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  • Democrat Mikie Sherrill elected governor of New Jersey, defeating opponent who aligned with Trump

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    U.S. Rep. Mikie Sherrill on Tuesday was elected governor of New Jersey, raising hopes for Democrats and highlighting Republican vulnerabilities after there had been signs of a rightward shift in recent years in what has been a reliably blue state.Sherrill, a former Navy helicopter pilot and four-term member of Congress, defeated Jack Ciattarelli, who was endorsed by President Donald Trump, and quickly cast her victory late Tuesday as a referendum on the Republican president and some of his policies — from health care to immigration and the economy.”We here in New Jersey are bound to fight for a different future for our children,” Sherrill told her supporters gathered to celebrate her victory. “We see how clearly important liberty is. We know that no one in our great state is safe when our neighbors are targeted, ignoring the law and the Constitution.” She was joined on stage with her husband and children.Sherrill, 53, offers some reassurance for moderates within the Democratic Party as they navigate the path forward for next year’s midterms. A former prosecutor and military veteran, Sherrill and Abigail Spanberger, the other Democrat who was elected as Virginia governor, embody a brand of centrist Democrats who aim to appeal to some conservatives while still aligning with some progressive causes. Sherrill campaigned on standing up to Trump and casting blame for voters’ concerns over the economy on his tariffs.Ciattarelli called Sherrill to congratulate her on the results and did not mention Trump in his address.”It is my hope that Mikie Sherrill has heard us in terms of what we need to do to make New Jersey that place where everybody can once again feel that they can achieve their American dream,” Ciattarelli said.The start of voting on Tuesday was disrupted after officials in seven counties received e-mailed bomb threats later determined by law enforcement to be unfounded, said the state’s top election official, Lt. Gov. Tahesha Way. A judge granted a one-hour extension at some polling places after Democrats made a request for three schools that received the threats earlier Tuesday.Sherrill marks milestonesShe will be New Jersey’s second female governor, after Republican Christine Todd Whitman, who served between 1994 and 2001. Her victory also gives Democrats three straight gubernatorial election wins in New Jersey, the first time in six decades that either major party has achieved a three-peat.Ciattarelli lost his second straight general election after coming within a few points of defeating incumbent Gov. Phil Murphy four years ago.New Jersey’s odd-year race for governor, one of just two this year along with Virginia, often hinged on local issues such as property taxes. But the campaign also served as a potential gauge of national sentiment, especially how voters are reacting to the president’s second term and Democrats’ messaging ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly, chair of the Democratic Governors Association, praised Sherrill’s win as “a roadmap for how Democrats can overcome precedent and win in deeply competitive races when we stay laser-focused on our positive vision to address the biggest issues impacting families in their daily lives.”Video below: Mikie Sherrill enters a voting site in Montclair, NJA victory against TrumpIn her speech on Tuesday, Sherrill said voters were concerned with attacks on their civil liberties as well as on their economic well-being. She said Trump is “ripping away” health care and targeting food benefits. Democratic governors across the country have been pushing back on those issues, as well as planned National Guard deployments in their states.Sherrill also criticized him for something that impacts New Jersey specifically: Canceling a project to expand train access to New York City. In the closing weeks of the campaign, she lambasted the president’s threat to cancel the Hudson River project.”Governors have never mattered more,” Sherrill said. “And in this state, I am determined to build prosperity for all of us.”From the Navy to the governor’s officeSherrill steps into the governorship role after serving four terms in the U.S. House. She won that post in 2018 during Trump’s first term in office, flipping a longtime GOP-held district in an election that saw Democrats sweep all but one of the state’s 12 House seats.During her campaign, Sherrill leaned hard into her credentials as a congresswoman and onetime prosecutor as well as her military service. But she also had to defend her Navy service record after a news report that she was not allowed to participate in her 1994 graduation ceremony from the U.S. Naval Academy commencement in connection with an academic cheating scandal at the school.Sherrill said the punishment was a result of not turning in some classmates, not because she herself had cheated. But she declined to release additional records that the Ciattarelli campaign said would shed more light on the issue.For her part, she accused Ciattarelli of profiting off the opioid crisis. He is the former owner of a medical publishing company that made continuing education materials for doctors, including some that discussed pain management and opioids. Sherrill called it “propaganda” for drug companies, something Ciattarelli denied.Promises for New JerseySherrill will inherit a state budget that swelled under Murphy, who delivered on promises to fund the public worker pension fund and a K-12 school aid formula after years of neglect under previous governors, by high income taxes on the wealthy. But there are also headwinds that include unfunded promises to continue a property tax relief program begun in the governor’s second term.Also on the ballot Tuesday were all 80 seats in the Assembly, which Democrats control with a 52-seat majority.New Jersey hasn’t supported a Republican for U.S. Senate or the White House in decades. The governor’s office, though, has often switched back and forth between the parties. The last time the same party prevailed in a third straight New Jersey election for governor was in 1961, when Richard Hughes won the race to succeed Gov. Robert Meyner. Both were Democrats.

    U.S. Rep. Mikie Sherrill on Tuesday was elected governor of New Jersey, raising hopes for Democrats and highlighting Republican vulnerabilities after there had been signs of a rightward shift in recent years in what has been a reliably blue state.

    Sherrill, a former Navy helicopter pilot and four-term member of Congress, defeated Jack Ciattarelli, who was endorsed by President Donald Trump, and quickly cast her victory late Tuesday as a referendum on the Republican president and some of his policies — from health care to immigration and the economy.

    “We here in New Jersey are bound to fight for a different future for our children,” Sherrill told her supporters gathered to celebrate her victory. “We see how clearly important liberty is. We know that no one in our great state is safe when our neighbors are targeted, ignoring the law and the Constitution.” She was joined on stage with her husband and children.

    Sherrill, 53, offers some reassurance for moderates within the Democratic Party as they navigate the path forward for next year’s midterms. A former prosecutor and military veteran, Sherrill and Abigail Spanberger, the other Democrat who was elected as Virginia governor, embody a brand of centrist Democrats who aim to appeal to some conservatives while still aligning with some progressive causes. Sherrill campaigned on standing up to Trump and casting blame for voters’ concerns over the economy on his tariffs.

    Ciattarelli called Sherrill to congratulate her on the results and did not mention Trump in his address.

    “It is my hope that Mikie Sherrill has heard us in terms of what we need to do to make New Jersey that place where everybody can once again feel that they can achieve their American dream,” Ciattarelli said.

    The start of voting on Tuesday was disrupted after officials in seven counties received e-mailed bomb threats later determined by law enforcement to be unfounded, said the state’s top election official, Lt. Gov. Tahesha Way. A judge granted a one-hour extension at some polling places after Democrats made a request for three schools that received the threats earlier Tuesday.

    Sherrill marks milestones

    She will be New Jersey’s second female governor, after Republican Christine Todd Whitman, who served between 1994 and 2001. Her victory also gives Democrats three straight gubernatorial election wins in New Jersey, the first time in six decades that either major party has achieved a three-peat.

    Ciattarelli lost his second straight general election after coming within a few points of defeating incumbent Gov. Phil Murphy four years ago.

    New Jersey’s odd-year race for governor, one of just two this year along with Virginia, often hinged on local issues such as property taxes. But the campaign also served as a potential gauge of national sentiment, especially how voters are reacting to the president’s second term and Democrats’ messaging ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

    Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly, chair of the Democratic Governors Association, praised Sherrill’s win as “a roadmap for how Democrats can overcome precedent and win in deeply competitive races when we stay laser-focused on our positive vision to address the biggest issues impacting families in their daily lives.”

    Video below: Mikie Sherrill enters a voting site in Montclair, NJ

    A victory against Trump

    In her speech on Tuesday, Sherrill said voters were concerned with attacks on their civil liberties as well as on their economic well-being. She said Trump is “ripping away” health care and targeting food benefits. Democratic governors across the country have been pushing back on those issues, as well as planned National Guard deployments in their states.

    Sherrill also criticized him for something that impacts New Jersey specifically: Canceling a project to expand train access to New York City. In the closing weeks of the campaign, she lambasted the president’s threat to cancel the Hudson River project.

    “Governors have never mattered more,” Sherrill said. “And in this state, I am determined to build prosperity for all of us.”

    From the Navy to the governor’s office

    Sherrill steps into the governorship role after serving four terms in the U.S. House. She won that post in 2018 during Trump’s first term in office, flipping a longtime GOP-held district in an election that saw Democrats sweep all but one of the state’s 12 House seats.

    During her campaign, Sherrill leaned hard into her credentials as a congresswoman and onetime prosecutor as well as her military service. But she also had to defend her Navy service record after a news report that she was not allowed to participate in her 1994 graduation ceremony from the U.S. Naval Academy commencement in connection with an academic cheating scandal at the school.

    Sherrill said the punishment was a result of not turning in some classmates, not because she herself had cheated. But she declined to release additional records that the Ciattarelli campaign said would shed more light on the issue.

    For her part, she accused Ciattarelli of profiting off the opioid crisis. He is the former owner of a medical publishing company that made continuing education materials for doctors, including some that discussed pain management and opioids. Sherrill called it “propaganda” for drug companies, something Ciattarelli denied.

    Promises for New Jersey

    Sherrill will inherit a state budget that swelled under Murphy, who delivered on promises to fund the public worker pension fund and a K-12 school aid formula after years of neglect under previous governors, by high income taxes on the wealthy. But there are also headwinds that include unfunded promises to continue a property tax relief program begun in the governor’s second term.

    Also on the ballot Tuesday were all 80 seats in the Assembly, which Democrats control with a 52-seat majority.

    New Jersey hasn’t supported a Republican for U.S. Senate or the White House in decades. The governor’s office, though, has often switched back and forth between the parties. The last time the same party prevailed in a third straight New Jersey election for governor was in 1961, when Richard Hughes won the race to succeed Gov. Robert Meyner. Both were Democrats.

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  • Democrats White-Knuckling Close New Jersey Governor’s Race

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    Mikie Sherrill and Jack Ciattarelli debating.
    Photo: Heather Khalifa/AP Photo

    Most of the known metrics for next Tuesday’s gubernatorial election in New Jersey suggest cautious optimism for Democratic nominee Mikie Sherrill. All but one public poll in the entire cycle has shown her leading Republican nominee Jack Ciattarelli, usually by a small but steady margin. Early voting numbers show much the same narrow Democratic margin in in-person voting (which concludes on Sunday), plus a big Democratic margin in voting by mail, that prevailed in 2021. That’s when current incumbent Phil Murphy defeated Ciattarelli by 3 percent — a shockingly low margin given both polling and expectations but a win nonetheless. Overall early voting is up, which might simply reflect a competitive high-stakes race. Direct-candidate spending is capped by New Jersey’s public-campaign financing system, but heavy independent expenditures lean in Sherrill’s direction.

    There is nonetheless a distinct air of uncertainty surrounding the ultimate results and a lot of nervousness among Democrats. Much of the uncertainty flows from what might be called a double-incumbency phenomenon. Off-year elections in New Jersey and elsewhere tend strongly to cut against the party controlling the White House, particularly when the occupant is as unpopular as Donald Trump is right now. But New Jersey hasn’t awarded its governorship to the same party for three straight elections since 1961, and two-term incumbent Murphy isn’t terribly popular either (Republicans blame him for high local taxes and high housing and utility costs). And Democratic jitters are attributable in no small part to Ciattarelli’s surprisingly strong showing in 2021 and Trump’s even more startling gains in 2024 (he cut the Democratic presidential margin in New Jersey from 16 percent to less than 6 percent). As my colleague David Freedlander recently explained, there are also doubts about how well Sherrill has campaigned:

    A former Navy pilot, prosecutor, and three-term member of Congress, she has been an uninspiring campaigner, someone prone to word-salad answers and awkward freezes. “There is a generation of Democratic candidates who were brought up in a certain way, and now they are behaving in that way,” says one party strategist in the state. “She is a good person who would probably do a pretty good job as governor, but she is a product of a system that spits out replacement-level candidates.”

    For his part, Ciattarelli has campaigned well and is generating some unmistakable enthusiasm, but a lot of it is probably attributable to his self-transformation into a close ally of the president’s (he definitely wasn’t in 2021), which may cost him among swing voters. Trump’s recent decision to unilaterally cancel the Gateway Tunnel project that would give some relief to New Jersey commuters into New York did the Republican no favors; neither has the administration’s abrasive, racially profiling mass-deportation program, which may well reverse the pro-GOP trend among Latino voters (a large presence in New Jersey) so evident last year.

    Independents (who participate at reduced levels in non-presidential elections) tend to break against incumbent parties in elections like this one. But which incumbent will they punish? Given Trump’s unparalleled ability to dominate the news every hour of every day, you’d have to figure he will be more front of mind with undecided voters than Murphy, or at least that’s what Democrats hope.

    Unlike the off-year contest in Virginia, where toxic texts from the Democratic nominee for attorney general have all but overshadowed the gubernatorial election, Sherrill and Ciattarelli have the spotlight all to themselves (the only other statewide office up this year is that of the lieutenant governor, who runs on a ticket with the candidate for governor). Some late public polls are being touted by Republicans as showing a surge for their candidate, but that could be because they were conducted by pollsters who are often pro-GOP outliers. Quantus Insights has Sherrill leading by three points, Co/Efficient shows her up by one, and Emerson — which had the race tied in September — has Sherrill up by two points, all results within the margin of error. The very latest poll, from Quinnipiac, has Sherrill ahead 51 percent to 43 percent among likely voters, pretty much where they had the race in September and early October. But in a good sign for the Democrat, a new Fox News poll shows her expanding her lead from five points to seven during the last couple of weeks.

    Given lingering Democratic concerns about Sherrill, it’s worth noting that she overperformed expectations in the June primary, when she comfortably dispatched five viable rivals. And she may currently suffer in media perceptions by being compared unfavorably to New York phenomenon Zohran Mamdani, a problem that probably won’t carry over to actual voters. As New Jersey native Matthew Cooper observed, she’s still favored unless some late developments cut the other way:

    The best thing Sherrill has going for her is that no one inside the campaign thought this would be easy, and now they’ve had enough scares that they’re not taking anything for granted. The wind may finally be at Sherrill’s back, but as a helicopter pilot, she knows it can shift.  

    When will we know the results? It depends. It’s worth noting that New Jersey is one of 22 states that allow mail ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted if they are received by election officials within a set period of time (six days, in this case). This is a practice that Trump has loudly denounced as inherently fraudulent; so if the race is very close when Election Day ballots have been counted, you can expect some “stolen election” noise from the White House since mail ballots will definitely skew Democratic. It’s another reason Democrats everywhere are praying that Sherrill, as Cooper puts it, manages to stick the “landing.”

    This piece has been updated.

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    Ed Kilgore

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