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  • Meet the guy responsible for helping Meta, Google and Amazon prepare for new laws in Europe

    Meet the guy responsible for helping Meta, Google and Amazon prepare for new laws in Europe

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    European Union flags flutter outside the EU Commission headquarters, in Brussels, Belgium, February 1, 2023

    Yves Herman | Reuters

    When Gerard de Graaf moved from Europe to San Francisco almost a year ago, his job had a very different feel to it.

    De Graaf, a 30-year veteran of the European Commission, was tasked with resurrecting the EU office in the Bay Area. His title is senior envoy for digital to the U.S., and since September his main job has been to help the tech industry prepare for new legislation called The Digital Services Act (DSA), which goes into effect Friday.

    At the time of his arrival, the metaverse trumped artificial intelligence as the talk of the town, tech giants and emerging startups were cutting thousands of jobs, and the Nasdaq was headed for its worst year since the financial crisis in 2008.

    Within de Graaf’s purview, companies including Meta, Google, Apple and Amazon have had since April to get ready for the DSA, which takes inspiration from banking regulations. They face fines of as much as 6% of annual revenue if they fail to comply with the act, which was introduced in 2020 by the EC (the executive arm of the EU) to reduce the spread of illegal content online and provide more accountability.

    Coming in as an envoy, de Graaf has seen more action than he expected. In March, there was the sudden implosion of the iconic Silicon Valley Bank, the second-largest bank failure in U.S. history. At the same time, OpenAI’s ChatGPT service, launched late last year, was setting off an arms race in generative AI, with tech money pouring into new chatbots and the large language models (LLMs) powering them.

    It was a “strange year in many, many ways,” de Graaf said, from his office, which is co-located with the Irish Consulate on the 23rd floor of a building in downtown San Francisco. The European Union hasn’t had a formal presence in Silicon Valley since the 1990s.

    De Graaf spent much of his time meeting with top executives, policy teams and technologists at the major tech companies to discuss regulations, the impact of generative AI and competition. Although regulations are enforced by the EC in Brussels, the new outpost has been a useful way to foster a better relationship between the U.S. tech sector and the EU, de Graaf said.

    “I think there’s been a conversation that we needed to have that did not really take place,” said de Graaf. With a hint of sarcasm, de Graaf said that somebody with “infinite wisdom” decided the EU should step back from the region during the internet boom, right “when Silicon Valley was taking off and going from strength to strength.”

    The thinking at the time within the tech industry, he said, was that the internet is a “different technology that moves very fast” and that “policymakers don’t understand it and can’t regulate it.”

    Facebook Chairman and CEO Mark Zuckerberg arrives to testify before the House Financial Services Committee on “An Examination of Facebook and Its Impact on the Financial Services and Housing Sectors” in the Rayburn House Office Building in Washington, DC on October 23, 2019.

    Mandel Ngan | AFP | Getty Images

    However, some major leaders in tech have shown signs that they’re taking the DSA seriously, de Graaf said. He noted that Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg met with Thierry Breton, the EU commissioner for internal market, to go over some of the specifics of the rules, and that X owner Elon Musk has publicly supported the DSA after meeting with Breton.

    De Graaf said he’s seeing “a bit more respect and understanding for the European Union’s position, and I think that has accelerated after generative AI.”

    ‘Serious commitment’

    X, formerly known as Twitter, had withdrawn from the EU’s voluntary guidelines for countering disinformation. There was no penalty for not participating, but X must now comply with the DSA, and Breton said after his meeting with Musk that “fighting disinformation will be a legal obligation.”

    “I think, in general, we’ve seen a serious commitment of big companies also in Europe and around the world to be prepared and to prepare themselves,” de Graaf said.

    The new rules require platforms with at least 45 million monthly active users in the EU to provide risk assessment and mitigation plans. They also must allow for certain researchers to have inspection access to their services for harms and provide more transparency to users about their recommendation systems, even allowing people to tweak their settings.

    Timing could be a challenge. As part of their cost-cutting measures implemented early this year, many companies laid off members of their trust and safety teams.

    “You ask yourself the question, will these companies still have the capacity to implement these new regulations?” de Graaf said. “We’ve been assured by many of them that in the process of layoffs, they have a renewed sense of trust and safety.”

    The DSA doesn’t require that tech companies maintain a certain number of trust and safety workers, de Graaf said, just that they comply with the law. Still, he said one social media platform that he declined to name gave an answer “that was not entirely reassuring” when asked how it plans to monitor for disinformation in Poland during the upcoming October elections, as the company has only one person in the region.

    That’s why the rules include transparency about what exactly the platforms are doing.

    “There’s a lot we don’t know, like how these companies moderate content,” de Graaf said. “And not just their resources, but also how their decisions are made with which content will stay and which content is taken down.”

    De Graaf, a Dutchman who’s married with two kids, has spent the past three decades going deep on regulatory issues for the EC. He previously worked on the Digital Services Act and Digital Markets Act, European legislation targeted at consumer protection and rights and enhancing competition.

    This isn’t his first stint in the U.S. From 1997 to 2001, he worked in Washington, D.C., as “trade counsellor at the European Commission’s Delegation to the United States,” according to his bio.

    For all the talk about San Francisco’s “doom loop,” de Graaf said he sees a different level of energy in the city as well as further south in Silicon Valley.

    There’s still “so much dynamism” in San Francisco, he said, adding that it’s filled with “such interesting people and objective people that I find incredibly refreshing.”

    “I meet very, very interesting people here in Silicon Valley and in San Francisco,” he said. “And it’s not just the companies that are kind of avant-garde as the people behind them, so the conversations you have here with people are really rewarding.”

    The generative AI boom

    Generative AI was a virtually foreign concept when de Graaf arrived in San Francisco last September. Now, it’s about the only topic of conversation at tech conferences and cocktail parties.

    The rise and rapid spread of generative AI has led to a number of big tech companies and high-profile executives calling for regulations, citing the technology’s potential influence on society and the economy. In June, the European Parliament cleared a major step in passing the EU AI Act, which would represent the EU’s package of AI regulations. It’s still a long way from becoming law.

    De Graaf noted the irony in the industry’s attitude. Tech companies that have for years criticized the EU for overly aggressive regulations are now asking, “Why is it taking you so long?” de Graaf said.

    “We will hopefully have an agreement on the text by the end of this year,” he said. “And then we always have these transitional periods where the industry needs to prepare, and we need to prepare. That might be two years or a year and a half.”

    The rapidly changing landscape of generative AI makes it tricky for the EU to quickly formulate regulations.

    “Six months ago, I think our big concern was to legislate the handful of companies — the extremely powerful, resource rich companies — that are going to dominate,” de Graaf said.

    But as more powerful LLMs become available for people to use for free, the technology is spreading, making regulation more challenging as it’s not just about dealing with a few big companies. De Graaf has been meeting with local universities like Stanford to learn about transparency into the LLMs, how researchers can access the technology and what kind of data companies could provide to lawmakers about their software.

    One proposal being floated in Europe is the idea of publicly funded AI models, so control isn’t all in the hands of big U.S. companies.

    “These are questions that policymakers in the U.S. and all around the world are asking themselves,” de Graaf said. “We don’t have a crystal ball where we can just predict everything that’s happening.”

    Even if there are ways to expand how AI models are developed, there’s little doubt about where the money is flowing for processing power. Nvidia, which just reported blowout earnings for the latest quarter and has seen its stock price triple in value this year, is by far the leader in providing the kind of chips needed to power generative AI systems.

    “That company, they have a unique value proposition,” de Graaf said. “It’s unique not because of scale or a network effect, but because their technology is so advanced that it has no competition.”

    He said that his team meets “quite regularly” with Nvidia and its policy team and they’ve been learning “how the semiconductor market is evolving.”

    “That’s a useful source information for us, and of course, where the technology is going,” de Graaf said. “They know where a lot of the industries are stepping up and are on the ball or are going to move more quickly than other industries.”

    WATCH: Former White House CTO Aneesh Chopra on A.I. regulation

    Fmr. White House CTO Aneesh Chopra on A.I. regulation: Right now this is an open marketplace

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  • Instacart files to go public on Nasdaq to try and unfreeze tech IPO market

    Instacart files to go public on Nasdaq to try and unfreeze tech IPO market

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    Instacart, the grocery delivery company that slashed its valuation during last year’s market slide, filed its paperwork to go public on Friday in what’s poised to be the first significant venture-backed tech IPO since December 2021.

    The stock will be listed on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “CART.” In its prospectus, the company said net income totaled $114 million, while revenue in the latest quarter hit $716 million, a 15% increase from the year-ago period. Instacart has now been profitable for five straight quarters, according to the filing. PepsiCo has agreed to purchase $175 million of the company’s stock in a private placement.

    Instacart said it will continue to focus on incorporating artificial intelligence and machine learning features into the platform, and that the company expects to “rely on AIML solutions to help drive future growth in our business.” In May, Instacart said it was leaning into the generative AI boom with Ask Instacart, a search tool that aims to answer customers’ grocery shopping questions.

    “We believe the future of grocery won’t be about choosing between shopping online and in-store,” CEO Fidji Simo wrote in the prospectus. “Most of us are going to do both. So we want to create a truly omni-channel experience that brings the best of the online shopping experience to physical stores, and vice versa.”

    Instacart will try and crack open the IPO market, which has been mostly closed since late 2021. In December of that year, software vendor HashiCorp and Samsara, which develops cloud technology for industrial companies, went public, but there haven’t been any notable venture-backed tech IPOs since. Chip designer Arm, which is owned by Japan’s SoftBank, filed for a Nasdaq listing on Monday.

    Founded in 2012 and initially incorporated as Maplebear Inc., Instacart will join a crop of so-called gig economy companies on the public market, following the debut in 2020 of Airbnb and DoorDash and car-sharing companies Uber and Lyft a year earlier. They’ve not been a great bet for investors, as only Airbnb is currently trading above its IPO price.

    Instacart shoppers and drivers deliver goods in over 5,500 cities from more than 40,000 grocers and other stores, according to its website. The business took off during the covid pandemic as consumers avoided public places. But profitability has always been a major challenge, as it is across much of the gig economy, because of high costs associated with paying all those contractors.

    Headcount peaked in the second quarter of 2022, Instacart said, “and declined over the next two quarters, reducing our fixed operating cost base.” At the end of June, the company had 3,486 full-time employees.

    In March of last year, Instacart slashed its valuation to $24 billion from $39 billion as public stocks sank. The valuation reportedly fell by another 50% by late 2022. Instacart listed Amazon, Target, Walmart and DoorDash among its competitors.

    The biggest area for cost reductions has been in general and administrative expenses. Those costs shrank to $51 million in the latest quarter from $77 million a year earlier and a peak of $102 million in the final period of 2021. Instacart said the drop was the “result of lower fees related to legal matters and settlements.”

    Simo took over as Instacart’s CEO in August 2021 and became chair of the company’s board in July 2022. She was previously head of Facebook’s app at Meta and reported directly to CEO Mark Zuckerberg. Apoorva Mehta, Instacart’s founder and executive chairman, plans to transition off the board after the company’s public market debut, according to a 2022 release.

    The company’s board also includes Peloton CEO Barry McCarthy, Snowflake CEO Frank Slootman and Andreessen Horowitz’s Jeff Jordan.

    Instacart will be one of the first independent grocery delivery companies to go public. Amazon Fresh, Walmart Grocery and Google Express are all units of large corporations. Shipt was acquired by Target in 2017 and Fresh Direct, another direct-to-consumer grocery delivery company, was bought by global food retailer Ahold Delhaize in 2021.

    Sequoia Capital and D1 Capital Partners are the only shareholders owning at least 5% of the stock. Instacart said those two firms, along with Norges Bank Investment Management and entities affiliated with TCV and Valiant Capital Management, have “indicated an interest, severally and not jointly” in purchasing up to $400 million of shares in the IPO at the offering price.

    Instacart’s move into AI has come largely through a string of acquisitions in the past two years. Those deals include the purchase of e-commerce startup Rosie, AI-powered pricing firm Eversight, AI shopping cart and checkout solutions provider Caper, and FoodStorm, a software startup specializing in self-serve kiosks for in-store customers.

    The company also touted its use of machine learning in predicting grocery availability for retailers and increasing consumer sales. It said its algorithms predict availability every two hours for the “large majority” of its 1.4 billion grocery items, and that more than 70% of customers purchased items through Instacart’s recommendation algorithm in the second quarter of 2023.

    Goldman Sachs is leading the offering. That’s the former employer of Instacart finance chief Nick Giovanni, who was previously global head of the tech, media and telecom group at the investment bank.

    WATCH: Instacart files for IPO

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  • Nvidia tops estimates and says sales will jump 170% this quarter, driven by demand for AI chips

    Nvidia tops estimates and says sales will jump 170% this quarter, driven by demand for AI chips

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    Nvidia founder, President and CEO Jen-Hsun Huang

    Getty Images

    Nvidia shares climbed 8% in extended trading on Wednesday after the chipmaker beat estimates for the second quarter and issued optimistic guidance for the current period.

    • Earnings: $2.70 per share, adjusted, versus $2.09 per share expected by Refinitiv.
    • Revenue: $13.51 billion versus $11.22 billion expected by Refinitiv.

    Nvidia said it expects third-quarter revenue of about $16 billion, higher than $12.61 billion forecast by Refinitiv. Nvidia’s guidance suggests sales will grow 170% on an annual basis in the current quarter.

    Net income jumped to $6.19 billion, or $2.48 a share, from $656 million, or 26 cents, a year earlier.

    Nvidia’s strong sales and forecast underscore how central the company’s technology has become to the generative AI boom. Nvidia’s A100 and H100 AI chips are needed to build and run AI applications like OpenAI’s ChatGPT and other services that take simple text queries and respond with conversational answers or images.

    Revenue in the second quarter doubled from $6.7 billion a year earlier and increased 88% from the prior period.

    “A new computing era has begun,” Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said in the press release. “Companies worldwide are transitioning from general-purpose to accelerated computing and generative AI.”

    The stock moved higher on Wednesday after finance chief Colette Kress said that the company would not be immediately affected by proposed Biden administration export restrictions on chips.

    “Given the strength of demand for our products worldwide, we do not anticipate that additional export restrictions on our data center GPUs if adopted would have an immediate material impact to our financial results,” Kress said on a call with analysts.

    Even before Wednesday’s report, Nvidia’s stock price had more than tripled for the year, making it the top performer in the S&P 500. It jumped past $507 after hours, a level that would mark a record if it closes there on Thursday. Its prior closing high was $474.94 on July 18.

    Nvidia’s performance was driven by its data center business, which includes AI chips, as cloud service providers and large consumer internet companies like Alphabet, Amazon and Meta snapped up next-generation processors. The company reported $10.32 billion in revenue for the group, up 171% on an annual basis and above the $8.03 billion estimate, according to StreetAccount.

    Nvidia added that it saw its adjusted gross margin increase 25.3 percentage points to 71.2%, because of growth in data center sales, which are more profitable.

    Nvidia’s gaming division, which used to be its core business, saw revenue increase 22% from a year earlier to $2.49 billion, topping the $2.38 billion average estimate.

    Nvidia also makes chips for high-end graphics applications. That business shrank 24% year-over-year to $379 million. It reported $253 million in automotive revenue, which grew 15% on an annual basis.

    Nvidia said its board of directors authorized $25 billion in share buybacks. It said it had purchased $3.28 billion in shares during the quarter.

    Executives will discuss the results on a call with analysts at 5 p.m. ET.

    WATCH: Nvidia earnings could move index away from seasonally weak period

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Rising yields couldn’t stifle excitement over Nvidia

    CNBC Daily Open: Rising yields couldn’t stifle excitement over Nvidia

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    A sign is posted at the Nvidia headquarters in Santa Clara, California, May 25, 2022.

    Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Tech rallied amid rising yields
    The
    Nasdaq Composite rallied Monday, breaking a four-day losing streak, even as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 4.342%, a decades-long high. Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose. Japan’s Nikkei 225 climbed around 0.9%. The index was lifted by SoftBank shares rising 1.57% on the news that its chip unit Arm has filed for a Nasdaq listing.

    Nasdaq listing for Arm
    Arm filed for a Nasdaq listing Monday. The U.K.-based company didn’t provide a projected share price, so its valuation is still unknown. (Japan’s Softbank bought Arm in 2016 for $32 billion.) Arm’s chip designs are found in nearly all smartphones, making it one of the most important companies in the chip industry — and a big deal for the initial public offerings market.

    S&P cuts credit ratings of banks
    S&P Global downgraded the credit ratings of several U.S. banks Monday. The ratings of Associated Banc-Corp and Valley National Bancorp were cut because of funding risks and a higher reliance on brokered deposits, while that of UMB Financial Corp, Comerica Bank and Keycorp were downgraded because of large deposit outflows and interest rates remaining high.

    Ingredients for food inflation in Asia
    Rice prices surged to their highest in almost 12 years after India banned the export of non-basmati white rice in July. Now, India, the world’s largest exporter of onions, is adding a 40% export tax to the allium. “What seems to be clear is that food price volatility will continue in coming months,” an analyst said.

    [PRO] 10% fall in the Stoxx 600?
    Europe’s regional Stoxx 600 index currently at 448.66 — but UBS thinks the index will drop 10% to 410 by the end of this year. These are the stocks that will drag the index down because of their high volatility and negative earnings revisions, according to the Swiss bank.

    The bottom line

    Yields on U.S. Treasurys continued marching higher, with the benchmark 10-year yield closing at 4.342%, a level not seen since November 2007. The 2-year yield added over 6 basis points to breach the 5% barrier, trading at 5.007%.

    “Typically spikes in Treasury yields expose other areas of weakness,” said Megan Horneman, chief investment officer at Verdence Capital Advisors. “This is a risk to tech stocks and growth stocks with high PE multiples.”

    It’s true technology stocks are sensitive to a high interest rate environment because their value rests on future earnings. Despite that, tech rallied, making their gains even more striking. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite snapped a four-day losing streak to advance 1.6%, its biggest one-day increase since July 28 when it added 1.9%. The S&P 500 tech sector gained 2.26%, helping to push the broader index up 0.69%. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.11%.

    “We’re seeing a positive return in the stock market, [which] we didn’t see last week. We think rates are going to be higher for longer and maybe the stock market’s okay with it,” Katy Kaminski, chief market strategist at AlphaSimplex, told CNBC.

    Some individual stock movements of note: Tesla popped 7.33%, Meta rose 2.35% and Nvidia jumped 8.3%. Investors are anticipating Nvidia’s earnings report, which comes out Wednesday after the bell. It’s a crucial moment when we’ll find out whether Nvidia’s revenue forecast — which was 50% higher than Wall Street estimates — comes to fruition.

    If it does, expect another surge in its stock and other AI-related firms. More importantly, Nvidia’s report might sway market sentiment again, as it did in May when the chipmaker changed the narrative from woes around inflation and recession to optimism and enthusiasm over AI. Some excitement is exactly what the market needs in a sluggish August.

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  • ‘Magnificent Seven’ stocks are losing some of their shine, but their bonds are doing fine

    ‘Magnificent Seven’ stocks are losing some of their shine, but their bonds are doing fine

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    The so-called Magnificent Seven grouping of technology stocks lost some of its luster this week after four of the seven moved into correction territory, meaning their stocks have fallen at least 10% from their recent peaks.

    The corporate-bond market, in contrast, seems to like all seven names.

    The group is made up of Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    -0.65%
    ,
    Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    +0.28%
    ,
    Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    -0.13%
    ,
    Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    -0.10%
    ,
    Amazon. com Inc.
    AMZN,
    -0.57%
    ,
    Google parent Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL,
    -1.89%

    GOOG,
    -1.80%

    and Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -1.70%
    .

    One caveat: Tesla has no outstanding bonds. In the past, the electric-car maker issued convertible bonds, but they have all been converted into equity.

    The group is credited with helping drive the stock market’s gains in the first half of the year, driven by excitement about artificial intelligence. But the rally has stalled in recent weeks as investors have fretted over the potential for U.S. interest-rate increases, surging Treasury yields and China worries, with property developer Evergrande filing for U.S. bankruptcy protection late Thursday.

    On Thursday, Meta followed Apple, Microsoft and Nvidia into correction territory, as MarketWatch’s Emily Bary reported. Tesla, meanwhile, is in a bear market, meaning it’s down more than 20% from its recent peak.

    ReadHave AI stocks like Nvidia reached bubble territory? Here’s what history can tell us.

    The following series of charts from data-solutions provider BondCliQ Media Services show how many bonds each company has issued by maturity and how they have traded as the stocks have pulled back.

    The first chart shows that Microsoft has by far the most bonds, mostly in the 30-year bucket. The software and cloud giant has more than $50 billion in long-term debt, according to its 2023 10-K filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

    Outstanding Magnificent Seven debt by maturity bucket.


    Source: BondCliQ Media Services

    This chart shows trading volumes over the last 10 days, divided by trade type. The green shows customer buying, while the red is customer selling. The blue shows dealer-to-dealer flows. Microsoft, for example, has seen almost $1.3 billion in customer buying from dealers in the last 10 days and $960 million in customer sales to dealers.

    Magnificent Seven debt trading volumes (last 10 days).


    Source: BondCliQ Media Services

    This chart shows that every name in the group has enjoyed better net buying in the last 10 days, with Microsoft leading the way.

    Net customer flow of Magnificent Seven debt (last 10 days).


    Source: BondCliQ Media Services

    This chart shows spread performance over the last 50 days for an intermediate-term bond from each of the seven issuers. Most have tightened or remained steady over the period.

    Historical spread performance of Magnificent Seven debt.


    Source: BondCliQ Media Services

    Read also: Red flags waving for tech stocks as AI bounce fades, China fears escalate

    Apple’s stock entered correction Wednesday upon falling more than 10% from its July 31 peak of $196.45. The company sells mainly discretionary products, and right now “consumers are still being pinched” and thinking more carefully about where they spend their money, according to Matt Stucky, senior portfolio manager for equities at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management.

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  • Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq post gains as big tech stocks rebound

    Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq post gains as big tech stocks rebound

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    U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, with the Dow flipping positive near the closing bell, as technology stocks bounced back. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA rose about 26 points, or 0.1%, ending near 35,308, according to preliminary FactSet data. The S&P 500 index SPX scored a 0.6% gain and the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP closed up 1.1%, booking its best daily percentage climb since July 28, according to FactSet data. The S&P 500’s information technology sector outperformed with a 1.9% gain, while the communication services segment rose 1%. The rally saw shares of Meta Platforms META, Apple Inc. AAPL, Alphabet…

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  • Elon Musk vs. Mark Zuckerberg: The stupidest story of the summer appears over

    Elon Musk vs. Mark Zuckerberg: The stupidest story of the summer appears over

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    The stupidest story of the summer may be over. Finally, mercifully.

    Mark Zuckerberg, billionaire and chief executive of Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    -1.34%
    ,
    on Sunday appeared to pull the grown-up card — or at least the less-immature card — to scuttle a cage fight with Elon Musk, the even richer billionaire, Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -1.10%

    CEO and X owner.

    From the start, it was a story that appeared to live mostly in Musk’s imagination. Yet it still sparked a media frenzy, as the prospect of two emotionally stunted billionaires publicly pummeling each other was not without some appeal.

    But the proposed MMA-style fight apparently met its demise the same way it was born — through a lot of online bluster.

    Weeks after proposing the fight, then resorting to multiple delaying tactics while noting how out of shape and unprepared he was, Musk apparently reached out to Zuckerberg over the weekend asking for a “practice bout” first.

    Author and journalist Walter Isaacson — who is currently writing a biography of Musk — tweeted a text exchange Sunday that he said Musk had sent him.

    “Wanna do a practice bout at your house next week?” a text apparently from Musk reads. The reply, purportedly from Zuckerberg: “If you still want to do a real MMA fight, then you should train on your own and let me know when you’re ready to compete. I don’t want to keep hyping something that will never happen, so you should either decide you’re going to do this and do it soon, or we should move on.”

    In real news: Tesla cuts prices for some Model Y versions in China, as price war ramps back up

    Zuckerberg later posted a more public burn on Meta’s Threads — the Twitter/X rival that sparked this whole thing to begin with — saying: “I think we can all agree that Elon isn’t serious and it’s time to move on…If Elon ever gets serious about a real date and official event, he knows how to reach me. Otherwise, time to move on. I’m going to focus on competing with people who take the sport seriously.”

    It was unclear what the two billionaires now plan to do with their spare time, if not fight each other.

    In completely unrelated news, fellow mega-billionaire and Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    -0.11%

    founder Jeff Bezos and his fiancée announced a $100 million donation Friday to Maui wildfire relief efforts.

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  • Nvidia’s A.I.-driven stock surge pushed earnings multiple three times higher than Tesla’s

    Nvidia’s A.I.-driven stock surge pushed earnings multiple three times higher than Tesla’s

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    Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang,speaks at the Supermicro keynote presentation during the Computex conference in Taipei on June 1, 2023.

    Walid Berrazeg | Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images

    Following last year’s market route in tech stocks, all of the industry’s big names have rebounded in 2023. But one company has far outshined them all: Nvidia.

    Driven by an over decade-long head start in the kind of artificial intelligence chips and software now coveted across Silicon Valley, Nvidia shares are up 180% this year, beating every other member of the S&P 500. The next biggest gainer in the index is Facebook parent Meta, which is up 151% at Friday’s close.

    Nvidia is now valued at over $1 trillion, making it the fifth-most valuable U.S. company, behind only tech behemoths Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet.

    While Nvidia doesn’t carry the household name of its mega-cap tech peers, its core technology is the backbone of the hottest new product that’s quickly threatening to disrupt everything from education and media to finance and customer service. That would be ChatGPT.

    OpenAI’s viral chatbot, funded heavily by Microsoft, along with AI models from a handful of well-financed startups, all rely on Nvidia’s graphics processing units (GPUs) to run. They’re widely viewed as the best chips for training AI models, and Nvidia’s financial forecasts suggest insatiable demand.

    The company’s powerful H100 chips cost around $40,000. They’re being swept up by Microsoft and OpenAI by the thousands.

    “Long story short, they have the best of the best GPUs,” said Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar, who recommends buying the stock. “And they have them today.”

    Even with all that momentum and seemingly insatiable demand, baked into Nvidia’s stock price is a slew of assumptions about growth, including the doubling of sales in coming quarters and the almost quadrupling of net income this fiscal year.

    Some investors have described the stock as priced for perfection. Looking at the last 12 months of company earnings, Nvidia has a price-to-earnings ratio of 220, which is stunningly rich even compared with notoriously high-valued tech companies. Amazon’s P/E ratio is at 110, and Tesla’s is at 70, according to FactSet.

    Should Nvidia meet analysts’ projections, the current price still looks high compared to most of the tech industry, but certainly more reasonable. Its P/E ratio for the next 12 months of earnings is 42, versus 51 for Amazon and 58 for Tesla, FactSet data shows.

    When Nvidia reports earnings later this month, analysts expect quarterly revenue of $11.08 billion, according to Refinitiv, which would mark a 65% increase from a year earlier. That’s slightly higher than Nvidia’s official guidance of about $11 billion.

    Investors are betting that, beyond this quarter and the next, Nvidia will not only be able to ride the AI wave for quite some time, but that it will also power through growing competition from Google and AMD, and avoid any major supply issues.

    There’s also the risks that come with any stock flying too high too fast. Nvidia shares fell 8.6% this week, compared to a 1.9% slide in the Nasdaq, with no bad news to cause such a drop. It’s the steepest weekly decline for Nvidia’s stock since September of last year.

    “As investors, we have to start wondering if the excitement around all the great things that Nvidia has done and may continue to do is baked into this performance already,” WisdomTree analyst Christopher Gannatti wrote in a post on Thursday. “High investor expectations is one of the toughest hurdles for companies to overcome.”

    How Nvidia got here

    Nvidia’s stock rally this year is impressive, but the real eye-popping chart is the one showing the 10-year run. A decade ago, Nvidia was worth roughly $8.4 billion, a tiny fraction of chip giant Intel’s market cap.

    Since then, while Intel’s stock is up 55%, Nvidia’s value has ballooned by over 11,170%, making it seven times more valuable than its rival. Tesla, whose stock surge over that time has made CEO Elon Musk the world’s richest person, is up 2,279%.

    Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang has seen his net worth swell to $38 billion, placing him 33rd on the Bloomberg Billionaires index.

    An Nvidia spokesperson declined to comment for this story.

    Before the rise of AI, Nvidia was known for producing key technology for video games. The company, reportedly born at a Denny’s in San Jose, California, in 1993, built processors that helped gamers render sophisticated graphics in computer games. Its iconic product was a graphics card — chips and boards that were plugged into consumer PC motherboards or laptops.

    Video games are still a big business for the company. Nvidia reported over $9 billion in gaming sales in fiscal 2023. But that was down 27% on an annual basis, partially because Nvidia sold so many graphics cards early in the pandemic, when people were upgrading their systems at home. Nvidia’s core gaming business continues to shrink.

    What excites Wall Street has nothing to do with games. Rather, it’s the emerging AI business, under Nvidia’s data center line item. That unit saw sales rise 41% last year to $15 billion, surpassing gaming. Analysts polled by FactSet expect it to more than double to $31.27 billion in fiscal 2024. Nvidia controls 80% or more of the AI chip market, according to analysts.

    Nvidia’s pivot to AI chips is actually 15 years in the making.

    In 2007, the company released a little-noticed software package and programming language called CUDA, which lets programmers take advantage of all of a GPU chip’s hardware features.

    Developers quickly discovered the software was effective at training and running AI models, and CUDA is now an integral part of the training process.

    When AI companies and programmers use CUDA and Nvidia’s GPUs to build their models, analysts say, they’re less likely to switch to competitors, such as AMD’s chips or Google’s Tensor Processing Units (TPUs).

    “Nvidia has a double moat right now in that they they have the highest performance training hardware,” said Patrick Moorhead, semiconductor analyst at Moor Insights. “Then on the input side of the software, in AI, there are libraries and CUDA.”

    Locking in revenue and supply

    As Nvidia’s valuation has grown, the company has taken steps to secure its lead and live up to those lofty expectations. Huang had dinner in June with Morris Chang, chairman of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.

    TSMC, the world’s leading manufacturer of chips for semiconductor companies, makes Nvidia’s key products. After the meal, Huang said he felt “perfectly safe” relying on the foundry, suggesting that Nvidia had secured the supply it needed.

    Nvidia has also turned into a heavyweight startup investor in the venture world, with a clear focus on fueling companies that work with AI models.

    Nvidia has invested in at least 12 startups so far in 2023, according to Pitchbook data, including some of the most high-profile AI companies. They include Runway, which makes an AI-powered video editor, Inflection AI, started by a former DeepMind founder, and CoreWeave, a cloud provider that sells access to Nvidia GPUs.

    The investments could give the company a pipeline of growing customers, who could not only boost Nvidia’s sales down the line but also provide a more diverse set of clients for its GPUs.

    Some of the startups are putting numbers out that show the sky-high levels of demand for Nvidia’s technology. Kumar from Piper cited comments from CoreWeave management, indicating that the company had $30 million in revenue last year, but has $2 billion in business contracted for next year.

    “This is the representation of demand for generative AI type applications, or for voice-search applications, or generally speaking, GPU applications,” Kumar said.

    Nvidia is now coming close to the midpoint of its current GPU architecture cycle. The latest high-end AI chip, the H100, is based on Nvidia’s Hopper architecture. Hopper was announced in March 2022, and Nvidia said to expect its successor in 2024.

    Cloud providers including Google, Microsoft and Amazon have said they’re going to spend heavily to expand their data centers, which will mostly rely on Nvidia GPUs.

    For now, Nvidia is selling nearly every H100 it can make, and industry participants often grumble about how hard it is to secure GPU access following the launch of ChatGPT late last year.

    “ChatGPT was the iPhone moment of AI,” Huang said at the company’s annual shareholder meeting in June. “It all came together in a simple user interface that anyone could understand. But we’ve only gotten our first glimpse of its full potential. Generative AI has started a new computing era and will rival the transformative impact of the Internet.”

    Investors are buying the story. But as this week’s volatile trading showed, they’re also quick to hit the sell button if the company or market hits a snag.

    — CNBC’s Jonathan Vanian contributed reporting.

    WATCH: CoreWeave raises $2.3 billion in debt collateralized by Nvidia chips

    CoreWeave raises $2.3 billion in debt collateralized by Nvidia chips

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  • How Amazon is racing to catch Microsoft and Google in generative A.I. with custom AWS chips

    How Amazon is racing to catch Microsoft and Google in generative A.I. with custom AWS chips

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    In an unmarked office building in Austin, Texas, two small rooms contain a handful of Amazon employees designing two types of microchips for training and accelerating generative AI. These custom chips, Inferentia and Trainium, offer AWS customers an alternative to training their large language models on Nvidia GPUs, which have been getting difficult and expensive to procure. 

    “The entire world would like more chips for doing generative AI, whether that’s GPUs or whether that’s Amazon’s own chips that we’re designing,” Amazon Web Services CEO Adam Selipsky told CNBC in an interview in June. “I think that we’re in a better position than anybody else on Earth to supply the capacity that our customers collectively are going to want.”

    Yet others have acted faster, and invested more, to capture business from the generative AI boom. When OpenAI launched ChatGPT in November, Microsoft gained widespread attention for hosting the viral chatbot, and investing a reported $13 billion in OpenAI. It was quick to add the generative AI models to its own products, incorporating them into Bing in February. 

    That same month, Google launched its own large language model, Bard, followed by a $300 million investment in OpenAI rival Anthropic. 

    It wasn’t until April that Amazon announced its own family of large language models, called Titan, along with a service called Bedrock to help developers enhance software using generative AI.

    “Amazon is not used to chasing markets. Amazon is used to creating markets. And I think for the first time in a long time, they are finding themselves on the back foot and they are working to play catch up,” said Chirag Dekate, VP analyst at Gartner.

    Meta also recently released its own LLM, Llama 2. The open-source ChatGPT rival is now available for people to test on Microsoft‘s Azure public cloud.

    Chips as ‘true differentiation’

    In the long run, Dekate said, Amazon’s custom silicon could give it an edge in generative AI. 

    “I think the true differentiation is the technical capabilities that they’re bringing to bear,” he said. “Because guess what? Microsoft does not have Trainium or Inferentia,” he said.

    AWS quietly started production of custom silicon back in 2013 with a piece of specialized hardware called Nitro. It’s now the highest-volume AWS chip. Amazon told CNBC there is at least one in every AWS server, with a total of more than 20 million in use. 

    AWS started production of custom silicon back in 2013 with this piece of specialized hardware called Nitro. Amazon told CNBC in August that Nitro is now the highest volume AWS chip, with at least one in every AWS server and a total of more than 20 million in use.

    Courtesy Amazon

    In 2015, Amazon bought Israeli chip startup Annapurna Labs. Then in 2018, Amazon launched its Arm-based server chip, Graviton, a rival to x86 CPUs from giants like AMD and Intel.

    “Probably high single-digit to maybe 10% of total server sales are Arm, and a good chunk of those are going to be Amazon. So on the CPU side, they’ve done quite well,” said Stacy Rasgon, senior analyst at Bernstein Research.

    Also in 2018, Amazon launched its AI-focused chips. That came two years after Google announced its first Tensor Processor Unit, or TPU. Microsoft has yet to announce the Athena AI chip it’s been working on, reportedly in partnership with AMD

    CNBC got a behind-the-scenes tour of Amazon’s chip lab in Austin, Texas, where Trainium and Inferentia are developed and tested. VP of product Matt Wood explained what both chips are for.

    “Machine learning breaks down into these two different stages. So you train the machine learning models and then you run inference against those trained models,” Wood said. “Trainium provides about 50% improvement in terms of price performance relative to any other way of training machine learning models on AWS.”

    Trainium first came on the market in 2021, following the 2019 release of Inferentia, which is now on its second generation.

    Trainum allows customers “to deliver very, very low-cost, high-throughput, low-latency, machine-learning inference, which is all the predictions of when you type in a prompt into your generative AI model, that’s where all that gets processed to give you the response, ” Wood said.

    For now, however, Nvidia’s GPUs are still king when it comes to training models. In July, AWS launched new AI acceleration hardware powered by Nvidia H100s. 

    “Nvidia chips have a massive software ecosystem that’s been built up around them over the last like 15 years that nobody else has,” Rasgon said. “The big winner from AI right now is Nvidia.”

    Amazon’s custom chips, from left to right, Inferentia, Trainium and Graviton are shown at Amazon’s Seattle headquarters on July 13, 2023.

    Joseph Huerta

    Leveraging cloud dominance

    AWS’ cloud dominance, however, is a big differentiator for Amazon.

    “Amazon does not need to win headlines. Amazon already has a really strong cloud install base. All they need to do is to figure out how to enable their existing customers to expand into value creation motions using generative AI,” Dekate said.

    When choosing between Amazon, Google, and Microsoft for generative AI, there are millions of AWS customers who may be drawn to Amazon because they’re already familiar with it, running other applications and storing their data there.

    “It’s a question of velocity. How quickly can these companies move to develop these generative AI applications is driven by starting first on the data they have in AWS and using compute and machine learning tools that we provide,” explained Mai-Lan Tomsen Bukovec, VP of technology at AWS.

    AWS is the world’s biggest cloud computing provider, with 40% of the market share in 2022, according to technology industry researcher Gartner. Although operating income has been down year-over-year for three quarters in a row, AWS still accounted for 70% of Amazon’s overall $7.7 billion operating profit in the second quarter. AWS’ operating margins have historically been far wider than those at Google Cloud.

    AWS also has a growing portfolio of developer tools focused on generative AI.

    “Let’s rewind the clock even before ChatGPT. It’s not like after that happened, suddenly we hurried and came up with a plan because you can’t engineer a chip in that quick a time, let alone you can’t build a Bedrock service in a matter of 2 to 3 months,” said Swami Sivasubramanian, AWS’ VP of database, analytics and machine learning.

    Bedrock gives AWS customers access to large language models made by Anthropic, Stability AI, AI21 Labs and Amazon’s own Titan.

    “We don’t believe that one model is going to rule the world, and we want our customers to have the state-of-the-art models from multiple providers because they are going to pick the right tool for the right job,” Sivasubramanian said.

    An Amazon employee works on custom AI chips, in a jacket branded with AWS’ chip Inferentia, at the AWS chip lab in Austin, Texas, on July 25, 2023.

    Katie Tarasov

    One of Amazon’s newest AI offerings is AWS HealthScribe, a service unveiled in July to help doctors draft patient visit summaries using generative AI. Amazon also has SageMaker, a machine learning hub that offers algorithms, models and more. 

    Another big tool is coding companion CodeWhisperer, which Amazon said has enabled developers to complete tasks 57% faster on average. Last year, Microsoft also reported productivity boosts from its coding companion, GitHub Copilot. 

    In June, AWS announced a $100 million generative AI innovation “center.” 

    “We have so many customers who are saying, ‘I want to do generative AI,’ but they don’t necessarily know what that means for them in the context of their own businesses. And so we’re going to bring in solutions architects and engineers and strategists and data scientists to work with them one on one,” AWS CEO Selipsky said.

    Although so far AWS has focused largely on tools instead of building a competitor to ChatGPT, a recently leaked internal email shows Amazon CEO Andy Jassy is directly overseeing a new central team building out expansive large language models, too.

    In the second-quarter earnings call, Jassy said a “very significant amount” of AWS business is now driven by AI and more than 20 machine learning services it offers. Some examples of customers include Philips, 3M, Old Mutual and HSBC. 

    The explosive growth in AI has come with a flurry of security concerns from companies worried that employees are putting proprietary information into the training data used by public large language models.

    “I can’t tell you how many Fortune 500 companies I’ve talked to who have banned ChatGPT. So with our approach to generative AI and our Bedrock service, anything you do, any model you use through Bedrock will be in your own isolated virtual private cloud environment. It’ll be encrypted, it’ll have the same AWS access controls,” Selipsky said.

    For now, Amazon is only accelerating its push into generative AI, telling CNBC that “over 100,000” customers are using machine learning on AWS today. Although that’s a small percentage of AWS’s millions of customers, analysts say that could change.

    “What we are not seeing is enterprises saying, ‘Oh, wait a minute, Microsoft is so ahead in generative AI, let’s just go out and let’s switch our infrastructure strategies, migrate everything to Microsoft.’ Dekate said. “If you’re already an Amazon customer, chances are you’re likely going to explore Amazon ecosystems quite extensively.”

    — CNBC’s Jordan Novet contributed to this report.

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  • ‘Dangerous point for investors’: Strategist warns of overconfidence about A.I.

    ‘Dangerous point for investors’: Strategist warns of overconfidence about A.I.

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    An AI (Artificial Intelligence) sign is seen at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC) in Shanghai, China July 6, 2023. 

    Aly Song | Reuters

    Market participants are “overconfident” about their ability to predict the long-term effects of artificial intelligence, according to Mike Coop, chief investment officer at Morningstar Investment Management.

    Despite a pullback so far this month, optimism about the potential of AI to drive future profits has powered the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite to add more than 31% year to date, while the S&P 500 is up by more than 16%.

    Some analysts have suggested that a bubble effect may be forming, given the concentration of market gains in a small number of big tech shares. Nvidia stock closed Thursday’s trade up 190% so far this year, while Facebook parent Meta Platforms has risen more than 154% and Tesla 99%.

    “If you look back at what’s happened over the last year, you can see how we’ve got to that stage. We had the release of ChatGPT in November, we’ve had announcements about heavy investment in AI from the companies, we’ve had Nvidia with a knockout result in May,” Coop told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Friday.

    “And we’ve had a dawning awareness of how things have sped up in terms of generative AI. That has captured the imagination of the public and we’ve seen this incredible surge.”

    In a recent research note, Morningstar drew parallels between the concentration of huge valuations and the dot-com bubble of 1999, though Coop said the differentiating feature of the current rally is that the companies at its center are “established giants with major competitive advantages.”

    “All of our company research suggests that the companies that have done well this year have a form of a moat, and are profitable and have sustainable competitive advantages, compared with what was happening in 1999 where you had lots of speculative companies, so there is some degree of firmer foundations,” Coop said.

    “Having said that, the prices have run so hard that it looks to us that really people are overconfident about their ability to forecast how AI will impact things.”

    Drawing parallels to major technological upheavals that have realigned civilization — such as electricity, steam and internal combustion engines, computing, and the internet — Coop contended that the long-run effects are not predictable.

    “They can take time and the winners can emerge from things that don’t exist. Google is a good example of that. So we think people have got carried away with that, and what it has meant is that the market in the U.S. is very clustered around a similar theme,” he said.

    “Be mindful of what you can really predict when you’re paying a very high price, and you’re factoring in a best case scenario for a stock, and be cognizant of the fact that as the pace of technological change accelerates, that also means that you should be less confident about predicting the future and betting heavily on it and paying a very high price for things.”

    In what he dubbed a “dangerous point for investors,” Coop stressed the importance of diversifying portfolios and remaining “valuation aware.”

    He advised investors to look at stocks that are able to insulate portfolios against recession risks and are “pricing in a bad case scenario” to the point of offering good value, along with bonds, which are considerably more attractive than they were 18 months ago.

    “Be cognizant of just how high a price is being paid for the promise of what AI may or may not deliver for individual companies,” Coop concluded.

    Correction: This story was updated to reflect the year-to-date change of the Nasdaq Composite stood at 31% at the time of writing.

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  • The banking sector is poised for expense reduction and mergers, says Potomac Wealth’s Mark Avallone

    The banking sector is poised for expense reduction and mergers, says Potomac Wealth’s Mark Avallone

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    Mark Avallone, president of Potomac Wealth Advisors, and Jeff Kilburg, CEO of KKM Financial, join ‘The Exchange’ to discuss stocks falling after the Moody’s downgrade, the case for buying regional banks, consolidation in the VIX and owning tech in an equal weighted manner.

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  • Watch CNBC’s full interview with Potomac Wealth’s Mark Avallone and KKM’s Jeff Kilburg

    Watch CNBC’s full interview with Potomac Wealth’s Mark Avallone and KKM’s Jeff Kilburg

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    Mark Avallone, president of Potomac Wealth Advisors, and Jeff Kilburg, CEO of KKM Financial, join ‘The Exchange’ to discuss stocks falling after the Moody’s downgrade, the case for buying regional banks, consolidation in the VIX and owning tech in an equal weighted manner.

    06:56

    Tue, Aug 8 20231:49 PM EDT

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  • Banks hit with $549 million in fines for use of Signal, WhatsApp to evade regulators’ reach

    Banks hit with $549 million in fines for use of Signal, WhatsApp to evade regulators’ reach

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    U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler, testifies before the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee during an oversight hearing on Capitol Hill in Washington, September 15, 2022.

    Evelyn Hockstein | Reuters

    U.S. regulators on Tuesday announced a combined $549 million in penalties against Wells Fargo and a raft of smaller or non-U.S. firms that failed to maintain electronic records of employee communications.

    The Securities and Exchange Commission disclosed charges and $289 million in fines against 11 firms for “widespread and longstanding failures” in record-keeping, while the Commodity Futures Trading Commission also said it fined four banks a total of $260 million for failing to maintain records required by the agency.

    It was regulators’ latest effort to stamp out the pervasive use of secure messaging apps like Signal, Meta‘s WhatsApp or Apple‘s iMessage by Wall Street employees and managers. Starting in late 2021, the watchdogs secured settlements with bigger players including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup. Fines related to the issue total more than $2 billion, according to the SEC and CFTC.

    “Today’s actions stem from our continuing sweep to ensure that regulated entities, including broker-dealers and investment advisers, comply with their recordkeeping requirements, which are essential for us to monitor and enforce compliance with the federal securities laws,” Sanjay Wadhwa, deputy director of enforcement at the SEC, said in the release.

    The firms admitted that from at least 2019, employees used side channels like WhatsApp to discuss company business, failing to preserve records “in violation of federal securities laws,” the SEC said Tuesday.

    Wells Fargo biggest offender

    Wells Fargo, the fourth-biggest U.S. bank by assets and a relatively small player on Wall Street, racked up the most fines on Tuesday, with $200 million in penalties.

    “We are pleased to resolve this matter,” said Wells Fargo spokeswoman Laurie Kight.

    French banks BNP Paribas and Societe Generale were fined $110 million each, while the Bank of Montreal was fined $60 million. The SEC also fined Japanese firms Mizuho Securities and SMBC Nikko Securities and boutique U.S. investment banks including Houlihan Lokey, Moelis and Wedbush Securities.

    Bank of Montreal has “made significant enhancements to our compliance procedures in recent years” and is pleased to have the matter behind it, said spokesman Jeff Roman.

    The other banks penalized Tuesday declined to comment.

    Apart from the fines, banks were ordered to “cease and desist” from future violations and hire consultants to review bank policies, the SEC said.

    On Wall Street, company records of emails and other communications via official channels are often automatically generated to adhere to requirements that clients are treated fairly. But after some of the industry’s biggest scandals of the past decade hinged on incriminating messages preserved in chatrooms, workers often leaned on side channels to conduct business.

    A widespread practice

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  • Top Wall Street analysts are banking on these stocks for solid returns

    Top Wall Street analysts are banking on these stocks for solid returns

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    The Spotify logo on the New York Stock Exchange, April 3, 2018.

    Lucas Jackson | Reuters

    With markets facing pressure at least in the short term, investors should try to build a portfolio of stocks that can weather the storm and offer long-term growth potential.

    Here are five stocks chosen by Wall Street’s top analysts, according to TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance.

    Domino’s Pizza

    Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) reported mixed results for the second quarter, with the company blaming a decline in its market-basket pricing to stores and lower order volumes for the shortfall in its revenue compared to analysts’ expectations.

    Nonetheless, BTIG analyst Peter Saleh reiterated a buy rating on Domino’s with a price target of $465 and said that the stock remains his top pick. (See Domino’s Financial Statements on TipRanks) 

    In particular, Saleh expects the company’s Uber Eats partnership, changes in the rewards program, and the launch of its pepperoni Stuffed Cheesy Bread to boost the top line in the fourth quarter and into 2024.

    The analyst noted that the pizza chain’s entire menu will become available to Uber Eats customers at regular menu prices, without any deals or coupons. Interestingly, the company is targeting the higher-income customers on Uber Eats and reserving the discounts and other benefits for its own ordering channels.

    “We expect the improvement in delivery sales, coupled with declining commodities, to translate to healthier unit economics and accelerated domestic development next year and beyond,” said Saleh.

    Saleh ranks No. 331 out of more than 8,500 analysts tracked on TipRanks. Also, 64% percent of his ratings have been profitable, with an average return of 12.9%.  

    Meta Platforms

    Next up is Meta Platforms (META). The social media platform recently delivered upbeat second-quarter results and issued better-than-anticipated guidance for the third quarter, signaling improved conditions in the digital ad market.

    Following the print, Monness analyst Brian White raised his price target for Meta to $370 from $275 and maintained a buy rating, saying that the company’s second-quarter results reflected strong execution and its massive cost-improvement measures.

    The analyst noted that management’s commentary during the earnings call reflected positive vibes, backed by an improving digital ad market and a compelling product roadmap. He highlighted the momentum in Meta’s short-video feature Reels, which is growing at a more than $10 billion annual revenue run rate across apps. He also mentioned the better-than-expected traction in Threads and the company’s significant investments in artificial intelligence.        

    White cautioned investors about regulatory risks and internal headwinds. However, he said that in the long run, “Meta will benefit from the digital ad trend, innovate with AI, and participate in the build-out of the metaverse.”

    White holds the 27th position among more than 8,500 analysts on TipRanks. His ratings have been profitable 67% of the time, with each rating delivering an average return of 20.7%. (See Meta Platforms Stock Chart on TipRanks)

    Spotify

    White is also bullish on audio streaming company Spotify (SPOT). While Spotify’s second-quarter revenue and Q3 2023 guidance missed analysts’ expectations, the analyst contended that results were “respectable” with meaningful year-over-year growth of 27% in monthly active users (MAU) to 551 million.

    Commenting on Spotify’s decision to increase the price of its subscription offerings, White noted that the price hikes will impact most subscribers beginning September, thus having a small impact on the third quarter but contributing meaningfully to the fourth-quarter performance.

    While the analyst acknowledges an intense competitive backdrop, he said that “Spotify is riding a favorable long-term trend, enhancing its platform, tapping into a large digital ad market, expanding its audio offerings, and improving its cost structure.”

    White raised his 2024 estimates and reiterated a buy rating while increasing the price target for SPOT stock to $175 from $160. (See Spotify Blogger Opinions & Sentiment on TipRanks)  

    Microsoft

    Another tech giant in the week’s list is Microsoft (MSFT), which has been making headlines this year due to its generative AI advancements. The company’s fiscal fourth-quarter results topped Wall Street’s estimates. That said, the revenue outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 fell short of expectations.

    Nonetheless, Goldman Sachs analyst Kash Rangan, who ranks 459th among more than 8,500 analysts tracked on TipRanks, remains bullish on MSFT stock. (See Microsoft Hedge Fund Trading Activity on TipRanks)           

    The analyst thinks that in the short term, there might be concerns about when the company’s ramped-up capital investments will pay off. However, he observed that historically, whenever Microsoft increased its capital expenditure in the cloud market, Azure growth rate shot up meaningfully and margins rebounded, driving the stock price higher. 

    With a strong presence across all layers of the cloud stack, Rangan said that Microsoft is well positioned to capture opportunities in several long-term secular trends, including public cloud and SaaS adoption, digital transformation, generative AI and machine learning, analytics and DevOps.

    In line with his bullish stance, Rangan reiterated a buy rating with a price target of $400. He has a success rate of 59% and each of his ratings has returned 10% on average.

    General Motors

    We now drive toward legacy automaker General Motors (GM), which impressed investors with robust growth in its second-quarter revenue and earnings. Additionally, the company raised its full-year outlook for the second time this year.

    Recently, Tigress Financial Partners analyst Ivan Feinseth reaffirmed a buy rating on the stock with a price target of $86, noting the company’s strong execution and the ramp-up of new electric vehicle launches and production.

    The analyst highlighted that the company continues to witness robust demand for its full-size SUVs and pickups, which is driving its revenue and cash flow higher and funding the transition and expansion of its EV production.

    Feinseth called GM’s Ultium platform and supply chain for EV battery production its significant competitive advantage. The analyst is also positive about the company’s recent initiatives to expand its charging network.

    “In addition to the ramp-up of EV production, GM’s ramp-up of high-value software and services as it plans to double company revenue to $275-315 billion by 2030 should drive significant increases in Return on Capital (ROC) and Economic Profit,” the analyst said.     

    Feinseth holds the 215th position among more than 8,500 analysts on TipRanks. His ratings have been successful 61% of the time, with each rating delivering an average return of 12.9%. (See General Motors Insider Trading Activity on TipRanks)

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  • Facing lawsuit from Musk, nonprofit head says he won’t stop exposing Twitter’s problems

    Facing lawsuit from Musk, nonprofit head says he won’t stop exposing Twitter’s problems

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    An effigy of Elon Musk is seen on a mobile device with the Twitter logo in this photo illustration on 23 July, 2023 in Warsaw, Poland. 

    Jaap Arriens | Nurphoto | Getty Images

    Imran Ahmed refuses to be intimidated by Elon Musk. And he’s insisting that researchers at his nonprofit Center for Countering Digital Hate remain equally unafraid.

    Earlier this week, the company formerly known as Twitter filed a lawsuit in federal court against the CCDH, after the organization in June published research that Musk didn’t like. The group found a rise in hate speech on Twitter since Musk purchased the company last year, and said X, as it’s now known, fails to take action against paying subscribers who post racist, homophobic, conspiratorial and other inflammatory content.

    In an interview with CNBC, Ahmed said the CCDH has no plans to suspend its research into the spread of hateful content and other emerging problems it finds on the social media platform. Rather, Ahmed told staffers in a meeting after he heard about the lawsuit that they should “double down” on probing X.

    “I’ve never, ever, ever walked away from a fight,” Ahmed said.

    Ahmed, 44, lives in Washington, D.C., though he studied in the U.K. at the University of Cambridge. He founded the CCDH in 2018 after the death of Jo Cox, a U.K. Labour Party colleague and member of parliament, by a white supremist who was reportedly “a loner obsessed with Nazis.”

    Lawyers representing X alleged in this week’s lawsuit that the CCDH improperly obtained access to social media analysis tool Brandwatch and also illegally scraped data from Twitter using other methods. The attorneys claimed the CCDH has used “flawed methodologies to advance incorrect, misleading narratives” that have driven away X’s advertisers, damaging its business.

    In March, the CCHD published a study showing that since Musk took over Twitter, there’s been a 119% increase in tweets mentioning the grooming narrative, referring to a conspiracy theory that implies LGBTQ+ people are grooming children. The study was based on an analysis of 1.7 million tweets from the beginning of 2022 through February 2023. The CCDH said it obtained the tweets using a data-scraping tool and Twitter’s search function.

    X said in its lawsuit that it’s seeking a jury trial, unspecified monetary damages, and wants to block CCDH and any of its collaborators or employees from accessing data provided by X to Brandwatch.

    Ahmed declined to comment about the specifics of the case though he noted that X has not yet physically served him or the CCDH with a lawsuit.

    He’s accustomed to the criticism.

    Prior to the challenges from X, Meta and TikTok took issue with the CCDH’s research methodology after the group released reports alleging those platforms fostered misinformation and content that could harm the mental health of teenagers.

    However, neither of those companies went so far as to sue the nonprofit or allege that it acted unlawfully.

    The lawsuit from X follows a previous letter sent from another law firm representing the company, accusing the CCDH of false and misleading claims linked to a separate trademark-related law known as the Lanham Act.

    Ahmed characterized Musk’s actions toward his organization as those of “a man who is desperately fishing around for ways to blame someone else.”

    X did not respond to questions about the lawsuit or when it plans to serve CCDH with it. The company issued a statement to CNBC, reiterating prior comments and accusing the nonprofit of spreading false claims against X to stymie public discourse. Prior to the lawsuit, Musk referred to Ahmed as a “rat” and the nonprofit as “truly evil.”

    Brandwatch and its parent company Cision didn’t respond to requests for comment.

    No money from tech companies

    Ahmed defended the CCDH against claims that it’s a “censorship organization,” and also shot down allegations in the complaint and from Musk that the group is covertly bankrolled by potential competitors or foreign governments.

    “I made clear that we don’t take money from tech companies, social media companies, and we don’t take money from governments,” Ahmed said. “We take money from philanthropic trusts and the public. If people want to donate, they can donate to us here.”

    The CCDH has provided evidence to the governments of the U.S. and U.K. on Internet harms, and advocated for the U.K.’s Online Safety Bill, which was designed to make social media companies more responsible for the safety of their users.

    When it comes to Musk, Ahmed has a particular point to make: He doesn’t “understand how free speech truly works.”

    He’s a “self-proclaimed champion of free speech,” Ahmed said, but he “doesn’t understand the marketplace of ideas.”

    Ultimately, Ahmed’s conclusion is that, “Musk is behaving like a child who simply cannot take responsibility for the fact that he pooped in his own pants and it wasn’t someone else that did it for him.”

    Earlier this week, three Democratic members of Congress sent a letter to Musk and X, accusing the world’s richest person of taking a “hostile stance” toward independent researchers. They said the studies have “raised legitimate and serious questions regarding X’s business practices since Mr. Musk’s acquisition.”

    But Musk has his backers on the other side of the aisle.

    House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, sent a letter to the CCDH and Ahmed as part of a broader “censorship investigation.” The letter, which the CCDH confirmed it received on Thursday, said the committee is seeking documents from the nonprofit that show its “interactions” with the federal government, including the Biden administration, and social media companies.

    “The Committee on the Judiciary is conducting oversight of how and to what extent the Executive Branch has coerced and colluded with companies and other intermediaries to censor speech,” Jordan wrote. “Certain third parties, including organizations like yours, appear to have played a role in this censorship regime by advising the government and social media companies on so-called ‘misinformation’ and other types of content — sometimes with direct or indirect support or approval from the federal government.”

    Ahmed said that in the days since the X lawsuit was made public, the CCDH has received “hundreds of donations” and “so many messages of support” from organizations including Amnesty International, the Anti-Defamation League, Friends of the Earth, and Planned Parenthood.

    Other groups that have voiced support for CCDH include LGBTQ advocate GLAAD, the Molly Rose Foundation, the Free Press, Check My Ads and Coalition for Independent Tech Research.

    Ahmed said these organizations recognize what’s at stake, especially as Musk shows his increasing willingness to use his wealth and power to inject his ideologies onto a major communications platform.

    There are “all these other groups who are all coming out going, no no, our information ecosystem is valuable,” Ahmed said. “We have the right to comment on it, on the private companies who administer significant parts of it.”

    WATCH: Elon Musk has vision to make Twitter into ‘an everything app’ with X rebrand.

    Elon Musk has vision to make Twitter into 'an everything app' with X rebrand, says Rich Greenfield

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  • Meta’s Threads will soon have search and web functions, Zuckerberg says

    Meta’s Threads will soon have search and web functions, Zuckerberg says

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    Thilina Kaluthotage | Nurphoto | Getty Images

    Meta’s Twitter-like Threads app will soon get a search function and be available to access via the web.

    In a Threads post on Friday, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said the new features will be “coming in the next few weeks.”

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    “A good week for Threads,” Zuckerberg wrote. “The community here is on the trajectory I expect to build a vibrant long term app.”

    Meta introduced Threads in July to much fanfare, and the app quickly shot up the charts as Zuckerberg capitalized on struggles that have beset Twitter — now known as X — and increased criticism of principal owner Elon Musk. But engagement on Threads has significantly declined over the past weeks as the novelty wore off, and some users grew frustrated with the app’s limited functionality.

    Advertisers and creators have told CNBC that in order for Threads to become an important service, the real-time messaging app needs to have features that make it easier to search for trending topics and to find previous posts. And being able to access Threads on the web is particularly important if Meta wants to truly compete with X, which has long been popular on desktop for people at work.

    Last week, Zuckerberg said on Meta’s earnings call that he’s “quite optimistic” about the future of Threads and that it was built by a small team. Still, the company is not going to monetize the app until it’s much bigger and more established, he said.

    “Lots of work ahead but excited about the team’s pace of shipping,” Zuckerberg wrote on Friday.

    WATCH: Are the Threads unraveling?

    Are the Threads unraveling? Meta looks into 'hooks' to keep users on Twitter rival

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  • SoftBank sues social media startup it invested in, alleging it faked user numbers

    SoftBank sues social media startup it invested in, alleging it faked user numbers

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    SoftBank Founder Masayoshi Son is pictured here in 2019 during an earnings presentation.

    Tomohiro Ohsumi | Getty Images

    SoftBank’s Vision Fund filed suit against the founders of one of its portfolio companies Monday, alleging that they artificially inflated user metrics, lied to the fund about performance and bilked the fund for millions.

    Buzzy social media startup IRL launched in April 2021 and was seemingly “one of the fastest growing social media apps for Generation Z,” the complaint in San Francisco federal court alleges.

    SoftBank was invested in the company due to its apparently low cost, “strong” user engagement that left it “well positioned for further viral growth” in the same way Facebook and Twitter exploded.

    In May 2021, a month after the company launched, SoftBank invested $150 million in IRL through one of the conglomerate’s high-spending Vision Funds, buying $125 million in shares from the company and another $25 million from insiders including CEO Abraham Shafi as well as Noah Shafi and Yassin Aniss, the complaint says.

    SoftBank believed that IRL had 12 million monthly active users.

    But those numbers were a lie, the complaint alleges. IRL was secretly swarming its own platform with an army of bots, according to the complaint, creating the veneer of a thriving social network which was, in reality, a cover to “defraud investors.”

    The plot began to unravel when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission opened an investigation into IRL in late 2022. In April 2023, Abraham Shafi was suspended as CEO, and the company dissolved in June.

    The suit raises significant questions about the level of scrutiny that SoftBank applied to its portfolio companies. When a third-party assessment of user numbers came in significantly below IRL’s own sales pitch, SoftBank representatives accepted Abraham Shafi’s explanations that they were “definitely not accurate,” according to the suit.

    Past missteps from SoftBank include large positions in allegedly fraudulent crypto exchange FTX and devalued property company WeWork. SoftBank’s Vision Funds have faltered significantly since the market highs of 2021, and the conglomerate posted a full-year loss of $32 billion for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023.

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  • These are the most overweighted and underweighted stocks by socially conscious funds, according to Bernstein

    These are the most overweighted and underweighted stocks by socially conscious funds, according to Bernstein

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  • Zuckerberg unveils Quest 3 as Meta tries to stay ahead in the mixed reality headset game | CNN Business

    Zuckerberg unveils Quest 3 as Meta tries to stay ahead in the mixed reality headset game | CNN Business

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    New York
    CNN
     — 

    Meta is moving forward in its efforts to dominate the AR world with the new and improved Meta Quest 3.

    Unveiled by CEO Mark Zuckerberg at the company’s virtual Meta Connect event Wednesday, the headset starts at $500 and is a complete redesign of earlier models. The Quest 3, first announced in June, offers improved performance, immersive new mixed-reality features and a sleeker, more comfortable design.

    With a much stronger processor, higher-resolution display, revamped Touch Plus controllers and a 40% slimmer physique, the Quest 3 is a big step up from its predecessors. The Meta Quest 2 allows for strictly virtual reality, while the Meta Quest Pro has advanced passthrough cameras for seeing your actual surroundings, but it costs a whopping $1,000.

    Most importantly, the Quest 3 has support for Meta Reality, allowing users to enjoy mixed-reality experiences that blend the real world with the virtual one — for example, you can play a virtual piano on your real-life coffee table.

    “If you pick up a digital ball and throw it at the physical wall, it’ll bounce off it,” Zuckerberg said at Meta Connect Wednesday. “If someone’s shooting at you and you want to duck the fire, you just get behind your physical couch.”

    The Meta Quest virtual library is fully accessible with the Quest 3 – a library that now features VR-friendly Roblox, released Wednesday, and is set to add X Box cloud gaming in December, giving gamers the chance to play titles like Halo and Minecraft on a large screen anywhere.

    The headset is available for preorder now and officially hit stores on Oct. 10, available in two storage options (128GB and 512GB).

    Zuckerberg explains features of the new Quest 3 headset on September 27, 2023.

    Meta’s newest headset comes three years after the Quest 2, under a year after the Quest Pro and under four months after the Apple Vision Pro.

    Dubbed by Zuckerberg as the “first mainstream mixed reality headset” the Quest 3 is part of an ongoing arms race between two of tech’s biggest players to command the headset space – and Zuckerberg’s personal vision for a next-generation internet where users can interact with each other in virtual spaces resembling real life. And it comes in at a much cheaper price than the Apple alternative (which will cost you $3,499, to be exact) and is still mainly a VR headset with alternative reality options, while Apple’s product is a dedicated mixed reality experience.

    To get ahead of Apple’s June unveiling of the Vision Pro, Zuckerberg teased the Meta Quest 3 just days before its rival’s big announcement. But the two companies had a tense relationship even before Apple’s entry into the market. They have competed over news and messaging features, and their CEOs have traded jabs over data privacy and app store policies. Last February, Meta said it expected to take a $10 billion hit in 2022 from Apple’s move to limit how apps like Facebook collect data for targeted ads.

    Meta has until now been the dominant player in the headset market, but it has so far struggled to attract a mainstream audience for its VR headset products. The Wall Street Journal reported last year that Meta had just 200,000 active users in Horizon Worlds, its app for socializing in VR. And in 2023, IDC estimates just 10.1 million AR/VR headsets will ship globally from the entire market, far below the tens of millions of iPhones Apple sells each quarter.

    Morgan Stanley analysts called Apple’s Vision Pro a “moonshot” effort following its June announcement, saying the product “has the potential to become Apple’s next compute platform,” but that the company has “much to prove” before the headset’s launch next year.

    The biggest fight may not be between tech giants, but for the general public’s acceptance. Many analysts say the biggest hurdle to consumer adoption of mixed reality headsets is ensuring a wide range of potential use cases and experiences available on the devices. While Meta has introduced features that let users play games, explore virtual worlds, watch YouTube videos, workout, chat with friends and more, it has yet to convince most consumers that the device is worthwhile.

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  • EU asks Meta for more details on efforts to stop illegal and inaccurate content on Israel-Hamas war | CNN Business

    EU asks Meta for more details on efforts to stop illegal and inaccurate content on Israel-Hamas war | CNN Business

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    London
    CNN
     — 

    The European Union has told Meta it has a week to explain in greater detail how it is fighting the spread of illegal content and disinformation on its Facebook and Instagram platforms following the attacks across Israel by Hamas.

    The European Commission, the bloc’s executive arm, said it had sent the formal request for information to Meta (META) Thursday.

    The commission also asked TikTok for more information on the steps it had taken to prevent the spread of “terrorist and violent content and hate speech,” it said, but without referring to the Israel-Hamas war.

    Last week, EU Commissioner Thierry Breton wrote to several social media companies, including Meta and TikTok, giving them 24 hours to detail the measures they were taking to comply with EU rules on content moderation enshrined in the recently enacted Digital Services Act (DSA).

    On Friday, Meta said its teams had been working “around the clock” since the attacks by Hamas on October 7 to monitor its platforms and outlined some of its actions against misinformation and content that violates its policies and standards.

    And on Sunday, TikTok announced that it had, among other measures, launched a command center to coordinate the work of its “safety professionals” around the world and improve the software it uses to automatically detect and remove graphic and violent content.

    But the European Commission has made it clear it needs more information. In its Thursday announcement, the body gave both Meta and TikTok until October 25 to respond to its requests and warned that it had the power to impose financial penalties if it was not satisfied with their responses.

    Both companies also have until November 8 to detail how they intend to protect the “integrity of elections” on their platforms, the commission said.

    Both Meta and TikTok are bound by obligations set out in the DSA, a landmark piece of legislation, enacted in August, that seeks to more stringently regulate large tech companies, and protect people’s rights online.

    The commission’s formal requests come a week after it issued a similar ultimatum to X, the company formerly known as Twitter, asking for information on how it intends to stop the spread of illegal, misleading, violent and hateful content.

    The commission said it had opened an investigation into X’s compliance with the DSA. It has not announced parallel investigations into Meta or TikTok.

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