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Tag: national hurricane center atlantic

  • High pressure expected to spare Florida as NHC monitors Invest 94-L, another disturbance

    High pressure expected to spare Florida as NHC monitors Invest 94-L, another disturbance

    Note: Video above is previous coverageAs Floridians continue to recover from Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton, two major storms that hit the state back-to-back, the tropics are not slowing down.The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring Invest 94-L and a second disturbance in the Caribbean, though neither system appears to pose a threat to Florida.Invest 94-L: Tracking a disturbance in the AtlanticInvest 94-L, a trough of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic, could become a tropical depression late this week, but the NHC says circulation associated with this system is becoming less defined.> Related: What’s an invest?Currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, Invest 94-L was previously embedded in a dry, unfavorable environment that prevented it from developing any further. Now, as the system moves generally westward, the NHC says conditions could become marginally conducive for formation, with gradual development beginning late week. As the system nears the Leeward and Virgin Islands, the NHC thinks a tropical depression could form, though high pressure across Florida is expected to protect the state from impacts. Current models show an insignificant system moving into the Caribbean, where it could interact with land and die out.Formation chances are pretty low and have slightly decreased over the week. In the next 48 hours, the NHC says there is a 30% chance of this system developing. Those odds are just 40% in the next seven days. With very little data at this time, model information should be taken loosely. When, if ever, the system develops, models will become more consistent in terms of path and intensity. There is plenty of time to monitor the system and lots of unknowns, so no need to panic.MORE: Get the Facts: Addressing rumors of ‘Nadine’ in the tropicsA second disturbance: Western Caribbean SeaThe NHC is also watching a second broad area of low pressure a little further south that is producing some showers and thunderstorms.Though the chances are low right now, the NHC says some gradual development of this system is possible if it strays over water while moving slowly northwestward toward Central America.Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is expected across portions of Central America later this week, the NHC said.Formation chances remain very low for now, holding at 20% for the next 48 hours and only 20% in the next seven days — also a decrease from previous advisories.First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Note: Video above is previous coverage

    As Floridians continue to recover from Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton, two major storms that hit the state back-to-back, the tropics are not slowing down.

    The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring Invest 94-L and a second disturbance in the Caribbean, though neither system appears to pose a threat to Florida.

    Invest 94-L: Tracking a disturbance in the Atlantic

    Invest 94-L, a trough of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic, could become a tropical depression late this week, but the NHC says circulation associated with this system is becoming less defined.

    > Related: What’s an invest?

    Currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, Invest 94-L was previously embedded in a dry, unfavorable environment that prevented it from developing any further. Now, as the system moves generally westward, the NHC says conditions could become marginally conducive for formation, with gradual development beginning late week.

    As the system nears the Leeward and Virgin Islands, the NHC thinks a tropical depression could form, though high pressure across Florida is expected to protect the state from impacts. Current models show an insignificant system moving into the Caribbean, where it could interact with land and die out.

    Formation chances are pretty low and have slightly decreased over the week. In the next 48 hours, the NHC says there is a 30% chance of this system developing. Those odds are just 40% in the next seven days.

    With very little data at this time, model information should be taken loosely. When, if ever, the system develops, models will become more consistent in terms of path and intensity. There is plenty of time to monitor the system and lots of unknowns, so no need to panic.

    Storm Models

    MORE: Get the Facts: Addressing rumors of ‘Nadine’ in the tropics

    A second disturbance: Western Caribbean Sea

    The NHC is also watching a second broad area of low pressure a little further south that is producing some showers and thunderstorms.

    Though the chances are low right now, the NHC says some gradual development of this system is possible if it strays over water while moving slowly northwestward toward Central America.

    Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is expected across portions of Central America later this week, the NHC said.

    Formation chances remain very low for now, holding at 20% for the next 48 hours and only 20% in the next seven days — also a decrease from previous advisories.

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Invest 97-L: Disturbance near Florida gains strength, likely to become tropical depression next week

    Invest 97-L: Disturbance near Florida gains strength, likely to become tropical depression next week

    Video above: Latest coverageA tropical depression is likely to form next week as Invest 97-L moves across the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, according to the National Hurricane Center. In addition, the NHC is monitoring a disturbance in the Atlantic and a tropical wave that is expected to move from the African coast.Invest 97-L: Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of MexicoAccording to the NHC, an area of low pressure is causing disorganized thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and a portion of Central America. Environmental conditions are favorable for development, and a tropical storm or tropical depression could form in the following few days as it moves northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico. The disturbance will produce heavy rain in Central America regardless of the development. The NHC said the system is expected to move northward across the Gulf of Mexico later this week. According to the NHC, formation chances have increased to 50% over the next two days and 80% over the next seven days. Watches and warnings will be required for portions of Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula as early as Monday. The NHC also said there is interest in the Florida Panhandle and the west coast of Florida. Tropical disturbance: Eastern and central tropical AtlanticThe NHC says a tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa on Sunday or Monday. The system is expected to develop into a tropical depression next week while it moves westward across the east and central tropical Atlantic, NHC says.Formation chances through the next seven days are 60% and nearly zero percent in the next two days. First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Video above: Latest coverage

    A tropical depression is likely to form next week as Invest 97-L moves across the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    In addition, the NHC is monitoring a disturbance in the Atlantic and a tropical wave that is expected to move from the African coast.

    Invest 97-L: Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico

    According to the NHC, an area of low pressure is causing disorganized thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and a portion of Central America.

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    Environmental conditions are favorable for development, and a tropical storm or tropical depression could form in the following few days as it moves northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

    The disturbance will produce heavy rain in Central America regardless of the development.

    The NHC said the system is expected to move northward across the Gulf of Mexico later this week.

    According to the NHC, formation chances have increased to 50% over the next two days and 80% over the next seven days.

    Watches and warnings will be required for portions of Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula as early as Monday.

    The NHC also said there is interest in the Florida Panhandle and the west coast of Florida.

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    Tropical disturbance: Eastern and central tropical Atlantic

    The NHC says a tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa on Sunday or Monday.

    The system is expected to develop into a tropical depression next week while it moves westward across the east and central tropical Atlantic, NHC says.

    Formation chances through the next seven days are 60% and nearly zero percent in the next two days.

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Disturbance near Florida could form into tropical depression next week, NHC says

    Disturbance near Florida could form into tropical depression next week, NHC says

    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that could impact Florida.In addition, the NHC is monitoring an additional disturbance in the Atlantic, remnants of Gordon and a tropical wave that is expected to move from the African coast.Area of interest in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of MexicoAccording to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly starts to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible.The NHC says a tropical depression is expected to form, possibly by the end of the week.While most major models agree on the low pressure development in the Gulf of Mexico, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that. Though models are becoming more consistent with one another, the lack of formation so far makes it difficult to know where the system will go or how intense it could become. When or if the system forms, more data will become available, and models will become stronger. For now, they should be interpreted loosely as trends to keep on your radar.WESH 2’s First Warning Weather Team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates.Formation chances for this system remain “medium,” at a 60% chance of formation in the next week. In the next 48 hours, formation chances are nearly zero percent. Central and western subtropical Atlantic: Invest 96-LAfter tagging this area of interest Thursday, the NHC says Invest 96-L, currently 700 miles southeast of Bermuda, producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.Tracking the tropics: What’s an invest?However, the NHC says significant development is not likely due to the dry environment. At this time, the invest has a 10% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and the next seven days. >> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024>> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2Eastern and central tropical AtlanticThe NHC says a tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa Sunday or Monday. The system is expected to develop into a tropical depression next week while it moves westward across the east and central tropical Atlantic, NHC says.Formation chances through the next seven days are 40% and nearly zero percent in the next two days. GordonEven though Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it’s producing upper-level winds. The remnants of Gordon are located over 1000 miles southwest of the Azores. The NHC says further development of Gordon is not expected as it moves slowly northwestward over the central Atlantic. Formation chances are very low, dropping to 0% for the next 48 hours and seven days.Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida. First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that could impact Florida.

    In addition, the NHC is monitoring an additional disturbance in the Atlantic, remnants of Gordon and a tropical wave that is expected to move from the African coast.

    Area of interest in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico

    According to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly starts to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible.

    The NHC says a tropical depression is expected to form, possibly by the end of the week.

    While most major models agree on the low pressure development in the Gulf of Mexico, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that. Though models are becoming more consistent with one another, the lack of formation so far makes it difficult to know where the system will go or how intense it could become.

    When or if the system forms, more data will become available, and models will become stronger. For now, they should be interpreted loosely as trends to keep on your radar.

    WESH 2’s First Warning Weather Team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates.

    Formation chances for this system remain “medium,” at a 60% chance of formation in the next week. In the next 48 hours, formation chances are nearly zero percent.

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    Central and western subtropical Atlantic: Invest 96-L

    After tagging this area of interest Thursday, the NHC says Invest 96-L, currently 700 miles southeast of Bermuda, producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.

    Tracking the tropics: What’s an invest?

    However, the NHC says significant development is not likely due to the dry environment.

    At this time, the invest has a 10% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and the next seven days.

    >> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

    >> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    Eastern and central tropical Atlantic

    The NHC says a tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa Sunday or Monday.

    The system is expected to develop into a tropical depression next week while it moves westward across the east and central tropical Atlantic, NHC says.

    Formation chances through the next seven days are 40% and nearly zero percent in the next two days.

    Gordon

    Even though Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it’s producing upper-level winds.

    The remnants of Gordon are located over 1000 miles southwest of the Azores.

    The NHC says further development of Gordon is not expected as it moves slowly northwestward over the central Atlantic.

    Formation chances are very low, dropping to 0% for the next 48 hours and seven days.

    Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida.

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • Disturbance near Florida has ‘medium’ formation chance, models hint at possibility of impacts

    Disturbance near Florida has ‘medium’ formation chance, models hint at possibility of impacts

    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that has the potential to impact Florida soon.In addition, the NHC is keeping an eye on an additional disturbance in the Atlantic and the remnants of Gordon.Area of interest in the Caribbean SeaAccording to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly starts to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible.The NHC says a tropical depression is expected to form, with models hinting at mid-week.While most major models agree on the low developing, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that. Though models are becoming more consistent with one another, the lack of formation so far makes it difficult to know where the system will go or how intense it could become. When, or if, the system forms, more data will become available and models will become stronger. For now, they should be interpreted loosely as trends to keep on your radar.WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates.Formation chances for this system remain “medium,” the NHC says, holding at a 40% chance of formation in the next week. In the next 48 hours, formation chances are nearly 0%.Video below: First Warning Meteorologist Eric Burris talks about the tropics, potential Florida impactsGordonEven though Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it is still monitoring the system for potential development again.Showers and thunderstorms associated with Gordon, which was a tropical storm at one point, remain unorganized. Due to strong upper-level winds, the NHC says any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur as the system remains out in the open Atlantic.Formation chances are very low, holding at both 20% for the next 48 hours and seven days.Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida.Central and western subtropical Atlantic: Invest 96-LAfter tagging this area of interest on Thursday, the NHC says shower activity associated with Invest 96-L, currently 650 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, has changed slightly in organization.Tracking the Tropics: What’s an invest?Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive, but the NHC says some development is possible while the system meanders over open waters. At this time, the area of interest has a 20% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and next seven days.>> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024>> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that has the potential to impact Florida soon.

    In addition, the NHC is keeping an eye on an additional disturbance in the Atlantic and the remnants of Gordon.

    Area of interest in the Caribbean Sea

    According to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly starts to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible.

    The NHC says a tropical depression is expected to form, with models hinting at mid-week.

    While most major models agree on the low developing, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that. Though models are becoming more consistent with one another, the lack of formation so far makes it difficult to know where the system will go or how intense it could become.

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    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    When, or if, the system forms, more data will become available and models will become stronger. For now, they should be interpreted loosely as trends to keep on your radar.

    WESH 2’s First Warning Weather team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates.

    Formation chances for this system remain “medium,” the NHC says, holding at a 40% chance of formation in the next week. In the next 48 hours, formation chances are nearly 0%.

    Video below: First Warning Meteorologist Eric Burris talks about the tropics, potential Florida impacts

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    Gordon

    Even though Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it is still monitoring the system for potential development again.

    Showers and thunderstorms associated with Gordon, which was a tropical storm at one point, remain unorganized. Due to strong upper-level winds, the NHC says any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur as the system remains out in the open Atlantic.

    Formation chances are very low, holding at both 20% for the next 48 hours and seven days.

    Tropical Wave Info

    Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida.

    Central and western subtropical Atlantic: Invest 96-L

    After tagging this area of interest on Thursday, the NHC says shower activity associated with Invest 96-L, currently 650 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, has changed slightly in organization.

    Tracking the Tropics: What’s an invest?

    Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive, but the NHC says some development is possible while the system meanders over open waters.

    At this time, the area of interest has a 20% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and next seven days.

    Tropical Wave Info

    >> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

    >> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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