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Tag: Opinion

  • Reflecting On The Genesis Block And Bitcoin On Its 14th Birthday

    Reflecting On The Genesis Block And Bitcoin On Its 14th Birthday

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    14 years ago today, Satoshi Nakamoto created the first block in the Bitcoin blockchain. Whether consciously or not, that move kickstarted an entire movement; one that keeps on breathing and expanding these many years afterwards. The singularity of Nakamoto’s creation has been put on display countless times since the Genesis block was mined, and today, more than ever, its purpose is becoming more clear and, fortunately or not, needed.

    Engraved in the Genesis block is Bitcoin’s raison d’être.

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  • Money Laundering & Corruption Risks in Latin America

    Money Laundering & Corruption Risks in Latin America

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    • Opinion by Lakshmi Kumar (washington dc)
    • Inter Press Service

    A 2020 leaked bulletin from the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) found that criminals were using “private placement funds including investments offered by private equity firms and hedge funds, to circumvent the anti-money laundering (AML) programs of other financial institutions and launder money.”

    The new Global Financial Integrity (GFI) report Private Investment Funds in Latin America: Money Laundering & Corruption Risks examines the money laundering risk factors associated with these private investment funds in Latin America.

    It analyzes the ring of actors and facilitators involved, the methods of contact used by perpetrators and the channels utilized to move illicit money. The report provides a series of case studies and analyzes AML regulation of private investment funds in four countries; Brazil, Mexico, Chile and Argentina.

    “Despite the scale of wealth under management, ‘family offices’ have little to no regulatory oversight in most parts of the world,” noted Tom Cardamone, President and CEO at GFI. “This is especially concerning given the close nexus between wealth and corruption in many parts of the world. The unregulated nature of these funds makes them a particularly useful vehicle to mask proceeds of corruption or money laundering.”

    Additionally, Private Investment Funds in Latin America uses a series of case studies to highlight how money laundering, corruption and organized crime risks exist in private investment funds in Latin America.

    The risk factors include a customer base often composed of wealthy individuals, including politically-exposed persons; a close relationship between fund managers and their clients (i.e. investors); the use of shell companies and trusts to manage investments; outsourcing operations and risk management; weak transparency around source of wealth and source of funds; and investment structures which may include multiple accounts in different jurisdictions, including secrecy and tax havens, with funds moving through a concentration account.

    GFI in this report offers the following key recommendations:

      • The Brazilian government, which has the largest assets under management in the region, should be the first to adopt AML regulations that will address future risks when they arise. As well as regulators pay closer attention to family office architecture and undertake a risk assessment of the sector
      • Latin American authorities should look to regulate intermediaries and enabler professions for AML/CFT due diligence as they are critical in allowing illicit money to move through the financial system within the region but also to be invested in private investment funds overseas.
      • The United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Malta, and other countries within the EU should conduct a robust money laundering risk assessment of their private investment fund sectors.
      • Latin American law enforcement authorities involved in corruption, drug trafficking, and organized crime investigations should be provided training on the complexities of private investment funds and the manner in which they can be used to hide illicit assets.

    Global Financial Integrity is a Washington, D.C.-based think tank, producing high-caliber analyses of illicit financial flows, advising developing country governments on effective policy solutions and promoting pragmatic transparency measures in the financial system to promote global development and security.

    IPS UN Bureau


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    © Inter Press Service (2023) — All Rights ReservedOriginal source: Inter Press Service

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  • 2022 Paved The Way For National Bitcoin Adoption, And 2023 Will Be Even Bigger

    2022 Paved The Way For National Bitcoin Adoption, And 2023 Will Be Even Bigger

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    This is an opinion editorial by Samson Mow, CEO of JAN3 and former CSO of Blockstream.

    Approximately one year ago, I had the opportunity to speak at Feel The Bit in El Salvador alongside President Bukele. During the event, we announced the Bitcoin Volcano Bonds, while President Bukele made a significant announcement of his own: the creation of Bitcoin City. By legally recognizing bitcoin as tender and establishing Bitcoin City, President Bukele took a bold step toward nationwide adoption. This decision has helped to accelerate the timeline for bitcoin becoming a recognized currency on a national level.

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  • Digitizing Africa: Key to Stronger Institutions

    Digitizing Africa: Key to Stronger Institutions

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    Good governance and strong institutions enhance a country’s ability to mobilize domestic resources through revenue collection. Credit: UN-OSAA
    • Opinion by Kavazeua Katjomuise (united nations)
    • Inter Press Service
    • The writer is a Senior Economic Affairs Officer and leader of the Policy Analysis and Coordination team in the UN Office of the Special Adviser on Africa (UN – OSAA).

    The concerns of my young brothers and sister resonated with me, as I could not help but reflect on how COVID-19 exposed cracks in Africa’s fragile revenue institutions and contributed to widening the financing gap for the region’s development.

    Weak institutions, especially revenue collection and customs authorities, are a challenge in Africa, which loses billions in potential tax revenue, including through tax avoidance and evasion, especially by multinational companies.

    UNCTAD’s Economic Development Report 2020 says Africa lost $88.6 billion through illicit financial flows in 2019.

    This undermines efforts to mobilize domestic resources to finance the continent’s development as outlined in the United Nation’s 2030 Agenda and African Union Agenda 2063, which both recognize the primacy of strong and effective institutions in driving sustainable development.

    African countries fare poorly on domestic resource mobilization compared to other developing countries. The share of revenue to gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 averaged 16 per cent for Africa, compared to 35 per cent for Asia-Pacific, and 24 per cent for Latin American Countries. Africa’s Least Developed Countries fared even lower at 13.3 per cent.

    Governance influences tax revenue collection considerably in Africa. Good governance and strong institutions – measured through regulatory quality, the enforcement of the rule of law, strong institutional capacity and lower corruption – enhance a country’s ability to mobilize domestic resources through revenue collection.

    However, corruption erodes tax compliance. Citizens in countries with high corruption are reluctant to pay taxes because of the perception that resources will be misused.

    Empirical evidence shows that countries with a low Corruption Perception Index (CPI) score collected 4.3 per cent more in tax revenue to GDP than those with a high CPI score (2).

    Addressing governance issues and improving transparency in the use of public resources is vital to building trust and generating increased domestic resources. Efforts should be geared at supporting African countries to strengthen governance and tackle corruption.

    Digitization

    Technological improvements and digitization could be leveraged to improve scale and efficiency and prevent corruption through increased transparency.

    The pace toward digitization on the continent has quickened in recent years, particularly in the wake of COVID-19. Before the pandemic, Africa recorded progress toward digitization, albeit driven by the private sector mainly through incubators, start-ups, technological hubs and data centres.

    Digitization is already transforming African economies in several ways, such as revolutionizing retail payment systems, thus allowing consumers and businesses to save billions in transaction costs, facilitating financial inclusion, and enhancing the efficiency of fiscal and revenue administration.

    For example, the launch of M-Shwari in Kenya increased access to financial services for millions who may otherwise have been excluded from the financial sector. Taking advantage of this trend, the Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA) introduced electronic banking in 2016 to expedite the payment of taxes through secure electronic payment.

    This, coupled with the launch of iTax, has enabled a single view of taxpayer information, allowing for real-time monitoring of revenue collection, thus improving the efficiency of payment to government suppliers and social protection grants.

    Digitization has also enabled developed countries to build effective and robust Digital Rights Management (DRM) systems, critical to ensuring Africa’s recovery from COVID-19.

    However, despite the widespread adoption of digital technologies across the world, the digital divide excludes many African countries from the benefits of digital technology.

    Digitizing tax administration in Africa has been relatively slow. An International Monetary Fund’s analysis (ISORA 2018: Understanding Revenue Administration) shows that, relative to other developing regions, African countries scored below the world average on almost all indices related to tax administration performance, especially on the degree of digitization.

    The average score for the degree of digitization was 29 per cent for Africa compared to 49 per cent and 46 per cent for Latin America and the Caribbean as well as East Asia Pacific, respectively.

    The COVID-19 pandemic contributed to an erosion of tax collection in Africa due to a lack of digitization, as countries could not fully work remotely. This underscores the urgency of investing in the digitalization of tax collection processes, paired with other digitization initiatives such as digital identification, digital finance, and electronic payment systems.

    Evidence shows that enhanced tax collection has followed the introduction of ICTs, including the computerization of tax and customs administration to support tax payments.

    Countries that have modernized and digitized tax revenue administration have benefited from increased revenue due to improved efficiency, reduced corruption through enhanced transparency, and increased tax compliance.

    For example, the introduction of electronic cash registers by the Ethiopia Revenue and Customs Authority increased Value Added Tax (VAT) collections by 32 per cent.

    Opportunity arises

    COVID-19 provides an opportunity for African governments to embrace digitization by leveraging information and communications technology (ICT) as well as mobile technology.

    Increased mobile penetration is an opportunity for African countries to digitize their fiscal and revenue administration. Development partners can support African countries in bolstering DRM systems by channeling substantial Official Development Assistance (ODA) towards strengthening capacities and institutions, including tax authorities, to improve tax collection.

    By digitizing fiscal and revenue collection institutions and modernizing customs systems, African countries can build robust systems and overcome the challenge of weak institutions.

    This would help enhance African countries’ ability to address tax evasion and avoidance, tackle money laundering and tax havens, and curtail Base Erosion and Profit Sharing (BEPS).

    Development partners and international organizations can increase support to Africa to strengthen its capacity for tax assessment, including through training, mentorship and coaching.

    Complementary measures are also necessary to enhance African countries’ capacity to enact and implement policies and legislation to tackle BEPS and transfer pricing, starting with a comprehensive review of all tax treaties, tax incentives, and trade and investment agreements to eliminate all loopholes for BEPS and other IFFs.

    This is central to de-risking Africa’s fiscal space for long-term sustainable development in the post-pandemic era.

    In conclusion, building strong institutions through digitizing key institutions, especially revenue authorities, is critical to boosting domestic resource mobilization systems.

    By digitizing fiscal and revenue collection institutions and modernizing customs systems, African countries can build robust DRM systems and overcome the challenge of weak institutions.

    Source: Africa Renewal, United Nations

    IPS UN Bureau


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    © Inter Press Service (2023) — All Rights ReservedOriginal source: Inter Press Service

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  • Living Another Year Dangerously

    Living Another Year Dangerously

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    • Opinion by Anis Chowdhury (sydney)
    • Inter Press Service

    No end to Covid-19

    The joy of the COVID vaccine discovery quickly vanished as the ‘vaccine apartheid‘ blatantly prioritised lives in rich nations, especially of the wealthy, over the ‘wretched of the earth’, and corporate profit triumphed over people’s lives. Meanwhile, Dr Anthony Fauci’s sober warning of a more dangerous COVID variant emerging this winter may come to be true as China, the country of 1.4 billion, struggles to deal with the surge in cases since it has largely abandoned its unpopular ‘zero COVID’ policy.

    New cold war turns into proxy war

    Whereas the global pandemic required extraordinary global unity, unfortunately, a ‘new cold war’ quickly turned into a ‘hot war’, bringing the world to the verge of a devastating nuclear war for the first time since the 1962 Cuban missile crisis. Russia, finding itself cornered by an expanding NATO, decided most foolishly to invade Ukraine, believing it could overrun the country without any resistance. While the heroic Ukrainians continue to defend their motherland, Russia seems to have become bogged down in a proxy war with NATO.

    If the proxy war with Russia was not enough, the US is recklessly provoking China towards another ‘hot war’, following Trump’s trade war. Clearly the monopoly capital of the US and its military-industrial complex are pushing the US to a ‘Thucydides Trap‘. More than 60 years ago, President Eisenhower, in his farewell address to the nation, warned about the military-industrial complex, a formidable union of defence contractors and the armed forces. Eisenhower, a retired five-star Army general, who led the allies on D-Day, saw the military-industrial complex as a threat to democratic government and global peace. Alas, his dire warning fell on deaf ears.

    Western hypocrisy exposed

    The Russian invasion of Ukraine exposed Western pretence. The Western mainstream media unashamedly declared the dislocation of Ukrainians intolerable because the victims are blue-eyed, blond-haired Europeans, not “uncivilized” third world inhabitants or “barbaric” Arabs. Western duplicity is nowhere as blatant as it is in the case of the Palestinian plight. To them, Russia’s occupation and annexation of parts of Ukraine is illegal; but Israel’s occupation and annexation of Palestinian land as well as gross human rights violations are justified on various professed grounds, e.g., right to protection from “terrorist acts”.

    Leadership vacuum

    The world now needs Eisenhower to resist the military-industrial complex; it needs Teddy Roosevelt to break monopoly capital’s stranglehold and to protect consumers, workers and the environment; it needs Franklin Roosevelt to promote multilateralism and social justice; it needs Kennedy to defuse crises. At the height of the ‘old cold war’, Kennedy ate humble pie by quietly removing the security threat to the USSR posed by offensive weapons (Jupiter MRBMs) deployed in Turkey, and publicly pledging that the US would never invade Cuba or attempt another Bay of Pigs operation. Eisenhower was magnanimous enough to bear the lion’s share of financing the USSR’s proposal for global efforts to eradicate smallpox – the leading cause of death and blindness then.

    Alas, we see no such signs in a world of Trump, Biden, Johnson, Marcon and Scholz. Even ‘out of touch‘, billionaire Sunak does not inspire any hope, despite being the first coloured person of colonial descent to occupy the 10 Downing Street. Sunak will probably try to prove himself holier than the Pope, instead of promoting the interest of former colonies or descendants of colonial subjects or downtrodden.

    No better leadership in the South

    The South is also devoid of visionaries, such as Nkrumah or Nehru who promoted non-alignment and Southern unity. Nehru’s land is now overtaken by Modi’s Hindutva movement, openly promoting violence against minorities. Unsurprisingly, Modi was in sync with Trump; but he equally cosies up to Biden professing to promote democracy and human rights. Sadly, Mandela’s South Africa is mired in scandal after scandal.

    Although many, including myself, eagerly looked forward to Lula’s victory in Brazil, neither his return to power nor the so-called ‘second pink tide’ in Latin America should make one overly joyous. The Left has demonstrated its propensity to fracture or implode easily, e.g., contributing to Correa’s defeat in Ecuador, or aiding the Right to strike back in Peru. In Colombia, Finance capital, mining giants and the elite have already ganged up on Petro’s vow to tackle inequality with tax and land reforms and his proposed ban on new oil and gas exploration. Chile’s Boric has faced setbacks including the rejection of a new constitution, forcing his concessions to the Centre-Right. Constitutional coup is a common strategy of the established vested interest.

    Some inspirations down under

    Down under, the Australians soundly defeated an increasingly autocratic and unaccountable conservative government in May. It was the government that implemented inhumane off-shore detention centres for people seeking to escape persecution and starvation in their own countries (about to be emulated by the UK Tory Govt.). It also was cruel enough to pursue vulnerable people on social security payments with a robotic program whilst cutting taxes for the wealthy and letting them evade tax. It was the government which created plumb jobs for the boys. It was the government which continued to deny climate science and refused to act.

    Finally, the Australians got rid of it. Labor showed extraordinary discipline in opposition, and in government, it stood up to big business and vested interests. It has quickly moved to put in place the processes to:

    • set up an independent anti-corruption body with real teeth;
    • recognise the voice of First Nations people;
    • respect human rights of asylum seekers languishing in detention centres;
    • address environmental degradation & achieve 43% emissions reduction target by 2030;
    • restore labour rights, fair and decent wages;
    • review RBA’s performance to ensure monetary policy serves broader national interest, not the finance; and
    • balance geo-political alliances.

    Its progressive agenda is quite long. Let me end here, wishing the Australian Labor Government success to inspire other nations – large and small, developed and developing; and with best wishes for you to be safe and remain healthy, even if not quite bright-eyed and bushy-tailed.

    IPS UN Bureau


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    © Inter Press Service (2023) — All Rights ReservedOriginal source: Inter Press Service

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  • The Themes That Will Define Bitcoin In 2023

    The Themes That Will Define Bitcoin In 2023

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    This is an opinion editorial by Stephan Livera, host of the “Stephan Livera Podcast” and managing director of Swan Bitcoin International.

    As the 2022 chapter closes, it’s time to turn our eyes to what’s coming in 2023. Here are some themes I’m seeing for Bitcoin in 2023.

    Regulatory Overreach

    The Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF) Travel Rule is forcing exchanges and bitcoin service providers to document and share ever-more information about customer transactions. We are seeing politicians such as Elizabeth Warren publicly go against Bitcoin, and even if her proposed digital asset AML act has no real chance of passing, it does foreshadow that there are future battles coming on this.

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  • In 2023, Bitcoin Will Enter The ‘And Then They Fight You’ Stage

    In 2023, Bitcoin Will Enter The ‘And Then They Fight You’ Stage

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    This is an opinion editorial by Mickey Koss, a West Point graduate with a degree in economics. He spent four years in the infantry before transitioning to the Finance Corps.

    “First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win” 

    Attributed to Mahatma Ghandi

    At the time of this writing, the U.S. Senate had just introduced the Digital Asset Anti-Money Laundering Act of 2022. The bill contains many threatening aspects, such as KYC laws for self-custody wallets and money-transmitter licensing requirements.

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  • The limit for 401(k) contributions will jump nearly 10% in 2023, but it’s not always a good idea to max out your retirement investments

    The limit for 401(k) contributions will jump nearly 10% in 2023, but it’s not always a good idea to max out your retirement investments

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    The federal government will allow you to save nearly 10% more for retirement in 2023. But it’s not likely that many will take advantage of the tax break. The simple reason: Most people don’t make enough money to save more from their paychecks. 

    The average amount that participants contribute is 7.3% of their salary, according to Vanguard’s How America Saves 2022 report. At that rate, you’d have to make more than $300,000 to hit the $22,500 maximum amount an employee can save in a workplace plan for 2023, up from $20,500 in 2022. To put it another way, to save the max, you’d have to put aside $1,875 per month, or $865 per paycheck if you’re paid biweekly.

    Only 14% of participants saved the maximum amount in 2020. 

    Few people will also likely take advantage of the increase in the catch-up contribution limit, which will allow those 50 and older to contribute an extra $7,500, up by $1,000 from 2022, for a total of $30,000. Vanguard’s report found that only 16% of those eligible participate, even though 98% of plans allow for catch-up contributions. 

    “The max numbers are very high. A lot of people don’t make that kind of money,” says Anqi Chen, assistant director of savings research at the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. 

    You might not need to max out

    Not everyone needs that kind of money put away for retirement. The key is to save over time to eventually be able to replace your current income in the future, supplemented by Social Security. If you’re making $60,000 now, it wouldn’t make sense to try to save more than a third of your yearly income just because the government says you can.

    “You don’t want to deprive yourself today or later on. You want to balance that over time, to be able to maintain the same standard of living in retirement,” says Chen. 

    The tried-and-true method to get people to contribute to retirement savings is a monetary incentive: matching funds. That “free money” on the table is at the base of every recommendation for how much workers should contribute. Give at least up to the match, everyone says. But almost all company retirement plans offer matching funds, and it hasn’t yet solved the retirement crisis facing most Americans who haven’t saved enough. 

    Trend in deferral rate changes

    Vanguard 2022

    If there’s a takeaway from the new IRS limits, it’s that pushing up the limits every year does help. Retirement contributions have been indexed for inflation since 2001 for good reason, because legislators recognized that the amount you need in the future is constantly going up.

    Ten years ago, the maximum for 401(k) contributions was $17,000 and going back 30 years to 1992, it was $8,728. In today’s dollars, that certainly wouldn’t be enough.

    At the same time, the government has to cap it somewhere to put a limit on tax deferral, so you can’t just shelter all your income from the IRS. 

    “These annual step-ups matter over time, because saving for retirement is a multidecade thing,” says David Stinnett, head of strategic retirement consulting for Vanguard.

    His advice for those who can’t max out, particularly younger workers, is to at least contribute up to the company match and then automatically escalate your savings rate over time to something in the rage of 12% to 15%. 

    It can be helpful to think of the amounts in dollar terms, rather than percentages.

    “By starting small and thinking of it as just ‘3 pennies per dollar’ earned and then adding ‘2 pennies per dollar’ each year going forward, you’ll get on track to those recommended savings rates in no time,” says Tom Armstrong, vice president of customer analytics and insight at Voya Financial.

    Escalating over time does seem to move the needle, according to Vanguard’s study, at least if you look at the rate of people coming to the table. The voluntary participation rate was only 66%, but the participation rate for automatic enrollment was 93%. 

    “What that does is make it easy to save more,” says Stinnett. 

    Related: This easy, free iPhone hack could be the most important estate planning move you make

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  • Bitcoin Can Free Puerto Rico

    Bitcoin Can Free Puerto Rico

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    This is an opinion editorial by Michael Markle, a member of the San Juan BitDevs meetup.

    Puerto Rico has seen it all, from currency devaluations, confiscation of wealth, natural disasters, colonizers and fights for independence, all in less than 100 years. Before that, Pedro Albizu Campos fought for Puerto Rico to have its own identity, its own independence and its own sovereignty.

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  • These 20 stocks were the biggest losers of 2022

    These 20 stocks were the biggest losers of 2022

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    This has been the year of reckoning for Big Tech stocks — even those of companies that have continued to grow sales by double digits.

    Below is a list of the 20 stocks in the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.72%

    that have declined the most in 2022.

    First, here’s how the 11 sectors of the benchmark index have performed this year:

    S&P 500 sector

    2022 price change

    Forward P/E

    Forward P/E as of Dec. 31, 2021

    Energy

    57.8%

    9.6

    11.1

    Utilities

    -0.5%

    18.8

    20.4

    Consumer Staples

    -2.7%

    20.9

    21.8

    Healthcare

    -3.2%

    17.4

    17.2

    Industrials

    -6.7%

    18.0

    20.8

    Financials

    -12.1%

    11.7

    14.6

    Materials

    -13.4%

    15.6

    16.6

    Real Estate

    -27.7%

    16.2

    24.2

    Information Technology

    -28.8%

    19.6

    28.1

    Consumer Discretionary

    -37.4%

    20.7

    33.2

    Communication Services

    -40.4%

    14.0

    20.8

    S&P 500

    -19.2%

    16.5

    21.4

    Source: FactSet

    The energy sector has been the only one to show a gain in 2022, and it has been a whopper, even as West Texas Intermediate crude oil
    CL.1,
    +0.41%

    has given up most of its gains from earlier in the year. Here’s why investors are still confident in the supply/demand setup for oil and energy stocks.

    Looking at the worst-performing sectors, you might wonder why the consumer discretionary and communication services sectors have fared worse than information-technology, the core tech sector. One reason is that S&P Dow Jones Indices can surprise investors with its sector choices. The consumer discretionary sector includes Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    +0.70%

    and Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    -1.17%
    ,
    which has fallen nearly 50% this year. The communications sector includes Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    -1.21%
    ,
    along with Match Group Inc.
    MTCH,
    +0.50%
    ,
    which is down 69% for 2022, and Netflix Inc.
    NFLX,
    -0.44%
    ,
    which is down 52% this year.

    There have been many reasons easy to cite for Big Tech’s decline, such as a questionable change in strategy for Facebook’s holding company, Meta, as CEO Mark Zuckerberg has put so much of the company’s resources into developing a new world that most people don’t wish to enter, at least yet. Meta’s shares were down 64% for 2022 through Dec. 29.

    You might also blame the Twitter-related antics and sales of Tesla shares by CEO Elon Musk for the 65% decline in the electric-vehicle maker’s stock this year. But Tesla had a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 120.3 at the end of 2021, while the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.72%

    traded for 21.4 times its weighted forward earnings estimate, according to FactSet. Those P/E ratios have now declined to 21.7 and 16.4, respectively. So Tesla no longer appears to be a very expensive stock, especially for a company that increased its vehicle deliveries by 42% in the third quarter from a year earlier.

    Analysts polled by FactSet expect Tesla’s stock to double during 2023. It nearly made this list of 20 EV stocks expected to rebound the most in 2023.

    The worst-performing S&P 500 stocks of 2022

    Here are the 20 stocks in the S&P 500 that fell the most for 2022 through the close on Dec. 29.

    Company

    Ticker

    2022 price change

    Forward P/E

    Forward P/E as of Dec. 32, 2021

    Generac Holdings Inc.

    GNRC,
    -0.84%
    -71.4%

    13.7

    30.2

    Match Group Inc.

    MTCH,
    +0.50%
    -68.9%

    20.1

    48.5

    Align Technology Inc.

    ALGN,
    -0.52%
    -67.7%

    27.4

    48.7

    Tesla Inc.

    TSLA,
    +0.70%
    -65.4%

    21.7

    120.3

    SVB Financial Group

    SIVB,
    -0.38%
    -65.4%

    10.8

    23.0

    Catalent Inc.

    CTLT,
    -0.40%
    -64.6%

    13.0

    32.5

    Meta Platforms Inc. Class A

    META,
    -1.21%
    -64.2%

    14.7

    23.5

    Signature Bank

    SBNY,
    -0.34%
    -64.1%

    6.2

    18.6

    PayPal Holdings Inc.

    PYPL,
    -0.01%
    -62.6%

    14.8

    36.0

    V.F. Corp.

    VFC,
    +0.15%
    -62.5%

    11.9

    20.4

    Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. Series A

    WBD,
    -1.64%
    -59.9%

    N/A

    7.5

    Carnival Corp.

    CCL,
    -0.23%
    -59.8%

    38.1

    N/A

    Stanley Black & Decker Inc.

    SWK,
    -0.42%
    -59.8%

    17.0

    15.9

    Lumen Technologies Inc.

    LUMN,
    -1.79%
    -57.8%

    7.7

    7.8

    Zebra Technologies Corp. Class A

    ZBRA,
    -0.44%
    -56.7%

    14.5

    30.1

    Dish Network Corp. Class A

    DISH,
    -0.96%
    -56.5%

    8.6

    10.9

    Caesars Entertainment Inc.

    CZR,
    +0.24%
    -55.7%

    51.4

    144.5

    Lincoln National Corp.

    LNC,
    +0.26%
    -55.1%

    3.4

    6.2

    Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

    AMD,
    -0.97%
    -55.0%

    17.8

    43.1

    Seagate Technology Holdings PLC

    STX,
    -0.55%
    -53.1%

    15.0

    12.4

    Source: FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more information about the companies.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Another way of measuring the biggest stock-market losers of 2022

    It is one thing to have a large decline based on the share price, but that doesn’t tell the entire story. How much of a decline have investors seen in the holdings of their shares during the year? The S&P 500’s total market capitalization declined to $31.66 trillion as of Dec. 28 (the most recent figure available) from $40.36 trillion at the end of 2021, according to FactSet.

    Shareholders of these companies have suffered the largest declines in market cap during 2022.

    Company

    Ticker

    2022 market capitalization change ($bil)

    2022 price change

    Apple Inc.

    AAPL,
    -0.63%
    -$851

    -27.0%

    Amazon.com Inc.

    AMZN,
    -1.17%
    -$832

    -49.5%

    Microsoft Corp.

    MSFT,
    -1.15%
    -$728

    -28.3%

    Tesla Inc.

    TSLA,
    +0.70%
    -$677

    -65.4%

    Meta Platforms Inc. Class A

    META,
    -1.21%
    -$465

    -64.2%

    Nvidia Corp.

    NVDA,
    -1.37%
    -$376

    -50.3%

    PayPal Holdings Inc.

    PYPL,
    -0.01%
    -$141

    -62.6%

    Netflix Inc.

    NFLX,
    -0.44%
    -$138

    -51.7%

    Walt Disney Co.

    DIS,
    -1.62%
    -$123

    -43.7%

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM,
    -0.96%
    -$118

    -47.8%

    Source: FactSet

    So there is your surprise for today: Apple is this year’s biggest stock-market loser.

    Don’t miss: Best stock picks for 2023: Here are Wall Street analysts’ most heavily favored choices

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  • Surprise! CDs are back in vogue with Treasurys and I-bonds as safe havens for your cash

    Surprise! CDs are back in vogue with Treasurys and I-bonds as safe havens for your cash

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    If there’s a silver lining to the current economic situation that features soaring inflation and falling stocks, it’s that savers can get more for their money.

    Even after just a few months of rising interest rates, you can find online savings accounts yielding more than 3%. But that might not be good enough anymore. 

    “Rather than being grateful for yield, that’s going to change quickly into turning your nose up at yield,” says Matt McKay, a certified financial planner and partner at Briaud Financial Advisors in College Station, Texas. 

    The Federal Reserve continued to raise rates through the end of 2022, and yields on savings products are now high enough that they look like a safe haven compared with a stock market that’s in the red this year.

    And that means certificates of deposits, or CDs, are back in the conversation — even if that comes with caveats.

    Advisers still favor Treasury bills and notes and Series I savings bonds for getting the best combination of low risk and high yield, but some are looking more seriously at CDs now. And for the everyday investor doing it on their own, CDs offer an additional boost beyond a savings account without much effort. 

    “It’s good for anyone if they have cash sitting around, if you can pick up something — CDs, T-bills, whatever — it’s good to get something,” says McKay. 

    Remember CDs? 

    If you’re under 50, you might never have invested in a CD and have no memory of how investors used to build ladders of different maturities as a cornerstone of their portfolio. 

    “With younger clients, nobody ever talks about CDs — never, never, never,” says Dennis Nolte, a certified financial planner and financial consultant at Seacoast Investment Services in Orlando, Fla.  

    For some, however, CDs never went out of style. These promissory notes from banks, which have been around in the U.S. since the 1800s, come in maturities generally from three months to five years, in exchange for interest at maturity.

    You’re locked into the time period or face surrender charges that vary, unless you choose a more flexible, lower-interest option. The laddering strategy consists of buying CDs at different maturities and then reinvesting as they each come due. 

    Over the past few years, CDs haven’t been worth it for most savers, who could get as much from a high-yield savings account without restrictions. The average five-year CD would have nabbed you nearly 12% in 1984, but now the average five-year rate is just 0.74%, according to Bankrate.com. Back in 1984, CDs were nearly 50% of deposits at FDIC-insured banks, with $1.24 trillion held in the first quarter of that year. In 2022, there’s nearly the same dollar amount, which amounts to just 6.3% of deposits.

    With rates rising, you can find better-than-average deals, closing in on 4% at some banks or brokerages. Many have a $1,000 minimum purchase, but you can find fractional offers for as little as $100. 

    CDs versus Treasurys and I-bonds

    Treasury bills and notes come in roughly the same maturities as CDs, and are yielding slightly more currently. They also have no state tax burden on gains. 

    You can buy directly at TreasuryDirect.gov, with a $100 minimum, but to sell, you have to transfer holdings to a brokerage. Or you can buy and sell through a brokerage, but your minimums may be $1,000. 

    For I-bonds, you can only buy directly at TreasuryDirect.gov, with a minimum of $25 and a maximum of $10,000 per person a year, with gifts allowed to others up to $10,000 per recipient. I-bonds are indexed for inflation, with rates that reset every six months, and today are yielding 6.89% through April 2023. The biggest caveat is that you are locked into one year, and then face a surrender penalty of three months of interest if you cash out before five years. 

    A strategy for today’s rising rates

    If you are chasing yield and have money you don’t need for a year, then I-bonds are the place for the first $10,000.

    “It makes sense to max out I-bonds before investing in CDs,” says Ken Tumin, founder of DepositAcccounts.com. 

    Just make sure you’re motivated enough to navigate a still-wonky website and keep track of the investment on your own, because it won’t align with any of your other accounts. McKay had a client who was eager to jump into I-bonds, and he was mad at first that McKay hadn’t recommended it. “But then he called to complain, saying this is terrible, it’s so difficult,” he says. 

    If you have funds beyond that for savings, consider Treasury bills or notes because the rates are higher, says Tumin. Then consider CDs. That’s what Nolte is doing with some clients, particularly older ones who have past experience with them.

    “Why not get something guaranteed? It’s maybe not keeping pace with inflation, but you’re not losing principal,” says Nolte. 

    CD rates move more slowly than other products, so even after the next rate hike, this strategy would still apply. But already Tumin sees investors ready to lock into long-term CDs, anticipating a recession and a drop in interest rates. If rates subsequently fall, and CDs lag, they would eventually end up with a price advantage over Treasury investments. Then people like McKay will be advising clients to buy in earnest.

    “That’s when CDs become most attractive — as soon as rates peak or there are cuts [in rates],” says McKay.

    Got a question about the mechanics of investing, how it fits into your overall financial plan and what strategies can help you make the most out of your money? You can write me at beth.pinsker@marketwatch.com

    More from MarketWatch

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  • Why A Bitcoin Ban In The EU Is Likely… And Stupid

    Why A Bitcoin Ban In The EU Is Likely… And Stupid

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    This is an opinion article by Guglielmo Cecero, the legal manager of European bitcoin investment app Relai, and Raphael Schoen, the content lead at Relai.

    Bitcoin is under attack. It is increasingly seen as a “dirty currency.” Elon Musk’s Tesla, Wikipedia, Greenpeace and other organizations have stopped accepting BTC for their products or as a means to donate money.

    Musk, who is not only one of the richest but also one of the most controversial people on this planet, has said: “Cryptocurrency is a good idea on many levels, and we believe it has a promising future, but this cannot come at great cost to the environment.” Ouch.

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    Guglielmo Cecero,Raphael Schön

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  • Even Without A Mining Subsidy, These Two Factors Will Protect Bitcoin Into The Future

    Even Without A Mining Subsidy, These Two Factors Will Protect Bitcoin Into The Future

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    This is an opinion editorial by Dillon Healy, a member of the institutional partnerships team at Bitcoin Magazine and The Bitcoin Conference.

    A topic that has received increased attention lately is the concern around Bitcoin’s future “security budget.”

    This mainly stems from the worry that miner revenue will not be enough to offer adequate security in the future, post block subsidy. Bitcoin miners play a crucial part in securing the network by proposing blocks of transactions which nodes then verify, accept and update to the Bitcoin ledger. Competing against other miners to propose this new block to the chain, miners use intense computing power to complete the proof-of-work consensus algorithm, and win the right to propose the new block.

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    Dillon Healy

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  • Debunking Bitcoin Misconceptions: It’s Not Stored Time, Energy Or Violence

    Debunking Bitcoin Misconceptions: It’s Not Stored Time, Energy Or Violence

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    This is an opinion editorial by Stephan Livera, host of the “Stephan Livera Podcast” and managing director of Swan Bitcoin International.

    There are metaphors and analogies for Bitcoin that you may have heard on podcasts or read from various articles or books — and this is not meant to criticize the entire practice of using metaphors or analogies to pique people’s interest in Bitcoin — but having a bad framework for understanding Bitcoin can cause errors in how we reason about it from there. If people take the metaphors too literally, they inevitably make mistakes in their reasoning about Bitcoin.

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    Stephan Livera

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  • These 20 energy stocks are worth a look if you think oil prices will soar in 2023

    These 20 energy stocks are worth a look if you think oil prices will soar in 2023

    [ad_1]

    Harris Kupperman, the president of Praetorian Capital, made a couple of interesting calls heading into 2022. He predicted that stocks of the giant tech-oriented companies that led the bull market would be sold off, and that oil prices would continue to rise through the end of 2022.

    The first prediction came true, while the second one for oil prices fizzled. After rising to $130 in March, oil prices have fallen back to where they started the year. Then again, that second prediction still could have made you a lot of money because the share prices of oil companies kept rising anyway.

    That leads to a new prediction for 2023 and a related stock screen below.

    Here’s a chart showing the movement of front-month contract prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil
    CL.1,
    -0.62%

    since the end of 2021:


    FactSet

    Even though Kupperman didn’t get his oil price call right, the energy sector of the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -1.20%

    was up 60% for 2022 through Dec. 27, excluding dividends. That is the only one of the 11 S&P 500 sectors to show a gain in 2022. And the energy sector is also cheapest relative to earnings expectations, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8, compared with 16.7 for the full S&P 500.

    WTI pulled back from its momentary peak at $130.50 in early March, but that didn’t reverse the long-term trend of low capital spending by oil and natural gas producers, which has given investors confidence that supplies will remain tight.

    Vicki Hollub, the CEO of Occidental Petroleum Corp.
    OXY,
    -3.50%

    the best-performing S&P 500 stock of 2022 — said during a recent interview that there was “no pressure to increase production right now,” citing a $40 per barrel break-even point for oil prices.

    Kupperman now expects strong demand and low supplies to push oil as high as $200 a barrel in 2023.

    At the end of November, these 20 oil companies stood out as reasonable plays for 2023 based on expectations for free-cash-flow generation and dividend payments.

    For this next screen, we are only looking at ratings and consensus price targets among analysts polled by FactSet.

    There are 23 energy stocks in the S&P 500, and you can invest in that group easily by purchasing shares of the Energy Select SPDR ETF
    XLE,
    -2.24%
    .
    We can expand the list of large-cap names by looking at the components of the iShares Global Energy ETF
    IXC,
    -1.91%
    ,
    which holds all the energy stocks in the S&P 500 plus large players based outside the U.S.

    The top five holdings of IXC are:

    Company

    Ticker

    Country

    % of portfolio

    Share “buy” ratings

    Dec. 27 price

    Price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Exxon Mobil Corp.

    XOM,
    -1.64%
    U.S.

    16.4%

    54%

    110.19

    118.89

    7.89%

    Chevron Corp.

    CVX,
    -1.48%
    U.S.

    11.5%

    54%

    179.63

    190.52

    6.06%

    Shell PLC

    SHEL,
    -0.70%
    U.K.

    7.8%

    83%

    23.67

    29.82

    25.99%

    TotalEnergies SE

    TTE,
    -1.40%
    France

    5.6%

    62%

    59.63

    64.40

    8.00%

    ConocoPhillips

    COP,
    -2.67%
    U.K.

    5.4%

    83%

    118.47

    140.84

    18.88%

    Source: FactSet

    Prices on the tables in this article are in local currencies.

    IXC holds 51 stocks. To expand the list for a stock screen, we added the energy stocks in the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index
    MID,
    -1.24%

    and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index
    SML,
    -1.89%

    to bring the list up to 91 companies, which we then pared to 83 covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet.

    Here are the 20 companies in the list with at least 75% “buy” or equivalent ratings that have the most upside potential over the next 12 months, based on consensus price targets:

    Company

    Ticker

    Country

    Share “buy” ratings

    Dec. 27 price

    Price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    EQT Corp.

    EQT,
    -7.82%
    U.S.

    83%

    36.34

    59.14

    63%

    Green Plains Inc.

    GPRE,
    -2.72%
    U.S.

    80%

    29.80

    43.40

    46%

    Cameco Corp.

    CCO,
    +0.33%
    Canada

    100%

    30.48

    44.25

    45%

    Talos Energy Inc.

    TALO,
    -8.40%
    U.S.

    86%

    19.77

    28.67

    45%

    Ranger Oil Corp. Class A

    ROCC,
    -6.22%
    U.S.

    100%

    41.33

    58.00

    40%

    Tourmaline Oil Corp.

    TOU,
    -4.92%
    Canada

    100%

    71.40

    98.83

    38%

    Civitas Resources Inc.

    CIVI,
    -4.06%
    U.S.

    100%

    58.82

    80.83

    37%

    Inpex Corp.

    1605,
    -2.08%
    Japan

    88%

    1,477.00

    1,965.56

    33%

    Diamondback Energy Inc.

    FANG,
    -2.26%
    U.S.

    84%

    137.58

    181.90

    32%

    Santos Limited

    STO,
    -3.12%
    Australia

    100%

    7.20

    9.26

    29%

    Matador Resources Co.

    MTDR,
    -3.98%
    U.S.

    79%

    57.59

    73.75

    28%

    Targa Resources Corp.

    TRGP,
    -2.63%
    U.S.

    95%

    73.89

    94.05

    27%

    Cenovus Energy Inc.

    CVE,
    -2.55%
    Canada

    84%

    26.24

    33.22

    27%

    Shell PLC

    SHEL,
    -0.70%
    U.K.

    83%

    23.67

    29.82

    26%

    Ampol Limited

    ALD,
    -2.89%
    Australia

    85%

    28.29

    35.01

    24%

    EOG Resources Inc.

    EOG,
    -3.54%
    U.S.

    79%

    132.08

    157.52

    19%

    ConocoPhillips

    COP,
    -2.67%
    U.S.

    83%

    118.47

    140.84

    19%

    Repsol SA

    REP,
    -0.66%
    Spain

    75%

    15.05

    17.88

    19%

    Halliburton Co.

    HAL,
    -3.03%
    U.S.

    86%

    39.27

    45.95

    17%

    Marathon Petroleum Corp.

    MPC,
    -1.97%
    U.S.

    76%

    116.82

    132.56

    13%

    Source: FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more information about the companies.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

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  • 2022: A Year Of Grassroots Bitcoin Adoption For Africa

    2022: A Year Of Grassroots Bitcoin Adoption For Africa

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    ​​This is an opinion editorial by Anita Posch, the founder of Bitcoin For Fairness who has traveled around the world to learn how the globally unbanked can benefit from sovereign money.

    In early 2020, during my first visit in Zimbabwe, my assumption that Bitcoin is needed the most in the Global South was confirmed. I found a nation in distress about money, because of a kleptocratic ruling elite that had been defrauding and stealing from their people by inflating the national currency for decades. Despite this, corruption and military support allowed these leaders to stay at the top for over 40 years.

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    Anita Posch

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  • Can Antoine Riard’s Lightning Network Proposal Mitigate Channel Jamming Attacks?

    Can Antoine Riard’s Lightning Network Proposal Mitigate Channel Jamming Attacks?

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    This is an opinion editorial by Shinobi, a self-taught educator in the Bitcoin space and tech-oriented Bitcoin podcast host.

    Channel jamming is one of the most threatening outstanding problems with the Lightning Network. It presents an open mechanism to denial-of-service attack nodes on the network to prevent them from routing, losing them money while their liquidity is locked up and unable to forward payments that will earn them fees. An attacker can route a payment through other nodes from themselves to themselves, and refuse to finalize the payment. This makes that liquidity useless for forwarding other payments until the hashed timelock contract (HTLC) timelock expires and the payment refunds.

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    Shinobi

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  • Here are MarketWatch’s most popular Moneyist advice columns of 2022

    Here are MarketWatch’s most popular Moneyist advice columns of 2022

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    What fresh shenanigans and money dilemmas enthralled readers in 2022?

    Another year of broken promises, dodgy dealings and moving letters about how to get back on one’s feet after divorce, unemployment and even a 15-year abusive relationship

    The most widely-read Moneyist of 2022, however, was actually one of the shortest letters from someone called ‘Surprised Sister.” The answer, as is often the case, was not so simple, nor so short.

    Here is the No. 1 Moneyist column of the year: We are surprised and bewildered’: My brother passed away and left his house, cash and possessions to charity. Can his siblings contest his will?

    My response: There are times to contest a will: a parent who was being controlled by a new friend or greedy child, and/or someone who was forced to change their will when they were not of sound mind.

    But her own legal advice notwithstanding, I suggested she should accept your brother’s wishes. Feeling aggrieved that she did not inherit his estate is not enough to break his will. 

    Separate the emotions from the finance, and the answer often reveals itself. But there were others that ran the gamut from romance to stocks. They other most-read columns are an eclectic bunch:

    Here are the 5 runner-ups:

    1. I had a date with a great guy. I didn’t drink, but his wine added $36 to our bill. We split the check evenly. Should I have spoken up?

    It would be nice to offer to take the booze off the check, you were a non-drinker, would you speak up at one drink or two or three, if your date split the entire bill 50/50? 

    The financial intricacies of dating are like an onion that can be peeled ad infinitum. We’ve had plenty to chew over. Paying for one of your date’s drinks is OK, paying for two is pushing it.

    1. My father offered his 3 kids equal monetary gifts. My siblings took cash. I took stock. It’s soared in value — now they’re crying foul

    “The Other Brother” wrote that his father offered three children a choice: stocks or cash. The other two siblings took the cash. He took the cash. The stock soared. Dems are the breaks.

    Her siblings could have chosen stocks over cash, but they wanted immediate gratification. That was their decision, and they are going to have to take ownership of their choice and live with it.

    1. I’m an unmarried stay-at-home mother in a 20-year relationship, but my boyfriend won’t put my name on the deed of our house. Am I unreasonable?

    They have been in a 20-year relationship and have a 10-year-old child. “Not on the Deed” said she and her partner have had several tense “discussions” about adding me to the deed.

    I told her that her contribution to your partnership is valuable, her sense of worth is valuable, and her role as a homemaker and a mother is also valuable. Yes, he should add her.

    1. My friend got us free theater tickets. When I got home, she texted me, ‘Can you get our next meal or activity?’ Am I obliged to treat her?

    Even amidst the fights over inheritances, some breaches of social and financial etiquette seem so bizarre some people might think, ‘That behavior is too outrageous to be believable.” 

    The letter writer received free theater tickets, they split the bill 50/50 even though her friend had a cocktail, and she paid $10 for parking. Is he obliged to take her out again? No-can-do.

    1. My date chose an exclusive L.A. restaurant. After dinner, he accepted my credit card — and we split a $600 bill. Shouldn’t he have paid?

    Another dating story, this time where the guy chose a fancy restaurant and, as the date wore on, things took a turn for the worst, at least in the letter writer’s eyes: She was asked to split the bill.

    What if they didn’t get along? What if he was an abortion-rights supporter and she was anti-abortion? What if he was a Republican and she was a Democrat? Or vice-versa?  Always be prepared to pay.

    Follow Quentin Fottrell on Twitter.

    You can email The Moneyist with any financial and ethical questions related to coronavirus at qfottrell@marketwatch.com.

    Check out the Moneyist private Facebook group, where we look for answers to life’s thorniest money issues. Readers write to me with all sorts of dilemmas. Post your questions, tell me what you want to know more about, or weigh in on the latest Moneyist columns.

    The Moneyist regrets he cannot reply to questions individually.

    More from Quentin Fottrell:

    ‘I’m left with a $100 Bûche de Noël for 10 people — and no place to go’: My friends canceled Christmas dinner. Should I end the 30-year friendship?

    I met my wife in 2019 and we married in 2020. I put her name on the deed of my $998,000 California home. Now I want a divorce. What can I do?

    I want to meet someone rich. Is that so wrong?’ I’m 46, earn $210,000, and own a $700,000 home. I’m tired of dating ‘losers.’

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  • 5 things not to buy in 2023

    5 things not to buy in 2023

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    It’s been a year of contradictions.

    The recession drum beats on, interest rates are rising, and the stock market has taken a tumble, and yet retail sales have risen 6.5% in the last 12 months, trailing a 7.1% increase in the cost of living.

    There are other reasons people should consider cutting back on spending in 2023. The personal saving rate — meaning personal saving as a percentage of disposable income, or the share of income left after paying taxes and spending money — hit 2.4% in the third quarter from 3.4% in the prior quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said.

    There are signs that people are pulling back on certain expenditures.

    That is the lowest level since the Great Recession and the eighth-lowest quarterly rate on record (since 1947). Adjusted for inflation, savings are down 88% from their 2020 peak and 61% lower than before the pandemic, according to government data. The personal saving rate hit 2.4% in November vs. 2.2% in October. 

    Are people buying stocks during a bearish market, and/or have they run out of their pandemic-era savings? Whatever the reasons, more judicious investing and spending decisions seem to be the most prudent approach — especially given the uncertain economic outlook for 2023.

    There are signs that people are already pulling back on certain expenditures. Although retail sales are up on the year, they did decline 0.6% month-on-month in November to mark their biggest decline in almost a year, largely because of weak car sales.

    About those new cars: New-vehicle total sales for 2022 are projected to reach 13,687,000 units, down 8.4% on the year, according to a joint forecast from J.D. Power and LMC Automotive. MarketWatch reporter Philip van Doorn explains all the reasons why you may wish to skip buying a new car in 2023, in addition to their rising prices.

    So what else should you save your money on in 2023? MarketWatch writers give their verdict below.

    SPACs

    During the pandemic, people loved to buy special purpose acquisitions companies, known as SPACs. In 2021, 613 SPACs listed on U.S. stock exchanges through initial public offerings, according to SPAC Insider. The year before, there were 248 SPAC IPOs. There had never been more than 100 of these before in a single year. There were SPACs associated with Donald Trump and Serena Williams. There were so many, that one was called Just Another Acquisition Corp. 

    SPACs exist as a means to take private companies public, and theoretically give these shell companies a faster and less regulatory burdensome means to access public capital. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission warned investors last April that so-called advantages of the SPAC process, such as reduced legal liability, may not prove to be so solid if tested in court.

    The SPACs raised money even though they had no commercial operations or business, and tried to use the cash to buy something that did exist. But investors who bought SPACs that merged with private companies since 2015 have suffered losses of 37%, on average, a year after the merger, according to a recent study.  The SPAC and New Issue ETF 
    SPCX,
    +0.37%

    has slipped 12% this year. The frenzy for SPACs has predictably gone bust. But if you see one, just stay away from it.

    — Nathan Vardi

    Crypto 

    There are two main reasons not to invest in cryptocurrency in 2023, and neither has to do with the precipitous drop in value for most of the major coins in the last year, including but not limited to bitcoin
    BTCUSD,
    -1.11%
    ,
    ethereum
    ETHE,
    -2.71%

    and tether
    USDTUSD,
    -0.02%
    .
    Investors have long been conditioned to buy the dip and find value where others fear to tread, and then make money on the upswing. 

    Crypto is different because there’s no correlation to long-held market theories, and buying it amounts more to speculation than to investing. That might seem semantic, but if you look at financial planning holistically, then you treat investing as an exercise in risk tolerance — and crypto is all risk. 

    Which leads to the other main reason to avoid crypto in the next year: If you do buy it, there’s really no safe way to store it. There’s no federal insurance covering exchange failures and little cyber-theft protection for individuals. That leaves you on your own, which is not a good place to be with your money.

    — Beth Pinsker

    Meta Quest headsets

    On the consumer front, if you’re really into virtual reality, there is nothing wrong with jumping on the new Meta Quest two and Meta Quest Pro headsets that were introduced in 2022 by Meta Platforms Inc. 
    META,
    -0.78%
    .

    The problem is that you might feel like you bought a BlackBerry
    BB,
    -3.42%

    phone in early 2007. Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    -1.40%

    is expected to finally show off what engineers at the Silicon Valley giant have been cooking up in a years-long project to jump into augmented and virtual reality, and consumers are expected to at least get a glimpse at Apple’s attempt this year, if not a chance to buy whatever the company produces. 

    The headsets don’t come cheap: Meta said earlier this year it was raising the price of Meta Quest 2 headsets by $100 to $399.99 (128GB) and $499.99 (256GB). The iPhone’s introduction 15 years ago changed the way people look at smartphones, and Apple’s expected jump into this field in 2023 could leave anyone who spent their money on a Meta Quest headset wishing for a new reality.

    — Jeremy Owens

    Meme stocks 

    Struggling companies with business models that appear to some to be dying and/or struggling do not generally perform well in the stock market. But during the pandemic these companies often had stocks that soared. What drove them was social media sentiment, driven on platforms like Reddit, by a swarm of retail investors. 

    There was video game retailer GameStop
    GME,
    -7.42%
    ,
    movie theater chain AMC
    AMC,
    -8.43%
    ,
    and smartphone dinosaur Blackberry. AMC recently announced the sale of another $110 million in stock, adding to a total that has already exceeded $2 billion since the theater chain got swept up into meme-stock madness. CEO Adam Aron wrote on Twitter that the move put the company “in a much stronger cash position.”

    GameStop recently reported its seventh consecutive quarterly loss and reiterated its goal of returning to profitability in the near term, but analysts have signaled that many challenges lie ahead. During the company’s recent third-quarter conference call, Chief Executive Officer Matt Furlong said that GameStop would be open to exploring acquisitions of a strategic asset or complimentary business if they were available “in the right price range.”

    Buying meme companies like this worked for some in a booming stock market fueled by ultra-low interest rates. But we are now in a bear market with interest rates that are elevated. Corporate fundamentals are back in vogue. So are quaint investment ideas like cashflow. More likely than not, the days of buying meme stocks are over.

    — Nathan Vardi

    Tesla cars

    In recent years, Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -8.25%

    has stood alone as the best option for electric vehicles, while other manufacturers struggled to get production running. But in 2023, there should be many more types of electric cars available, at prices that are expected to trend downward as the year goes along. Teslas range in price from $46,990 for the Tesla Model 3 to $138,880 for the Tesla Model X Plaid. 

    With major manufacturers such as General Motors Co.
    GM,
    -0.73%
    ,
    Ford Motor Co.
    FORD,
    -2.68%
    ,
    Toyota Corp. and Volkswagen
    VOW,
    -0.77%

    VLKAF,
    -1.15%

    jumping into the fray, and young Tesla wannabes like Rivian Automotive Inc.
    RIVN,
    -7.11%
    ,
    Lucid Group Inc.
    LCID,
    -7.24%

    and FIsker Inc.
    FSR,
    -6.19%

     expected to start producing cars, consumers will have many more options for EVs. 

    Meanwhile, Tesla has done little to update the Model 3 since it was introduced in 2017, and has increased prices at a level that Chief Executive Elon Musk has admitted is “embarrassing” for a company that claimed to have a goal of mass-market pricing for EVs. 

    The average price of a new EV is $64,249, while a new gas car is $48,281, according to​​ Liz Najman, a climate scientist and communications and research manager at Recurrent Auto, an EV research and analytics firm focused on the used-vehicle market. After years of not having much choice beyond Tesla for EVs, 2023 appears to be the year that changes.

    — Jeremy Owens

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  • As Financial Surveillance Intensified In 2022, Bitcoin Is Needed By Individuals And Nations Alike

    As Financial Surveillance Intensified In 2022, Bitcoin Is Needed By Individuals And Nations Alike

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    This is an opinion editorial by Kudzai Kutukwa, a financial inclusion advocate who was recognized by Fast Company magazine as one of South Africa’s top-20 young entrepreneurs under 30.

    “Every record has been destroyed or falsified, every book rewritten, every picture has been repainted, every statue and street building has been renamed, and every date has been altered. And the process is continuing day by day and minute by minute. History has stopped. Nothing exists except an endless present in which the Party is always right.”

    George Orwell, “1984”

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    Kudzai Kutukwa

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