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Tag: pmi

  • U.S. economy growing only at a subdued rate in early November, S&P Global says

    U.S. economy growing only at a subdued rate in early November, S&P Global says

    The numbers: The U.S. economy expanded but at a relatively subdued pace in early November, latest data from S&P Global show.

    The S&P Global “flash” U.S. services index rose to 50.8 in November from 50.6 in the prior month, the highest level in four months. Economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal had forecast a reading of 50.2.

    On the…

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  • U.S. economy running close to 2% growth rate in second quarter, S&P says

    U.S. economy running close to 2% growth rate in second quarter, S&P says

    This version corrects the manufacturing PMI data which fell to a six-month low of 46.3 in June from 48.4 in the prior month.

    The numbers: The S&P Global “flash” U.S. service sector activity index fell to a 54.1 in June from 54.9 in the prior month, a two-month low. 

    Economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal has forecast a reading of 53.3.

    The S&P Global “flash” U.S. manufacturing sector index, meanwhile, slid to a six-month low of 46.3 from 48.4 in May. Economists had expected a 49 reading. 

    Readings above 50 signifies expansion; below that, contraction.

    Key details: In the services sector, new orders increased at a strong rate in June. The pace of expansion was close to May’s 13-month high.

    On the other hand, manufacturers recorded the fastest rate of contraction in new orders since last December. They linked the drop to muted consumer confidence. Foreign client demand was also subdued.

    Inflation was seen as moderating. The overall rate of selling prices for goods and services dropped to the lowest level since late 2020.

    Big picture: The S&P PMIs try to look ahead at the health of the economy, a critical question with even Federal Reserve officials saying that the outlook for the U.S. is hidden in a fog.

    A composite output index from S&P showed the fifth straight month of increases in private sector activity.

    What S&P Global said: “The overall rate of expansion of business activity in the
    US remained robust in June, consistent with GDP rising at a rate of 1.7% to put second quarter growth in the region of 2%,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global.

    Market reaction: Stocks
    DJIA,
    -0.65%

    SPX,
    -0.77%

    opened lower on Friday on talk of more interest rate hikes from global central banks. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.741%

    fell to 3.72%.

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  • Chicago business activity index less negative in April

    Chicago business activity index less negative in April

    The Chicago Business Barometer, also known as the Chicago PMI, rose 4.8 index points to 48.6 in April.

    Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal forecast a decline to a 43.8 reading. 

    This is the eighth straight reading below the 50 threshold that indicates contraction territory.

    The index is produced by the ISM-Chicago with MNI. It is released to subscribers three minutes before its release to the public at 9:45 am Eastern. It is the last of the regional manufacturing indices before the national ISM data for April is released on Monday.

    So far, the regional data suggest a modest improvement this month in the manufacturing ISM. In March, the ISM factory index fell to 46.3% from 47.7% in the prior month. It was the fourth month in contraction territory.

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  • U.S. economy improved in early April, S&P Global says

    U.S. economy improved in early April, S&P Global says

    The numbers: An early reading of the U.S. economy in April from S&P Global showed that business activity has escaped the doldrums after struggling over the fall and winter months.

    The S&P Global U.S. service sector purchasing managers index rose to 53.7 in April from 52.6 in the prior month. This is a 12-month high.

    The flash U.S. manufacturing…

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