ReportWire

Tag: Real World Assets (RWA)

  • Presto Research Predicts $160K Bitcoin, $490B Tokenization in 2026

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    After hype-heavy cycles, Presto expects Bitcoin to reach $160K as tokenization and institutional crypto accelerate.

    Crypto analytics platform Presto Research this week published its 2026 outlook, projecting Bitcoin (BTC) at $160,000, tokenized assets nearing $490 billion, and confidential decentralized finance (DeFi) climbing past $10 billion as crypto shifts deeper into institutional finance.

    The report argued that after a messy but formative 2025, the market is shedding hype-driven growth in favor of cash flow, regulation-ready products, and infrastructure built for large allocators rather than retail mania.

    Institutional Maturation to Drive New Highs

    In the comprehensive year-ahead report, Presto’s analysts projected that the total value of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) and stablecoins will approach half a trillion dollars by the end of 2026.

    They see this growth propelled by continued demand for U.S. Treasury bills and credit instruments on blockchain networks, alongside the steady rise of stablecoins for global payments. This trend highlights a shift from speculative trading to practical financial utility.

    Central to their price outlook is a $160,000 target for Bitcoin. This projection relies on a framework evaluating the cryptocurrency’s on-chain adoption rate against potential investor caution surrounding future quantum computing challenges.

    The experts applied what they call a “30% quantum haircut” to account for investor uncertainty around the need for future-proof encryption upgrades.

    “When a risk that was once a vague, distant ‘someday’ suddenly gets pulled forward in the collective conversation, investor psychology can shift,” the report cautioned, pointing to quantum readiness as a new variable in valuation.

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    Separately, the market watchers forecasted a major advance for private financial activity on blockchain, forecasting confidential DeFi tools to grow to hold $10 billion in assets as regulatory and institutional demand for discretion increases.

    Underlying the Predictions: A Market Growing Up

    Presto’s review of 2025 highlighted a year of contradictions: landmark policy wins like the passing of the GENIUS Act and major public listings were offset by tight monetary policy that limited broad price gains.

    The firm noted that while fundamentals like protocol revenue became a central talking point, market performance often ignored them, instead favoring narrative and liquidity dynamics.

    This environment, Presto’s analysts argued, is set to evolve. Their expectation for 2026 is that financialization will deepen, with traditional finance giants expanding crypto custody and trading services. Furthermore, they estimated that the rise of AI agents capable of executing microtransactions, facilitated by protocols like Coinbase’s x402, could potentially generate well over 300 million transactions monthly, turning experimental demos into functional businesses.

    A final, telling projection is that “median altcoin funding rate ≤ 0% becomes a norm.” This shift from perpetual optimism to a default cost for holding most speculative tokens would be a profound change. “Funding is finally pricing in reality,” the report concluded, suggesting a harsh but necessary reckoning for assets without sustainable demand.

    According to Presto, these combined forces point to a market slowly outgrowing its volatile past, where measurable value creation and risk management will start to outweigh pure speculation in the new year.

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    Wayne Jones

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  • America’s RWA Tokenization Drive Could See $100T on Ethereum Rails

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    America is coming on-chain, and it is using Ethereum as its ledger, said Ryan Sean Adams from Bankless on Thursday.

    “In the coming decades, I believe Ethereum could become the root of trust for $100 trillion in American capital markets,” he added.

    He said that America’s real-world asset tokenization drive could see as much as $120 trillion in stocks, bonds, and exchange-traded products go on-chain in a “multi-decade transformation.”

    “In short, tokenization has been mostly illegal in the U.S. through 2024, but not only has it become legal in 2025, it’s now being pushed by the U.S. government in an effort to modernize U.S. markets. Wall Street and FinTechs are incented to make this happen.”

    RWA Onchain Value at ATH

    With the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency and US treasuries as the world’s reserve asset, Ethereum will become the world’s ledger, he said.

    Ethereum’s total value locked growth is looking like early 2021, he said in a separate post.

    According to DeFiLlama, the Ethereum ecosystem TVL is currently $94 billion, which isn’t far from its 2021 peak of $108 billion. Over the past three months, it has surged 57%.

    Ethereum is “the fastest growing economy ever,” observed ‘Milk Road,’ adding that it clears more value than Visa, has more dollars circulating than PayPal, and institutions are stacking it as a major treasury asset.

    “Ethereum is no longer just a blockchain. It’s a digital economy scaling faster than anything we’ve seen before.”

    Real-world asset value on-chain hit an all-time high this week of $29 billion, excluding stablecoins and $307 billion including them, according to RWA.xyz.

    More than 75% of this total value is tokenized on Ethereum, layer-2 networks, and EVM (Ethereum virtual machine) protocols.

    Additionally, a recent Bloomberg report indicated that BlackRock was planning to tokenize its ETFs. It did not mention Ethereum directly, but it could be the chosen network since the firm’s tokenized money-market fund (BUIDL) was launched on it.

    Ether Price Outlook

    ETH prices tapped a two-week high of $4,530 during early Asian trading on Friday morning. The asset is now up 2.8% on the day and is just 8.5% away from its all-time high.

    Some analysts still expect a big September correction, but Ether has remained largely sideways for the past month as support above $4,200 solidifies.

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    Martin Young

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  • XRP Ledger Hits Record RWA Market Cap as Big Players Join the Blockchain Boom

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    The blockchain behind the XRP cryptocurrency – XRPL – finished the second quarter of 2025 at a record RWA market cap of $131.6 million. Messari’s data revealed that the growth was fueled by newly issued assets announced at XRPL Apex in Singapore.

    Some of the most important additions included Ondo’s OUSG tokenized treasury fund, Guggenheim’s digital commercial paper, and Ctrl Alt’s tokenized real estate.

    XRP Ledger Sees Mixed Quarter

    The surge in real-world assets on XRPL set the stage for broader network activity, but despite these high-profile launches, daily engagement metrics highlighted a contrasting slowdown.

    In the second quarter, most network metrics showed declines, but the notable exception was total addresses, which grew 4% quarter-on-quarter from 6.3 million to 6.5 million. Average daily active addresses fell sharply by 41.2% to 75,200, while total new addresses dropped 46.2% to 305,800, as the network witnessed a reduced engagement from both new and existing users.

    Despite this quarterly slowdown, year-over-year figures remain strong, with average daily active addresses up 165.5% and new addresses increasing 219.8%. Average daily transactions on the network also declined 20% in Q2, recording 1.6 million.

    The stablecoin metrics, on the other hand, stayed strong. At the end of Q2, RLUSD, Ripple’s USD-backed stablecoin, reached a market cap of $65.9 million on the XRPL. This figure represented more than a 49% increase quarter-on-quarter as RLUSD cemented its position as the largest stablecoin on the network.

    Other launches during the same period included Circle’s USDC, Braza Group’s USDB, Schuman Financial’s EURØP, and StratsX’s XSGD, which has expanded the XRPL stablecoin ecosystem.

    Meanwhile, NFT activity on the network staged a strong recovery in Q2 as daily average total transactions climbed 226.9% from 15,400 to 50,400. The primary driver was a tenfold jump in NFT minting, which rose from 3,400 to 37,800 per day, while other NFT transaction types remained mostly unchanged.

    Interestingly, NFTokenMint reemerged as the dominant transaction type after a quieter Q1 2025, similar to its surge in Q4 2024. By quarter-end, the XLS-20 standard accounted for nearly 13.5 million minted NFTs, including 3.4 million from Q2 2023, 1.8 million from Q4 2024, and 3.4 million from Q4 2023.

    XRP’s Jaw-Dropping Upside Potential

    Its native token, XRP, fell below the crucial level of $3 after a minor slump of 1.51% over the past day. Despite the setback, a new regression model has sparked speculation that the altcoin could one day reach $200.

    Analyst EGRAG CRYPTO applied a linear regression on a logarithmic scale, noting an R-squared value of 0.84754, which indicated strong historical correlation. The model outlines three potential outcomes: $18, $27, or a dramatic $200 overshoot, depending on XRP’s interaction with its historical price channel.

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    Chayanika Deka

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  • Toyota Explores Blockchain to Digitize Vehicle Ownership

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    The blockchain has gained popularity as it introduced cross-border transactions and the creation of borderless networks, which have become increasingly prominent in the real-world assets (RWAs) space. However, in this asset class, specifically mobility, it cannot be simplified and removed from boundaries created by commercial practices, regulations, and institutional frameworks.

    Toyota’s Blockchain Lab, the R&D arm of the carmaker, has been busy exploring the blockchain and its potential applications in its vehicles, potentially overcoming traditional hurdles such as registration, insurance, and maintenance, among others, by creating a verifiable “Trust Chain” that represents multi-party relationships on-chain.

    Current-Day Obstacles

    They proposed a concept called the Mobility-Oriented Account (MOA) last year, to understand this framework from the perspective of the connection between the user and mobility. The initiative aimed to describe mobility as an “abstract account,” but it also exposed that the notion could not completely capture the complex relationships involved in it.

    Their most recent paper is a continuation of the research from a different point of view. MOA attempted to outline mobility from an individual entity, whereas the current goal is to describe it with the network in mind. We can already grasp mobility as part of a network, given the complex relationships that encapsulate it.

    Source: Toyota Blockchain Lab

    Mobility is currently being reimagined, no longer just a means of transport, but rather a valuable asset that generates value. The rise of electric and autonomous vehicles is peaking global interest in the value of mobility, and how it can be uncoupled from its traditional roots. Three structural gaps prevent any attempts at making this possible.

    One is organizational, where vehicle registration records and operational information are kept by governments and corporations, which restricts initial valuation and assessment. Then there is the industrial sector, where no open and interoperable network exists between entities within the ecosystem—finally, the national gap, where registration, tax, and insurance records are not unified under a single certificate.

    The Mobility Orchestration Network (MON)

    This new concept is a protocol-layer blockchain architecture designed to orchestrate trust and unlock the value of mobility assets across organizational, industrial, and national boundaries. It combines three on-chain verified proofs, or Trust Chains, as a single one cannot fully outline mobility asset value.

    • Institutional Proof: Vehicle title/registration, insurance compliance, to establish legality

    • Technical Proof: VIN, manufacturing data, sensor integrity, to ensure it’s fit for purpose

    • Economic Proof: Usage metrics, maintenance, and revenue history, to attest to economic value

    This is how the MON concept addresses the organizational gap. The introduction of Trust across sectors is addressing the industrial gap, connecting them seamlessly, which, in itself, reinforces the value of mobility. We can think of it as a catalyst, with its primary role being to orchestrate the many networks that work together.

    Source: Toyota Blockchain Lab

    The goal for the final, national gap is to enable global circulation of value without making any changes to the already existing local ecosystems. A key point here is that MON is designed as a protocol rather than a single platform, allowing different systems to be integrated seamlessly across borders.

    Real-World Implementation

    So far, it has been outlined how Trust Chains can help define the on-chain identity of a mobility asset. MOA functions as a container for it, holding the proofs it carries, but to grasp different types of information, it’s split into two distinct accounts.

    • T‑MOA (Trust-side): Holds finalized institutional and economic proofs

    • U‑MOA (Utility-side): Manages real-time operational verifications (e.g., driver credentials, vehicle status)

    Additionally, a tokenization framework must be present, enabling a gradual transition from non-fungible mobility ownership (via NFTs) to fungible financial assets. This reflects its evolving nature—from ownership to liquidity.

    How It Looks As A Prototype

    MON employs a multi-chain approach, utilizing Avalanche as its foundational layer, and deploys separate chains for Trust (MON), Capital (tokenized assets), Utility (mobility operations), and Stablecoin networks—all interconnected via Avalanche’s Interchain Messaging (ICM) system.

    Source: Toyota Blockchain Lab

    The ICM is the infrastructure that ensures complete and secure communication across different blockchain networks. Some prominent protocols are integrated into the intricate network, including IBC from Cosmos and CCIP from Chainlink.

    A separate structure called the Trust Gateway acts as the off-chain bridge to on-chain trust. Several mechanisms are involved, including Verifiable Credentials, Decentralized Oracles, Trusted Intermediaries, and others.

    Source: Toyota Blockchain Lab
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    Dimitar Popov

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