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Tag: Oracle Corp.

  • TikTok secures its future in the U.S. with agreement for new joint venture

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    TikTok has finalized a deal with Oracle and two other investors that will allow the popular social video platform to continue its business in the U.S.

    The deal, expected to close on Jan. 22, will be 50% held by a new investor consortium that includes tech giant Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX, a technology fund in the United Arab Emirates, with each holding 15%. TikTok parent ByteDance will own 19.9% of the U.S.-based joint venture, while affiliates of existing ByteDance investors will hold 30.1%, TikTok said in a memo to employees.

    “With these agreements in place, our focus must stay where it’s always been — firmly on delivering for our users, creators, businesses and the global TikTok community,” TikTok Chief Executive Shou Zi Chew wrote in his memo.

    The deal removes a shadow that was cast over the future of TikTok, which has become one of the world’s most dominant social media platforms and has a large presence in Culver City.

    The company’s business in the U.S. had been uncertain for many years amid security concerns among legislators about ByteDance’s ties to China. ByteDance had been under pressure to divest its ownership in the app’s U.S. operations or face a nationwide ban after Congress passed a law that went into effect in January.

    President Trump — who years ago led the push to ban TikTok from the U.S. — has allowed TikTok to keep operating in the country and in September signed an executive order outlining the new joint venture.

    The venture, which would oversee U.S. data protection, algorithm security, content moderation and software assurance, would be governed by a seven-member board that is majority American, Chew said in his memo. Oracle will be the security partner responsible for “auditing and validating compliance with the agreed upon National Security Terms,” Chew wrote.

    Oracle Executive Chairman Larry Ellison and his family also are leading an effort to buy Warner Bros. Discovery.

    Oracle did not return a request for comment.

    Shares in the Texas-based cloud provider jumped on Friday following a period of investor unease over the AI market. Oracle’s share price closed Friday at $191.97, up 7%.

    Silver Lake declined to comment. The White House on Thursday referred questions about the deal back to TikTok. In September, Trump said that Chinese President Xi Jinping had approved the deal.

    “These safeguards would protect the American people from the misuse of their data and the influence of a foreign adversary, while also allowing the millions of American viewers, creators, and businesses that rely on the TikTok application to continue using it,” Trump stated in his executive order.

    The announcement will also come as a relief to creators and businesses that rely on TikTok to entertain and reach fans and customers.

    “I hope it just stays true to the platform and the independence we get from it,” said Yasmine Sahid, who posts comedy videos on TikTok and has 2.4 million followers. “I hope we’re still able to monetize our videos the same way, because without that, I think a lot of people would leave or feel uninspired.”

    Many TikTok creators are based in Southern California, close to TikTok’s office in Culver City. Over the years when TikTok’s future appeared uncertain, some of those creators diversified, posting their content to other platforms such as YouTube and Instagram.

    “It’s a smart way to avoid ownership and data issues,” Ray Wang, principal analyst at Constellation Research, said of the deal.

    If finalized, the deal would remove a persistent issue in Beijing-Washington relations and signal progress in broader talks. But it would also deprive China’s most valuable private company of total control of an American social media phenomenon.

    ByteDance’s coveted algorithms are considered central to TikTok’s business. Under the deal proposed by Washington, ByteDance will license its artificial intelligence recommendation technology to a newly created U.S. TikTok entity, which will use the algorithm to retrain a new system that is secured by Oracle, according to Bloomberg. The algorithm will be retrained on U.S. user data by the U.S. joint venture, according to TikTok.

    Some industry observers questioned whether the deal addresses the larger concerns surrounding TikTok in the law Congress passed.

    “While these executive orders positively have allowed the platform to operate and maintain the venue for speech, they do not resolve the underlying concerns about the law, which could be applied to other platforms in the future and raise questions about executive power,” Jennifer Huddleston,
    a senior fellow in tech policy at Cato Institute, said in a statement.

    “Just because TikTok remains available under such orders does not mean that the policy concerns about the underlying law have been resolved,” she wrote.

    Bloomberg contributed to this report.

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    Wendy Lee, Katerina Portela

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  • Bubble fears ease but investors still waiting for AI to live up to its promise

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    Fears about the artificial intelligence boom turning into an overblown bubble have diminished for now, thanks to a stellar earnings report from Nvidia that illustrated why its indispensable chips transformed it into the world’s most valuable company.

    But that doesn’t mean the specter of an AI bubble won’t return in the months and years ahead as Big Tech gears up to spend trillions of dollars more on a technology the industry’s leaders believe will determine the winners and losers during the next wave of innovation.

    For now, at least, Nvidia has eased worries that the AI craze propelling the stock market and much of the economy for the past year is on the verge of a massive collapse.

    If anything, Nvidia’s quarterly report indicated that AI spending is picking up even more momentum. The highlights, released late Wednesday, included quarterly revenue of $57 billion, a 62% increase from the same time last year. That sales growth was an acceleration from the 56% increase in year-over-year revenue from the May-July quarter.

    What’s more, Nvidia forecast revenue of $65 billion for the current quarter covering November-January, which would be a 65% year-over-year increase.

    Given Nvidia’s forecasts, “it is very hard to see how this stock does not keep moving higher from here,” according to analysts at UBS led by Timothy Arcuri. The UBS analyst also said the “AI infrastructure tide is still rising so fast that all boats will be lifted.”

    Nvidia’s numbers are viewed through a window that extends far beyond the Santa Clara, California, company’s headquarters because its products are needed by a wide range of companies — including Big Tech peers like Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta Platforms — to build data centers that are becoming known as AI factories.

    “AI spending isn’t just holding up, it’s accelerating. That’s exactly what the market needed to see,” said Jake Behan, head of capital markets for investment firm Direxion.

    The numbers initially lifted Nvidia’s stock price by as much as 5% in Thursday’s trading, while other tech stocks tied to the AI spending frenzy also got a boost. But Nvidia’s shares and other tech stocks reversed course later in the session as investors found other issues besides AI, such as the government’s latest jobs report and the future direction of interest rates.

    Even with a 3% drop in its stock price amid the broader market decline, Nvidia remains valued at $4.4 trillion, more than 10 times its valuation three years ago when OpenAI released its ChatGPT chatbot, triggering the biggest technological shift since Apple released the iPhone in 2007.

    Nvidia’s rapid rise has turned its CEO Jensen Huang into the chief evangelist for the AI revolution and he sought to use his bully pulpit during a late Wednesday conference call with industry analysts to make a case that the spending to make technology with humanlike intelligence is just beginning.

    “There’s been a lot of talk about an AI bubble. From our vantage point, we see something very different,” Huang insisted while celebrating “depth and breadth” of Nvidia’s growth.

    Huang is hardly a lone voice in the wilderness. A recent report from Gartner Inc. estimates that worldwide spending on AI will rise to more than $2 trillion next year, a 37% increase from the nearly $1.5 trillion that the research firm expects to be spent this year.

    But it remains to be seen if all that money pouring into AI will actually produce all the profits and productivity that proponents have been promising. That leaves the question unanswered if all the real spending that’s happening will be worth it.

    The most recent survey of global fund managers by Bank of America showed a record percentage of investors saying companies are “overinvesting.”

    Big Tech is already so profitable that many of the most successful finance their spending sprees with their ongoing stream of revenue and cash hoards in their bank accounts. But some companies, such as Meta Platforms and Oracle, are relying more heavily on debt to fund their AI ambitions — a strategy that has raised enough alarms among investors that their stock prices have plunged more dramatically than their peers in recent weeks.

    Both Meta and Oracle have suffered more than 20% declines in their stock prices since late October.

    But other Big Tech powerhouses leading the way in AI remain just behind Nvidia and iPhone maker Apple in the rankings of the most valuable companies. Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon boast market values currently ranging from $2.3 trillion to $3.6 trillion.

    “It is true that valuations are high and that there is some froth in the market, however, the spending on AI is real,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for money manager Northlight Asset Management. “Whether or not the spending turns out to be overdone won’t be known for many years.”

    AP Business Writer Stan Choe in New York contributed to this story.

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  • Anthropic, Microsoft announce new AI data center projects as industry’s construction push continues

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    Artificial intelligence company Anthropic announced a $50 billion investment in computing infrastructure on Wednesday that will include new data centers in Texas and New York.

    Microsoft also on Wednesday announced a new data center under construction in Atlanta, Georgia, describing it as connected to another in Wisconsin to form a “massive supercomputer” running on hundreds of thousands of Nvidia chips to power AI technology.

    The latest deals show that the tech industry is moving forward on huge spending to build energy-hungry AI infrastructure, despite lingering financial concerns about a bubble, environmental considerations and the political effects of fast-rising electricity bills in the communities where the massive buildings are constructed.

    Anthropic, maker of the chatbot Claude, said it is working with London-based Fluidstack to build the new computing facilities to power its AI systems. It didn’t disclose their exact locations or what source of electricity they will need.

    Another company, cryptocurrency mining data center developer TeraWulf, has previously revealed it was working with Fluidstack on Google-backed data center projects in Texas and New York, on the shore of Lake Ontario. TeraWulf declined comment Wednesday.

    A report last month from TD Cowen said that the leading cloud computing providers leased a “staggering” amount of U.S. data center capacity in the third fiscal quarter of this year, amounting to more than 7.4 gigawatts of energy, more than all of last year combined.

    Oracle was securing the most capacity during that time, much of it supporting AI workloads for Anthropic’s chief rival OpenAI, maker of ChatGPT. Google was second and Fluidstack came in third, ahead of Meta, Amazon, CoreWeave and Microsoft.

    Anthropic said its projects will create about 800 permanent jobs and 2,400 construction jobs. It said in a statement that the “scale of this investment is necessary to meet the growing demand for Claude from hundreds of thousands of businesses while keeping our research at the frontier.”

    Microsoft has branded its two-story Atlanta data center as Fairwater 2 and said it will be connected across a “high-speed network” with the original Fairwater complex being built south of Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The company said the facility’s densely packed Nvidia chips will help power Microsoft’s own AI technology, along with OpenAI’s and other AI developers.

    Microsoft was, until earlier this year, OpenAI’s exclusive cloud computing provider before the two companies amended their partnership. OpenAI has since announced more than $1 trillion in infrastructure obligations, much of it tied to its Stargate project with partners Oracle and SoftBank. Microsoft, in turn, spent nearly $35 billion in the July-September quarter on capital expenditures to support its AI and cloud demand, nearly half of that on computer chips.

    Anthropic has made its own computing partnerships with Amazon and, more recently, Google.

    The tech industry’s big spending on computing infrastructure for AI startups that aren’t yet profitable has fueled concerns about an AI investment bubble.

    Investors have closely watched a series of circular deals over recent months between AI developers and the companies building the costly chips and data centers needed to power their AI products. Anthropic said it will continue to “prioritize cost-effective, capital-efficient approaches” to scaling up its business.

    OpenAI had to backtrack last week after its chief financial officer, Sarah Friar, made comments at a tech conference suggesting the U.S. government could help in financing chips needed for data centers. The White House’s top AI official, David Sacks, responded on social media platform X that there “will be no federal bailout for AI” and if one of the leading companies fails, “others will take its place,” though he also added he didn’t think “anyone was actually asking for a bailout.”

    OpenAI CEO Sam Altman later confirmed in a lengthy statement that “we do not have or want government guarantees” for the company’s data centers and also sought to address concerns about whether it will be able to pay for all the infrastructure it has signed up for.

    “We are looking at commitments of about $1.4 trillion over the next 8 years,” Altman wrote. “Obviously this requires continued revenue growth, and each doubling is a lot of work! But we are feeling good about our prospects there.”

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  • OpenAI and Amazon sign $38 billion deal for AI computing power

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    SEATTLE (AP) — OpenAI and Amazon have signed a $38 billion deal that enables the ChatGPT maker to run its artificial intelligence systems on Amazon’s data centers in the U.S.

    OpenAI will be able to power its AI tools using “hundreds of thousands” of Nvidia’s specialized AI chips through Amazon Web Services as part of the deal announced Monday.

    Amazon shares increased 4% after the announcement.

    The agreement comes less than a week after OpenAI altered its partnership with its longtime backer Microsoft, which until early this year was the startup’s exclusive cloud computing provider.

    California and Delaware regulators also last week allowed San Francisco-based OpenAI, which was founded as a nonprofit, to move forward on its plan to form a new business structure to more easily raise capital and make a profit.

    “The rapid advancement of AI technology has created unprecedented demand for computing power,” Amazon said in a statement Monday. It said OpenAI “will immediately start utilizing AWS compute as part of this partnership, with all capacity targeted to be deployed before the end of 2026, and the ability to expand further into 2027 and beyond.”

    AI requires huge amounts of energy and computing power and OpenAI has long signaled that it needs more capacity, both to develop new AI systems and keep existing products like ChatGPT answering the questions of its hundreds of millions of users. It’s recently made more than $1 trillion worth of financial obligations in spending for AI infrastructure, including data center projects with Oracle and SoftBank and semiconductor supply deals with chipmakers Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom.

    Some of the deals have raised investor concerns about their “circular” nature, since OpenAI doesn’t make a profit and can’t yet afford to pay for the infrastructure that its cloud backers are providing on the expectations of future returns on their investments. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman last week dismissed doubters he says have aired “breathless concern” about the deals.

    “Revenue is growing steeply. We are taking a forward bet that it’s going to continue to grow,” Altman said on a podcast where he appeared with Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella.

    Amazon is already the primary cloud provider to AI startup Anthropic, an OpenAI rival that makes the Claude chatbot.

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  • Oracle settles suit over tracking your data. How to file a claim

    Oracle settles suit over tracking your data. How to file a claim

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    NEW YORK (AP) — Tech behemoth Oracle has agreed to settle a class action lawsuit for $115 million over allegations that it tracked consumer activity both on and offline.

    The suit alleges Oracle captured, compiled, and sold individuals’ data to third parties without their consent. Oracle maintains its practices were lawful, that it disclosed its activities, and it admitted no wrongdoing.

    Under the class action settlement, Oracle will pay $115 million to establish a settlement fund, and anyone residing in the United States from August 19, 2018 to the present who was affected may be eligible to file a claim. The fund will also cover up to $28.75 million for attorneys fees and other costs. All valid claimants will receive the same amount of money, which is dependent on how many people file.

    If you browsed the web, used geolocation services, or made in-store purchases electronically during the six-year period addressed in the settlement, you may be eligible. Allegedly, Oracle Advertising improperly collected personal data from these activities and subsequently sold or made that data available to third parties. The company allegedly did so using Oracle Advertising products including ID Graph and Data Marketplace.

    “All natural persons residing in the United States whose personal information, or data derived from their personal information, was acquired, captured, or otherwise collected by Oracle Advertising technologies or made available for use or sale by or through ID Graph, Data Marketplace, or any other Oracle Advertising product or service from August 19, 2018 to the date of final judgment in the Action” are eligible, according to the settlement website.

    The court will decide whether to approve the proposed settlement at a hearing on November 14, 2024.

    Claims may be filed online on the official settlement website or by mail. Claims must be filed by October 17, 2024.

    Shares of Oracle Corp, based in Austin, Texas, rose slightly on Friday.

    _____

    “The Associated Press receives support from Charles Schwab Foundation for educational and explanatory reporting to improve financial literacy. The independent foundation is separate from Charles Schwab and Co. Inc. The AP is solely responsible for its journalism.”

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Moving past sticky core inflation

    CNBC Daily Open: Moving past sticky core inflation

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    Prices are displayed in a store window in Brooklyn on August 14, 2024 in New York City. 

    Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Stubborn core inflation
    Prices in the U.S. rose 0.2% in August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported, in line with the Dow Jones consensus. The 12-month inflation rate was at 2.5%, the lowest since February 2021. However, core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, ticked up 0.3%, 10 basis points higher than expected.

    Rebound rally
    Major U.S. indexes closed higher in a choppy session on Wednesday, lifted by technology stocks. Asia-Pacific markets were trading higher on Thursday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped 3.43% and the Taiwan Weighted Index rose 3%. Chip-related Asian stocks including Tokyo Electron, Advantest and TSMC rose, tracking the rally in U.S. technology stocks.

    UBS CEO sees soft landing
    Sergio Ermotti, Group CEO of UBS Group AG, told CNBC that investors expecting the Fed to cut rates aggressively are getting “ahead of the curve.” Sticky inflation remains the “most important” issue, he added – August’s core CPI surprised to the upside. However, Ermotti still sees “the outlook [as] pretty consistent with a soft landing.”

    Harris or Trump? Little difference for China
    Regardless of who wins the U.S. Presidential elections, the country’s trade ties with China will remain tense, said Carlos Casanova, senior economist at Swiss private bank UBP. Donald Trump has proposed tariffs of up to 100%, while Kamala Harris is expected to stick with Joe Biden’s tariff policy that not only retained Trump-era tariffs but also escalated them.

    [PRO] Opportunities for semiconductor stocks
    Semiconductor stocks have been the market’s darling this year and are responsible for pushing the S&P 500 to consecutive fresh highs. However, since July, they’ve had wild swings. Still, with some chip stocks being undervalued, they appear to be good buys amid this volatility, said analysts.

    The bottom line

    On the surface, Wednesday looked like a great day for investors.

    The S&P 500 climbed 1.07%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.31% and the Nasdaq Composite shot up 2.17%.

    However, those numbers are hiding turmoil under their pretty facades.

    The S&P dropped around 1% during trading but eventually managed to claw back losses and close more than 1% higher by the end of the day. It’s the first time the broad-based index has done so since October 2022.

    The consumer price index for August precipitated the initial fall. Core inflation, to which the Fed pays more attention because it more accurately reflects price movements, came in a bit higher than expected for the month.

    Core inflation was higher than the headline number because food and energy prices are stripped out from the former. And both were mild for the month: Food prices were only 0.1% higher, suggesting no pets need to be eaten, while energy costs fell 0.8%.

    Still, that data means the Fed’s unlikely to make a jumbo-sized 50-basis-point cut. Disappointment translated into stocks dropping.

    Even with inflation remaining difficult to tame, it doesn’t mean consumers are worse off. Real earnings rose 0.2% for the month, showed a separate Bureau of Labor Statistics report, which means the rise in income outstripped price increases.

    That might have helped the intraday rebound in the S&P.

    As for the Nasdaq, it was buoyed by technology stocks, which experienced a huge bounce from the previous days’ falls. Nvidia popped 8%, probably on news the U.S. might let the chipmaker sell advanced chips to Saudi Arabia, according to Reuters.

    But there might be more choppiness ahead in markets. The U.S. government is, once again, close to a shutdown because of politicking over government funding. It’s almost like the U.S. House of Representatives has no concept of a plan.  

    – CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Pia Singh and Lisa Kailai Han contributed to this story.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Looking past sticky core inflation

    CNBC Daily Open: Looking past sticky core inflation

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    Prices are displayed in a store window in Brooklyn on August 14, 2024 in New York City. 

    Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Stubborn core inflation
    Prices in the U.S. rose 0.2% in August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported, in line with the Dow Jones consensus. The 12-month inflation rate was at 2.5%, the lowest since February 2021. However, core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, ticked up 0.3%, 10 basis points higher than expected.

    Choppy trading
    Major U.S. indexes closed higher in a choppy session on Wednesday, lifted by technology stocks. The regional Stoxx 600 index ended the day flat following volatile trading. Country-specific indexes were mixed, however. Germany’s DAX added 0.35% while France’s CAC 40 lost 0.14%.

    Oracle shares jump
    Oracle’s shares have surged by double-digit percentages following its earnings reports so far this year. After Oracle popped 11% on Tuesday, the company’s share prices are up 49% year to date, second only to Nvidia’s 136%. “After 13 years of single-digit organic total revenue growth, Oracle is reaccelerating into the double digits,” said JMP analysts.

    Buffett sells more BofA
    Berkshire Hathaway isn’t done selling Bank of America shares. Warren Buffett’s conglomerate sold 5.8 million BofA shares on Friday, Monday and Tuesday, netting around $228.7 million for them. BofA dropped to Berkshire’s third-biggest holding, having long occupied the second spot.

    [PRO] Nothing to short here
    Bank stocks fell on Tuesday on fears of a slowdown in the sector. However, Steve Eisman, senior portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, said he was not worried about the health of banks — or the economy, for that matter. And when the person who spotted the weakness in subprime mortgage loans speaks, it’s good to listen to him.

    The bottom line

    On the surface, Wednesday looked like a great day for investors.

    The S&P 500 climbed 1.07%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.31% and the Nasdaq Composite shot up 2.17%.

    However, those numbers are hiding turmoil under their pretty facades.

    The S&P dropped around 1% during trading but eventually managed to claw back losses and close more than 1% higher by the end of the day. It’s the first time the broad-based index has done so since October 2022.

    The consumer price index for August precipitated the initial fall. Core inflation, to which the Fed pays more attention because it more accurately reflects price movements, came in a bit higher than expected for the month.

    Core inflation was higher than the headline number because food and energy prices are stripped out from the former. And both were mild for the month: Food prices were only 0.1% higher, suggesting no pets need to be eaten, while energy costs fell 0.8%.

    Still, that data means the Fed’s unlikely to make a jumbo-sized 50-basis-point cut. Disappointment translated into stocks dropping.

    Even with inflation remaining difficult to tame, it doesn’t mean consumers are worse off. Real earnings rose 0.2% for the month, showed a separate Bureau of Labor Statistics report, which means the rise in income outstripped price increases.

    That might have helped the intraday rebound in the S&P.

    As for the Nasdaq, it was buoyed by technology stocks, which experienced a huge bounce from the previous days’ falls. Nvidia popped 8%, probably on news the U.S. might let the chipmaker sell advanced chips to Saudi Arabia, according to Reuters.

    But there might be more choppiness ahead in markets. The U.S. government is, once again, close to a shutdown because of politicking over government funding. It’s almost like the U.S. House of Representatives has no concept of a plan.  

    – CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Pia Singh and Lisa Kailai Han contributed to this story.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Lower rates might hurt banks

    CNBC Daily Open: Lower rates might hurt banks

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    JP Morgan headquarters at Canary Wharf financial district at the heart of Canary Wharf financial district on 6th February 2024 in London, United Kingdom. 

    Mike Kemp | In Pictures | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Unsteady markets
    U.S. markets were mixed on Tuesday. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose, buoyed by Oracle’s 10% surge, while the Dow slipped. Asia-Pacific stocks fell Wednesday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 lost around 1.4%, extending its seven-day losing streak. The Japanese yen strengthened to 141.17 against the U.S. dollar, its highest this year.

    First Harris-Trump debate
    In their first face-to-face meeting, Vice President Kamala Harris met former President Donald Trump for their first — and perhaps only – presidential debate. On the economic front, both candidates clashed over tariffs, fracking and China policy. After the debate, Taylor Swift endorsed Harris on Instagram, and signed off her post as “Childless Cat Lady.”

    Tough environment for European companies
    China’s environment for businesses is so thorny that European companies have grown discouraged with operating in the country, according to the EU Chamber of Commerce. If European companies were to invest in China further, Beijing must act on its pledges to improve the business conditions, the chamber’s paper wrote.

    Big price reports
    The U.S. consumer price index for August comes out later today, while the producer price index, which measures prices at the wholesale level, will be released a day later. They’re the last major economic data the Federal Reserve will receive — and hence influence its decision on the size of cuts — before its meeting next week.

    [PRO] U.S.-listed global stocks
    With the outlook for the U.S. economy looking uncertain, investors can turn their attention to global companies. At the same time, investors may want to stick with the safety of the U.S. stock market. CNBC Pro looked for companies headquartered overseas, but listed in the U.S. – and may experience over 100% upside, according to analysts.

    The bottom line

    Everyone loves lower interest rates.

    As rates fall, borrowing becomes cheaper. For the consumer, that’s most felt in areas like housing; for companies, it tends to boost spending on expansion and investment.

    Those acts trigger a virtuous cycle of spending, boosting consumption and growth, which in turns increases employment. The economy loves lower rates too and swells up.

    There’s one industry, however, that generally enjoys higher interest rates: banking.

    One way banks make money is through the net interest income. That’s the difference between the interest rate they charge on loans and the rate they offer on savings. As rates rise, banks can raise the former, which is a revenue source, while keeping the latter, a cost, low.

    With rate cuts looming on the horizon, however, that age of abundance is coming to an end for big banks.

    JPMorgan poured cold water on the market’s expectation of around $90 billion for NII in 2025. That number “is not very reasonable” because the Fed will cut rates, said JPMorgan President Daniel Pinto.

    If the biggest bank in the U.S. thinks it can’t keep loan rates high, it’s hard to imagine smaller banks can maintain juicy NII of the previous years.

    Investors didn’t take JPMorgan’s caution warmly. Its shares lost around 5% and weighed down the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which declined 0.23%.

    On the other hand, the S&P 500 rose 0.45% and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.84%.

    With rate cuts on the horizon, banks might experience a dip in NII revenue — but many are likely to see revenue and sentiment rise.

    – CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Pia Singh and Brian Evans contributed to this story.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Banks might not love lower rates unconditionally

    CNBC Daily Open: Banks might not love lower rates unconditionally

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    JPMorgan signage outside a Chase bank branch in New York, US, on Thursday, Jan. 12, 2023. 

    Stephanie Keith | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Clawing back losses
    U.S. markets were
    mixed on Tuesday. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose, buoyed by Oracle’s 10% surge and technology stocks recouping some losses, while the Dow slipped. Europe’s Stoxx 600 index lost 0.54%, with autos dropping 3.8% as supplier Continental fell 10.5% and BMW plunged 11.15%.

    Big price reports
    The U.S. consumer price index for August comes out later today, while the producer price index, which measures prices at the wholesale level, will be released a day later. They’re the last major economic data the Federal Reserve will receive — and hence influence its decision on the size of cuts — before its meeting next week.

    Endgame for Basel regulations
    The Basel Endgame regulation, introduced in July 2023, was meant to increase capital requirements for big banks by around 19%. On Tuesday, however, a Federal Reserve official announced that regulatory institutions have agreed to resubmit the proposal, reducing the increase in capital requirement to just 9%.

    Risk of stagflation
    Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, said stagflation is a possibility for the U.S. The government’s budget deficit and high spending on infrastructure works are inflationary forces, he said. Separately, JPMorgan shares fell 5.19% after the bank’s president Daniel Pinto lowered expectations for next year’s net interest income.

    [PRO] Underwhelming Apple Intelligence
    Apple announced new iPhones yesterday. But Wall Street was more focused on the company’s artificial intelligence offerings, given their potential to start an iPhone-upgrade cycle and establish a new source of revenue. Unfortunately, analysts came away underwhelmed.

    The bottom line

    Everyone loves lower interest rates.

    As rates fall, borrowing becomes cheaper. For the consumer, that’s most felt in areas like housing; for companies, it tends to boost spending on expansion and investment.

    Those acts trigger a virtuous cycle of spending, boosting consumption and growth, which in turns increases employment. The economy loves lower rates too and swells up.

    There’s one industry, however, that generally enjoys higher interest rates: banking.

    One way banks make money is through the net interest income. That’s the difference between the interest rate they charge on loans and the rate they offer on savings. As rates rise, banks can raise the former, which is a revenue source, while keeping the latter, a cost, low.

    With rate cuts looming on the horizon, however, that age of abundance is coming to an end for big banks.

    JPMorgan poured cold water on the market’s expectation of around $90 billion for NII in 2025. That number “is not very reasonable” because the Fed will cut rates, said JPMorgan President Daniel Pinto.

    If the biggest bank in the U.S. thinks it can’t keep loan rates high, it’s hard to imagine smaller banks can maintain juicy NII of the previous years.

    Investors didn’t take JPMorgan’s caution warmly. Its shares lost around 5% and weighed down the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which declined 0.23%.

    On the other hand, the S&P 500 rose 0.45% and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.84%.

    With rate cuts on the horizon, banks might experience a dip in NII revenue — but many are likely to see revenue and sentiment rise.

    – CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Pia Singh and Brian Evans contributed to this story.

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  • Why a Wall Street downgrade of Costco is not a reason to sell the stock

    Why a Wall Street downgrade of Costco is not a reason to sell the stock

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  • Here are the three most important things to watch in the market this week

    Here are the three most important things to watch in the market this week

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    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on September 05, 2024 in New York City.

    Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

    It was a rough start to the historically weak month of September on Wall Street. Economic growth concerns and investor trepidation ahead of Tuesday’s presidential debate and the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting later in the month sank the market.

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  • Oracle warns that a TikTok ban would hurt business

    Oracle warns that a TikTok ban would hurt business

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    Oracle CEO Safra Catz, center, departs following a meeting on Capitol Hill in Washington on June 18, 2024. Chief executives from major companies including Palantir Technologies and Oracle Corp. met with senators at the Capitol Tuesday to press for US support of Israel amid its invasion of Gaza, while seeking a way to release hostages held by Hamas.

    Graeme Sloan | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    A U.S. ban of TikTok might hurt Oracle‘s business, the software company acknowledged in its annual report on Monday.

    In April, President Joe Biden signed a bill demanding that China’s ByteDance sell TikTok in nine months, or one year if an extension is approved, if the short-video company wants to avoid a ban in the U.S. TikTok’s ownership structure has long been a source of tension in the U.S. due to concerns about user data making its way to China.

    Oracle provides cloud infrastructure for TikTok, which has over 150 million users in the U.S.

    “If we are unable to provide those services to TikTok, and if we cannot redeploy that capacity in a timely manner, our revenues and profits would be adversely impacted,” Oracle said in its annual report for the fiscal year ended May 31.

    Concern over TikTok and its Chinese ownership dates back to 2020, when Donald Trump, who was then president, pushed for a sale or divestiture of the U.S. assets. That pressure prompted deal talks with Microsoft. Weeks later, Oracle announced that it was part of ByteDance’s proposal to the U.S. Treasury Department to provide cloud services that could help TikTok remain available in the U.S.

    TikTok moved forward with an initiative called Project Texas, designed to keep TikTok services for U.S. users running on Oracle cloud infrastructure located inside the country. TikTok said Oracle would also be responsible for compiling the app and delivering it to third-party app stores.

    “The one thing I can tell you is we have an excellent relationship with the folks at TikTok,” Oracle CEO Safra Catz said on a 2022 conference call with analysts.

    Following the bipartisan legislation this year targeted at TikTok, and Biden’s signing of the bill mandating its sale, TikTok filed a lawsuit arguing that the law violates First Amendment free speech protections.

    Real estate investor Frank McCourt and former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin have expressed interest in buying TikTok, but no deal has materialized.

    Oracle hasn’t disclosed details of its financial ties to TikTok. Evercore analysts estimated in April that if TikTok is generating sales of $16 billion in the U.S. annually, it could be spending 3% to 5% as a percentage of revenue on cloud infrastructure, which would work out to $480 million to $800 million. Oracle’s cloud infrastructure revenue for the fiscal year came to $6.9 billion.

    TikTok didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

    WATCH: Investors want to see a sale of TikTok, says Carnegie’s Peter Harrell

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  • Nvidia crushes sky-high expectations and charts continued AI-driven dominance for years to come

    Nvidia crushes sky-high expectations and charts continued AI-driven dominance for years to come

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    Jensen Huang, co-founder and chief executive officer of Nvidia Corp., during the Nvidia GPU Technology Conference (GTC) in San Jose, California, US, on Tuesday, March 19, 2024. 

    David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    In what was the most anticipated quarter this earnings season, Nvidia far outpaced lofty expectations on the top and bottom lines. Even better was a big revenue guide and a broader vision from CEO Jensen Huang that reinforced the notion that companies and countries are partnering with the AI chip powerhouse to shift $1 trillion worth of traditional data centers to accelerated computing.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Sticky inflation muddies water for Fed

    CNBC Daily Open: Sticky inflation muddies water for Fed

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    A man shops for fruit at a grocery store on February 01, 2023 in New York City.

    Leonardo Munoz | Corbis News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Stocks rally
    Wall Street
    closed higher on Tuesday with the S&P 500 hitting a fresh record, up 1.1%. The blue-chip Dow gained over 200 points, while the Nasdaq added 1.5% as U.S. inflation data came in mildly higher than expected in February. 

    Record shareholder payouts
    Shareholder payouts hit a record $1.7 trillion last year, according to a new report by British asset manager Janus Henderson. Nearly half of the world’s total dividend growth came from the banking sector, which delivered record payouts as rising borrowing costs lifted lenders’ margins, the report found. 

    Boeing crisis hurt airlines
    CEOs from several airlines say Boeing’s delivery delays have forced the carriers to change their growth plans. Boeing’s crisis has deepened since a door plug blew out midflight from an Alaska Airlines Max 9 in January. Southwest Airlines, Alaska Airlines and United, are some of the top buyers of Boeing’s aircraft that have been impacted by its problems.

    Citadel on rate cuts
    Inflation tailwinds remain and the Fed shouldn’t cut rates too quickly, says Citadel founder and CEO Ken Griffin. “If I’m them, I don’t want to cut too quickly,” he noted, adding that it will be “more devastating” if they have to change direction after initially cutting rates. “I think they are going to be a bit slower than what people were expecting two months ago in cutting rates.”

    [PRO] Buy or sell Nivida?
    Nvidia’s stock has surged over 200% in 2023 alone, powered by the global AI frenzy. Is it time to take profit or should investors stay the course? Experts who currently hold the chip giant’s stock share their insights.   

     

    The bottom line

    Once again, inflation came in hot for a second straight month.   

    February’s consumer prices data was a touch better than January’s troubling inflation print. 

    Still, core inflation — which excludes food and energy — was stronger than expected, up 0.4% last month, which reflects lingering stickiness in price pressures.

    Investors don’t expect that latest data to move the needle on the Fed cutting rates in June. That could be why markets have had a more muted reaction to the news.

    “We have the numbers we have and this wasn’t great news for the Fed but markets don’t see it as a big threat to rate cuts later in the year,” Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist at Charles Schwab, said on X.

    Yet, the hot print poses a problem for the Fed and muddies the water for its deliberations on the coming rate cuts.

    “The long-term disinflation trajectory probably has not changed, but the path to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target will be choppy,” noted LPL Financial chief economist Jeffrey Roach. “Expect to see markets struggle with what this means for Fed policy.”

    There is a lot riding for Wall Street when the central bank meets next week. Investors’ main focus will be on whether the Fed will continue to pencil in three rates for this year or will officials decide to change course.

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  • Oracle Stock Falls After Earnings Report Disappoints

    Oracle Stock Falls After Earnings Report Disappoints

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    Oracle shares were heading sharply lower in late trading Monday after the enterprise software giant posted November quarter financial results that fell short of both the company’s own guidance and consensus Street estimates.

    Continue reading this article with a Barron’s subscription.

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  • Meta and Microsoft say they will buy AMD's new AI chip as an alternative to Nvidia

    Meta and Microsoft say they will buy AMD's new AI chip as an alternative to Nvidia

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    Lisa Su displays an AMD Instinct MI300 chip as she delivers a keynote address at CES 2023 in Las Vegas, Nevada, Jan. 4, 2023

    David Becker | Getty Images

    Meta, OpenAI, and Microsoft said at an AMD investor event on Wednesday they will use AMD’s newest AI chip, the Instinct MI300X. It’s the biggest sign so far that technology companies are searching for alternatives to the expensive Nvidia graphics processors which have been essential for creating and deploying artificial intelligence programs like OpenAI’s ChatGPT.

    If AMD’s latest high-end chip is good enough for the technology companies and cloud service providers building and serving AI models when it starts shipping early next year, it could lower costs for developing AI models, and put competitive pressure on Nvidia’s surging AI chip sales growth.

    “All of the interest is in big iron and big GPUs for the cloud,” AMD CEO Lisa Su said on Wednesday.

    AMD says the MI300X is based on a new architecture, which often leads to significant performance gains. Its most distinctive feature is that it has 192GB of a cutting-edge, high-performance type of memory known as HBM3, which transfers data faster and can fit larger AI models.

    At an event for analysts on Wednesday, CEO Lisa Su directly compared its Instinct MI300X and the systems built with it to Nvidia’s main AI GPU, the H100.

    “What this performance does is it just directly translates into a better user experience,” Su said. “When you ask a model something, you’d like it to come back faster, especially as responses get more complicated.”

    The main question facing AMD is whether companies that have been building on Nvidia will invest the time and money to add another GPU supplier. “It takes work to adopt AMD,” Su said.

    AMD on Wednesday told investors and partners that it had improved its software suite called ROCm to compete with Nvidia’s industry standard CUDA software, addressing a key shortcoming that had been one of the primary reasons why AI developers currently prefer Nvidia.

    Price will also be important — AMD didn’t reveal pricing for the MI300X on Wednesday, but Nvidia’s can cost around $40,000 for one chip, and Su told reporters that AMD’s chip would have to cost less to purchase and operate than Nvidia in order to convince customers to buy it.

    Who says they’ll the MI300X?

    AMD MI300X accelerator for artificial intelligence.

    On Wednesday, AMD said it had already signed up some of of the companies most hungry for GPUs to use the chip. Meta and Microsoft were the two largest purchasers of Nvidia H100 GPUs in 2023, according to a recent report from research firm Omidia.

    Meta said that it will use Instinct MI300X GPUs for AI inference workloads like processing AI stickers, image editing, and operating its assistant. Microsoft’s CTO Kevin Scott said it would offer access to MI300X chips through its Azure web service. Oracle‘s cloud will also use the chips.

    OpenAI said it would support AMD GPUs in one of its software products called Triton, which isn’t a big large language model like GPT, but is used in AI research to access chip features.

    AMD isn’t yet forecasting massive sales for the chip yet, only projecting about $2 billion in total data center GPU revenue in 2024. Nvidia reported over $14 billion in data center sales in the most recent quarter alone, although that metric includes other chips beside GPUs.

    However, AMD says that the total market for AI GPUs could climb to $400 billion over the next four years, doubling the company’s previous projection, showing how high expectations and how coveted high-end AI chips have become — and why the company is now focusing investor attention on the product line. Su also suggested to reporters that AMD doesn’t think that it needs to beat Nvidia to do well in the market.

    “I think it’s clear to say that Nvidia has to be the vast majority of that right now,” Su told reporters, referring to the AI chip market. “We believe it could be $400-billion-plus in 2027. And we could get a nice piece of that.”

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  • These 10 stocks saw double-digit gains and outperformed November's strong market

    These 10 stocks saw double-digit gains and outperformed November's strong market

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    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on Nov. 1, 2023.

    Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

     November was a stellar month for Club stocks.

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  • Nvidia’s revenue triples as AI chip boom continues

    Nvidia’s revenue triples as AI chip boom continues

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    Nvidia shares moved down 1% in extended trading on Tuesday after the chipmaker reported fiscal third-quarter results that surpassed Wall Street’s predictions. But the company called for a negative impact in the next quarter because of export restrictions affecting sales to organizations in China and other countries.

    “We expect that our sales to these destinations will decline significantly in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, though we believe the decline will be more than offset by strong growth in other regions,” Nvidia’s finance chief, Colette Kress, said in a letter to shareholders.

    On a conference call with analysts, Kress said Nvidia is working with some clients in the Middle East and China to obtain U.S. government licenses for sales of high-performance products. Nvidia is trying to develop new data center products that comply with government policies and don’t require licenses, but Kress said she didn’t think they would be meaningful in the fiscal fourth quarter.

    Here’s how the company did, compared to the consensus among analysts surveyed by LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv:

    • Earnings: $4.02 per share, adjusted, vs. $3.37 per share expected
    • Revenue: $18.12 billion, vs. $16.18 billion expected

    Nvidia’s revenue grew 206% year over year during the quarter ending Oct. 29, according to a statement. Net income, at $9.24 billion, or $3.71 per share, was up from $680 million, or 27 cents per share, in the same quarter a year ago.

    The company’s data center revenue totaled $14.51 billion, up 279% and more than the StreetAccount consensus of $12.97 billion. Half of the data center revenue came from cloud infrastructure providers such as Amazon, and the other from consumer internet entities and large companies, Nvidia said.

    Healthy uptake came from clouds that specialize in renting out GPUs to clients, Kress said on the call.

    The gaming segment contributed $2.86 billion, up 81% and higher than the $2.68 billion StreetAccount consensus.

    With respect to guidance, Nvidia called for $20 billion in revenue for the fiscal fourth quarter. That implies nearly 231% revenue growth.

    During the quarter, Nvidia announced the GH200 GPU, which has more memory than the current H100 and an additional Arm processor onboard. The H100 is expensive and in demand. Nvidia said Australia-based Iris Energy, an owner of bitcoin mining data centers, was buying 248 H100s for $10 million, which works out to about $40,000 each.

    Computing instances based on the GH GPUs are coming soon to Oracle’s cloud, Kress said on the call.

    As recently as two years ago, sales of GPUs for playing video games on PCs were the largest source of Nvidia’s revenue. Now the company gets most revenue from deployments inside server farms.

    The introduction of the ChatGPT chatbot from Microsoft-backed startup OpenAI in 2022 caused many companies to look for ways to add similar generative artificial intelligence capabilities to their software. Demand for Nvidia’s GPUs strengthened as a result.

    Nvidia faces obstacles, including competition from AMD and lower revenue because of export restrictions that can limit sales of its GPUs in China. But ahead of Tuesday report, some analysts were nevertheless optimistic.

    “GPU demand continues to outpace supply as Gen AI adoption broadens across industry verticals,” Raymond James’ Srini Pajjuri and Jacob Silverman wrote in a note Monday to clients, with a “strong buy” recommendation on Nvidia stock. “We are not overly concerned about competition and expect NVDA to maintain >85% share in Gen AI accelerators even in 2024.”

    Nvidia is still working on its plan to grow supply throughout next year, Kress said on the call.

    Excluding the after-hours move, Nvidia stock has gone up 241% so far this year, vastly outperforming the S&P 500 index, which is up 18% over the same period.

    WATCH: The major risk to Nvidia earnings is its relationship with China, says Degas Wright

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  • Elon Musk’s X apocalyptic moment

    Elon Musk’s X apocalyptic moment

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    Is this the beginning of the end for X, the social-media site previously known as Twitter?

    In the last two days, major advertisers, ranging from IBM Corp. IBM, Apple Inc. AAPL, Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. LGF.A, Walt Disney Co. DIS, even the European Union, have pulled their ads from X, after Elon Musk appeared to endorse antisemitic conspiracy theories and because these big spenders weren’t thrilled with the algorithm’s product placement nestled alongside pro-Nazi posts.

    Earlier…

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  • Apple and Disney have paused advertising on X after Elon Musk promoted antisemitic tweet

    Apple and Disney have paused advertising on X after Elon Musk promoted antisemitic tweet

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    Apple CEO Tim Cook looks on following a conversation on mental health, during a spousal program on the last day of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Leaders’ Week at Apple Park in San Francisco, California, on November 17, 2023.

    Andrew Caballero-Reynolds | AFP | Getty Images

    Apple and Disney have paused online advertising campaigns on X (formerly Twitter), after owner Elon Musk said he agreed with a social media post accusing “Jewish communities” of pushing “hatred against whites,” according to a sources familiar with both companies’ moves.

    A Lions Gate Entertainment spokesperson also told CNBC that it would be suspending advertising on X.

    Apple’s move was first reported by Axios and Disney’s by the New York Times.

    The iPhone maker was singled out in a report published this week by the Media Matters for America nonprofit as one of a handful of big companies, including IBM, Bravo, Oracle and Infinity whose online X ads were displayed next “to content that touts Adolf Hitler and his Nazi Party.”

    An IBM spokesperson said Thursday that the tech giant would halt its online ad campaigns on X, explaining that the tech giant “has zero tolerance for hate speech and discrimination and we have immediately suspended all advertising on X while we investigate this entirely unacceptable situation.”

    A spokesperson for Comcast, which owns Bravo and Xfinity and is also the parent of CNBC, said yesterday that it’s investigating the situation. Apple and Oracle did not respond to requests for comment.

    A coalition of 163 Jewish leaders, activists and academics representing both major political parties also issued a statement this week in response to Musk’s recent behavior, calling on businesses like Disney, Apple and Amazon “to stop funding X through their ad spend.”

    The X Out Hate group originally urged those companies to suspend their online advertising campaigns on X in September, when Musk insinuated that he would file a defamation lawsuit against the Anti-Defamation League, alleging that the ADL was “trying to kill this platform by falsely accusing it & me of being anti-Semitic.”

    At the time, ADL CEO Jonathan Greenblatt, who also criticized Musk’s recent controversial X posts this week, dismissed the Tesla chief’s rhetoric as simply a “threat of a frivolous lawsuit.”

    “It has been two months since we originally put out our call for large advertisers like Apple, Google, Amazon, and Disney to stop funneling money onto X as antisemitism explodes on the platform,” the Jewish leaders said in their latest statement. “Nothing has changed. Except for the danger Jews are in.”

    Also on Friday, the White House publicly criticized Musk over the billionaire’s tweets. White House spokesman Andrew Bates said it was “unacceptable to repeat the hideous lie behind the most fatal act of Antisemitism in American history at any time.”

    Watch: IBM pauses advertising on X after Elon Musk receives backlash for antisemitic post.

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