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Are AT&T and Verizon’s Dividends Safe? What the Math Says.
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These reports, excerpted and edited by Barron’s, were issued recently by investment and research firms. The reports are a sampling of analysts’ thinking; they should not be considered the views or recommendations of Barron’s. Some of the reports’ issuers have provided, or hope to provide, investment-banking or other services to the companies being analyzed.
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The debt-ceiling standoff between the GOP House and the Biden administration will likely cast a long shadow over markets. President Joe Biden met with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and other congressional leaders this past week, but their talks ended without a resolution, and a Friday meeting was postponed as staffs met.
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https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-banks-fed-interest-rates-nasdaq-cc33814e
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Intel
is cutting its dividend. In a treacherous environment for the economy and profits, more companies could do the same.
On Wednesday, Intel (ticker: INTC) cut its dividend by 66% to an annual 50 cents a share, helping push the stock down about 16% in the past month. Intel has lost market share for chips to
Advanced Micro Devices
(AMD) and has struggled to meet Wall Street’s earnings targets. Weighing on earnings is weak PC demand, with year-over-year declines in sales. A dividend cut this large may partly reflect the economic environment, but also the company’s own problems.
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The dash for trash has hit a speed bump. Stocks faltered again this past week as the early-year rally, led by rebounds in 2022’s speculative-grade losers, ran into resistance from higher expected interest rates from the Federal Reserve in the wake of persistent inflation readings and few signs that growth is faltering.
Economists at an array of major Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Citigroup, lifted their forecasts of the eventual peak in the central bank’s target range for the overnight federal-funds rate, to 5.25% to 5.50%, effectively bringing them in line with the fed-funds futures market. Deutsche Bank now is expecting a 5.6% single-point peak, up a half-percentage-point from its previous estimate, and among the highest forecasts.
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It’s always fun until the bill comes due—and the bill always comes due. In fact, it’s coming due right about now.
On Friday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned Congress that the U.S. would hit its debt ceiling this coming Thursday, earlier than many had expected. That doesn’t mean the government will be forced to stop paying its bills then—Yellen believes that the Treasury has enough cash and other ways to raise money to last it until early June—but it does mean that an issue that was still purely theoretical has become far more pressing as the X date approaches.
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These reports, excerpted and edited by Barron’s, were issued recently by investment and research firms. The reports are a sampling of analysts’ thinking; they should not be considered the views or recommendations of Barron’s. Some of the reports’ issuers have provided, or hope to provide, investment-banking or other services to the companies being analyzed.
Advanced Micro Devices AMD-Nasdaq
Buy (four stars out of five) • Price $64.52 on Dec. 23
by CFRA
Our Buy recommendation reflects our expectation for significant share gains on the central-processing-unit data-center side from the ramp-up of AMD’s next-generation EPYC processor, greater momentum for AMD’s graphics processing units, and our expectation for balance sheet improvement.
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We all make mistakes—but the Federal Reserve may be making a bigger one than most. That could mean another difficult year for the stock market in 2023.
Those concerns were front and center this past week, following the Federal Open Market Committee’s December meeting. The Fed didn’t do anything to surprise the market as it raised the federal-funds rate by a half-point, just as everyone expected, and suggested a terminal rate of just over 5%, a level investors had slowly come around to. But the dot plot reflected the Fed’s belief that rates would have to go high and stay high, while Chairman Jerome Powell continued to strike a hawkish tone.
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Things tend to slow down for the holidays. The stock market isn’t there yet.
With Christmas just a couple of weeks away, it’s easy to look ahead to candy canes, caroling, and presents under the tree, but there’s still work to be done. The coming week certainly won’t be boring, with highly anticipated inflation data and a Federal Reserve decision on back-to-back days. The two events will do much to determine the direction of the market for the coming weeks—a deeper slide or a resumption of the Santa Claus rally.
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