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Tag: Jim Cramer

  • We’re selling some bank shares and buying some more beer stock

    We’re selling some bank shares and buying some more beer stock

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    Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., November 11, 2022. 

    Andrew Kelly | Reuters

    We’re selling 125 shares of Morgan Stanley (MS) at roughly $90.44 each, and buying 45 shares of Constellation Brands (STZ) at roughly $242.25 each.

    Following Friday’s trades, the portfolio will own 1,475 shares of Morgan Stanley, decreasing its weighting in the portfolio to 4.69% from 5.07%; and 435 shares of Constellation Brands, increasing its weighting to 3.58% from 3.22%

    The Morgan Stanley trim will right-size our position, which had grown to an over 5% weighting due, in part, to its spectacular run higher for the past month. We are also downgrading the stock to a 2 rating, which is also a reflection of its recent strength and not any change in our long-term view. We still very much believe in Morgan Stanley going forward. This sale will lock in a small gain of about 1% on stock purchased in July 2021.

    Following our consistent buying of Morgan Stanley in the spring to early summer in the low $80s and the stock’s outperformance over the past month — up nearly 18% versus 10% for the S&P 500 — our position in Morgan Stanley had swelled to the second largest in the portfolio. Although we are rightsizing this position following Thursday and Friday’s strength, we continue to like shares of this investment bank and asset gather for its push into fee base revenues, an eventual resurgence in IPO market, and its steady dividend and buyback programs.

    We’re taking the Morgan Stanley funds and redeploying them into Constellation Brands on a nearly dollar-for-dollar basis. This was a milestone week for the Corona beer maker as it received enough shareholder votes at a special meeting to execute its plan to remove its dual-class share structure. We wrote all about the event Thursday, explaining why this is great news from a corporate governance standpoint and should lead to a more shareholder-friendly capital allocation policy. We anticipate less expensive and unprofitable acquisitions, greater investment in the growth of the beer portfolio, and more share repurchase.

    If Constellation allocates its capital in this fashion, we think the stock’s price-to-earnings multiple will expand over time. But with shares down a bit Friday — more so when we mentioned the buy on the “Morning Meeting” — some may wonder if this decline is an indictment on Constellation’s decision to pay a premium to remove the super-voting Class B shares. We do not think that is the case and think STZ is getting swept up in this sector rotation move out of defensives. Given our propensity to buy strength and sell weakness, we are adding to our STZ position.

    (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long MS and STZ. See here for a full list of the stocks.)

    As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

    THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY, TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER.  NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.  NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.

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  • What Cramer is watching Thursday — cooler inflation, FTX crypto fallout, TJX upgrade

    What Cramer is watching Thursday — cooler inflation, FTX crypto fallout, TJX upgrade

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    U.S. stock futures shot up more than 800 points and the 10-year Treasury yield sank below 4% after CPI release.

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  • What Cramer is watching Wednesday — Disney CEO must go, no Red wave, Meta job cuts

    What Cramer is watching Wednesday — Disney CEO must go, no Red wave, Meta job cuts

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    U.S. stocks lower the day after the midterm election. Investors await results from too-close-to-call races.

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  • Metaverse-obsessed Mark Zuckerberg refuses to cut costs. It’s no wonder the stock tanked

    Metaverse-obsessed Mark Zuckerberg refuses to cut costs. It’s no wonder the stock tanked

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    Meta Platforms' build-the-metaverse-or-die-trying approach to spending is incredibly frustrating.

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  • 3 takeaways from our daily meeting: Banks as market leaders, 3 trades and keeping CRM

    3 takeaways from our daily meeting: Banks as market leaders, 3 trades and keeping CRM

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  • Disney’s U.S. theme park ticket hikes point to continued strong demand and pricing power

    Disney’s U.S. theme park ticket hikes point to continued strong demand and pricing power

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    The adjustments come after Disney CEO Bob Chapek told CNBC in August that the company would raise prices if "consumer demand keeps up."

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  • Facts changed and part of tech sank. We’re changing our view and trimming exposure

    Facts changed and part of tech sank. We’re changing our view and trimming exposure

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    As we think about what happened to this particular industry that once promised secular growth year after year, it has been two-fold.

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  • Here’s why good jobs news is bad news for the Fed and the stock market

    Here’s why good jobs news is bad news for the Fed and the stock market

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    The good-news-is-bad-news theme was an overarching reason behind Friday's sharp sell-off in stocks and the sharp increase in bond yields.

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  • What Cramer is watching Thursday — OPEC+ surprise, Corona beer maker beat, Costco’s sales

    What Cramer is watching Thursday — OPEC+ surprise, Corona beer maker beat, Costco’s sales

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    OPEC+'s 2 million barrels-per-day oil production cut to boost prices. U.S. delivers an angry rebuke.

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  • Jim Cramer says 3 things are preventing the market from having a sustained rally

    Jim Cramer says 3 things are preventing the market from having a sustained rally

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    CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Monday said that Monday’s rally won’t last because none of the headwinds to the economy have abated.

    Stocks rebounded on Monday after an ugly end to the month and quarter on Friday, notching the best day since June for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500′s best day since July.

    Cramer pointed out that the market has seen some sporadic one-day rallies recently, but they’ve always been felled by three things. Wednesday’s rally will likely face a similar fate, he added.

    Here are three things preventing the market from having a sustained rally, according to Cramer

    1. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is ongoing. Cramer pointed out that the two countries are still at war, and that it’s looking likely that the energy crisis it’s fueling could have serious consequences during the winter months.
    2. China’s still under Covid lockdown. While tech stocks rallied on Monday, many of them are dependent on China, which is still beholden to Covid lockdowns with no end in sight.
    3. Inflation driven by work-from-home is still up. Wage, food and housing prices are still too high, Cramer said, adding that he doesn’t have high expectations for the release of the nonfarm labor report Friday.

    He also said that the market is still incredibly oversold.

    “The most impressive thing about today’s rally is that it happened at all. My feeling is that today’s bounce is all about sentiment getting too negative,” he said.

    Jim Cramer’s Guide to Investing

    Click here to download Jim Cramer’s Guide to Investing at no cost to help you build long-term wealth and invest smarter.

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  • Cramer’s week ahead: 3 events will determine if the market’s bad momentum will continue in October

    Cramer’s week ahead: 3 events will determine if the market’s bad momentum will continue in October

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    CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Friday said that three key events next week will determine if the nightmarish month for the stock market will continue into October.

    Here are the events:

    • The release of the nonfarm labor report Friday. Cramer said he expects it to show inflated hiring and wages.
    • Two speaking engagements by Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, who Cramer believes is the primary inflation hawk on the Federal Open Market Committee. “She wants to protect us … from high inflation, even if that means raising interest rates into a recession,” he said.

    The S&P 500 closed out its worst month since March 2020 on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite fell 8.8% and 10.5%, respectively, for the month.

    While it’s likely that Mester and the report will both bring bad news, investors can protect themselves from the market wreckage if they stick to a solid game plan, according to Cramer. 

    “Own high-quality companies with good balance sheets and high dividends that will benefit from a decline in inflation, because that’s what’s going to happen,” he said.

    He also previewed next week’s slate of earnings. All earnings and revenue estimates are courtesy of FactSet.

    Wednesday: Helen of Troy, Lamb Wesson

    Helen of Troy

    • Q2 2023 earnings release before the bell; conference call at 9 a.m. ET
    • Projected EPS: $2.21
    • Projected revenue: $521 million

    Lamb Weston Holdings

    • Q1 2023 earnings release at 8:30 a.m. ET; conference call at 10 a.m. ET
    • Projected EPS: 79 cents
    • Projected revenue: $1.21 billion

    We saw this from Nike last night — all that happens is the downside gets accentuated as the upside just treads water or goes marginally higher. That’s what I expect will happen with both when they report,” Cramer said.

    Thursday: Constellation Brands, Conagra Brands, McCormick, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings

    Constellation Brands

    • Q2 2023 earnings release at 7:30 a.m. ET; conference call at 10:30 a.m. ET
    • Projected EPS: $2.81
    • Projected revenue: $2.51 billion

    He said he expects the company’s top line to be “extraordinarily good.”

    Conagra Brands

    • Q1 2023 earnings release at 7:30 a.m. ET; conference call at 9:30 a.m. ET
    • Projected EPS: 52 cents
    • Projected revenue: $2.85 billion

    The company needs to grow its business, according to Cramer.

    McCormick

    • Q3 2022 earnings release at 6:30 a.m. ET; conference call at 8 a.m. ET
    • Projected EPS: 71 cents
    • Projected revenue: $1.6 billion

    Cramer said that the company’s earnings call will simply reinforce its preannounced weaker-than-expected third-quarter earnings and full-year outlook cut earlier this month.

    Norwegian Cruise Line

    • Investor meeting at 10 a.m. ET

    Cramer said that he expects Norwegian to be performing better than competitor Carnival, which struggled with higher costs in its latest quarter, but it’s unclear whether that will be enough to help Norwegian’s stock.

    Friday: Tilray Brands

    • Q1 2023 earnings release at 7 a.m. ET; conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET
    • Projected loss: loss of 5 cents per share
    • Projected revenue: $169 million

    He predicted that the company will make a “bold” statement about the legalization of cannabis and said he’s pondering whether this could be a great speculative stock to own during the Biden administration.

    Disclosure: Cramer’s Charitable Trust owns shares of Constellation Brands.

    Cramer's game plan for the trading week of Oct. 3

    Jim Cramer’s Guide to Investing

    Click here to download Jim Cramer’s Guide to Investing at no cost to help you build long-term wealth and invest smarter.

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