Tag: NFL betting odds

Posted on: October 11, 2025, 10:01h. 

Last updated on: October 11, 2025, 10:01h.

• Lots of betting action on Lions-Chiefs Over
• Bills, minus Oliver and Milano, need a statement game against Falcons
• Jackson still out of lineup for Ravens

According to Joey Feazel, Head of Football at Caesars Sportsbook, there’s robust betting action on the Chiefs versus the Lions on Sunday Night, at Arrowhead Stadium, with a lot of action on the Lions and the Over (52.5).

Lamar Jackson Out of the Lineup for Ravens

“On the opposite side of things, action for the Rams/Ravens matchup has not been what we would’ve expected at the beginning of the season,” he told Casino.org. “Obviously, that has a lot to do with the injury to Lamar Jackson, but what looked like a premier matchup a month ago, doesn’t seem to be the case today.”

Side note: In the massive upset win game Thursday night, with the Giants under QB Jaxson Dart beating the heavily favoured Eagles, 34-17, a Caesars Sportsbook bettor placed USD $339,000 on the Giants +7.5 (-113) for a $300k win.

49ers Starting Mac Jones at QB Again

The Lions are 4-1, the Chiefs 2-3. 

“Elsewhere, Lions-Chiefs is our most bet game of the week, with more than 75% of patrons taking the Lions with the points on the road,” said Adrian Horton, Senior Director, North American Sport Trading, ESPN BET. “Handle is closer to a 60/40 split but still in favor of Detroit, with the line moving out a point to +2.5.

“The Broncos are the flavor of the week, as Denver is our most bet side by spread tickets and handle, and Moneyline tickets, to take down the Jets in London.”

Ed Oliver, Matt Milano Questionable for Bills

On the props front, Jahmyr Gibbs is the most bet TD scorer by total bets, Bo Nix 1+ Total Passing Touchdowns (Nix and his wife announced this morning they are expecting their first child) is the most bet non-TD prop by total bets.

Over at DraftKings, Johnny Avello, the Las Vegas bookmaker, and DraftKings’ Race and Sportsbook director, some of the betting takeaways at his end so far:

Browns at Steelers: “Terrible scheduling spot for the Browns. They’re coming back from London and Steelers had the week off. Line up to 5.5 from 4.5.”

Seahawks Undermanned at DB

Cardinals at Colts: “Cards are coming off inconceivable loss to Titans. Even though [QB Kyler] Murray is probable, the line is up to 7 from the opener of 3.5.”

Bengals at Packers: “Line was only around a field goal before the season started and is now 14. How things have changed.”

Lions at Chiefs: “Top game of the Sunday slate on prime time. They’re betting the Chiefs early with the line up to 2.5 from 1.5.”

The Bills, at 4-1, are in Atlanta to play the Falcons in one of two Monday nighters – Bears at Commanders being the other game. The Bills (-225 against the Falcons, at DraftKings, Falcons +185) are first in the AFC East, but there’s plenty of question marks surrounding a team that’s in a Super Bowl or bust moment this year. As of this morning, at ESPN, TE Dalton Kincaid, LB Matt Milano, DT T.J. Sanders and DT Ed Oliver are all listed as questionable due to injuries.

Posted on: September 19, 2025, 08:50h. 

Last updated on: September 19, 2025, 09:05h.

• Cowboys versus Bears most bet game going into Week 3
• Bills handle the Dolphins, but don’t cover the spread
• Burrow, Purdy, Daniels out with injuries 

Phill Gray, the former head of trading operations at Sports Interaction for more than 20 years, and an industry consultant, has seen a few things, with the “brutal start” for the sportsbooks in NFL betting heading into Week 3 right up there.

Favourites Dominating

With favourites straight up 25-8 so far, parlays and teasers are the talk of the day, he says. 

“Totals and props may do okay with the under coming in at about 50%, but the rate of favourite outright wins leaves huge negative in total GGR,” he says.

Last night’s Buffalo Bills win over the Miami Dolphins – 31-21 – was right on script, although the Bills didn’t cover (-12.5 at kickoff).

Burrow Surgery Today

“If there’s not a few upsets to negate that it certainly could be another big win for the public,” Gray says. “Parlays right now are sitting about -8% on sides, normally that should be about 15%. It’s a very tough start to the season for the house. Straight bets at 54.5% right now for favs is close to the norm and there is some hold there, but again moneyline and teaser combos are just smashing it for the regular bettor with that 76% rate of fav outright wins.”

Today’s news NFL headlines impacting betting are led by the news that Bengals’ quarterback Joe Burrow underwent surgery today on his toe, the surgery went well, and there’s no timeline on his return. Burrow of course was an MVP betting favourite going into the season, up there with the Bills’ QB Josh Allen and Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson.

Purdy Injury Update

San Francisco 49ers’ QB Brock Purdy, dealing with shoulder and toe issues, is “highly unlikely” to start Sunday against the Cardinals. And Commanders QB Jayden Daniels will miss Sunday’s game against the Raiders with a knee injury.

According to Adrian Horton, Senior Director, North American Sports Trading, ESPN BET, Cowboys versus Bears is the most bet game on the schedule for Sunday.

“Action has flipped the line from Bears –1.5 to Cowboys –1.5 on the road as of Friday, with two thirds of tickets and over 75% of handle coming in on Dallas,” he said.

Lions-Ravens Total Up To 52.5

“Packers-Browns is also one of our most bets games of the weekend, though in even more lopsided fashion as nearly 90% of bets and handle have come in on Green Bay at –7.5. In a playoff rematch, the Eagles are getting nearly 60% of spread tickets and handle to keep the line at –3.5 when they host the Rams on Sunday.”

The Lions – Ravens total (now 54.5) is also up another point from midweek, and up two since opening at 52.5. The Vikings are back in to –2.5 at home against the Colts. Minnesota opened –3.5, were down to –2.5 on Tuesday, and back to –3.5 on Wednesday. The total in Steelers-Pats is up a point from open and is now 44.5.

Chiefs Look for First Win

Over at BetMGM, most bet games (tickets) are the Packers versus Browns, Cowboys versus Bears, Rams versus Eagles, Chiefs versus Giants and Lions versus Ravens.

“Popular action in Week 3 is on the Chiefs seeking their first win, the Cowboys their second, and Colts & Packers for their third. Each of these teams covering would be great outcomes for bettors, and the book is hoping for an upset or at least an underdog to cover,” said Christian Cipollini, Trading Manager, BetMGM.

Bettors Eyeing Kamara

Most bet player props (tickets) at BetMGM are Tyler Warren (Colts) Over 47.5 Receiving yards -110, Wan’Dale Robinson (Giants) Over 42.5 Receiving yards -120, Alvin Kamara (Saints) Over 22.5 Receiving yards -120, Kyle Pitts (Falcons) Over 37.5 Receiving yards -135, and Bijan Robinson (Falcons) Over 81.5 Rushing yards -115.