NAROK, Kenya—Leaders of the Maasai ethnic group are seeking a court order to demolish a new Ritz-Carlton luxury safari camp they say blocks a key route of the famous Serengeti migration.
Meitamei Olol Dapash, a Maasai elder with an American Ph.D., says the camp sits astride a path that some migratory wildebeest and zebra use to cross the Sand River in search of green grass.
McDonald’s Corp.’s stock fell 1.3% in premarket trading on Monday after the fast-food giant missed Wall Street analysts’ estimates for revenue and same-store sales, while citing an impact from war in the Middle East.
The global fast-food giant said it expects “macro challenges” to persist in 2024.
McDonald’s MCD, -0.35%
said its fourth-quarter net income rose by 7% to $2.04 billion, or $2.80 a share, from $1.9 billion, or $2.59 a share, in the year-ago quarter.
McDonald’s said the latest quarter’s results included 15 cents a share in one-time charges.
Breaking those charges out, McDonald’s would have earned $1.95 a share. Analysts expected McDonalds to earn $1.83 a share, according to FactSet data.
Revenue rose 8% to $6.41 billion, short of the FactSet consensus estimate of $6.45 billion.
Fourth-quarter global comparable-store sales increased by 3.4%, including a 4.3% rise in the U.S.. Analysts expected same-store sales growth of 4.7%.
McDonald’s said its comparable sales fell in the Middle East as a reflection of war in the region since Oct. 7.
All other same-stores sales rose in international developmental licensed markets.
Total international developmental licensed markets same-store sales rose by 0.7%, well below the result in the previous quarter, which saw a 10.5% increase.
Looking back at the balance of 2023, McDonald’s said its net income rose by 37% to $8.47 billion.
Revenue jumped by 10% in 2023 to $25.49 billion.
Free cash flow for 2023 increased to $7.25 billion from $5.49 billion.
Before Monday’s moves, McDonald’s stock was up by 10.9% in the past year.
Domino’s Pizza Group said it backed its fiscal 2023 guidance expecting accelerating growth through additional opportunities mostly in the U.K. and Ireland markets.
The pizza chain–the holder of the master franchise agreement to own, operate and franchise Domino’s stores in the U.K. and Ireland–said that it expects underlying earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization to be in the range of 132 million pounds ($165.6 million) to GBP138 million.
The company added that it still expects to open at least 60 new stores this year.
“Material progress has been made in recent years but there are a number of areas where we can significantly enhance growth,” Chief Executive Officer Andrew Rennie said.
Krispy Kreme has already run into trouble with the deputy mayor of Paris after opening its first store in the French capital this week.
The opening saw hundreds of Parisians flock to Krispy Kreme’s DNUT, +0.31%
new shop, which occupies a site that previously housed a restaurant run by Michelin-starred chef Alain Ducasse.
The North Carolina doughnut purveyor’s arrival in Paris, however, also attracted the ire of Deputy Mayor Emmanuel Grégoire, after the business put up a series of posters on the streets of Paris.
The Socialist Party politician slammed Krispy Kreme’s poster campaign for “littering the streets,” which he described as “illegal, polluting and costly for the community.” The so-called guerrilla marketing tactic of flyposting is illegal under French law.
“Prepare to get a big fine!” Grégoire said in response to a tweet celebrating the campaign that read: “Prepare to change your diet with @KrispyKremeFrr.”
The poster campaign was developed by advertising agency Buzzman Time, which has previously designed marketing campaigns for Burger King and Uber Eats.
The opening of Krispy Kreme’s Paris store marks the company’s first foray into France, which is now the second-biggest fast-food market in the world.
The New York–listed company, which was founded in 1937, plans to build 500 doughnut stalls across France over the next five years. Krispy Kreme doughnuts are currently available in 38 countries, including Cambodia, Myanmar and Kazakhstan. Its 379 locations in the U.S. are in 41 states and the District of Columbia.
According to its most recent financial results, Krispy Kreme generated $407 million in revenue in the third quarter of 2023, a 7.9% increase over the previous year.
Krispy Kreme and Buzzman Time have not responded to a request by MarketWatch for comment.
The City by the Bay is the best place to enjoy a Thanksgiving bash, at least according to a new report.
The personal-finance website WalletHub ranked San Francisco as the top U.S. spot to celebrate Turkey Day. New York, home to the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade, didn’t even crack the top 10 of the cities the site surveyed, landing instead in position No. 37.
Luckin Coffee has surpassed Starbucks as China’s biggest coffee chain by sales and units, company reports show, a comeback for the Chinese company after an accounting scandal that stalled its growth.
Shares of Sleep Number Corp. tanked 30% in the after-hours session Tuesday after the mattress maker and retailer swung to a surprise quarterly loss, predicted a loss for the full year and said it reached an agreement with a shareholder that had been pushing for change.
It was a “challenging” quarter for Sleep Number SNBR, -1.41%
and the bedding industry, Chief Executive Shelly Ibach said. “The consumer demand trajectory changed abruptly midway through the quarter,” Ibach said.
Sleep Number “acted quickly to further reduce costs, recalibrate our sales and marketing approach, and amend our credit agreement to provide additional covenant flexibility through the end of 2024,” she said.
Sleep Number lost $2.32 million, or 10 cents a share, in the third quarter, versus earnings of $5 million, or 22 cents a share, in the year-ago quarter.
Revenue dropped 13% to $473 million, the company said.
Analysts polled by FactSet expected the company to earn 16 cents a share on sales of $509 million in the quarter.
Sleep Number also kicked off a plan to reduce costs in light of the lower demand. It hopes the plan will result in about $50 million less in operating expenses next year, the company said.
The cost-restructuring actions are “broad-based” and include layoffs as well as store closures, the company said.
The layoffs will occur “across all areas of the organization,” including in corporate and research and development, the company said. It plans to close 40 to 50 stores by the end of next year, and slow down the rate of new-store openings and remodels.
The restructuring will result in up to $20 million in one-time costs, with about $10 million of the costs falling in the fourth quarter, the company said.
Sleep Number also dialed back its 2023 EPS outlook, calling for a per-share loss of up to 70 cents, including the fourth-quarter restructuring charges.
That compares with a July guidance of 2023 EPS in a range between $1.25 and $1.75.
Separately, Sleep Number appointed Stephen E. Macadam and Hilary A. Schneider to its board, effective immediately, expanding the board to 12 people.
In conjunction with the appointments, Sleep Number entered into a cooperation agreement with shareholder Stadium Capital Management LLC.
As part of the agreement, the board has established a “capital allocation and value enhancement committee” to review capital use and investments, it said.
Independent director Michael J. Harrison said that the company was “grateful to have reached an agreement with Stadium Capital on a constructive path forward and are looking forward to working with Steve and Hilary toward our common goal of delivering long-term value for our shareholders.”
Stadium Capital, which owns about 9% of Sleep Number, published a letter in September criticizing the company, its executives, and the “abysmal” shareholder returns.
Shares of Sleep Number have lost 38% so far this year, contrasting with gains of about 14% for the S&P 500 index SPX.
Going back decades, if you wanted to buy or sell a stock on the open market, you had to pay a 2% commission to buy and a 2% commission to sell. Then the advent of discount brokerage, led by Charles Schwab Corp. SCHW, +1.64%,
made lower commissions available until eventually, with improved technology and efficiency, the entire industry changed to enable the average investor to avoid commissions completely.
But the internet hasn’t done much to reduce the cost of selling a home in the U.S. Sellers typically pay a 6% commission to a real-estate agent to list and sell a home, with the seller’s agent splitting that commission with the buyer’s agent. But all of that may change because of a verdict this week in a class-action lawsuit in federal court against the National Association of Realtors.
Aarthi Swaminathan covers the case, what may happen next and the implications for home sellers and buyers:
Real-estate advice from the Moneyist
MarketWatch illustration
Quentin Fottrell — the Moneyist — works with three readers to answer tricky real-estate questions:
Jon Gray, the president of Blackstone Group, spoke with MarketWatch Editor in Chief Mark DeCambre and said he expected the Fed to succeed in bringing down inflation without pushing the U.S. economy into a deep recession.
The U.S. Treasury yield curve has been inverted for nearly a year.
FactSet
Normally, longer-term bonds have higher yields than those with short maturities. But the yield curve has been inverted for nearly a year, with 3-month U.S. Treasury bills BX:TMUBMUSD03M
having higher yields than 10-year Treasury notes BX:TMUBMUSD10Y.
There has been elevated demand for long-term bonds, as investors have anticipated a recession and a reversal in Federal Reserve interest-rate policy. When interest rates decline, bond prices rise and vice versa.
As you can see on the chart above, the yield curve was narrowing until mid-October. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes were close to 5% on Oct. 19, but they have been falling the past several days as the three-month yield has remained close to 5.5%.
In the Bond Report, Vivien Lou Chen summarizes the action as investors react to the Federal Reserve’s decision not to change its federal-funds-rate target range this week and to other economic news.
For income-seekers looking to avoid income taxes, here’s a deep dive into municipal bonds, with taxable-equivalent yields and a deeper look at those within four high-tax states.
Ford’s good news — in the bond market
Ford Motor Co.’s debt rating has been lifted by S&P to investment-grade.
By now you have probably heard the term “Magnificent Seven” used to describe stocks of the tremendous tech-oriented companies that have led this year’s rally for the S&P 500 SPX
: Apple Inc. AAPL, -0.52%,
Microsoft Corp. MSFT, +1.29%,
Amazon.com Inc. AMZN, +0.38%,
Nvidia Corp. NVDA, +3.45%,
Alphabet Inc. GOOGL, +1.26%
GOOG, +1.39%,
Meta Platforms Inc. META, +1.20%
and Tesla Inc. TSLA, +0.66%.
With Tesla’s recent decline, that company is now the ninth-largest holding in the portfolio of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY,
which tracks the benchmark index. Here are the top 10 companies held by SPY (11 stocks, including two common-share classes for Alphabet), with total returns through Thursday:
Five of these stocks (including the two Alphabet share classes) are still down from the end of 2021. SPY itself has returned 14% this year, following an 18% decline in 2022. It is still down 7% from the end of 2021.
After the market close on Wednesday, PayPal Holdings Inc. PYPL, +1.89%
announced quarterly results that came in ahead of analysts’ expectations, and the stock soared 7% on Thursday even though the company lowered its target for improving its operating margin.
Consumers drive mixed reactions to earnings results
Apple Inc. reported mixed quarterly results.
Mario Tama/Getty Images
Here’s more of the latest corporate financial results and reactions. First the good news:
And now the news that may not be so good:
Harsh verdict for SBF
FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried.
AP
It might seem that some legal battles never end, but it took only a year from the collapse of FTX for the cryptocurrency exchange’s founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, to be convicted on all seven federal fraud and money-laundering charges brought against him. The charges were connected to the disappearance of $8 billion from FTX customer accounts.
Here’s more reaction and coverage of the virtual-currency industry:
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U.S. stocks are poised to rise on Monday ahead of a week of earnings and economic data releases, including quarterly reports from
Tesla, Netflix, and .
U.S. stocks closed higher Friday, with the S&P 500 eking out a modest weekly gain, as investors assessed a monthly jobs report that showed both a blockbuster surge in jobs created along with a slowdown in wage pressures.
How stock indexes traded
The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA
rose 288.01 points, or 0.9%, to close at 33,407.58.
The S&P 500 SPX
gained 50.31 points, or 1.2%, to finish at 4,308.50.
The Nasdaq Composite COMP
climbed 211.51 points, or 1.6%, to end at 13,431.34.
For the week, the Dow slipped 0.3% while the S&P 500 edged up 0.5% and the Nasdaq gained 1.6%. The Dow fell for a third straight week, while the S&P 500 snapped a four-week losing streak and the Nasdaq saw back-to-back weekly gains, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
What drove markets
U.S. stocks climbed Friday, after reversing course from their slide earlier in the session as investors parsed a U.S. employment report that was stronger than forecast.
“Wages slowed down,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, in a phone interview Friday. “That was a great development” as the Federal Reserve aims to bring down inflation through monetary tightening.
Investors have worried that a hot labor market will keep wage growth elevated, adding to inflationary pressures that could see the Fed keep interest rates higher for longer or potentially hike its benchmark rate one more time this year.
A report Friday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed the U.S. economy created 336,000 jobs in September, far surpassing economists’ expectations for 170,000 new jobs. Also, the report said job gains in August and July were revised higher.
But other details from the report were slightly more favorable in terms of monetary policy concerns.
For example, average hourly wages rose a mild 0.2% in September, bringing the 12-month rate of change through September to 4.2%, a slower pace than the prior month’s year-over-year rate of 4.3%.
“Even though the headline number was 2.5 times what Wall Street had anticipated, the more important detail below the surface was that wage inflation actually cooled,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA, during a phone interview with MarketWatch.
Renaissance Macro Research’s Neil Dutta said in a note that the jobs report was consistent with a soft landing for the economy and the Fed’s objective to lower the inflation rate back to 2%.
“The strong labor market gives credence to the base case still being a soft landing,” said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management, in a phone interview Friday. But that soft-landing narrative is “somewhat fragile and data dependent,” he said.
Investors will be watching for data scheduled to be released next week on September inflation from the consumer-price index and producer-price index.
Meanwhile, economists from Goldman Sachs Group said in a note Friday that “the continued rebalancing of the labor market” is consistent with their expectation that the Fed is done raising rates this year, despite senior Fed officials projecting another hike in their latest batch of forecasts, released last month.
Federal-funds-futures traders are expecting the Fed will keep its benchmark rate at the current range of 5.25% to 5.5% at its policy meetings in November and December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
“I’m of the belief that the Fed will not hike again this year,” BMO’s Ma said. “I don’t think it needs to.”
Meanwhile, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
climbed 6.8 basis points to 4.783%, rising for five straight weeks, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
Rising Treasury yields, particularly on the long end of the yield curve, have been blamed for a selloff in stocks over the past couple months. But the S&P 500 is now up so far in October, with a small gain of 0.5%, according to FactSet data.
McDonald’s MCD, +0.27%
is planning to bring back its beloved McRib sandwich, just one year after giving the porky treat a “farewell tour.” The menu item is set to return next month, according to the company.
“While it won’t be available nationwide, some lucky fans may find their favorite elusive saucy sandwich at their local McDonald’s restaurants this November,” McDonald’s said in a statement to MarketWatch on Wednesday.
Not that the news should come as a complete surprise. McDonald’s has always employed a scarcity tactic in marketing the McRib. That is, the key to the sandwich’s appeal has been that it’s never around for long, leaving fans (including Homer Simpson) to devour it while they can.
As Restaurant Business, a trade publication, observed last year: “If consumers think there is a shortage of a product, or that it won’t be around for long, they will rush out to get it. Think of the Great Toilet Paper Shortage in 2020 and how many people rushed out to get some the moment they thought they might run out.”
The publication quoted McDonald’s CEO Chris Kempczinski about this approach, particularly in relation to the “farewell tour”: “The McRib is the GOAT of sandwiches on our menu. And so like the GOATs Michael Jordan, Tom Brady, and others, you’re never sure if they’re fully retired or not.”
By all accounts, the strategy has worked: A Wall Street Journal story once noted that McDonald’s sold more than 60 million of the sandwiches over a three-year period — in spite of the fact (or maybe because of the fact) it’s available in such limited fashion.
Further proof of the McRib’s success: It has spawned some competition. In 2021, Arby’s released a Country Style Pork Rib sandwich as a limited-time fall offering — and took cheeky aim at McDonald’s in its marketing, referring to the McRib as a “rib-shaped sandwich” (there’s some truth to that — the McRib features a boneless pork patty with no actual ribs).
Naturally, the McRib’s return has sparked plenty of reaction on social media. One commenter on X (formerly Twitter) referred to the fact the sandwich seemingly has nine lives. Another said that McDonald’s retracting of its “farewell tour” announcement has left them having “trust issues.”
Two things investors can be sure about: Nothing lasts forever and the stock market always overreacts. The spiking of yields on long-term U.S. Treasury securities has been breathtaking, and it has led to remarkable declines for some sectors and possible bargains for contrarian investors who can commit for the long term.
First we will show how the sectors of the S&P 500
have performed. Then we will look at price-to-earnings valuations for the sectors and compare them to long-term averages. Then we will screen the entire index for companies trading below their long-term forward P/E valuation averages and narrow the list to companies most favored by analysts.
Here are total returns, with dividends reinvested, for the 11 sectors of the S&P 500, with broad indexes below. The sectors are sorted by ascending total returns this year through Monday.
Returns for 2022 are also included, along with those since the end of 2021. Last year’s weakest sector, communications services, has been this year’s strongest performer. This sector includes Alphabet Inc. GOOGL
and Meta Platforms Inc. META,
which have returned 52% and 155% this year, respectively, but are still down since the end of 2021. To the right are returns for the past week and month through Monday.
On Monday, the S&P 500 Utilities sector had its worst one-day performance since 2020, with a 4.7% decline. Investors were reacting to the jump in long-term interest rates.
Here is a link to the U.S. Treasury Department’s summary of the daily yield curve across maturities for Treasury securities.
The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes
jumped 10 basis points in only one day to 4.69% on Monday. A month earlier the 10-year yield was only 4.27%. Also on Monday, the yield on 20-year Treasury bonds
rose to 5.00% from 4.92% on Friday. It was up from 4.56% a month earlier.
The Treasury yield curve is still inverted, with 3-month T-bills
yielding 5.62% on Monday, but that was up only slightly from a month earlier. An inverted yield curve has traditionally signaled that bond investors expect a recession within a year and a lowering of interest rates by the Federal Reserve. Demand for bonds pushes their prices down. But the reverse has happened over recent days, with the selling of longer-term Treasury securities pushing yields up rapidly.
Another way to illustrate the phenomenon is to look at how the Federal Reserve has shifted the U.S. money supply. Odeon Capital analyst Dick Bove wrote in a note to clients on Friday that “the Federal Reserve has not deviated from its policy to defeat inflation by tightening monetary policy,” as it has shrunk its balance sheet (mostly Treasury securities) to $8.1 trillion from $9 trillion in March 2022. He added: “The M2 money supply was $21.8 trillion in March 2022; today it is $20.8 trillion. You cannot get tighter than these numbers indicate.”
Then on Tuesday, Bove illustrated the Fed’s tightening and the movement of the 10-year yield with two charts:
Odeon Capital Group, Bloomberg
Bove said he believes the bond market has gotten it wrong, with the inverted yield curve reflecting expectations of rate cuts next year. If he is correct, investors can expect longer-term yields to keep shooting up and a normalization of the yield curve.
This has set up a brutal environment for utility stocks, which are typically desired by investors who are seeking dividend income. In a market in which you can receive a yield of 5.5% with little risk over the short term, and in which you can lock in a long-term yield of about 5%, why take a risk in the stock market? And if you believe that the core inflation rate of 3.7% makes a 5% yield seem paltry, keep in mind that not all investors think the same way. Many worry less about the inflation rate because large components of official inflation calculations, such as home prices and car prices, don’t affect everyone every year.
We cannot know when this current selloff of longer-term bonds will end, or how much of an effect it will have on the stock market. But sharp declines in the stock market can set up attractive price points for investors looking to go in for the long haul.
Screening for lower valuations and high ratings
A combination of rising earnings estimates and price declines could shed light on potential buying opportunities, based on forward price-to-earnings ratios.
Let’s look at the sectors again, in the same order, this time to show their forward P/E ratios, based on weighted rolling 12-month consensus estimates for earnings per share among analysts polled by FactSet:
Sector or index
Current P/E to 5-year average
Current P/E to 10-year average
Current P/E to 15-year average
Forward P/E
5-year average P/E
10-year average P/E
15-year average P/E
Utilities
82%
86%
95%
14.99
18.30
17.40
15.82
Real Estate
76%
80%
81%
15.19
19.86
18.89
18.72
Consumer Staples
93%
96%
105%
18.61
19.92
19.30
17.64
Healthcare
103%
104%
115%
16.99
16.46
16.34
14.72
Financials
88%
92%
97%
12.90
14.65
14.08
13.26
Materials
100%
103%
111%
16.91
16.98
16.42
15.27
Industrials
88%
96%
105%
17.38
19.84
18.16
16.56
Energy
106%
63%
73%
11.78
11.17
18.80
16.23
Consumer Discretionary
79%
95%
109%
24.09
30.41
25.39
22.10
Information Technology
109%
130%
146%
24.20
22.17
18.55
16.54
Communication Services
86%
86%
94%
16.41
19.09
19.00
17.43
S&P 500
94%
101%
112%
17.94
19.01
17.76
16.04
DJ Industrial Average
93%
98%
107%
16.25
17.49
16.54
15.17
Nasdaq Composite Index
92%
102%
102%
24.62
26.71
24.18
24.18
Nasdaq-100 Index
97%
110%
126%
24.40
25.23
22.14
19.43
There is a limit to how many columns we can show in the table. The S&P 500’s forward P/E ratio is now 17.94, compared with 16.79 at the end of 2022 and 21.53 at the end of 2021. The benchmark index’s P/E is above its 10- and 15-year average levels but below the five-year average.
If we compare the current sector P/E numbers to 5-, 10- and 15-year averages, we can see that the current levels are below all three averages for four sectors: utilities, real estate, financials and communications services. The first three face obvious difficulties as they adjust to the rising-rate environment, while the real-estate sector reels from continuing low usage rates for office buildings, from the change in behavior brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Your own opinions, along with the pricing for some sectors, might drive some investment choices.
A broader screen of the S&P 500 might point to companies for you to research further.
We narrowed the S&P 500 as follows:
Current forward P/E below 5-, 10- and 15-year average valuations. For stocks with negative earnings-per-share estimates for the next 12 months, there is no forward P/E ratio so they were excluded. For stocks listed for less than 15 years, we required at least a 5-year average P/E for comparison. This brought the list down to 138 companies.
“Buy” or equivalent ratings from at least two-thirds of analysts: 41 companies.
Here are the 20 companies that passed the screen, for which analysts’ price targets imply the highest upside potential over the next 12 months.
There is too much data for one table, so first we will show the P/E information:
It was past midnight when Alessandra Millican and a friend entered the Bellagio hotel room that was costing them hundreds of dollars a night, but unexpected noises made them stop cold.
“We started hearing grunts,” she said. “It’s somebody waking up — we were halfway through the room and we realized there’s somebody sleeping in here.”
Starbucks Corp. on Wednesday said former Chief Executive Howard Schultz is stepping down from its board of directors, capping a nearly 40-year career during which the company grew from a handful of stores in Seattle into a global coffee chain.
Schultz’s retirement from the board, which ends his involvement in the company’s leadership, took effect Wednesday and was part of a planned transition, the coffee chain said. Schultz stepped down as Starbucks SBUX, +0.72%
chief executive in March.
The company on Wednesday also said that it had elected Wei Zhang to its board of directors, effective Oct. 1. Zhang was most recently a senior adviser to Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group BABA, -0.75%
and also held leadership positions at News Corp China and CNBC China.
Shares of Starbucks were down 0.7% after hours on Wednesday.
Starbucks said Schultz “will now turn his attention with his wife, Sheri, to focus on a range of philanthropic and entrepreneurial investments to create greater opportunity, accessible to all.” The company noted that the two were co-founders of the Schultz Family Foundation in 1996, and of the emes project.
Although he was not technically the founder of the coffee chain, Schultz became the modern face of it. Schultz joined Starbucks in 1982 as its director of operations and marketing. After a brief hiatus from the company, he returned in 1987 as chief executive and bought the business with backing from local investors, according to a biography on the Starbucks website. The chain went public in 1992.
As the chain’s footprint expanded beyond the U.S., Schultz stepped down from the CEO role in 2000 but returned in 2008. He retired from Starbucks in 2018, then came back as interim chief executive and board member last year.
Over those years, Starbucks has banked on China for international growth — even as that country’s economy remains turbulent following the postpandemic reopening. It also added food and cold and customizable drinks to its menus and built out its mobile-ordering infrastructure.
The company has branded itself as a progressive employer and a supporter of social justice. But over the past two years, the company, and Schultz in particular, have faced criticism over the handling of employees who were trying to unionize. Union members have accused the chain of unfair labor practices, retaliation for organizing and delaying contract negotiations, leading to deeper scrutiny from lawmakers.
“We hope this is an opportunity for Starbucks to change course and leave their union-busting behind them,” Starbucks Workers United, the union representing those workers, said Wednesday in a tweet.
Still, even as inflation has eaten into consumer savings, Schultz said coffee has remained an “affordable luxury” for many customers. And Starbucks management said that younger, loyal consumers and customizable drinks would help sustain demand.
According to a filing on Wednesday, Schultz will still be connected to the company in other ways. Starbucks said it would amend Schultz’s retirement agreement from 2018 and continue to provide him and his spouse with security services.
“The security services will be provided for a period of 10 years and will be evaluated on an annual basis,” the filing said. “In recognition of Mr. Schultz’s leadership as the company’s founder and chairman emeritus, the company will also provide Mr. Schultz with the reimbursement of his monthly healthcare insurance premiums.”
Starbucks’ annual launch of its fall-themed Pumpkin Spice Latte sparked a spike in visits to the coffee giant, according to foot-traffic data from analytics company Placer.ai.
The Pumpkin Spice Latte, or PSL, made its return with the launch of Starbucks’ SBUX, +0.19%
fall menu on Aug. 24, marking the 20th year that the company has offered the beverage. “Starbucks excels in driving traffic to its venues during otherwise unremarkable times through recurring seasonal menus and special promotions,” wrote Placer.ai’s Head of Content Shira Petrack, in a blog post, citing the company’s “WinsDays” promotion that offered Starbucks Rewards members 50% off cold drinks ordered through the company’s app on certain Wednesdays in July and August.
“The promotion drove traffic to the chain during the typical midweek lull and may have gotten visitors excited about the main event later in the month — the return of the Pumpkin Spice Latte,” Petrack added. “So when the fall-themed drink hit Starbucks stores on Thursday August 24th, visits spiked once more.”
Petrack explained that visits to Starbucks on the Pumpkin Spice Latte launch day had been on a steady upward trend in the years leading up to the pandemic before, understandably, falling significantly in 2020. “And while the foot traffic trends improved in 2021 and 2022, Starbucks visits on the day of the PSL’s return still remained below 2018-2019 levels,” she wrote. However, this year’s fall menu rollout drove a 25.1% increase in visits on launch day, compared to 2017’s PSL drop day, marking the largest spike in recent years.
Placer.ai also noted that on the Saturday after this year’s Pumpkin Spice Latte launch, Starbucks visits surged by 41.1%, compared with the 29.5% increase on the Saturday following the 2022 PSL launch.
“During a period when budgets are still tight and consumer confidence is shaky, the option to splurge on an affordable treat and indulge in the comfort and nostalgia of the fall flavors may seem particularly attractive,” Petrack wrote.
Starbucks also launched two new seasonal beverages on Aug. 24: the Iced Apple Crisp Oatmilk Shaken Espresso and Iced Pumpkin Cream Chai Tea Latte. It also introduced a new Baked Apple Croissant.
The company’s stock has risen 7.7% this year, compared with the S&P 500 index’s SPX
gain of 9.9%.
Of course, Starbucks is not the only company tapping into the pumpkin-spice craze. Dunkin’ Donuts brought back its Pumpkin Spice Signature Latte on Aug. 16, a full week before Starbucks dropped its PSL.
Further evidence of pumpkin spice mania came last month when Anheuser-Busch InBev’s Busch Beer released Pumpkin Spice Dog Brew. The non-alcoholic dog treat is made with vegetables, spices and water.
According to market researcher NielsenIQ, sales of pumpkin-flavored retail products were $803 million for the 52-week period ending in late July 2023, an increase of almost 15% on the prior 52-week period. However, unit sales, or the actual number of pumpkin-flavored products purchased, declined 1.5% for the 52-week period ending in late July.
Shares of investment giant Blackstone Inc. and vacation-home rental platform Airbnb Inc. rallied after hours on Friday after both won the nod to join the S&P 500 index SPX
later this month.
The announcement, from S&P Dow Jones Indices, said that the change would take hold before the start of trading on Monday, Sept. 18. The move, among others announced Friday, will “ensure each index is more representative of its market-capitalization range,” according to a release.
Airbnb ABNB, +0.87%
currently has a market value of $83.98 billion, and its shares are up 64.7% so far this year. Blackstone BX, -1.77%,
currently worth $129.29 billion, has seen its stock rise 43.6% year-to-date.
Shares of Airbnb and Blackstone were up 5.7% and 4.8%, respectively, after hours on Friday.
Blackstone and Airbnb will replace Lincoln National Corp. LNC, +2.14%
and Newell Brands Inc. NWL, +1.23%
in the index, S&P Dow Jones Indices said on Friday. In the process, Lincoln and Newell will join the S&P SmallCap 600.
“We’ve established an unparalleled global platform of leading business lines, offering over 70 distinct investment strategies,” Chief Executive Stephen Schwarzman told analysts. “We believe our clients view us as the gold standard in alternative asset management.”
Meanwhile, Airbnb last month said that travelers were seeking longer stays and bigger properties in pricier areas, as the rebound in travel endures despite a tidal wave of inflation last year. The company’s second-quarter results and third-quarter sales forecast topped Wall Street’s estimates.
Meanwhile, S&P 500 member Deere & Co. DE, +1.94%
will replace Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. WBA, -7.43%
in the S&P 100, S&P Dow Jones Indices said on Friday. That change also takes hold on Sept. 18. S&P Dow Jones Indices said Walgreens “is no longer representative of the megacap market space” but will stay in the S&P 500.
Shares of Deere fell 0.2% after hours. Walgreens stock was up 0.4%.
Shares of Starbucks Corp. fell after hours Tuesday after the coffee chain reported third-quarter same-store sales that missed expectations, despite a big rebound in China.
The coffee chain reported fiscal third-quarter net income of $1.14 billion, or 99 cents a share, compared with $912.9 million, or 79 cents a share, in the same quarter last year. Adjusted for restructuring and impairment costs, Starbucks earned $1 a share.
Revenue rose 12.5% to $9.17 billion, compared with $8.15 billion in the prior-year quarter. Same-store sales rose 10% worldwide, with a 7% gain in North America. Those same-store sales jumped 24% internationally, with a 46% gain in China.
Analysts polled by FactSet expected Starbucks SBUX, -0.31%
to report adjusted earnings per share of 95 cents, on revenue of $9.29 billion and same-store sales growth of 11%.
Operating margins rose to 17.3%, from 15.9% a year ago, with higher prices and productivity offset by greater spending on employee wages and benefits.
Shares slipped 1.2% after hours on Tuesday. Shares of Starbucks are roughly where they were at the beginning of the year.
Starbucks executives over the past year have said that amid stubborn inflation, customers see coffee as an affordable luxury worth treating themselves to. But Wall Street has struggled to find a reason to push the stock higher amid questions about trends in North America and slowing same-store sales in the years ahead, as well as China’s uneven economic recovery as it shakes off pandemic restrictions.
UBS analysts said that demand in the U.S. was likely still “solid.” But they said that the focus would be on demand in China. Quo Vadis analyst John Zolidis, meanwhile, said that along with China, investors had been focused on the chain’s efforts to set up more drive-through locations in the U.S., and any benefits from higher-priced cold drinks and customizable orders.
The coffee chain also continues to fight with its unionized employees. Bargaining has stalled. Last month, unionized workers accused Starbucks of banning Pride-themed decorations. Starbucks aggressively denied those allegations.
I’ve read your previous responses to letters on tipping, and my thoughts are simple: Tipping is dependent on the service given. I won’t tip at a deli counter, but I will tip more in a diner. I see no reason to tip a deli counter person on a regular basis. The person who rings up my groceries isn’t allowed to accept tips, and they do a lot more than put a sandwich in a bag.
As far as restaurants go, 15% is the starting point and I will go up from that as warranted. I do tend to tip a high percentage in diners. The waitstaff there are generally fabulous, deal with lower price points and a varied clientele. I feel they also suffer from customer bias where some people seem to think it’s only a diner not a fancy restaurant.
“‘Helping others is not always through money. I volunteer my time with several charities and donate blood.’”
The job is the same whether my meal is $10 or $100. I try to pay in cash to ensure the waitstaff is promptly getting their tip, and to ensure that the money does indeed go to the wait staff. Are we expected to tip on a total that includes credit-card charges? What’s more, helping others is not always through money. I volunteer my time with several charities and donate blood.
What troubles me is that throughout the New York City metro area, tipping recommendations in restaurants are based on faulty calculations. My friends and I all agree that tips are supposed to be based on the price of the meal — that is the subtotal or pre-tax figure. Restaurants frequently encourage people to tip on the final amount.
Yes, wait staff in diners work as hard as any restaurant worker, and they deserve whatever your optimum tip — 15% or 20% — and as much as you would tip in a white-tablecloth restaurant. Yes, consumers should not be expected to tip in a deli — unless you have a good relationship with the staff, and you tip occasionally for goodwill. If you choose to “skip” the charity donation in a pharmacy, that’s OK too. Yes, donations and tips are increasingly being conflated, and that’s not always a good thing. We should be comfortable with the charity and 100% sure that the donation is going to the charity in question.
And your main point: Yes, tipping on the subtotal before tax and before credit-card charges is absolutely fair, although a lot of people — especially when calculating the tip among friends — tip on the after-tax total. Why? Perhaps we don’t want to be seen splitting hairs over the tax among friends and/or in front of a service worker who has given us exemplary service. Calculating tips is often done under pressure, and no one likes to be seen as a cheapskate. I almost always tip on the total amount, knowing that the sales tax is included, primarily because I figure that extra $1 or more is going to the person who served my table.
My colleague, MarketWatch news editor Nicole Pesce, put together a guide for how much you should tip everyone, and who you should NOT tip. She also cited three reasons why tipping has become such a note of contention, and why it appears we are tipping more: people tipped staff more during the pandemic (they were, after all, putting their health and lives at risk with their jobs); 40-year high inflation over the last 12 months has increased the cost of everything and, as such our tips rose in tandem with prices; and, finally, digital tipping appears to be ubiquitous, and people have been suffering from tipping fatigue.
“‘You’re not the only one: Americans are souring on tipping.’”
You’re not the only one with tipping fatigue, though: Americans are generally souring on tipping. A large majority (66%) of U.S. adults have a negative view about tipping, according to a poll released by the personal-finance site Bankrate last month. The bottom line: consumers feel they are being forced to compensate employees for low pay (41%) and they don’t appreciate all that digital guilt tipping (32%) and, as a result, they believe that tipping culture has gotten out of control (30%). Respondents also said they were confused about how much to tip (15%), but a small minority (a paltry 16%) said they would be willing to pay higher prices in lieu of tipping.
People appear to be less generous with their tipping amounts, and they also appear to be tipping less often. What’s perhaps most surprising from Bankrate’s research is that only 65% of diners actually tip when they eat out (that’s down from 73% last year). After restaurants, people are most likely to tip barbers/hairdressers (53% of those polled) and food-delivery workers (50%). From thereon, only a minority of people say they tip taxi or rideshare drivers (New York City cabs, which give tipping options upon payment, may be an outlier here), hotel housekeepers, baristas and food-delivery workers.
It’s important that we have this conversation about tipping because expectations and digital tipping methods are evolving all the time. On the one hand, people are facing higher prices and they are understandably feeling under pressure to tip. On the other hand, this conversation naturally overlaps with the working conditions and pay of service workers. Americans are tipping less than they did during the worst days of the pandemic. Service workers — along with medical personnel, bus and train drivers and first responders — were among the heroes of the pandemic. That is something I hope we never forget.
“The person who rings up my groceries isn’t allowed to accept tips, and they do a lot more than put a sandwich in a bag,” the letter writer says.
