Video above: Latest coverage on the tropicsThe National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring an area of interest in the Atlantic that appears to be showing diminishing signs of further development.Invest 94-L — Eastern Tropical AtlanticInvest 94-L is causing disorganized thunderstorms and showers just west of Cabo Verde.Related: What’s an invest?However, the NHC said the possibility of the system’s development appears to be decreasing. This is because the system is moving into a less conducive area for development. Invest 94-L is forecast to move westward or west-northward away from the Cabo Verde islands through next week. According to the NHC, the system has a low chance of formation, with a 20% likelihood of developing over the next two to seven days. Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024 MORE: Get the Facts: Addressing rumors of ‘Nadine’ in the tropicsRelated: Hurricane KidCast: What’s a hurricane? And more answers to kids’ questions
ORLANDO, Fla. —
Video above: Latest coverage on the tropics
The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring an area of interest in the Atlantic that appears to be showing diminishing signs of further development.
Invest 94-L — Eastern Tropical Atlantic
Invest 94-L is causing disorganized thunderstorms and showers just west of Cabo Verde.
Hurricane Milton officially made landfall in Florida on Wednesday night. CBS News Miami correspondent Cristian Benavides reports from Tampa. Then, CBS News Chicago chief meteorologist Albert Ramon joins with the latest forecast. Plus, National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome lays out the storm’s future path.
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On the heels of Hurricane Helene, the Category 4 storm that wrecked Florida’s Gulf coast and most of the Southeast, the tropics are not slowing down.RELATED: Chopper 2 video shows extensive Hurricane Helene damage in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay, Fort MyersThe National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring three named storms in the Atlantic and in the Gulf of Mexico.Here’s everything the NHC is keeping its eye on today.Hurricane MiltonThe NHC is closely monitoring Hurricane Milton, which will be a major storm when it hits Florida’s west coast. >> Click here for the latest on Milton Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2Tropical Disturbance in Southwestern AtlanticA tropical disturbance has been tagged northeast of the Bahamas and given a 50% chance of development in the next two days and 50% chance of development in the next week. Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for additional development, but a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm could form this week. Upper-level winds are forecast to increase, which should limit any chances for further development.Tropical Wave off AfricaA tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa this week, and it has a 10% chance of development. Afterward, environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for some limited development of this system while it moves westward or west-northwestward.Hurricane LeslieLeslie was moving northwest with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph and may intensify more in the next day or two. First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
ORLANDO, Fla. —
On the heels of Hurricane Helene, the Category 4 storm that wrecked Florida’s Gulf coast and most of the Southeast, the tropics are not slowing down.
A tropical disturbance has been tagged northeast of the Bahamas and given a 50% chance of development in the next two days and 50% chance of development in the next week.
Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for additional development, but a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm could form this week.
Upper-level winds are forecast to increase, which should limit any chances for further development.
Tropical Wave off Africa
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa this week, and it has a 10% chance of development. Afterward, environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for some limited development of this system while it moves westward or west-northwestward.
Hurricane Leslie
Leslie was moving northwest with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph and may intensify more in the next day or two.
First Warning Weather
Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.
Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.
Hurricane Milton restrengthened into a powerful Category 5 storm Tuesday evening as it barreled across the Gulf of Mexico’s warm waters on a path for the west coast of Florida, where mass evacuations clogged highways as people prepared for a potentially historic storm to make landfall as early as Wednesday night. Some communities, like those in and around the Tampa Bay area, were still reeling from the impacts of Hurricane Helene less than two weeks ago.
“Fluctuations in intensity are likely while Milton moves across the eastern Gulf of Mexico, but Milton is expected to be a dangerous major hurricane when it reaches the west-central coast of Florida,” Wednesday night.” the National Hurricane Center said.
Meanwhile, the National Weather Service in Tampa Bay described Milton as “a historic storm for the west coast of Florida” that could prove to be the worst storm to impact Tampa Bay in more than 100 years.
A message is seen outside an apartment in the Davis Islands community of Tampa, Florida, as residents prepare for the arrival of Hurricane Milton, Oct. 8, 2024.
AP Photo/Julio Cortez
Floridians in the potential path of the hurricane lined properties with sandbags, boarded up doors and windows, and moved their boats ahead of the storm’s arrival. Gov. Ron DeSantis issued emergency orders over the weekend that now include 51 counties, whose residents, he said, should prepare for power outages, stock up on enough food and water to last a week and be ready to leave their homes if necessary.
Tracking Hurricane Milton
Milton on Tuesday was traveling just north of the Yucatán Peninsula, where the Mexican government issued hurricane warnings as forecasters expected damaging winds and a life-threatening storm surge to hit portions of the coast. The Category 5 hurricane had weakened somewhat since its maximum sustained wind speeds swirled past 180 mph Monday during a rapid period of intensification that the National Hurricane Center called “explosive” and “remarkable.”
That peak strength rivaled the most disastrous Atlantic hurricanes in recorded history and happened at breakneck speed. Milton was a tropical storm only 24 hours before it snowballed into a Category 5 hurricane, the highest ranking on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which rates storms based on their sustained wind speeds.
A satellite image of Hurricane Milton in the Gulf of Mexico at 5 p.m. Eastern Time on Oct. 8, 2024.
NOAA/NESDIS/STAR GOES-East
Milton dropped back down to Category 4 overnight. But by Tuesday evening, the storm churned over the Yucatán Peninsula with maximum wind speeds hovering around 165 mph — which is above the 157 mph threshold for a Category 5 storm. Forecasters said they expected Milton to retain its status as a major hurricane on its way to the western Florida coast.
“It is worth emphasizing that this is a very serious situation,” the hurricane center said Tuesday morning. “Milton has the potential to be one of the most destructive hurricanes on record for west-central Florida.”
Tampa Bay braces for landfall
The latest forecasts suggest Milton will make landfall either on or near the Tampa Bay area, likely as a formidable Category 3 hurricane. Although predictions as to Milton’s landfall location and timing have oscillated somewhat since Monday, when the storm underwent rapid changes, forecasts have remained fairly steady as far as the hurricane’s intensity when it strikes land. Milton’s wind speeds at that time are expected to fall to about 125 mph, according to the hurricane center. For impacted places, that could be devastating.
Debris from homes flooded by Hurricane Helene sits curbside as Hurricane Milton approaches on Oct. 8, 2024, in Port Richey, Florida.
AP Photo/Mike Carlson
Exactly where the hurricane is centered when Milton arrives on land may determine the extent of the destruction it wreaks on the Tampa Bay area, mainly linked to storm surge, wrote CBS News meteorologist Nikki Nolan.
“The forecast track with Milton has its sights set on the western coast of Florida, but the position of the center of the storm, or the ‘eye,’ can determine how catastrophic the impacts are on the Tampa Bay area,” Nolan said. “The eastern side of the eye is considered the ‘dirty side’ of the storm, which is where the winds tend to be the strongest. As the forecast track shifts northward, the dirty side then falls over Tampa Bay.”
CBS Miami
That creates more serious risks of storm surge in the region, according to Nolan. Forecasts have warned Milton’s arrival could bring potentially life-threatening storm surge to the Florida Gulf Coast, which is particularly vulnerable to severe surges because of its geography, and that is especially true for Tampa Bay. Multiple people died in Tampa from storm surge caused by Hurricane Helene, and that storm did not even hit the city directly.
Storm surge forecast
Hurricane and storm surge warnings expanded Tuesday to include large sections of Florida’s eastern coast, which could potentially see surges up to 4 feet above ground level as Milton tracks inland over the state after making landfall, on its route toward the Atlantic. Coastal places in Georgia and South Carolina could experience several feet of storm surge too.
Storm surge threats are a major concern for the west coast of Florida. In addition to hurricane warnings in place from Bonita Beach northward to the mouth of the Suwannee River, storm surge warnings were also in effect from Flamingo northward to the same location, including Charlotte Harbor and Tampa Bay.
Map shows the forecast for possible storm surge levels from Hurricane Milton.
NOAA/National Hurricane Center
The hurricane center has warned that storm surge in the Tampa Bay area could reach 10 to 15 feet above ground level.
“The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the south of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves,” the hurricane center said in a Monday afternoon advisory. “Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.”
Forecasts show heavy rainfall, up to 15 inches in certain areas, could cause “considerable flash, urban and areal flooding, along with moderate to major river flooding” in parts of the Florida peninsula though Thursday.
Evacuation zones
Mass evacuations were underway as Florida airports canceled flights, and schools as far south as Miami-Dade, Broward and Monroe counties announced closures ahead of Milton’s expected arrival. Thousands fled the Tampa Bay area and parts of the surrounding region were under mandatory evacuation orders issued Monday and Tuesday.
“We are talking about the possibility now of a direct hit,” said Tampa Mayor Jane Castor in a CNN interview Monday, where she urged people to heed storm warnings and follow evacuation protocols. Castor noted that storm surge caused by Helene, while destructive, was significantly lower than the surge forecast for a vast stretch of Florida’s western coast, including Tampa, with Milton.
Heavy traffic flows northbound on Interstate 75 as people evacuate the Tampa Bay area ahead of Hurricane Milton’s arrival Oct. 7, 2024, in Ocala, Florida.
AP Photo/Julio Cortez
“Helene was a wake-up call. This is literally catastrophic. And I can say, without any dramatization whatsoever, if you choose to stay in one of those evacuation areas, you’re going to die,” Castor said.
President Biden echoed the mayor Tuesday morning as the White House announced he would postpone a trip to Germany and Angola to monitor the response to Hurricane Milton.
“I’ve urged everyone, everyone currently located in Hurricane Milton’s path to listen to local officials and follow safety instructions,” Mr. Biden said. “… If you’re under evacuation orders, you should evacuate now, now, now — you should have already evacuated. It’s a matter of life and death.”
Mr. Biden said he preapproved emergency declarations in Florida and sent Federal Emergency Management Agency Administrator Deanne Criswell to the state Monday. The president also said he has spoken to all political leaders in the region expected to feel Milton’s impacts and told them, “Anything they ask for, they can get.”
Emily Mae Czachor is a reporter and news editor at CBSNews.com. She covers breaking news, often focusing on crime and extreme weather. Emily Mae has previously written for outlets including the Los Angeles Times, BuzzFeed and Newsweek.
Hurricane Milton rapidly intensified into a Category 1 storm on Sunday, and it has set its path on Florida’s Gulf Coast.
Forecasters predict Milton will make landfall around the Tampa Bay area on Wednesday, bringing with it upwards of 120 mph winds and drenching an area still reeling from Hurricane Helene.
As of 5 p.m. ET on Sunday, Milton was centered about 275 miles west-northwest of Progreso, Mexico, and about 805 miles west-southwest of Tampa. It had maximum sustained winds of 85 mph and was inching north-northeast at 7 mph.
Path of Hurricane Milton
A map from the National Hurricane Center shows Milton continuing to strengthen into a major hurricane as it approaches Florida’s western coast.
“Milton is forecast to rapidly intensify during the next couple of days and become a major hurricane on Monday,” forecasters said.
The projected path of Hurricane Milton as of Oct. 6, 2024
NOAA/National Hurricane Center
The storm is expected to remain north of Mexico’s Yucatan peninsula, with heavy rainfall expected as Milton makes its way northeast toward Florida. The Mexican government issued a hurricane watch from Celestun to Cabo Catoche, and a tropical storm warning from east of Cabo Catoche to Cancun.
The hurricane center said hurricane and storm surge watches could be issued for parts of Florida later Sunday.
A map from Oct. 6, 2024, showing the wind speeds that Hurricane Milton could bring.
NOAA/National Hurricane Center
Florida officials prepare for more impact
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said Sunday that while it remains to be seen just where Milton will strike, it’s clear that Florida is going to be hit hard. “I don’t think there’s any scenario where we don’t have major impacts at this point,” he said.
“You have time to prepare — all day today, all day Monday, probably all day Tuesday to be sure your hurricane preparedness plan is in place,” the governor said. “If you’re on that west coast of Florida, barrier islands, just assume you’ll be asked to leave.”
A satellite image of Hurricane Milton at around 5:30 p.m. EDT on Oct. 6, 2024.
NOAA/NESDIS/STAR GOES-East
DeSantis expanded his state of emergency declaration Sunday to 51 counties and said Floridians should prepare for more power outages and disruptions, making sure they have a week’s worth of food and water and are ready to hit the road.
The Federal Emergency Management Agency, meanwhile, coordinated with the governor and briefed President Biden Sunday on how it has staged lifesaving resources.
“I highly encourage you to evacuate” if you’re in an evacuation zone, said Kevin Guthrie, executive director of the Florida Division of Emergency Management. “We are preparing … for the largest evacuation that we have seen, most likely since 2017, Hurricane Irma. “
As many as 4,000 National Guard troops are helping state crews to remove debris, DeSantis said.
“All available state assets … are being marshaled to help remove debris,” DeSantis said. “We’re going 24-7 … it’s all hands on deck.”
On the heels of Hurricane Helene’s devastating landfall in Florida, the National Hurricane Center is watching another system near the Gulf of Mexico that has the potential to impact the state.While the NHC was originally monitoring this area of interest for potential tropical development, officials said Thursday morning that those chances are going down. According to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is likely to develop this weekend or next week over the Gulf of Mexico, but that system’s interaction with a frontal boundary is forecast to limit its subsequent tropical or subtropical development.While the system’s intensity is not expected to ramp up, the NHC says parts of Mexico and Florida are in for a soggy stretch next week. Rain coverage in Central Florida will be on the rise next week as this broad low moves through. The NHC says formation chances for this disturbance are very low, holding at 0% for the next 48 hours and just 30% in the next seven days — a decrease from recent advisories.This low is expected to move through the state right after Hurricane Helene slammed the Big Bend region as a monster Category 4 storm. Many Florida residents are still recovering from intense flooding, damaging storm surge and extreme wreckage from winds topping 140 mph. >> Chopper 2 video shows extensive Hurricane Helene damage in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay, Fort Myers>> Photos, videos show Helene’s eerie approach, intense impacts and devastating aftermath in FloridaAs the peak of hurricane season continues, the NHC is monitoring several systems, including Kirk and Leslie. Click here for the latest.First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
ORLANDO, Fla. —
On the heels of Hurricane Helene’s devastating landfall in Florida, the National Hurricane Center is watching another system near the Gulf of Mexico that has the potential to impact the state.
While the NHC was originally monitoring this area of interest for potential tropical development, officials said Thursday morning that those chances are going down.
According to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is likely to develop this weekend or next week over the Gulf of Mexico, but that system’s interaction with a frontal boundary is forecast to limit its subsequent tropical or subtropical development.
While the system’s intensity is not expected to ramp up, the NHC says parts of Mexico and Florida are in for a soggy stretch next week. Rain coverage in Central Florida will be on the rise next week as this broad low moves through.
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Our latest global models remain weak as a cold front will work in and generate a sheared environment next week. The bigger concern still remains the potential for a lot of rain next week. Stay with #weshwx as we pin down those amounts over the next few days. pic.twitter.com/oRupG9i4gR
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Big discrepancies remain between our global models with regards to rainfall. There remains the potential for heavy rainfall next week. Stay with #weshwx as we pin down those amounts over the next few days. pic.twitter.com/8FZ10G0Jh8
The NHC says formation chances for this disturbance are very low, holding at 0% for the next 48 hours and just 30% in the next seven days — a decrease from recent advisories.
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Chances of tropical development in the Caribbean are going down. However, rain coverage will still be on the rise next week as the broad low slowly moves toward the peninsula. pic.twitter.com/BgvjHs7lGq
This low is expected to move through the state right after Hurricane Helene slammed the Big Bend region as a monster Category 4 storm. Many Florida residents are still recovering from intense flooding, damaging storm surge and extreme wreckage from winds topping 140 mph.
On the heels of Hurricane Helene’s devastating landfall in Florida, the National Hurricane Center is watching another system in the Caribbean Sea that has the potential to impact the state.While models are not confident on the intensity of this system or if it will even become something tropical, the NHC says Floridians should “monitor” the disturbance — though, there is plenty of time to do so. The timing of the systems impacts still look to be next week, with heavy rainfall being a huge concern.Currently, a broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, but the NHC says environmental conditions could support some gradual development as the system moves northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico.According to the NHC, a tropical depression could form over the weekend once the system fully enters the Gulf. While most major models agree on the system moving toward Florida after that, models are not yet consistent enough to say what may form. As models fluctuate back and forth in regards to path and intensity, it’s important to take the data loosely. If the system develops, models will become more consistent and accurate, giving officials a better idea of direction and strength. For now, that data is not available.Formation chances remain pretty low for now, holding at just 0% in the next 48 hours and 40% in the next seven days — a decrease from previous advisories.This Caribbean disturbance is threatening Florida less than a week after Hurricane Helene slammed the Big Bend region as a monster Category 4 storm. Many Florida residents are still recovering from intense flooding, damaging storm surge and extreme wreckage from winds topping 140 mph.>> Chopper 2 video shows extensive Hurricane Helene damage in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay, Fort Myers>> Photos, videos show Helene’s eerie approach, intense impacts and devastating aftermath in FloridaAs the peak of hurricane season continues, the NHC is monitoring several systems, including Kirk and Invest 91-L. Click here for the latest.Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
ORLANDO, Fla. —
On the heels of Hurricane Helene’s devastating landfall in Florida, the National Hurricane Center is watching another system in the Caribbean Sea that has the potential to impact the state.
While models are not confident on the intensity of this system or if it will even become something tropical, the NHC says Floridians should “monitor” the disturbance — though, there is plenty of time to do so. The timing of the systems impacts still look to be next week, with heavy rainfall being a huge concern.
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New evening model data is in from our global models, showing what we’re tracking next week.
Area of low pressure forming, behind going us a whole lot of rain.
Does it form into anything tropical? Perhaps. Perhaps not.
Currently, a broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, but the NHC says environmental conditions could support some gradual development as the system moves northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico.
According to the NHC, a tropical depression could form over the weekend once the system fully enters the Gulf. While most major models agree on the system moving toward Florida after that, models are not yet consistent enough to say what may form.
As models fluctuate back and forth in regards to path and intensity, it’s important to take the data loosely. If the system develops, models will become more consistent and accurate, giving officials a better idea of direction and strength. For now, that data is not available.
Formation chances remain pretty low for now, holding at just 0% in the next 48 hours and 40% in the next seven days — a decrease from previous advisories.
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NHC still giving this area a 40% chance of seeing tropical formation over the next week. Big rain maker for Florida? For sure. Actual tropical development? Meh. Perhaps- let’s keep tabs… pic.twitter.com/hKuSV2gOZQ
This Caribbean disturbance is threatening Florida less than a week after Hurricane Helene slammed the Big Bend region as a monster Category 4 storm. Many Florida residents are still recovering from intense flooding, damaging storm surge and extreme wreckage from winds topping 140 mph.
The number of storm-related deaths climbed past 100 across the Southeast on Sunday as authorities rushed to airdrop supplies, restore power and clear roads after massive rains from the powerful Helene left people stranded and without shelter.
Helene left at least 116 people dead, CBS News has confirmed, and caused widespread destruction.
Thirty fatalities were reported in Buncombe County, North Carolina — in one of the states hit hardest by the storm.
Helene knocked out power to several million customers. More than two million still had no electricity early Monday, according to utility tracker Find Energy.
But But Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said Sunday night that 99% of the state’s homes and businesses had had power restored.
Helene crashed ashore in Florida’s Big Bend area on Thursday night as a dangerous Category 4 hurricane. Helene was the third hurricane to hit that region in the last 13 months.
From there, it quickly moved through Georgia, where Gov. Brian Kemp said Saturday it “looks like a bomb went off” after seeing splintered homes and debris-covered highways from the air.
Weakened, Helene then soaked the Carolinas and Tennessee with torrential rains, sending creeks and rivers over their banks and straining dams.
At least 116 people across multiple states were killed by Helene, a monster storm that caused a path of devastation that stretched over 600 miles.
In North Carolina, 46 people were killed, officials confirmed to CBS News, ranging in age from 4 to 75. One person died in a collision on a flooded road, Gov. Roy Cooper said, while another was killed when a tree fell on a house, according to the Mecklenburg Emergency Medical Services Agency.
At least 25 people were killed in Georgia, according to a spokesperson for the Georgia Emergency Management Agency. A first responder was among the dead, Kemp said earlier Friday.
In South Carolina, 27 people died from the storm, officials confirmed to CBS News. The deaths include two firefighters and two people who were killed when trees fell on residences.
In Florida, 13 people were killed officials confirmed to CBS News, including 10 people who died in Pinellas County. Statewide, crews have conducted thousands of rescue missions.
Downed trees on a home in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene on Sept. 29 in Rutherfordton, North Carolina.
Sean Rayford/Getty Images
“This is an unprecedented tragedy that requires an unprecedented response,” Cooper said at a press conference Sunday. He added that “we know there will be more” deaths as rescuers reach isolated areas.
Four weather-related fatalities were confirmed in Tennessee, one in Johnson County, one in Unicoi County and two in Cocke County.
In Virginia, Gov. Glenn Youngkin confirmed in a Friday news conference that one person was killed.
The National Weather Service on Saturday reported the highest rainfall totals from Helene for each state. The rural northwest North Carolina area of Busick has received the highest overall rainfall, with a staggering 30.78 inches so far.
FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell, who traveled to Florida on Saturday to survey the damage, said on “Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan” that the “historic flooding” in North Carolina has gone beyond what anyone could have planned for in the area.
“I don’t know that anybody could be fully prepared for the amount of flooding and landslides that they are experiencing right now,” she said.
Asheville, North Carolina, was particularly hard hit as rising floodwaters damaged roads, led to power outages and cut off cellphone service.
On Sunday, Cooper asked residents to avoid traveling on roadways in western North Carolina.
“Many people are cut off because the roads are impassable,” he said.
President Biden has issued emergency declarations for Florida, Georgia, Alabama, North Carolina, South Carolina and Tennessee, all of which free up federal resources that will go towards recovery and assistance efforts.
More than 800 FEMA personnel have been deployed to the region to assist in the response, the White House said.
People waiting in line for gasoline in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene on Sept. 29 in Fletcher, North Carolina. Millions are still without power and the White House declared major disasters in North Carolina and Florida, freeing up federal emergency management money for those areas.
Sean Rayford/Getty Images
Moody’s Analytics said it expects $15 billion to $26 billion in property damage. AccuWeather’s preliminary estimate of the total damage and economic loss from Helene in the U.S. is between $95 billion and $110 billion.
In East Tennessee, the flooding was so bad that two dams were at risk of failing. The Cocke County city of Newport was evacuated as a result, but both dams ultimately held.
“Rescues have been made, attempts have been made, some people are stranded on the roofs of their homes and things like that,” Cocke County Sheriff CJ Ball said.
The Gulf Coast community of Keaton Beach, Florida, was still recovering from Idalia and Debby when Helene appeared to deliver the knockout punch. Taylor County officials estimate that 90% of homes in Keaton Beach are gone.
And further south in Cedar Key, officials say it is not safe for residents or rescue workers.
In the waters off Florida’s Sanibel Island, a Coast Guard crew made a daring rescue, saving a man and his dog who were stranded on his 36-foot sailboat.
In the Big Bend fishing village of Steinhatchee, storm-weary residents prayed Helene would miss them, but the waterside docks and restaurants that once stood here though are now gone.
A man crosses a storm surge flooded area on the coast of Gulfport, Florida, as Hurricane Helene passed through the Gulf of Mexico to the west on Sept. 26, 2024.
Thomas Simonetti for The Washington Post via Getty Images
The storm surge shoved buildings off their foundations. Linda Wicker lost the restaurant she had owned for 20 years. She seemed more shaken by what she saw across her village, homes torn apart by the wind and the deep water.
“If you let it play with your mind, you just can’t go there,” Wicker said. “You can’t. It’s horrible.”
On historic Davis Islands in Tampa, streets were under water and boats had washed up on land. One home was gutted by flames. Marie Terry, who lives next door, would have been in the neighborhood unless her daughter had insisted she evacuate.
“I’m just in shock,” Terry told CBS News. “It’s just such a beautiful house, and to see it like this, it’s like, what could have happened?”
In Atlanta, an apartment complex flooded, and neighbors had to rescue each other. Sam Oni, 83, was one of them.
“But I thought I would somehow escape it, but I did not…and I owe a lot to my neighbors,” Oni told CBS News.
A drone view shows a flooded St. Armands Circle after the area was hit by Helene in Sarasota, Florida, Sept. 27, 2024, in this still image obtained from social media video.
Sarasota Police Department via Reuters
Serena Rodriguez was asleep in bed in her Atlanta home when she started floating, but it was not dream.
“It was like all around, the water, it was like an island,” Rodriguez told CBS News. “…A nightmare mostly. Yeah, I was it was insane. Like, I couldn’t believe it. I was in shock all the time. I never experienced anything like it.”
Annie Sloan, who was one of them, told CBS News Miami: “I decided to come to the shelter because I live alone and basically my son came to take me to Georgia, but we discovered the hurricane was going to Georgia also, and I decided to just come here and shelter because my husband passed, and I don’t want to be home alone.”
Most gas stations in the Tallahassee area were shut down or out of gas. CBS News senior weather and climate producer David Parkinson described Helene as a “gargantuan” storm.
NASA shared video of the hurricane as seen from the International Space Station, showing the size of the storm as it churned through the Gulf of Mexico Thursday afternoon.
The International Space Station flew over Hurricane Helene at 2:25 p.m. EDT Thursday, Sept. 26, 2024, as it approached the Gulf Coast of Florida packing winds in excess of 120 miles an hour. pic.twitter.com/J1iU0Iztpx
Record-warm water in the Gulf almost certainly acted like jet fuel in intensifying the storm. Brian McNoldy, senior research associate at the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, recently noted that ocean heat content in the Gulf of Mexico is the highest on record. Warm water is a necessary ingredient to strengthen tropical systems.
This is pretty amazing: the ocean heat content averaged over the Gulf of Mexico is obliterating previous all-time record highs. It’s 126% of average for the date.https://t.co/CdrzWVvKiZpic.twitter.com/rciwFvJ8Zx
Helene is the eighth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1.
Dustin Holmes, second from right, holds hands with his girlfriend, Hailey Morgan, while returning to their flooded home with her children Aria Skye Hall, 7, right, and Kyle Ross, 4, in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene, Friday, Sept. 27, 2024, in Crystal River, Fla.
Alex Sundby is a senior editor at CBSNews.com. In addition to editing content, Alex also covers breaking news, writing about crime and severe weather as well as everything from multistate lottery jackpots to the July Fourth hot dog eating contest.
The National Hurricane Center is watching an area of interest in the Caribbean that some models say could have a path toward Florida.Area of interest in the Caribbean SeaAccording to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form late this weekend or early next week over the western/northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly starts to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible. The NHC says a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week.While most major models agree on the low developing this weekend, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that.Some model runs show the system staying weaker and moving west toward Texas and Mexico, while other model runs show the system getting stronger and moving north toward Florida.Because the low hasn’t even formed yet, it’s too early to know exactly where the system will head or how strong it will become. If the system forms, more data will become available and models will become stronger. For now, WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates. The NHC has raised formation chances for this system, saying there’s a medium (40%) chance of formation in the next week. In the next 48 hours, formation chances are nearly 0%.In addition to the Caribbean disturbance, the NHC is watching two other areas of interest, including the remnants of Gordon.GordonEven though Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it is still monitoring the system for potential development again.Showers and thunderstorms associated with Gordon, which was a tropical storm at one point, remain unorganized. However, officials say environmental conditions could become marginally conducive for development later this week, making it possible for a tropical depression or tropical storm to re-form.Formation chances are somewhat significant, holding at 20% for the next 48 hours and 40% for the next seven days.Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida.Central and Western Subtropical AtlanticThe NHC tagged a new area of interest on Thursday morning in the Atlantic Ocean. According to the NHC, the well-defined area of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the northwest of Gordon’s remnants has increasing shower and thunderstorm activity.Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development, the NHC says, but some additional development is possible as the system meanders over the open waters. Formation chances remain low for now, sitting at 10% for the next 48 hours and 20% in the next seven days.>> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024>> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
ORLANDO, Fla. —
The National Hurricane Center is watching an area of interest in the Caribbean that some models say could have a path toward Florida.
Area of interest in the Caribbean Sea
According to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form late this weekend or early next week over the western/northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly starts to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible.
The NHC says a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week.
While most major models agree on the low developing this weekend, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that.
Some model runs show the system staying weaker and moving west toward Texas and Mexico, while other model runs show the system getting stronger and moving north toward Florida.
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-Why do we need to watch?
It’s too early to run tropical models, as there’s nothing to run them on… but global models are at least finding this area of development.
This is the broad scope of where the global models are showing a system forming and moving.
Because the low hasn’t even formed yet, it’s too early to know exactly where the system will head or how strong it will become. If the system forms, more data will become available and models will become stronger.
For now, WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates.
The NHC has raised formation chances for this system, saying there’s a medium (40%) chance of formation in the next week. In the next 48 hours, formation chances are nearly 0%.
In addition to the Caribbean disturbance, the NHC is watching two other areas of interest, including the remnants of Gordon.
Gordon
Even though Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it is still monitoring the system for potential development again.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with Gordon, which was a tropical storm at one point, remain unorganized. However, officials say environmental conditions could become marginally conducive for development later this week, making it possible for a tropical depression or tropical storm to re-form.
Formation chances are somewhat significant, holding at 20% for the next 48 hours and 40% for the next seven days.
Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida.
Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic
The NHC tagged a new area of interest on Thursday morning in the Atlantic Ocean.
According to the NHC, the well-defined area of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the northwest of Gordon’s remnants has increasing shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development, the NHC says, but some additional development is possible as the system meanders over the open waters.
Formation chances remain low for now, sitting at 10% for the next 48 hours and 20% in the next seven days.
Mexico issued a tropical storm warning Saturday along the coast, from Altata to Huatabampito, and has discontinued all watches and warnings for Baja California Sur after rain from Storm Ileana pounded the resort-studded Los Cabos a day before.
Ileana moved northward over the southern Gulf of California at 7 mph, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center. The storm was about 70 miles (110 km) east of La Paz, Mexico with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 kph), the center said.
Tropical storm warnings have been issued for the coasts of northern Sinaloa and extreme southern Sonola.
On Friday, a warning was in effect for portions of the Baja California Peninsula, including Cabo San Lucas and San Jose del Cabo.
Juan Manuel Arce Ortega, from Los Cabos Civil Protection, said the municipalities of La Paz and Los Cabos were on red alert at the time and urged residents to avoid crossing rivers, streams, and low areas where they can be swept away by water.
All schools in Los Cabos were also suspended Friday due to the storm.
Óscar Cruces Rodríguez of Mexico’s federal Civil Protection said in a statement that residents should avoid leaving their homes until the storm passes and if residents are in an area at risk of flooding to find temporary shelters.
Authorities prepared 20 temporary shelters in San Jose del Cabo and Cabo San Lucas, according to Los Cabos Civil Protection.
At the Hacienda Beach Club and Residences in Cabo San Lucas, valet worker Alan Galvan said the rain arrived late Thursday night and has been constant. “The rain isn’t very strong right now, but the waves are choppy,” he said.
“The guests are very calm and already came down for coffee,” Galvan said. “There’s some flights canceled but everything is ok at the moment.” Galvan said they are awaiting further advisories from authorities.
The rain remained consistent through Los Cabos Friday afternoon, with several roads flooded and some resorts stacking up sandbags on their perimeters. Some people were still walking around boat docks with their umbrellas.
“The priority has to be safety, starting with the workers. We always have to check on our colleagues who live in risk areas,” said Lyzzette Liceaga, a tour operator at Los Cabos.
“We give them the information shared by the authorities — firefighters in risk areas — so that they can go to the shelters if necessary,” she added.
Earlier this week, Francine weakened into a post-tropical cyclone as it moved north across Mississippi, soaking that state and its neighbors in heavy rain after it slammed into the Louisiana coast Wednesday evening as a dangerous Category 2 hurricane. In August, Tropical Storm Ernesto moved away from Bermuda after making landfall on the island as a Category 1 hurricane.
Hurricane activity tends to peak in mid-September, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico — all of them with development chances.Northwestern Gulf of MexicoA broad area of low pressure just offshore of Texas’ upper coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.For the next couple of days, the NHC says the system will meander near the coast, possibly developing further if it stays offshore long enough. The system is expected to move inland Tuesday, and development is not expected after that.Regardless of development, the NHC says heavy rains and flash flooding is possible over the next few days.Formation chances remain low, holding at only 10% for both the next 48 hours and the next seven days.Lesser Antilles and Caribbean SeaA tropical wave near the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds in the area, Puerto Rico and adjacent Caribbean waters.According to the NHC, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development when the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico later this week and into the weekend, which is when a tropical depression could form.Formation chances remain low for now (near 0%), but jump to 40% in the next seven days, which is considered “medium.”Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Eastern Tropical AtlanticAnother tropical wave off the west coast of Africa is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and the NHC says a tropical depression could form in a few days as the system moves west-northwestward.According to the NHC, this system could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands soon.For now, formation chances remain low at 10% for the next 48 hours. However, that chance becomes 40% in the weeklong forecast.Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
ORLANDO, Fla. —
The National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico — all of them with development chances.
Northwestern Gulf of Mexico
A broad area of low pressure just offshore of Texas’ upper coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
For the next couple of days, the NHC says the system will meander near the coast, possibly developing further if it stays offshore long enough. The system is expected to move inland Tuesday, and development is not expected after that.
Regardless of development, the NHC says heavy rains and flash flooding is possible over the next few days.
Formation chances remain low, holding at only 10% for both the next 48 hours and the next seven days.
Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea
A tropical wave near the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds in the area, Puerto Rico and adjacent Caribbean waters.
According to the NHC, environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development when the system reaches the western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico later this week and into the weekend, which is when a tropical depression could form.
Formation chances remain low for now (near 0%), but jump to 40% in the next seven days, which is considered “medium.”
Another tropical wave off the west coast of Africa is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and the NHC says a tropical depression could form in a few days as the system moves west-northwestward.
According to the NHC, this system could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands soon.
For now, formation chances remain low at 10% for the next 48 hours. However, that chance becomes 40% in the weeklong forecast.
Two tropical waves are moving through the Atlantic and another is in the Gulf of Mexico, according to the National Hurricane Center, and they all have the possibility of developing.Northwestern Gulf of MexicoA broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development is possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few days. Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%.Formation chance through 7 days: 20%Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean SeaA tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The disturbance is forecast to move westward and reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday followed by a gradual development and a possible tropical depression. Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent Formation chance through 7 days: 50%Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave located just to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the system moves slowly westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic through late next week. Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percentFormation chance through 7 days: 10%Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
Two tropical waves are moving through the Atlantic and another is in the Gulf of Mexico, according to the National Hurricane Center, and they all have the possibility of developing.
Northwestern Gulf of Mexico
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Texas and Louisiana.
This system is expected to linger near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development is possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few days.
Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%.
Formation chance through 7 days: 20%
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Morning data on the tropics is showing 3 areas to follow… but the area in the open Atlantic that now has a medium 50% chance of formation is the one we’ll really need to watch… pic.twitter.com/xRf2UW4cRv
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The disturbance is forecast to move westward and reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday followed by a gradual development and a possible tropical depression.
Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent
Formation chance through 7 days: 50%
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave located just to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the system moves slowly westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic through late next week.
Ernesto has strengthened back into a hurricane and is expected to cause dangerous beach conditions along the East Coast of the U.S. early this week.Over the weekend, Ernesto became a tropical storm after devastating the small island of Bermuda with tropical downpours, heavy winds and plenty of flooding. Now that the storm is passing through uninterrupted Atlantic waters, the National Hurricane Center says Ernesto is getting a little stronger.According to its latest advisory, Hurricane Ernesto is located about 320 miles south-southeast of Halifax Nova Scotia with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph and a minimum central pressure of 968 mb.Though the NHC says interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto, there are currently no watches or warnings in effect.Ernesto is currently moving north-northeast around 20 mph, but the NHC says they expect the storm to turn northeast and move a little quicker throughout Monday and Tuesday. The system could pass near Newfoundland either Monday night or on Tuesday.The storm is not forecast to gain more strength, and the NHC says Ernesto could lose tropical characteristics in the next few days.While Ernesto is not posing much threat to land, the NHC says beach conditions in the Bahamas, Bermuda and the East Coast of the United States could be more dangerous than usual due to the storm.Beachgoers should prepare for rough surf and life-threatening rip currents, and always pay attention to signals and warnings from lifeguards.In Central Florida, the highest risk is on Monday. Rough conditions gradually subside as the week goes on.According to the National Weather Service in Melbourne, the strong rip currents coming from Ernesto can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore and into deeper water, adding that residents and visitors are strongly urged to stay out of the surf on Monday. Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2 First Warning Weather Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts. The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
ORLANDO, Fla. —
Ernesto has strengthened back into a hurricane and is expected to cause dangerous beach conditions along the East Coast of the U.S. early this week.
Over the weekend, Ernesto became a tropical storm after devastating the small island of Bermuda with tropical downpours, heavy winds and plenty of flooding. Now that the storm is passing through uninterrupted Atlantic waters, the National Hurricane Center says Ernesto is getting a little stronger.
According to its latest advisory, Hurricane Ernesto is located about 320 miles south-southeast of Halifax Nova Scotia with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph and a minimum central pressure of 968 mb.
Though the NHC says interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto, there are currently no watches or warnings in effect.
Ernesto is currently moving north-northeast around 20 mph, but the NHC says they expect the storm to turn northeast and move a little quicker throughout Monday and Tuesday. The system could pass near Newfoundland either Monday night or on Tuesday.
The storm is not forecast to gain more strength, and the NHC says Ernesto could lose tropical characteristics in the next few days.
While Ernesto is not posing much threat to land, the NHC says beach conditions in the Bahamas, Bermuda and the East Coast of the United States could be more dangerous than usual due to the storm.
Beachgoers should prepare for rough surf and life-threatening rip currents, and always pay attention to signals and warnings from lifeguards.
In Central Florida, the highest risk is on Monday. Rough conditions gradually subside as the week goes on.
According to the National Weather Service in Melbourne, the strong rip currents coming from Ernesto can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore and into deeper water, adding that residents and visitors are strongly urged to stay out of the surf on Monday.
Tropical Storm Ernesto, currently moving over eastern Puerto Rico, is dropping a torrential amount of rain, the National Hurricane Center said on Wednesday morning.The tropical storm is expected to develop into a hurricane soon.According to the latest advisory from the NHC, Ernesto is located about 125 miles northwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 70 mph and a minimum central pressure of 991 mb.>> Track Tropical Storm Ernesto here MORE: ‘Puerto Ricans are resilient’: The island prepares for Tropical Storm Ernesto A tropical storm warning has been issued for many places, including: British Virgin IslandsU.S. Virgin IslandsPuerto RicoVieques and Culebra A tropical storm warning means tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere in the warning area in the next 36 hours.More: Difference between tropical storm, hurricane watch and warningImpacts may include heavy rainfall, flash flooding, mudslides and landslides.Ernesto is the fifth named storm of the 2024 hurricane season. Many models show the system intensifying into a hurricane early Wednesday, possibly reaching Category 3 strength by the weekend.We are currently just about a month out from the peak of hurricane season, which is Sep. 10. The end of hurricane season is Nov. 30.More: Where do hurricanes begin?Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Ernesto impacts in Central FloridaWhile current models do not show any direct impacts from Tropical Storm Ernesto, the storm’s presence in the Atlantic has the potential to intensify Central Florida beach conditions such as wave height and surf.Wave heights over the weekend have the potential to be anywhere from four to eight feet. Beachgoers should also be aware that rip current risks could be elevated because of Ernesto.First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere weather alertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning chief meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
ORLANDO, Fla. —
Tropical Storm Ernesto, currently moving over eastern Puerto Rico, is dropping a torrential amount of rain, the National Hurricane Center said on Wednesday morning.
The tropical storm is expected to develop into a hurricane soon.
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According to the latest advisory from the NHC, Ernesto is located about 125 miles northwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 70 mph and a minimum central pressure of 991 mb.
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Impacts may include heavy rainfall, flash flooding, mudslides and landslides.
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Ernesto is the fifth named storm of the 2024 hurricane season. Many models show the system intensifying into a hurricane early Wednesday, possibly reaching Category 3 strength by the weekend.
We are currently just about a month out from the peak of hurricane season, which is Sep. 10. The end of hurricane season is Nov. 30.
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While current models do not show any direct impacts from Tropical Storm Ernesto, the storm’s presence in the Atlantic has the potential to intensify Central Florida beach conditions such as wave height and surf.
Wave heights over the weekend have the potential to be anywhere from four to eight feet. Beachgoers should also be aware that rip current risks could be elevated because of Ernesto.
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Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.
Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.
Tropical Storm Ernesto gained strength on Tuesday morning as it headed toward the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, where forecasters said it could bring powerful winds and heavy rain — up to 10 inches in some places — before potentially intensifying into a hurricane.
Ernesto became the fifth named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season when it formed Monday along a fast-moving path to the Caribbean. The storm comes on the heels of Hurricane Debby, which lashed parts of the southeastern United States last week with disastrous flooding and brewed up a flash of severe weather that ultimately touched much of the East Coast. Ernesto wasn’t expected to strike the mainland U.S., the National Hurricane Center said.
NOAA/National Hurricane Center
Maps charting Ernesto’s path, according to the latest forecasts Tuesday afternoon, suggested the storm would continue on its route toward the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, after traveling across portions of the Leeward Islands. Ernesto could either reach or pass over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by the evening, although forecasters said it was possible the system’s track would carry it near the islands instead of over them.
Ernesto could develop into a hurricane after leaving the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, which would require its maximum sustained wind speeds to meet or exceed 74 miles per hour. That could happen by Wednesday, forecasters said, although an initial timeline for Ernesto’s strengthening suggested it wouldn’t reach the threshold necessary to warrant hurricane status until early Thursday.
NOAA/National Hurricane Center
As of 2 p.m. ET on Tuesday, the storm was churning in the Atlantic Ocean, about 85 miles east of St. Croix and about 175 miles east-southeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico, according to the hurricane center. It was traveling west-northwestward at 18 mph and packing maximum sustained winds of 60 mph.
Hurricane watches were in effect for the U.S. Virgin Islands, Culebra, Vieques and the British Virgin Islands. Tropical storm warnings were also in effect for those places, as well as in Puerto Rico, St. Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, and Anguilla, St. Martin and St. Barthelemy and Sint Maarten. Previous tropical storm warnings for Antigua, Barbuda and Guadeloupe were discontinued Tuesday afternoon.
Hurricane watches are issued when hurricane conditions are possible in a given area within 12 hours or so. Tropical storm warnings are issued when forecasters expect tropical storm conditions to impact an area within 36 hours, but meteorologists said at 2 p.m. ET on Tuesday that tropical storm conditions were expected to begin in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by nighttime, and potentially even sooner than that. Powerful winds and other weather conditions typical of a tropical storm were already happening in the Leeward Islands, they said.
Tropical-storm-force winds extended outward up to 105 miles from Ernesto’s center on Tuesday afternoon — a sizable expansion from its 70-mile reach in the morning — according to the hurricane center.
Not unlike Debby, which dumped devastating and, in some instances, historic rainfall on southeastern U.S. states last week, Ernesto’s primary threat was inundation, although slightly less rain was forecast for this week compared with last week’s hurricane.
Ernesto was expected to shower parts of the Leeward Islands and Virgin Islands with 4 to 6 inches of rain, while southeastern Puerto Rico was expected to see 6 to 8 inches, although forecasters warned that as much as 10 inches of rain could fall in certain places.
CBS News senior weather producer David Parkinson said Tuesday morning that even a foot of rainfall could be possible in areas where the terrain might lend itself to that. Northwestern Puerto Rico was forecast to get less rain, between 2 and 4 inches in total.
NOAA/National Hurricane Center
“Heavy rainfall may result in locally considerable flash flooding and mudslides in areas of the Leeward Islands through today, and over the Virgin Islands into Puerto Rico by later today through Wednesday,” the hurricane center said in an advisory Tuesday morning.
Ernesto was also expected to fuel storm surge, between 1 and 3 feet above ground levels, along the eastern coast of Puerto Rico from San Juan, the capital city, to Guayama, and to the islands of Culebra and Vieques. The same peak surge forecast could materialize in the U.S. Virgin Islands, including St. Thomas, St. John and St. Croix, and in the British Virgin Islands. The hurricane center warned that surge would be accompanied by large, destructive waves in coastal regions.
NOAA/National Hurricane Center
By Thursday morning, when Ernesto was forecast to have grown from a tropical storm to at least a Category 1 hurricane, it would likely continue tracking northward over the western Atlantic on a path toward Bermuda, where it could make landfall on Sunday, Parkinson said. He noted that the eastern seaboard of the mainland U.S. could see rip currents and larger waves than usual as an indirect consequence of the storm.
“It is too soon to know what impacts Ernesto could bring to Bermuda late this week,” the hurricane center said Tuesday, adding that “interests there should monitor the progress of this system.”
Emily Mae Czachor is a reporter and news editor at CBSNews.com. She covers breaking news, often focusing on crime and extreme weather. Emily Mae has previously written for outlets including the Los Angeles Times, BuzzFeed and Newsweek.
Tropical Storm Ernesto, previously tagged as Potential Tropical Cyclone Five, is continuing its westward path towards Puerto Rico and other surrounding islands.Ernesto was upgraded on Monday evening and is expected to get stronger as it passes land and moves north through the Atlantic.According to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Ernesto is located about 300 miles east southeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1005 mb.>> Track Tropical Storm Ernesto here A tropical storm warning is in effect for multiple places, including:GuadeloupeSt. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda and AnguillaSt. Martin and St. BarthelemySint MaartenBritish Virgin IslandsU.S. Virgin IslandsPuerto RicoViequesCulebraA tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere in the warning area in the next 36 hours.More: Difference between tropical storm, hurricane watch and warningImpacts may include heavy rainfall, flash flooding, mudslides and landslides.Ernesto is the fifth named storm of the 2024 hurricane season. Many models show the system intensifying to a hurricane by this weekend, possibly reaching Category 2 strength. We are currently just about a month out from the peak of hurricane season, which is Sep. 10. The end of hurricane season is Nov. 30.More: Where do hurricanes begin?Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024Ernesto impacts in Central FloridaWhile current models do not show any direct impacts from Tropical Storm Ernesto, the storm’s presence in the Atlantic has the potential to intensify Central Florida beach conditions such as wave height and surf. Wave heights over the weekend have the potential to be anywhere from four to eight feet. Beachgoers should also be aware that rip current risks could be elevated because of Ernesto. First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
ORLANDO, Fla. —
Tropical Storm Ernesto, previously tagged as Potential Tropical Cyclone Five, is continuing its westward path towards Puerto Rico and other surrounding islands.
Ernesto was upgraded on Monday evening and is expected to get stronger as it passes land and moves north through the Atlantic.
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Tropical Storm Ernesto is looking healthy this morning-
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A tropical storm warning is in effect for multiple places, including:
Guadeloupe
St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda and Anguilla
St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
Sint Maarten
British Virgin Islands
U.S. Virgin Islands
Puerto Rico
Vieques
Culebra
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere in the warning area in the next 36 hours.
Impacts may include heavy rainfall, flash flooding, mudslides and landslides.
Ernesto is the fifth named storm of the 2024 hurricane season. Many models show the system intensifying to a hurricane by this weekend, possibly reaching Category 2 strength.
We are currently just about a month out from the peak of hurricane season, which is Sep. 10. The end of hurricane season is Nov. 30.
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Just a sidebar that we’re just over a month out from the peak of hurricane season which is September 10th. A long way to go to the end of the season which is November 30th. #WESHwxpic.twitter.com/y5oX7PZClv
While current models do not show any direct impacts from Tropical Storm Ernesto, the storm’s presence in the Atlantic has the potential to intensify Central Florida beach conditions such as wave height and surf.
Wave heights over the weekend have the potential to be anywhere from four to eight feet. Beachgoers should also be aware that rip current risks could be elevated because of Ernesto.
First Warning Weather
Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.
Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.
(CNN) — Tropical Storm Debby is now forecast to rapidly intensify into a hurricane before it makes landfall in Florida’s Big Bend region and bring potentially historic amounts of rainfall to parts of the Southeast, due to near-record warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico.
Authorities in Florida and Georgia are urging residents to prepare as the storm makes its way through the Gulf, with Debby now expected to undergo rapid intensification, which occurs when a storm’s top-end winds increase 35 mph in 24 hours. Itcould become a hurricane by Sunday evening after being upgraded to a tropical storm a day prior, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Debby has sustained winds of 65 mph — up 30 mph from a day ago — and is located about 130 miles west–southwest of Tampa, Florida, according to the National Hurricane Center’s 11 a.m. ET Sunday update, warning that the threats of heavy rain and storm surge could lead to flooding in Florida, Georgia and South Carolina in the coming days.
Hurricane conditions are expected to arrive by Monday morning, with the outer bands of the storm system making their way on shore during the day Sunday. The storm is forecast to reach the coast of Florida’s Big Bend early Monday, at which point Debby is expected to then crawl across northern Florida and southern Georgia throughout the day and into Tuesday, the hurricane center said.
The main threat will be flooding, both from storm surges up to 10 feet and heavy rainfall. Freshwater flooding, which is caused by rainfall, has become the deadliest aspect of tropical systems in the last decade, according to research conducted by the National Hurricane Center — a threat made more dangerous as the world warms from fossil fuel pollution.
The strengthening storm tracking up the Florida Peninsula’s western coast prompted county and state officials to issue a string of voluntary and mandatory evacuation orders as the hurricane center posted hurricane watches and warnings across several parts of the state, including near Tampa and the Big Bend region.
Tropical storm and storm surge watches have also been issued for coastal Georgia and parts of South Carolina. The cities of Savannah, Georgia, and Charleston, South Carolina, could both see a month’s worth of rain in a single day — and perhaps even an entire summer’s worth of rain over the course of the storm.
A tornado watch has also been issued for much of the Florida Peninsula and parts of southern Georgia until Sunday night, covering more than 13 million people, including the cities of Tallahassee, Jacksonville, Tampa, and Orlando.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp havedeclared states of emergency for their states in advance of the storm’s arrival. DeSantis on Sunday said in a news conference that he’d activated the Florida National Guard so it would be poised to assist with humanitarian needs as well as search and rescue.
DeSantis called on residents to finish their preparations and to brace for power outages, “particularly in parts of the state like here in Tallahassee.”
“There’s going to be a lot of trees that are going to fall down. You’re going to have debris. You are going to have power interruption,” the governor said, “so just prepare for that.”
President Joe Biden on Sunday approved a disaster declaration for Florida, the White House announced, authorizing federal resources to respond to any disaster relief efforts.
Storm expected to intensify over Gulf
The slower Debby moves and the longer it sits over warm waters, the more likely the storm is to intensify. Studies have shown tropical systems are slowing down over time, making them more likely to produce greater rainfall totals over a given area.
Oceans are also getting warmer and supercharging storms, pumping them full of moisture. A 2022 study published in the journal Nature Communications found climate change increased hourly rainfall rates in tropical storms by 5 to 10% and in hurricanes by 8 to 11%.
“Conditions are favorable for strengthening over the Gulf of Mexico with warm sea surface temperatures and light shear. Intensification is likely to be slow during the first 12–24 hours, then proceed at a faster rate after the cyclone develops an organized inner core,” the National Hurricane Center said of Debby.
By early Monday, Debby is expected to move into the Apalachee Bay area of Florida as it moves northward over the Gulf, according to the Weather Prediction Center.
The Apalachee Bay area, which includes parts of Taylor, Jefferson, Wakulla, and Franklin counties, can expect to get drenched with heavy rain from Debby on Sunday, increasing the possibility of flash flooding in several spots, the hurricane center said.
In the meantime, county officials have urged residents in communities along Florida’s Gulf Coast to evacuate ahead of the storm. Mandatory evacuation orders are in effect for parts of Franklin, Citrus and Levy counties, with voluntary orders issued in Hernando, Taylor and Pasco counties.
“I am worried about the aftermath and seeing how much damage we get (and) how we are going to fix it,” Sue Colson, the mayor of Cedar Key in Levy County, told CNN Sunday. The city sits on the island of Way Key in the Gulf of Mexico, about four miles off the coast. She cited high amounts of anticipated rain as well as the threat of storm surge.
“That is always concerning when you are a low-lying island in the middle of the Gulf,” she said.
On Saturday, Florida Highway Patrol knocked on doors to tell residents to consider leaving, Colson said. Residents were continuing to finish their preparations on Sunday morning.
“I think everybody needs to make wise decisions for themselves and not endanger others by endangering yourself,” she said. “If you’re endangering yourself, you are endangering others, because then they have to rescue you.”
Heavy rain could linger for days
As a slow-moving Debby churns along the Georgia-Carolina coastline heading into the new week, it could lead to seemingly endless amounts of rain for days, with totals potentially reaching over 2 feet.
The heaviest rain amounts could even top 30 inches or more, depending on how long Debby meanders, with some forecast models showing the storm could linger through at least Thursday. “This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable flash and urban flooding, with significant river flooding expected,” the National Hurricane Center said.
Such exceptional rainfall would challenge state records for rain from a tropical cyclone: In Georgia, the record is 27.85 inches from 1994’s Alberto, while South Carolina’s record is 23.63 inches from Florence in 2018.
A warmer atmosphere holds more moisture and can dump heavier rain. Warmer oceans can fuel stronger hurricanes, packing a punch with higher storm surge thanks to sea-level rise.
With an uptick in the intensity forecast comes an increase in forecastedstorm surge, which occurs when ocean water is pushed inland by the onshore winds of a hurricane. Storm surge flooding above ground could rise to 6 to 10 feet along Florida’s Big Bend, and coastal Georgia and South Carolina could see surges reach 2 to 4 feet.
Tampa Bay is expecting 2 to 4 feet of storm surge. Marco Island and other areas of southwest Florida will see 1 to 3 feet of storm surge.
Warmer air and ocean temperatures fueled by human-induced climate change can lead to wetter tropical systems.
The North Florida region nestled between the Panhandle and the rest of the state’s peninsula took a devastating hit last August from Category 3 Hurricane Idalia, and now faces a new threat from Debby.
An area of low pressure that developed off Florida’s coast has made its way north with next to no chance of developing any further, according to the National Hurricane Center. The disturbance was centered near the South and North Carolina coastline on Friday afternoon. The broad area of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.The disturbance is expected to move inland over the Carolinas on Friday after staying in the Atlantic for most of the week. According to the NHC, the disturbance contains strong upper-level winds, which will prevent additional development as the system moves over land. While the chances for formation remain at nearly 0% for the next 48 hours and the next seven days, the NHC says the disturbance could contribute to heavy rainfall and possible flash-flooding throughout Friday and into Saturday. Many areas of Central Florida saw rain and clouds on Thursday, mostly due to this system, which was originally tagged closer to the state. Officials remind beachgoers that the disturbance could elevate the risk for rip currents. Swim cautiously. Related: Hurricane KidCast: What’s a hurricane? And more answers to kids’ questionsRelated: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2New tropical wave A tropical wave is moving across the Lesser Antilles into the eastern Caribbean, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to the Windward and Virgin islands. Showers will dissipate between Friday evening and early Saturday.BerylThe area of interest comes on the heels of Hurricane Beryl, which left a path of destruction in the Caribbean before making landfall in Texas on Monday morning. It was the biggest and earliest storm in recorded history.More: Hurricane Beryl broke records. Climate change is a main contributor, NOAA says
ORLANDO, Fla. —
An area of low pressure that developed off Florida’s coast has made its way north with next to no chance of developing any further, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The disturbance was centered near the South and North Carolina coastline on Friday afternoon. The broad area of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The disturbance is expected to move inland over the Carolinas on Friday after staying in the Atlantic for most of the week. According to the NHC, the disturbance contains strong upper-level winds, which will prevent additional development as the system moves over land.
While the chances for formation remain at nearly 0% for the next 48 hours and the next seven days, the NHC says the disturbance could contribute to heavy rainfall and possible flash-flooding throughout Friday and into Saturday.
Many areas of Central Florida saw rain and clouds on Thursday, mostly due to this system, which was originally tagged closer to the state.
Officials remind beachgoers that the disturbance could elevate the risk for rip currents. Swim cautiously.
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A look at the tropical visible satellite shows a wave coming through the Windward Islands and a feature near the South Carolina coast. Pretty quiet with no tropical development expected. Stay with @WESH for updates. #weshwxpic.twitter.com/HxuPJGQK3F
A tropical wave is moving across the Lesser Antilles into the eastern Caribbean, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to the Windward and Virgin islands. Showers will dissipate between Friday evening and early Saturday.
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July 12:🌧️Weather Alert 🌧️ A tropical wave is moving across the Lesser Antilles into the E Caribbean, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to the Windward and Virgin Islands. Showers will dissipate between this evening and early Saturday. Moderate to fresh winds expected. pic.twitter.com/Xdyxqx1Nba
The area of interest comes on the heels of Hurricane Beryl, which left a path of destruction in the Caribbean before making landfall in Texas on Monday morning. It was the biggest and earliest storm in recorded history.
TWO NEWS STARTS NOW AND FIRST AT 11, A NEW TROPICAL STORM HAS FORMED OUT IN THE ATLANTIC. FIRST WARNING CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI IS TRACKING THE PATH. IT IS TAKING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN TONIGHT. YEAH, I’LL TELL YOU WHAT. THIS ONE IS MOVING OFF TOWARDS THE WEST GUYS AND IS LIKELY TO BECOME THE SEASON’S FIRST HURRICANE. AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. BEAUTIFUL SYMMETRY TONIGHT. VERY CONCENTRIC CENTER OF THUNDERSTORMS THERE. RIGHT AROUND THAT CORE. WINDS ARE UP TO 40 MILES AN HOUR MOVING STEADILY NOW OFF TOWARDS THE WEST. PRESSURE’S BEEN HOLDING STEADY THERE. AT ABOUT 1006 MILLIBARS. HERE’S THE UPDATED CONE NOW FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THIS ONE A CATEGORY HURRICANE THERE BY ABOUT 8:00 IN THE EVENING. IT MAY EVEN BE EARLIER THAN THAT. BASED ON THE TRENDS WE’RE SEEING TONIGHT, A LOT OF THE COMPUTER MODELS HERE TAKE THIS GRADUALLY OFF TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST. THE TREND IS NOT DEVIATED NORTH OF CUBA, AND THERE’S A GOOD REASON FOR THAT. AS WE TAKE A LOOK AT THE INTENSITY FORECAST HERE TO THE ONE MODEL, THE H WHARF STILL HAS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. BUT BACK TO THOSE TRACKS. HERE’S OUR CONE. WHAT’S IMPORTANT FOR FLORIDA IS THIS BIG DOME, THIS BIG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS IS OUR BEST FRIEND FROM PREVENTING THIS STORM SYSTEM FROM TURNING UP TO THE NORTH. IF THAT DOES PAN OUT AND THIS DOESN’T GET TOO STRONG AND TRY TO MAKE THAT CURVE BETWEEN THAT WEAKNESS, ALL SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIRECT THIS ONE OFF TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST. PLENTY OF TIME TO WATCH IT. BUT WHAT’S INTERESTING TO NOTE NOT ONLY DO WE HAVE BERYL RIGHT BEHIND IT, THERE’S ANOTHER FEATURE BY BOTH THE GFS AND THE EUROPEAN COMPUTER MODELS THAT MAY TAKE THE SAME EXACT TRACK, SO THERE COULD BE A12 PUNCH THERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLES OVER TOWARDS JAMAICA AND MAYBE EVEN THE SOUTH SIDE OF HAITI AND OVER TOWARDS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. WE’LL KEEP YOU POSTED ON THAT FOR NOW THOUGH. KEEP CHECKING BACK IN. BUT I’M FEELING PRETTY GOOD BASED ON TONIGHT’S COMPUTER
Tropical Storm Beryl forms, could become first hurricane of the season this weekend
Updated: 12:06 AM EDT Jun 29, 2024
Tropical Storm Beryl officially formed Friday night, according to the National Hurricane Center. The NHC said Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to strengthen and possibly become a hurricane when it reaches the Windward Islands Sunday night or Monday. Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024This could bring heavy rain, hurricane-force winds, dangerous storm surges and waves.Tropical Storm Beryl initially developed as Invest 95-L and was later upgraded to a tropical depression on Friday afternoon before strengthening into a tropical storm. More tropicsThe NHC is also monitoring Invest 94-L and a tropical wave.Related: Hurricane KidCast: What’s a hurricane? And more answers to kids’ questionsRelated: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2
Tropical Storm Beryl officially formed Friday night, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The NHC said Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to strengthen and possibly become a hurricane when it reaches the Windward Islands Sunday night or Monday.
This could bring heavy rain, hurricane-force winds, dangerous storm surges and waves.
Tropical Storm Beryl initially developed as Invest 95-L and was later upgraded to a tropical depression on Friday afternoon before strengthening into a tropical storm.
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Looks like we will have Tropical Storm Beryl at 11 pm just waiting on the official word from the Hurricane Center. Beryl will become a hurricane, first of the season, over the weekend. #weshwxpic.twitter.com/nLCNeDVmwE
