The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its final meeting of 2025, but an expert says it may not translate into lower mortgage rates. Susan Wachter, a professor of real estate at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania, said mortgage rates take their metric cue from the 10-year Treasury.”The two rates are disconnected. The only time the two rates move together is if we’re moving towards a recession,” Wachter said. Mortgage rates are the interest you pay to borrow money to buy a home. Higher mortgage rates raise monthly payments because more interest accrues on the principal mortgage each month.The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.22% as of Dec. 11, 2025. That is below the year-to-date average of 6.62%, but Wachter said rates remain high.”Just a matter of four years ago, mortgage rates were 3 or 4%, so this has a big impact on the overall economy, and we cannot, unfortunately, rely on the Federal Reserve’s action to solve this affordability problem,” Wachter said. National Association of Realtors data, analyzed by the Get the Facts Data Team, shows that monthly principal and interest mortgage payments in the United States have nearly doubled in the last 10 years.See how much your monthly mortgage has changed with our calculator.On average, the monthly cost of owning a home in counties across the United States was $1,424 in 2025, compared with $712 in 2015. That number doesn’t include costs like property taxes, homeowner’s insurance, homeowners association fees and other fees. Nantucket County in Massachusetts saw the monthly cost of owning a home more than double, reaching $9,797 in 2025 compared to $4,691 in 2015. The island, located about 30 miles south of Cape Cod, has a median home listing price of $5.2 million, according to Realtor.com.In California, mortgage rates rose by an average of 89% over the last 10 years. The highest mortgage rates in the state are found in Marin, San Mateo and Santa Clara counties.What is driving up mortgage costs?According to Wachter, homebuyers face three barriers: high mortgage rates, high housing prices and a buyer strike.High mortgage rates stem in part from large U.S. budget deficits caused by government borrowing during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, housing prices have risen and many buyers have pulled back. “Buyers are uncertain about their future job prospects, overall economy prospects — even stock market prospects. That uncertainty is keeping buyers on the sidelines, which is why housing prices, even though they’re near all-time highs, are not increasing anymore,” said Wachter.Aside from increasing mortgage costs, the housing market is also seeing a surge in delistings.”The homeowners who are selling are disappointed because their prices are falling, so they’re taking their homes off the inventory. We see that happening more than ever recently,” Wachter said.A recent report from Realtor.com shows that about 6% of listings have been removed from the market by sellers each month since June. That is the highest national delisting rate reported by Realtor.com since it began tracking this metric in 2022. PHNjcmlwdCB0eXBlPSJ0ZXh0L2phdmFzY3JpcHQiPiFmdW5jdGlvbigpeyJ1c2Ugc3RyaWN0Ijt3aW5kb3cuYWRkRXZlbnRMaXN0ZW5lcigibWVzc2FnZSIsKGZ1bmN0aW9uKGUpe2lmKHZvaWQgMCE9PWUuZGF0YVsiZGF0YXdyYXBwZXItaGVpZ2h0Il0pe3ZhciB0PWRvY3VtZW50LnF1ZXJ5U2VsZWN0b3JBbGwoImlmcmFtZSIpO2Zvcih2YXIgYSBpbiBlLmRhdGFbImRhdGF3cmFwcGVyLWhlaWdodCJdKWZvcih2YXIgcj0wO3I8dC5sZW5ndGg7cisrKXtpZih0W3JdLmNvbnRlbnRXaW5kb3c9PT1lLnNvdXJjZSl0W3JdLnN0eWxlLmhlaWdodD1lLmRhdGFbImRhdGF3cmFwcGVyLWhlaWdodCJdW2FdKyJweCJ9fX0pKX0oKTs8L3NjcmlwdD4K
NEW YORK —
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its final meeting of 2025, but an expert says it may not translate into lower mortgage rates.
Susan Wachter, a professor of real estate at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania, said mortgage rates take their metric cue from the 10-year Treasury.
“The two rates are disconnected. The only time the two rates move together is if we’re moving towards a recession,” Wachter said.
Mortgage rates are the interest you pay to borrow money to buy a home. Higher mortgage rates raise monthly payments because more interest accrues on the principal mortgage each month.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.22% as of Dec. 11, 2025. That is below the year-to-date average of 6.62%, but Wachter said rates remain high.
“Just a matter of four years ago, mortgage rates were 3 or 4%, so this has a big impact on the overall economy, and we cannot, unfortunately, rely on the Federal Reserve’s action to solve this affordability problem,” Wachter said.
National Association of Realtors data, analyzed by the Get the Facts Data Team, shows that monthly principal and interest mortgage payments in the United States have nearly doubled in the last 10 years.
See how much your monthly mortgage has changed with our calculator.
On average, the monthly cost of owning a home in counties across the United States was $1,424 in 2025, compared with $712 in 2015. That number doesn’t include costs like property taxes, homeowner’s insurance, homeowners association fees and other fees.
Nantucket County in Massachusetts saw the monthly cost of owning a home more than double, reaching $9,797 in 2025 compared to $4,691 in 2015. The island, located about 30 miles south of Cape Cod, has a median home listing price of $5.2 million, according to Realtor.com.
In California, mortgage rates rose by an average of 89% over the last 10 years. The highest mortgage rates in the state are found in Marin, San Mateo and Santa Clara counties.
What is driving up mortgage costs?
According to Wachter, homebuyers face three barriers: high mortgage rates, high housing prices and a buyer strike.
High mortgage rates stem in part from large U.S. budget deficits caused by government borrowing during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, housing prices have risen and many buyers have pulled back.
“Buyers are uncertain about their future job prospects, overall economy prospects — even stock market prospects. That uncertainty is keeping buyers on the sidelines, which is why housing prices, even though they’re near all-time highs, are not increasing anymore,” said Wachter.
Aside from increasing mortgage costs, the housing market is also seeing a surge in delistings.
“The homeowners who are selling are disappointed because their prices are falling, so they’re taking their homes off the inventory. We see that happening more than ever recently,” Wachter said.
A recent report from Realtor.com shows that about 6% of listings have been removed from the market by sellers each month since June. That is the highest national delisting rate reported by Realtor.com since it began tracking this metric in 2022.