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Tag: nfc hierarchy/obituary

  • NFC Hierarchy/Obituary: Week 17 edition

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    Week 16 of the NFL season is in the books. There were crazy games that could decide the winners of the NFC North and NFC West, and in turn, the top two seeds in the NFC playoffs. Meanwhile, we saw the first repeat NFC East champs clinch the division for the first time in over 20 years, and a first-place flip in the NFC South. There are no new obituaries this week.

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    Jimmy Kempski

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  • NFC Hierarchy/Obituary: Week 7 edition

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    Week 6 of the NFL season is in the books, and we have a lot of movement within the Hierarchy, including a new team at the top. We were primed to kill off the Giants if they had lost to the Eagles Thursday night, but, surprise (!), that didn’t happen, to put it mildly. There are no new obituaries this week.

    Obituaries

    None.

    Graveyard

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    Hierarchy

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    15) Cardinals (2-4): The Cardinals got screwed on Sunday, when this pass interference (or hold or whatever you want to call it) wasn’t called on a fourth down play that sealed a loss. This is a little tough to see because of the shadows, but whatever:

    Maybe they didn’t call that because McBride flopped for no good reason after the interference? Or maybe officials just aren’t calling pass interference penalties late in games, like they didn’t in the Eagles-Broncos games with Dallas Goedert? Or maybe the Cardinals are just cursed:

    Last week: 13

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    14) Giants (2-4): The good from the Giants’ Thursday night win over the Eagles: They might have themselves a quarterback! Jaxson Dart is feisty, competitive, and he can make plays with his legs. We’ll see if he can become more refined as a passer, but the tools he has already shown are a good start. And having a legit quarterback is kind of a big deal! So, you know, that was an exciting night for Giants fans, emphatically beating a nemesis in the Eagles, in large part because of a rookie quarterback and running back.

    The bad from the Giants’ win: Head coach Brian Daboll is a dolt. His behavior on Thursday night — entering the medical tent and screaming at a doctor on the sideline — was reprehensible, and should be a much bigger story coming out of that game than it is. He’s not a leader. He’s a moron. And if Dart pans out the rest of this season, he’s going to argue to Giants ownership that the Giants have their Josh Allen, and he should keep his job so as not to derail Dart’s momentum with a new head coach. And you know what? That’ll work, because Giants ownership is dumb, too.

    Last week: 15

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    13) Cowboys (2-3-1): Cowboys defensive rankings through their first six games: 

    Cowboys defense  Stat  Rank 
    Points per game  30.7  31 
    Yards per game  411.7  32 
    Passing yards per game  269.5  32 
    Rushing yards per game  142.2  29 
    Yards per play  6.2  30 
    Takeaways per game  0.7  26 
    First downs per game  24.2  31 

    My official #analysis: The Cowboys’ defense is bad.

    Last week: 11

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    12) Panthers (3-3): The last time the Panthers had a winning or even a 0.500 record was in 2021. 

    • 2022: Started 0-2, finished 7-10, never got to 0.500.

    • 2023: Started 0-6, finished 2-15, never got to 0.500, obviously.

    • 2024: Started 0-2, finished 5-12, never got to 0.500.

    • 2025: Started 0-2, and then 1-3, won their last two games to get to 0.500. 🎉🍾

    Also, over the last two games, Rico Dowdle has 389 rushing yards and 84 receiving yards. The Panthers as a team have the best rushing yard differential in the NFL, at +289.

    Last week: 14

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    11) Commanders (3-3): The Commanders had a golden opportunity to take over first place in the NFC East, and then, (fart noise).

    And really, the officials gave the Commanders all kinds of breaks throughout the night, but Jayden Daniels was like, “Eh, no thanks.”

    That’s a really bad loss, not just because it was to a mediocre team at home, but also because they now have head-to-head losses to the Packers, Falcons and Bears, and a 1-3 record overall against NFC teams. They’re not going to win many tiebreakers.

    Last week: 8

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    10) Falcons (3-2): Bijan Robinson is pretty good.

    Also, the Falcons have allowed the fewest yards per game in the NFL so far this season. Can’t say I’d have predicted that one.

    Last week: 12

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    9) Bears (3-2): Hey, remember when Deebo Samuel took a swipe at his own team’s long snapper and kicker?

    Well, that kicker, Jake Moody, now with the Bears, made a game-winner against Deebo, now with the Commanders.

    Deebo had 4 catches on 5 targets for 15 yards.

    The Bears have actually won three straight games.

    Last week: 10

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    8) Vikings (3-2): After consecutive games in Europe, the Vikings had their bye Week 7. They’re 3-2 with a +26 point differential despite having a bunch of their starters missing multiple games:

    4 games missed: LB Blake Cashman

    3 games missed: QB J.J McCarthy, RB Aaron Jones, WR Jordan Addison, EDGE Andrew Van Ginkel

    2 games missed: LT Christian Darrisaw, C Ryan Kelly, LG Donovan Jackson, S Harrison Smith

    1 game missed: RT Brian O’Neill

    That’s, like, all of their most important players, minus Justin Jefferson.

    Credit them for winning ugly with backups.

    Last week: 9

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    7) 49ers (4-2): The 49ers’ defensive is unrecognizable these days. Here were their starters in the Super Bowl about 20 months ago, and where they are now:

    EDGE Nick Bosa: ACL injury, season over.

    DT Javon Hargrave: Released, cap casualty, now with the Vikings.

    DT Arik Armstead: Released, cap casualty, now with the Jaguars.

    EDGE Chase Young: Left in free agency, now with the Saints.

    LB Fred Warner: Ankle injury, season over.

    LB Dre Greenlaw: Left in free agency, now with the Broncos.

    CB Charvarius Ward: Left in free agency, now with the Colts.

    S Ji’Ayir Brown: Still on team, no longer has a full-time starting role.

    S Tashaun Gipson: Left in free free agency, played for the Jaguars, came back to the 49ers, not presently on a roster.

    CB Ambry Thomas: Released, bounced around a bit, now on the Eagles’ practice squad.

    CB Deommodore Lenoir: Oh hey, still a 49ers starter!

    Last week: 5

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    6) Eagles (4-2): As you all saw, the Eagles got wrecked by a bad team in front of a national audience on Thursday night, and have been getting crushed for it since, both locally and nationally. And deservedly so!

    However, Sunday’s slate of game really couldn’t have gone much better for the Eagles, with the Cowboys losing to the Panthers, the Commanders losing at home to the Bears, and the Lions losing to the Chiefs.

    The Eagles look like crap, but the silver lining is that there isn’t a team in the NFC — or the entire NFL, really — that looks like some kind of juggernaut.

    Of course, they can’t really hang their hat on anything other than, “Well everyone else is bad too.”

    Last week: 2

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    5) Seahawks (4-2): Speaking of no teams looking like a juggernaut, you know who’s ranked first in DVOA after Week 6? The Seahawks! Lol. DVOA rankings (via @hawkblogger):

    • Overall: 1st 
    • Offense: 4th
    • Defense: 4th
    • Special Teams: 2nd
    • Passing Offense: 1st
    • Rushing Offense: 21st
    • Passing Defense: 9th
    • Rushing Defense: 2nd

    Last week: 7

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    4) Rams (4-2): Byron Young had a couple sacks against the Ravens on Sunday. He now has 7.5 on the season, only behind the Broncos’ Nik Bonitto (8). Jared Verse seems to get more attention than Young, but in my opinion Young is better.

    Also, the Rams may have found their version of Zack Baun (afterthought free agent signing who turns out to be a beast) in LB Nate Landman. He’s been awesome for them this season.

    Last week: 6

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    3) Packers (3-1-1): The Packers have a weird habit of having a lockdown defense in the first quarter, but giving up a buttload of points in the fourth quarter.

    • First quarter points allowed: 0

    • Fourth quarter points allowed: 60

    They made me sweat out my survivor pick over the weekend.

    Last week: 4

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    2) Lions (4-2): The corniest player in the NFL (JuJu Smith-Schuster) was talking shit to one of the biggest hot heads in the NFL (Brian Branch), and Branch popped him, before throwing him to the ground.

    Also, the biggest sore loser in the NFL (Trent Williams) attacked a far smaller player, as he often does, this time Philly’s Tykee Smith, and Smith got the best of him.

    The fines this week should be interesting. Branch could get suspended.

    Last week: 1

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    1) Buccaneers (5-1): Against the 49ers, Baker Mayfield was without Mike Evans and Chris Godwin; and Emeka Egbuka left the game with a hamstring injury, and did not return.Meh, no worries. Mayfield simply completed 17 of 23 passes for 256 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, and scrambled for a ridiculous first down on 3rd and 14.

    He’s the league MVP through Week 6.Last week: 3


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  • NFC Hierarchy/Obituary: Week 2 edition

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    11) Falcons (0-1): Watch the Falcons’ mascot when a huge field goal attempt is good:

    And when it’s not good: 

    Last week: 10

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    10) Seahawks (0-1): With the Seahawks clinging to a three-point lead late in the game against the 49ers, Riq Woolen had an absolutely brutal final drive. First he got beaten on a deep ball to Ricky Pearsall when he slowed up for some reason. I guess he misjudged the flight of the ball? Top of the screen:

    And then on the 49ers’ game-winning TD, Brock Purdy threw the ball right to Woolen, who just kind of faded back and let the ball come to him instead of going to get it. Instead, TE Jake Tonges jumped in front of him and made the catch. I mean, this is an absolutely terrible throw that should’ve ended with an INT and a Seahawks win. Bottom of the screen: 

    Also, the Seahawks had 150 passing yards on Sunday. A disproportionate number of passes when to Jaxon Smith-Njigba:

    Player  Targets  Rec  Yards  TD 
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba  13  124 
    Everybody else on the team  26 

    The DK Metcalf – Tyler Lockett era is over.

    Last week: 9

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    9) 49ers (1-0): As noted above, the above TD throw by Purdy was very lucky, and should’ve led to a loss. But in fairness, on the drive leading up to that throw Purdy did make a bunch of plays without George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk.

    Also, the Niners’ offensive line looked really shaky. That could be a season-long problem. And man, that kicker…

    The 49ers escaped with a win over what looks like a bad team, but they don’t look anything remotely close to what they were a couple seasons ago.

    Last week: 11

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    8) Cardinals (1-0): There was a Sheldon Brown – Reggie Bush style hit in the Cardinals-Saints game, by rookie CB Will Johnson on Chris Olave.

    Olave even crawled around a little, just like Bush.

    Johnson also had an INT that didn’t count, and a handful of PBUs. He would have been a first-round pick, possibly in the top half of Round 1, if not for concern over a knee injury. If he’s healthy — and he looked like it on Sunday — he’s a Defensive Rookie of the Year candidate.

    Last week: 8

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    7) Lions (0-1): Jared Goff was 0-7 as a starter his rookie season in 2016. The following offseason, the Rams cleaned house and hired Sean McVay.

    After he was traded to the Lions in 2021, Goff lost his first eight games of the season before Dan Campbell stripped Anthony Lynn of play-calling duties. Campbell and Ben Johnson shared play-calling responsibilities the rest of the season.Including the Lions’ loss to the Packers on Sunday, Goff is unofficially 0-16 in games not called by McVay or Johnson.Last week: 2

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    6) Commanders (1-0): Interesting stat from @JustinPenik:

    The Giants on 10 different instances had the Commanders on 2nd and 10 or longer. The Commanders averaged 15 yards per play on those plays.

    That’s coming from a “Giants suck” perspective, and I certainly don’t disagree there. But I also think that what makes the Commanders offense dangerous is that they are built to be a great 2nd and long team. Jayden Daniels is a major threat as a runner, so the defense is almost forced to keep eyes on him, which typically means zone defense. And then if you play zone, Zach Ertz and Terry McLaurin are both very good at finding spacing within zone defense.

    Last week: 7

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    5) Vikings (1-0): I picked the Vikings to win the NFC North, and when J.J. McCarthy threw this awful pick-six to Nahshon Wright, my immediate thought was, “Welp, that’s going to be very wrong.”

    I have to imagine that some of his teammates began doubting him as well. But, McCarthy didn’t get down.

    And then on three consecutive drives in the fourth quarter, the Vikings went TD, TD, TD, with McCarthy completing 6 of 8 passes for 87 yards, 2 TDs, and a 15-yard TD run on those drives.

    My advice to Vikings fans: don’t make that above saying into some corny t-shirt. Just enjoy the moment, and hope there are more.

    Last week: 6

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    4) Rams (1-0): With the Texans driving and trying to score a game-winning TD, Nate Landman and Braden Fiske made one of the best plays of the weekend:

    Obviously, that’s a great Peanut Punch, but holy crap what a recovery as well.

    Last week: 5

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    3) Buccaneers (1-0): The Bucs already have one of the best wide receiver duos in the NFL in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and then they added Emeka Egbuka in the draft. 

    Also, that is high level quarterback play from Baker Mayfield. Notice the little pump to get S Jessie Bates to bite the cheese on the in route to Evans, and then Mayfield rips it over his head to Egbuka. Outstanding. 

    Last week: 3

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    2) Packers (1-0): In my Week 1 picks, I said that while the trade for Micah Parsons closed the gap between the Packers and Lions, it probably didn’t flip their standing within the NFC North. Oops. The Packers looked like the far better team. But also they just looked more confident. And maybe that’s what the Parsons trade might signify more than the just the addition of an elite player. With Parsons on board, those players might begin to believe that they can win it all, which is especially important for a Packers team that has the youngest roster in the NFL.Last week: 4

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    1) Eagles (1-0): Jalen Hurts was 19-for-23 on Thursday night. His four incompletions? Three throwaways and a Saquon Barkley drop. He threw short all night, mainly because there was nowhere to go down the field, as this video from JT O’Sullivan (@theqbschool) shows in detail: 

    The one throw that Hurts did uncork deep down the field was an absolute dime to Jahan Dotson. He also made impactful plays with his legs all night. Here are all of his runs, in chronological order (kneeldowns omitted): 

    1) Q1 (10:40), 1st and 10, PHI 43: J.Hurts scrambles right tackle to PHI 48 for 7 yards.

    2) Q1 (6:01), 3rd and 4, DAL 4: J.Hurts scrambles right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    3) Q2 (10:38), 2nd and 9, DAL 38: J.Hurts scrambles left end to DAL 29 for 9 yards.

    4) Q2 (8:27), 3rd and 5, DAL 29: J.Hurts scrambles right tackle to DAL 9 for 15 yards.

    5) Q2 (6:58), 2nd and 8, DAL 8: J.Hurts scrambles left end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    6) Q2 (1:04), 1st and 10, DAL 15: J.Hurts scrambles right tackle ran ob at DAL 10 for 5 yards.

    7) Q3 (3:56), 3rd and 11, PHI 15: J.Hurts scrambles right end to PHI 23 for 8 yards.

    8) Q4 (13:24), 3rd and 1, PHI 22: J.Hurts up the middle to PHI 23 for 1 yard. (Tush Push)

    9) Q4 (11:05), 3rd and 1, PHI 32: J.Hurts up the middle to PHI 33 for 1 yard. (Tush Push)

    10) Q4 (4:02), 2nd and 10, PHI 24: J.Hurts scrambles left end pushed out of bounds for 3 yards.

    11) Q4 (1:45), 3rd and 3, DAL 45: J.Hurts scrambles up the middle to DAL 33 for 4 yards. (Blouses)

    The only run above that could not be considered a successful play by Hurts was No. 7, the 8-yard scramble on 3rd and 11.

    Hurts’ running ability is often a footnote to the broader analysis of his play. It seemingly is never properly acknowledged for how effective it can be in winning games. 

    Hurts won that game Thursday night with his legs. If it were some immobile statue of a quarterback — like, even if a very good one — it’s probably a loss.

    Last week: 1


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  • NFC Hierarchy/Obituary: Week 1 edition

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    11) 49ers (6-11 in 2024): The Niners’ 2025 opponents had a combined record of 120-169 (0.415) and a combined point differential of -845 in 2024. They very well could land back in the playoffs after a miserable 2024 season.

    If they do sneak into the tourney because of their impossibly easy schedule, they’re going to be an ideal first-round opponent and a quick out.

    10) Falcons (8-9 in 2024): The Falcons haven’t had a player notch 10 sacks in a season since 2016, when Vic Beasley had 15.5. They also haven’t had anyone with at least 7 sacks in the last five seasons. Their sack leaders, by season:

    No wonder they made an asinine trade for an edge rusher during the 2025 draft. As a reminder, the Falcons traded their second-round pick (46th overall), their first-round pick in 2026, and a seventh-round pick in 2025 to the Rams for the 26th overall pick, and a third-round comp pick (101st overall).

    If the Falcons are awful in 2025 and that 2026 first-round pick ends up in the top 10, then the Rams may have gotten more valuable draft capital from the Falcons for James Pearce than the Cowboys got for Micah Parsons.

    9) Seahawks (10-7 in 2024): Sam Darnold folded faster than Superman on laundry day when faced with pressure in the playoffs last season. Now he’ll play behind one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL. 

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    8) Cardinals (8-9 in 2024): Ohhhhh, OK, I see why Gannon has the third-best odds of winning NFL Coach of the Year. Nine of the Cardinals’ first 11 opponents had losing records in 2024, and a combined record of 75-112 (0.401), with a combined point differential of -643.

    Week  Opponent  2024 record  2024 Point differential 
     At Saints 5-12  -60 
     Panthers 5-12  -193 
     At 49ers 6-11  -47 
     Seahawks 10-7  +7 
     Titans 3-14  -149 
     At Colts 8-9  -50 
     Packers 11-6  +122 
     BYE    
     At Cowboys 7-10  -118 
    10   At Seahawks 10-7  +7 
    11   49ers 6-11  -47 
    12   Jaguars 4-13  -115 

    It does get a little harder after that, but man if this team isn’t at least 6-5 at that point in the season just fire him in-season.

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    7) Commanders (11-6 in 2024): On the evening of NFL 53-man cutdowns, we published our yearly age rankings, and the Commanders were the oldest team in the NFL, by far. In fact, they were the oldest team since we started calculating age at 53-man cutdowns in 2012, again, by far.

    Commanders fans’ collective reaction to these facts was something like this:

    082925tantrum-temper082925tantrum-temper

    I’ll give their most common rebuttals, and react to each of them.

    Rebuttal No. 1: Their QB3 (Josh Johnson, 39), punter (Tress Way, 35), and long snapper (Tyler Ott, 33) heavily skew their average age.

    #JimmySays: They skew the average age, but not that heavily.

    To begin, 21 of the NFL’s 32 teams have long snappers who are 30 years of age or older. From a comparative perspective, taking Ott out doesn’t skew much if you take out every long snapper, league wide.

    If you take out Johnson and Way, it drops their average age from 28.09 to 27.75, which still makes them the oldest team we’ve ever calculated by a comfortable margin.

    If you take out Johnson, Way, Ott, and another three backups in Eddie Goldman (31), Nick Bellore (36), and George Fant (33) — and don’t do age gymnastics for any other team — they’re still the second-oldest team in the NFL, barely behind the Steelers.

    There’s no getting around it. It’s a crazy old roster.

    Rebuttal No. 2: The Commanders drafted poorly during the Ron Rivera era, so the Commanders had no choice but to load up with old players to fill out the roster.

    #JimmySays: You know what’s a good way to further deplete the young player pipeline? Trading a slew of picks for three older vets on the downsides of their careers, in Laremy Tunsil, Deebo Samuel, and Marshon Lattimore.

    Lattimore looked cooked last season, Deebo hasn’t been good in like four years, and Tunsil led the league in penalties in 2024.

    And they didn’t have to almost exclusively load up on old players. They had a lot of cap space, and could have absolutely been more selective about adding players in the 25-28 range who could’ve potentially grown with the team.

    Rebuttal No. 3: The Commanders’ window to win is right now, while Jayden Daniels is on his rookie contract.

    #JimmySays: I do agree that the team’s brass may very well be thinking this way, which is a failure to understand that they lucked into an NFC Championship Game appearance last season, when the shellacking they took in Philly should’ve revealed a more realistic outlook on where they are as a franchise.

    But also, the last time a team won a Super Bowl with a quarterback on his rookie contract was in 2013, when the Seahawks did it with Russell Wilson. Is it an advantage to have a good quarterback on a rookie contract? Sure! Should you build your roster on the premise that it’s an unclearable hurdle if you don’t? Of course not!

    Daniels is likely going to be a great player for the next decade-plus. The more good young players they can surround him with long-term, the better chance they’ll have for sustained success. Instead, they brought in double-digit mercenaries in their 30’s, the majority of whom will be gone in a year. And then what? They do it again because Daniels will still have one year left before he is eligible for a second contract?

    Rebuttal No. 4: Yeah, they’re old. So what?

    #JimmySays: Seriously? As players age into their 30’s, they often decline. And it’s not just a handful of guys. They have 25 (!) players who are 29 years of age or older. The next closest team has 17. How many of those guys are going to worse players than they were a year ago? Spoiler: It’s not going to be like 2 or 3.

    But then also, obviously, as players age they become more prone to injury.

    Strategically, the Commanders had an odd offseason.

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    6) Vikings (14-3 in 2024): The Vikings have a good offensive line; passing game targets that include Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Adam Thielen, and T.J. Hockenson; a smart veteran running back in Aaron Jones; and a defense that finished second in takeaways in 2024. J.J. McCarthy is in a pretty great situation for his first year as a starting quarterback.

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    5) Rams (10-7 in 2024): Per ESPN’s Dan Graziano, Matthew Stafford’s back injury is going to have to be managed all season.

    The Rams believe starting QB Matthew Stafford is on track to be healthy and start Week 1 after struggling throughout camp with a back injury that stubbornly refused to follow his or the team’s recovery timetable. But Stafford is 37 years old and has dealt with back issues in the past. (To his credit, he has found ways to play through them.) My understanding is that this isn’t something the Rams expect to sideline Stafford for a long period of time or affect his play early in the season, but that it is something that will need to be monitored and managed throughout the season.

    As noted above, as players age, they accumulate injuries over time, and it affects their play. Stafford is now 37. Back issues at that age are tough, as I’m sure many of my readers can corroborate.

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    4) Packers (11-6 in 2024): The Packers now have four really good defenders in Micah Parsons, Rashan Gary, Edgerrin Cooper, and Xavier McKinney. My NFC top foursome of defenders power rankings:

    1. Eagles: Jalen Carter, Zack Baun, Quinyon Mitchell, Cooper DeJean
    2. Packers: Parsons, Gary, Cooper, McKinney
    3. Lions: Aidan Hutchinson, Brian Branch, Kerby Joseph, Alim McNeil

    Unfortunately for the Packers, they led the charge to ban a play they don’t want to have to stop, and the football gods will never allow them to immediately then win a Super Bowl.

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    2) Lions (15-2 in 2024): The Lions lost both their offensive and defensive coordinators to head coaching jobs this offseason. That doesn’t happen very often. Recent occurrences:

    • In 2023, the Eagles lost Shane Steichen and Jonathan Gannon. Brian Johnson replaced Steichen. Sean Desai replaced Gannon, and was then replaced himself in-season by Matt Patricia. They all got fired after a brutal collapse to close the season.

    • In 2014, the Bengals lost Jay Gruden and Mike Zimmer. They were replaced by Hue Jackson and Paul Guenther. The 2013 Bengals went 10-6, the 2014 Bengals went 10-5-1. Both teams got knocked out in the first round of the playoffs.

    • In 2007, the Chargers lost Cam Cameron and Wade Phillips. They were replaced by Clarence Shelmon and Ted Cottrell. The 2006 Chargers went 14-2, the 2007 Chargers went 11-5. The 2006 Chargers got knocked out in the first round of the playoffs. The 2007 Chargers actually made it to the AFCCG, but lost to the Patriots.

    • In 2005, the Patriots lost Charlie Weis and Romeo Crennel. They didn’t hire an offensive coordinator to replace Weis. They promoted Eric Mangini to DC. The 2004 Patriots went 14-2 and won the Super Bowl. The 2005 Pats went 10-6 and got knocked out in the divisional round.

    • In 1995, the 49ers lost Mike Shanahan and Ray Rhodes. They were replaced by Marc Trestman and Pete Carroll. The 1994 49ers went 13-3 and won the Super Bowl. The 1995 49ers went 10-6 and got knocked out in the first playoff game (in the divisional round).

    Anyway, the moral of the story here is that when you lose your offensive and defensive coordinators in the same offseason, it’s more likely — but not a lock — that the next season won’t go as well.

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    1) Eagles (Super Bowl champions in 2024): The Eagles lost six starters (five to free agency and one to injury), they hardly spent any money in free agency, and yet they still pretty clearly in my opinion have the best roster in the NFL.


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  • NFC Hierarchy/Obituary: Week 4 edition

    NFC Hierarchy/Obituary: Week 4 edition

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    12) Cardinals (1-2): All-22(,000) of the Cardinals’ stands against the Lions. A lot of blue.

    092324LionsFans092324LionsFans

    The red spots are mostly empty seats, which is odd since the Cardinals might actually be kinda entertaining this season, even if not yet good?

    Last week: 10

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    11) Rams (1-2): In a game in which the Rams and 49ers were both missing most of their star offensive players, the Rams won on special teams.

    That’s a sneaky underrated Niners weakness, by the way. Their special teams weren’t good last season, and it burned them in the Super Bowl.

    Last week: 11

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    10) Commanders (2-1): This is the throw of the year.

    Jayden Daniels was 21 of 23 for 254 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs. He also ran for 40 yards and a TD. He’s not “going to be good.” He’s good.

    Last week: 14

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    9) Cowboys (1-2): In 2023, the Cowboys did a decent enough job of stopping the run when they had leads, as most teams do. But when they played from behind, opposing offenses ran all over them. For example:

    • Cardinals, Week 3: 30 rushes, 222 yards, 2 TDs.

    • 49ers, Week 5: 41 rushes, 170 yards, 2 TDs. And that was mostly Niners backups.

    • Bills, Week 15: 49 rushes, 266 yards, 3 TDs.

    • Packers, Wildcard Round: 33 rushes, 133 yards, 3 TDs.

    That same theme has continued in 2024:

    • Saints, Week 2: 39 rushes, 190 yards, 4 TDs.

    • Ravens, Week 3: 45 rushes, 274 yards, 3 TDs.

    The Cowboys have hit big on a bunch of first round picks, but man, 2023 first rounder Mazi Smith looks like a mega-bust so far. He’s No. 58 below (h/t Ben Fennell):

    Last week: 7

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    8) Buccaneers (2-1): The Bucs were beginning to look like contenders after a road win over the Lions got them to 2-0. And then… they lost 26-7 to the Broncos? Yuck.

    It’s perhaps worth noting that the Bucs got outgained 463-216 against the Lions, and that their win in that game was probably just a mirage.

    Last week: 3

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    7) 49ers (1-2): The 49ers blew a game they had all but won on Sunday. Beyond the loss that brought them to 1-2, they have problems galore with their best players:

    Trent Williams had to leave the game to get IV treatment, and he hasn’t been the elite player we have all come to expect so far this season. He acknowledged that his holdout is partly to blame

    Christian McCaffrey is headed to Germany to get treatment for his Achilles. 

    Brock Purdy has “back soreness.” 

    George Kittle didn’t play Week 3 with a hamstring injury.

    Deebo Samuel didn’t play Week 3 with a calf injury.

    Dre Greenlaw is still out after he tore an Achilles jogging onto the field in the Super Bowl.

    Javon Hargrave is done for the season with a torn triceps.

    • Rookie first round WR Ricky Pearsall got shot.

    Last week: 1

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    6) Saints (2-1): Saints head coach Dennis Allen was asked if the Saints played dirty against the Eagles on Sunday. His response, via Kat Terrell of ESPN: 

    “I’d say our guys play extremely hard and we’re going to compete until the down is over,” Allen said Monday. “I don’t think we play dirty. I don’t think we ever have played dirty. It’s not the way we coach it, not the way we teach it, but we do play hard. Look, nobody wants to see anybody get hurt, nobody’s trying to hurt anybody and unfortunately that’s part of the business that we’re in. No, we don’t play dirty. We don’t coach dirty, but we do play hard and we do play physical.”

    Uh, what?! Lol. 

    “I don’t think we ever have played dirty?”

    “We don’t coach dirty?”

    Allen was the Saints’ defensive backs coach during part of the Bountygate scandal. I would say that it is a fact that the Saints have indeed played and coached dirty.

    Last week: 2

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    5) Packers (2-1): It was assumed that the Packers would fall behind the rest of the NFC with Jordan Love sidelined, but credit Matt LaFleur for playing to the strengths of backup Malik Willis, and picking up a couple wins without his starter.

    Willis has also made plays. On Sunday he was 13 of 19 for 202 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, and he rushed 6 times for 73 yards and a TD.

    Inpredictable (betting market rankings) has the Packers as the most likely 1 seed in the NFC after Week 3:

    1. Packers: 22%
    2. Eagles: 20%
    3. Lions: 10%
    4. Saints: 10%
    5. Seahawks: 9%
    6. Falcons: 8%
    7. 49ers: 7%
    8. Vikings: 5%
    9. Cowboys: 3%
    10. Buccaneers: 3%

    Everyone else is at 1% or lower.

    Last week: 9

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    4) Seahawks (3-0): Credit the Seahawks for taking care of business in each of their first three games this season, but the quarterbacks they have faced so far have been Bo Nix (in his rookie debut), Jacoby Brissett, and Skylar Thompson. Honestly, they should be 3-0, even for an perceived average team, and they needed overtime to beat Brissett. The first legitimate offense they will face so far this season will be Week 4 in Detroit. Make a statement there, then we’ll talk about them cracking the top 2 in the Hierarchy.

    Last week: 8

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    3) Eagles (2-1): To be determined if he can stay healthy, but Saquon Barkley is very clearly a lot better than Miles Sanders and D’Andre Swift, who both got carried to the Pro Bowl by the Eagles’ offensive line. Through the first three games, Barkley is on pace for 1989 rushing yards and 23 TDs.

    Sanders is averaging 3.3 yards per carry since signing with the Panthers; Swift is averaging 1.8 yards per carry since signing with the Bears.

    Last week: 6


    MORE: 10 awards from Eagles-Saints


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    2) Lions (2-1): Awesome:

    That’s not the first time they’ve done some version of that. Remember when they eliminated Sandy Hook skeptic Aaron Rodgers?

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    Jimmy Kempski

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