potentially cutting rates in March, according to data from CME Group.

    In other trading, U.S. benchmark crude oil shed 29 cents to $72.03 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the international standard, gave up 32 cents to $76.88 per barrel.

    The U.S. dollar rose to 147.33 Japanese yen from 147.15 yen. The euro slipped to $1.0795 from $1.0797.

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  • Stock market today: Asian shares surge as weak US jobs data back hopes for an end to rate hikes

    Stock market today: Asian shares surge as weak US jobs data back hopes for an end to rate hikes

    BANGKOK — Asian shares advanced on Wednesday after most stocks slipped on Wall Street following a mixed set of reports on the U.S. economy.

    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 0.9% to 16,477.34, while the Shanghai Composite edged 0.1% higher, to 2,968.93.

    The gains followed selloffs the day before amid worries about the health of China’s economy, the world’s second largest.

    Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 added 2% to 33,445.90 after a top central bank official reiterated the Bank of Japan’s determination to maintain its easy credit policy until it achieves a stable level of inflation.

    In Seoul, the Kospi was up less than 0.1%, at 2,495.38. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 climbed 1.7% to 7,178.40.

    India’s Sensex gained 0.3% and the SET in Bangkok advanced 0.7%.

    On Tuesday, the S&P 500 edged 0.1% lower for its first back-to-back loss since October. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.2% and the Nasdaq composite rose 0.3%.

    U.S. stocks and Treasury yields wavered after reports showed that employers advertised far fewer job openings at the end of October than expected, while growth for services businesses accelerated more last month than expected.

    That kept alive questions about whether the U.S. economy can pull off a perfect landing where it snuffs out high inflation but avoids a recession.

    On Wall Street, KeyCorp fell 3.7% and led a slump for bank stocks after it cut its forecast for income from fees and other non-interest income. But gains of more than 2% for Apple and Nvidia, two of the market’s most influential stocks, helped to blunt the losses.

    With inflation down from its peak two summers ago, Wall Street is hopeful the Federal Reserve may finally be done with its market-shaking hikes to interest rates and could soon turn to cutting rates. That could help the economy avoid a recession and give a boost to all kinds of investment prices.

    Tuesday’s report showed that employers advertised just 8.7 million jobs on the last day of October, down by 617,000 from a month earlier and the lowest level since 2021.

    A separate report said that activity for U.S. services industries expanded for the 41st time in the last 42 months, with growth reported by everything from agriculture to wholesale trade. Strength there has been offsetting weakness in manufacturing.

    In the bond market, Treasury yields continued to sag further from the heights they reached during late October.

    The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.19% from 4.26% late Monday, offering more breathing space for stocks and other markets. It had been above 5% and at its highest level in more than a decade during October.

    The yield on the two-year Treasury, which more closely tracks expectations for the Fed, went on a jagged run following the economic reports. It fell from 4.61% just before the reports’ release to 4.57% and then yo-yoed before easing back to 4.55%.

    Traders widely expect the Federal Reserve to hold its key interest rate steady at its next meeting next week, before potentially cutting rates in March, according to data from CME Group.

    Fed officials have recently hinted that the federal funds rate may indeed already be at its peak. It’s above 5.25%, up from nearly zero early last year. But Fed Chair Jerome Powell and others have also warned Wall Street about being overzealous in its predictions about how early a cut could happen.

    Lower yields have been one reason prices cryptocurrencies have been rising recently. Excitement about a possible exchange-traded fund tied to bitcoin, which would open it to new kinds of investors, has also helped send it above $43,000 recently.

    In other trading, U.S. benchmark crude oil added 1 cent to $72.33 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the international standard, picked up 13 cents to $77.33 per barrel.

    The U.S. dollar fell to 147.04 Japanese yen from 147.15 yen. The euro slipped to $1.0791 from $1.0797.

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  • Big bank executives will assure lawmakers the industry's crisis is over, KBW CEO Thomas Michaud predicts

    Big bank executives will assure lawmakers the industry's crisis is over, KBW CEO Thomas Michaud predicts

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  • Moody's cuts China credit outlook to negative, cites slowing economic growth, property crisis

    Moody's cuts China credit outlook to negative, cites slowing economic growth, property crisis

    HONG KONG — Credit rating agency Moody’s cut its outlook for Chinese sovereign bonds to negative on Tuesday, citing risks from a slowing economy and a crisis in its property sector.

    Moody’s said the downgrade, its first for China since 2017, reflects risks from financing troubles of local and regional governments and state-owned enterprises.

    The world’s second-biggest economy had been slowing before a 2020 crackdown on excessive borrowing brought on defaults by dozens of property developers. Those troubles have crimped local government finances and also imperiled some lenders, further dragging on the economy.

    The need for government intervention to support banks and local governments poses “broad downside risks to China’s fiscal, economic and institutional strength. The outlook change also reflects the increased risks related to structurally and persistently lower medium-term economic growth,” Moody’s said in a statement.

    China’s Ministry of Finance said it was “disappointed” with Moody’s decision to lower the outlook.

    “Since the beginning of this year, in the face of the complex and harsh international situations, and against the background of an unstable global economic recovery and weakening momentum, China’s macro economy has continued to recover and has been advancing steadily,” the ministry said, according to an online transcript of remarks at a Q&A session Tuesday.

    Shares retreated in China on Tuesday, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropping 1.9% and the Shanghai Composite index down 1.7%.

    Separately, Moody’s affirmed China’s A1 long-term local and foreign-currency issuer ratings.

    The credit rating firm said it expects China’s economy to grow at a 4% annual pace in 2024 and 2025, slowing to an average of 3.8% for the rest of the decade.

    Factors such as “weaker demographics,” as the country ages, will likely drive a decline in potential growth to around 3.5% by 2030, Moody’s said.

    To offset the weaker property sector, China will need “substantial and coordinated reforms” to support more consumer spending and higher value-added manufacturing to support strong growth, Moody’s said.

    China’s recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic faltered after an initial burst of activity earlier in the year faded faster than expected. Despite prolonged weakness in consumer spending and exports, the economy is expected to grow at about a 5% annual pace this year.

    China’s economy still has “huge development resilience and potential” and will remain an important engine for global economic growth in the future, the Finance Ministry said.

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  • Moody's cuts China credit outlook to negative, cites slowing economic growth, property crisis

    Moody's cuts China credit outlook to negative, cites slowing economic growth, property crisis

    HONG KONG — Credit rating agency Moody’s cut its outlook for Chinese sovereign bonds to negative on Tuesday, citing risks from a slowing economy and a crisis in its property sector.

    Moody’s said the downgrade, its first for China since 2017, reflects risks from financing troubles of local and regional governments and state-owned enterprises.

    The world’s second-biggest economy had been slowing before a 2020 crackdown on excessive borrowing brought on defaults by dozens of property developers. Those troubles have crimped local government finances and also imperiled some lenders, further dragging on the economy.

    The need for government intervention to support banks and local governments poses “broad downside risks to China’s fiscal, economic and institutional strength. The outlook change also reflects the increased risks related to structurally and persistently lower medium-term economic growth,” Moody’s said in a statement.

    China’s Ministry of Finance said it was “disappointed” with Moody’s decision to lower the outlook.

    “Since the beginning of this year, in the face of the complex and harsh international situations, and against the background of an unstable global economic recovery and weakening momentum, China’s macro economy has continued to recover and has been advancing steadily,” the ministry said, according to an online transcript of remarks at a Q&A session Tuesday.

    Shares retreated in China on Tuesday, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropping 1.9% and the Shanghai Composite index down 1.7%.

    Separately, Moody’s affirmed China’s A1 long-term local and foreign-currency issuer ratings.

    The credit rating firm said it expects China’s economy to grow at a 4% annual pace in 2024 and 2025, slowing to an average of 3.8% for the rest of the decade.

    Factors such as “weaker demographics,” as the country ages, will likely drive a decline in potential growth to around 3.5% by 2030, Moody’s said.

    To offset the weaker property sector, China will need “substantial and coordinated reforms” to support more consumer spending and higher value-added manufacturing to support strong growth, Moody’s said.

    China’s recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic faltered after an initial burst of activity earlier in the year faded faster than expected. Despite prolonged weakness in consumer spending and exports, the economy is expected to grow at about a 5% annual pace this year.

    China’s economy still has “huge development resilience and potential” and will remain an important engine for global economic growth in the future, the Finance Ministry said.

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  • OxyContin maker bankruptcy deal goes before the Supreme Court on Monday, with billions at stake

    OxyContin maker bankruptcy deal goes before the Supreme Court on Monday, with billions at stake

    WASHINGTON — The Supreme Court is hearing arguments over a nationwide settlement with OxyContin maker Purdue Pharma that would shield members of the Sackler family who own the company from civil lawsuits over the toll of opioids.

    The agreement hammered out with state and local governments and victims would provide billions of dollars to combat the opioid epidemic. The Sacklers would contribute up to $6 billion and give up ownership, and the company would emerge from bankruptcy as a different entity, with its profits used for treatment and prevention.

    But the justices put the settlement on hold during the summer, in response to objections from the Biden administration. Arguments take place Monday.

    The issue for the justices is whether the legal shield that bankruptcy provides can be extended to people such as the Sacklers, who have not declared bankruptcy themselves. Lower courts have issued conflicting decisions over that issue, which also has implications for other major product liability lawsuits settled through the bankruptcy system.

    The U.S. Bankruptcy Trustee, an arm of the Justice Department, contends that the bankruptcy law does not permit protecting the Sackler family from being sued by people who are not part of the settlement. During the Trump administration, the government supported the settlement.

    Proponents of the plan said third-party releases are sometimes necessary to forge an agreement, and federal law imposes no prohibition against them.

    Lawyers for more than 60,000 victims who support the settlement called it “a watershed moment in the opioid crisis,” while recognizing that “no amount of money could fully compensate” victims for the damage caused by the misleading marketing of OxyContin.

    A lawyer for a victim who opposes the settlement calls the provision dealing with the Sacklers “special protection for billionaires.”

    OxyContin first hit the market in 1996, and Purdue Pharma’s aggressive marketing of the powerful prescription painkiller is often cited as a catalyst of the nationwide opioid epidemic, persuading doctors to prescribe painkillers with less regard for addiction dangers.

    The drug and the Stamford, Connecticut-based company became synonymous with the crisis, even though the majority of pills being prescribed and used were generic drugs. Opioid-related overdose deaths have continued to climb, hitting 80,000 in recent years. Most of those are from fentanyl and other synthetic drugs.

    The Purdue Pharma settlement would be among the largest reached by drug companies, wholesalers and pharmacies to resolve epidemic-related lawsuits filed by state, local and Native American tribal governments and others. Those settlements have totaled more than $50 billion.

    But it would be one of only two so far that include direct payments to victims from a $750 million pool. Payouts are expected to range from about $3,500 to $48,000.

    Sackler family members no longer are on the company’s board and they have not received payouts from it since before Purdue Pharma entered bankruptcy. In the decade before that, though, they were paid more than $10 billion, about half of which family members said went to pay taxes.

    A decision in Harrington v. Purdue Pharma, 22-859, is expected by early summer.

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